Motherwell v Hibernian — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 28 November 2026 · SCO-Premiership · 2627

SCO-Premiership results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Motherwell

15:00 UTC

Hibernian

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 26 Oct, 10:59 · 796h before kick-off

Motherwell win

46.9%

model 45.3%

Draw

26.5%

model 25.5%

Hibernian win

26.6%

model 29.2%

472627

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (522 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 12.1%
1-0 10.9%
2-1 9.1%
0-1 8.4%
2-0 8.0%

Goals

Over 2.5	48.9%	Under 2.5	51.1%
BTTS yes	52.5%	BTTS no	47.5%
Motherwell 1+	77.4%	Motherwell 2+	43.8%
Hibernian 1+	68.1%	Hibernian 2+	31.6%

Expected goals 1.49 – 1.14. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

79/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

98%

★ Best pick

Under 2.5 goals

Over/Under · usually 43%

52.8% fair odds 1.89

moderate signal · 1367 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Hibernian not to win to nil

Win to nil · usually 85%

83.3% fair odds 1.20

moderate signal · 1180 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Form is good: 2.20 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Motherwell have an estimated 46.9% win probability, against 26.6% for Hibernian and 26.5% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.49 for Motherwell and 1.14 for Hibernian.

Why Motherwell

Form is good: 2.20 points a match from the last five.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 26.5%. Draws run at 23% in this competition.

Why Hibernian can win

Nothing in the data singles out Hibernian.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Motherwell, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Hibernian, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Motherwell: 57% possession, 16.2 shots a match, 13.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Hibernian: 36% possession, 12.6 shots a match, 11.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-26 10:06 · team_stats 2026-10-26 06:08 · availability 2026-10-26 14:59 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Motherwell are the model's most likely outcome at 46.9%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 12.1%. Confidence 79/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	452529	1.49–1.14	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	432630	1.39–1.11	1-1 13%	46%	50%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell to win	43.3%	42.9%	45.9%	0.94×	2.33
Hibernian to win	30.3%	30.4%	31.0%	0.98×	3.29
Draw	26.4%	27.9%	23.3%	1.20×	3.58

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell & not both score	24.8%	21.8%	27.5%	0.79×	4.59
Motherwell & both teams score	18.5%	18.0%	18.6%	0.97×	5.56
Draw & both teams score	18.3%	18.0%	17.8%	1.01×	5.56
Hibernian & not both score	17.0%	18.0%	14.9%	1.21×	5.57
Hibernian & both teams score	13.4%	13.3%	16.3%	0.81×	7.54
Draw & not both score	8.1%	8.3%	5.8%	1.44×	12.00

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell & under 3.5	31.9%	30.7%	30.2%	1.02×	3.25
Motherwell & over 1.5	31.7%	30.7%	36.6%	0.84×	3.25
Motherwell & over 2.5	23.8%	21.6%	28.1%	0.77×	4.63
Hibernian & under 3.5	23.3%	21.6%	22.5%	0.96×	4.63
Hibernian & over 1.5	21.0%	21.6%	24.4%	0.89×	4.63
Draw & under 2.5	20.6%	21.6%	14.9%	1.45×	4.63
Draw & under 3.5	20.6%	21.6%	14.9%	1.45×	4.63
Motherwell & under 2.5	19.5%	18.0%	18.0%	1.00×	5.55
Draw & over 1.5	18.3%	18.0%	17.8%	1.01×	5.55
Hibernian & over 2.5	15.9%	18.0%	20.5%	0.88×	5.56
Hibernian & under 2.5	14.4%	12.8%	10.7%	1.19×	7.79
Motherwell & under 1.5	11.6%	12.8%	9.5%	1.35×	7.79
Motherwell & over 3.5	11.4%	12.8%	15.9%	0.81×	7.79
Hibernian & under 1.5	9.3%	7.9%	6.8%	1.16×	12.63
Draw & under 1.5	8.1%	7.9%	5.8%	1.37×	12.63
Hibernian & over 3.5	7.0%	7.9%	8.7%	0.91×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	5.8%	7.9%	8.7%	0.91×	12.63
Draw & over 3.5	5.8%	7.9%	8.7%	0.91×	12.63

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell (1UP)	58.0%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Hibernian (1UP)	46.6%	43.8%	—	—	2.28

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell (2UP)	43.3%	47.1%	—	—	2.12
Hibernian (2UP)	30.3%	30.1%	—	—	3.32

