betaider.com
Sign in

Napoli v Frosinone — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 10 October 2026 · ITA-Serie A · 2627

Serie A xG

3–0
3.53 – 0.79 xG
Shots
19 – 17
On target
8 – 1
Shots in box
13 – 8
xG per shot
0.21 – 0.05
Set-piece xG
0.89 – 0.15
Goals − xG
-0.91 – -0.79
Reading the xG timeline
Each step up is a shot; the height of the step is how good the chance was. Dots mark goals. A side whose line climbs steadily created chances all match. A side that scored while its line stayed flat took a rare chance — that is finishing luck, and it rarely repeats.

Expected goals by minute

0.01.12.23.34.40'15'30'45'60'75'90'Kevin De Bruyne 28' — goalNoa Lang 31' — goalKevin De Bruyne 93' — goal
Napoli 3.91 xGFrosinone 0.79 xG
Reading the shot map
Each circle is a shot, placed where it was taken. Bigger means a better chance; filled circles are goals. Clusters near the goal mean a side worked good openings; lots of small circles far out means shooting from poor positions and hoping. Hover any circle for the player, minute and chance quality.

Shot map

Noa Lang 0' — Blocked Shot (0.14 xG, Open Play)Noa Lang 2' — Missed Shot (0.07 xG, Open Play)Rasmus Højlund 2' — Shot On Post (0.12 xG, Open Play)Leonardo Spinazzola 4' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Antonio Raimondo 6' — Missed Shot (0.07 xG, From Corner)Anthony Oyono 17' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Giacomo Calo 18' — Missed Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Giorgi Kvernadze 21' — Missed Shot (0.04 xG, Open Play)Kevin De Bruyne 28' — Goal (0.76 xG, )Rasmus Højlund 30' — Missed Shot (0.08 xG, Open Play)Giovanni Di Lorenzo 31' — Saved Shot (0.90 xG, Open Play)Noa Lang 31' — Goal (0.43 xG, Open Play)Noa Lang 33' — Saved Shot (0.10 xG, Open Play)Amir Rrahmani 34' — Missed Shot (0.06 xG, From Corner)Giovanni Di Lorenzo 35' — Missed Shot (0.04 xG, From Corner)Giorgi Kvernadze 37' — Blocked Shot (0.08 xG, Open Play)Amir Rrahmani 40' — Blocked Shot (0.03 xG, From Corner)David Neres 41' — Missed Shot (0.09 xG, Open Play)Giacomo Calo 42' — Missed Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Giorgi Kvernadze 44' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Antonio Raimondo 48' — Missed Shot (0.07 xG, Open Play)David Neres 50' — Missed Shot (0.12 xG, Open Play)Farès Ghedjemis 56' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Antonio Raimondo 57' — Missed Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Noa Lang 59' — Saved Shot (0.04 xG, Open Play)Antonio Raimondo 62' — Missed Shot (0.07 xG, Open Play)Tomás Bobcek 63' — Missed Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Aleksa Terzic 66' — Missed Shot (0.01 xG, Open Play)Romano Schmid 66' — Saved Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Tomás Bobcek 70' — Missed Shot (0.08 xG, From Corner)Scott McTominay 73' — Saved Shot (0.07 xG, Open Play)Giorgi Kvernadze 83' — Blocked Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Tomás Bobcek 84' — Missed Shot (0.10 xG, Open Play)Billy Gilmour 86' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Matteo Politano 87' — Saved Shot (0.08 xG, Open Play)Kevin De Bruyne 93' — Goal (0.74 xG, Open Play)
Napoli attacking right Frosinone attacking left Marker size is xG; filled markers are goals.

