Motherwell v St Mirren — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 31 October 2026 · SCO-Premiership · 2627

SCO-Premiership results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Motherwell

15:00 UTC

St Mirren

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 27 Oct, 10:57 · 100h before kick-off

Motherwell win

60.5%

model 61.9%

Draw

21.6%

model 21.4%

St Mirren win

17.9%

model 16.6%

612218

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (270 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-0 12.0%
2-0 11.3%
1-1 10.2%
2-1 9.8%
3-0 7.2%

Goals

Over 2.5	52.6%	Under 2.5	47.4%
BTTS yes	49.4%	BTTS no	50.6%
Motherwell 1+	85.2%	Motherwell 2+	56.9%
St Mirren 1+	58.1%	St Mirren 2+	21.7%

Expected goals 1.91 – 0.87. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

85/100

Data quality

75/100

Model agreement

99%

★ Best pick

Motherwell (-0.5)

Asian handicap · usually 46%

63.7% fair odds 1.57

strong signal · 1134 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

St Mirren not to score in both halves

Score both halves

84.4% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 829 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Motherwell carry the stronger rating, 1605 Elo against 1438.
Form is good: 2.20 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Motherwell have an estimated 60.5% win probability, against 21.6% for the draw and 17.9% for St Mirren. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.91 for Motherwell and 0.87 for St Mirren.

Why Motherwell

Motherwell carry the stronger rating, 1605 Elo against 1438. Form is good: 2.20 points a match from the last five.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 21.6%. Draws run at 23% in this competition.

Why St Mirren can win

Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Motherwell, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for St Mirren, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Motherwell: 57% possession, 16.2 shots a match, 13.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. St Mirren: 48% possession, 14.2 shots a match, 13.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-27 10:01 · team_stats 2026-10-27 06:03 · availability 2026-10-27 14:57 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Motherwell are the model's most likely outcome at 60.5%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-0 at 12.0%. Confidence 85/100, data quality 75/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	622117	1.91–0.87	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	622316	1.75–0.74	1-0 15%	45%	43%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell to win	61.7%	58.2%	45.9%	1.27×	1.72
Draw	22.8%	24.5%	23.3%	1.05×	4.09
St Mirren to win	15.5%	19.4%	31.0%	0.62×	5.16

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell & not both score	39.6%	33.4%	27.5%	1.21×	3.00
Motherwell & both teams score	22.2%	21.8%	18.6%	1.17×	4.59
Draw & both teams score	14.6%	13.3%	17.8%	0.75×	7.54
St Mirren & not both score	9.2%	8.3%	14.9%	0.56×	11.99
Draw & not both score	8.1%	8.3%	5.8%	1.44×	12.00
St Mirren & both teams score	6.3%	8.3%	16.3%	0.51×	12.01

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell & over 1.5	47.1%	45.0%	36.6%	1.23×	2.22
Motherwell & under 3.5	44.1%	40.3%	30.2%	1.34×	2.48
Motherwell & over 2.5	34.4%	30.8%	28.1%	1.09×	3.25
Motherwell & under 2.5	27.3%	26.1%	18.0%	1.45×	3.84
Draw & under 2.5	18.7%	18.0%	14.9%	1.21×	5.55
Draw & under 3.5	18.7%	18.0%	14.9%	1.21×	5.55
Motherwell & over 3.5	17.6%	18.0%	15.9%	1.13×	5.56
Motherwell & under 1.5	14.6%	12.8%	9.5%	1.35×	7.79
Draw & over 1.5	14.6%	12.8%	17.8%	0.72×	7.79
St Mirren & under 3.5	13.0%	12.8%	22.5%	0.57×	7.79
St Mirren & over 1.5	9.3%	7.9%	24.4%	0.32×	12.63
Draw & under 1.5	8.1%	7.9%	5.8%	1.37×	12.63
St Mirren & under 2.5	8.5%	7.9%	10.7%	0.74×	12.63
St Mirren & under 1.5	6.3%	7.9%	6.8%	1.16×	12.63
St Mirren & over 2.5	7.0%	7.9%	20.5%	0.39×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	4.0%	4.8%	8.7%	0.55×	20.82
Draw & over 3.5	4.0%	4.8%	8.7%	0.55×	20.82
St Mirren & over 3.5	2.5%	4.8%	8.7%	0.55×	20.83

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell (1UP)	71.9%	75.1%	—	—	1.33
St Mirren (1UP)	30.4%	32.6%	—	—	3.06

