Motherwell v Dundee — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 19 December 2026 · SCO-Premiership · 2627

SCO-Premiership results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Motherwell

15:00 UTC

Dundee

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 26 Oct, 10:59 · 1,300h before kick-off

Motherwell win

55.6%

model 56.2%

Draw

22.2%

model 22.3%

Dundee win

22.2%

model 21.5%

562222

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (346 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 10.5%
1-0 10.2%
2-1 9.9%
2-0 9.3%
3-1 6.1%

Goals

Over 2.5	55.8%	Under 2.5	44.2%
BTTS yes	55.0%	BTTS no	45.0%
Motherwell 1+	84.4%	Motherwell 2+	55.4%
Dundee 1+	65.3%	Dundee 2+	28.6%

Expected goals 1.86 – 1.06. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

80/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

99%

★ Best pick

Motherwell (-0.5)

Asian handicap · usually 46%

57.0% fair odds 1.76

moderate signal · 1154 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Motherwell not to win both halves

Win both halves

83.2% fair odds 1.20

moderate signal · 588 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Motherwell carry the stronger rating, 1605 Elo against 1461.
Form is good: 2.20 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Motherwell have an estimated 55.6% win probability, against 22.2% for the draw and 22.2% for Dundee. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.86 for Motherwell and 1.06 for Dundee.

Why Motherwell

Motherwell carry the stronger rating, 1605 Elo against 1461. Form is good: 2.20 points a match from the last five.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 22.2%. Draws run at 23% in this competition.

Why Dundee can win

Nothing in the data singles out Dundee.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Motherwell, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Dundee, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Motherwell: 57% possession, 16.2 shots a match, 13.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Dundee: 39% possession, 12.8 shots a match, 18.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Motherwell's shot volume meets a defence that concedes shots freely.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-26 10:06 · team_stats 2026-10-26 06:08 · availability 2026-10-26 14:59 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Motherwell are the model's most likely outcome at 55.6%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 10.5%. Confidence 80/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	562221	1.86–1.06	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	552322	1.74–1.00	1-0 11%	51%	52%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell to win	54.9%	51.6%	45.9%	1.12×	1.94
Draw	23.4%	24.5%	23.3%	1.05×	4.09
Dundee to win	21.7%	24.5%	31.0%	0.79×	4.09

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell & not both score	30.5%	29.6%	27.5%	1.08×	3.38
Motherwell & both teams score	24.3%	21.8%	18.6%	1.17×	4.59
Draw & both teams score	17.0%	18.0%	17.8%	1.01×	5.57
Dundee & not both score	11.3%	13.3%	14.9%	0.89×	7.54
Dundee & both teams score	10.5%	13.3%	16.3%	0.81×	7.54
Draw & not both score	6.4%	8.3%	5.8%	1.44×	12.01

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell & over 1.5	43.4%	40.3%	36.6%	1.10×	2.48
Motherwell & under 3.5	36.7%	34.9%	30.2%	1.16×	2.87
Motherwell & over 2.5	33.6%	30.8%	28.1%	1.09×	3.25
Motherwell & under 2.5	21.2%	21.6%	18.0%	1.20×	4.63
Motherwell & over 3.5	18.2%	18.0%	15.9%	1.13×	5.55
Draw & under 2.5	17.5%	18.0%	14.9%	1.21×	5.55
Draw & under 3.5	17.5%	18.0%	14.9%	1.21×	5.55
Draw & over 1.5	17.0%	18.0%	17.8%	1.01×	5.56
Dundee & under 3.5	16.5%	18.0%	22.5%	0.80×	5.56
Dundee & over 1.5	15.1%	18.0%	24.4%	0.74×	5.56
Motherwell & under 1.5	11.4%	12.8%	9.5%	1.35×	7.79
Dundee & over 2.5	11.9%	12.8%	20.5%	0.63×	7.79
Dundee & under 2.5	9.9%	7.9%	10.7%	0.74×	12.62
Draw & under 1.5	6.4%	7.9%	5.8%	1.37×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	5.9%	7.9%	8.7%	0.91×	12.63
Draw & over 3.5	5.9%	7.9%	8.7%	0.91×	12.63
Dundee & under 1.5	6.6%	7.9%	6.8%	1.16×	12.63
Dundee & over 3.5	5.2%	7.9%	8.7%	0.91×	12.63

