Monaco v Angers — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 5 December 2026 · FRA-Ligue 1 · 2627

Ligue 1 xG Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Monaco

14:00 UTC

Angers

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 22 Oct, 10:58 · 1,059h before kick-off

Monaco win

60.5%

model 62.0%

Draw

21.6%

model 21.5%

Angers win

17.9%

model 16.6%

612218

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (270 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-0 11.5%
2-0 11.1%
1-1 10.2%
2-1 9.9%
3-0 7.2%

Goals

Over 2.5	53.6%	Under 2.5	46.4%
BTTS yes	50.3%	BTTS no	49.7%
Monaco 1+	85.6%	Monaco 2+	57.6%
Angers 1+	58.8%	Angers 2+	22.2%

Expected goals 1.94 – 0.89. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

89/100

Data quality

90/100

Model agreement

94%

★ Best pick

Monaco (-0.5)

Asian handicap · usually 46%

63.7% fair odds 1.57

strong signal · 1134 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Angers not to score in both halves

Score both halves · usually 78%

84.3% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 828 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Monaco carry the stronger rating, 1659 Elo against 1424.
Monaco have created 1.12 xG a match over their last five while Angers have allowed 2.15.
At home Monaco average 1.33 xG a match.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Monaco have an estimated 60.5% win probability, against 21.6% for the draw and 17.9% for Angers. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.94 for Monaco and 0.89 for Angers.

Why Monaco

Monaco carry the stronger rating, 1659 Elo against 1424. Monaco have created 1.12 xG a match over their last five while Angers have allowed 2.15. At home Monaco average 1.33 xG a match.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 21.6%. Draws run at 23% in this competition.

Why Angers can win

Angers have created 1.54 xG a match over their last five while Monaco have allowed 1.34. Away from home Angers average 1.34 xG a match. Their last eleven was closer to full strength: Monaco were missing 1.16 expected goal involvements a match against 0.53.

Key players

Monaco's leading contributors by expected goal involvements a match: Folarin Balogun (0.49), Maghnes Akliouche (0.33), Anssumane Fati (0.28). Angers's leading contributors by expected goal involvements a match: Amine Sbaï (0.40), Amine El Ouazzani (0.32), Jim Allevinah (0.26).

Availability

3 of Monaco's top three contributors did not start their last match. 27% of Monaco's last eleven are new to the club this window. 1 of Angers's top three contributors did not start their last match. 27% of Angers's last eleven are new to the club this window. Reported unavailable for Angers: Jordan Lefort (suspended).

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Monaco: 51% possession, 11.4 shots a match, 13.0 faced, 0.16 xG a match from set pieces. Angers: 49% possession, 12.2 shots a match, 18.4 faced, 0.38 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-22 14:54 · team_stats 2026-10-20 06:04 · availability 2026-10-22 14:58 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Monaco are the model's most likely outcome at 60.5%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-0 at 11.5%. Confidence 89/100, data quality 90/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the chances say

Monaco are finishing sharply above their chances — 4.8 goals more than expected across 10 matches, which usually cools off.

WLLWWWDWDL last 10 scored 16 from 11.3 xG conceded 13 from 13.4 xG

Angers are finishing below their chances — 3.4 goals fewer than expected across 10 matches, despite creating the openings.

LDDLWLDWLL last 10 scored 12 from 15.4 xG conceded 20 from 21.5 xG

Finishing swings far more than chance creation, so a gap this size usually narrows. Over ten matches it is suggestive, not settled — a genuinely elite finisher beats expected goals for years.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	622117	1.94–0.89	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	681913	2.14–0.80	2-0 12%	56%	49%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Monaco to win	68.0%	64.8%	46.2%	1.40×	1.54
Draw	18.5%	19.4%	22.6%	0.86×	5.16
Angers to win	13.5%	13.5%	31.3%	0.43×	7.41

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Monaco & not both score	36.5%	33.3%	23.6%	1.41×	3.00
Monaco & both teams score	31.5%	29.6%	22.7%	1.30×	3.38
Draw & both teams score	14.2%	13.3%	16.4%	0.81×	7.53
Angers & both teams score	7.3%	8.3%	15.8%	0.53×	12.01
Angers & not both score	6.2%	8.3%	15.7%	0.53×	12.02
Draw & not both score	4.3%	4.9%	6.4%	0.77×	20.57

