NEC Nijmegen v FC Twente — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 28 November 2026 · NED-Eredivisie · 2627

Eredivisie results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

NEC Nijmegen

20:00 UTC

FC Twente

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 25 Oct, 11:02 · 825h before kick-off

NEC Nijmegen win

36.7%

model 37.0%

Draw

26.6%

model 25.5%

FC Twente win

36.7%

model 37.5%

372737

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (648 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 11.3%
1-2 8.3%
2-1 8.3%
2-2 6.8%
0-1 5.2%

Goals

Over 2.5	63.1%	Under 2.5	36.9%
BTTS yes	65.7%	BTTS no	34.3%
NEC Nijmegen 1+	80.2%	NEC Nijmegen 2+	48.2%
FC Twente 1+	80.5%	FC Twente 2+	48.6%

Expected goals 1.62 – 1.63. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

80/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

99%

★ Best pick

3-6 goals

Multi goal · usually 56%

58.5% fair odds 1.71

moderate signal · 2005 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Under 2.5 in 1st half

Over/Under 1HT

84.4% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 383 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

FC Twente carry the stronger rating, 1672 Elo against 1640.
Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

FC Twente have an estimated 36.7% win probability, against 36.7% for NEC Nijmegen and 26.6% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.62 for NEC Nijmegen and 1.63 for FC Twente.

Why NEC Nijmegen

Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 26.6%. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.62 to 1.63. Draws run at 26% in this competition.

Why FC Twente can win

FC Twente carry the stronger rating, 1672 Elo against 1640. Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for NEC Nijmegen, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for FC Twente, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

NEC Nijmegen: 63% possession, 20.8 shots a match, 8.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. FC Twente: 60% possession, 21.6 shots a match, 8.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-25 14:59 · team_stats 2026-10-25 06:07 · availability 2026-10-25 15:02 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

FC Twente are the model's most likely outcome at 36.7%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 11.3%. Confidence 80/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	372538	1.62–1.63	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	382536	1.67–1.63	1-1 11%	64%	66%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEC Nijmegen to win	38.3%	36.4%	44.4%	0.82×	2.75
FC Twente to win	36.5%	36.3%	30.1%	1.21×	2.75
Draw	25.2%	27.9%	25.6%	1.09×	3.59

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEC Nijmegen & both teams score	23.5%	21.8%	21.2%	1.03×	4.59
FC Twente & both teams score	22.5%	21.8%	17.2%	1.27×	4.59
Draw & both teams score	20.4%	21.8%	22.2%	0.98×	4.59
NEC Nijmegen & not both score	14.8%	13.3%	23.4%	0.57×	7.54
FC Twente & not both score	14.0%	13.3%	13.1%	1.01×	7.54
Draw & not both score	4.8%	4.9%	3.5%	1.40×	20.47

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEC Nijmegen & over 1.5	33.2%	30.8%	36.2%	0.85×	3.25
FC Twente & over 1.5	31.6%	30.7%	26.2%	1.17×	3.25
NEC Nijmegen & over 2.5	28.1%	26.1%	28.9%	0.90×	3.84
FC Twente & over 2.5	26.7%	26.0%	20.4%	1.28×	3.84
NEC Nijmegen & under 3.5	21.5%	21.6%	27.5%	0.78×	4.63
FC Twente & under 3.5	20.6%	21.6%	19.9%	1.08×	4.63
Draw & over 1.5	20.4%	21.6%	22.2%	0.97×	4.63
NEC Nijmegen & over 3.5	16.8%	18.0%	17.0%	1.06×	5.56
FC Twente & over 3.5	15.8%	18.0%	10.4%	1.74×	5.56
Draw & under 2.5	16.0%	18.0%	15.1%	1.19×	5.56
Draw & under 3.5	16.0%	18.0%	15.1%	1.19×	5.56
NEC Nijmegen & under 2.5	10.2%	12.8%	15.7%	0.82×	7.79
FC Twente & under 2.5	9.8%	7.9%	9.9%	0.80×	12.62
Draw & over 2.5	9.3%	7.9%	10.7%	0.74×	12.63
Draw & over 3.5	9.3%	7.9%	10.7%	0.74×	12.63
NEC Nijmegen & under 1.5	5.1%	7.9%	8.4%	0.95×	12.63
FC Twente & under 1.5	4.9%	4.8%	4.1%	1.17×	20.81
Draw & under 1.5	4.8%	4.8%	3.5%	1.37×	20.81