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell (1UP)	68.1%	70.3%	—	—	1.42
Dundee (1UP)	39.1%	34.4%	—	—	2.91

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell (2UP)	54.9%	55.5%	—	—	1.80
Dundee (2UP)	21.7%	23.7%	—	—	4.22

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell to win 2nd half	44.0%	42.1%	—	—	2.38
2nd half drawn	34.4%	34.0%	—	—	2.94
Dundee to win 2nd half	21.7%	24.3%	—	—	4.12

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dundee under 1.5 in 2nd half	87.9%	87.1%	—	—	1.15
Dundee under 0.5 in 2nd half	55.0%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Dundee over 0.5 in 2nd half	45.0%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Dundee over 1.5 in 2nd half	12.1%	12.9%	—	—	7.78

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell under 1.5 in 2nd half	74.0%	74.5%	—	—	1.34
Motherwell over 0.5 in 2nd half	62.8%	63.1%	—	—	1.58
Motherwell under 0.5 in 2nd half	37.2%	36.9%	—	—	2.71
Motherwell over 1.5 in 2nd half	26.0%	25.5%	—	—	3.92

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dundee (+2.5)	86.4%	88.5%	87.8%	1.01×	1.13
Motherwell (+0.5)	78.3%	78.5%	69.0%	1.14×	1.27
Dundee (+1.5)	69.6%	68.7%	73.6%	0.93×	1.46
Motherwell (-0.5)	54.9%	52.4%	45.9%	1.14×	1.91
Dundee (+0.5)	45.1%	47.6%	54.1%	0.88×	2.10
Motherwell (-1.5)	30.4%	31.3%	26.4%	1.18×	3.19
Dundee (-0.5)	21.7%	21.5%	31.0%	0.69×	4.65
Motherwell (-2.5)	13.6%	11.5%	12.2%	0.95×	8.66

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dundee to concede	82.4%	81.5%	79.5%	1.02×	1.23
Dundee clean sheet	17.6%	18.5%	20.5%	0.91×	5.40

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dundee to concede in 1st half	52.6%	50.9%	—	—	1.97
Dundee clean sheet in 1st half	47.4%	49.1%	—	—	2.04

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dundee to concede in 2nd half	62.8%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
Dundee clean sheet in 2nd half	37.2%	38.1%	—	—	2.62

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dundee under 6.5 corners	90.0%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
Dundee under 5.5 corners	81.8%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
Dundee under 4.5 corners	69.3%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Dundee over 2.5 corners	66.8%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Dundee under 3.5 corners	52.5%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Dundee over 3.5 corners	47.5%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Dundee under 2.5 corners	33.2%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
Dundee over 4.5 corners	30.7%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
Dundee over 5.5 corners	18.2%	18.6%	—	—	5.38
Dundee over 6.5 corners	10.0%	14.8%	—	—	6.78

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dundee under 3.5 goals	98.1%	97.5%	96.3%	1.01×	1.03
Dundee under 2.5 goals	92.0%	92.3%	85.5%	1.08×	1.08
Dundee under 1.5 goals	73.7%	71.9%	63.2%	1.14×	1.39
Dundee over 0.5 goals	63.1%	63.2%	66.9%	0.94×	1.58
Dundee under 0.5 goals	36.9%	36.8%	33.1%	1.11×	2.72
Dundee over 1.5 goals	26.3%	28.1%	36.8%	0.77×	3.55
Dundee over 2.5 goals	8.0%	7.7%	14.5%	0.53×	13.07
Dundee over 3.5 goals	1.9%	2.5%	3.7%	0.67×	39.87

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dundee under 1.5 in 1st half	93.9%	94.0%	—	—	1.06
Dundee under 0.5 in 1st half	67.1%	70.3%	—	—	1.42
Dundee over 0.5 in 1st half	32.9%	29.7%	—	—	3.36
Dundee over 1.5 in 1st half	6.1%	6.0%	—	—	16.60

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dundee scores equally in both	46.2%	48.1%	—	—	2.08
Dundee scores more in 2nd half	33.6%	33.3%	—	—	3.00
Dundee scores more in 1st half	20.2%	21.7%	—	—	4.60

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell (away no bet)	70.1%	68.3%	66.3%	1.03×	1.46
Draw (away no bet)	29.9%	31.7%	33.7%	0.94×	3.16

