NEC Nijmegen v ADO Den Haag — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 19 December 2026 · NED-Eredivisie · 2627

Eredivisie results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

NEC Nijmegen

20:00 UTC

ADO Den Haag

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 26 Oct, 10:59 · 1,305h before kick-off

NEC Nijmegen win

69.8%

model 69.1%

Draw

19.2%

model 18.1%

ADO Den Haag win

11.0%

model 12.8%

701911

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (176 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

2-1 9.2%
2-0 8.6%
3-1 8.0%
1-1 7.9%
3-0 7.4%

Goals

Over 2.5	70.9%	Under 2.5	29.1%
BTTS yes	61.7%	BTTS no	38.3%
NEC Nijmegen 1+	92.5%	NEC Nijmegen 2+	73.0%
ADO Den Haag 1+	65.9%	ADO Den Haag 2+	29.2%

Expected goals 2.59 – 1.08. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

74/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

92%

★ Best pick

NEC Nijmegen (-0.5)

Asian handicap · usually 44%

68.8% fair odds 1.45

strong signal · 1169 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Not both teams to score 2+

GG/NG 2+ · usually 80%

83.0% fair odds 1.20

moderate signal · 264 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

NEC Nijmegen carry the stronger rating, 1640 Elo against 1610.
Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

NEC Nijmegen have an estimated 69.8% win probability, against 19.2% for the draw and 11.0% for ADO Den Haag. Expected goals from the ensemble are 2.59 for NEC Nijmegen and 1.08 for ADO Den Haag.

Why NEC Nijmegen

NEC Nijmegen carry the stronger rating, 1640 Elo against 1610. Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 19.2%. Draws run at 26% in this competition.

Why ADO Den Haag can win

Nothing in the data singles out ADO Den Haag.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for NEC Nijmegen, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for ADO Den Haag, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

NEC Nijmegen: 63% possession, 20.8 shots a match, 8.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. ADO Den Haag: 49% possession, 14.2 shots a match, 17.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. NEC Nijmegen's shot volume meets a defence that concedes shots freely.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-26 10:06 · team_stats 2026-10-26 06:08 · availability 2026-10-26 14:59 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

NEC Nijmegen are the model's most likely outcome at 69.8%. The likeliest scoreline is 2-1 at 9.2%. Confidence 74/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	691813	2.59–1.08	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	77149	3.03–1.03	3-1 8%	77%	62%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEC Nijmegen to win	76.7%	78.1%	44.4%	1.76×	1.28
Draw	14.3%	13.5%	25.6%	0.53×	7.42
ADO Den Haag to win	9.0%	8.2%	30.1%	0.27×	12.19

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEC Nijmegen & both teams score	43.2%	40.1%	21.2%	1.90×	2.49
NEC Nijmegen & not both score	33.5%	29.6%	23.4%	1.26×	3.38
Draw & both teams score	12.0%	13.3%	22.2%	0.60×	7.54
ADO Den Haag & both teams score	6.5%	8.3%	17.2%	0.48×	12.01
ADO Den Haag & not both score	2.5%	4.9%	13.1%	0.37×	20.54
Draw & not both score	2.3%	4.9%	3.5%	1.39×	20.55

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEC Nijmegen & over 1.5	72.0%	67.4%	36.2%	1.86×	1.48
NEC Nijmegen & over 2.5	64.0%	54.8%	28.9%	1.89×	1.83
NEC Nijmegen & over 3.5	47.8%	45.1%	17.0%	2.64×	2.22
NEC Nijmegen & under 3.5	28.9%	26.1%	27.5%	0.95×	3.84
NEC Nijmegen & under 2.5	12.6%	12.8%	15.7%	0.82×	7.79
Draw & over 1.5	12.0%	12.8%	22.2%	0.58×	7.79
Draw & under 2.5	8.3%	7.9%	15.1%	0.53×	12.63
Draw & under 3.5	8.3%	7.9%	15.1%	0.53×	12.63
ADO Den Haag & over 1.5	7.8%	7.9%	26.2%	0.30×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	6.0%	7.9%	10.7%	0.74×	12.63
Draw & over 3.5	6.0%	7.9%	10.7%	0.74×	12.63
ADO Den Haag & over 2.5	6.9%	7.9%	20.4%	0.39×	12.63
ADO Den Haag & under 3.5	5.2%	7.9%	19.9%	0.40×	12.63
NEC Nijmegen & under 1.5	4.7%	4.8%	8.4%	0.57×	20.81
ADO Den Haag & over 3.5	3.8%	4.8%	10.4%	0.46×	20.82
Draw & under 1.5	2.3%	4.8%	3.5%	1.37×	20.83
ADO Den Haag & under 2.5	2.1%	4.8%	9.9%	0.49×	20.83
ADO Den Haag & under 1.5	1.2%	4.8%	4.1%	1.17×	20.83

