Motherwell v Celtic — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 10 October 2026 · SCO-Premiership · 2627

SCO-Premiership results-only Prediction generated 8 Sep 2026, 06:01 UTC

Motherwell

14:00 UTC

Celtic

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 5 Sep, 22:23 · 832h before kick-off

Motherwell win

22.0%

model 22.8%

Draw

22.0%

model 21.1%

Celtic win

56.0%

model 56.0%

222256

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (2,277 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-2 9.7%
1-1 9.3%
0-2 7.6%
0-1 7.3%
1-3 6.7%

Goals

Over 2.5	64.9%	Under 2.5	35.1%
BTTS yes	62.8%	BTTS no	37.2%
Motherwell 1+	71.8%	Motherwell 2+	36.1%
Celtic 1+	87.5%	Celtic 2+	61.4%

Expected goals 1.27 – 2.08. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

77/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

95%

★ Best pick

Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

★ Most likely to land

Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

Positive factors

Celtic carry the stronger rating, 1769 Elo against 1605.
Form is good: 3.00 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Celtic have an estimated 56.0% win probability, against 22.0% for Motherwell and 22.0% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.26 for Motherwell and 2.08 for Celtic.

Why Motherwell

Form is good: 2.20 points a match from the last five.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 22.0%. Draws run at 23% in this competition.

Why Celtic can win

Celtic carry the stronger rating, 1769 Elo against 1605. Form is good: 3.00 points a match from the last five.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Motherwell, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Celtic, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Motherwell: 57% possession, 16.2 shots a match, 13.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Celtic: 64% possession, 22.2 shots a match, 9.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-05 22:20 · team_stats 2026-09-05 09:41 · availability 2026-09-05 21:03 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Celtic are the model's most likely outcome at 56.0%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-2 at 9.7%. Confidence 77/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
dc-xg	262351	1.22–1.81	1-1 11%	58%	59%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic to win	51.1%	51.4%	30.9%	1.66×	1.95
Motherwell to win	25.7%	27.9%	45.9%	0.61×	3.59
Draw	23.2%	24.4%	23.4%	1.04×	4.09

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic & both teams score	26.4%	25.2%	16.4%	1.54×	3.97
Celtic & not both score	24.7%	21.9%	14.7%	1.49×	4.57
Draw & both teams score	18.3%	17.9%	17.8%	1.00×	5.58
Motherwell & both teams score	14.2%	13.3%	18.7%	0.71×	7.54
Motherwell & not both score	11.5%	13.3%	27.4%	0.48×	7.55
Draw & not both score	4.9%	4.9%	5.8%	0.84×	20.54

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic & over 1.5	42.4%	40.3%	24.5%	1.65×	2.48
Celtic & over 2.5	34.5%	30.9%	20.5%	1.50×	3.24
Celtic & under 3.5	31.1%	30.9%	22.4%	1.38×	3.24
Celtic & over 3.5	20.0%	21.6%	8.7%	2.48×	4.62
Motherwell & over 1.5	19.8%	18.0%	36.7%	0.49×	5.56
Draw & over 1.5	18.3%	18.0%	17.8%	1.01×	5.56
Motherwell & under 3.5	17.4%	18.0%	30.1%	0.60×	5.56
Celtic & under 2.5	16.7%	18.0%	10.6%	1.70×	5.56
Motherwell & over 2.5	16.2%	18.0%	28.2%	0.64×	5.56
Draw & under 2.5	15.7%	18.0%	14.9%	1.20×	5.56
Draw & under 3.5	15.7%	18.0%	14.9%	1.20×	5.56
Motherwell & under 2.5	9.5%	7.9%	17.8%	0.44×	12.70
Celtic & under 1.5	8.7%	7.9%	6.6%	1.19×	12.70
Motherwell & over 3.5	8.2%	7.9%	16.0%	0.49×	12.70
Draw & over 2.5	7.5%	7.9%	8.7%	0.90×	12.70
Draw & over 3.5	7.5%	7.9%	8.7%	0.90×	12.70
Motherwell & under 1.5	5.9%	7.9%	9.3%	0.84×	12.70
Draw & under 1.5	4.9%	4.8%	5.8%	0.82×	20.93