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEC Nijmegen (1UP)	58.1%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
FC Twente (1UP)	56.6%	57.9%	—	—	1.73

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEC Nijmegen (2UP)	38.3%	37.4%	—	—	2.68
FC Twente (2UP)	36.5%	37.3%	—	—	2.68

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Twente to win 2nd half	34.5%	34.0%	—	—	2.94
NEC Nijmegen to win 2nd half	33.2%	34.0%	—	—	2.94
2nd half drawn	32.3%	34.0%	—	—	2.94

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Twente under 1.5 in 2nd half	74.4%	75.7%	—	—	1.32
FC Twente over 0.5 in 2nd half	62.3%	60.3%	—	—	1.66
FC Twente under 0.5 in 2nd half	37.7%	39.7%	—	—	2.52
FC Twente over 1.5 in 2nd half	25.6%	24.3%	—	—	4.12

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEC Nijmegen under 1.5 in 2nd half	75.3%	75.1%	—	—	1.33
NEC Nijmegen over 0.5 in 2nd half	61.4%	63.1%	—	—	1.59
NEC Nijmegen under 0.5 in 2nd half	38.6%	36.9%	—	—	2.71
NEC Nijmegen over 1.5 in 2nd half	24.7%	24.9%	—	—	4.01

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Twente (+2.5)	91.7%	92.1%	86.8%	1.06×	1.09
FC Twente (+1.5)	80.0%	78.5%	74.7%	1.05×	1.27
NEC Nijmegen (+0.5)	63.5%	63.0%	69.9%	0.90×	1.59
FC Twente (+0.5)	61.7%	62.9%	55.6%	1.13×	1.59
NEC Nijmegen (-0.5)	38.3%	37.1%	44.4%	0.83×	2.70
FC Twente (-0.5)	36.5%	37.0%	30.1%	1.23×	2.70
NEC Nijmegen (-1.5)	20.0%	21.5%	25.3%	0.85×	4.65
NEC Nijmegen (-2.5)	8.3%	7.9%	13.2%	0.60×	12.69

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Twente to concede	81.2%	81.4%	83.6%	0.97×	1.23
FC Twente clean sheet	18.8%	18.6%	16.4%	1.13×	5.39

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Twente to concede in 1st half	51.3%	50.8%	—	—	1.97
FC Twente clean sheet in 1st half	48.7%	49.2%	—	—	2.04

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Twente to concede in 2nd half	61.4%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
FC Twente clean sheet in 2nd half	38.6%	38.2%	—	—	2.62

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Twente under 6.5 corners	80.0%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
FC Twente over 2.5 corners	76.9%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
FC Twente under 5.5 corners	69.2%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
FC Twente over 3.5 corners	60.8%	61.7%	—	—	1.62
FC Twente under 4.5 corners	55.3%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
FC Twente over 4.5 corners	44.7%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
FC Twente under 3.5 corners	39.2%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
FC Twente over 5.5 corners	30.8%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
FC Twente under 2.5 corners	23.1%	24.0%	—	—	4.17
FC Twente over 6.5 corners	20.0%	18.6%	—	—	5.37

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Twente under 3.5 goals	91.7%	92.3%	94.4%	0.98×	1.08
FC Twente over 0.5 goals	80.4%	81.5%	73.2%	1.11×	1.23
FC Twente under 2.5 goals	77.6%	76.2%	84.9%	0.90×	1.31
FC Twente under 1.5 goals	51.6%	53.5%	58.1%	0.92×	1.87
FC Twente over 1.5 goals	48.4%	46.5%	41.9%	1.11×	2.15
FC Twente over 2.5 goals	22.4%	23.8%	15.1%	1.58×	4.21
FC Twente under 0.5 goals	19.6%	18.5%	26.8%	0.69×	5.40
FC Twente over 3.5 goals	8.3%	7.7%	5.6%	1.36×	13.06