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dundee even goals	56.8%	56.9%	57.6%	0.99×	1.76
Dundee odd goals	43.2%	43.1%	42.4%	1.02×	2.32

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	85.0%	87.7%	—	—	1.14
Both halves over 1.5 goals	15.0%	12.3%	—	—	8.16

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	63.8%	57.6%	—	—	1.74
Both halves under 1.5 goals	36.2%	42.4%	—	—	2.36

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	57.2%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Motherwell to score 2+ in a row	44.2%	38.8%	—	—	2.57
Either team to score 3+ in a row	21.9%	19.5%	—	—	5.12
Dundee to score 2+ in a row	18.5%	16.2%	—	—	6.18
Motherwell to score 3+ in a row	18.0%	16.2%	—	—	6.19
Dundee to score 3+ in a row	4.1%	2.6%	—	—	38.47

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell corners (+3.5)	92.6%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Motherwell corners (+2.5)	87.3%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Motherwell corners (+1.5)	79.7%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Dundee corners (+3.5)	76.2%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Dundee corners (+2.5)	66.1%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
Dundee corners (+1.5)	54.3%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
Motherwell corners (-1.5)	45.7%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
Motherwell corners (-2.5)	33.9%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
Motherwell corners (-3.5)	23.8%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Dundee corners (-1.5)	20.3%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Dundee corners (-2.5)	12.7%	15.5%	—	—	6.45
Dundee corners (-3.5)	7.4%	10.4%	—	—	9.60

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	53.5%	45.3%	—	—	2.21
9-11 corners	28.6%	31.2%	—	—	3.21
12+ corners	17.9%	22.6%	—	—	4.43

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	88.0%	83.1%	—	—	1.20
Under 11.5 corners	82.1%	80.7%	—	—	1.24
Under 10.5 corners	74.3%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Under 9.5 corners	64.7%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
Over 7.5 corners	58.5%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Under 8.5 corners	53.5%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Over 8.5 corners	46.5%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Under 7.5 corners	41.5%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
Over 9.5 corners	35.3%	36.7%	—	—	2.72
Over 10.5 corners	25.7%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Over 11.5 corners	17.9%	19.3%	—	—	5.17
Over 12.5 corners	12.0%	16.9%	—	—	5.91

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-0	11.4%	11.5%	9.5%	1.21×	8.72
1-1	11.1%	11.5%	9.3%	1.23×	8.72
2-0	9.8%	7.4%	8.7%	0.85×	13.51
2-1	9.8%	7.4%	7.0%	1.05×	13.51
0-1	6.6%	7.4%	6.8%	1.09×	13.51
0-0	6.4%	7.4%	5.8%	1.28×	13.51
1-2	5.6%	7.4%	8.9%	0.83×	13.51
3-0	5.7%	7.4%	5.6%	1.33×	13.51
3-1	5.7%	7.4%	5.6%	1.33×	13.51
2-2	4.9%	1.7%	6.6%	0.26×	58.29
0-2	3.2%	1.7%	4.1%	0.42×	58.30
0-3	1.1%	1.7%	3.3%	0.52×	58.31
0-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.4%	4.15×	58.32
1-3	1.9%	1.7%	3.1%	0.55×	58.31
1-4	0.5%	1.7%	0.8%	2.07×	58.32
2-3	1.6%	1.7%	2.3%	0.75×	58.31
2-4	0.4%	1.7%	0.8%	2.07×	58.32
3-2	2.8%	1.7%	2.9%	0.59×	58.30
3-3	0.9%	1.7%	2.3%	0.75×	58.31
3-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.4%	4.15×	58.32
4-0	2.5%	1.7%	3.5%	0.49×	58.31
4-1	2.5%	1.7%	1.4%	1.19×	58.31
4-2	1.2%	1.7%	0.6%	2.77×	58.31
4-3	0.4%	1.7%	0.8%	2.07×	58.32
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.2%	8.30×	58.32
Any other score	3.5%	1.7%	4.1%	0.42×	58.30

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell (2nd half DNB)	67.0%	66.9%	—	—	1.49
Dundee (2nd half DNB)	33.0%	33.1%	—	—	3.02

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell leading at HT (DNB)	69.2%	73.9%	—	—	1.35
Dundee leading at HT (DNB)	30.8%	26.1%	—	—	3.83