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEC Nijmegen (1UP)	86.3%	90.2%	—	—	1.11
ADO Den Haag (1UP)	29.1%	27.0%	—	—	3.71

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEC Nijmegen (2UP)	76.7%	77.0%	—	—	1.30
ADO Den Haag (2UP)	9.0%	8.7%	—	—	11.51

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEC Nijmegen to win 2nd half	64.0%	59.9%	—	—	1.67
2nd half drawn	23.4%	24.4%	—	—	4.11
ADO Den Haag to win 2nd half	12.6%	11.1%	—	—	8.98

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADO Den Haag under 1.5 in 2nd half	87.3%	87.1%	—	—	1.15
ADO Den Haag under 0.5 in 2nd half	54.0%	52.5%	—	—	1.91
ADO Den Haag over 0.5 in 2nd half	46.0%	47.5%	—	—	2.11
ADO Den Haag over 1.5 in 2nd half	12.7%	12.9%	—	—	7.76

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEC Nijmegen over 0.5 in 2nd half	82.1%	82.4%	—	—	1.21
NEC Nijmegen over 1.5 in 2nd half	51.3%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
NEC Nijmegen under 1.5 in 2nd half	48.7%	45.1%	—	—	2.22
NEC Nijmegen under 0.5 in 2nd half	17.9%	17.6%	—	—	5.67

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEC Nijmegen (+0.5)	91.0%	92.1%	69.9%	1.32×	1.09
NEC Nijmegen (-0.5)	76.7%	78.5%	44.4%	1.77×	1.27
ADO Den Haag (+2.5)	61.9%	62.9%	86.8%	0.73×	1.59
NEC Nijmegen (-1.5)	58.3%	57.1%	25.3%	2.26×	1.75
ADO Den Haag (+1.5)	41.7%	42.9%	74.7%	0.57×	2.33
NEC Nijmegen (-2.5)	38.1%	37.1%	13.2%	2.80×	2.70
ADO Den Haag (+0.5)	23.3%	21.5%	55.6%	0.39×	4.65
ADO Den Haag (-0.5)	9.0%	7.9%	30.1%	0.26×	12.68

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADO Den Haag to concede	95.1%	96.2%	83.6%	1.15×	1.04
ADO Den Haag clean sheet	4.9%	3.8%	16.4%	0.23×	26.18

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADO Den Haag to concede in 1st half	72.8%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
ADO Den Haag clean sheet in 1st half	27.2%	24.0%	—	—	4.17

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADO Den Haag to concede in 2nd half	82.1%	80.9%	—	—	1.24
ADO Den Haag clean sheet in 2nd half	17.9%	19.1%	—	—	5.24

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADO Den Haag under 6.5 corners	78.4%	76.1%	—	—	1.32
ADO Den Haag over 2.5 corners	78.3%	76.1%	—	—	1.32
ADO Den Haag under 5.5 corners	67.3%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
ADO Den Haag over 3.5 corners	62.7%	61.7%	—	—	1.62
ADO Den Haag under 4.5 corners	53.2%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
ADO Den Haag over 4.5 corners	46.8%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
ADO Den Haag under 3.5 corners	37.3%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
ADO Den Haag over 5.5 corners	32.7%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
ADO Den Haag under 2.5 corners	21.7%	23.9%	—	—	4.18
ADO Den Haag over 6.5 corners	21.6%	23.9%	—	—	4.18