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Twente under 1.5 in 1st half	86.1%	89.2%	—	—	1.12
FC Twente under 0.5 in 1st half	52.1%	55.8%	—	—	1.79
FC Twente over 0.5 in 1st half	47.9%	44.2%	—	—	2.26
FC Twente over 1.5 in 1st half	13.9%	10.8%	—	—	9.24

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Twente scores more in 2nd half	42.1%	43.6%	—	—	2.29
FC Twente scores equally in both	34.3%	33.4%	—	—	3.00
FC Twente scores more in 1st half	23.7%	21.8%	—	—	4.58

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEC Nijmegen (away no bet)	60.3%	61.9%	63.5%	0.97×	1.62
Draw (away no bet)	39.7%	38.1%	36.5%	1.04×	2.62

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Twente even goals	51.9%	52.6%	57.4%	0.92×	1.90
FC Twente odd goals	48.1%	47.4%	42.6%	1.11×	2.11

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	77.2%	81.0%	—	—	1.24
Both halves over 1.5 goals	22.8%	19.0%	—	—	5.25

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	74.9%	67.8%	—	—	1.47
Both halves under 1.5 goals	25.1%	32.2%	—	—	3.11

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	65.3%	62.3%	—	—	1.60
NEC Nijmegen to score 2+ in a row	38.6%	36.6%	—	—	2.74
FC Twente to score 2+ in a row	37.1%	36.5%	—	—	2.74
Either team to score 3+ in a row	25.9%	24.9%	—	—	4.01
NEC Nijmegen to score 3+ in a row	13.7%	12.2%	—	—	8.21
FC Twente to score 3+ in a row	12.8%	12.2%	—	—	8.22

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEC Nijmegen corners (+3.5)	88.2%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
NEC Nijmegen corners (+2.5)	82.1%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
FC Twente corners (+3.5)	75.7%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
NEC Nijmegen corners (+1.5)	74.2%	70.8%	—	—	1.41
FC Twente corners (+2.5)	66.8%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
FC Twente corners (+1.5)	56.7%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
NEC Nijmegen corners (-1.5)	43.3%	42.8%	—	—	2.33
NEC Nijmegen corners (-2.5)	33.2%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
FC Twente corners (-1.5)	25.8%	29.2%	—	—	3.42
NEC Nijmegen corners (-3.5)	24.3%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
FC Twente corners (-2.5)	17.9%	20.2%	—	—	4.95
FC Twente corners (-3.5)	11.8%	15.5%	—	—	6.45

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	38.6%	34.0%	—	—	2.94
12+ corners	31.5%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
9-11 corners	29.9%	31.2%	—	—	3.21

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	76.4%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Over 7.5 corners	71.6%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Under 11.5 corners	68.5%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Over 8.5 corners	61.4%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Under 10.5 corners	59.3%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Over 9.5 corners	50.8%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Under 9.5 corners	49.2%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Over 10.5 corners	40.7%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
Under 8.5 corners	38.6%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Over 11.5 corners	31.5%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Under 7.5 corners	28.4%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Over 12.5 corners	23.6%	23.4%	—	—	4.27