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell or draw (1X)	78.3%	75.5%	69.0%	1.09×	1.32
Motherwell or Dundee (12)	76.6%	75.5%	76.7%	0.99×	1.32
Dundee or draw (X2)	45.1%	48.4%	54.1%	0.89×	2.07

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell or draw at HT	82.1%	84.0%	—	—	1.19
Dundee or draw at HT	59.9%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Motherwell or Dundee at HT	58.0%	57.5%	—	—	1.74

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell or draw (1UP)	78.3%	83.7%	—	—	1.20
Dundee or draw (1UP)	45.1%	52.8%	—	—	1.90

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell or draw in 2nd half	78.3%	75.7%	—	—	1.32
Motherwell or Dundee in 2nd half	65.6%	66.0%	—	—	1.52
Dundee or draw in 2nd half	56.0%	57.9%	—	—	1.73

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	62.1%	61.3%	—	—	1.63
Neither half drawn	37.9%	38.7%	—	—	2.59

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell (DNB)	71.6%	71.4%	59.7%	1.20×	1.40
Dundee (DNB)	28.4%	28.6%	40.3%	0.71×	3.50

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell to score first	59.5%	62.6%	—	—	1.60
Dundee to score first	34.2%	28.0%	—	—	3.58
No goal scored	6.4%	7.5%	—	—	13.27

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	51.8%	51.3%	52.3%	0.98×	1.95
Not both teams to score	48.2%	48.7%	47.7%	1.02×	2.05

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	40.7%	41.6%	43.2%	0.96×	2.41
Not both score & under 2.5	37.4%	38.5%	34.1%	1.13×	2.60
Both score & under 2.5	11.1%	12.4%	9.3%	1.33×	8.09
Not both score & over 2.5	10.7%	12.4%	13.8%	0.89×	8.09

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	86.4%	85.6%	83.9%	1.02×	1.17
Both teams to score 2+	13.6%	14.4%	16.1%	0.89×	6.95

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	71.8%	73.6%	—	—	1.36
Both teams to score in 2nd half	28.2%	26.4%	—	—	3.79

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	59.4%	60.2%	—	—	1.66
Both score 2nd half only	23.3%	21.3%	—	—	4.70
Both score 1st half only	12.4%	10.8%	—	—	9.30
Both score in both halves	4.9%	5.0%	—	—	20.15

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	82.7%	83.4%	—	—	1.20
Both teams to score by HT	17.3%	16.6%	—	—	6.03

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	54.2%	52.7%	—	—	1.90
A half without a goal	45.8%	47.3%	—	—	2.12

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	46.3%	47.2%	45.7%	1.03×	2.12
4-6 goals	27.1%	26.6%	31.2%	0.85×	3.76
0-1 goals	24.4%	22.9%	21.7%	1.06×	4.36
7+ goals	2.2%	1.8%	1.9%	0.99×	54.34

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dundee to score exactly 0	36.9%	35.9%	33.1%	1.09×	2.78
Dundee to score exactly 1	36.8%	35.9%	30.4%	1.18×	2.78
Dundee to score exactly 2	18.3%	19.5%	22.5%	0.87×	5.12
Dundee to score 3+	8.0%	8.5%	14.5%	0.59×	11.70

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell to score exactly 1	30.6%	32.6%	31.2%	1.04×	3.07
Motherwell to score exactly 2	26.6%	26.5%	25.0%	1.06×	3.77
Motherwell to score 3+	25.2%	26.5%	23.8%	1.12×	3.77
Motherwell to score exactly 0	17.6%	18.8%	20.5%	0.92×	5.32

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	42.0%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Motherwell leading at HT	40.1%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Dundee leading at HT	17.9%	16.0%	—	—	6.26

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell -1: 2	45.1%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Motherwell -1: 1	30.4%	30.0%	—	—	3.33
Motherwell -1: X	24.5%	23.5%	—	—	4.25

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dundee (0:1)	45.1%	46.0%	54.1%	0.85×	2.17
Motherwell (0:1)	30.4%	30.1%	26.4%	1.14×	3.32
Draw (0:1)	24.5%	24.2%	19.6%	1.23×	4.13

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dundee (0:2)	69.6%	72.3%	73.6%	0.98×	1.38
Draw (0:2)	16.8%	15.2%	14.5%	1.05×	6.56
Motherwell (0:2)	13.6%	11.0%	12.2%	0.90×	9.09

