Necaxa v FC Juarez — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 24 October 2026 · MEX-Liga MX · 2627

MEX-Liga MX results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Necaxa

01:00 UTC

FC Juarez

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 21 Oct, 11:05 · 62h before kick-off

Necaxa win

53.5%

model 52.9%

Draw

23.2%

model 23.9%

FC Juarez win

23.2%

model 23.2%

542323

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (466 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 11.2%
2-1 9.8%
1-0 8.5%
2-0 8.4%
1-2 6.1%

Goals

Over 2.5	58.1%	Under 2.5	41.9%
BTTS yes	58.6%	BTTS no	41.4%
Necaxa 1+	84.3%	Necaxa 2+	55.3%
FC Juarez 1+	68.8%	FC Juarez 2+	32.4%

Expected goals 1.85 – 1.16. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

31/100

Data quality

75/100

Model agreement

98%

★ Best pick

Necaxa or draw (1X)

Double chance · usually 70%

77.3% fair odds 1.29

moderate signal · 1708 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Necaxa not to win both halves

Win both halves

83.2% fair odds 1.20

moderate signal · 590 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Necaxa carry the stronger rating, 1409 Elo against 1367.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Necaxa have an estimated 53.5% win probability, against 23.2% for the draw and 23.2% for FC Juarez. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.85 for Necaxa and 1.16 for FC Juarez.

Why Necaxa

Necaxa carry the stronger rating, 1409 Elo against 1367.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 23.2%. Draws run at 24% in this competition.

Why FC Juarez can win

Nothing in the data singles out FC Juarez.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Necaxa, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for FC Juarez, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Necaxa: 48% possession, 14.4 shots a match, 19.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. FC Juarez: 37% possession, 6.8 shots a match, 20.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Necaxa's shot volume meets a defence that concedes shots freely.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-21 11:56 · team_stats 2026-10-20 06:04 · availability 2026-10-21 15:05 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Necaxa are the model's most likely outcome at 53.5%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 11.2%. Confidence 31/100, data quality 75/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	532423	1.85–1.16	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	522325	1.94–1.29	1-1 10%	63%	63%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Necaxa to win	52.0%	51.5%	46.8%	1.10×	1.94
FC Juarez to win	24.8%	24.4%	29.7%	0.82×	4.09
Draw	23.2%	24.4%	23.7%	1.03×	4.09

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Necaxa & both teams score	29.0%	25.2%	24.4%	1.03×	3.97
Necaxa & not both score	23.0%	21.8%	22.6%	0.96×	4.58
Draw & both teams score	18.7%	18.0%	17.3%	1.04×	5.57
FC Juarez & both teams score	14.9%	13.3%	17.7%	0.75×	7.53
FC Juarez & not both score	9.9%	8.3%	12.2%	0.68×	12.00
Draw & not both score	4.5%	4.9%	6.5%	0.74×	20.56

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Necaxa & over 1.5	44.9%	40.3%	37.1%	1.09×	2.48
Necaxa & over 2.5	37.4%	34.9%	30.2%	1.16×	2.87
Necaxa & under 3.5	29.0%	26.1%	30.7%	0.85×	3.84
Necaxa & over 3.5	23.0%	21.6%	16.3%	1.33×	4.63
FC Juarez & over 1.5	20.2%	21.6%	23.5%	0.92×	4.63
Draw & over 1.5	18.7%	18.0%	17.3%	1.04×	5.56
FC Juarez & over 2.5	16.9%	18.0%	20.0%	0.90×	5.56
FC Juarez & under 3.5	15.6%	18.0%	20.1%	0.89×	5.56
Draw & under 2.5	15.0%	18.0%	17.8%	1.01×	5.56
Draw & under 3.5	15.0%	18.0%	17.8%	1.01×	5.56
Necaxa & under 2.5	14.6%	12.8%	16.8%	0.76×	7.79
FC Juarez & over 3.5	9.1%	7.9%	9.7%	0.82×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	8.2%	7.9%	6.0%	1.32×	12.63
Draw & over 3.5	8.2%	7.9%	6.0%	1.32×	12.63
FC Juarez & under 2.5	7.8%	7.9%	9.9%	0.80×	12.63
Necaxa & under 1.5	7.1%	7.9%	9.9%	0.80×	12.63
Draw & under 1.5	4.5%	4.8%	6.5%	0.74×	20.81
FC Juarez & under 1.5	4.5%	4.8%	6.4%	0.76×	20.81

