Montpellier v Red Star FC 93 — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 24 October 2026 · FRA-Ligue 2 · 2627

FRA-Ligue 2 results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Montpellier

12:00 UTC

Red Star FC 93

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 23 Oct, 10:58 · 25h before kick-off

Montpellier win

47.0%

model 46.3%

Draw

26.5%

model 28.5%

Red Star FC 93 win

26.5%

model 25.2%

472726

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (522 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-0 14.5%
1-1 13.0%
0-0 11.2%
0-1 9.8%
2-0 9.5%

Goals

Over 2.5	37.6%	Under 2.5	62.4%
BTTS yes	43.0%	BTTS no	57.0%
Montpellier 1+	73.0%	Montpellier 2+	37.6%
Red Star FC 93 1+	58.9%	Red Star FC 93 2+	22.3%

Expected goals 1.31 – 0.89. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

84/100

Data quality

75/100

Model agreement

97%

★ Best pick

1-2 goals

Multi goal · usually 44%

52.3% fair odds 1.91

strong signal · 1995 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Red Star FC 93 not to score in both halves

Score both halves

84.3% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 828 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Form is good: 2.20 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Montpellier have an estimated 47.0% win probability, against 26.5% for the draw and 26.5% for Red Star FC 93. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.31 for Montpellier and 0.89 for Red Star FC 93.

Why Montpellier

Form is good: 2.20 points a match from the last five.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 26.5%. A combined 2.20 expected goals is a low-scoring profile, and low totals mean more level finishes. Draws run at 28% in this competition.

Why Red Star FC 93 can win

Nothing in the data singles out Red Star FC 93.

Key players

Montpellier's leading contributors by expected goal involvements a match: Andy Delort (0.32), Tanguy Coulibaly (0.28), Téji Savanier (0.24).

Availability

1 of Montpellier's top three contributors did not start their last match. Montpellier changed goalkeeper for their last match. No lineup on record for Red Star FC 93, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Montpellier: 57% possession, 15.0 shots a match, 12.6 faced, 0.11 xG a match from set pieces. Red Star FC 93: 53% possession, 13.6 shots a match, 10.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-23 14:52 · team_stats 2026-10-20 06:04 · availability 2026-10-23 14:58 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Montpellier are the model's most likely outcome at 47.0%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-0 at 14.5%. Confidence 84/100, data quality 75/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

No channel's listings name this match. That is the guide being silent rather than the match being off — most listings say "Live: Premier League" or the name of a studio show, not who is playing. Open the 333 sports channels →

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the chances say

Montpellier are finishing sharply below their chances — 4.4 goals fewer than expected across 10 matches, despite creating the openings.

LLLLLLDLLL last 10 scored 2 from 6.4 xG conceded 21 from 19.5 xG

Finishing swings far more than chance creation, so a gap this size usually narrows. Over ten matches it is suggestive, not settled — a genuinely elite finisher beats expected goals for years.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	462825	1.31–0.89	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	453124	1.13–0.73	1-0 17%	29%	35%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Montpellier to win	44.9%	43.0%	42.7%	1.01×	2.33
Draw	31.5%	30.4%	27.7%	1.10×	3.29
Red Star FC 93 to win	23.7%	24.4%	29.8%	0.82×	4.09

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Montpellier & not both score	32.4%	29.6%	24.0%	1.23×	3.38
Red Star FC 93 & not both score	16.7%	18.0%	17.6%	1.02×	5.57
Draw & both teams score	15.9%	18.0%	18.7%	0.96×	5.57
Draw & not both score	15.6%	18.0%	9.1%	1.97×	5.57
Montpellier & both teams score	12.4%	13.3%	18.8%	0.70×	7.54
Red Star FC 93 & both teams score	7.0%	8.3%	12.3%	0.68×	12.01

