Motherwell v Rangers — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 21 November 2026 · SCO-Premiership · 2627

SCO-Premiership results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Motherwell

15:00 UTC

Rangers

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 27 Oct, 10:57 · 604h before kick-off

Motherwell win

31.0%

model 34.5%

Draw

23.8%

model 24.2%

Rangers win

45.2%

model 41.3%

312445

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (624 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 11.3%
1-2 8.8%
0-1 8.3%
2-1 7.9%
1-0 7.5%

Goals

Over 2.5	56.2%	Under 2.5	43.8%
BTTS yes	58.9%	BTTS no	41.1%
Motherwell 1+	75.1%	Motherwell 2+	40.5%
Rangers 1+	78.6%	Rangers 2+	45.7%

Expected goals 1.39 – 1.54. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

77/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

96%

★ Best pick

Rangers (+0.5)

Asian handicap · usually 54%

68.7% fair odds 1.46

moderate signal · 1169 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Rangers (0:2)

Handicap 0:2 · usually 74%

83.8% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 504 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Rangers carry the stronger rating, 1684 Elo against 1605.
Form is good: 2.40 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Rangers have an estimated 45.2% win probability, against 31.0% for Motherwell and 23.8% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.39 for Motherwell and 1.54 for Rangers.

Why Motherwell

Form is good: 2.20 points a match from the last five.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 23.8%. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.39 to 1.54. Draws run at 23% in this competition.

Why Rangers can win

Rangers carry the stronger rating, 1684 Elo against 1605. Form is good: 2.40 points a match from the last five.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Motherwell, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Rangers, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Motherwell: 57% possession, 16.2 shots a match, 13.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Rangers: 56% possession, 18.4 shots a match, 9.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-27 10:01 · team_stats 2026-10-27 06:03 · availability 2026-10-27 14:57 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Rangers are the model's most likely outcome at 45.2%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 11.3%. Confidence 77/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	342441	1.39–1.54	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	382537	1.44–1.42	1-1 12%	55%	58%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell to win	38.1%	36.4%	45.9%	0.79×	2.75
Rangers to win	37.2%	36.3%	31.0%	1.17×	2.75
Draw	24.7%	24.5%	23.3%	1.05×	4.09

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell & both teams score	19.6%	18.0%	18.6%	0.97×	5.56
Draw & both teams score	19.1%	18.0%	17.8%	1.01×	5.56
Rangers & both teams score	19.1%	18.0%	16.3%	1.10×	5.56
Motherwell & not both score	18.6%	18.0%	27.5%	0.65×	5.56
Rangers & not both score	18.1%	18.0%	14.9%	1.21×	5.56
Draw & not both score	5.6%	8.3%	5.8%	1.44×	12.01

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell & over 1.5	29.8%	26.1%	36.6%	0.71×	3.84
Rangers & over 1.5	29.0%	26.1%	24.4%	1.07×	3.84
Motherwell & under 3.5	25.6%	26.1%	30.2%	0.86×	3.84
Rangers & under 3.5	25.1%	26.1%	22.5%	1.16×	3.84
Motherwell & over 2.5	23.8%	21.6%	28.1%	0.77×	4.63
Rangers & over 2.5	23.2%	21.6%	20.5%	1.06×	4.63
Draw & over 1.5	19.1%	18.0%	17.8%	1.01×	5.55
Draw & under 2.5	17.1%	18.0%	14.9%	1.21×	5.56
Draw & under 3.5	17.1%	18.0%	14.9%	1.21×	5.56
Motherwell & under 2.5	14.3%	12.8%	18.0%	0.71×	7.79
Rangers & under 2.5	14.0%	12.8%	10.7%	1.19×	7.79
Motherwell & over 3.5	12.6%	12.8%	15.9%	0.81×	7.79
Rangers & over 3.5	12.1%	12.8%	8.7%	1.48×	7.79
Motherwell & under 1.5	8.4%	7.9%	9.5%	0.83×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	7.6%	7.9%	8.7%	0.91×	12.63
Draw & over 3.5	7.6%	7.9%	8.7%	0.91×	12.63
Rangers & under 1.5	8.2%	7.9%	6.8%	1.16×	12.63
Draw & under 1.5	5.6%	7.9%	5.8%	1.37×	12.63

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell (1UP)	55.6%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Rangers (1UP)	54.8%	52.5%	—	—	1.91