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Necaxa (1UP)	68.2%	70.1%	—	—	1.43
FC Juarez (1UP)	45.2%	43.8%	—	—	2.28

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Necaxa (2UP)	52.0%	55.1%	—	—	1.82
FC Juarez (2UP)	24.8%	23.6%	—	—	4.25

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Necaxa to win 2nd half	43.0%	41.9%	—	—	2.39
2nd half drawn	31.8%	34.3%	—	—	2.92
FC Juarez to win 2nd half	25.2%	25.7%	—	—	3.89

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Juarez under 1.5 in 2nd half	81.8%	84.3%	—	—	1.19
FC Juarez over 0.5 in 2nd half	53.9%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
FC Juarez under 0.5 in 2nd half	46.1%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
FC Juarez over 1.5 in 2nd half	18.2%	15.7%	—	—	6.37

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Necaxa under 1.5 in 2nd half	69.7%	70.8%	—	—	1.41
Necaxa over 0.5 in 2nd half	66.9%	70.7%	—	—	1.42
Necaxa under 0.5 in 2nd half	33.1%	29.3%	—	—	3.41
Necaxa over 1.5 in 2nd half	30.3%	29.2%	—	—	3.43

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Juarez (+2.5)	85.6%	88.4%	91.0%	0.97×	1.13
Necaxa (+0.5)	75.2%	78.5%	70.3%	1.12×	1.27
FC Juarez (+1.5)	69.7%	68.7%	77.2%	0.89×	1.46
Necaxa (-0.5)	52.0%	52.4%	46.8%	1.12×	1.91
FC Juarez (+0.5)	48.0%	47.6%	53.2%	0.90×	2.10
Necaxa (-1.5)	30.3%	31.3%	22.8%	1.37×	3.19
FC Juarez (-0.5)	24.8%	21.5%	29.7%	0.73×	4.65
Necaxa (-2.5)	14.4%	11.6%	9.0%	1.28×	8.66

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Juarez to concede	85.6%	86.3%	81.4%	1.06×	1.16
FC Juarez clean sheet	14.4%	13.7%	18.6%	0.74×	7.27

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Juarez to concede in 1st half	56.6%	56.9%	—	—	1.76
FC Juarez clean sheet in 1st half	43.4%	43.1%	—	—	2.32

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Juarez to concede in 2nd half	66.9%	65.8%	—	—	1.52
FC Juarez clean sheet in 2nd half	33.1%	34.2%	—	—	2.93

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Juarez under 6.5 corners	81.1%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
FC Juarez over 2.5 corners	74.4%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
FC Juarez under 5.5 corners	70.9%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
FC Juarez over 3.5 corners	58.1%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
FC Juarez under 4.5 corners	57.6%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
FC Juarez over 4.5 corners	42.4%	42.8%	—	—	2.33
FC Juarez under 3.5 corners	41.9%	42.8%	—	—	2.33
FC Juarez over 5.5 corners	29.1%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
FC Juarez under 2.5 corners	25.6%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
FC Juarez over 6.5 corners	18.9%	18.6%	—	—	5.38

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Juarez under 3.5 goals	95.8%	97.5%	95.9%	1.02×	1.03
FC Juarez under 2.5 goals	86.0%	87.8%	86.6%	1.01×	1.14
FC Juarez over 0.5 goals	72.4%	71.9%	71.0%	1.01×	1.39
FC Juarez under 1.5 goals	63.1%	63.2%	64.8%	0.97×	1.58
FC Juarez over 1.5 goals	36.9%	36.8%	35.2%	1.05×	2.72
FC Juarez under 0.5 goals	27.6%	28.1%	29.0%	0.97×	3.56
FC Juarez over 2.5 goals	14.0%	12.2%	13.4%	0.91×	8.19
FC Juarez over 3.5 goals	4.2%	2.5%	4.1%	0.62×	39.82

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Juarez under 1.5 in 1st half	90.5%	93.8%	—	—	1.07
FC Juarez under 0.5 in 1st half	59.7%	62.1%	—	—	1.61
FC Juarez over 0.5 in 1st half	40.3%	37.9%	—	—	2.64
FC Juarez over 1.5 in 1st half	9.5%	6.2%	—	—	16.19