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Montpellier & under 3.5	38.4%	34.9%	29.6%	1.18×	2.87
Draw & under 2.5	28.5%	26.1%	20.7%	1.26×	3.84
Draw & under 3.5	28.5%	26.1%	20.7%	1.26×	3.84
Montpellier & over 1.5	27.4%	26.1%	29.9%	0.87×	3.84
Montpellier & under 2.5	27.4%	26.1%	18.7%	1.39×	3.84
Red Star FC 93 & under 3.5	21.2%	21.6%	23.1%	0.94×	4.63
Montpellier & over 2.5	17.5%	18.0%	24.2%	0.74×	5.56
Montpellier & under 1.5	17.5%	18.0%	12.9%	1.39×	5.56
Draw & over 1.5	15.9%	18.0%	18.7%	0.96×	5.56
Draw & under 1.5	15.6%	18.0%	9.1%	1.97×	5.56
Red Star FC 93 & under 2.5	15.5%	18.0%	13.7%	1.32×	5.56
Red Star FC 93 & over 1.5	12.4%	12.8%	20.1%	0.64×	7.79
Red Star FC 93 & under 1.5	11.3%	12.8%	9.9%	1.30×	7.79
Red Star FC 93 & over 2.5	8.2%	7.9%	16.3%	0.49×	12.63
Montpellier & over 3.5	6.5%	7.9%	13.2%	0.60×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	2.9%	4.8%	7.1%	0.67×	20.82
Draw & over 3.5	2.9%	4.8%	7.1%	0.67×	20.82
Red Star FC 93 & over 3.5	2.5%	4.8%	6.8%	0.70×	20.82

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Montpellier (1UP)	55.6%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Red Star FC 93 (1UP)	36.1%	33.9%	—	—	2.95

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Montpellier (2UP)	44.9%	47.3%	—	—	2.11
Red Star FC 93 (2UP)	23.7%	23.5%	—	—	4.26

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half drawn	44.2%	42.0%	—	—	2.38
Montpellier to win 2nd half	34.6%	34.4%	—	—	2.91
Red Star FC 93 to win 2nd half	21.2%	24.2%	—	—	4.14

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Red Star FC 93 under 1.5 in 2nd half	92.7%	92.0%	—	—	1.09
Red Star FC 93 under 0.5 in 2nd half	64.4%	60.2%	—	—	1.66
Red Star FC 93 over 0.5 in 2nd half	35.6%	39.8%	—	—	2.51
Red Star FC 93 over 1.5 in 2nd half	7.3%	8.0%	—	—	12.55

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Montpellier under 1.5 in 2nd half	86.3%	88.3%	—	—	1.13
Montpellier under 0.5 in 2nd half	52.5%	55.1%	—	—	1.82
Montpellier over 0.5 in 2nd half	47.5%	44.9%	—	—	2.23
Montpellier over 1.5 in 2nd half	13.7%	11.7%	—	—	8.51

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Red Star FC 93 (+2.5)	93.9%	92.1%	92.2%	1.00×	1.09
Red Star FC 93 (+1.5)	80.9%	82.5%	81.0%	1.02×	1.21
Montpellier (+0.5)	76.3%	78.5%	70.2%	1.12×	1.27
Red Star FC 93 (+0.5)	55.1%	57.0%	57.3%	1.00×	1.75
Montpellier (-0.5)	44.9%	43.0%	42.7%	1.01×	2.33
Red Star FC 93 (-0.5)	23.7%	21.5%	29.8%	0.72×	4.65
Montpellier (-1.5)	19.1%	17.5%	19.0%	0.92×	5.72
Montpellier (-2.5)	6.1%	7.9%	7.8%	1.02×	12.70

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Red Star FC 93 to concede	67.7%	72.3%	73.4%	0.99×	1.38
Red Star FC 93 clean sheet	32.3%	27.7%	26.6%	1.04×	3.62

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Red Star FC 93 clean sheet in 1st half	61.5%	65.1%	—	—	1.54
Red Star FC 93 to concede in 1st half	38.5%	34.9%	—	—	2.86

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Red Star FC 93 clean sheet in 2nd half	52.5%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Red Star FC 93 to concede in 2nd half	47.5%	45.1%	—	—	2.22