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Monaco & over 1.5	58.3%	54.9%	36.2%	1.52×	1.82
Monaco & over 2.5	47.4%	45.1%	28.8%	1.56×	2.22
Monaco & under 3.5	38.5%	34.9%	29.5%	1.18×	2.87
Monaco & over 3.5	29.5%	26.1%	16.8%	1.55×	3.84
Monaco & under 2.5	20.6%	21.6%	17.6%	1.23×	4.63
Draw & over 1.5	14.2%	12.8%	16.4%	0.78×	7.79
Draw & under 2.5	13.0%	12.8%	16.1%	0.80×	7.79
Draw & under 3.5	13.0%	12.8%	16.1%	0.80×	7.79
Angers & under 3.5	10.0%	7.9%	20.2%	0.39×	12.63
Monaco & under 1.5	9.7%	7.9%	10.2%	0.78×	12.63
Angers & over 1.5	9.7%	7.9%	25.3%	0.31×	12.63
Angers & over 2.5	8.0%	7.9%	19.8%	0.40×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	5.5%	7.9%	6.6%	1.19×	12.63
Draw & over 3.5	5.5%	7.9%	6.6%	1.19×	12.63
Angers & under 2.5	5.6%	7.9%	11.7%	0.68×	12.63
Draw & under 1.5	4.3%	4.8%	6.4%	0.76×	20.81
Angers & under 1.5	3.9%	4.8%	6.2%	0.77×	20.81
Angers & over 3.5	3.6%	4.8%	11.2%	0.43×	20.82

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Monaco (1UP)	78.7%	79.0%	59.0%	1.34×	1.27
Angers (1UP)	31.3%	32.8%	48.8%	0.67×	3.05

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Monaco (2UP)	68.0%	68.4%	48.2%	1.42×	1.46
Angers (2UP)	13.5%	14.2%	33.6%	0.42×	7.05

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Monaco to win 2nd half	54.0%	51.7%	42.0%	1.23×	1.93
2nd half drawn	29.2%	25.8%	31.3%	0.82×	3.88
Angers to win 2nd half	16.8%	18.0%	26.9%	0.67×	5.55

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Angers under 1.5 in 2nd half	88.2%	86.8%	82.3%	1.06×	1.15
Angers under 0.5 in 2nd half	55.6%	54.5%	49.8%	1.09×	1.84
Angers over 0.5 in 2nd half	44.4%	45.5%	50.2%	0.91×	2.20
Angers over 1.5 in 2nd half	11.8%	13.2%	17.7%	0.74×	7.60

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Monaco over 0.5 in 2nd half	72.7%	74.0%	62.2%	1.19×	1.35
Monaco under 1.5 in 2nd half	62.8%	63.2%	75.5%	0.84×	1.58
Monaco over 1.5 in 2nd half	37.2%	36.8%	24.5%	1.50×	2.72
Monaco under 0.5 in 2nd half	27.3%	26.0%	37.8%	0.69×	3.84

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Monaco (+0.5)	86.5%	88.5%	68.7%	1.29×	1.13
Angers (+2.5)	75.7%	78.5%	90.1%	0.87×	1.27
Monaco (-0.5)	68.0%	68.7%	46.2%	1.49×	1.46
Angers (+1.5)	55.4%	57.0%	75.5%	0.76×	1.75
Monaco (-1.5)	44.6%	43.0%	24.5%	1.75×	2.33
Angers (+0.5)	32.0%	31.3%	53.8%	0.58×	3.19
Monaco (-2.5)	24.3%	21.5%	9.9%	2.17×	4.65
Angers (-0.5)	13.5%	11.5%	31.3%	0.37×	8.66

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Angers to concede	89.5%	86.3%	78.1%	1.11×	1.16
Angers clean sheet	10.5%	13.7%	21.9%	0.62×	7.32

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Angers to concede in 1st half	61.4%	65.1%	48.2%	1.35×	1.54
Angers clean sheet in 1st half	38.6%	34.9%	51.8%	0.67×	2.86

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Angers to concede in 2nd half	72.7%	70.9%	62.2%	1.14×	1.41
Angers clean sheet in 2nd half	27.3%	29.1%	37.8%	0.77×	3.44