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell (2UP)	38.1%	37.4%	—	—	2.68
Rangers (2UP)	37.2%	37.3%	—	—	2.68

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half drawn	34.2%	34.0%	—	—	2.94
Rangers to win 2nd half	33.7%	34.0%	—	—	2.94
Motherwell to win 2nd half	32.0%	34.0%	—	—	2.94

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rangers under 1.5 in 2nd half	79.0%	79.6%	—	—	1.26
Rangers over 0.5 in 2nd half	57.4%	54.4%	—	—	1.84
Rangers under 0.5 in 2nd half	42.6%	45.6%	—	—	2.19
Rangers over 1.5 in 2nd half	21.0%	20.4%	—	—	4.90

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell under 1.5 in 2nd half	80.1%	82.2%	—	—	1.22
Motherwell over 0.5 in 2nd half	56.1%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Motherwell under 0.5 in 2nd half	43.9%	42.1%	—	—	2.38
Motherwell over 1.5 in 2nd half	19.9%	17.8%	—	—	5.63

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rangers (+2.5)	93.3%	92.1%	87.8%	1.05×	1.09
Rangers (+1.5)	82.1%	82.6%	73.6%	1.12×	1.21
Motherwell (+0.5)	62.8%	63.0%	69.0%	0.91×	1.59
Rangers (+0.5)	61.9%	62.9%	54.1%	1.16×	1.59
Motherwell (-0.5)	38.1%	37.1%	45.9%	0.81×	2.70
Rangers (-0.5)	37.2%	37.0%	31.0%	1.20×	2.70
Motherwell (-1.5)	17.9%	17.4%	26.4%	0.66×	5.74
Motherwell (-2.5)	6.7%	7.9%	12.2%	0.65×	12.71

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rangers to concede	76.4%	78.7%	79.5%	0.99×	1.27
Rangers clean sheet	23.6%	21.3%	20.5%	1.04×	4.70

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rangers clean sheet in 1st half	53.8%	50.9%	—	—	1.97
Rangers to concede in 1st half	46.2%	49.1%	—	—	2.04

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rangers to concede in 2nd half	56.1%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Rangers clean sheet in 2nd half	43.9%	42.8%	—	—	2.34

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rangers over 2.5 corners	86.2%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
Rangers over 3.5 corners	73.6%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Rangers under 6.5 corners	68.8%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Rangers over 4.5 corners	58.9%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Rangers under 5.5 corners	55.8%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Rangers over 5.5 corners	44.2%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
Rangers under 4.5 corners	41.1%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
Rangers over 6.5 corners	31.2%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
Rangers under 3.5 corners	26.4%	28.4%	—	—	3.53
Rangers under 2.5 corners	13.8%	14.8%	—	—	6.77

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rangers under 3.5 goals	94.4%	92.4%	96.3%	0.96×	1.08
Rangers under 2.5 goals	82.8%	81.5%	85.5%	0.95×	1.23
Rangers over 0.5 goals	75.9%	76.2%	66.9%	1.14×	1.31
Rangers under 1.5 goals	58.4%	59.4%	63.2%	0.94×	1.68
Rangers over 1.5 goals	41.6%	40.6%	36.8%	1.10×	2.47
Rangers under 0.5 goals	24.1%	23.8%	33.1%	0.72×	4.21
Rangers over 2.5 goals	17.2%	18.5%	14.5%	1.28×	5.41
Rangers over 3.5 goals	5.6%	7.6%	3.7%	2.05×	13.09

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rangers under 1.5 in 1st half	88.8%	89.3%	—	—	1.12
Rangers under 0.5 in 1st half	56.6%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Rangers over 0.5 in 1st half	43.4%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Rangers over 1.5 in 1st half	11.2%	10.7%	—	—	9.36

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rangers scores more in 2nd half	39.8%	37.4%	—	—	2.67
Rangers scores equally in both	37.3%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
Rangers scores more in 1st half	22.9%	21.8%	—	—	4.59

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell (away no bet)	60.7%	61.9%	66.3%	0.93×	1.62
Draw (away no bet)	39.3%	38.1%	33.7%	1.13×	2.62

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rangers even goals	52.9%	52.6%	57.6%	0.91×	1.90
Rangers odd goals	47.1%	47.4%	42.4%	1.12×	2.11