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Red Star FC 93 under 6.5 corners	83.6%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
Red Star FC 93 over 2.5 corners	73.7%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Red Star FC 93 under 5.5 corners	73.5%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Red Star FC 93 under 4.5 corners	59.9%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Red Star FC 93 over 3.5 corners	56.6%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Red Star FC 93 under 3.5 corners	43.4%	42.8%	—	—	2.33
Red Star FC 93 over 4.5 corners	40.1%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
Red Star FC 93 over 5.5 corners	26.5%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Red Star FC 93 under 2.5 corners	26.3%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Red Star FC 93 over 6.5 corners	16.4%	18.6%	—	—	5.38

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Red Star FC 93 under 3.5 goals	99.3%	97.5%	97.3%	1.00×	1.03
Red Star FC 93 under 2.5 goals	96.2%	97.5%	87.7%	1.11×	1.03
Red Star FC 93 under 1.5 goals	83.3%	81.5%	68.4%	1.19×	1.23
Red Star FC 93 over 0.5 goals	52.0%	53.5%	67.0%	0.80×	1.87
Red Star FC 93 under 0.5 goals	48.0%	46.5%	33.0%	1.41×	2.15
Red Star FC 93 over 1.5 goals	16.7%	18.5%	31.6%	0.59×	5.40
Red Star FC 93 over 2.5 goals	3.8%	2.5%	12.3%	0.20×	39.84
Red Star FC 93 over 3.5 goals	0.7%	2.5%	2.7%	0.91×	40.00

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Red Star FC 93 under 1.5 in 1st half	96.5%	96.1%	—	—	1.04
Red Star FC 93 under 0.5 in 1st half	74.6%	69.0%	—	—	1.45
Red Star FC 93 over 0.5 in 1st half	25.4%	31.0%	—	—	3.23
Red Star FC 93 over 1.5 in 1st half	3.5%	3.9%	—	—	25.58

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Red Star FC 93 scores equally in both	54.4%	51.3%	—	—	1.95
Red Star FC 93 scores more in 2nd half	28.2%	26.3%	—	—	3.80
Red Star FC 93 scores more in 1st half	17.4%	18.0%	—	—	5.57

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Montpellier (away no bet)	58.8%	57.4%	60.7%	0.95×	1.74
Draw (away no bet)	41.2%	42.6%	39.3%	1.08×	2.35

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Red Star FC 93 even goals	61.5%	59.1%	54.4%	1.09×	1.69
Red Star FC 93 odd goals	38.5%	41.0%	45.6%	0.90×	2.44

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	94.6%	92.6%	—	—	1.08
Both halves over 1.5 goals	5.4%	7.4%	—	—	13.52

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both halves under 1.5 goals	57.5%	60.3%	—	—	1.66
Not both halves under 1.5	42.5%	39.7%	—	—	2.52

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	37.6%	36.6%	—	—	2.73
Montpellier to score 2+ in a row	26.8%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Red Star FC 93 to score 2+ in a row	12.8%	12.1%	—	—	8.30
Either team to score 3+ in a row	10.3%	12.0%	—	—	8.34
Montpellier to score 3+ in a row	7.9%	5.6%	—	—	17.91
Red Star FC 93 to score 3+ in a row	2.4%	2.5%	—	—	39.25

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Montpellier corners (+3.5)	88.1%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Montpellier corners (+2.5)	81.5%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Red Star FC 93 corners (+3.5)	79.8%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Montpellier corners (+1.5)	72.9%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Red Star FC 93 corners (+2.5)	71.1%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Red Star FC 93 corners (+1.5)	60.6%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Montpellier corners (-1.5)	39.4%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Montpellier corners (-2.5)	28.9%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Red Star FC 93 corners (-1.5)	27.1%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Montpellier corners (-3.5)	20.2%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Red Star FC 93 corners (-2.5)	18.5%	20.2%	—	—	4.94
Red Star FC 93 corners (-3.5)	11.9%	15.5%	—	—	6.45

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	47.9%	41.8%	—	—	2.40
9-11 corners	29.2%	31.2%	—	—	3.21
12+ corners	22.9%	25.7%	—	—	3.90

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	83.8%	80.7%	—	—	1.24
Under 11.5 corners	77.1%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Under 10.5 corners	68.7%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Over 7.5 corners	63.4%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Under 9.5 corners	58.9%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Over 8.5 corners	52.1%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Under 8.5 corners	47.9%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Over 9.5 corners	41.1%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
Under 7.5 corners	36.6%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Over 10.5 corners	31.3%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Over 11.5 corners	22.9%	23.4%	—	—	4.27
Over 12.5 corners	16.2%	19.3%	—	—	5.18