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Angers under 6.5 corners	83.0%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
Angers under 5.5 corners	73.6%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Angers over 2.5 corners	70.8%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Angers under 4.5 corners	61.1%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Angers over 3.5 corners	54.2%	53.1%	—	—	1.89
Angers under 3.5 corners	45.8%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Angers over 4.5 corners	38.9%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Angers under 2.5 corners	29.2%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Angers over 5.5 corners	26.4%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Angers over 6.5 corners	17.0%	18.6%	—	—	5.38

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Angers under 3.5 goals	98.7%	97.5%	93.6%	1.04×	1.03
Angers under 2.5 goals	93.8%	92.3%	84.5%	1.09×	1.08
Angers under 1.5 goals	77.4%	76.3%	63.2%	1.21×	1.31
Angers over 0.5 goals	59.2%	59.4%	70.2%	0.85×	1.68
Angers under 0.5 goals	40.8%	40.6%	29.8%	1.36×	2.47
Angers over 1.5 goals	22.6%	23.7%	36.8%	0.65×	4.21
Angers over 2.5 goals	6.2%	7.7%	15.5%	0.49×	13.07
Angers over 3.5 goals	1.3%	2.5%	6.4%	0.39×	39.97

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Angers under 1.5 in 1st half	96.1%	96.0%	87.7%	1.09×	1.04
Angers under 0.5 in 1st half	73.4%	68.9%	57.9%	1.19×	1.45
Angers over 0.5 in 1st half	26.6%	31.1%	42.1%	0.74×	3.21
Angers over 1.5 in 1st half	3.9%	4.0%	12.3%	0.32×	25.27

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Angers scores equally in both	48.6%	48.3%	41.1%	1.18×	2.07
Angers scores more in 2nd half	35.3%	37.3%	34.4%	1.08×	2.68
Angers scores more in 1st half	16.1%	17.8%	24.7%	0.72×	5.60

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Monaco (away no bet)	78.6%	73.7%	67.2%	1.10×	1.36
Draw (away no bet)	21.4%	26.4%	32.8%	0.80×	3.80

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Angers even goals	58.3%	57.0%	55.7%	1.02×	1.76
Angers odd goals	41.7%	43.0%	44.3%	0.97×	2.32

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	79.8%	81.5%	82.6%	0.99×	1.23
Both halves over 1.5 goals	20.2%	18.5%	17.4%	1.06×	5.40

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	71.9%	67.3%	65.9%	1.02×	1.49
Both halves under 1.5 goals	28.1%	32.7%	34.1%	0.96×	3.06

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	66.9%	62.3%	60.5%	1.03×	1.60
Monaco to score 2+ in a row	58.6%	55.3%	38.6%	1.43×	1.81
Either team to score 3+ in a row	32.2%	29.2%	22.3%	1.31×	3.43
Monaco to score 3+ in a row	29.9%	25.3%	13.8%	1.84×	3.96
Angers to score 2+ in a row	14.3%	12.1%	28.0%	0.43×	8.27
Angers to score 3+ in a row	2.7%	2.6%	9.2%	0.28×	39.10

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Monaco corners (+3.5)	88.3%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Monaco corners (+2.5)	82.4%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Angers corners (+3.5)	74.6%	70.8%	—	—	1.41
Monaco corners (+1.5)	74.7%	70.8%	—	—	1.41
Angers corners (+2.5)	65.8%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
Angers corners (+1.5)	55.7%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Monaco corners (-1.5)	44.3%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Monaco corners (-2.5)	34.2%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
Monaco corners (-3.5)	25.4%	29.2%	—	—	3.42
Angers corners (-1.5)	25.3%	29.2%	—	—	3.42
Angers corners (-2.5)	17.6%	20.2%	—	—	4.94
Angers corners (-3.5)	11.7%	15.5%	—	—	6.45

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	45.6%	41.7%	—	—	2.40
9-11 corners	27.4%	31.2%	—	—	3.21
12+ corners	26.9%	31.2%	—	—	3.21

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	79.8%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Under 11.5 corners	73.1%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Under 10.5 corners	65.0%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Over 7.5 corners	64.7%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Under 9.5 corners	55.7%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Over 8.5 corners	54.4%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Under 8.5 corners	45.6%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Over 9.5 corners	44.3%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
Under 7.5 corners	35.3%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Over 10.5 corners	35.0%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Over 11.5 corners	26.9%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Over 12.5 corners	20.2%	23.4%	—	—	4.27