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	83.4%	83.2%	—	—	1.20
Both halves over 1.5 goals	16.6%	16.8%	—	—	5.95

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	66.5%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Both halves under 1.5 goals	33.5%	32.2%	—	—	3.11

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	58.0%	55.0%	—	—	1.82
Motherwell to score 2+ in a row	33.0%	28.9%	—	—	3.46
Rangers to score 2+ in a row	32.3%	28.9%	—	—	3.46
Either team to score 3+ in a row	20.7%	19.5%	—	—	5.13
Motherwell to score 3+ in a row	10.7%	12.1%	—	—	8.26
Rangers to score 3+ in a row	10.3%	12.1%	—	—	8.27

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rangers corners (+3.5)	93.0%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Rangers corners (+2.5)	88.1%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Rangers corners (+1.5)	81.2%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Motherwell corners (+3.5)	71.9%	70.8%	—	—	1.41
Motherwell corners (+2.5)	61.6%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
Motherwell corners (+1.5)	50.2%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
Rangers corners (-1.5)	49.8%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
Rangers corners (-2.5)	38.4%	38.1%	—	—	2.62
Rangers corners (-3.5)	28.1%	29.2%	—	—	3.42
Motherwell corners (-1.5)	18.8%	20.2%	—	—	4.95
Motherwell corners (-2.5)	11.9%	15.5%	—	—	6.45
Motherwell corners (-3.5)	7.0%	10.4%	—	—	9.60

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	44.9%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
9-11 corners	30.5%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
12+ corners	24.6%	25.7%	—	—	3.89

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	82.5%	80.7%	—	—	1.24
Under 11.5 corners	75.4%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Over 7.5 corners	66.5%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Under 10.5 corners	66.5%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Under 9.5 corners	56.1%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Over 8.5 corners	55.1%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Under 8.5 corners	44.9%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
Over 9.5 corners	43.9%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
Under 7.5 corners	33.5%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Over 10.5 corners	33.5%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Over 11.5 corners	24.6%	23.4%	—	—	4.27
Over 12.5 corners	17.5%	19.3%	—	—	5.17

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	11.6%	11.5%	9.3%	1.23×	8.72
1-0	8.4%	7.4%	9.5%	0.78×	13.51
2-1	8.4%	7.4%	7.0%	1.05×	13.51
0-1	8.2%	7.4%	6.8%	1.09×	13.51
1-2	8.3%	7.4%	8.9%	0.83×	13.51
0-0	5.6%	7.4%	5.8%	1.28×	13.51
0-2	5.8%	7.4%	4.1%	1.79×	13.51
2-0	5.9%	7.4%	8.7%	0.85×	13.51
2-2	6.0%	7.4%	6.6%	1.12×	13.51
0-3	2.7%	1.7%	3.3%	0.52×	58.30
0-4	1.0%	1.7%	0.4%	4.15×	58.31
1-3	3.9%	1.7%	3.1%	0.55×	58.30
1-4	1.4%	1.7%	0.8%	2.08×	58.31
2-3	2.8%	1.7%	2.3%	0.75×	58.30
2-4	1.0%	1.7%	0.8%	2.08×	58.31
3-0	2.9%	1.7%	5.6%	0.31×	58.30
3-1	4.1%	1.7%	5.6%	0.31×	58.30
3-2	2.9%	1.7%	2.9%	0.59×	58.30
3-3	1.4%	1.7%	2.3%	0.75×	58.31
3-4	0.5%	1.7%	0.4%	4.15×	58.32
4-0	1.0%	1.7%	3.5%	0.49×	58.31
4-1	1.5%	1.7%	1.4%	1.19×	58.31
4-2	1.0%	1.7%	0.6%	2.77×	58.31
4-3	0.5%	1.7%	0.8%	2.07×	58.32
4-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.2%	8.30×	58.32
Any other score	3.1%	1.7%	4.1%	0.42×	58.30

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rangers (2nd half DNB)	51.3%	54.4%	—	—	1.84
Motherwell (2nd half DNB)	48.7%	45.6%	—	—	2.19

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell leading at HT (DNB)	52.8%	56.1%	—	—	1.78
Rangers leading at HT (DNB)	47.2%	43.9%	—	—	2.28

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell or Rangers (12)	75.3%	75.5%	76.7%	0.99×	1.32
Motherwell or draw (1X)	62.8%	63.7%	69.0%	0.92×	1.57
Rangers or draw (X2)	61.9%	63.6%	54.1%	1.18×	1.57