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	11.2%	11.5%	11.7%	0.98×	8.72
2-1	8.4%	7.4%	7.9%	0.94×	13.51
1-2	8.2%	7.4%	8.1%	0.92×	13.51
2-2	6.8%	7.4%	8.7%	0.85×	13.51
Any other score	5.2%	7.4%	6.5%	1.13×	13.51
1-0	5.1%	7.4%	8.4%	0.88×	13.51
2-0	5.2%	7.4%	7.5%	0.99×	13.51
0-0	4.8%	1.7%	3.5%	0.49×	58.29
0-1	4.9%	1.7%	4.1%	0.42×	58.29
0-2	4.9%	1.7%	5.9%	0.29×	58.29
3-0	2.9%	1.7%	4.3%	0.40×	58.30
3-1	4.7%	1.7%	3.7%	0.47×	58.29
3-2	3.8%	1.7%	2.9%	0.59×	58.30
3-3	2.1%	1.7%	2.1%	0.80×	58.31
3-4	0.8%	1.7%	0.6%	2.82×	58.31
4-0	1.2%	1.7%	1.8%	0.94×	58.31
4-1	2.0%	1.7%	3.2%	0.54×	58.31
4-2	1.6%	1.7%	1.2%	1.41×	58.31
4-3	0.9%	1.7%	0.6%	2.82×	58.31
4-4	0.4%	1.7%	0.2%	11.27×	58.32
0-3	2.7%	1.7%	2.3%	0.75×	58.30
0-4	1.1%	1.7%	0.9%	1.88×	58.31
1-3	4.4%	1.7%	2.6%	0.66×	58.29
1-4	1.8%	1.7%	2.1%	0.80×	58.31
2-3	3.7%	1.7%	2.4%	0.70×	58.30
2-4	1.5%	1.7%	0.5%	3.76×	58.31

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Twente (2nd half DNB)	51.0%	54.5%	—	—	1.84
NEC Nijmegen (2nd half DNB)	49.0%	45.5%	—	—	2.20

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEC Nijmegen leading at HT (DNB)	53.4%	56.2%	—	—	1.78
FC Twente leading at HT (DNB)	46.6%	43.8%	—	—	2.28

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEC Nijmegen or FC Twente (12)	74.8%	72.1%	74.4%	0.97×	1.39
NEC Nijmegen or draw (1X)	63.5%	63.7%	69.9%	0.91×	1.57
FC Twente or draw (X2)	61.7%	63.6%	55.6%	1.15×	1.57

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEC Nijmegen or draw at HT	71.6%	74.4%	—	—	1.34
FC Twente or draw at HT	67.5%	67.2%	—	—	1.49
NEC Nijmegen or FC Twente at HT	60.8%	61.0%	—	—	1.64

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEC Nijmegen or draw (1UP)	63.5%	71.7%	—	—	1.40
FC Twente or draw (1UP)	61.7%	71.6%	—	—	1.40

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEC Nijmegen or FC Twente in 2nd half	67.7%	66.0%	—	—	1.52
FC Twente or draw in 2nd half	66.8%	66.0%	—	—	1.52
NEC Nijmegen or draw in 2nd half	65.5%	66.0%	—	—	1.52

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	57.5%	58.9%	—	—	1.70
Neither half drawn	42.5%	41.1%	—	—	2.43

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEC Nijmegen (DNB)	51.2%	50.9%	59.6%	0.85×	1.97
FC Twente (DNB)	48.8%	49.1%	40.4%	1.22×	2.04

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEC Nijmegen to score first	48.2%	45.9%	—	—	2.18
FC Twente to score first	47.0%	45.8%	—	—	2.18
No goal scored	4.8%	4.4%	—	—	22.69

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	66.4%	58.4%	60.3%	0.97×	1.71
Not both teams to score	33.6%	41.6%	39.7%	1.05×	2.40

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	55.2%	47.4%	48.7%	0.97×	2.11
Not both score & under 2.5	24.8%	27.9%	28.8%	0.97×	3.59
Both score & under 2.5	11.2%	12.4%	11.7%	1.05×	8.09
Not both score & over 2.5	8.8%	8.3%	11.1%	0.75×	12.06

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	75.9%	79.7%	80.4%	0.99×	1.26
Both teams to score 2+	24.1%	20.3%	19.6%	1.03×	4.92

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	61.3%	65.7%	—	—	1.52
Both teams to score in 2nd half	38.7%	34.3%	—	—	2.92

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	46.0%	52.8%	—	—	1.90
Both score 2nd half only	29.3%	26.9%	—	—	3.71
Both score 1st half only	15.3%	14.8%	—	—	6.75
Both score in both halves	9.4%	6.8%	—	—	14.63