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.1%	—	—	2.00
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-0	10.9%	11.5%	7.5%	1.52×	8.72
1-0	9.7%	7.4%	10.2%	0.73×	13.50
1-1	8.7%	7.4%	9.9%	0.75×	13.50
2-1	9.8%	7.4%	8.7%	0.85×	13.50
3-0	8.2%	7.4%	3.5%	2.09×	13.50
3-1	7.3%	7.4%	6.1%	1.22×	13.50
Any other score	8.0%	7.4%	5.2%	1.43×	13.50
0-0	4.3%	1.7%	6.4%	0.27×	58.29
0-1	3.9%	1.7%	6.2%	0.28×	58.30
0-2	1.7%	1.7%	5.6%	0.31×	58.31
0-3	0.5%	1.7%	2.5%	0.68×	58.32
0-4	0.1%	1.7%	1.5%	1.16×	58.32
1-2	3.9%	1.7%	6.4%	0.27×	58.30
1-3	1.2%	1.7%	3.7%	0.46×	58.31
1-4	0.3%	1.7%	1.5%	1.16×	58.32
2-2	4.4%	1.7%	5.2%	0.33×	58.29
2-3	1.3%	1.7%	1.8%	0.97×	58.31
2-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.7%	2.32×	58.32
3-2	3.3%	1.7%	2.8%	0.61×	58.30
3-3	1.0%	1.7%	1.5%	1.16×	58.31
3-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.7%	2.32×	58.32
4-0	4.6%	1.7%	1.8%	0.97×	58.29
4-1	4.1%	1.7%	2.1%	0.83×	58.30
4-2	1.8%	1.7%	1.5%	1.16×	58.31
4-3	0.6%	1.7%	0.4%	3.87×	58.32
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.3%	5.80×	58.32

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Monaco (2nd half DNB)	76.2%	79.2%	60.9%	1.30×	1.26
Angers (2nd half DNB)	23.8%	20.8%	39.1%	0.53×	4.82

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Monaco leading at HT (DNB)	81.3%	85.3%	54.1%	1.58×	1.17
Angers leading at HT (DNB)	18.7%	14.7%	45.9%	0.32×	6.82

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Monaco or draw (1X)	86.5%	86.5%	68.7%	1.26×	1.16
Monaco or Angers (12)	81.5%	80.6%	77.4%	1.04×	1.24
Angers or draw (X2)	32.0%	35.2%	53.8%	0.65×	2.84

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Monaco or draw at HT	88.3%	88.2%	71.6%	1.23×	1.13
Monaco or Angers at HT	62.7%	61.6%	61.6%	1.00×	1.62
Angers or draw at HT	49.0%	53.0%	66.6%	0.80×	1.89

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Monaco or draw (1UP)	86.5%	91.8%	73.1%	1.26×	1.09
Angers or draw (1UP)	32.0%	38.9%	61.5%	0.63×	2.57

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Monaco or draw in 2nd half	83.2%	82.0%	73.1%	1.12×	1.22
Monaco or Angers in 2nd half	70.8%	74.2%	68.7%	1.08×	1.35
Angers or draw in 2nd half	46.0%	48.3%	58.1%	0.83×	2.07

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	55.6%	58.4%	57.0%	1.02×	1.71
Neither half drawn	44.4%	41.6%	43.0%	0.97×	2.40

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Monaco (DNB)	83.4%	80.3%	59.6%	1.35×	1.25
Angers (DNB)	16.6%	19.7%	40.4%	0.49×	5.08

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Monaco to score first	68.5%	69.6%	50.3%	1.38×	1.44
Angers to score first	27.2%	27.9%	43.5%	0.64×	3.59
No goal scored	4.3%	4.3%	6.4%	0.68×	23.24

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	52.9%	51.3%	54.7%	0.94×	1.95
Not both teams to score	47.1%	48.7%	45.3%	1.07×	2.05

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	44.2%	41.6%	44.9%	0.93×	2.40
Not both score & under 2.5	30.5%	34.5%	35.3%	0.98×	2.90
Not both score & over 2.5	16.6%	21.5%	10.2%	2.11×	4.64
Both score & under 2.5	8.7%	8.3%	9.9%	0.84×	12.06

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	85.2%	85.6%	84.5%	1.01×	1.17
Both teams to score 2+	14.8%	14.4%	15.5%	0.93×	6.94