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dundee (0:3)	86.4%	90.6%	87.8%	1.03×	1.10
Draw (0:3)	8.6%	5.8%	6.8%	0.85×	17.22
Motherwell (0:3)	5.0%	2.4%	5.6%	0.43×	41.92

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dundee (0:4)	95.0%	98.1%	94.4%	1.04×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	3.4%	1.2%	4.8%	0.26×	81.52
Motherwell (0:4)	1.5%	1.2%	1.0%	1.18×	81.73

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell (1:0)	78.3%	78.6%	69.0%	1.14×	1.27
Draw (1:0)	14.1%	12.7%	17.8%	0.72×	7.86
Dundee (1:0)	7.6%	6.9%	13.4%	0.51×	14.49

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell (2:0)	92.4%	94.0%	86.6%	1.09×	1.06
Draw (2:0)	5.6%	6.4%	7.6%	0.83×	15.68
Dundee (2:0)	2.1%	2.3%	6.0%	0.38×	43.80

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	47.7%	48.7%	—	—	2.06
1st half highest scoring	27.6%	26.2%	—	—	3.81
Halves equal	24.7%	24.5%	—	—	4.08

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell to concede	63.1%	63.7%	66.9%	0.95×	1.57
Motherwell clean sheet	36.9%	36.3%	33.1%	1.10×	2.75

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell clean sheet in 1st half	67.1%	70.6%	—	—	1.42
Motherwell to concede in 1st half	32.9%	29.4%	—	—	3.40

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell clean sheet in 2nd half	55.0%	52.7%	—	—	1.90
Motherwell to concede in 2nd half	45.0%	47.3%	—	—	2.11

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell over 2.5 corners	81.8%	81.0%	—	—	1.24
Motherwell under 6.5 corners	76.1%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Motherwell over 3.5 corners	67.0%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Motherwell under 5.5 corners	64.0%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Motherwell over 4.5 corners	50.9%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Motherwell under 4.5 corners	49.1%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Motherwell over 5.5 corners	36.0%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Motherwell under 3.5 corners	33.0%	33.3%	—	—	3.00
Motherwell over 6.5 corners	23.9%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Motherwell under 2.5 corners	18.2%	19.0%	—	—	5.26

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell under 3.5 goals	90.1%	92.2%	92.1%	1.00×	1.09
Motherwell over 0.5 goals	82.4%	82.2%	79.5%	1.03×	1.22
Motherwell under 2.5 goals	74.8%	74.2%	76.2%	0.97×	1.35
Motherwell over 1.5 goals	51.8%	53.2%	48.6%	1.10×	1.88
Motherwell under 1.5 goals	48.2%	46.8%	51.4%	0.91×	2.14
Motherwell over 2.5 goals	25.2%	25.8%	23.8%	1.08×	3.88
Motherwell under 0.5 goals	17.6%	17.8%	20.5%	0.87×	5.62
Motherwell over 3.5 goals	9.9%	7.8%	7.9%	0.99×	12.81

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell under 1.5 in 1st half	82.8%	84.1%	—	—	1.19
Motherwell over 0.5 in 1st half	52.6%	50.7%	—	—	1.97
Motherwell under 0.5 in 1st half	47.4%	49.3%	—	—	2.03
Motherwell over 1.5 in 1st half	17.2%	15.9%	—	—	6.29

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell scores more in 2nd half	40.1%	41.6%	—	—	2.41
Motherwell scores equally in both	33.3%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Motherwell scores more in 1st half	26.7%	27.8%	—	—	3.60

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	51.8%	51.4%	43.0%	1.20×	1.95
Dundee (home no bet)	48.2%	48.6%	57.0%	0.85×	2.06

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell even goals	51.6%	50.7%	51.7%	0.98×	1.97
Motherwell odd goals	48.4%	49.3%	48.3%	1.02×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	31.8%	33.5%	—	—	2.98
HT 1-0	23.8%	24.4%	—	—	4.10
HT 0-1	12.7%	11.0%	—	—	9.09
HT 1-1	9.4%	6.9%	—	—	14.51
HT 2-0	8.9%	6.9%	—	—	14.52
Any other HT score	4.8%	2.4%	—	—	42.09
HT 2-1	3.5%	2.4%	—	—	42.17
HT 0-2	2.5%	2.4%	—	—	42.24
HT 1-2	1.9%	2.4%	—	—	42.28
HT 2-2	0.7%	2.4%	—	—	42.36