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.1%	—	—	2.00
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-0	17.5%	13.8%	12.9%	1.07×	7.23
0-0	15.6%	13.8%	9.1%	1.52×	7.24
1-1	12.9%	11.5%	11.7%	0.98×	8.72
0-1	11.3%	11.5%	9.9%	1.16×	8.72
2-0	9.9%	7.4%	5.9%	1.25×	13.50
2-1	7.3%	7.4%	8.2%	0.90×	13.51
0-2	4.2%	1.7%	4.0%	0.43×	58.30
0-3	1.0%	1.7%	3.6%	0.47×	58.31
0-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.5%	3.76×	58.32
1-2	4.7%	1.7%	6.1%	0.28×	58.29
1-3	1.2%	1.7%	2.7%	0.63×	58.31
1-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.9%	1.88×	58.32
2-2	2.7%	1.7%	5.8%	0.30×	58.30
2-3	0.7%	1.7%	1.7%	1.03×	58.32
2-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.6%	2.82×	58.32
3-0	3.7%	1.7%	3.0%	0.56×	58.30
3-1	2.7%	1.7%	4.4%	0.39×	58.30
3-2	1.0%	1.7%	2.6%	0.66×	58.31
3-3	0.2%	1.7%	1.5%	1.13×	58.32
3-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.5%	3.76×	58.32
4-0	1.1%	1.7%	2.0%	0.87×	58.31
4-1	0.8%	1.7%	1.1%	1.61×	58.31
4-2	0.3%	1.7%	1.2%	1.41×	58.32
4-3	0.1%	1.7%	0.6%	2.82×	58.32
4-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.2%	11.28×	58.32
Any other score	0.7%	1.7%	3.0%	0.56×	58.32

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Montpellier (2nd half DNB)	62.0%	62.5%	—	—	1.60
Red Star FC 93 (2nd half DNB)	38.0%	37.5%	—	—	2.67

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Montpellier leading at HT (DNB)	64.7%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
Red Star FC 93 leading at HT (DNB)	35.3%	34.1%	—	—	2.94

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Montpellier or draw (1X)	76.3%	75.6%	70.2%	1.08×	1.32
Montpellier or Red Star FC 93 (12)	68.5%	69.6%	72.3%	0.96×	1.44
Red Star FC 93 or draw (X2)	55.1%	57.0%	57.3%	1.00×	1.75

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Montpellier or draw at HT	83.3%	84.3%	—	—	1.19
Red Star FC 93 or draw at HT	69.4%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Montpellier or Red Star FC 93 at HT	47.3%	52.7%	—	—	1.90

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Montpellier or draw (1UP)	76.3%	84.0%	—	—	1.19
Red Star FC 93 or draw (1UP)	55.1%	62.9%	—	—	1.59

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Montpellier or draw in 2nd half	78.8%	75.8%	—	—	1.32
Red Star FC 93 or draw in 2nd half	65.4%	65.6%	—	—	1.52
Montpellier or Red Star FC 93 in 2nd half	55.8%	58.0%	—	—	1.72

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	73.5%	72.2%	—	—	1.39
Neither half drawn	26.5%	27.8%	—	—	3.59

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Montpellier (DNB)	65.5%	67.3%	58.9%	1.14×	1.49
Red Star FC 93 (DNB)	34.5%	32.7%	41.1%	0.80×	3.06

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Montpellier to score first	51.2%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
Red Star FC 93 to score first	33.2%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
No goal scored	15.6%	16.8%	—	—	5.97

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	64.7%	56.7%	50.5%	1.12×	1.77
Both teams to score	35.3%	43.3%	49.5%	0.87×	2.31

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	58.4%	47.6%	41.2%	1.16×	2.10
Both score & over 2.5	22.3%	27.8%	38.0%	0.73×	3.60
Both score & under 2.5	12.9%	12.4%	11.7%	1.06×	8.09
Not both score & over 2.5	6.3%	8.3%	9.4%	0.88×	12.07