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADO Den Haag under 3.5 goals	97.9%	97.5%	94.4%	1.03×	1.03
ADO Den Haag under 2.5 goals	91.5%	92.3%	84.9%	1.09×	1.08
ADO Den Haag under 1.5 goals	72.6%	71.8%	58.1%	1.24×	1.39
ADO Den Haag over 0.5 goals	64.2%	63.2%	73.2%	0.86×	1.58
ADO Den Haag under 0.5 goals	35.8%	36.8%	26.8%	1.37×	2.72
ADO Den Haag over 1.5 goals	27.4%	28.2%	41.9%	0.67×	3.55
ADO Den Haag over 2.5 goals	8.5%	7.7%	15.1%	0.51×	13.06
ADO Den Haag over 3.5 goals	2.1%	2.5%	5.6%	0.45×	39.86

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADO Den Haag under 1.5 in 1st half	93.6%	94.0%	—	—	1.06
ADO Den Haag under 0.5 in 1st half	66.3%	70.2%	—	—	1.43
ADO Den Haag over 0.5 in 1st half	33.7%	29.8%	—	—	3.36
ADO Den Haag over 1.5 in 1st half	6.4%	6.0%	—	—	16.58

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADO Den Haag scores equally in both	45.5%	48.1%	—	—	2.08
ADO Den Haag scores more in 2nd half	34.1%	33.3%	—	—	3.00
ADO Den Haag scores more in 1st half	20.4%	21.7%	—	—	4.60

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEC Nijmegen (away no bet)	84.3%	82.9%	63.5%	1.31×	1.21
Draw (away no bet)	15.7%	17.1%	36.5%	0.47×	5.84

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADO Den Haag even goals	56.4%	56.9%	57.4%	0.99×	1.76
ADO Den Haag odd goals	43.6%	43.1%	42.6%	1.01×	2.32

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	65.4%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Both halves over 1.5 goals	34.6%	32.3%	—	—	3.10

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	84.5%	79.3%	—	—	1.26
Both halves under 1.5 goals	15.5%	20.7%	—	—	4.82

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	80.0%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
NEC Nijmegen to score 2+ in a row	73.5%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Either team to score 3+ in a row	47.8%	46.2%	—	—	2.17
NEC Nijmegen to score 3+ in a row	45.5%	46.0%	—	—	2.17
ADO Den Haag to score 2+ in a row	15.8%	16.1%	—	—	6.21
ADO Den Haag to score 3+ in a row	2.9%	2.6%	—	—	39.16

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEC Nijmegen corners (+3.5)	86.8%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
NEC Nijmegen corners (+2.5)	80.3%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
ADO Den Haag corners (+3.5)	77.7%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
NEC Nijmegen corners (+1.5)	72.0%	70.8%	—	—	1.41
ADO Den Haag corners (+2.5)	69.2%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
ADO Den Haag corners (+1.5)	59.2%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
NEC Nijmegen corners (-1.5)	40.8%	42.8%	—	—	2.33
NEC Nijmegen corners (-2.5)	30.8%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
ADO Den Haag corners (-1.5)	28.0%	29.2%	—	—	3.42
NEC Nijmegen corners (-3.5)	22.3%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
ADO Den Haag corners (-2.5)	19.7%	20.2%	—	—	4.94
ADO Den Haag corners (-3.5)	13.2%	15.5%	—	—	6.45

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	38.5%	34.0%	—	—	2.94
12+ corners	31.6%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
9-11 corners	29.9%	31.2%	—	—	3.20

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	76.3%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Over 7.5 corners	71.7%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Under 11.5 corners	68.4%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Over 8.5 corners	61.5%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Under 10.5 corners	59.2%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Over 9.5 corners	50.9%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Under 9.5 corners	49.1%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Over 10.5 corners	40.8%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
Under 8.5 corners	38.5%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Over 11.5 corners	31.6%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Under 7.5 corners	28.3%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Over 12.5 corners	23.7%	23.4%	—	—	4.27