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell (2UP)	61.7%	68.2%	—	—	1.47
St Mirren (2UP)	15.5%	16.8%	—	—	5.97

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell to win 2nd half	48.6%	45.3%	—	—	2.21
2nd half drawn	35.2%	36.4%	—	—	2.75
St Mirren to win 2nd half	16.2%	17.8%	—	—	5.63

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Mirren under 1.5 in 2nd half	92.6%	91.8%	—	—	1.09
St Mirren under 0.5 in 2nd half	64.1%	60.4%	—	—	1.66
St Mirren over 0.5 in 2nd half	35.9%	39.6%	—	—	2.53
St Mirren over 1.5 in 2nd half	7.4%	8.2%	—	—	12.17

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell under 1.5 in 2nd half	73.6%	74.4%	—	—	1.34
Motherwell over 0.5 in 2nd half	63.2%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Motherwell under 0.5 in 2nd half	36.8%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Motherwell over 1.5 in 2nd half	26.4%	25.6%	—	—	3.91

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell (+0.5)	84.5%	82.6%	69.0%	1.20×	1.21
St Mirren (+2.5)	83.7%	82.6%	87.8%	0.94×	1.21
St Mirren (+1.5)	64.6%	63.0%	73.6%	0.86×	1.59
Motherwell (-0.5)	61.7%	62.9%	45.9%	1.37×	1.59
St Mirren (+0.5)	38.3%	37.1%	54.1%	0.68×	2.70
Motherwell (-1.5)	35.4%	37.0%	26.4%	1.40×	2.70
Motherwell (-2.5)	16.3%	17.4%	12.2%	1.43×	5.74
St Mirren (-0.5)	15.5%	17.4%	31.0%	0.56×	5.74

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Mirren to concede	82.7%	81.5%	79.5%	1.02×	1.23
St Mirren clean sheet	17.3%	18.5%	20.5%	0.91×	5.40

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Mirren to concede in 1st half	52.9%	50.9%	—	—	1.97
St Mirren clean sheet in 1st half	47.1%	49.1%	—	—	2.04

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Mirren to concede in 2nd half	63.2%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
St Mirren clean sheet in 2nd half	36.8%	38.2%	—	—	2.62

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Mirren under 6.5 corners	82.4%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
St Mirren over 2.5 corners	76.5%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
St Mirren under 5.5 corners	71.6%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
St Mirren over 3.5 corners	59.6%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
St Mirren under 4.5 corners	57.2%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
St Mirren over 4.5 corners	42.8%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
St Mirren under 3.5 corners	40.4%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
St Mirren over 5.5 corners	28.4%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
St Mirren under 2.5 corners	23.5%	24.0%	—	—	4.18
St Mirren over 6.5 corners	17.6%	18.6%	—	—	5.38

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Mirren under 3.5 goals	99.3%	97.5%	96.3%	1.01×	1.03
St Mirren under 2.5 goals	96.1%	97.5%	85.5%	1.14×	1.03
St Mirren under 1.5 goals	83.0%	81.5%	63.2%	1.29×	1.23
St Mirren over 0.5 goals	52.3%	53.5%	66.9%	0.80×	1.87
St Mirren under 0.5 goals	47.7%	46.5%	33.1%	1.41×	2.15
St Mirren over 1.5 goals	17.0%	18.5%	36.8%	0.50×	5.41
St Mirren over 2.5 goals	3.9%	2.5%	14.5%	0.17×	39.77
St Mirren over 3.5 goals	0.7%	2.5%	3.7%	0.67×	39.93

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Mirren under 1.5 in 1st half	96.4%	96.1%	—	—	1.04
St Mirren under 0.5 in 1st half	74.4%	68.3%	—	—	1.47
St Mirren over 0.5 in 1st half	25.6%	31.7%	—	—	3.15
St Mirren over 1.5 in 1st half	3.6%	3.9%	—	—	25.70

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Mirren scores equally in both	54.2%	51.5%	—	—	1.94
St Mirren scores more in 2nd half	28.3%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
St Mirren scores more in 1st half	17.5%	18.0%	—	—	5.55

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell (away no bet)	73.1%	68.4%	66.3%	1.03×	1.46
Draw (away no bet)	26.9%	31.6%	33.7%	0.94×	3.17