Every shot

MinTeamPlayerxG SituationBody partResultAssisted by
0' Napoli Noa Lang 0.14 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Rasmus Højlund
2' Napoli Noa Lang 0.07 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Kevin De Bruyne
2' Napoli Rasmus Højlund 0.12 Open Play Right Foot Shot On Post Giovanni Di Lorenzo
4' Napoli Leonardo Spinazzola 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot —
6' Frosinone Antonio Raimondo 0.07 From Corner — Missed Shot Giacomo Calo
17' Frosinone Anthony Oyono 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Gabriele Bracaglia
18' Frosinone Giacomo Calo 0.05 Open Play — Missed Shot Farès Ghedjemis
21' Frosinone Giorgi Kvernadze 0.04 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Romano Schmid
28' Napoli Kevin De Bruyne 0.76 Right Foot Goal —
30' Napoli Rasmus Højlund 0.08 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Noa Lang
31' Napoli Giovanni Di Lorenzo 0.90 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Rasmus Højlund
31' Napoli Noa Lang 0.43 Open Play Right Foot Goal —
33' Napoli Noa Lang 0.10 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot David Neres
34' Napoli Amir Rrahmani 0.06 From Corner Right Foot Missed Shot Giovanni Di Lorenzo
35' Napoli Giovanni Di Lorenzo 0.04 From Corner — Missed Shot Kevin De Bruyne
37' Frosinone Giorgi Kvernadze 0.08 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Romano Schmid
40' Napoli Amir Rrahmani 0.03 From Corner Right Foot Blocked Shot David Neres
41' Napoli David Neres 0.09 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot —
42' Frosinone Giacomo Calo 0.03 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Romano Schmid
44' Frosinone Giorgi Kvernadze 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Farès Ghedjemis
48' Frosinone Antonio Raimondo 0.07 Open Play — Missed Shot Farès Ghedjemis
50' Napoli David Neres 0.12 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Noa Lang
56' Frosinone Farès Ghedjemis 0.02 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot —
57' Frosinone Antonio Raimondo 0.05 Open Play — Missed Shot Aleksa Terzic
59' Napoli Noa Lang 0.04 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Stanislav Lobotka
62' Frosinone Antonio Raimondo 0.07 Open Play — Missed Shot Aleksa Terzic
63' Frosinone Tomás Bobcek 0.05 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot —
66' Frosinone Aleksa Terzic 0.01 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot —
66' Frosinone Romano Schmid 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Giorgi Kvernadze
70' Frosinone Tomás Bobcek 0.08 From Corner — Missed Shot Giacomo Calo
73' Napoli Scott McTominay 0.07 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Giovane
83' Frosinone Giorgi Kvernadze 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Giacomo Calo
84' Frosinone Tomás Bobcek 0.10 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Aleksa Terzic
86' Napoli Billy Gilmour 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot —
87' Napoli Matteo Politano 0.08 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Scott McTominay
93' Napoli Kevin De Bruyne 0.74 Open Play Right Foot Goal Giovane

Players

Napoli

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Kevin De Bruyne MC 90 2 0 2 2 1.50 0.11 1.82
Giovanni Di Lorenzo DMR 90 0 0 2 2 0.94 0.18 2.00
Amir Rrahmani DC 90 0 0 2 0 0.09 0.00 0.45
Alex Meret GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.90
Rafa Marín DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 1.23
Benoit Badiashile Mukinayi DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 1.20
Leonardo Spinazzola DML 82 0 0 1 0 0.02 0.00 1.06
Noa Lang AMC 73 1 0 5 2 0.77 0.20 1.87
Stanislav Lobotka MC 72 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.04 1.19
David Neres AMC 62 0 0 2 2 0.21 0.13 1.35
Rasmus Højlund FW 62 0 0 2 2 0.20 1.04 1.34
Scott McTominay Sub 28 0 0 1 1 0.07 0.08 0.15
Lorenzo Lucca Sub 28 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Billy Gilmour Sub 18 0 0 1 0 0.02 0.00 0.02
Giovane Sub 17 0 1 0 2 0.00 0.81 0.81
Matteo Politano Sub 8 0 0 1 0 0.08 0.00 0.08

Frosinone

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Giorgi Kvernadze AML 90 0 0 4 1 0.16 0.02 0.43
Giacomo Calo DMC 90 0 0 2 3 0.08 0.17 0.42
Anthony Oyono DR 90 0 0 1 0 0.02 0.00 0.23
Giorgio Cittadini DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.26
Gabriele Calvani DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.16
Lorenzo Palmisani GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.03
Romano Schmid AMC 84 0 0 1 3 0.02 0.15 0.36
Gabriele Bracaglia DL 77 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.02 0.16
Antonio Raimondo FW 64 0 0 4 0 0.27 0.00 0.20
Farès Ghedjemis AMR 64 0 0 1 3 0.02 0.13 0.26
Patrizio Masini DMC 47 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.08
Aleksa Terzic Sub 43 0 0 1 3 0.01 0.23 0.32
Tomás Bobcek Sub 26 0 0 3 0 0.22 0.00 0.18
Seydou Fini Sub 26 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.15
Matteo Cichella Sub 13 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.02
Alessio Zerbin Sub 6 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.02
betaider.com

Sport

Football sections

Preferences

Appearance
Aider Reading the Football model · online
Open the Radar
Bet slip
Open full page
↑↓ to move ↵ to open esc to close See all results

On this page

Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

Press esc to close Read the full guide