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell at HT / Motherwell at FT	33.7%	33.0%	—	—	3.03
Draw at HT / Motherwell at FT	18.5%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	14.3%	12.7%	—	—	7.88
Dundee at HT / Dundee at FT	11.0%	12.7%	—	—	7.90
Draw at HT / Dundee at FT	9.2%	6.1%	—	—	16.43
Motherwell at HT / Draw at FT	4.9%	3.5%	—	—	28.84
Dundee at HT / Draw at FT	4.3%	3.5%	—	—	28.86
Dundee at HT / Motherwell at FT	2.6%	3.5%	—	—	28.92
Motherwell at HT / Dundee at FT	1.6%	3.5%	—	—	28.96

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell to score last	59.5%	56.8%	—	—	1.76
Dundee to score last	34.2%	32.6%	—	—	3.06
No goal scored	6.4%	7.5%	—	—	13.27

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	93.6%	92.6%	—	—	1.08
Motherwell to lead by 1 at any time	68.1%	69.4%	—	—	1.44
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	48.6%	44.4%	—	—	2.25
Dundee to lead by 1 at any time	39.1%	34.9%	—	—	2.87
Motherwell to lead by 2 at any time	36.7%	34.8%	—	—	2.87
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	19.0%	14.9%	—	—	6.73
Motherwell to lead by 3 at any time	16.0%	14.8%	—	—	6.76
Dundee to lead by 2 at any time	12.1%	10.6%	—	—	9.44
Dundee to lead by 3 at any time	3.0%	1.6%	—	—	62.27

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell most corners	58.1%	55.6%	—	—	1.80
Dundee most corners	30.2%	34.4%	—	—	2.91
Corners level	11.7%	10.4%	—	—	9.58

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	87.7%	87.4%	87.0%	1.00×	1.14
1-4 goals	79.4%	78.7%	79.8%	0.99×	1.27
2-6 goals	73.4%	72.3%	76.7%	0.94×	1.38
2-5 goals	69.7%	68.8%	71.1%	0.97×	1.45
1-3 goals	64.3%	63.3%	61.6%	1.03×	1.58
2-4 goals	61.4%	63.3%	63.8%	0.99×	1.58
3-6 goals	49.3%	48.4%	55.2%	0.88×	2.06
2-3 goals	46.3%	48.4%	45.7%	1.06×	2.06
3-5 goals	45.5%	48.4%	49.6%	0.98×	2.06
1-2 goals	42.2%	43.6%	37.6%	1.16×	2.29
3-4 goals	37.2%	39.2%	42.4%	0.92×	2.55
4-6 goals	27.1%	30.2%	31.2%	0.97×	3.31
4-5 goals	23.4%	24.5%	25.6%	0.95×	4.09
5-6 goals	12.0%	14.8%	13.0%	1.14×	6.76
7+ goals	2.2%	2.6%	1.9%	1.37×	39.17

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell never behind	54.5%	62.5%	—	—	1.60
Dundee never behind	25.5%	29.7%	—	—	3.37

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of goals	49.9%	50.9%	51.2%	0.99×	1.97
Odd number of goals	50.1%	49.1%	48.8%	1.01×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	55.0%	57.7%	—	—	1.73
Odd goals in 1st half	45.0%	42.3%	—	—	2.37

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	52.0%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	48.0%	48.0%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	94.1%	92.3%	92.6%	1.00×	1.08
Over 0.5 goals	93.6%	92.3%	94.2%	0.98×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	85.8%	87.6%	85.3%	1.03×	1.14
Over 1.5 goals	75.6%	77.3%	78.3%	0.99×	1.29
Under 3.5 goals	70.7%	72.5%	67.1%	1.08×	1.38
Over 2.5 goals	51.4%	52.5%	56.8%	0.92×	1.90
Under 2.5 goals	48.6%	47.5%	43.2%	1.10×	2.11
Over 3.5 goals	29.3%	27.5%	32.9%	0.84×	3.63
Under 1.5 goals	24.4%	22.7%	21.7%	1.05×	4.40
Over 4.5 goals	14.2%	12.4%	14.7%	0.85×	8.06
Under 0.5 goals	6.4%	7.7%	5.8%	1.34×	12.94
Over 5.5 goals	5.9%	7.7%	7.4%	1.04×	12.94