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	67.8%	67.3%	69.4%	0.97×	1.49
Both teams to score in 2nd half	32.2%	32.7%	30.6%	1.07×	3.06

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	56.7%	60.0%	57.2%	1.05×	1.67
Both score 2nd half only	27.0%	27.4%	24.2%	1.13×	3.65
Both score 1st half only	11.1%	10.7%	12.4%	0.86×	9.38
Both score in both halves	5.3%	6.8%	6.5%	1.04×	14.80

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	83.7%	83.3%	81.2%	1.03×	1.20
Both teams to score by HT	16.3%	16.7%	18.8%	0.89×	5.98

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	60.8%	59.6%	59.7%	1.00×	1.68
A half without a goal	39.2%	40.4%	40.3%	1.00×	2.48

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	43.6%	42.1%	43.3%	0.97×	2.37
4-6 goals	34.4%	30.8%	30.9%	1.00×	3.25
0-1 goals	17.9%	20.2%	22.5%	0.90×	4.94
7+ goals	4.1%	1.8%	3.7%	0.50×	54.09

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Angers to score exactly 0	40.8%	37.3%	29.8%	1.25×	2.68
Angers to score exactly 1	36.6%	35.9%	33.5%	1.07×	2.78
Angers to score exactly 2	16.4%	19.6%	21.4%	0.91×	5.11
Angers to score 3+	6.2%	8.5%	15.5%	0.55×	11.71

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Monaco to score 3+	39.0%	35.6%	22.6%	1.57×	2.81
Monaco to score exactly 2	26.7%	26.5%	24.1%	1.10×	3.77
Monaco to score exactly 1	23.7%	23.3%	31.8%	0.73×	4.29
Monaco to score exactly 0	10.5%	14.3%	21.9%	0.65×	7.00

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Monaco leading at HT	51.0%	47.0%	33.4%	1.41×	2.13
Draw at HT	37.3%	38.4%	38.4%	1.00×	2.60
Angers leading at HT	11.7%	11.8%	28.4%	0.42×	8.44

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Monaco -1: 1	44.6%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
Monaco -1: 2	32.0%	30.1%	—	—	3.33
Monaco -1: X	23.3%	23.5%	—	—	4.26

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Monaco (0:1)	44.6%	42.7%	24.5%	1.74×	2.34
Angers (0:1)	32.0%	30.1%	53.8%	0.56×	3.32
Draw (0:1)	23.3%	24.2%	21.9%	1.11×	4.13

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Angers (0:2)	55.4%	62.8%	75.5%	0.83×	1.59
Monaco (0:2)	24.3%	20.4%	9.9%	2.06×	4.91
Draw (0:2)	20.3%	20.3%	14.8%	1.37×	4.93

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Angers (0:3)	75.7%	80.4%	90.1%	0.89×	1.24
Draw (0:3)	13.2%	10.0%	5.9%	1.69×	10.04
Monaco (0:3)	11.1%	9.9%	4.1%	2.40×	10.07

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Angers (0:4)	88.9%	92.0%	95.9%	0.96×	1.09
Draw (0:4)	6.8%	4.6%	2.8%	1.64×	21.67
Monaco (0:4)	4.3%	1.2%	1.5%	0.83×	81.63

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Monaco (1:0)	86.5%	86.1%	68.7%	1.25×	1.16
Draw (1:0)	9.3%	6.9%	14.6%	0.47×	14.46
Angers (1:0)	4.3%	3.3%	16.8%	0.20×	30.44

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Monaco (2:0)	95.7%	96.8%	83.2%	1.16×	1.03
Draw (2:0)	3.2%	2.3%	9.9%	0.23×	43.63
Angers (2:0)	1.0%	2.3%	7.1%	0.32×	43.77

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	51.9%	50.2%	48.2%	1.04×	1.99
1st half highest scoring	25.6%	26.2%	26.0%	1.01×	3.82
Halves equal	22.5%	24.3%	26.0%	0.94×	4.11

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Monaco to concede	59.2%	60.7%	70.2%	0.87×	1.65
Monaco clean sheet	40.8%	39.3%	29.8%	1.32×	2.54

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Monaco clean sheet in 1st half	73.4%	67.7%	57.9%	1.17×	1.48
Monaco to concede in 1st half	26.6%	32.3%	42.1%	0.77×	3.10

