Monza v Cagliari — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Monday 19 October 2026 · ITA-Serie A · 2627
Serie A
xG
Shots
14 – 16
On target
6 – 5
Shots in box
10 – 13
xG per shot
0.13 – 0.17
Set-piece xG
0.20 – 0.54
Goals − xG
+2.12 – -2.73
Reading the xG timeline
Each step up is a shot; the height of the step is how good the chance was. Dots mark goals.
A side whose line climbs steadily created chances all match. A side that scored while its
line stayed flat took a rare chance — that is finishing luck, and it rarely repeats.
Expected goals by minute
Monza 1.88 xGCagliari 2.73 xG
Reading the shot map
Each circle is a shot, placed where it was taken. Bigger means a better chance;
filled circles are goals. Clusters near the goal mean a side worked good openings;
lots of small circles far out means shooting from poor positions and hoping.
Hover any circle for the player, minute and chance quality.
Shot map
Monza attacking right
Cagliari attacking left
Marker size is xG; filled markers are goals.
Every shot
| Min | Team | Player | xG | Situation | Body part | Result | Assisted by |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4' |
 Monza |
Samuele Birindelli | 0.02 | Open Play | Left Foot | Missed Shot | Jay Robinson |
| 7' |
 Cagliari |
Zé Pedro | 0.09 | From Corner | — | Missed Shot | Daniel Maldini |
| 15' |
Cagliari |
Alessandro Romano | 0.02 | Open Play | Left Foot | Missed Shot | Zé Pedro |
| 16' |
Monza |
Dany Mota | 0.01 | Open Play | Right Foot | Blocked Shot | Gustavo Varela |
| 16' |
Monza |
Dany Mota | 0.06 | Open Play | Left Foot | Saved Shot | — |
| 19' |
Cagliari |
M'Bala Nzola | 0.41 | Open Play | Left Foot | Saved Shot | Paul Mendy |
| 26' |
Cagliari |
Paul Mendy | 0.29 | Open Play | Right Foot | Saved Shot | Daniel Maldini |
| 38' |
Monza |
Eddy Kouadio | 0.55 | Open Play | Right Foot | Goal | Dany Mota |
| 41' |
Cagliari |
Alessandro Romano | 0.02 | Open Play | Left Foot | Missed Shot | M'Bala Nzola |
| 46' |
Monza |
Gustavo Varela | 0.08 | Open Play | Right Foot | Goal | Manga Foe Ondoa |
| 48' |
Cagliari |
Adam Obert | 0.04 | Open Play | Left Foot | Blocked Shot | Alessandro Romano |
| 50' |
Monza |
Dany Mota | 0.09 | Open Play | Right Foot | Saved Shot | Eddy Kouadio |
| 53' |
Monza |
Jay Robinson | 0.03 | Open Play | Right Foot | Blocked Shot | Samuele Birindelli |
| 54' |
Cagliari |
Paul Mendy | 0.07 | From Corner | — | Missed Shot | Daniel Maldini |
| 61' |
Cagliari |
Yerry Mina | 0.20 | From Corner | — | Saved Shot | Alessandro Romano |
| 61' |
Cagliari |
Zé Pedro | 0.07 | From Corner | Right Foot | Blocked Shot | — |
| 65' |
Monza |
Jay Robinson | 0.24 | Open Play | Right Foot | Goal | Gustavo Varela |
| 68' |
Cagliari |
Paul Mendy | 0.61 | Open Play | Left Foot | Missed Shot | Alieu Fadera |
| 71' |
Monza |
Andrea Colpani | 0.05 | Set Piece | Left Foot | Shot On Post | — |
| 72' |
Cagliari |
Yerry Mina | 0.02 | From Corner | — | Missed Shot | Alessandro Romano |
| 78' |
Monza |
Gustavo Varela | 0.37 | Open Play | Right Foot | Goal | — |
| 78' |
Monza |
Jay Robinson | 0.12 | Open Play | Left Foot | Shot On Post | Andrea Colpani |
| 82' |
Cagliari |
Alieu Fadera | 0.06 | Set Piece | Left Foot | Missed Shot | Yerry Mina |
| 82' |
Cagliari |
Yerry Mina | 0.04 | Set Piece | — | Missed Shot | Alessandro Deiola |
| 85' |
Cagliari |
Kevin Omoruyi | 0.08 | Open Play | Right Foot | Saved Shot | Yukinari Sugawara |
| 87' |
Cagliari |
Kevin Omoruyi | 0.71 | Open Play | Right Foot | Saved Shot | Alessandro Deiola |
| 90' |
Monza |
Andrea Carboni | 0.08 | From Corner | — | Missed Shot | Omari Forson |
| 90' |
Monza |
Ricardo Mangas | 0.07 | From Corner | Right Foot | Missed Shot | Andrea Carboni |
| 91' |
Monza |
Patrick Cutrone | 0.13 | Open Play | Left Foot | Blocked Shot | Samuele Birindelli |
| 92' |
Cagliari |
Alessandro Deiola | 0.01 | Open Play | Right Foot | Missed Shot | Joseph Liteta |
Players
Monza
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | KP | xG | xA | xGChain |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrea Carboni DC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.08 | 0.07 | 0.19 |
| Ricardo Mangas DML | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.07 | 0.00 | 0.31 |
| Samuele Birindelli DMR | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.02 | 0.16 | 0.59 |
| Saba Goglichidze DC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.13 |
| Noel Törnqvist GK | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.09 |
| Manga Foe Ondoa MC | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 0.08 | 0.64 |
| Jay Robinson AMC | 88 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0.39 | 0.02 | 0.77 |
| Eddy Kouadio DC | 82 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.55 | 0.09 | 0.88 |
| Gustavo Varela FW | 82 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0.44 | 0.25 | 0.70 |
| Ebenezer Akinsanmiro MC | 82 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.38 |
| Dany Mota AMC | 65 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0.15 | 0.55 | 0.81 |
| Andrea Colpani Sub | 25 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.05 | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Patrick Cutrone Sub | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.13 | 0.00 | 0.13 |
| Michael Folorunsho Sub | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Adam Bakoune Sub | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Omari Forson Sub | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 0.08 | 0.00 |
Cagliari
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | KP | xG | xA | xGChain |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Mendy AMC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0.96 | 0.41 | 1.31 |
| Yerry Mina DC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0.26 | 0.06 | 1.48 |
| Adam Obert DL | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.04 | 0.00 | 1.46 |
| Ndary Adopo MC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.48 |
| Elia Caprile GK | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.43 |
| Juan Rodríguez DC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.08 |
| Alessandro Romano MC | 82 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0.03 | 0.26 | 1.09 |
| Harry Winks MC | 82 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.96 |
| Zé Pedro DR | 68 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0.16 | 0.02 | 0.47 |
| Daniel Maldini AMC | 68 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.00 | 0.45 | 0.76 |
| M'Bala Nzola FW | 54 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.41 | 0.02 | 0.76 |
| Alieu Fadera Sub | 36 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.06 | 0.61 | 0.61 |
| Kevin Omoruyi Sub | 22 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.79 | 0.00 | 0.79 |
| Yukinari Sugawara Sub | 22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 0.08 | 0.80 |
| Alessandro Deiola Sub | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.01 | 0.75 | 0.72 |
| Joseph Liteta Sub | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.01 |