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic (1UP)	66.6%	69.9%	—	—	1.43
Motherwell (1UP)	44.9%	39.5%	—	—	2.53

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic (2UP)	51.1%	55.5%	—	—	1.80
Motherwell (2UP)	25.7%	24.7%	—	—	4.05

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic to win 2nd half	44.5%	41.2%	—	—	2.42
2nd half drawn	32.3%	34.5%	—	—	2.90
Motherwell to win 2nd half	23.3%	23.1%	—	—	4.32

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic (+2.5)	96.7%	96.3%	87.8%	1.10×	1.04
Celtic (+1.5)	89.6%	88.5%	73.4%	1.21×	1.13
Celtic (+0.5)	74.3%	73.7%	54.1%	1.36×	1.36
Celtic (-0.5)	51.1%	52.3%	30.9%	1.69×	1.91
Motherwell (+0.5)	48.9%	47.7%	69.1%	0.69×	2.10
Motherwell (-0.5)	25.7%	26.3%	45.9%	0.57×	3.81
Motherwell (-1.5)	10.4%	11.5%	26.6%	0.43×	8.72
Motherwell (-2.5)	3.3%	3.7%	12.2%	0.30×	26.86

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic to concede	70.4%	76.4%	79.7%	0.96×	1.31
Celtic clean sheet	29.6%	23.6%	20.3%	1.16×	4.24

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic clean sheet in 1st half	59.2%	58.6%	—	—	1.71
Celtic to concede in 1st half	40.8%	41.4%	—	—	2.41

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic over 2.5 corners	88.6%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
Celtic over 3.5 corners	77.5%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
Celtic under 6.5 corners	63.7%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Celtic over 4.5 corners	63.8%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Celtic under 5.5 corners	50.5%	53.1%	—	—	1.89
Celtic over 5.5 corners	49.5%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Celtic over 6.5 corners	36.3%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Celtic under 4.5 corners	36.2%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Celtic under 3.5 corners	22.5%	24.0%	—	—	4.16
Celtic under 2.5 corners	11.4%	14.8%	—	—	6.76

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic under 3.5 goals	89.0%	87.9%	96.3%	0.91×	1.14
Celtic over 0.5 goals	83.6%	81.4%	67.0%	1.22×	1.23
Celtic under 2.5 goals	72.9%	72.0%	85.5%	0.84×	1.39
Celtic over 1.5 goals	53.9%	53.7%	36.9%	1.45×	1.86
Celtic under 1.5 goals	46.1%	46.3%	63.1%	0.73×	2.16
Celtic over 2.5 goals	27.1%	28.0%	14.5%	1.93×	3.57
Celtic under 0.5 goals	16.4%	18.6%	33.0%	0.56×	5.38
Celtic over 3.5 goals	11.0%	12.1%	3.7%	3.24×	8.26

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic under 1.5 in 1st half	83.6%	83.1%	—	—	1.20
Celtic over 0.5 in 1st half	51.4%	55.7%	—	—	1.80
Celtic under 0.5 in 1st half	48.6%	44.3%	—	—	2.26
Celtic over 1.5 in 1st half	16.4%	16.9%	—	—	5.92

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell (away no bet)	52.5%	51.2%	66.2%	0.77×	1.95
Draw (away no bet)	47.5%	48.8%	33.8%	1.44×	2.05

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic even goals	51.4%	52.8%	57.7%	0.92×	1.89
Celtic odd goals	48.6%	47.2%	42.3%	1.12×	2.12

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	81.2%	82.9%	—	—	1.21
Both halves over 1.5 goals	18.8%	17.1%	—	—	5.84

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	69.7%	68.7%	—	—	1.46
Both halves under 1.5 goals	30.3%	31.3%	—	—	3.19

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	61.6%	59.9%	—	—	1.67
Celtic to score 2+ in a row	44.8%	38.4%	—	—	2.60
Motherwell to score 2+ in a row	24.6%	19.5%	—	—	5.12
Either team to score 3+ in a row	24.2%	19.5%	—	—	5.12
Celtic to score 3+ in a row	18.2%	16.3%	—	—	6.13
Motherwell to score 3+ in a row	6.5%	5.6%	—	—	17.81