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	75.3%	80.9%	—	—	1.24
Both teams to score by HT	24.7%	19.1%	—	—	5.24

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	64.3%	59.5%	—	—	1.68
A half without a goal	35.7%	40.5%	—	—	2.47

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	43.3%	42.2%	46.7%	0.90×	2.37
4-6 goals	36.9%	35.0%	33.8%	1.04×	2.86
0-1 goals	14.8%	17.0%	15.7%	1.08×	5.89
7+ goals	5.1%	7.6%	4.1%	1.85×	13.18

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Twente to score exactly 1	32.0%	33.8%	31.5%	1.07×	2.96
FC Twente to score exactly 2	26.0%	27.4%	26.9%	1.02×	3.65
FC Twente to score 3+	22.4%	22.3%	15.1%	1.48×	4.49
FC Twente to score exactly 0	19.6%	19.5%	26.8%	0.73×	5.12

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEC Nijmegen to score exactly 1	31.4%	32.6%	33.2%	0.98×	3.07
NEC Nijmegen to score exactly 2	26.3%	26.5%	26.9%	0.99×	3.77
NEC Nijmegen to score 3+	23.5%	23.3%	23.7%	0.98×	4.29
NEC Nijmegen to score exactly 0	18.8%	18.8%	16.4%	1.14×	5.32

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	39.2%	39.0%	—	—	2.56
NEC Nijmegen leading at HT	32.5%	32.8%	—	—	3.05
FC Twente leading at HT	28.4%	25.6%	—	—	3.91

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEC Nijmegen -1: 2	61.7%	62.5%	—	—	1.60
NEC Nijmegen -1: 1	20.0%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
NEC Nijmegen -1: X	18.3%	17.5%	—	—	5.71

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Twente (0:1)	61.7%	61.4%	55.6%	1.11×	1.63
NEC Nijmegen (0:1)	20.0%	24.2%	25.3%	0.96×	4.13
Draw (0:1)	18.3%	17.8%	19.3%	0.92×	5.61

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Twente (0:2)	80.0%	79.4%	74.7%	1.06×	1.26
Draw (0:2)	11.7%	11.0%	12.2%	0.90×	9.10
NEC Nijmegen (0:2)	8.3%	7.7%	13.2%	0.58×	13.05

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Twente (0:3)	91.7%	92.7%	86.8%	1.07×	1.08
Draw (0:3)	5.4%	5.8%	7.8%	0.75×	17.27
NEC Nijmegen (0:3)	2.8%	2.4%	5.6%	0.42×	42.01

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Twente (0:4)	97.2%	98.1%	94.4%	1.04×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	2.0%	1.2%	2.6%	0.47×	81.68
NEC Nijmegen (0:4)	0.8%	1.2%	3.2%	0.38×	81.81

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEC Nijmegen (1:0)	63.5%	65.3%	69.9%	0.93×	1.53
FC Twente (1:0)	18.7%	17.1%	15.5%	1.10×	5.85
Draw (1:0)	17.8%	17.1%	14.8%	1.16×	5.85

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEC Nijmegen (2:0)	81.3%	84.6%	84.5%	1.00×	1.18
Draw (2:0)	11.1%	10.3%	8.8%	1.16×	9.73
FC Twente (2:0)	7.6%	6.4%	6.8%	0.93×	15.66

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	49.7%	48.7%	—	—	2.05
1st half highest scoring	26.6%	26.2%	—	—	3.81
Halves equal	23.8%	24.5%	—	—	4.08

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEC Nijmegen to concede	80.4%	80.9%	73.2%	1.10×	1.24
NEC Nijmegen clean sheet	19.6%	19.1%	26.8%	0.71×	5.23

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEC Nijmegen clean sheet in 1st half	52.1%	55.8%	—	—	1.79
NEC Nijmegen to concede in 1st half	47.9%	44.2%	—	—	2.26

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEC Nijmegen to concede in 2nd half	62.3%	59.8%	—	—	1.67
NEC Nijmegen clean sheet in 2nd half	37.7%	40.2%	—	—	2.49

