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Monza v Juventus — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 22 December 2024 · ITA-Serie A · 2425

Serie A xG

1–2
0.98 – 2.59 xG
Shots
17 – 16
On target
5 – 9
Shots in box
11 – 12
xG per shot
0.06 – 0.16
Set-piece xG
0.07 – 0.94
Goals − xG
+0.01 – -0.59
Reading the xG timeline
Each step up is a shot; the height of the step is how good the chance was. Dots mark goals. A side whose line climbs steadily created chances all match. A side that scored while its line stayed flat took a rare chance — that is finishing luck, and it rarely repeats.

Expected goals by minute

0.00.71.42.22.90'15'30'45'60'75'90'Weston McKennie 13' — goalSamuele Birindelli 21' — goalNicolás González 38' — goal
Monza 0.99 xGJuventus 2.59 xG
Reading the shot map
Each circle is a shot, placed where it was taken. Bigger means a better chance; filled circles are goals. Clusters near the goal mean a side worked good openings; lots of small circles far out means shooting from poor positions and hoping. Hover any circle for the player, minute and chance quality.

Shot map

Samuele Birindelli 0' — Saved Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Dany Mota 4' — Missed Shot (0.04 xG, Open Play)Nicolás González 5' — Saved Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Gianluca Caprari 9' — Missed Shot (0.07 xG, Open Play)Nicolás González 12' — Saved Shot (0.04 xG, From Corner)Weston McKennie 13' — Goal (0.58 xG, From Corner)Samuele Birindelli 21' — Goal (0.08 xG, Open Play)Dusan Vlahovic 32' — Blocked Shot (0.09 xG, Open Play)Nicolás González 38' — Goal (0.59 xG, Open Play)Dany Mota 40' — Blocked Shot (0.12 xG, Open Play)Dany Mota 41' — Blocked Shot (0.11 xG, Open Play)Gianluca Caprari 41' — Blocked Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Gianluca Caprari 45' — Saved Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Warren Bondo 46' — Missed Shot (0.03 xG, From Corner)Kenan Yildiz 47' — Saved Shot (0.06 xG, Open Play)Alessandro Bianco 47' — Saved Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Gianluca Caprari 49' — Saved Shot (0.06 xG, Open Play)Francisco Conceição 52' — Blocked Shot (0.02 xG, Set Piece)Nicolás González 53' — Saved Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Nicolás González 53' — Missed Shot (0.30 xG, From Corner)Nicolás González 54' — Saved Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Georgios Kyriakopoulos 64' — Blocked Shot (0.04 xG, From Corner)Dusan Vlahovic 65' — Missed Shot (0.47 xG, Open Play)Kenan Yildiz 67' — Missed Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Danilo D'Ambrosio 69' — Missed Shot (0.07 xG, Open Play)Dany Mota 72' — Missed Shot (0.07 xG, Open Play)Federico Gatti 75' — Blocked Shot (0.10 xG, Open Play)Kenan Yildiz 75' — Saved Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Warren Bondo 77' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Patrick Ciurria 80' — Blocked Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Kephren Thuram 86' — Missed Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Alessandro Bianco 88' — Missed Shot (0.09 xG, Open Play)Kenan Yildiz 93' — Saved Shot (0.11 xG, Open Play)
Monza attacking right Juventus attacking left Marker size is xG; filled markers are goals.