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Mirren even goals	61.4%	59.1%	57.6%	1.03×	1.69
St Mirren odd goals	38.6%	40.9%	42.4%	0.97×	2.44

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	88.1%	87.9%	—	—	1.14
Both halves over 1.5 goals	11.9%	12.1%	—	—	8.28

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	58.5%	60.5%	—	—	1.65
Both halves under 1.5 goals	41.5%	39.5%	—	—	2.53

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	54.4%	51.0%	—	—	1.96
Motherwell to score 2+ in a row	46.4%	46.1%	—	—	2.17
Either team to score 3+ in a row	21.8%	19.5%	—	—	5.13
Motherwell to score 3+ in a row	19.9%	16.2%	—	—	6.17
St Mirren to score 2+ in a row	11.5%	12.1%	—	—	8.25
St Mirren to score 3+ in a row	1.9%	2.5%	—	—	39.77

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell corners (+3.5)	88.9%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Motherwell corners (+2.5)	82.5%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
St Mirren corners (+3.5)	78.6%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Motherwell corners (+1.5)	74.2%	70.8%	—	—	1.41
St Mirren corners (+2.5)	69.5%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
St Mirren corners (+1.5)	58.9%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Motherwell corners (-1.5)	41.1%	42.8%	—	—	2.33
Motherwell corners (-2.5)	30.5%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
St Mirren corners (-1.5)	25.8%	29.2%	—	—	3.42
Motherwell corners (-3.5)	21.4%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
St Mirren corners (-2.5)	17.5%	20.2%	—	—	4.95
St Mirren corners (-3.5)	11.1%	15.5%	—	—	6.45

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	42.6%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
9-11 corners	30.9%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
12+ corners	26.6%	31.2%	—	—	3.21

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	81.0%	80.7%	—	—	1.24
Under 11.5 corners	73.4%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Over 7.5 corners	68.6%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Under 10.5 corners	64.3%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
Over 8.5 corners	57.4%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Under 9.5 corners	53.8%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Over 9.5 corners	46.2%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Under 8.5 corners	42.6%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
Over 10.5 corners	35.7%	36.7%	—	—	2.72
Under 7.5 corners	31.4%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Over 11.5 corners	26.6%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Over 12.5 corners	19.0%	19.3%	—	—	5.17

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-0	14.6%	11.5%	9.5%	1.21×	8.71
2-0	12.7%	11.5%	8.7%	1.32×	8.71
1-1	10.6%	11.5%	9.3%	1.23×	8.72
2-1	9.4%	7.4%	7.0%	1.05×	13.51
0-0	8.1%	7.4%	5.8%	1.28×	13.51
3-0	7.4%	7.4%	5.6%	1.33×	13.51
0-1	6.3%	7.4%	6.8%	1.09×	13.51
3-1	5.5%	7.4%	5.6%	1.33×	13.51
0-2	2.3%	1.7%	4.1%	0.42×	58.31
0-3	0.6%	1.7%	3.3%	0.52×	58.32
0-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.4%	4.15×	58.32
1-2	4.0%	1.7%	8.9%	0.19×	58.30
1-3	1.0%	1.7%	3.1%	0.55×	58.31
1-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.8%	2.07×	58.32
2-2	3.5%	1.7%	6.6%	0.26×	58.30
2-3	0.9%	1.7%	2.3%	0.75×	58.31
2-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.8%	2.07×	58.32
3-2	2.0%	1.7%	2.9%	0.59×	58.31
3-3	0.5%	1.7%	2.3%	0.75×	58.32
3-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.4%	4.15×	58.32
4-0	3.2%	1.7%	3.5%	0.49×	58.30
4-1	2.4%	1.7%	1.4%	1.19×	58.31
4-2	0.9%	1.7%	0.6%	2.77×	58.31
4-3	0.2%	1.7%	0.8%	2.07×	58.32
4-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.2%	8.30×	58.32
Any other score	3.4%	1.7%	4.1%	0.42×	58.30

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell (2nd half DNB)	75.0%	79.2%	—	—	1.26
St Mirren (2nd half DNB)	25.0%	20.8%	—	—	4.82

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell leading at HT (DNB)	76.4%	75.0%	—	—	1.33
St Mirren leading at HT (DNB)	23.6%	25.0%	—	—	4.00

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell or draw (1X)	84.5%	80.6%	69.0%	1.17×	1.24
Motherwell or St Mirren (12)	77.2%	75.5%	76.7%	0.99×	1.32
St Mirren or draw (X2)	38.3%	41.8%	54.1%	0.77×	2.39