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	94.8%	89.0%	85.6%	1.04×	1.12
Both teams to score 2+	5.2%	11.0%	14.4%	0.76×	9.12

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	83.1%	73.9%	—	—	1.35
Both teams to score in 2nd half	16.9%	26.1%	—	—	3.83

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	74.9%	69.3%	—	—	1.44
Both score 2nd half only	15.3%	14.9%	—	—	6.70
Both score 1st half only	8.1%	6.8%	—	—	14.65
Both score in both halves	1.7%	4.8%	—	—	20.71

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	90.2%	90.7%	—	—	1.10
Both teams to score by HT	9.8%	9.3%	—	—	10.72

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half without a goal	64.1%	59.8%	—	—	1.67
A goal in each half	35.9%	40.2%	—	—	2.49

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-1 goals	44.4%	42.1%	31.6%	1.33×	2.37
2-3 goals	43.7%	42.1%	41.6%	1.01×	2.37
4-6 goals	11.6%	16.9%	25.1%	0.67×	5.92
7+ goals	0.3%	1.8%	2.0%	0.93×	54.48

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Red Star FC 93 to score exactly 0	48.0%	42.9%	33.0%	1.30×	2.33
Red Star FC 93 to score exactly 1	35.2%	35.9%	35.6%	1.01×	2.78
Red Star FC 93 to score exactly 2	12.9%	12.9%	19.5%	0.66×	7.76
Red Star FC 93 to score 3+	3.8%	4.6%	12.3%	0.37×	21.80

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Montpellier to score exactly 1	36.5%	35.6%	33.9%	1.05×	2.81
Montpellier to score exactly 0	32.3%	32.6%	26.6%	1.22×	3.07
Montpellier to score exactly 2	20.6%	23.3%	22.0%	1.06×	4.29
Montpellier to score 3+	10.6%	14.3%	17.8%	0.80×	7.00

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	52.7%	47.3%	—	—	2.12
Montpellier leading at HT	30.6%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Red Star FC 93 leading at HT	16.7%	15.7%	—	—	6.38

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Montpellier -1: 2	55.1%	56.7%	—	—	1.76
Montpellier -1: X	25.8%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Montpellier -1: 1	19.1%	17.5%	—	—	5.70

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Red Star FC 93 (0:1)	55.1%	55.8%	57.3%	0.97×	1.79
Draw (0:1)	25.8%	27.0%	23.9%	1.13×	3.70
Montpellier (0:1)	19.1%	17.8%	19.0%	0.94×	5.61

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Red Star FC 93 (0:2)	80.9%	82.9%	81.0%	1.02×	1.21
Draw (0:2)	12.9%	11.0%	11.4%	0.96×	9.09
Montpellier (0:2)	6.1%	7.7%	7.8%	0.99×	13.05

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Red Star FC 93 (0:3)	93.9%	92.7%	92.2%	1.00×	1.08
Draw (0:3)	4.6%	2.4%	4.3%	0.56×	41.99
Montpellier (0:3)	1.6%	2.4%	3.6%	0.65×	42.12

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Red Star FC 93 (0:4)	98.4%	98.1%	96.4%	1.02×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	1.2%	1.2%	3.0%	0.40×	81.97
Montpellier (0:4)	0.3%	1.2%	0.8%	1.60×	82.07

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Montpellier (1:0)	76.3%	78.7%	70.2%	1.12×	1.27
Draw (1:0)	16.7%	17.1%	17.6%	0.97×	5.85
Red Star FC 93 (1:0)	7.0%	6.9%	12.3%	0.56×	14.50

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Montpellier (2:0)	93.1%	94.0%	87.7%	1.07×	1.06
Draw (2:0)	5.4%	6.4%	7.0%	0.91×	15.71
Red Star FC 93 (2:0)	1.5%	2.3%	5.5%	0.42×	43.74

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	42.3%	44.8%	—	—	2.23
Halves equal	31.8%	29.9%	—	—	3.35
1st half highest scoring	25.9%	26.2%	—	—	3.82

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Montpellier to concede	52.0%	53.2%	67.0%	0.79×	1.88
Montpellier clean sheet	48.0%	46.8%	33.0%	1.42×	2.14