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Any other score	19.0%	13.8%	6.5%	2.12×	7.22
2-0	8.0%	7.4%	7.5%	0.99×	13.51
2-1	8.2%	7.4%	7.9%	0.94×	13.51
3-0	8.0%	7.4%	4.3%	1.74×	13.51
3-1	8.3%	7.4%	3.7%	2.03×	13.51
1-1	6.0%	7.4%	11.7%	0.63×	13.51
4-0	6.1%	7.4%	1.8%	4.05×	13.51
4-1	6.2%	7.4%	3.2%	2.32×	13.51
0-0	2.3%	1.7%	3.5%	0.49×	58.31
0-1	1.2%	1.7%	4.1%	0.42×	58.31
0-2	0.9%	1.7%	5.9%	0.29×	58.31
0-3	0.3%	1.7%	2.3%	0.75×	58.32
0-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.9%	1.88×	58.32
1-0	4.7%	1.7%	8.4%	0.20×	58.29
1-2	2.8%	1.7%	8.1%	0.21×	58.30
1-3	1.0%	1.7%	2.6%	0.66×	58.31
1-4	0.2%	1.7%	2.1%	0.80×	58.32
2-2	4.2%	1.7%	8.7%	0.20×	58.30
2-3	1.4%	1.7%	2.4%	0.70×	58.31
2-4	0.4%	1.7%	0.5%	3.76×	58.32
3-2	4.2%	1.7%	2.9%	0.59×	58.30
3-3	1.5%	1.7%	2.1%	0.80×	58.31
3-4	0.4%	1.7%	0.6%	2.82×	58.32
4-2	3.2%	1.7%	1.2%	1.41×	58.30
4-3	1.1%	1.7%	0.6%	2.82×	58.31
4-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.2%	11.27×	58.32

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEC Nijmegen (2nd half DNB)	83.5%	82.6%	—	—	1.21
ADO Den Haag (2nd half DNB)	16.5%	17.4%	—	—	5.73

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEC Nijmegen leading at HT (DNB)	83.7%	85.4%	—	—	1.17
ADO Den Haag leading at HT (DNB)	16.3%	14.6%	—	—	6.86

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEC Nijmegen or draw (1X)	91.0%	91.8%	69.9%	1.31×	1.09
NEC Nijmegen or ADO Den Haag (12)	85.7%	86.5%	74.4%	1.16×	1.16
ADO Den Haag or draw (X2)	23.3%	21.9%	55.6%	0.39×	4.57

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEC Nijmegen or draw at HT	88.4%	88.4%	—	—	1.13
NEC Nijmegen or ADO Den Haag at HT	70.7%	74.4%	—	—	1.34
ADO Den Haag or draw at HT	40.8%	42.4%	—	—	2.36

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEC Nijmegen or draw (1UP)	91.0%	93.4%	—	—	1.07
ADO Den Haag or draw (1UP)	29.1%	32.0%	—	—	3.13

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEC Nijmegen or draw in 2nd half	87.4%	88.9%	—	—	1.13
NEC Nijmegen or ADO Den Haag in 2nd half	76.6%	75.6%	—	—	1.32
ADO Den Haag or draw in 2nd half	36.0%	40.1%	—	—	2.49

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half drawn	54.9%	50.4%	—	—	1.98
A half drawn	45.1%	49.6%	—	—	2.02

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEC Nijmegen (DNB)	89.5%	87.3%	59.6%	1.46×	1.15
ADO Den Haag (DNB)	10.5%	12.7%	40.4%	0.32×	7.85

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEC Nijmegen to score first	72.9%	75.5%	—	—	1.32
ADO Den Haag to score first	24.7%	23.2%	—	—	4.30
No goal scored	2.3%	4.3%	—	—	23.08

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	61.7%	56.6%	60.3%	0.94×	1.77
Not both teams to score	38.3%	43.4%	39.7%	1.09×	2.31

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	55.7%	47.4%	48.7%	0.97×	2.11
Not both score & over 2.5	21.2%	27.9%	11.1%	2.51×	3.59
Not both score & under 2.5	17.1%	21.5%	28.8%	0.75×	4.65
Both score & under 2.5	6.0%	8.3%	11.7%	0.71×	12.08

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	78.0%	79.8%	80.4%	0.99×	1.25
Both teams to score 2+	22.0%	20.2%	19.6%	1.03×	4.94

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	62.0%	65.8%	—	—	1.52
Both teams to score in 2nd half	38.0%	34.2%	—	—	2.93