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell or draw at HT	86.6%	88.2%	—	—	1.13
Motherwell or St Mirren at HT	56.8%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
St Mirren or draw at HT	56.6%	57.4%	—	—	1.74

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell or draw (1UP)	84.5%	89.0%	—	—	1.12
St Mirren or draw (1UP)	38.3%	41.5%	—	—	2.41

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell or draw in 2nd half	83.8%	82.2%	—	—	1.22
Motherwell or St Mirren in 2nd half	64.8%	63.6%	—	—	1.57
St Mirren or draw in 2nd half	51.4%	54.7%	—	—	1.83

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	63.4%	61.4%	—	—	1.63
Neither half drawn	36.6%	38.6%	—	—	2.59

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell (DNB)	79.9%	74.8%	59.7%	1.25×	1.34
St Mirren (DNB)	20.1%	25.2%	40.3%	0.62×	3.97

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell to score first	64.6%	64.1%	—	—	1.56
St Mirren to score first	27.3%	27.8%	—	—	3.59
No goal scored	8.1%	7.6%	—	—	13.17

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	56.9%	55.0%	47.7%	1.15×	1.82
Both teams to score	43.1%	45.0%	52.3%	0.86×	2.22

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	44.0%	41.6%	34.1%	1.22×	2.40
Both score & over 2.5	32.5%	34.6%	43.2%	0.80×	2.89
Not both score & over 2.5	12.9%	12.4%	13.8%	0.89×	8.09
Both score & under 2.5	10.6%	12.4%	9.3%	1.33×	8.09

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	91.1%	89.0%	83.9%	1.06×	1.12
Both teams to score 2+	8.9%	11.0%	16.1%	0.68×	9.09

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	77.4%	75.1%	—	—	1.33
Both teams to score in 2nd half	22.6%	24.9%	—	—	4.02

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	66.9%	63.4%	—	—	1.58
Both score 2nd half only	19.5%	15.1%	—	—	6.63
Both score 1st half only	10.5%	10.7%	—	—	9.35
Both score in both halves	3.1%	4.9%	—	—	20.54

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	86.5%	84.8%	—	—	1.18
Both teams to score by HT	13.5%	15.2%	—	—	6.58

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half without a goal	50.4%	52.5%	—	—	1.91
A goal in each half	49.6%	47.5%	—	—	2.10

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	46.9%	47.2%	45.7%	1.03×	2.12
0-1 goals	29.0%	26.6%	21.7%	1.23×	3.76
4-6 goals	22.7%	22.9%	31.2%	0.74×	4.36
7+ goals	1.4%	1.8%	1.9%	0.99×	54.42

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Mirren to score exactly 0	47.7%	43.0%	33.1%	1.30×	2.33
St Mirren to score exactly 1	35.3%	35.9%	30.4%	1.18×	2.79
St Mirren to score exactly 2	13.1%	12.9%	22.5%	0.57×	7.76
St Mirren to score 3+	3.9%	4.6%	14.5%	0.32×	21.81

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell to score exactly 1	30.4%	32.6%	31.2%	1.04×	3.07
Motherwell to score exactly 2	26.6%	26.6%	25.0%	1.06×	3.77
Motherwell to score 3+	25.6%	26.6%	23.8%	1.12×	3.77
Motherwell to score exactly 0	17.3%	18.8%	20.5%	0.92×	5.32

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell leading at HT	43.4%	42.6%	—	—	2.35
Draw at HT	43.2%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
St Mirren leading at HT	13.4%	11.8%	—	—	8.46

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell -1: 2	38.3%	37.4%	—	—	2.67
Motherwell -1: 1	35.4%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
Motherwell -1: X	26.3%	26.5%	—	—	3.77

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Mirren (0:1)	38.3%	37.4%	54.1%	0.69×	2.68
Motherwell (0:1)	35.4%	37.3%	26.4%	1.41×	2.68
Draw (0:1)	26.3%	27.0%	19.6%	1.38×	3.70

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Mirren (0:2)	64.6%	67.2%	73.6%	0.91×	1.49
Draw (0:2)	19.2%	15.3%	14.5%	1.06×	6.55
Motherwell (0:2)	16.3%	15.2%	12.2%	1.25×	6.56