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEC Nijmegen over 2.5 corners	85.1%	86.2%	—	—	1.16
NEC Nijmegen over 3.5 corners	72.5%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
NEC Nijmegen under 6.5 corners	68.2%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
NEC Nijmegen over 4.5 corners	58.2%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
NEC Nijmegen under 5.5 corners	55.9%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
NEC Nijmegen over 5.5 corners	44.1%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
NEC Nijmegen under 4.5 corners	41.8%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
NEC Nijmegen over 6.5 corners	31.8%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
NEC Nijmegen under 3.5 corners	27.5%	28.1%	—	—	3.56
NEC Nijmegen under 2.5 corners	14.9%	13.8%	—	—	7.25

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEC Nijmegen under 3.5 goals	91.1%	92.2%	89.2%	1.03×	1.09
NEC Nijmegen over 0.5 goals	81.2%	82.2%	83.6%	0.98×	1.22
NEC Nijmegen under 2.5 goals	76.5%	77.8%	76.3%	1.02×	1.29
NEC Nijmegen under 1.5 goals	50.2%	53.2%	49.5%	1.07×	1.88
NEC Nijmegen over 1.5 goals	49.8%	46.8%	50.5%	0.93×	2.14
NEC Nijmegen over 2.5 goals	23.5%	22.2%	23.7%	0.94×	4.50
NEC Nijmegen under 0.5 goals	18.8%	17.8%	16.4%	1.08×	5.62
NEC Nijmegen over 3.5 goals	8.9%	7.8%	10.8%	0.72×	12.82

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEC Nijmegen under 1.5 in 1st half	83.8%	84.2%	—	—	1.19
NEC Nijmegen over 0.5 in 1st half	51.3%	50.6%	—	—	1.98
NEC Nijmegen under 0.5 in 1st half	48.7%	49.4%	—	—	2.03
NEC Nijmegen over 1.5 in 1st half	16.2%	15.8%	—	—	6.31

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEC Nijmegen scores more in 2nd half	39.5%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
NEC Nijmegen scores equally in both	34.1%	33.3%	—	—	3.00
NEC Nijmegen scores more in 1st half	26.4%	27.8%	—	—	3.60

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Twente (home no bet)	59.1%	56.4%	54.1%	1.04×	1.77
Draw (home no bet)	40.9%	43.6%	45.9%	0.95×	2.29

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEC Nijmegen even goals	51.8%	50.7%	51.0%	1.00×	1.97
NEC Nijmegen odd goals	48.2%	49.3%	49.0%	1.01×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	25.6%	28.4%	—	—	3.53
HT 1-0	18.1%	18.6%	—	—	5.38
HT 0-1	16.4%	18.6%	—	—	5.39
HT 1-1	12.1%	11.0%	—	—	9.10
HT 2-0	6.6%	6.9%	—	—	14.55
Any other HT score	6.4%	6.9%	—	—	14.56
HT 0-2	5.4%	6.9%	—	—	14.57
HT 2-1	4.3%	2.4%	—	—	42.12
HT 1-2	3.9%	2.4%	—	—	42.15
HT 2-2	1.4%	2.4%	—	—	42.31

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEC Nijmegen at HT / NEC Nijmegen at FT	23.1%	21.6%	—	—	4.63
FC Twente at HT / FC Twente at FT	20.3%	21.5%	—	—	4.65
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	13.9%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
Draw at HT / FC Twente at FT	12.9%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
Draw at HT / NEC Nijmegen at FT	12.4%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
NEC Nijmegen at HT / Draw at FT	6.1%	6.1%	—	—	16.52
FC Twente at HT / Draw at FT	5.3%	6.0%	—	—	16.54
NEC Nijmegen at HT / FC Twente at FT	3.3%	3.5%	—	—	28.90
FC Twente at HT / NEC Nijmegen at FT	2.8%	3.5%	—	—	28.92

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEC Nijmegen to score last	48.2%	46.4%	—	—	2.16
FC Twente to score last	47.0%	46.3%	—	—	2.16
No goal scored	4.8%	4.4%	—	—	22.69