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	46.7%	52.9%	—	—	1.89
Both score 2nd half only	28.7%	26.8%	—	—	3.73
Both score 1st half only	15.4%	14.9%	—	—	6.72
Both score in both halves	9.3%	6.8%	—	—	14.64

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	75.4%	80.9%	—	—	1.24
Both teams to score by HT	24.6%	19.1%	—	—	5.23

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	74.3%	75.4%	—	—	1.33
A half without a goal	25.7%	24.6%	—	—	4.07

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
4-6 goals	46.2%	47.2%	33.8%	1.40×	2.12
2-3 goals	34.2%	30.8%	46.7%	0.66×	3.25
7+ goals	11.4%	16.9%	4.1%	4.12×	5.91
0-1 goals	8.2%	7.6%	15.7%	0.49×	13.10

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADO Den Haag to score exactly 1	36.8%	35.9%	31.5%	1.14×	2.78
ADO Den Haag to score exactly 0	35.8%	35.9%	26.8%	1.34×	2.79
ADO Den Haag to score exactly 2	18.9%	19.5%	26.9%	0.73×	5.12
ADO Den Haag to score 3+	8.5%	8.6%	15.1%	0.57×	11.69

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEC Nijmegen to score 3+	58.2%	45.1%	23.7%	1.90×	2.22
NEC Nijmegen to score exactly 2	22.3%	23.3%	26.9%	0.86×	4.29
NEC Nijmegen to score exactly 1	14.7%	14.3%	33.2%	0.43×	6.99
NEC Nijmegen to score exactly 0	4.9%	6.2%	16.4%	0.38×	16.08

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEC Nijmegen leading at HT	59.2%	57.6%	—	—	1.74
Draw at HT	29.3%	25.6%	—	—	3.91
ADO Den Haag leading at HT	11.6%	11.6%	—	—	8.61

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEC Nijmegen -1: 1	58.3%	56.8%	—	—	1.76
NEC Nijmegen -1: 2	23.3%	23.5%	—	—	4.25
NEC Nijmegen -1: X	18.4%	17.5%	—	—	5.71

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEC Nijmegen (0:1)	58.3%	55.9%	25.3%	2.21×	1.79
ADO Den Haag (0:1)	23.3%	24.2%	55.6%	0.44×	4.13
Draw (0:1)	18.4%	17.8%	19.3%	0.92×	5.61

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADO Den Haag (0:2)	41.7%	38.7%	74.7%	0.52×	2.58
NEC Nijmegen (0:2)	38.1%	38.5%	13.2%	2.90×	2.60
Draw (0:2)	20.2%	20.2%	12.2%	1.66×	4.94

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADO Den Haag (0:3)	61.9%	65.7%	86.8%	0.76×	1.52
NEC Nijmegen (0:3)	21.5%	19.4%	5.6%	3.44×	5.16
Draw (0:3)	16.6%	16.2%	7.8%	2.09×	6.17

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADO Den Haag (0:4)	78.5%	81.1%	94.4%	0.86×	1.23
Draw (0:4)	11.0%	9.8%	2.6%	3.80×	10.18
NEC Nijmegen (0:4)	10.5%	9.8%	3.2%	3.06×	10.23

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEC Nijmegen (1:0)	91.0%	92.6%	69.9%	1.33×	1.08
Draw (1:0)	5.8%	6.9%	14.8%	0.47×	14.52
ADO Den Haag (1:0)	3.2%	3.3%	15.5%	0.21×	30.64

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEC Nijmegen (2:0)	96.8%	96.8%	84.5%	1.15×	1.03
Draw (2:0)	2.3%	2.3%	8.8%	0.26×	43.78
ADO Den Haag (2:0)	0.8%	2.3%	6.8%	0.33×	43.87

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	51.5%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
1st half highest scoring	27.9%	26.2%	—	—	3.81
Halves equal	20.6%	24.4%	—	—	4.09

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEC Nijmegen to concede	64.2%	63.7%	73.2%	0.87×	1.57
NEC Nijmegen clean sheet	35.8%	36.3%	26.8%	1.36×	2.75

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEC Nijmegen clean sheet in 1st half	66.3%	70.5%	—	—	1.42
NEC Nijmegen to concede in 1st half	33.7%	29.5%	—	—	3.39