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Montpellier clean sheet in 1st half	74.6%	67.9%	—	—	1.47
Montpellier to concede in 1st half	25.4%	32.1%	—	—	3.12

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Montpellier clean sheet in 2nd half	64.4%	60.0%	—	—	1.67
Montpellier to concede in 2nd half	35.6%	40.0%	—	—	2.50

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Montpellier over 2.5 corners	80.3%	80.9%	—	—	1.24
Montpellier under 6.5 corners	76.2%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Montpellier over 3.5 corners	65.5%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Montpellier under 5.5 corners	64.6%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Montpellier under 4.5 corners	50.3%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Montpellier over 4.5 corners	49.7%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Montpellier over 5.5 corners	35.4%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Montpellier under 3.5 corners	34.5%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Montpellier over 6.5 corners	23.8%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Montpellier under 2.5 corners	19.7%	19.1%	—	—	5.25

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Montpellier under 3.5 goals	97.2%	96.4%	93.5%	1.03×	1.04
Montpellier under 2.5 goals	89.4%	87.3%	82.2%	1.06×	1.15
Montpellier under 1.5 goals	68.8%	68.0%	60.3%	1.13×	1.47
Montpellier over 0.5 goals	67.7%	68.0%	73.4%	0.93×	1.47
Montpellier under 0.5 goals	32.3%	32.0%	26.6%	1.20×	3.12
Montpellier over 1.5 goals	31.2%	32.0%	39.7%	0.81×	3.12
Montpellier over 2.5 goals	10.6%	12.7%	17.8%	0.72×	7.86
Montpellier over 3.5 goals	2.8%	3.6%	6.5%	0.56×	27.53

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Montpellier under 1.5 in 1st half	91.4%	94.7%	—	—	1.06
Montpellier under 0.5 in 1st half	61.5%	64.8%	—	—	1.54
Montpellier over 0.5 in 1st half	38.5%	35.2%	—	—	2.84
Montpellier over 1.5 in 1st half	8.6%	5.3%	—	—	18.81

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Montpellier scores equally in both	43.2%	42.1%	—	—	2.38
Montpellier scores more in 2nd half	33.5%	33.0%	—	—	3.03
Montpellier scores more in 1st half	23.3%	21.2%	—	—	4.71

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	57.1%	56.4%	48.1%	1.17×	1.77
Red Star FC 93 (home no bet)	42.9%	43.6%	51.9%	0.84×	2.29

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Montpellier even goals	55.2%	55.2%	53.2%	1.04×	1.81
Montpellier odd goals	44.8%	44.8%	46.8%	0.96×	2.23

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	45.9%	46.3%	—	—	2.16
HT 1-0	22.3%	24.4%	—	—	4.10
HT 0-1	13.4%	11.0%	—	—	9.07
HT 1-1	6.6%	6.9%	—	—	14.50
HT 2-0	5.4%	6.9%	—	—	14.52
HT 0-2	2.0%	2.4%	—	—	42.15
HT 2-1	1.6%	2.4%	—	—	42.18
Any other HT score	1.7%	2.4%	—	—	42.17
HT 1-2	1.0%	2.4%	—	—	42.22
HT 2-2	0.2%	2.4%	—	—	42.26

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Montpellier at HT / Montpellier at FT	25.3%	27.1%	—	—	3.69
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	23.4%	21.8%	—	—	4.58
Draw at HT / Montpellier at FT	18.2%	16.7%	—	—	5.98
Red Star FC 93 at HT / Red Star FC 93 at FT	11.5%	12.6%	—	—	7.92
Draw at HT / Red Star FC 93 at FT	11.1%	12.6%	—	—	7.92
Montpellier at HT / Draw at FT	4.3%	3.5%	—	—	28.61
Red Star FC 93 at HT / Draw at FT	3.8%	3.5%	—	—	28.63
Red Star FC 93 at HT / Montpellier at FT	1.4%	3.5%	—	—	28.71
Montpellier at HT / Red Star FC 93 at FT	1.0%	3.5%	—	—	28.73

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Montpellier to score last	51.2%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
Red Star FC 93 to score last	33.2%	32.7%	—	—	3.06
No goal scored	15.6%	12.8%	—	—	7.81

