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Napoli v Venezia — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 29 December 2024 · ITA-Serie A · 2425

Serie A xG

1–0
2.56 – 0.46 xG
Shots
25 – 4
On target
8 – 2
Shots in box
18 – 1
xG per shot
0.10 – 0.12
Set-piece xG
1.00 – 0.08
Goals − xG
-1.56 – -0.46
Reading the xG timeline
Each step up is a shot; the height of the step is how good the chance was. Dots mark goals. A side whose line climbs steadily created chances all match. A side that scored while its line stayed flat took a rare chance — that is finishing luck, and it rarely repeats.

Expected goals by minute

0.00.71.42.12.90'15'30'45'60'75'90'Giacomo Raspadori 78' — goal
Napoli 2.56 xGVenezia 0.46 xG
Reading the shot map
Each circle is a shot, placed where it was taken. Bigger means a better chance; filled circles are goals. Clusters near the goal mean a side worked good openings; lots of small circles far out means shooting from poor positions and hoping. Hover any circle for the player, minute and chance quality.

Shot map

Amir Rrahmani 3' — Saved Shot (0.09 xG, From Corner)David Neres 3' — Missed Shot (0.01 xG, From Corner)David Neres 3' — Missed Shot (0.05 xG, From Corner)Scott McTominay 6' — Blocked Shot (0.06 xG, Open Play)Hans Nicolussi Caviglia 9' — Missed Shot (0.01 xG, Open Play)Khvicha Kvaratskhelia 14' — Saved Shot (0.06 xG, Open Play)John Yeboah 18' — Saved Shot (0.37 xG, Open Play)David Neres 22' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Franck Zambo 34' — Blocked Shot (0.06 xG, From Corner)Romelu Lukaku 36' — Saved Shot (0.76 xG, )Franck Zambo 38' — Missed Shot (0.36 xG, Open Play)Scott McTominay 38' — Blocked Shot (0.09 xG, Open Play)John Yeboah 48' — Blocked Shot (0.01 xG, From Corner)Khvicha Kvaratskhelia 53' — Blocked Shot (0.01 xG, Open Play)Mathías Olivera 53' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Khvicha Kvaratskhelia 58' — Saved Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Hans Nicolussi Caviglia 62' — Saved Shot (0.06 xG, Direct Freekick)Romelu Lukaku 63' — Saved Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Khvicha Kvaratskhelia 64' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, From Corner)Romelu Lukaku 68' — Missed Shot (0.06 xG, Open Play)Khvicha Kvaratskhelia 70' — Saved Shot (0.04 xG, Open Play)Khvicha Kvaratskhelia 73' — Missed Shot (0.01 xG, Open Play)Scott McTominay 75' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, From Corner)Giacomo Raspadori 78' — Goal (0.43 xG, Open Play)Mathías Olivera 81' — Missed Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Romelu Lukaku 82' — Missed Shot (0.06 xG, Open Play)Matteo Politano 90' — Saved Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)David Neres 91' — Blocked Shot (0.07 xG, Open Play)Scott McTominay 91' — Blocked Shot (0.09 xG, Open Play)
Napoli attacking right Venezia attacking left Marker size is xG; filled markers are goals.

Every shot

MinTeamPlayerxG SituationBody partResultAssisted by
3' Napoli Amir Rrahmani 0.09 From Corner Right Foot Saved Shot
3' Napoli David Neres 0.01 From Corner Left Foot Missed Shot
3' Napoli David Neres 0.05 From Corner Left Foot Missed Shot
6' Napoli Scott McTominay 0.06 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Romelu Lukaku
9' Venezia Hans Nicolussi Caviglia 0.01 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Franco Ezequiel Carboni
14' Napoli Khvicha Kvaratskhelia 0.06 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot
18' Venezia John Yeboah 0.37 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Francesco Zampano
22' Napoli David Neres 0.02 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Giovanni Di Lorenzo
34' Napoli Franck Zambo 0.06 From Corner Right Foot Blocked Shot Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
36' Napoli Romelu Lukaku 0.76 Left Foot Saved Shot
38' Napoli Franck Zambo 0.36 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
38' Napoli Scott McTominay 0.09 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
48' Venezia John Yeboah 0.02 From Corner Right Foot Blocked Shot
53' Napoli Khvicha Kvaratskhelia 0.01 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Scott McTominay
53' Napoli Mathías Olivera 0.02 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Scott McTominay
58' Napoli Khvicha Kvaratskhelia 0.05 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Romelu Lukaku
62' Venezia Hans Nicolussi Caviglia 0.06 Direct Freekick Right Foot Saved Shot
63' Napoli Romelu Lukaku 0.05 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot
64' Napoli Khvicha Kvaratskhelia 0.02 From Corner Right Foot Missed Shot
68' Napoli Romelu Lukaku 0.06 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Mathías Olivera
70' Napoli Khvicha Kvaratskhelia 0.04 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot David Neres
73' Napoli Khvicha Kvaratskhelia 0.01 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Giacomo Raspadori
75' Napoli Scott McTominay 0.02 From Corner Missed Shot Giacomo Raspadori
78' Napoli Giacomo Raspadori 0.43 Open Play Left Foot Goal
81' Napoli Mathías Olivera 0.05 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Scott McTominay
82' Napoli Romelu Lukaku 0.06 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Matteo Politano
90' Napoli Matteo Politano 0.03 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Giacomo Raspadori
91' Napoli David Neres 0.07 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Leonardo Spinazzola
91' Napoli Scott McTominay 0.09 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Matteo Politano

Players

Venezia

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Hans Nicolussi Caviglia MC 90 0 0 2 0 0.07 0.00 0.01
Gianluca Busio MC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.01
Marin Sverko DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Filip Stankovic GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Giorgio Altare DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Jay Idzes DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Francesco Zampano MR 89 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.37 0.37
Gaetano Oristanio FW 88 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
John Yeboah FW 71 0 0 2 0 0.39 0.00 0.37
Mikael Ellertsson AMC 70 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.01
Franco Ezequiel Carboni ML 60 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.01 0.01
Antonio Candela Sub 30 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Magnus Kofod Andersen Sub 20 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Joel Pohjanpalo Sub 19 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Saad El Haddad Sub 2 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Bjarki Steinn Bjarkason Sub 1 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00

Napoli

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Romelu Lukaku FW 90 0 0 4 2 0.93 0.11 0.34
Scott McTominay MC 90 0 0 4 3 0.26 0.09 0.35
David Neres FWL 90 0 0 4 1 0.15 0.04 0.69
Amir Rrahmani DC 90 0 0 1 0 0.09 0.00 0.34
Stanislav Lobotka MC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.35
Giovanni Di Lorenzo DR 90 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.02 0.21
Juan Jesus DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.27
Alex Meret GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Mathías Olivera DL 88 0 0 2 1 0.07 0.06 0.37
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia FWR 75 0 0 6 3 0.19 0.50 0.70
Franck Zambo MC 70 0 0 2 0 0.41 0.00 0.44
Giacomo Raspadori Sub 20 1 0 1 3 0.43 0.05 0.46
Matteo Politano Sub 15 0 0 1 2 0.03 0.16 0.18
Leonardo Spinazzola Sub 2 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.07 0.07
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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