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	97.7%	97.2%	98.0%	0.99×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	93.5%	92.4%	92.0%	1.00×	1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	83.3%	81.1%	82.1%	0.99×	1.23
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	67.8%	67.5%	72.4%	0.93×	1.48
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	62.4%	61.9%	56.8%	1.09×	1.62
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	37.6%	38.1%	43.2%	0.88×	2.63
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	32.2%	32.5%	27.6%	1.18×	3.08
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	16.7%	18.9%	17.9%	1.05×	5.29
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	6.5%	7.6%	8.0%	0.95×	13.20
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	2.3%	2.8%	2.0%	1.43×	35.62

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	89.1%	89.1%	—	—	1.12
Under 1.5 in 1st half	68.3%	68.6%	—	—	1.46
Over 0.5 in 1st half	68.2%	68.6%	—	—	1.46
Under 0.5 in 1st half	31.8%	31.4%	—	—	3.18
Over 1.5 in 1st half	31.7%	31.4%	—	—	3.18
Over 2.5 in 1st half	10.9%	10.9%	—	—	9.15

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	79.6%	79.6%	—	—	1.26
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	78.7%	79.5%	—	—	1.26
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	52.9%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	47.1%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	21.3%	20.5%	—	—	4.89
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	20.4%	20.4%	—	—	4.89

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dundee not to score in both halves	85.2%	85.4%	—	—	1.17
Motherwell not to score in both halves	67.0%	70.0%	—	—	1.43
Motherwell to score in both halves	33.0%	30.0%	—	—	3.34
Dundee to score in both halves	14.8%	14.6%	—	—	6.87

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	51.8%	53.8%	52.3%	1.03×	1.86
Only Motherwell scores	30.5%	33.3%	27.5%	1.21×	3.01
Only Dundee scores	11.3%	11.0%	14.9%	0.74×	9.07
Neither team scores	6.4%	7.1%	5.8%	1.23×	14.01

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	24.1%	22.6%	21.7%	1.04×	4.43
Exactly 3 goals	22.1%	22.6%	24.2%	0.93×	4.43
Exactly 1 goals	18.0%	17.5%	16.1%	1.08×	5.73
Exactly 4 goals	15.1%	17.4%	18.4%	0.95×	5.73
Exactly 5 goals	8.3%	7.6%	7.4%	1.02×	13.13
Exactly 0 goals	6.4%	7.6%	5.8%	1.32×	13.14
6 or more goals	5.9%	7.6%	7.4%	1.02×	13.14

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	36.5%	37.2%	—	—	2.69
No goals in 1st half	31.8%	35.7%	—	—	2.80
2 goals in 1st half	20.8%	21.4%	—	—	4.68
3+ goals in 1st half	10.9%	10.8%	—	—	9.23

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	47.1%	44.8%	—	—	2.23
1 goal in 2nd half	32.5%	33.9%	—	—	2.95
No goals in 2nd half	20.4%	22.8%	—	—	4.38

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dundee not to win both halves	96.1%	97.2%	—	—	1.03
Motherwell not to win both halves	82.4%	83.4%	—	—	1.20
Motherwell to win both halves	17.6%	16.6%	—	—	6.04
Dundee to win both halves	3.9%	2.8%	—	—	35.62

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell to win either half	66.5%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Dundee to win neither half	64.3%	65.0%	—	—	1.54
Dundee to win either half	35.7%	35.0%	—	—	2.86
Motherwell to win neither half	33.5%	32.2%	—	—	3.11

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dundee not to win to nil	88.7%	88.1%	85.1%	1.04×	1.14
Motherwell not to win to nil	69.5%	69.7%	72.5%	0.96×	1.43
Motherwell to win to nil	30.5%	30.3%	27.5%	1.10×	3.30
Dundee to win to nil	11.3%	11.9%	14.9%	0.80×	8.42

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell by 1	24.5%	24.1%	19.6%	1.23×	4.15
Draw	23.4%	24.1%	23.3%	1.03×	4.15
Motherwell by 2	16.8%	17.0%	14.5%	1.18×	5.87
Dundee by 1	14.1%	11.8%	17.8%	0.66×	8.50
Motherwell by 3+	13.6%	11.8%	12.2%	0.96×	8.50
Dundee by 2	5.6%	7.2%	7.6%	0.94×	13.92
Dundee by 3+	2.1%	2.7%	6.0%	0.45×	36.91