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	84.4%	87.9%	—	—	1.14
Montpellier to lead by 1 at any time	55.6%	54.8%	—	—	1.82
Red Star FC 93 to lead by 1 at any time	36.1%	34.6%	—	—	2.89
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	32.2%	29.8%	—	—	3.35
Montpellier to lead by 2 at any time	22.7%	19.7%	—	—	5.09
Red Star FC 93 to lead by 2 at any time	9.5%	6.8%	—	—	14.81
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	9.0%	6.7%	—	—	14.84
Montpellier to lead by 3 at any time	7.1%	6.7%	—	—	14.92
Red Star FC 93 to lead by 3 at any time	1.9%	1.6%	—	—	62.79

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Montpellier most corners	50.9%	51.7%	—	—	1.94
Red Star FC 93 most corners	37.6%	39.3%	—	—	2.54
Corners level	11.5%	10.4%	—	—	9.58

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	83.2%	83.4%	84.8%	0.98×	1.20
1-4 goals	80.3%	83.4%	78.7%	1.06×	1.20
1-3 goals	72.5%	72.4%	64.1%	1.13×	1.38
1-2 goals	55.8%	59.1%	43.8%	1.35×	1.69
2-6 goals	55.3%	59.1%	66.6%	0.89×	1.69
2-5 goals	54.4%	53.2%	62.3%	0.85×	1.88
2-4 goals	51.5%	53.2%	56.2%	0.95×	1.88
2-3 goals	43.7%	43.6%	41.6%	1.05×	2.29
3-6 goals	28.3%	30.2%	45.4%	0.67×	3.31
3-5 goals	27.4%	30.2%	41.2%	0.73×	3.31
3-4 goals	24.5%	24.5%	35.1%	0.70×	4.08
4-6 goals	11.6%	14.8%	25.1%	0.59×	6.75
4-5 goals	10.7%	14.8%	20.8%	0.71×	6.76
5-6 goals	3.8%	2.6%	10.5%	0.24×	39.05
7+ goals	0.3%	2.6%	2.0%	1.29×	39.21

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Montpellier never behind	48.3%	56.7%	—	—	1.77
Red Star FC 93 never behind	28.8%	30.1%	—	—	3.32

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	48.6%	50.9%	50.3%	1.01×	1.96
Even number of goals	51.4%	49.1%	49.7%	0.99×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	60.6%	58.3%	—	—	1.72
Odd goals in 1st half	39.4%	41.7%	—	—	2.40

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	55.8%	59.0%	—	—	1.70
Odd goals in 2nd half	44.2%	41.0%	—	—	2.44

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	98.8%	95.4%	93.8%	1.02×	1.05
Under 4.5 goals	95.9%	95.4%	87.7%	1.09×	1.05
Under 3.5 goals	88.1%	87.6%	73.1%	1.20×	1.14
Over 0.5 goals	84.4%	82.3%	90.9%	0.91×	1.22
Under 2.5 goals	71.4%	72.5%	52.7%	1.37×	1.38
Over 1.5 goals	55.6%	58.6%	68.4%	0.86×	1.71
Under 1.5 goals	44.4%	41.4%	31.6%	1.31×	2.42
Over 2.5 goals	28.6%	27.5%	47.3%	0.58×	3.63
Under 0.5 goals	15.6%	17.7%	9.1%	1.94×	5.65
Over 3.5 goals	11.9%	12.4%	26.9%	0.46×	8.07
Over 4.5 goals	4.1%	4.6%	12.3%	0.37×	21.85
Over 5.5 goals	1.2%	4.6%	6.2%	0.73×	21.90

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	99.7%	97.2%	97.9%	0.99×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	98.8%	97.2%	93.4%	1.04×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	95.5%	97.2%	85.6%	1.14×	1.03
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	85.7%	86.7%	66.2%	1.31×	1.15
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	60.8%	61.9%	40.1%	1.54×	1.62
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	39.2%	38.1%	59.9%	0.64×	2.62
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	14.3%	13.3%	33.8%	0.39×	7.53
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	4.5%	2.8%	14.4%	0.20×	35.53
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	1.2%	2.8%	6.6%	0.42×	35.62
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	0.3%	2.8%	2.1%	1.36×	35.65