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Monaco clean sheet in 2nd half	55.6%	54.8%	49.8%	1.10×	1.83
Monaco to concede in 2nd half	44.4%	45.2%	50.2%	0.90×	2.21

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Monaco over 2.5 corners	81.0%	81.0%	—	—	1.24
Monaco under 6.5 corners	70.7%	71.8%	—	—	1.39
Monaco over 3.5 corners	67.7%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Monaco under 5.5 corners	59.5%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Monaco over 4.5 corners	53.6%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Monaco under 4.5 corners	46.4%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Monaco over 5.5 corners	40.5%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Monaco under 3.5 corners	32.3%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Monaco over 6.5 corners	29.3%	28.2%	—	—	3.55
Monaco under 2.5 corners	19.0%	19.1%	—	—	5.25

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Monaco over 0.5 goals	89.5%	87.3%	78.1%	1.12×	1.15
Monaco under 3.5 goals	81.0%	82.2%	91.6%	0.90×	1.22
Monaco over 1.5 goals	65.7%	67.9%	46.5%	1.46×	1.47
Monaco under 2.5 goals	61.0%	63.6%	77.4%	0.82×	1.57
Monaco over 2.5 goals	39.0%	36.4%	22.6%	1.61×	2.75
Monaco under 1.5 goals	34.3%	32.1%	53.5%	0.60×	3.12
Monaco over 3.5 goals	19.0%	17.8%	8.4%	2.11×	5.62
Monaco under 0.5 goals	10.5%	12.7%	21.9%	0.58×	7.86

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Monaco under 1.5 in 1st half	75.3%	77.2%	87.1%	0.89×	1.30
Monaco over 0.5 in 1st half	61.4%	64.8%	48.2%	1.35×	1.54
Monaco under 0.5 in 1st half	38.6%	35.2%	51.8%	0.68×	2.84
Monaco over 1.5 in 1st half	24.7%	22.8%	12.9%	1.77×	4.39

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Monaco scores more in 2nd half	44.4%	42.1%	40.9%	1.03×	2.37
Monaco scores equally in both	28.2%	27.8%	36.6%	0.76×	3.59
Monaco scores more in 1st half	27.4%	27.8%	22.6%	1.23×	3.59

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	57.7%	56.4%	41.9%	1.35×	1.77
Angers (home no bet)	42.3%	43.6%	58.1%	0.75×	2.30

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Monaco even goals	50.6%	50.7%	51.8%	0.98×	1.97
Monaco odd goals	49.4%	49.3%	48.2%	1.02×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	28.3%	28.0%	28.5%	0.98×	3.57
HT 1-0	27.0%	28.0%	21.4%	1.31×	3.58
HT 2-0	12.9%	11.0%	6.8%	1.62×	9.07
HT 0-1	8.7%	6.9%	16.8%	0.41×	14.46
HT 1-1	8.3%	6.9%	9.5%	0.73×	14.47
Any other HT score	7.5%	6.9%	4.6%	1.51×	14.48
HT 2-1	4.0%	2.4%	3.3%	0.73×	42.02
HT 0-2	1.4%	2.4%	5.2%	0.46×	42.19
HT 1-2	1.3%	2.4%	4.4%	0.53×	42.19
HT 2-2	0.6%	2.4%	0.7%	3.21×	42.24

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Monaco at HT / Monaco at FT	45.1%	46.9%	27.8%	1.69×	2.13
Draw at HT / Monaco at FT	20.1%	21.7%	15.1%	1.44×	4.60
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	10.9%	12.6%	12.7%	0.99×	7.92
Draw at HT / Angers at FT	6.3%	6.0%	10.9%	0.55×	16.65
Angers at HT / Angers at FT	5.9%	6.0%	18.9%	0.32×	16.66
Monaco at HT / Draw at FT	4.5%	3.5%	4.1%	0.85×	28.60
Angers at HT / Draw at FT	3.1%	3.5%	6.1%	0.58×	28.65
Angers at HT / Monaco at FT	2.7%	3.5%	3.7%	0.94×	28.66
Monaco at HT / Angers at FT	1.4%	3.5%	1.8%	1.96×	28.71

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Monaco to score last	68.4%	70.4%	53.0%	1.33×	1.42
Angers to score last	27.3%	27.6%	40.8%	0.68×	3.63
No goal scored	4.3%	4.3%	6.4%	0.68×	23.24