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half drawn	37.2%	36.5%	—	—	2.74
Motherwell to win 2nd half	35.0%	36.4%	—	—	2.75
Hibernian to win 2nd half	27.8%	26.1%	—	—	3.83

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hibernian under 1.5 in 2nd half	85.6%	87.0%	—	—	1.15
Hibernian under 0.5 in 2nd half	51.3%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
Hibernian over 0.5 in 2nd half	48.7%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
Hibernian over 1.5 in 2nd half	14.4%	13.0%	—	—	7.70

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell under 1.5 in 2nd half	81.3%	82.3%	—	—	1.21
Motherwell over 0.5 in 2nd half	54.6%	55.0%	—	—	1.82
Motherwell under 0.5 in 2nd half	45.4%	45.0%	—	—	2.22
Motherwell over 1.5 in 2nd half	18.7%	17.7%	—	—	5.67

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hibernian (+2.5)	92.4%	92.1%	87.8%	1.05×	1.09
Hibernian (+1.5)	79.6%	78.5%	73.6%	1.07×	1.27
Motherwell (+0.5)	69.7%	68.7%	69.0%	1.00×	1.46
Hibernian (+0.5)	56.7%	57.1%	54.1%	1.05×	1.75
Motherwell (-0.5)	43.3%	42.9%	45.9%	0.94×	2.33
Hibernian (-0.5)	30.3%	31.3%	31.0%	1.01×	3.19
Motherwell (-1.5)	20.4%	21.5%	26.4%	0.81×	4.65
Motherwell (-2.5)	7.6%	7.9%	12.2%	0.65×	12.70

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hibernian to concede	75.0%	76.7%	79.5%	0.96×	1.30
Hibernian clean sheet	25.0%	23.3%	20.5%	1.14×	4.30

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hibernian clean sheet in 1st half	55.1%	56.3%	—	—	1.78
Hibernian to concede in 1st half	44.9%	43.7%	—	—	2.29

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hibernian to concede in 2nd half	54.6%	54.5%	—	—	1.83
Hibernian clean sheet in 2nd half	45.4%	45.5%	—	—	2.20

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hibernian under 6.5 corners	83.7%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
Hibernian over 2.5 corners	75.2%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
Hibernian under 5.5 corners	73.2%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Hibernian under 4.5 corners	59.1%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Hibernian over 3.5 corners	57.9%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Hibernian under 3.5 corners	42.1%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
Hibernian over 4.5 corners	40.9%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
Hibernian over 5.5 corners	26.8%	28.4%	—	—	3.53
Hibernian under 2.5 corners	24.8%	24.0%	—	—	4.17
Hibernian over 6.5 corners	16.3%	18.6%	—	—	5.38

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hibernian under 3.5 goals	97.3%	97.5%	96.3%	1.01×	1.03
Hibernian under 2.5 goals	89.8%	87.8%	85.5%	1.03×	1.14
Hibernian under 1.5 goals	69.5%	68.0%	63.2%	1.08×	1.47
Hibernian over 0.5 goals	67.1%	68.0%	66.9%	1.02×	1.47
Hibernian under 0.5 goals	32.9%	32.0%	33.1%	0.97×	3.13
Hibernian over 1.5 goals	30.5%	32.0%	36.8%	0.87×	3.13
Hibernian over 2.5 goals	10.2%	12.2%	14.5%	0.84×	8.21
Hibernian over 3.5 goals	2.7%	2.5%	3.7%	0.68×	39.83

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hibernian under 1.5 in 1st half	92.6%	93.9%	—	—	1.07
Hibernian under 0.5 in 1st half	64.1%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
Hibernian over 0.5 in 1st half	35.9%	36.7%	—	—	2.73
Hibernian over 1.5 in 1st half	7.4%	6.1%	—	—	16.47

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hibernian scores equally in both	43.4%	43.7%	—	—	2.29
Hibernian scores more in 2nd half	35.5%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
Hibernian scores more in 1st half	21.1%	21.8%	—	—	4.59

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell (away no bet)	62.1%	61.9%	66.3%	0.93×	1.62
Draw (away no bet)	37.9%	38.1%	33.7%	1.13×	2.63

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hibernian even goals	55.4%	56.9%	57.6%	0.99×	1.76
Hibernian odd goals	44.6%	43.1%	42.4%	1.02×	2.32