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEC Nijmegen clean sheet in 2nd half	54.0%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
NEC Nijmegen to concede in 2nd half	46.0%	47.4%	—	—	2.11

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEC Nijmegen over 2.5 corners	84.2%	81.0%	—	—	1.24
NEC Nijmegen over 3.5 corners	71.2%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
NEC Nijmegen under 6.5 corners	69.8%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
NEC Nijmegen under 5.5 corners	57.6%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
NEC Nijmegen over 4.5 corners	56.6%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
NEC Nijmegen under 4.5 corners	43.4%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
NEC Nijmegen over 5.5 corners	42.4%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
NEC Nijmegen over 6.5 corners	30.2%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
NEC Nijmegen under 3.5 corners	28.8%	28.1%	—	—	3.56
NEC Nijmegen under 2.5 corners	15.8%	19.0%	—	—	5.26

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEC Nijmegen over 0.5 goals	95.1%	96.4%	83.6%	1.15×	1.04
NEC Nijmegen over 1.5 goals	80.4%	82.2%	50.5%	1.63×	1.22
NEC Nijmegen under 3.5 goals	64.3%	63.6%	89.2%	0.71×	1.57
NEC Nijmegen over 2.5 goals	58.2%	58.7%	23.7%	2.47×	1.71
NEC Nijmegen under 2.5 goals	41.8%	41.3%	76.3%	0.54×	2.42
NEC Nijmegen over 3.5 goals	35.7%	36.4%	10.8%	3.37×	2.75
NEC Nijmegen under 1.5 goals	19.6%	17.8%	49.5%	0.36×	5.61
NEC Nijmegen under 0.5 goals	4.9%	3.6%	16.4%	0.22×	27.47

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEC Nijmegen over 0.5 in 1st half	72.8%	79.3%	—	—	1.26
NEC Nijmegen under 1.5 in 1st half	62.7%	64.3%	—	—	1.55
NEC Nijmegen over 1.5 in 1st half	37.3%	35.7%	—	—	2.80
NEC Nijmegen under 0.5 in 1st half	27.2%	20.7%	—	—	4.84

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEC Nijmegen scores more in 2nd half	47.3%	47.3%	—	—	2.11
NEC Nijmegen scores more in 1st half	29.0%	27.9%	—	—	3.59
NEC Nijmegen scores equally in both	23.7%	21.0%	—	—	4.76

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	61.4%	60.0%	45.9%	1.31×	1.67
ADO Den Haag (home no bet)	38.6%	40.0%	54.1%	0.74×	2.50

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEC Nijmegen even goals	50.1%	50.7%	51.0%	1.00×	1.97
NEC Nijmegen odd goals	49.9%	49.3%	49.0%	1.01×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 1-0	23.4%	24.4%	—	—	4.10
HT 0-0	18.2%	18.6%	—	—	5.38
HT 2-0	15.3%	18.5%	—	—	5.40
Any other HT score	15.0%	18.5%	—	—	5.40
HT 1-1	9.8%	6.9%	—	—	14.51
HT 0-1	7.3%	6.9%	—	—	14.55
HT 2-1	6.3%	6.9%	—	—	14.56
HT 1-2	2.0%	2.4%	—	—	42.29
HT 0-2	1.5%	2.4%	—	—	42.32
HT 2-2	1.3%	2.4%	—	—	42.34

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEC Nijmegen at HT / NEC Nijmegen at FT	54.5%	53.7%	—	—	1.86
Draw at HT / NEC Nijmegen at FT	18.3%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	7.6%	6.1%	—	—	16.48
ADO Den Haag at HT / ADO Den Haag at FT	4.6%	3.5%	—	—	28.87
ADO Den Haag at HT / NEC Nijmegen at FT	3.9%	3.5%	—	—	28.90
NEC Nijmegen at HT / Draw at FT	3.6%	3.5%	—	—	28.91
Draw at HT / ADO Den Haag at FT	3.4%	3.5%	—	—	28.91
ADO Den Haag at HT / Draw at FT	3.1%	3.5%	—	—	28.92
NEC Nijmegen at HT / ADO Den Haag at FT	1.1%	3.4%	—	—	29.00