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell or draw at HT	72.7%	74.5%	—	—	1.34
Rangers or draw at HT	69.4%	67.3%	—	—	1.49
Motherwell or Rangers at HT	57.9%	57.5%	—	—	1.74

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell or draw (1UP)	62.8%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Rangers or draw (1UP)	61.9%	71.6%	—	—	1.40

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rangers or draw in 2nd half	68.0%	66.0%	—	—	1.52
Motherwell or draw in 2nd half	66.3%	66.0%	—	—	1.52
Motherwell or Rangers in 2nd half	65.8%	66.0%	—	—	1.52

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	62.1%	61.3%	—	—	1.63
Neither half drawn	37.9%	38.7%	—	—	2.59

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell (DNB)	50.6%	50.9%	59.7%	0.85×	1.97
Rangers (DNB)	49.4%	49.1%	40.3%	1.22×	2.04

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell to score first	47.6%	45.9%	—	—	2.18
Rangers to score first	46.9%	45.8%	—	—	2.18
No goal scored	5.6%	7.5%	—	—	13.32

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	57.8%	55.0%	52.3%	1.05×	1.82
Not both teams to score	42.2%	45.0%	47.7%	0.94×	2.22

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	46.3%	44.3%	43.2%	1.03×	2.26
Not both score & under 2.5	33.9%	34.6%	34.1%	1.01×	2.89
Both score & under 2.5	11.6%	12.4%	9.3%	1.33×	8.09
Not both score & over 2.5	8.3%	8.3%	13.8%	0.60×	12.06

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	82.4%	82.6%	83.9%	0.99×	1.21
Both teams to score 2+	17.6%	17.4%	16.1%	1.08×	5.76

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	67.9%	67.3%	—	—	1.49
Both teams to score in 2nd half	32.1%	32.7%	—	—	3.05

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	54.3%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Both score 2nd half only	25.7%	26.7%	—	—	3.74
Both score 1st half only	13.6%	10.8%	—	—	9.30
Both score in both halves	6.5%	6.8%	—	—	14.79

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	80.0%	81.1%	—	—	1.23
Both teams to score by HT	20.0%	18.9%	—	—	5.28

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	56.5%	57.0%	—	—	1.76
A half without a goal	43.5%	43.0%	—	—	2.33

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	45.6%	47.2%	45.7%	1.03×	2.12
4-6 goals	29.5%	26.6%	31.2%	0.85×	3.76
0-1 goals	22.2%	22.9%	21.7%	1.06×	4.36
7+ goals	2.7%	1.8%	1.9%	0.99×	54.29

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rangers to score exactly 1	34.3%	33.8%	30.4%	1.11×	2.96
Rangers to score exactly 2	24.4%	22.3%	22.5%	0.99×	4.49
Rangers to score exactly 0	24.1%	22.3%	33.1%	0.67×	4.49
Rangers to score 3+	17.2%	19.5%	14.5%	1.35×	5.12

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell to score exactly 1	34.1%	32.6%	31.2%	1.04×	3.07
Motherwell to score exactly 2	24.6%	23.3%	25.0%	0.93×	4.29
Motherwell to score exactly 0	23.6%	23.3%	20.5%	1.14×	4.29
Motherwell to score 3+	17.7%	18.8%	23.8%	0.79×	5.32

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	42.1%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Motherwell leading at HT	30.6%	32.7%	—	—	3.06
Rangers leading at HT	27.3%	25.5%	—	—	3.92

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell -1: 2	61.9%	62.5%	—	—	1.60
Motherwell -1: X	20.2%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Motherwell -1: 1	17.9%	17.5%	—	—	5.71

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rangers (0:1)	61.9%	61.4%	54.1%	1.14×	1.63
Draw (0:1)	20.2%	24.2%	19.6%	1.23×	4.13
Motherwell (0:1)	17.9%	17.8%	26.4%	0.67×	5.61

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rangers (0:2)	82.1%	83.0%	73.6%	1.13×	1.21
Draw (0:2)	11.2%	11.0%	14.5%	0.76×	9.11
Motherwell (0:2)	6.7%	7.7%	12.2%	0.63×	13.06