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	88.1%	87.9%	—	—	1.14
Both halves over 1.5 goals	11.9%	12.1%	—	—	8.28

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	58.7%	60.5%	—	—	1.65
Both halves under 1.5 goals	41.3%	39.5%	—	—	2.53

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	51.1%	50.8%	—	—	1.97
Motherwell to score 2+ in a row	32.9%	28.9%	—	—	3.46
Hibernian to score 2+ in a row	23.2%	19.5%	—	—	5.12
Either team to score 3+ in a row	16.7%	16.1%	—	—	6.20
Motherwell to score 3+ in a row	10.9%	12.1%	—	—	8.26
Hibernian to score 3+ in a row	6.0%	5.5%	—	—	18.28

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell corners (+3.5)	88.6%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Motherwell corners (+2.5)	82.0%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Hibernian corners (+3.5)	80.5%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Motherwell corners (+1.5)	73.2%	70.8%	—	—	1.41
Hibernian corners (+2.5)	71.6%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Hibernian corners (+1.5)	60.9%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Motherwell corners (-1.5)	39.1%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Motherwell corners (-2.5)	28.4%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Hibernian corners (-1.5)	26.8%	29.2%	—	—	3.42
Motherwell corners (-3.5)	19.5%	20.2%	—	—	4.94
Hibernian corners (-2.5)	18.0%	20.2%	—	—	4.95
Hibernian corners (-3.5)	11.4%	15.5%	—	—	6.45

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	46.7%	41.7%	—	—	2.40
9-11 corners	30.3%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
12+ corners	23.0%	25.7%	—	—	3.90

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	83.9%	80.7%	—	—	1.24
Under 11.5 corners	77.0%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Under 10.5 corners	68.3%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Over 7.5 corners	64.9%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
Under 9.5 corners	58.1%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Over 8.5 corners	53.3%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Under 8.5 corners	46.7%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Over 9.5 corners	41.9%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
Under 7.5 corners	35.1%	36.7%	—	—	2.72
Over 10.5 corners	31.7%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Over 11.5 corners	23.0%	23.4%	—	—	4.27
Over 12.5 corners	16.1%	19.3%	—	—	5.17

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	12.5%	11.5%	9.3%	1.23×	8.71
1-0	11.6%	11.5%	9.5%	1.21×	8.71
0-1	9.3%	7.4%	6.8%	1.09×	13.51
2-1	8.8%	7.4%	7.0%	1.05×	13.51
0-0	8.1%	7.4%	5.8%	1.28×	13.51
1-2	7.1%	7.4%	8.9%	0.83×	13.51
2-0	7.9%	7.4%	8.7%	0.85×	13.51
0-2	5.1%	7.4%	4.1%	1.79×	13.51
2-2	4.9%	1.7%	6.6%	0.26×	58.29
0-3	1.9%	1.7%	3.3%	0.52×	58.31
0-4	0.5%	1.7%	0.4%	4.15×	58.32
1-3	2.6%	1.7%	3.1%	0.55×	58.30
1-4	0.7%	1.7%	0.8%	2.08×	58.32
2-3	1.8%	1.7%	2.3%	0.75×	58.31
2-4	0.5%	1.7%	0.8%	2.07×	58.32
3-0	3.6%	1.7%	5.6%	0.31×	58.30
3-1	4.1%	1.7%	5.6%	0.31×	58.30
3-2	2.3%	1.7%	2.9%	0.59×	58.31
3-3	0.8%	1.7%	2.3%	0.75×	58.31
3-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.4%	4.15×	58.32
4-0	1.3%	1.7%	3.5%	0.49×	58.31
4-1	1.4%	1.7%	1.4%	1.19×	58.31
4-2	0.8%	1.7%	0.6%	2.77×	58.31
4-3	0.3%	1.7%	0.8%	2.07×	58.32
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.2%	8.30×	58.32
Any other score	1.9%	1.7%	4.1%	0.42×	58.31

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell (2nd half DNB)	55.8%	59.2%	—	—	1.69
Hibernian (2nd half DNB)	44.2%	40.8%	—	—	2.45

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell leading at HT (DNB)	59.2%	55.8%	—	—	1.79
Hibernian leading at HT (DNB)	40.8%	44.2%	—	—	2.26

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell or Hibernian (12)	73.6%	72.1%	76.7%	0.94×	1.39
Motherwell or draw (1X)	69.7%	69.6%	69.0%	1.01×	1.44
Hibernian or draw (X2)	56.7%	57.1%	54.1%	1.05×	1.75