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEC Nijmegen to score last	73.0%	73.1%	—	—	1.37
ADO Den Haag to score last	24.6%	26.1%	—	—	3.84
No goal scored	2.3%	4.3%	—	—	23.08

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	97.7%	95.6%	—	—	1.05
NEC Nijmegen to lead by 1 at any time	86.3%	91.1%	—	—	1.10
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	72.4%	74.0%	—	—	1.35
NEC Nijmegen to lead by 2 at any time	65.5%	69.2%	—	—	1.45
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	44.3%	39.3%	—	—	2.55
NEC Nijmegen to lead by 3 at any time	42.7%	39.2%	—	—	2.55
ADO Den Haag to lead by 1 at any time	29.1%	25.3%	—	—	3.95
ADO Den Haag to lead by 2 at any time	7.6%	6.7%	—	—	15.03
ADO Den Haag to lead by 3 at any time	1.7%	1.6%	—	—	63.63

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEC Nijmegen most corners	51.5%	51.6%	—	—	1.94
ADO Den Haag most corners	37.8%	39.3%	—	—	2.54
Corners level	10.7%	10.4%	—	—	9.59

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-6 goals	80.4%	83.4%	80.4%	1.04×	1.20
1-5 goals	75.5%	78.7%	87.5%	0.90×	1.27
2-5 goals	69.7%	68.8%	75.3%	0.91×	1.45
3-6 goals	65.5%	68.8%	55.7%	1.24×	1.45
1-4 goals	59.7%	59.1%	75.8%	0.78×	1.69
3-5 goals	54.8%	53.2%	50.7%	1.05×	1.88
2-4 goals	53.8%	53.2%	63.6%	0.84×	1.88
4-6 goals	46.2%	48.4%	33.8%	1.43×	2.06
1-3 goals	40.1%	43.6%	58.9%	0.74×	2.29
3-4 goals	38.9%	39.2%	39.0%	1.01×	2.55
4-5 goals	35.4%	39.2%	28.8%	1.36×	2.55
2-3 goals	34.2%	35.2%	46.7%	0.75×	2.84
5-6 goals	26.6%	30.2%	16.9%	1.79×	3.31
1-2 goals	20.8%	24.4%	37.0%	0.66×	4.09
7+ goals	11.4%	14.8%	4.1%	3.60×	6.76

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEC Nijmegen never behind	68.5%	69.6%	—	—	1.44
ADO Den Haag never behind	11.4%	11.9%	—	—	8.42

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	48.8%	50.9%	48.9%	1.04×	1.97
Even number of goals	51.2%	49.1%	51.1%	0.96×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	51.8%	51.7%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 1st half	48.2%	48.3%	—	—	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	50.9%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	49.1%	48.0%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	97.7%	95.4%	96.5%	0.99×	1.05
Over 1.5 goals	91.8%	92.3%	84.3%	1.09×	1.08
Under 5.5 goals	77.9%	77.3%	90.9%	0.85×	1.29
Over 2.5 goals	76.9%	77.3%	59.7%	1.30×	1.29
Under 4.5 goals	62.0%	61.7%	79.1%	0.78×	1.62
Over 3.5 goals	57.6%	58.6%	37.7%	1.55×	1.71
Under 3.5 goals	42.4%	41.4%	62.3%	0.66×	2.42
Over 4.5 goals	38.0%	38.3%	20.9%	1.84×	2.61
Under 2.5 goals	23.1%	22.7%	40.3%	0.56×	4.40
Over 5.5 goals	22.1%	22.7%	9.1%	2.49×	4.40
Under 1.5 goals	8.2%	7.7%	15.7%	0.49×	12.93
Under 0.5 goals	2.3%	4.6%	3.5%	1.31×	21.84

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	90.4%	92.4%	79.2%	1.17×	1.08
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	87.2%	86.7%	95.7%	0.91×	1.15
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	73.7%	72.4%	89.7%	0.81×	1.38
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	71.4%	72.4%	48.3%	1.50×	1.38
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	52.7%	51.9%	74.9%	0.69×	1.93
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	47.3%	48.1%	25.1%	1.92×	2.08
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	28.6%	27.6%	51.7%	0.54×	3.62
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	26.3%	27.6%	10.3%	2.67×	3.62
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	12.8%	13.3%	4.3%	3.07×	7.54
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	9.6%	7.6%	20.8%	0.37×	13.17