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic corners (+3.5)	93.6%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Celtic corners (+2.5)	89.2%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Celtic corners (+1.5)	82.9%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Motherwell corners (+3.5)	68.5%	65.8%	—	—	1.52
Motherwell corners (+2.5)	58.1%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Celtic corners (-1.5)	53.2%	52.5%	—	—	1.91
Motherwell corners (+1.5)	46.8%	47.5%	—	—	2.11
Celtic corners (-2.5)	41.9%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Celtic corners (-3.5)	31.5%	34.2%	—	—	2.93
Motherwell corners (-1.5)	17.1%	20.2%	—	—	4.95
Motherwell corners (-2.5)	10.8%	15.5%	—	—	6.45
Motherwell corners (-3.5)	6.4%	10.4%	—	—	9.57

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	40.1%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
9-11 corners	31.0%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
12+ corners	28.9%	31.2%	—	—	3.20

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	79.0%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Under 11.5 corners	71.1%	72.6%	—	—	1.38
Over 7.5 corners	70.7%	72.6%	—	—	1.38
Under 10.5 corners	61.8%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
Over 8.5 corners	59.9%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Under 9.5 corners	51.2%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Over 9.5 corners	48.8%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Under 8.5 corners	40.1%	42.1%	—	—	2.38
Over 10.5 corners	38.2%	36.7%	—	—	2.72
Under 7.5 corners	29.3%	27.4%	—	—	3.64
Over 11.5 corners	28.9%	27.4%	—	—	3.64
Over 12.5 corners	21.0%	23.5%	—	—	4.26

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	10.8%	11.5%	9.3%	1.23×	8.73
0-1	8.7%	7.4%	6.6%	1.12×	13.48
1-2	9.7%	7.4%	8.9%	0.83×	13.48
0-2	7.9%	7.4%	4.1%	1.79×	13.48
2-1	6.5%	7.4%	7.1%	1.05×	13.48
1-0	5.9%	7.4%	9.3%	0.79×	13.48
1-3	5.8%	7.4%	3.1%	2.38×	13.48
2-2	5.9%	7.4%	6.6%	1.12×	13.48
0-0	4.9%	1.7%	5.8%	0.29×	58.46
0-3	4.8%	1.7%	3.3%	0.52×	58.46
0-4	2.2%	1.7%	0.4%	4.12×	58.48
1-4	2.6%	1.7%	0.8%	2.06×	58.47
2-0	3.6%	1.7%	8.7%	0.20×	58.47
2-3	3.5%	1.7%	2.3%	0.75×	58.47
2-4	1.6%	1.7%	0.8%	2.06×	58.48
3-0	1.5%	1.7%	5.6%	0.31×	58.48
3-1	2.6%	1.7%	5.6%	0.31×	58.47
3-2	2.4%	1.7%	2.9%	0.59×	58.48
3-3	1.4%	1.7%	2.3%	0.75×	58.48
3-4	0.6%	1.7%	0.4%	4.12×	58.49
4-0	0.4%	1.7%	3.5%	0.48×	58.49
4-1	0.8%	1.7%	1.5%	1.18×	58.49
4-2	0.7%	1.7%	0.6%	2.75×	58.49
4-3	0.4%	1.7%	0.8%	2.06×	58.49
4-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.2%	8.24×	58.49
Any other score	4.5%	1.7%	4.1%	0.41×	58.46

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic leading at HT (DNB)	60.5%	65.2%	—	—	1.53
Motherwell leading at HT (DNB)	39.5%	34.8%	—	—	2.87

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell or Celtic (12)	76.8%	75.6%	76.6%	0.99×	1.32
Celtic or draw (X2)	74.3%	72.1%	54.1%	1.33×	1.39
Motherwell or draw (1X)	48.9%	48.6%	69.1%	0.70×	2.06

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic or draw at HT	76.6%	79.9%	—	—	1.25
Motherwell or draw at HT	64.2%	62.1%	—	—	1.61
Motherwell or Celtic at HT	59.3%	57.0%	—	—	1.75