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Mirren (0:3)	83.7%	85.4%	87.8%	0.97×	1.17
Draw (0:3)	10.2%	9.8%	6.8%	1.44×	10.16
Motherwell (0:3)	6.1%	5.8%	5.6%	1.04×	17.26

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Mirren (0:4)	93.9%	94.6%	94.4%	1.00×	1.06
Draw (0:4)	4.2%	1.2%	4.8%	0.26×	81.51
Motherwell (0:4)	1.9%	1.2%	1.0%	1.18×	81.76

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell (1:0)	84.5%	81.5%	69.0%	1.18×	1.23
Draw (1:0)	11.2%	12.7%	17.8%	0.71×	7.88
St Mirren (1:0)	4.3%	3.3%	13.4%	0.24×	30.46

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell (2:0)	95.7%	96.8%	86.6%	1.12×	1.03
Draw (2:0)	3.4%	2.3%	7.6%	0.30×	43.71
St Mirren (2:0)	0.9%	2.3%	6.0%	0.38×	43.87

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	46.2%	48.5%	—	—	2.06
1st half highest scoring	27.6%	26.2%	—	—	3.81
Halves equal	26.2%	26.2%	—	—	3.81

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell to concede	52.3%	53.2%	66.9%	0.79×	1.88
Motherwell clean sheet	47.7%	46.9%	33.1%	1.42×	2.13

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell clean sheet in 1st half	74.4%	67.2%	—	—	1.49
Motherwell to concede in 1st half	25.6%	32.8%	—	—	3.05

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell clean sheet in 2nd half	64.1%	59.9%	—	—	1.67
Motherwell to concede in 2nd half	35.9%	40.1%	—	—	2.49

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell over 2.5 corners	84.0%	81.0%	—	—	1.24
Motherwell under 6.5 corners	72.7%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Motherwell over 3.5 corners	70.2%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Motherwell under 5.5 corners	60.2%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Motherwell over 4.5 corners	54.7%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Motherwell under 4.5 corners	45.3%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Motherwell over 5.5 corners	39.8%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Motherwell under 3.5 corners	29.8%	28.1%	—	—	3.56
Motherwell over 6.5 corners	27.3%	28.1%	—	—	3.56
Motherwell under 2.5 corners	16.0%	19.0%	—	—	5.26

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell under 3.5 goals	89.9%	87.3%	92.1%	0.95×	1.15
Motherwell over 0.5 goals	82.7%	82.2%	79.5%	1.03×	1.22
Motherwell under 2.5 goals	74.4%	74.2%	76.2%	0.97×	1.35
Motherwell over 1.5 goals	52.3%	53.2%	48.6%	1.10×	1.88
Motherwell under 1.5 goals	47.7%	46.8%	51.4%	0.91×	2.14
Motherwell over 2.5 goals	25.6%	25.8%	23.8%	1.08×	3.88
Motherwell under 0.5 goals	17.3%	17.8%	20.5%	0.87×	5.62
Motherwell over 3.5 goals	10.1%	12.7%	7.9%	1.62×	7.86

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell under 1.5 in 1st half	82.5%	84.2%	—	—	1.19
Motherwell over 0.5 in 1st half	52.9%	50.7%	—	—	1.97
Motherwell under 0.5 in 1st half	47.1%	49.3%	—	—	2.03
Motherwell over 1.5 in 1st half	17.5%	15.8%	—	—	6.32

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell scores more in 2nd half	40.2%	41.6%	—	—	2.40
Motherwell scores equally in both	33.1%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
Motherwell scores more in 1st half	26.7%	27.8%	—	—	3.59

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	59.5%	56.4%	43.0%	1.31×	1.77
St Mirren (home no bet)	40.5%	43.6%	57.0%	0.76×	2.30

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell even goals	51.5%	50.8%	51.7%	0.98×	1.97
Motherwell odd goals	48.5%	49.3%	48.3%	1.02×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	35.0%	33.6%	—	—	2.98
HT 1-0	26.4%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
HT 0-1	10.4%	11.0%	—	—	9.12
HT 2-0	9.9%	6.9%	—	—	14.51
HT 1-1	7.8%	6.9%	—	—	14.54
Any other HT score	4.4%	2.4%	—	—	42.13
HT 2-1	2.9%	2.4%	—	—	42.23
HT 0-2	1.5%	2.4%	—	—	42.32
HT 1-2	1.2%	2.4%	—	—	42.35
HT 2-2	0.4%	2.4%	—	—	42.39