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell or draw at HT	77.6%	79.6%	—	—	1.26
Hibernian or draw at HT	67.6%	67.2%	—	—	1.49
Motherwell or Hibernian at HT	54.7%	48.7%	—	—	2.05

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell or draw (1UP)	69.7%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Hibernian or draw (1UP)	56.7%	62.9%	—	—	1.59

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell or draw in 2nd half	72.2%	73.9%	—	—	1.35
Hibernian or draw in 2nd half	65.0%	63.6%	—	—	1.57
Motherwell or Hibernian in 2nd half	62.8%	63.5%	—	—	1.57

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	65.8%	68.0%	—	—	1.47
Neither half drawn	34.2%	32.0%	—	—	3.13

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell (DNB)	58.8%	58.1%	59.7%	0.97×	1.72
Hibernian (DNB)	41.2%	41.9%	40.3%	1.04×	2.39

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell to score first	51.0%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Hibernian to score first	40.9%	41.6%	—	—	2.40
No goal scored	8.1%	7.6%	—	—	13.17

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	50.2%	51.3%	52.3%	0.98×	1.95
Not both teams to score	49.8%	48.7%	47.7%	1.02×	2.05

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	41.9%	41.6%	34.1%	1.22×	2.41
Both score & over 2.5	37.6%	38.5%	43.2%	0.89×	2.60
Both score & under 2.5	12.5%	12.4%	9.3%	1.33×	8.09
Not both score & over 2.5	7.9%	8.3%	13.8%	0.60×	12.07

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	87.7%	85.6%	83.9%	1.02×	1.17
Both teams to score 2+	12.3%	14.4%	16.1%	0.89×	6.95

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	73.5%	73.7%	—	—	1.36
Both teams to score in 2nd half	26.5%	26.3%	—	—	3.80

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	61.7%	65.8%	—	—	1.52
Both score 2nd half only	22.2%	21.2%	—	—	4.71
Both score 1st half only	11.8%	10.7%	—	—	9.31
Both score in both halves	4.3%	4.9%	—	—	20.28

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	83.9%	83.5%	—	—	1.20
Both teams to score by HT	16.1%	16.5%	—	—	6.05

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half without a goal	50.5%	52.5%	—	—	1.90
A goal in each half	49.5%	47.5%	—	—	2.11

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	46.9%	47.2%	45.7%	1.03×	2.12
0-1 goals	28.9%	26.6%	21.7%	1.23×	3.76
4-6 goals	22.8%	22.9%	31.2%	0.74×	4.36
7+ goals	1.4%	1.8%	1.9%	0.99×	54.42

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hibernian to score exactly 1	36.6%	35.9%	30.4%	1.18×	2.78
Hibernian to score exactly 0	32.9%	33.8%	33.1%	1.02×	2.96
Hibernian to score exactly 2	20.3%	22.3%	22.5%	0.99×	4.49
Hibernian to score 3+	10.2%	12.9%	14.5%	0.89×	7.77

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell to score exactly 1	34.7%	32.6%	31.2%	1.04×	3.07
Motherwell to score exactly 0	25.0%	26.5%	20.5%	1.30×	3.77
Motherwell to score exactly 2	24.0%	23.3%	25.0%	0.93×	4.29
Motherwell to score 3+	16.3%	18.8%	23.8%	0.79×	5.32

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	45.3%	51.3%	—	—	1.95
Motherwell leading at HT	32.4%	32.8%	—	—	3.05
Hibernian leading at HT	22.4%	20.4%	—	—	4.90

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell -1: 2	56.7%	56.8%	—	—	1.76
Motherwell -1: X	22.9%	23.5%	—	—	4.25
Motherwell -1: 1	20.4%	23.5%	—	—	4.26

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hibernian (0:1)	56.7%	55.8%	54.1%	1.03×	1.79
Draw (0:1)	22.9%	24.2%	19.6%	1.23×	4.13
Motherwell (0:1)	20.4%	24.2%	26.4%	0.92×	4.13

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hibernian (0:2)	79.6%	79.4%	73.6%	1.08×	1.26
Draw (0:2)	12.8%	11.0%	14.5%	0.76×	9.10
Motherwell (0:2)	7.6%	7.7%	12.2%	0.63×	13.05