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic or draw (1UP)	74.3%	80.3%	—	—	1.25
Motherwell or draw (1UP)	48.9%	52.8%	—	—	1.89

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic or draw in 2nd half	76.7%	76.9%	—	—	1.30
Motherwell or Celtic in 2nd half	67.7%	65.5%	—	—	1.53
Motherwell or draw in 2nd half	55.5%	58.8%	—	—	1.70

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	59.8%	58.1%	—	—	1.72
Neither half drawn	40.2%	41.9%	—	—	2.39

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic (DNB)	66.5%	67.1%	40.3%	1.67×	1.49
Motherwell (DNB)	33.5%	32.9%	59.7%	0.55×	3.04

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic to score first	56.8%	61.9%	—	—	1.61
Motherwell to score first	38.3%	32.9%	—	—	3.04
No goal scored	4.9%	4.3%	—	—	23.14

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	58.9%	54.9%	52.5%	1.05×	1.82
Not both teams to score	41.1%	45.1%	47.5%	0.95×	2.22

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	48.2%	44.3%	43.4%	1.02×	2.26
Not both score & under 2.5	31.0%	34.3%	33.8%	1.01×	2.92
Both score & under 2.5	10.8%	12.3%	9.3%	1.32×	8.11
Not both score & over 2.5	10.1%	12.3%	13.9%	0.89×	8.11

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	81.5%	83.1%	83.8%	0.99×	1.20
Both teams to score 2+	18.5%	16.9%	16.2%	1.05×	5.90

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	66.9%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Both teams to score in 2nd half	33.1%	32.4%	—	—	3.08

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	52.8%	55.9%	—	—	1.79
Both score 2nd half only	26.2%	26.6%	—	—	3.76
Both score 1st half only	14.0%	10.8%	—	—	9.30
Both score in both halves	6.9%	6.8%	—	—	14.79

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	79.0%	81.5%	—	—	1.23
Both teams to score by HT	21.0%	18.5%	—	—	5.40

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	59.2%	57.4%	—	—	1.74
A half without a goal	40.8%	42.6%	—	—	2.35

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	44.7%	42.1%	45.9%	0.92×	2.37
4-6 goals	32.3%	30.8%	31.3%	0.98×	3.25
0-1 goals	19.5%	20.2%	21.4%	0.94×	4.95
7+ goals	3.5%	1.8%	1.9%	0.98×	54.44

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic to score exactly 1	29.7%	27.4%	30.3%	0.91×	3.65
Celtic to score 3+	27.1%	27.4%	14.5%	1.89×	3.65
Celtic to score exactly 2	26.8%	27.4%	22.6%	1.21×	3.65
Celtic to score exactly 0	16.4%	19.6%	33.0%	0.59×	5.12

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell to score exactly 1	36.0%	35.6%	31.1%	1.14×	2.81
Motherwell to score exactly 0	29.6%	26.5%	20.3%	1.31×	3.77
Motherwell to score exactly 2	21.9%	23.2%	25.1%	0.93×	4.30
Motherwell to score 3+	12.4%	14.3%	23.9%	0.60×	6.98

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	40.7%	43.0%	—	—	2.33
Celtic leading at HT	35.8%	37.9%	—	—	2.64
Motherwell leading at HT	23.4%	20.1%	—	—	4.98

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic -1: 1	48.9%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Celtic -1: 2	28.5%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Celtic -1: X	22.6%	23.6%	—	—	4.24

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic (0:1)	74.3%	71.1%	54.1%	1.31×	1.41
Draw (0:1)	15.3%	17.7%	19.5%	0.91×	5.64
Motherwell (0:1)	10.4%	13.8%	26.6%	0.52×	7.24

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic (0:2)	89.6%	87.0%	73.4%	1.18×	1.15
Draw (0:2)	7.1%	7.7%	14.5%	0.53×	12.95
Motherwell (0:2)	3.3%	3.8%	12.2%	0.31×	26.57

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic (0:3)	96.7%	96.6%	87.8%	1.10×	1.04
Draw (0:3)	2.5%	2.4%	6.8%	0.35×	42.17
Motherwell (0:3)	0.9%	2.4%	5.6%	0.42×	42.25