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	95.2%	95.5%	—	—	1.05
NEC Nijmegen to lead by 1 at any time	58.1%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
FC Twente to lead by 1 at any time	56.6%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	54.1%	50.6%	—	—	1.98
NEC Nijmegen to lead by 2 at any time	28.0%	25.3%	—	—	3.95
FC Twente to lead by 2 at any time	26.6%	25.3%	—	—	3.96
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	21.2%	19.5%	—	—	5.13
NEC Nijmegen to lead by 3 at any time	11.0%	10.6%	—	—	9.46
FC Twente to lead by 3 at any time	10.2%	10.6%	—	—	9.47

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEC Nijmegen most corners	54.1%	51.7%	—	—	1.94
FC Twente most corners	35.3%	39.3%	—	—	2.54
Corners level	10.6%	10.4%	—	—	9.59

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	83.5%	83.4%	87.5%	0.95×	1.20
2-6 goals	80.2%	83.4%	80.4%	1.04×	1.20
2-5 goals	73.5%	72.3%	75.3%	0.96×	1.38
1-4 goals	71.5%	72.3%	75.8%	0.95×	1.38
2-4 goals	61.5%	63.3%	63.6%	1.00×	1.58
3-6 goals	59.0%	59.1%	55.7%	1.06×	1.69
1-3 goals	53.3%	53.2%	58.9%	0.90×	1.88
3-5 goals	52.3%	53.2%	50.7%	1.05×	1.88
2-3 goals	43.3%	43.6%	46.7%	0.93×	2.29
3-4 goals	40.3%	43.6%	39.0%	1.12×	2.29
4-6 goals	36.9%	39.2%	33.8%	1.16×	2.55
1-2 goals	31.2%	35.2%	37.0%	0.95×	2.84
4-5 goals	30.2%	35.2%	28.8%	1.22×	2.84
5-6 goals	18.6%	18.8%	16.9%	1.11×	5.31
7+ goals	5.1%	8.9%	4.1%	2.16×	11.28

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEC Nijmegen never behind	38.7%	44.3%	—	—	2.26
FC Twente never behind	37.1%	44.2%	—	—	2.26

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	47.7%	50.9%	48.9%	1.04×	1.97
Even number of goals	52.3%	49.1%	51.1%	0.96×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	53.6%	51.7%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 1st half	46.4%	48.3%	—	—	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	51.8%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	48.2%	48.0%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	95.2%	95.4%	96.5%	0.99×	1.05
Under 5.5 goals	88.3%	87.6%	90.9%	0.96×	1.14
Over 1.5 goals	85.2%	87.6%	84.3%	1.04×	1.14
Under 4.5 goals	76.3%	77.3%	79.1%	0.98×	1.29
Over 2.5 goals	64.0%	61.7%	59.7%	1.03×	1.62
Under 3.5 goals	58.1%	58.6%	62.3%	0.94×	1.71
Over 3.5 goals	41.9%	41.4%	37.7%	1.10×	2.42
Under 2.5 goals	36.0%	38.3%	40.3%	0.95×	2.61
Over 4.5 goals	23.7%	22.7%	20.9%	1.09×	4.40
Under 1.5 goals	14.8%	12.4%	15.7%	0.79×	8.06
Over 5.5 goals	11.7%	12.4%	9.1%	1.36×	8.07
Under 0.5 goals	4.8%	4.6%	3.5%	1.31×	21.80

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	94.6%	92.4%	95.7%	0.97×	1.08
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	86.7%	86.7%	89.7%	0.97×	1.15
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	81.3%	81.1%	79.2%	1.02×	1.23
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	71.0%	72.3%	74.9%	0.97×	1.38
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	53.8%	51.9%	48.3%	1.07×	1.93
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	46.2%	48.1%	51.7%	0.93×	2.08
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	29.0%	27.7%	25.1%	1.10×	3.62
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	18.7%	18.9%	20.8%	0.91×	5.29
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	13.3%	13.3%	10.3%	1.28×	7.54
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	5.4%	7.6%	4.3%	1.75×	13.20

