betaider.com
Sign in

Monza v Cagliari — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 5 January 2025 · ITA-Serie A · 2425

Serie A xG

1–2
1.56 – 0.78 xG
Shots
6 – 13
On target
2 – 4
Shots in box
4 – 11
xG per shot
0.26 – 0.06
Set-piece xG
0.76 – 0.40
Goals − xG
-0.56 – +1.22
Reading the xG timeline
Each step up is a shot; the height of the step is how good the chance was. Dots mark goals. A side whose line climbs steadily created chances all match. A side that scored while its line stayed flat took a rare chance — that is finishing luck, and it rarely repeats.

Expected goals by minute

0.00.40.91.31.70'15'30'45'60'75'90'Gianluca Caprari 5' — goalNadir Zortea 21' — goalRoberto Piccoli 55' — goal
Monza 1.56 xGCagliari 0.78 xG
Reading the shot map
Each circle is a shot, placed where it was taken. Bigger means a better chance; filled circles are goals. Clusters near the goal mean a side worked good openings; lots of small circles far out means shooting from poor positions and hoping. Hover any circle for the player, minute and chance quality.

Shot map

Mattia Felici 1' — Shot On Post (0.07 xG, From Corner)Patrick Ciurria 2' — Missed Shot (0.13 xG, Open Play)Gianluca Caprari 5' — Goal (0.76 xG, )Nadir Zortea 7' — Blocked Shot (0.05 xG, Set Piece)Roberto Piccoli 13' — Blocked Shot (0.09 xG, Open Play)Adam Obert 14' — Blocked Shot (0.04 xG, Open Play)Nicolas Viola 14' — Saved Shot (0.04 xG, Open Play)Nadir Zortea 21' — Goal (0.05 xG, Open Play)Sebastiano Luperto 30' — Saved Shot (0.03 xG, Set Piece)Roberto Piccoli 32' — Missed Shot (0.12 xG, From Corner)Warren Bondo 39' — Missed Shot (0.04 xG, Open Play)Ndary Adopo 41' — Missed Shot (0.05 xG, Set Piece)Stefano Sensi 48' — Missed Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Roberto Piccoli 55' — Goal (0.07 xG, Open Play)Nicolas Viola 56' — Missed Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Pedro Pereira 60' — Saved Shot (0.54 xG, Open Play)Nicolas Viola 69' — Blocked Shot (0.08 xG, Set Piece)Gianluca Lapadula 93' — Shot On Post (0.07 xG, Open Play)Milan Djuric 94' — Missed Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)
Monza attacking right Cagliari attacking left Marker size is xG; filled markers are goals.

Every shot

MinTeamPlayerxG SituationBody partResultAssisted by
1' Cagliari Mattia Felici 0.07 From Corner Right Foot Shot On Post
2' Monza Patrick Ciurria 0.13 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Dany Mota
5' Monza Gianluca Caprari 0.76 Right Foot Goal
7' Cagliari Nadir Zortea 0.05 Set Piece Right Foot Blocked Shot
13' Cagliari Roberto Piccoli 0.09 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot
14' Cagliari Adam Obert 0.04 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot
14' Cagliari Nicolas Viola 0.04 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Mattia Felici
21' Cagliari Nadir Zortea 0.05 Open Play Left Foot Goal Mattia Felici
30' Cagliari Sebastiano Luperto 0.03 Set Piece Saved Shot Nicolas Viola
32' Cagliari Roberto Piccoli 0.12 From Corner Missed Shot Nicolas Viola
39' Monza Warren Bondo 0.04 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Gianluca Caprari
41' Cagliari Ndary Adopo 0.05 Set Piece Missed Shot Nicolas Viola
48' Monza Stefano Sensi 0.03 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Gianluca Caprari
55' Cagliari Roberto Piccoli 0.07 Open Play Right Foot Goal Adam Obert
56' Cagliari Nicolas Viola 0.03 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Roberto Piccoli
60' Monza Pedro Pereira 0.54 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Armando Izzo
69' Cagliari Nicolas Viola 0.08 Set Piece Left Foot Blocked Shot Ndary Adopo
93' Cagliari Gianluca Lapadula 0.07 Open Play Left Foot Shot On Post Adam Obert
94' Monza Milan Djuric 0.05 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Jean-Daniel Akpa-Akpro

Players

Monza

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Patrick Ciurria AMC 90 0 0 1 0 0.13 0.00 0.16
Stefano Turati GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Samuele Birindelli DMR 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Luca Caldirola DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Armando Izzo DC 90 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.54 0.54
Gianluca Caprari AMC 88 1 0 1 2 0.76 0.07 0.20
Pedro Pereira DML 78 0 0 1 0 0.54 0.00 0.57
Warren Bondo MC 78 0 0 1 0 0.04 0.00 0.04
Danilo D'Ambrosio DC 66 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.07
Stefano Sensi MC 58 0 0 1 0 0.03 0.00 0.07
Dany Mota FW 58 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.13 0.13
Milan Djuric Sub 32 0 0 1 0 0.05 0.00 0.05
Alessandro Bianco Sub 32 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Jean-Daniel Akpa-Akpro Sub 12 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.05 0.05
Daniel Maldini Sub 12 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Kevin Martins Sub 2 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00

Cagliari

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Nadir Zortea MR 90 1 0 2 0 0.09 0.00 0.05
Ndary Adopo MC 90 0 0 1 1 0.05 0.08 0.12
Adam Obert DL 90 0 1 1 2 0.04 0.15 0.22
Sebastiano Luperto DC 90 0 0 1 0 0.03 0.00 0.04
Simone Scuffet GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.07
Gabriele Zappa DR 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Nicolas Viola FW 88 0 0 3 3 0.15 0.20 0.07
Antoine Makoumbou MC 88 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.12
Roberto Piccoli FW 78 1 0 3 1 0.28 0.03 0.19
Mattia Felici ML 78 0 1 1 2 0.07 0.09 0.12
Yerry Mina DC 70 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.04
José Luis Palomino Sub 20 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Gianluca Lapadula Sub 12 0 0 1 0 0.07 0.00 0.07
Tommaso Augello Sub 12 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Leonardo Pavoletti Sub 2 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.07
Razvan Marin Sub 2 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.07
betaider.com

Sport

Football sections

Preferences

Appearance
Aider Reading the Football model · online
Open the Radar
Bet slip
Open full page
to move to open esc to close See all results

On this page

Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

Press esc to close Read the full guide