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Juarez scores equally in both	39.7%	37.4%	—	—	2.68
FC Juarez scores more in 2nd half	38.1%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
FC Juarez scores more in 1st half	22.2%	22.0%	—	—	4.55

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Necaxa (away no bet)	69.1%	66.4%	66.4%	1.00×	1.51
Draw (away no bet)	30.9%	33.6%	33.6%	1.00×	2.98

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Juarez even goals	53.8%	52.6%	54.1%	0.97×	1.90
FC Juarez odd goals	46.2%	47.4%	45.9%	1.03×	2.11

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	78.1%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
Both halves over 1.5 goals	21.9%	18.6%	—	—	5.37

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	73.5%	67.4%	—	—	1.48
Both halves under 1.5 goals	26.5%	32.6%	—	—	3.07

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	65.0%	62.2%	—	—	1.61
Necaxa to score 2+ in a row	48.0%	46.2%	—	—	2.17
Either team to score 3+ in a row	26.9%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
FC Juarez to score 2+ in a row	26.1%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Necaxa to score 3+ in a row	20.4%	19.6%	—	—	5.11
FC Juarez to score 3+ in a row	7.1%	5.6%	—	—	17.98

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Necaxa corners (+3.5)	90.6%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Necaxa corners (+2.5)	85.6%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Necaxa corners (+1.5)	79.1%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
FC Juarez corners (+3.5)	67.7%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
FC Juarez corners (+2.5)	58.5%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Necaxa corners (-1.5)	51.5%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
FC Juarez corners (+1.5)	48.5%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
Necaxa corners (-2.5)	41.5%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Necaxa corners (-3.5)	32.3%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
FC Juarez corners (-1.5)	20.9%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
FC Juarez corners (-2.5)	14.4%	15.5%	—	—	6.44
FC Juarez corners (-3.5)	9.4%	10.4%	—	—	9.58

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
12+ corners	37.0%	34.0%	—	—	2.94
0-8 corners	34.4%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
9-11 corners	28.5%	31.2%	—	—	3.21

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 7.5 corners	74.9%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Under 12.5 corners	71.0%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Over 8.5 corners	65.6%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Under 11.5 corners	63.0%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Over 9.5 corners	55.8%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Under 10.5 corners	53.9%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Over 10.5 corners	46.1%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Under 9.5 corners	44.2%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
Over 11.5 corners	37.0%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Under 8.5 corners	34.4%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Over 12.5 corners	29.0%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Under 7.5 corners	25.1%	27.5%	—	—	3.64

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.1%	—	—	2.00
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	10.5%	11.5%	11.5%	1.00×	8.72
2-1	9.6%	7.4%	10.6%	0.70×	13.50
1-0	7.1%	7.4%	9.9%	0.75×	13.51
2-0	7.5%	7.4%	7.1%	1.05×	13.50
1-2	6.4%	7.4%	8.8%	0.84×	13.51
2-2	6.2%	7.4%	4.6%	1.61×	13.51
3-1	6.2%	7.4%	5.7%	1.31×	13.51
Any other score	5.7%	7.4%	3.2%	2.33×	13.51
3-0	4.8%	1.7%	3.7%	0.46×	58.29
0-0	4.5%	1.7%	6.5%	0.26×	58.29
0-1	4.5%	1.7%	6.4%	0.27×	58.29
0-2	3.3%	1.7%	3.7%	0.46×	58.30
0-3	1.4%	1.7%	1.8%	0.97×	58.31
0-4	0.5%	1.7%	0.9%	1.94×	58.32
1-3	2.7%	1.7%	2.5%	0.69×	58.30
1-4	0.9%	1.7%	0.9%	1.94×	58.31
2-3	2.7%	1.7%	3.7%	0.46×	58.30
2-4	0.9%	1.7%	1.2%	1.39×	58.31
3-2	4.0%	1.7%	3.5%	0.49×	58.30
3-3	1.7%	1.7%	1.4%	1.21×	58.31
3-4	0.6%	1.7%	0.9%	1.94×	58.32
4-0	2.3%	1.7%	1.2%	1.39×	58.31
4-1	3.0%	1.7%	2.1%	0.81×	58.30
4-2	1.9%	1.7%	1.4%	1.21×	58.31
4-3	0.8%	1.7%	0.7%	2.43×	58.31
4-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.4%	4.85×	58.32