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	84.1%	85.8%	—	—	1.17
Over 0.5 in 1st half	74.4%	71.4%	—	—	1.40
Under 1.5 in 1st half	60.0%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
Over 1.5 in 1st half	40.0%	36.7%	—	—	2.73
Under 0.5 in 1st half	25.6%	28.6%	—	—	3.50
Over 2.5 in 1st half	15.9%	14.2%	—	—	7.04

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	85.1%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	69.6%	68.6%	—	—	1.46
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	57.8%	55.2%	—	—	1.81
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	42.2%	44.8%	—	—	2.23
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	30.4%	31.4%	—	—	3.19
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	14.9%	14.8%	—	—	6.76

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Twente not to score in both halves	70.2%	73.8%	—	—	1.36
NEC Nijmegen not to score in both halves	68.5%	70.1%	—	—	1.43
NEC Nijmegen to score in both halves	31.5%	29.9%	—	—	3.34
FC Twente to score in both halves	29.8%	26.2%	—	—	3.82

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	66.4%	59.8%	60.3%	0.99×	1.67
Only NEC Nijmegen scores	14.8%	11.0%	23.4%	0.47×	9.05
Only FC Twente scores	14.0%	11.0%	13.1%	0.84×	9.06
Neither team scores	4.8%	4.6%	3.5%	1.33×	21.52

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 3 goals	22.1%	22.6%	22.1%	1.02×	4.43
Exactly 2 goals	21.2%	22.6%	24.8%	0.91×	4.43
Exactly 4 goals	18.2%	17.5%	17.0%	1.02×	5.73
Exactly 5 goals	12.0%	12.1%	11.9%	1.02×	8.26
6 or more goals	11.7%	12.1%	9.1%	1.33×	8.26
Exactly 1 goals	10.0%	7.6%	12.3%	0.62×	13.13
Exactly 0 goals	4.8%	4.5%	3.5%	1.28×	22.33

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	34.4%	35.8%	—	—	2.79
No goals in 1st half	25.6%	28.6%	—	—	3.50
2 goals in 1st half	24.0%	21.4%	—	—	4.67
3+ goals in 1st half	15.9%	15.7%	—	—	6.38

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	57.8%	54.1%	—	—	1.85
1 goal in 2nd half	27.3%	29.1%	—	—	3.44
No goals in 2nd half	14.9%	14.6%	—	—	6.83

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Twente not to win both halves	90.0%	94.1%	—	—	1.06
NEC Nijmegen not to win both halves	89.0%	88.0%	—	—	1.14
NEC Nijmegen to win both halves	11.0%	12.0%	—	—	8.34
FC Twente to win both halves	10.0%	5.9%	—	—	16.94

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEC Nijmegen to win either half	54.7%	54.4%	—	—	1.84
FC Twente to win either half	52.9%	54.3%	—	—	1.84
FC Twente to win neither half	47.1%	45.7%	—	—	2.19
NEC Nijmegen to win neither half	45.3%	45.6%	—	—	2.19

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Twente not to win to nil	86.0%	88.1%	86.9%	1.01×	1.14
NEC Nijmegen not to win to nil	85.2%	88.1%	76.6%	1.15×	1.14
NEC Nijmegen to win to nil	14.8%	11.9%	23.4%	0.51×	8.40
FC Twente to win to nil	14.0%	11.9%	13.1%	0.91×	8.41

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	25.2%	27.9%	25.6%	1.09×	3.59
NEC Nijmegen by 1	18.3%	17.0%	19.3%	0.88×	5.87
FC Twente by 1	17.8%	17.0%	14.8%	1.15×	5.87
NEC Nijmegen by 2	11.7%	11.8%	12.2%	0.97×	8.51
FC Twente by 2	11.1%	11.8%	8.8%	1.33×	8.51
NEC Nijmegen by 3+	8.3%	7.2%	13.2%	0.54×	13.91
FC Twente by 3+	7.6%	7.2%	6.8%	1.05×	13.91