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic (0:4)	99.1%	98.1%	94.4%	1.04×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	0.7%	1.2%	4.8%	0.25×	83.67
Motherwell (0:4)	0.2%	1.2%	1.0%	1.15×	83.73

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell (1:0)	48.9%	49.8%	69.1%	0.72×	2.01
Celtic (1:0)	28.5%	25.1%	13.5%	1.86×	3.98
Draw (1:0)	22.6%	21.8%	17.6%	1.24×	4.59

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell (2:0)	71.5%	76.4%	86.5%	0.88×	1.31
Draw (2:0)	15.6%	15.6%	7.7%	2.04×	6.40
Celtic (2:0)	12.9%	10.4%	6.0%	1.73×	9.63

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	49.8%	48.3%	—	—	2.07
1st half highest scoring	26.8%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Halves equal	23.4%	24.1%	—	—	4.15

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell to concede	83.6%	80.8%	67.0%	1.21×	1.24
Motherwell clean sheet	16.4%	19.2%	33.0%	0.58×	5.22

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell to concede in 1st half	51.4%	55.7%	—	—	1.80
Motherwell clean sheet in 1st half	48.6%	44.3%	—	—	2.26

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell under 6.5 corners	87.3%	86.3%	—	—	1.16
Motherwell under 5.5 corners	78.0%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Motherwell over 2.5 corners	70.9%	71.8%	—	—	1.39
Motherwell under 4.5 corners	64.6%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Motherwell over 3.5 corners	52.4%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Motherwell under 3.5 corners	47.6%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Motherwell over 4.5 corners	35.4%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Motherwell under 2.5 corners	29.1%	28.2%	—	—	3.55
Motherwell over 5.5 corners	22.0%	23.4%	—	—	4.27
Motherwell over 6.5 corners	12.7%	13.7%	—	—	7.30

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell under 3.5 goals	96.5%	96.4%	92.1%	1.05×	1.04
Motherwell under 2.5 goals	87.6%	87.3%	76.1%	1.15×	1.15
Motherwell over 0.5 goals	70.4%	74.2%	79.7%	0.93×	1.35
Motherwell under 1.5 goals	65.6%	67.9%	51.2%	1.32×	1.47
Motherwell over 1.5 goals	34.4%	32.1%	48.8%	0.66×	3.11
Motherwell under 0.5 goals	29.6%	25.8%	20.3%	1.27×	3.87
Motherwell over 2.5 goals	12.4%	12.7%	23.9%	0.53×	7.85
Motherwell over 3.5 goals	3.5%	3.6%	7.9%	0.46×	27.46

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell under 1.5 in 1st half	90.3%	95.2%	—	—	1.05
Motherwell under 0.5 in 1st half	59.2%	58.2%	—	—	1.72
Motherwell over 0.5 in 1st half	40.8%	41.8%	—	—	2.39
Motherwell over 1.5 in 1st half	9.7%	4.8%	—	—	20.96

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic (home no bet)	68.8%	64.0%	56.9%	1.13×	1.56
Draw (home no bet)	31.2%	36.0%	43.1%	0.84×	2.78

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell even goals	54.4%	50.6%	51.7%	0.98×	1.98
Motherwell odd goals	45.6%	49.4%	48.3%	1.02×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	28.8%	28.9%	—	—	3.46
HT 0-1	20.8%	24.1%	—	—	4.14
HT 1-0	15.1%	18.6%	—	—	5.38
HT 1-1	10.9%	10.9%	—	—	9.17
HT 0-2	7.5%	7.1%	—	—	14.02
Any other HT score	5.3%	7.1%	—	—	14.05
HT 1-2	3.9%	2.3%	—	—	43.42
HT 2-0	3.9%	2.3%	—	—	43.41
HT 2-1	2.9%	2.3%	—	—	43.49
HT 2-2	1.0%	2.3%	—	—	43.63