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hibernian (0:3)	92.4%	92.7%	87.8%	1.06×	1.08
Draw (0:3)	5.3%	5.8%	6.8%	0.85×	17.28
Motherwell (0:3)	2.3%	2.4%	5.6%	0.43×	42.04

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hibernian (0:4)	97.7%	98.1%	94.4%	1.04×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	1.7%	1.2%	4.8%	0.26×	81.71
Motherwell (0:4)	0.6%	1.2%	1.0%	1.18×	81.84

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell (1:0)	69.7%	70.2%	69.0%	1.02×	1.42
Draw (1:0)	18.4%	17.1%	17.8%	0.96×	5.85
Hibernian (1:0)	11.9%	12.7%	13.4%	0.95×	7.87

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell (2:0)	88.1%	88.5%	86.6%	1.02×	1.13
Draw (2:0)	8.3%	6.4%	7.6%	0.84×	15.65
Hibernian (2:0)	3.6%	2.3%	6.0%	0.38×	43.70

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	46.8%	48.6%	—	—	2.06
1st half highest scoring	27.1%	26.2%	—	—	3.81
Halves equal	26.1%	26.2%	—	—	3.81

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell to concede	67.1%	66.7%	66.9%	1.00×	1.50
Motherwell clean sheet	32.9%	33.3%	33.1%	1.01×	3.00

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell clean sheet in 1st half	64.1%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Motherwell to concede in 1st half	35.9%	36.8%	—	—	2.72

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell clean sheet in 2nd half	51.3%	52.5%	—	—	1.90
Motherwell to concede in 2nd half	48.7%	47.5%	—	—	2.11

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell over 2.5 corners	81.6%	81.0%	—	—	1.24
Motherwell under 6.5 corners	76.3%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Motherwell over 3.5 corners	66.8%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Motherwell under 5.5 corners	64.2%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Motherwell over 4.5 corners	50.6%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Motherwell under 4.5 corners	49.4%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Motherwell over 5.5 corners	35.8%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Motherwell under 3.5 corners	33.2%	33.3%	—	—	3.00
Motherwell over 6.5 corners	23.7%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Motherwell under 2.5 corners	18.4%	19.0%	—	—	5.26

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell under 3.5 goals	94.8%	92.2%	92.1%	1.00×	1.08
Motherwell under 2.5 goals	83.7%	82.2%	76.2%	1.08×	1.22
Motherwell over 0.5 goals	75.0%	74.2%	79.5%	0.93×	1.35
Motherwell under 1.5 goals	59.7%	58.7%	51.4%	1.14×	1.71
Motherwell over 1.5 goals	40.3%	41.3%	48.6%	0.85×	2.42
Motherwell under 0.5 goals	25.0%	25.8%	20.5%	1.26×	3.88
Motherwell over 2.5 goals	16.3%	17.8%	23.8%	0.75×	5.62
Motherwell over 3.5 goals	5.2%	7.8%	7.9%	0.99×	12.86

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell under 1.5 in 1st half	88.0%	90.2%	—	—	1.11
Motherwell under 0.5 in 1st half	55.1%	56.1%	—	—	1.78
Motherwell over 0.5 in 1st half	44.9%	43.9%	—	—	2.28
Motherwell over 1.5 in 1st half	12.0%	9.8%	—	—	10.20

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell scores equally in both	38.3%	38.1%	—	—	2.62
Motherwell scores more in 2nd half	36.7%	38.1%	—	—	2.62
Motherwell scores more in 1st half	25.0%	27.8%	—	—	3.60

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hibernian (home no bet)	53.4%	51.5%	57.0%	0.90×	1.94
Draw (home no bet)	46.6%	48.5%	43.0%	1.13×	2.06

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell even goals	53.1%	50.8%	51.7%	0.98×	1.97
Motherwell odd goals	46.9%	49.2%	48.3%	1.02×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	35.3%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
HT 1-0	21.1%	24.3%	—	—	4.11
HT 0-1	15.7%	18.5%	—	—	5.39
HT 1-1	9.3%	6.9%	—	—	14.51
HT 2-0	6.3%	6.9%	—	—	14.56
HT 0-2	3.5%	2.4%	—	—	42.17
Any other HT score	3.3%	2.4%	—	—	42.19
HT 2-1	2.8%	2.4%	—	—	42.22
HT 1-2	2.1%	2.4%	—	—	42.27
HT 2-2	0.6%	2.4%	—	—	42.36