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rangers (0:3)	93.3%	92.7%	87.8%	1.06×	1.08
Draw (0:3)	4.7%	2.4%	6.8%	0.35×	41.94
Motherwell (0:3)	2.1%	2.4%	5.6%	0.43×	42.05

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rangers (0:4)	97.9%	98.1%	94.4%	1.04×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	1.5%	1.2%	4.8%	0.26×	81.80
Motherwell (0:4)	0.5%	1.2%	1.0%	1.18×	81.91

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell (1:0)	62.8%	65.3%	69.0%	0.95×	1.53
Draw (1:0)	19.9%	17.1%	17.8%	0.96×	5.84
Rangers (1:0)	17.3%	17.1%	13.4%	1.27×	5.85

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell (2:0)	82.7%	84.6%	86.6%	0.98×	1.18
Draw (2:0)	10.9%	10.3%	7.6%	1.34×	9.73
Rangers (2:0)	6.4%	6.4%	6.0%	1.07×	15.67

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	48.9%	48.6%	—	—	2.06
1st half highest scoring	27.2%	26.2%	—	—	3.81
Halves equal	23.9%	24.5%	—	—	4.08

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell to concede	75.9%	76.0%	66.9%	1.14×	1.32
Motherwell clean sheet	24.1%	24.0%	33.1%	0.73×	4.17

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell clean sheet in 1st half	56.6%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Motherwell to concede in 1st half	43.4%	37.7%	—	—	2.65

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell to concede in 2nd half	57.4%	54.8%	—	—	1.82
Motherwell clean sheet in 2nd half	42.6%	45.2%	—	—	2.21

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell under 6.5 corners	88.0%	86.2%	—	—	1.16
Motherwell under 5.5 corners	79.0%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Motherwell over 2.5 corners	69.9%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Motherwell under 4.5 corners	65.8%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Motherwell over 3.5 corners	51.2%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Motherwell under 3.5 corners	48.8%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Motherwell over 4.5 corners	34.2%	33.3%	—	—	3.00
Motherwell under 2.5 corners	30.1%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Motherwell over 5.5 corners	21.0%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Motherwell over 6.5 corners	12.0%	13.8%	—	—	7.26

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell under 3.5 goals	94.1%	92.2%	92.1%	1.00×	1.08
Motherwell under 2.5 goals	82.3%	82.2%	76.2%	1.08×	1.22
Motherwell over 0.5 goals	76.4%	77.8%	79.5%	0.98×	1.29
Motherwell under 1.5 goals	57.7%	58.7%	51.4%	1.14×	1.71
Motherwell over 1.5 goals	42.3%	41.3%	48.6%	0.85×	2.42
Motherwell under 0.5 goals	23.6%	22.2%	20.5%	1.09×	4.50
Motherwell over 2.5 goals	17.7%	17.8%	23.8%	0.75×	5.62
Motherwell over 3.5 goals	5.9%	7.8%	7.9%	0.99×	12.85

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell under 1.5 in 1st half	87.1%	90.1%	—	—	1.11
Motherwell under 0.5 in 1st half	53.8%	50.7%	—	—	1.97
Motherwell over 0.5 in 1st half	46.2%	49.3%	—	—	2.03
Motherwell over 1.5 in 1st half	12.9%	9.9%	—	—	10.07

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell scores more in 2nd half	37.3%	38.1%	—	—	2.62
Motherwell scores equally in both	37.3%	38.1%	—	—	2.62
Motherwell scores more in 1st half	25.4%	27.8%	—	—	3.59

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rangers (home no bet)	60.1%	59.9%	57.0%	1.05×	1.67
Draw (home no bet)	39.9%	40.1%	43.0%	0.93×	2.50

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell even goals	52.8%	50.8%	51.7%	0.98×	1.97
Motherwell odd goals	47.2%	49.2%	48.3%	1.02×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	30.4%	33.4%	—	—	3.00
HT 1-0	18.9%	18.6%	—	—	5.38
HT 0-1	17.3%	18.6%	—	—	5.39
HT 1-1	10.7%	11.0%	—	—	9.12
HT 2-0	5.9%	6.9%	—	—	14.57
HT 0-2	4.9%	2.4%	—	—	42.10
Any other HT score	4.5%	2.4%	—	—	42.13
HT 2-1	3.3%	2.4%	—	—	42.20
HT 1-2	3.1%	2.4%	—	—	42.22
HT 2-2	0.9%	2.4%	—	—	42.36