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic at HT / Celtic at FT	29.4%	27.1%	—	—	3.69
Draw at HT / Celtic at FT	18.1%	16.8%	—	—	5.97
Motherwell at HT / Motherwell at FT	14.5%	12.7%	—	—	7.88
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	13.2%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
Draw at HT / Motherwell at FT	9.4%	6.0%	—	—	16.60
Motherwell at HT / Draw at FT	5.3%	6.0%	—	—	16.73
Celtic at HT / Draw at FT	4.7%	3.5%	—	—	28.74
Motherwell at HT / Celtic at FT	3.6%	3.5%	—	—	28.78
Celtic at HT / Motherwell at FT	1.8%	3.5%	—	—	28.85

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic to score last	56.8%	56.5%	—	—	1.77
Motherwell to score last	38.3%	38.5%	—	—	2.59
No goal scored	4.9%	4.3%	—	—	23.14

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	95.1%	95.6%	—	—	1.05
Celtic to lead by 1 at any time	66.6%	69.4%	—	—	1.44
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	51.8%	50.8%	—	—	1.97
Motherwell to lead by 1 at any time	44.9%	39.3%	—	—	2.54
Celtic to lead by 2 at any time	35.8%	34.8%	—	—	2.88
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	20.5%	19.5%	—	—	5.12
Motherwell to lead by 2 at any time	16.3%	14.9%	—	—	6.73
Celtic to lead by 3 at any time	15.7%	14.8%	—	—	6.74
Motherwell to lead by 3 at any time	4.8%	1.7%	—	—	59.68

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic most corners	64.4%	60.5%	—	—	1.65
Motherwell most corners	25.5%	31.0%	—	—	3.22
Corners level	10.1%	10.4%	—	—	9.60

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	86.5%	87.4%	86.9%	1.01×	1.14
2-6 goals	77.0%	78.6%	77.0%	1.02×	1.27
1-4 goals	76.2%	78.6%	79.7%	0.99×	1.27
2-5 goals	71.9%	72.4%	71.4%	1.01×	1.38
2-4 goals	61.6%	63.4%	64.1%	0.99×	1.58
1-3 goals	59.3%	59.2%	61.4%	0.96×	1.69
3-6 goals	54.8%	53.2%	55.4%	0.96×	1.88
3-5 goals	49.6%	48.7%	49.8%	0.98×	2.06
2-3 goals	44.7%	43.6%	45.9%	0.95×	2.30
3-4 goals	39.3%	39.2%	42.5%	0.92×	2.55
1-2 goals	36.9%	39.1%	37.3%	1.05×	2.56
4-6 goals	32.3%	35.4%	31.3%	1.13×	2.83
4-5 goals	27.2%	30.2%	25.7%	1.18×	3.31
5-6 goals	15.4%	18.6%	13.1%	1.43×	5.37
7+ goals	3.5%	2.6%	1.9%	1.37×	39.19

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic never behind	50.2%	61.7%	—	—	1.62
Motherwell never behind	28.5%	30.1%	—	—	3.32

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	49.8%	50.8%	48.5%	1.05×	1.97
Even number of goals	50.2%	49.2%	51.5%	0.96×	2.03

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	54.2%	51.7%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 1st half	45.8%	48.3%	—	—	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	51.5%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	48.5%	48.0%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	95.1%	95.5%	94.2%	1.01×	1.05
Under 5.5 goals	91.4%	92.3%	92.5%	1.00×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	81.1%	82.4%	85.3%	0.97×	1.21
Over 1.5 goals	80.5%	82.4%	78.6%	1.05×	1.21
Under 3.5 goals	64.2%	61.8%	67.0%	0.92×	1.62
Over 2.5 goals	58.2%	58.8%	57.1%	1.03×	1.70
Under 2.5 goals	41.8%	41.2%	42.9%	0.96×	2.43
Over 3.5 goals	35.8%	38.2%	33.0%	1.16×	2.62
Under 1.5 goals	19.5%	17.6%	21.4%	0.82×	5.67
Over 4.5 goals	18.9%	17.6%	14.7%	1.20×	5.68
Over 5.5 goals	8.6%	7.7%	7.5%	1.04×	12.92
Under 0.5 goals	4.9%	4.5%	5.8%	0.78×	22.19

