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Nantes v Reims — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 15 September 2024 · FRA-Ligue 1 · 2425

Ligue 1 xG

1–2
1.43 – 0.55 xG
Shots
18 – 11
On target
6 – 4
Shots in box
12 – 7
xG per shot
0.08 – 0.05
Set-piece xG
0.27 – 0.03
Goals − xG
-0.51 – +1.45
Reading the xG timeline
Each step up is a shot; the height of the step is how good the chance was. Dots mark goals. A side whose line climbs steadily created chances all match. A side that scored while its line stayed flat took a rare chance — that is finishing luck, and it rarely repeats.

Expected goals by minute

0.00.40.81.31.70'15'30'45'60'75'90'Douglas Augusto 27' — goalMarshall Munetsi 33' — goalKeito Nakamura 90' — goal
Nantes 1.51 xGReims 0.55 xG
Reading the shot map
Each circle is a shot, placed where it was taken. Bigger means a better chance; filled circles are goals. Clusters near the goal mean a side worked good openings; lots of small circles far out means shooting from poor positions and hoping. Hover any circle for the player, minute and chance quality.

Shot map

Valentin Atangana Edoa 1' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Matthis Abline 6' — Missed Shot (0.10 xG, From Corner)Matthis Abline 15' — Blocked Shot (0.05 xG, From Corner)Johann Lepenant 25' — Blocked Shot (0.02 xG, From Corner)Matthis Abline 25' — Saved Shot (0.08 xG, Open Play)Douglas Augusto 27' — Goal (0.10 xG, Open Play)Matthis Abline 30' — Missed Shot (0.13 xG, Open Play)Marshall Munetsi 33' — Goal (0.07 xG, Open Play)Nhoa Sangui 37' — Missed Shot (0.01 xG, Set Piece)Matthis Abline 38' — Saved Shot (0.11 xG, Open Play)Tinotenda Kadewere 44' — Blocked Shot (0.01 xG, Open Play)Douglas Augusto 45' — Blocked Shot (0.06 xG, From Corner)Moses Simon 48' — Blocked Shot (0.06 xG, Open Play)Valentin Atangana Edoa 50' — Missed Shot (0.04 xG, Open Play)Douglas Augusto 53' — Blocked Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Matthis Abline 54' — Saved Shot (0.04 xG, From Corner)Douglas Augusto 55' — Saved Shot (0.14 xG, Open Play)Tinotenda Kadewere 55' — Saved Shot (0.54 xG, Open Play)Oumar Diakité 67' — Saved Shot (0.12 xG, Open Play)Oumar Diakité 68' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, From Corner)Pedro Chirivella 70' — Missed Shot (0.01 xG, Open Play)Keito Nakamura 77' — Blocked Shot (0.07 xG, Open Play)Douglas Augusto 84' — Blocked Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Sorba Thomas 84' — Missed Shot (0.01 xG, Open Play)Keito Nakamura 86' — Blocked Shot (0.04 xG, Open Play)Moses Simon 87' — Missed Shot (0.01 xG, Open Play)Emmanuel Agbadou 89' — Saved Shot (0.01 xG, Open Play)Marshall Munetsi 89' — Missed Shot (0.04 xG, Open Play)Keito Nakamura 90' — Goal (0.10 xG, Open Play)
Nantes attacking right Reims attacking left Marker size is xG; filled markers are goals.

Every shot

MinTeamPlayerxG SituationBody partResultAssisted by
1' Reims Valentin Atangana Edoa 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Junya Ito
6' Nantes Matthis Abline 0.10 From Corner Missed Shot Moses Simon
15' Nantes Matthis Abline 0.05 From Corner Right Foot Blocked Shot Moses Simon
25' Nantes Johann Lepenant 0.02 From Corner Right Foot Blocked Shot
25' Nantes Matthis Abline 0.08 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Tinotenda Kadewere
27' Nantes Douglas Augusto 0.10 Open Play Left Foot Goal Moses Simon
30' Nantes Matthis Abline 0.13 Open Play Missed Shot Kelvin Adou
33' Reims Marshall Munetsi 0.07 Open Play Goal Nhoa Sangui
37' Reims Nhoa Sangui 0.01 Set Piece Left Foot Missed Shot
38' Nantes Matthis Abline 0.11 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Johann Lepenant
44' Nantes Tinotenda Kadewere 0.01 Open Play Blocked Shot Kelvin Adou
45' Nantes Douglas Augusto 0.06 From Corner Blocked Shot Moses Simon
48' Nantes Moses Simon 0.06 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Nicolas Pallois
50' Reims Valentin Atangana Edoa 0.04 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Junya Ito
53' Nantes Douglas Augusto 0.03 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Matthis Abline
54' Nantes Matthis Abline 0.04 From Corner Saved Shot Moses Simon
55' Nantes Douglas Augusto 0.14 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot
55' Nantes Tinotenda Kadewere 0.54 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Matthis Abline
67' Reims Oumar Diakité 0.12 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Junya Ito
68' Reims Oumar Diakité 0.02 From Corner Missed Shot Junya Ito
70' Nantes Pedro Chirivella 0.01 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot
77' Reims Keito Nakamura 0.07 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Reda Khadra
84' Nantes Douglas Augusto 0.02 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Ignatius Ganago
84' Nantes Sorba Thomas 0.01 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Moses Simon
86' Reims Keito Nakamura 0.04 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Junya Ito
87' Nantes Moses Simon 0.01 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot
89' Reims Emmanuel Agbadou 0.01 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Valentin Atangana Edoa
89' Reims Marshall Munetsi 0.05 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot
90' Reims Keito Nakamura 0.10 Open Play Right Foot Goal Junya Ito

Players

Reims

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Oumar Diakité FW 90 0 0 2 0 0.14 0.00 0.14
Marshall Munetsi MC 90 1 0 2 0 0.12 0.00 0.32
Valentin Atangana Edoa MC 90 0 0 2 1 0.06 0.01 0.14
Emmanuel Agbadou DC 90 0 0 1 0 0.01 0.00 0.18
Nhoa Sangui DL 90 0 1 1 1 0.01 0.07 0.25
Aurélio Buta DR 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.16
Cédric Kipré DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.32
Junya Ito FWR 90 0 1 0 6 0.00 0.34 0.32
Yehvann Diouf GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.04
Yaya Fofana FWL 77 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.20
Teddy Teuma MC 67 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.12
Reda Khadra Sub 23 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.07 0.07
Keito Nakamura Sub 13 1 0 3 0 0.21 0.00 0.21
Amine Salama Sub 1 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.10

Nantes

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Douglas Augusto DMC 90 1 0 5 0 0.34 0.00 0.28
Moses Simon AML 90 0 1 2 6 0.07 0.36 0.18
Pedro Chirivella DMC 90 0 0 1 0 0.01 0.00 0.02
Alban Lafont GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.01
Jean-Charles Castelletto DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.10
Nicolas Pallois DC 90 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.06 0.17
Kelvin Adou DR 90 0 0 0 2 0.00 0.14 0.73
Matthis Abline FW 84 0 0 6 2 0.50 0.57 0.88
Johann Lepenant AMC 84 0 0 1 1 0.02 0.11 0.24
Tinotenda Kadewere AMR 76 0 0 2 1 0.55 0.08 0.76
Jean-Kevin Duverne DL 76 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.10
Sorba Thomas Sub 14 0 0 1 0 0.01 0.00 0.01
Marcus Coco Sub 14 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Ignatius Ganago Sub 6 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.02 0.02
Dehmaine Assoumani Sub 6 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.01
Jean-Philippe Gbamin Sub 1 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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