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell at HT / Motherwell at FT	25.2%	27.2%	—	—	3.68
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	16.7%	16.8%	—	—	5.97
Draw at HT / Motherwell at FT	15.9%	16.7%	—	—	5.97
Hibernian at HT / Hibernian at FT	15.7%	16.7%	—	—	5.97
Draw at HT / Hibernian at FT	12.7%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
Motherwell at HT / Draw at FT	5.2%	6.0%	—	—	16.54
Hibernian at HT / Draw at FT	4.5%	3.5%	—	—	28.85
Hibernian at HT / Motherwell at FT	2.1%	3.5%	—	—	28.94
Motherwell at HT / Hibernian at FT	2.0%	3.5%	—	—	28.95

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell to score last	51.0%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Hibernian to score last	40.9%	39.9%	—	—	2.50
No goal scored	8.1%	7.6%	—	—	13.17

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	91.9%	92.5%	—	—	1.08
Motherwell to lead by 1 at any time	58.0%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Hibernian to lead by 1 at any time	46.6%	44.3%	—	—	2.26
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	42.6%	39.2%	—	—	2.55
Motherwell to lead by 2 at any time	26.0%	25.2%	—	—	3.96
Hibernian to lead by 2 at any time	16.8%	14.8%	—	—	6.75
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	14.1%	10.6%	—	—	9.40
Motherwell to lead by 3 at any time	9.3%	6.7%	—	—	14.96
Hibernian to lead by 3 at any time	4.8%	1.6%	—	—	60.63

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell most corners	50.8%	51.6%	—	—	1.94
Hibernian most corners	37.4%	39.3%	—	—	2.54
Corners level	11.7%	10.4%	—	—	9.58

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	87.7%	87.4%	87.0%	1.00×	1.14
1-4 goals	81.1%	83.4%	79.8%	1.05×	1.20
2-6 goals	69.6%	68.8%	76.7%	0.90×	1.45
1-3 goals	67.7%	68.8%	61.6%	1.12×	1.45
2-5 goals	66.9%	68.8%	71.1%	0.97×	1.45
2-4 goals	60.2%	63.3%	63.8%	0.99×	1.58
2-3 goals	46.9%	48.4%	45.7%	1.06×	2.06
1-2 goals	46.4%	48.4%	37.6%	1.29×	2.06
3-6 goals	44.1%	43.6%	55.2%	0.79×	2.29
3-5 goals	41.4%	43.6%	49.6%	0.88×	2.29
3-4 goals	34.7%	35.2%	42.4%	0.83×	2.84
4-6 goals	22.8%	24.5%	31.2%	0.78×	4.09
4-5 goals	20.0%	18.8%	25.6%	0.74×	5.31
5-6 goals	9.4%	8.9%	13.0%	0.68×	11.25
7+ goals	1.4%	2.6%	1.9%	1.37×	39.21

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell never behind	45.3%	56.6%	—	—	1.77
Hibernian never behind	33.9%	36.4%	—	—	2.75

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	50.0%	50.9%	48.8%	1.04×	1.97
Even number of goals	50.0%	49.1%	51.2%	0.96×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	56.2%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Odd goals in 1st half	43.8%	42.2%	—	—	2.37

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	52.6%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	47.4%	48.0%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	95.8%	95.4%	92.6%	1.03×	1.05
Over 0.5 goals	91.9%	92.3%	94.2%	0.98×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	89.2%	87.6%	85.3%	1.03×	1.14
Under 3.5 goals	75.8%	77.3%	67.1%	1.15×	1.29
Over 1.5 goals	71.1%	72.5%	78.3%	0.93×	1.38
Under 2.5 goals	54.5%	52.5%	43.2%	1.22×	1.90
Over 2.5 goals	45.5%	47.5%	56.8%	0.84×	2.11
Under 1.5 goals	28.9%	27.5%	21.7%	1.27×	3.63
Over 3.5 goals	24.2%	22.7%	32.9%	0.69×	4.40
Over 4.5 goals	10.8%	12.4%	14.7%	0.84×	8.07
Under 0.5 goals	8.1%	7.7%	5.8%	1.34×	12.93
Over 5.5 goals	4.2%	4.6%	7.4%	0.62×	21.81