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	96.4%	97.2%	98.0%	0.99×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	90.4%	92.5%	91.9%	1.01×	1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	77.3%	75.9%	82.0%	0.93×	1.32
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	74.9%	72.6%	72.8%	1.00×	1.38
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	53.9%	51.8%	56.6%	0.92×	1.93
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	46.1%	48.2%	43.4%	1.11×	2.08
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	25.1%	27.4%	27.2%	1.01×	3.65
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	22.7%	24.1%	18.0%	1.34×	4.15
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	9.6%	7.5%	8.1%	0.94×	13.25
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	3.6%	2.8%	2.0%	1.40×	36.13

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	86.9%	89.0%	—	—	1.12
Over 0.5 in 1st half	71.2%	71.2%	—	—	1.40
Under 1.5 in 1st half	64.6%	63.6%	—	—	1.57
Over 1.5 in 1st half	35.4%	36.4%	—	—	2.75
Under 0.5 in 1st half	28.8%	28.8%	—	—	3.47
Over 2.5 in 1st half	13.1%	11.0%	—	—	9.07

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	83.1%	82.8%	—	—	1.21
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	73.7%	77.7%	—	—	1.29
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	53.1%	53.4%	—	—	1.87
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	46.9%	46.6%	—	—	2.14
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	26.3%	22.3%	—	—	4.49
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	16.9%	17.2%	—	—	5.81

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell not to score in both halves	79.6%	78.3%	—	—	1.28
Celtic not to score in both halves	66.0%	70.4%	—	—	1.42
Celtic to score in both halves	34.0%	29.6%	—	—	3.38
Motherwell to score in both halves	20.4%	21.7%	—	—	4.62

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	58.9%	58.4%	52.5%	1.11×	1.71
Only Celtic scores	24.7%	22.3%	14.7%	1.52×	4.48
Only Motherwell scores	11.5%	10.9%	27.4%	0.40×	9.15
Neither team scores	4.9%	4.6%	5.8%	0.79×	21.78

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 3 goals	22.4%	22.6%	24.3%	0.93×	4.42
Exactly 2 goals	22.3%	22.6%	21.8%	1.04×	4.42
Exactly 4 goals	16.9%	17.4%	18.5%	0.94×	5.74
Exactly 1 goals	14.6%	12.1%	15.8%	0.77×	8.27
Exactly 5 goals	10.2%	12.1%	7.5%	1.62×	8.28
6 or more goals	8.6%	7.6%	7.5%	1.02×	13.09
Exactly 0 goals	4.9%	4.4%	5.8%	0.76×	22.65

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	53.1%	51.5%	—	—	1.94
1 goal in 2nd half	30.0%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
No goals in 2nd half	16.9%	17.2%	—	—	5.81

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell not to win both halves	94.5%	94.0%	—	—	1.06
Celtic not to win both halves	84.0%	84.3%	—	—	1.19
Celtic to win both halves	16.0%	15.7%	—	—	6.37
Motherwell to win both halves	5.5%	6.0%	—	—	16.74

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic to win either half	64.4%	65.1%	—	—	1.54
Motherwell to win neither half	58.8%	59.5%	—	—	1.68
Motherwell to win either half	41.2%	40.5%	—	—	2.47
Celtic to win neither half	35.6%	34.9%	—	—	2.87

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell not to win to nil	88.5%	88.2%	72.6%	1.22×	1.13
Celtic not to win to nil	75.3%	78.0%	85.3%	0.92×	1.28
Celtic to win to nil	24.7%	22.0%	14.7%	1.49×	4.55
Motherwell to win to nil	11.5%	11.8%	27.4%	0.43×	8.50

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	23.2%	24.2%	23.4%	1.03×	4.14
Celtic by 1	22.6%	24.2%	17.6%	1.37×	4.14
Motherwell by 1	15.3%	16.9%	19.5%	0.87×	5.91
Celtic by 2	15.6%	16.9%	7.7%	2.20×	5.91
Celtic by 3+	12.9%	11.8%	6.0%	1.96×	8.48
Motherwell by 2	7.1%	7.3%	14.5%	0.50×	13.79
Motherwell by 3+	3.3%	2.7%	12.2%	0.22×	36.99