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell at HT / Motherwell at FT	38.3%	41.4%	—	—	2.41
Draw at HT / Motherwell at FT	21.1%	21.6%	—	—	4.64
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	15.1%	16.7%	—	—	5.97
St Mirren at HT / St Mirren at FT	7.5%	6.1%	—	—	16.48
Draw at HT / St Mirren at FT	7.1%	6.1%	—	—	16.49
Motherwell at HT / Draw at FT	4.1%	3.5%	—	—	28.89
St Mirren at HT / Draw at FT	3.6%	3.5%	—	—	28.91
St Mirren at HT / Motherwell at FT	2.3%	3.5%	—	—	28.95
Motherwell at HT / St Mirren at FT	1.0%	3.4%	—	—	29.00

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell to score last	64.6%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
St Mirren to score last	27.3%	27.3%	—	—	3.67
No goal scored	8.1%	7.6%	—	—	13.17

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	91.9%	92.5%	—	—	1.08
Motherwell to lead by 1 at any time	71.9%	74.0%	—	—	1.35
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	47.7%	44.3%	—	—	2.26
Motherwell to lead by 2 at any time	40.6%	39.1%	—	—	2.56
St Mirren to lead by 1 at any time	30.4%	29.6%	—	—	3.37
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	19.7%	14.9%	—	—	6.73
Motherwell to lead by 3 at any time	18.3%	14.8%	—	—	6.74
St Mirren to lead by 2 at any time	7.2%	6.6%	—	—	15.05
St Mirren to lead by 3 at any time	1.4%	1.6%	—	—	63.92

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell most corners	52.6%	51.7%	—	—	1.94
St Mirren most corners	36.0%	39.3%	—	—	2.54
Corners level	11.4%	10.4%	—	—	9.59

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	87.7%	87.4%	87.0%	1.00×	1.14
1-4 goals	81.1%	83.4%	79.8%	1.05×	1.20
2-6 goals	69.6%	68.8%	76.7%	0.90×	1.45
1-3 goals	67.8%	68.8%	61.6%	1.12×	1.45
2-5 goals	66.8%	68.8%	71.1%	0.97×	1.45
2-4 goals	60.2%	63.3%	63.8%	0.99×	1.58
2-3 goals	46.9%	48.4%	45.7%	1.06×	2.06
1-2 goals	46.4%	48.4%	37.6%	1.29×	2.06
3-6 goals	44.0%	43.6%	55.2%	0.79×	2.29
3-5 goals	41.3%	43.6%	49.6%	0.88×	2.29
3-4 goals	34.6%	35.2%	42.4%	0.83×	2.84
4-6 goals	22.7%	24.5%	31.2%	0.78×	4.09
4-5 goals	19.9%	18.8%	25.6%	0.74×	5.31
5-6 goals	9.4%	8.9%	13.0%	0.68×	11.25
7+ goals	1.4%	2.6%	1.9%	1.37×	39.21

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell never behind	61.4%	68.1%	—	—	1.47
St Mirren never behind	19.9%	18.6%	—	—	5.38

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	49.9%	50.9%	48.8%	1.04×	1.97
Even number of goals	50.1%	49.1%	51.2%	0.96×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	56.1%	57.7%	—	—	1.73
Odd goals in 1st half	43.9%	42.3%	—	—	2.37

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	52.7%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	47.3%	48.0%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	95.9%	95.4%	92.6%	1.03×	1.05
Over 0.5 goals	91.9%	92.3%	94.2%	0.98×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	89.2%	87.6%	85.3%	1.03×	1.14
Under 3.5 goals	75.9%	77.3%	67.1%	1.15×	1.29
Over 1.5 goals	71.0%	72.5%	78.3%	0.93×	1.38
Under 2.5 goals	54.6%	52.5%	43.2%	1.22×	1.90
Over 2.5 goals	45.4%	47.5%	56.8%	0.84×	2.11
Under 1.5 goals	29.0%	27.5%	21.7%	1.27×	3.63
Over 3.5 goals	24.1%	22.7%	32.9%	0.69×	4.40
Over 4.5 goals	10.8%	12.4%	14.7%	0.84×	8.07
Under 0.5 goals	8.1%	7.7%	5.8%	1.34×	12.93
Over 5.5 goals	4.1%	4.6%	7.4%	0.62×	21.81