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	98.6%	97.2%	98.0%	0.99×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	95.5%	97.2%	92.0%	1.06×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	87.5%	86.7%	82.1%	1.06×	1.15
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	69.3%	67.5%	56.8%	1.19×	1.48
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	61.1%	61.9%	72.4%	0.86×	1.62
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	38.9%	38.1%	27.6%	1.38×	2.63
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	30.7%	32.5%	43.2%	0.75×	3.08
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	12.5%	13.3%	17.9%	0.74×	7.54
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	4.5%	2.8%	8.0%	0.35×	35.55
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	1.4%	2.8%	2.0%	1.42×	35.64

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	91.2%	92.7%	—	—	1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half	72.1%	71.4%	—	—	1.40
Over 0.5 in 1st half	64.7%	63.5%	—	—	1.58
Under 0.5 in 1st half	35.3%	36.5%	—	—	2.74
Over 1.5 in 1st half	27.9%	28.6%	—	—	3.49
Over 2.5 in 1st half	8.8%	7.3%	—	—	13.73

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	82.0%	83.0%	—	—	1.21
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	76.8%	79.5%	—	—	1.26
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	57.3%	55.1%	—	—	1.81
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	42.7%	44.9%	—	—	2.23
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	23.2%	20.5%	—	—	4.88
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	18.0%	17.0%	—	—	5.87

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hibernian not to score in both halves	82.5%	84.3%	—	—	1.19
Motherwell not to score in both halves	75.5%	78.3%	—	—	1.28
Motherwell to score in both halves	24.5%	21.7%	—	—	4.61
Hibernian to score in both halves	17.5%	15.7%	—	—	6.37

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	50.2%	53.8%	52.3%	1.03×	1.86
Only Motherwell scores	24.8%	22.3%	27.5%	0.81×	4.49
Only Hibernian scores	17.0%	16.0%	14.9%	1.08×	6.24
Neither team scores	8.1%	7.1%	5.8%	1.23×	14.00

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	25.5%	24.9%	21.7%	1.15×	4.02
Exactly 3 goals	21.4%	22.6%	24.2%	0.93×	4.43
Exactly 1 goals	20.9%	22.6%	16.1%	1.40×	4.43
Exactly 4 goals	13.3%	12.1%	18.4%	0.66×	8.25
Exactly 0 goals	8.1%	7.6%	5.8%	1.32×	13.13
Exactly 5 goals	6.7%	7.6%	7.4%	1.02×	13.14
6 or more goals	4.2%	4.5%	7.4%	0.60×	22.34

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	36.8%	37.2%	—	—	2.69
No goals in 1st half	35.3%	37.2%	—	—	2.69
2 goals in 1st half	19.1%	15.8%	—	—	6.34
3+ goals in 1st half	8.8%	7.3%	—	—	13.73

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	42.7%	44.7%	—	—	2.24
1 goal in 2nd half	34.0%	34.0%	—	—	2.94
No goals in 2nd half	23.2%	22.9%	—	—	4.36

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hibernian not to win both halves	93.8%	94.2%	—	—	1.06
Motherwell not to win both halves	88.7%	88.0%	—	—	1.14
Motherwell to win both halves	11.3%	12.0%	—	—	8.33
Hibernian to win both halves	6.2%	5.8%	—	—	17.21

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell to win either half	56.1%	59.0%	—	—	1.70
Hibernian to win neither half	56.1%	59.0%	—	—	1.70
Hibernian to win either half	43.9%	41.0%	—	—	2.44
Motherwell to win neither half	43.9%	41.0%	—	—	2.44

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hibernian not to win to nil	83.0%	83.1%	85.1%	0.98×	1.20
Motherwell not to win to nil	75.2%	78.1%	72.5%	1.08×	1.28
Motherwell to win to nil	24.8%	21.9%	27.5%	0.80×	4.57
Hibernian to win to nil	17.0%	16.9%	14.9%	1.14×	5.91

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	26.4%	27.9%	23.3%	1.19×	3.59
Motherwell by 1	22.9%	24.1%	19.6%	1.23×	4.15
Hibernian by 1	18.4%	17.0%	17.8%	0.96×	5.87
Motherwell by 2	12.8%	11.8%	14.5%	0.81×	8.50
Hibernian by 2	8.3%	7.2%	7.6%	0.94×	13.91
Motherwell by 3+	7.6%	7.2%	12.2%	0.59×	13.91
Hibernian by 3+	3.6%	2.7%	6.0%	0.45×	36.86