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	95.6%	96.4%	—	—	1.04
Under 1.5 in 1st half	81.6%	85.8%	—	—	1.17
Over 0.5 in 1st half	54.1%	55.4%	—	—	1.81
Under 0.5 in 1st half	45.9%	44.6%	—	—	2.24
Over 1.5 in 1st half	18.4%	14.2%	—	—	7.02
Over 2.5 in 1st half	4.4%	3.6%	—	—	27.55

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	90.4%	89.4%	—	—	1.12
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	70.5%	77.3%	—	—	1.29
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	66.1%	68.6%	—	—	1.46
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	33.9%	31.4%	—	—	3.18
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	29.5%	22.7%	—	—	4.40
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	9.6%	10.6%	—	—	9.46

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Red Star FC 93 not to score in both halves	91.0%	90.1%	—	—	1.11
Montpellier not to score in both halves	81.7%	84.3%	—	—	1.19
Montpellier to score in both halves	18.3%	15.7%	—	—	6.38
Red Star FC 93 to score in both halves	9.0%	10.0%	—	—	10.05

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	35.3%	39.9%	49.5%	0.80×	2.51
Only Montpellier scores	32.4%	33.3%	24.0%	1.39×	3.00
Only Red Star FC 93 scores	16.7%	16.0%	17.6%	0.91×	6.24
Neither team scores	15.6%	16.0%	9.1%	1.76×	6.25

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 1 goals	28.7%	24.9%	22.6%	1.10×	4.02
Exactly 2 goals	27.0%	24.9%	21.3%	1.17×	4.02
Exactly 3 goals	16.7%	17.5%	20.5%	0.85×	5.73
Exactly 0 goals	15.6%	17.5%	9.1%	1.91×	5.73
Exactly 4 goals	7.8%	7.6%	14.7%	0.52×	13.13
Exactly 5 goals	2.9%	4.5%	6.2%	0.72×	22.40
6 or more goals	1.2%	4.5%	6.2%	0.72×	22.42

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
No goals in 1st half	45.9%	46.3%	—	—	2.16
1 goal in 1st half	35.7%	37.4%	—	—	2.68
2 goals in 1st half	13.9%	10.8%	—	—	9.28
3+ goals in 1st half	4.4%	3.6%	—	—	27.55

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 2nd half	36.6%	39.4%	—	—	2.54
No goals in 2nd half	33.9%	33.9%	—	—	2.95
2+ goals in 2nd half	29.5%	29.4%	—	—	3.41

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Red Star FC 93 not to win both halves	96.4%	97.2%	—	—	1.03
Montpellier not to win both halves	89.4%	87.9%	—	—	1.14
Montpellier to win both halves	10.6%	12.1%	—	—	8.30
Red Star FC 93 to win both halves	3.6%	2.8%	—	—	35.31

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Red Star FC 93 to win neither half	65.6%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Montpellier to win either half	54.6%	54.4%	—	—	1.84
Montpellier to win neither half	45.4%	45.6%	—	—	2.19
Red Star FC 93 to win either half	34.4%	32.3%	—	—	3.09

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Red Star FC 93 not to win to nil	83.3%	83.1%	82.4%	1.01×	1.20
Montpellier not to win to nil	67.6%	69.7%	76.0%	0.92×	1.44
Montpellier to win to nil	32.4%	30.3%	24.0%	1.26×	3.30
Red Star FC 93 to win to nil	16.7%	16.9%	17.6%	0.96×	5.92

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Montpellier by 1	25.8%	27.9%	23.9%	1.17×	3.59
Draw	31.5%	27.7%	27.7%	1.00×	3.62
Red Star FC 93 by 1	16.7%	17.0%	17.6%	0.97×	5.87
Montpellier by 2	12.9%	11.8%	11.4%	1.03×	8.51
Montpellier by 3+	6.1%	7.2%	7.8%	0.93×	13.91
Red Star FC 93 by 2	5.4%	7.2%	7.0%	1.03×	13.92
Red Star FC 93 by 3+	1.5%	2.7%	5.5%	0.50×	36.86