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	98.6%	97.2%	98.0%	0.99×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	95.6%	97.2%	92.0%	1.06×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	87.6%	86.7%	82.1%	1.06×	1.15
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	69.4%	67.5%	56.8%	1.19×	1.48
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	61.0%	61.9%	72.4%	0.86×	1.62
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	39.0%	38.1%	27.6%	1.38×	2.62
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	30.6%	32.5%	43.2%	0.75×	3.08
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	12.4%	13.3%	17.9%	0.74×	7.54
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	4.4%	2.8%	8.0%	0.35×	35.57
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	1.4%	2.8%	2.0%	1.42×	35.65

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	91.0%	92.7%	—	—	1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half	71.8%	71.3%	—	—	1.40
Over 0.5 in 1st half	65.0%	68.6%	—	—	1.46
Under 0.5 in 1st half	35.0%	31.4%	—	—	3.18
Over 1.5 in 1st half	28.2%	28.7%	—	—	3.49
Over 2.5 in 1st half	9.0%	7.3%	—	—	13.71

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	82.3%	82.9%	—	—	1.21
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	76.4%	79.5%	—	—	1.26
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	57.8%	55.3%	—	—	1.81
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	42.2%	44.7%	—	—	2.24
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	23.6%	20.5%	—	—	4.89
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	17.7%	17.1%	—	—	5.86

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Mirren not to score in both halves	90.8%	90.2%	—	—	1.11
Motherwell not to score in both halves	66.6%	70.0%	—	—	1.43
Motherwell to score in both halves	33.4%	30.0%	—	—	3.33
St Mirren to score in both halves	9.2%	9.8%	—	—	10.20

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	43.1%	46.6%	52.3%	0.89×	2.15
Only Motherwell scores	39.6%	39.9%	27.5%	1.45×	2.50
Only St Mirren scores	9.2%	7.1%	14.9%	0.48×	13.99
Neither team scores	8.1%	7.1%	5.8%	1.24×	14.00

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	25.6%	24.9%	21.7%	1.15×	4.02
Exactly 3 goals	21.3%	22.6%	24.2%	0.93×	4.43
Exactly 1 goals	20.9%	22.6%	16.1%	1.40×	4.43
Exactly 4 goals	13.3%	12.1%	18.4%	0.66×	8.25
Exactly 0 goals	8.1%	7.6%	5.8%	1.32×	13.14
Exactly 5 goals	6.6%	7.6%	7.4%	1.02×	13.14
6 or more goals	4.1%	4.5%	7.4%	0.60×	22.34

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	36.8%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
No goals in 1st half	35.0%	35.7%	—	—	2.80
2 goals in 1st half	19.3%	15.7%	—	—	6.36
3+ goals in 1st half	9.0%	7.3%	—	—	13.71

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	42.2%	44.6%	—	—	2.24
1 goal in 2nd half	34.2%	33.9%	—	—	2.95
No goals in 2nd half	23.6%	22.9%	—	—	4.36

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Mirren not to win both halves	97.8%	97.2%	—	—	1.03
Motherwell not to win both halves	79.0%	75.7%	—	—	1.32
Motherwell to win both halves	21.0%	24.3%	—	—	4.12
St Mirren to win both halves	2.2%	2.8%	—	—	36.34

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Mirren to win neither half	72.6%	73.1%	—	—	1.37
Motherwell to win either half	70.9%	72.9%	—	—	1.37
Motherwell to win neither half	29.1%	27.1%	—	—	3.70
St Mirren to win either half	27.4%	26.9%	—	—	3.71

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Mirren not to win to nil	90.8%	92.1%	85.1%	1.08×	1.09
Motherwell not to win to nil	60.4%	66.5%	72.5%	0.92×	1.50
Motherwell to win to nil	39.6%	33.5%	27.5%	1.22×	2.98
St Mirren to win to nil	9.2%	7.9%	14.9%	0.53×	12.62

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell by 1	26.3%	27.9%	19.6%	1.42×	3.59
Draw	22.8%	24.1%	23.3%	1.03×	4.15
Motherwell by 2	19.2%	17.1%	14.5%	1.18×	5.86
Motherwell by 3+	16.3%	17.0%	12.2%	1.40×	5.87
St Mirren by 1	11.2%	11.8%	17.8%	0.66×	8.51
St Mirren by 2	3.4%	2.7%	7.6%	0.35×	36.87
St Mirren by 3+	0.9%	2.7%	6.0%	0.45×	36.94