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 1st half	81.8%	85.7%	—	—	1.17
Under 2.5 in 1st half	75.4%	78.0%	—	—	1.28
Over 1.5 in 1st half	51.1%	53.0%	—	—	1.89
Under 1.5 in 1st half	48.9%	47.0%	—	—	2.13
Over 2.5 in 1st half	24.6%	22.0%	—	—	4.54
Under 0.5 in 1st half	18.2%	14.3%	—	—	6.98

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	90.2%	89.8%	—	—	1.11
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	68.0%	68.5%	—	—	1.46
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	58.6%	55.3%	—	—	1.81
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	41.4%	44.7%	—	—	2.24
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	32.0%	31.5%	—	—	3.18
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	9.8%	10.2%	—	—	9.83

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADO Den Haag not to score in both halves	84.5%	84.4%	—	—	1.19
NEC Nijmegen to score in both halves	59.8%	58.3%	—	—	1.72
NEC Nijmegen not to score in both halves	40.2%	41.7%	—	—	2.40
ADO Den Haag to score in both halves	15.5%	15.6%	—	—	6.41

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	61.7%	60.2%	60.3%	1.00×	1.66
Only NEC Nijmegen scores	33.5%	33.3%	23.4%	1.42×	3.00
Only ADO Den Haag scores	2.5%	4.6%	13.1%	0.35×	21.62
Neither team scores	2.3%	4.6%	3.5%	1.32×	21.63

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
6 or more goals	22.1%	22.6%	9.1%	2.47×	4.43
Exactly 3 goals	19.3%	17.5%	22.1%	0.79×	5.73
Exactly 4 goals	19.6%	17.5%	17.0%	1.02×	5.73
Exactly 5 goals	15.9%	17.5%	11.9%	1.47×	5.73
Exactly 2 goals	14.9%	12.1%	24.8%	0.49×	8.25
Exactly 1 goals	5.9%	7.6%	12.3%	0.62×	13.14
Exactly 0 goals	2.3%	4.5%	3.5%	1.28×	22.36

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	30.7%	35.6%	—	—	2.81
2 goals in 1st half	26.6%	28.6%	—	—	3.50
3+ goals in 1st half	24.6%	21.5%	—	—	4.65
No goals in 1st half	18.2%	15.7%	—	—	6.37

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	68.0%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
1 goal in 2nd half	22.2%	22.9%	—	—	4.37
No goals in 2nd half	9.8%	10.3%	—	—	9.69

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADO Den Haag not to win both halves	98.5%	97.3%	—	—	1.03
NEC Nijmegen not to win both halves	62.0%	68.6%	—	—	1.46
NEC Nijmegen to win both halves	38.0%	31.4%	—	—	3.18
ADO Den Haag to win both halves	1.5%	2.7%	—	—	36.62

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEC Nijmegen to win either half	85.1%	91.5%	—	—	1.09
ADO Den Haag to win neither half	77.3%	79.7%	—	—	1.26
ADO Den Haag to win either half	22.7%	20.3%	—	—	4.92
NEC Nijmegen to win neither half	14.9%	8.5%	—	—	11.75

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADO Den Haag not to win to nil	97.5%	96.2%	86.9%	1.11×	1.04
NEC Nijmegen not to win to nil	66.5%	69.7%	76.6%	0.91×	1.44
NEC Nijmegen to win to nil	33.5%	30.3%	23.4%	1.29×	3.30
ADO Den Haag to win to nil	2.5%	3.8%	13.1%	0.29×	26.16

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEC Nijmegen by 3+	38.1%	34.8%	13.2%	2.63×	2.88
NEC Nijmegen by 2	20.2%	24.1%	12.2%	1.98×	4.15
NEC Nijmegen by 1	18.4%	17.1%	19.3%	0.88×	5.87
Draw	14.3%	11.8%	25.6%	0.46×	8.50
ADO Den Haag by 1	5.8%	7.2%	14.8%	0.49×	13.92
ADO Den Haag by 2	2.3%	2.7%	8.8%	0.31×	36.90
ADO Den Haag by 3+	0.8%	2.7%	6.8%	0.40×	36.95