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	95.7%	95.6%	93.6%	1.02×	1.05
Monaco to lead by 1 at any time	78.7%	78.5%	59.0%	1.33×	1.27
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	59.0%	54.9%	51.6%	1.06×	1.82
Monaco to lead by 2 at any time	51.2%	50.8%	30.0%	1.69×	1.97
Angers to lead by 1 at any time	31.3%	29.8%	48.8%	0.61×	3.36
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	29.3%	25.6%	19.8%	1.29×	3.91
Monaco to lead by 3 at any time	27.5%	25.5%	11.7%	2.18×	3.92
Angers to lead by 2 at any time	8.1%	6.7%	21.7%	0.31×	14.88
Angers to lead by 3 at any time	1.7%	1.6%	8.3%	0.19×	62.98

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Monaco most corners	54.9%	51.7%	—	—	1.93
Angers most corners	34.6%	34.4%	—	—	2.91
Corners level	10.4%	10.4%	—	—	9.58

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	85.8%	87.4%	85.2%	1.03×	1.14
2-6 goals	78.1%	78.7%	74.0%	1.06×	1.27
1-4 goals	74.8%	72.4%	76.8%	0.94×	1.38
2-5 goals	72.3%	72.4%	69.1%	1.05×	1.38
2-4 goals	61.2%	63.3%	60.7%	1.04×	1.58
1-3 goals	57.2%	59.1%	59.4%	1.00×	1.69
3-6 goals	56.8%	59.1%	51.4%	1.15×	1.69
3-5 goals	51.0%	53.2%	46.5%	1.14×	1.88
2-3 goals	43.6%	43.6%	43.3%	1.01×	2.29
3-4 goals	39.9%	39.2%	38.1%	1.03×	2.55
1-2 goals	34.8%	35.2%	38.8%	0.91×	2.84
4-6 goals	34.4%	35.2%	30.9%	1.14×	2.84
4-5 goals	28.6%	30.2%	26.0%	1.16×	3.31
5-6 goals	16.8%	18.8%	13.4%	1.40×	5.31
7+ goals	4.1%	2.6%	3.7%	0.69×	39.04

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Monaco never behind	64.4%	68.5%	51.2%	1.34×	1.46
Angers never behind	17.0%	18.3%	41.0%	0.45×	5.46

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	49.9%	50.9%	47.7%	1.07×	1.96
Even number of goals	50.1%	49.1%	52.3%	0.94×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	54.0%	51.7%	51.6%	1.00×	1.94
Odd goals in 1st half	46.0%	48.3%	48.4%	1.00×	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	51.2%	51.9%	50.1%	1.04×	1.93
Odd goals in 2nd half	48.8%	48.1%	49.9%	0.96×	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	95.7%	95.4%	93.6%	1.02×	1.05
Under 5.5 goals	90.1%	92.3%	91.4%	1.01×	1.08
Over 1.5 goals	82.1%	82.3%	77.5%	1.06×	1.22
Under 4.5 goals	79.1%	77.3%	83.0%	0.93×	1.29
Under 3.5 goals	61.5%	61.7%	65.6%	0.94×	1.62
Over 2.5 goals	60.8%	61.7%	54.9%	1.12×	1.62
Under 2.5 goals	39.2%	38.3%	45.1%	0.85×	2.61
Over 3.5 goals	38.5%	38.3%	34.4%	1.11×	2.61
Over 4.5 goals	20.9%	22.7%	17.0%	1.34×	4.41
Under 1.5 goals	17.9%	17.7%	22.5%	0.79×	5.65
Over 5.5 goals	9.9%	7.7%	8.6%	0.90×	12.93
Under 0.5 goals	4.3%	4.6%	6.4%	0.72×	21.85

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	95.7%	97.2%	96.1%	1.01×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	88.9%	86.7%	90.6%	0.96×	1.15
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	77.3%	75.9%	71.0%	1.07×	1.32
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	74.6%	72.4%	79.4%	0.91×	1.38
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	50.4%	51.9%	56.7%	0.92×	1.93
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	49.6%	48.1%	43.3%	1.11×	2.08
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	25.4%	27.6%	20.6%	1.34×	3.63
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	22.7%	24.1%	29.0%	0.83×	4.15
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	11.1%	13.3%	9.4%	1.42×	7.54
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	4.3%	2.8%	3.9%	0.73×	35.53