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell at HT / Motherwell at FT	22.3%	21.6%	—	—	4.63
Rangers at HT / Rangers at FT	20.1%	21.5%	—	—	4.64
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	14.3%	12.7%	—	—	7.88
Draw at HT / Rangers at FT	14.3%	12.7%	—	—	7.88
Draw at HT / Motherwell at FT	13.6%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
Motherwell at HT / Draw at FT	5.6%	6.0%	—	—	16.54
Rangers at HT / Draw at FT	4.8%	3.5%	—	—	28.86
Motherwell at HT / Rangers at FT	2.8%	3.5%	—	—	28.94
Rangers at HT / Motherwell at FT	2.3%	3.5%	—	—	28.95

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell to score last	47.6%	46.3%	—	—	2.16
Rangers to score last	46.9%	46.3%	—	—	2.16
No goal scored	5.6%	7.5%	—	—	13.32

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	94.4%	92.6%	—	—	1.08
Motherwell to lead by 1 at any time	55.6%	54.8%	—	—	1.82
Rangers to lead by 1 at any time	54.8%	50.7%	—	—	1.97
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	48.0%	44.3%	—	—	2.26
Motherwell to lead by 2 at any time	24.5%	19.6%	—	—	5.11
Rangers to lead by 2 at any time	23.8%	19.5%	—	—	5.12
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	17.1%	14.8%	—	—	6.75
Motherwell to lead by 3 at any time	8.7%	6.7%	—	—	14.98
Rangers to lead by 3 at any time	8.4%	6.7%	—	—	15.00

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rangers most corners	61.4%	60.6%	—	—	1.65
Motherwell most corners	27.8%	31.1%	—	—	3.22
Corners level	10.8%	10.4%	—	—	9.59

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	87.4%	87.4%	87.0%	1.00×	1.14
1-4 goals	78.2%	78.7%	79.8%	0.99×	1.27
2-6 goals	75.1%	78.7%	76.7%	1.03×	1.27
2-5 goals	70.7%	72.3%	71.1%	1.02×	1.38
1-3 goals	62.2%	63.3%	61.6%	1.03×	1.58
2-4 goals	61.6%	63.3%	63.8%	0.99×	1.58
3-6 goals	51.9%	53.1%	55.2%	0.96×	1.88
3-5 goals	47.5%	48.4%	49.6%	0.98×	2.06
2-3 goals	45.6%	48.4%	45.7%	1.06×	2.06
1-2 goals	39.9%	39.2%	37.6%	1.04×	2.55
3-4 goals	38.3%	39.2%	42.4%	0.93×	2.55
4-6 goals	29.5%	30.2%	31.2%	0.97×	3.31
4-5 goals	25.2%	30.2%	25.6%	1.18×	3.31
5-6 goals	13.5%	14.8%	13.0%	1.14×	6.75
7+ goals	2.7%	2.6%	1.9%	1.37×	39.15

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell never behind	39.7%	44.3%	—	—	2.26
Rangers never behind	38.9%	44.3%	—	—	2.26

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of goals	49.9%	50.9%	51.2%	0.99×	1.97
Odd number of goals	50.1%	49.1%	48.8%	1.01×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	54.6%	51.8%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 1st half	45.4%	48.2%	—	—	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	51.7%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	48.3%	48.0%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	94.4%	92.3%	94.2%	0.98×	1.08
Under 5.5 goals	92.9%	92.3%	92.6%	1.00×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	83.7%	82.3%	85.3%	0.96×	1.22
Over 1.5 goals	77.8%	77.3%	78.3%	0.99×	1.29
Under 3.5 goals	67.7%	66.3%	67.1%	0.99×	1.51
Over 2.5 goals	54.6%	52.5%	56.8%	0.92×	1.90
Under 2.5 goals	45.4%	47.5%	43.2%	1.10×	2.11
Over 3.5 goals	32.3%	33.7%	32.9%	1.03×	2.97
Under 1.5 goals	22.2%	22.7%	21.7%	1.05×	4.40
Over 4.5 goals	16.3%	17.7%	14.7%	1.21×	5.65
Over 5.5 goals	7.1%	7.7%	7.4%	1.04×	12.94
Under 0.5 goals	5.6%	7.7%	5.8%	1.34×	12.94