Every shot

MinTeamPlayerxG SituationBody partResultAssisted by
0' Monza Samuele Birindelli 0.03 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Gianluca Caprari
4' Monza Dany Mota 0.04 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot
5' Juventus Nicolás González 0.05 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Dusan Vlahovic
9' Monza Gianluca Caprari 0.07 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot
12' Juventus Nicolás González 0.04 From Corner Saved Shot
13' Juventus Weston McKennie 0.58 From Corner Right Foot Goal Teun Koopmeiners
21' Monza Samuele Birindelli 0.08 Open Play Left Foot Goal Andrea Carboni
32' Juventus Dusan Vlahovic 0.09 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot
38' Juventus Nicolás González 0.59 Open Play Right Foot Goal Manuel Locatelli
40' Monza Dany Mota 0.12 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Danilo D'Ambrosio
41' Monza Dany Mota 0.11 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot
41' Monza Gianluca Caprari 0.05 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot
45' Monza Gianluca Caprari 0.03 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Andrea Carboni
46' Monza Warren Bondo 0.03 From Corner Right Foot Missed Shot
47' Juventus Kenan Yildiz 0.06 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Kephren Thuram
47' Monza Alessandro Bianco 0.05 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Warren Bondo
49' Monza Gianluca Caprari 0.06 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Samuele Birindelli
52' Juventus Francisco Conceição 0.02 Set Piece Left Foot Blocked Shot Pierre Kalulu Kyatengwa
53' Juventus Nicolás González 0.02 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Francisco Conceição
53' Juventus Nicolás González 0.30 From Corner Missed Shot Kenan Yildiz
54' Juventus Nicolás González 0.03 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Francisco Conceição
64' Monza Georgios Kyriakopoulos 0.04 From Corner Left Foot Blocked Shot
65' Juventus Dusan Vlahovic 0.47 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Kenan Yildiz
67' Juventus Kenan Yildiz 0.05 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Dusan Vlahovic
69' Monza Danilo D'Ambrosio 0.07 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Samuele Birindelli
72' Monza Dany Mota 0.07 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Patrick Ciurria
75' Juventus Federico Gatti 0.10 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot
75' Juventus Kenan Yildiz 0.02 Open Play Saved Shot Francisco Conceição
77' Monza Warren Bondo 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Alessandro Bianco
80' Monza Patrick Ciurria 0.02 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Samuele Birindelli
86' Juventus Kephren Thuram 0.05 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Kenan Yildiz
88' Monza Alessandro Bianco 0.09 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Armando Izzo
93' Juventus Kenan Yildiz 0.11 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Andrea Cambiaso

Players

Monza

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Dany Mota FW 90 0 0 4 0 0.35 0.00 0.48
Alessandro Bianco MC 90 0 0 2 1 0.14 0.02 0.45
Warren Bondo MC 90 0 0 2 1 0.05 0.05 0.38
Georgios Kyriakopoulos DML 90 0 0 1 0 0.04 0.00 0.24
Andrea Carboni DC 90 0 1 0 2 0.00 0.11 0.26
Stefano Turati GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.26
Pablo Marí DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.31
Gianluca Caprari AMC 88 0 0 4 1 0.21 0.03 0.58
Samuele Birindelli AMC 88 1 0 2 3 0.11 0.15 0.46
Danilo D'Ambrosio DC 85 0 0 1 1 0.07 0.12 0.30
Pedro Pereira DMR 73 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.35
Patrick Ciurria Sub 17 0 0 1 1 0.02 0.07 0.09
Armando Izzo Sub 5 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.09 0.09
Stefano Sensi Sub 2 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Mirko Maric Sub 2 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00

Juventus

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Weston McKennie DL 90 1 0 1 0 0.58 0.00 0.17
Kenan Yildiz AML 90 0 0 4 3 0.25 0.82 0.85
Federico Gatti DC 90 0 0 1 0 0.10 0.00 0.20
Manuel Locatelli DMC 90 0 1 0 1 0.00 0.59 0.79
Michele Di Gregorio GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.05
Nicolò Savona DR 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.55
Pierre Kalulu Kyatengwa DC 90 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.02 0.63
Dusan Vlahovic FW 87 0 0 2 2 0.56 0.10 0.72
Francisco Conceição AMR 87 0 0 1 3 0.02 0.08 0.61
Nicolás González AMC 66 1 0 6 0 1.03 0.00 0.69
Teun Koopmeiners DMC 48 0 1 0 1 0.00 0.58 0.05
Kephren Thuram Sub 42 0 0 1 1 0.05 0.06 0.63
Andrea Cambiaso Sub 24 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.11 0.66
Samuel Mbangula Sub 3 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Vasilije Adzic Sub 3 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.05
Nicolo Fagioli Sub 1 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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