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	86.6%	89.2%	87.4%	1.02×	1.12
Over 0.5 in 1st half	71.7%	71.8%	71.5%	1.00×	1.39
Under 1.5 in 1st half	64.0%	63.3%	66.5%	0.95×	1.58
Over 1.5 in 1st half	36.0%	36.7%	33.5%	1.10×	2.72
Under 0.5 in 1st half	28.3%	28.2%	28.5%	0.99×	3.55
Over 2.5 in 1st half	13.4%	10.8%	12.6%	0.86×	9.22

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	84.8%	83.3%	81.8%	1.02×	1.20
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	70.8%	77.3%	75.3%	1.03×	1.29
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	56.1%	54.8%	49.8%	1.10×	1.82
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	43.9%	45.2%	50.2%	0.90×	2.22
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	29.2%	22.7%	24.7%	0.92×	4.41
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	15.2%	16.7%	18.2%	0.92×	5.97

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Angers not to score in both halves	88.2%	85.4%	77.8%	1.10×	1.17
Monaco not to score in both halves	55.4%	57.9%	67.8%	0.85×	1.73
Monaco to score in both halves	44.6%	42.1%	32.2%	1.31×	2.37
Angers to score in both halves	11.8%	14.6%	22.2%	0.66×	6.87

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	52.9%	53.9%	54.7%	0.99×	1.86
Only Monaco scores	36.5%	39.9%	23.6%	1.69×	2.51
Only Angers scores	6.2%	7.1%	15.7%	0.45×	14.05
Neither team scores	4.3%	4.6%	6.4%	0.73×	21.66

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 3 goals	22.3%	22.6%	20.7%	1.09×	4.43
Exactly 2 goals	21.3%	22.6%	22.7%	0.99×	4.43
Exactly 4 goals	17.6%	17.5%	17.6%	0.99×	5.73
Exactly 1 goals	13.5%	12.1%	16.2%	0.75×	8.24
Exactly 5 goals	11.1%	12.1%	8.6%	1.42×	8.25
6 or more goals	9.9%	7.6%	8.6%	0.89×	13.13
Exactly 0 goals	4.3%	4.5%	6.4%	0.70×	22.37

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	35.7%	37.4%	38.1%	0.98×	2.68
No goals in 1st half	28.3%	28.3%	28.5%	0.99×	3.54
2 goals in 1st half	22.5%	21.5%	21.1%	1.02×	4.65
3+ goals in 1st half	13.4%	10.8%	12.6%	0.86×	9.30

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	56.1%	54.0%	49.8%	1.09×	1.85
1 goal in 2nd half	28.7%	29.3%	32.2%	0.91×	3.41
No goals in 2nd half	15.2%	16.4%	18.2%	0.90×	6.11

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Angers not to win both halves	98.0%	97.2%	90.7%	1.07×	1.03
Monaco not to win both halves	72.5%	72.7%	83.6%	0.87×	1.38
Monaco to win both halves	27.5%	27.3%	16.4%	1.67×	3.66
Angers to win both halves	2.0%	2.8%	9.3%	0.30×	35.95

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Monaco to win either half	77.4%	79.8%	58.9%	1.35×	1.25
Angers to win neither half	73.4%	73.1%	54.1%	1.35×	1.37
Angers to win either half	26.6%	26.9%	45.9%	0.59×	3.72
Monaco to win neither half	22.6%	20.2%	41.1%	0.49×	4.96

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Angers not to win to nil	93.8%	92.1%	84.3%	1.09×	1.09
Monaco not to win to nil	63.5%	66.6%	76.4%	0.87×	1.50
Monaco to win to nil	36.5%	33.4%	23.6%	1.41×	2.99
Angers to win to nil	6.2%	7.9%	15.7%	0.50×	12.68

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Monaco by 3+	24.3%	24.1%	9.9%	2.44×	4.15
Monaco by 1	23.3%	24.1%	21.9%	1.10×	4.15
Monaco by 2	20.3%	24.1%	14.8%	1.63×	4.15
Draw	18.5%	17.1%	22.6%	0.75×	5.87
Angers by 1	9.3%	7.2%	14.6%	0.49×	13.90
Angers by 2	3.2%	2.7%	9.9%	0.27×	36.80
Angers by 3+	1.0%	2.7%	7.1%	0.38×	36.87