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	97.2%	97.2%	98.0%	0.99×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	92.2%	92.4%	92.0%	1.00×	1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	80.7%	81.1%	82.1%	0.99×	1.23
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	71.1%	72.3%	72.4%	1.00×	1.38
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	58.5%	55.8%	56.8%	0.98×	1.79
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	41.5%	44.2%	43.2%	1.02×	2.26
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	28.9%	27.7%	27.6%	1.00×	3.62
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	19.3%	18.9%	17.9%	1.06×	5.28
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	7.8%	7.6%	8.0%	0.95×	13.18
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	2.8%	2.8%	2.0%	1.43×	35.61

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	88.2%	89.1%	—	—	1.12
Over 0.5 in 1st half	69.6%	68.7%	—	—	1.46
Under 1.5 in 1st half	66.7%	68.6%	—	—	1.46
Over 1.5 in 1st half	33.3%	31.4%	—	—	3.19
Under 0.5 in 1st half	30.4%	31.3%	—	—	3.19
Over 2.5 in 1st half	11.8%	10.9%	—	—	9.15

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	81.3%	82.9%	—	—	1.21
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	76.4%	79.5%	—	—	1.26
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	50.1%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	49.9%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	23.6%	20.5%	—	—	4.89
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	18.7%	17.1%	—	—	5.85

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rangers not to score in both halves	75.1%	78.4%	—	—	1.28
Motherwell not to score in both halves	74.1%	73.9%	—	—	1.35
Motherwell to score in both halves	25.9%	26.1%	—	—	3.84
Rangers to score in both halves	24.9%	21.6%	—	—	4.62

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	57.8%	58.6%	52.3%	1.12×	1.71
Only Motherwell scores	18.6%	16.0%	27.5%	0.58×	6.23
Only Rangers scores	18.1%	16.0%	14.9%	1.08×	6.23
Neither team scores	5.6%	7.1%	5.8%	1.23×	14.02

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	23.2%	22.6%	21.7%	1.04×	4.43
Exactly 3 goals	22.3%	22.6%	24.2%	0.93×	4.43
Exactly 1 goals	16.6%	17.5%	16.1%	1.08×	5.73
Exactly 4 goals	16.0%	17.5%	18.4%	0.95×	5.73
Exactly 5 goals	9.2%	7.6%	7.4%	1.02×	13.13
6 or more goals	7.1%	7.6%	7.4%	1.02×	13.14
Exactly 0 goals	5.6%	7.6%	5.8%	1.32×	13.14

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	36.3%	37.2%	—	—	2.69
No goals in 1st half	30.4%	35.6%	—	—	2.81
2 goals in 1st half	21.5%	21.5%	—	—	4.66
3+ goals in 1st half	11.8%	10.8%	—	—	9.23

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	49.9%	44.9%	—	—	2.23
1 goal in 2nd half	31.5%	33.9%	—	—	2.95
No goals in 2nd half	18.7%	16.8%	—	—	5.94

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rangers not to win both halves	90.8%	94.1%	—	—	1.06
Motherwell not to win both halves	90.2%	94.1%	—	—	1.06
Motherwell to win both halves	9.8%	5.9%	—	—	16.95
Rangers to win both halves	9.2%	5.9%	—	—	16.99

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell to win either half	52.8%	54.3%	—	—	1.84
Rangers to win either half	51.8%	54.3%	—	—	1.84
Rangers to win neither half	48.2%	45.7%	—	—	2.19
Motherwell to win neither half	47.2%	45.7%	—	—	2.19

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rangers not to win to nil	81.9%	83.1%	85.1%	0.98×	1.20
Motherwell not to win to nil	81.4%	83.1%	72.5%	1.15×	1.20
Motherwell to win to nil	18.6%	16.9%	27.5%	0.62×	5.91
Rangers to win to nil	18.1%	16.9%	14.9%	1.14×	5.91

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	24.7%	24.1%	23.3%	1.03×	4.15
Motherwell by 1	20.2%	24.1%	19.6%	1.23×	4.15
Rangers by 1	19.9%	17.1%	17.8%	0.96×	5.86
Motherwell by 2	11.2%	11.8%	14.5%	0.81×	8.51
Rangers by 2	10.9%	11.8%	7.6%	1.54×	8.51
Motherwell by 3+	6.7%	7.2%	12.2%	0.59×	13.91
Rangers by 3+	6.4%	7.2%	6.0%	1.20×	13.91