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Necaxa (2nd half DNB)	63.0%	62.6%	—	—	1.60
FC Juarez (2nd half DNB)	37.0%	37.4%	—	—	2.68

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Necaxa leading at HT (DNB)	65.7%	73.7%	—	—	1.36
FC Juarez leading at HT (DNB)	34.3%	26.4%	—	—	3.80

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Necaxa or FC Juarez (12)	76.8%	75.6%	76.3%	0.99×	1.32
Necaxa or draw (1X)	75.2%	75.6%	70.3%	1.07×	1.32
FC Juarez or draw (X2)	48.0%	48.5%	53.2%	0.91×	2.06

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Necaxa or draw at HT	78.9%	79.1%	—	—	1.26
Necaxa or FC Juarez at HT	61.5%	61.6%	—	—	1.62
FC Juarez or draw at HT	59.6%	57.2%	—	—	1.75

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Necaxa or draw (1UP)	75.2%	83.9%	—	—	1.19
FC Juarez or draw (1UP)	48.0%	53.3%	—	—	1.88

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Necaxa or draw in 2nd half	74.8%	74.3%	—	—	1.35
Necaxa or FC Juarez in 2nd half	68.2%	65.7%	—	—	1.52
FC Juarez or draw in 2nd half	57.0%	58.1%	—	—	1.72

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	57.4%	58.4%	—	—	1.71
Neither half drawn	42.6%	41.6%	—	—	2.41

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Necaxa (DNB)	67.7%	67.4%	61.2%	1.10×	1.48
FC Juarez (DNB)	32.3%	32.6%	38.8%	0.84×	3.07

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Necaxa to score first	57.3%	62.1%	—	—	1.61
FC Juarez to score first	38.1%	32.8%	—	—	3.05
No goal scored	4.5%	4.3%	—	—	23.21

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	62.6%	56.6%	59.0%	0.96×	1.77
Not both teams to score	37.4%	43.4%	41.0%	1.06×	2.31

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	52.1%	47.3%	47.7%	0.99×	2.12
Not both score & under 2.5	26.9%	33.3%	32.9%	1.01×	3.00
Both score & under 2.5	10.5%	12.4%	11.5%	1.08×	8.10
Not both score & over 2.5	10.5%	12.4%	8.3%	1.49×	8.10

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	78.7%	79.7%	82.7%	0.96×	1.26
Both teams to score 2+	21.3%	20.3%	17.3%	1.17×	4.92

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	63.8%	65.8%	—	—	1.52
Both teams to score in 2nd half	36.2%	34.2%	—	—	2.92

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	49.1%	53.0%	—	—	1.89
Both score 2nd half only	28.0%	27.4%	—	—	3.65
Both score 1st half only	14.7%	10.7%	—	—	9.33
Both score in both halves	8.2%	6.8%	—	—	14.65

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	77.1%	81.2%	—	—	1.23
Both teams to score by HT	22.9%	18.8%	—	—	5.32

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	63.0%	59.8%	—	—	1.67
A half without a goal	37.0%	40.2%	—	—	2.49

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	43.4%	42.1%	46.1%	0.91×	2.37
4-6 goals	35.7%	35.1%	29.0%	1.21×	2.85
0-1 goals	16.2%	20.2%	22.4%	0.90×	4.95
7+ goals	4.6%	1.9%	2.8%	0.65×	54.04

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Juarez to score exactly 1	35.5%	35.9%	36.0%	1.00×	2.78
FC Juarez to score exactly 0	27.6%	27.4%	29.0%	0.94×	3.65
FC Juarez to score exactly 2	22.9%	22.3%	21.9%	1.02×	4.48
FC Juarez to score 3+	14.0%	12.9%	13.4%	0.96×	7.75

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Necaxa to score 3+	30.7%	32.5%	22.1%	1.47×	3.07
Necaxa to score exactly 1	27.9%	26.6%	33.2%	0.80×	3.77
Necaxa to score exactly 2	27.0%	26.5%	26.5%	1.00×	3.77
Necaxa to score exactly 0	14.4%	14.3%	18.6%	0.77×	6.98

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Necaxa leading at HT	40.4%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
Draw at HT	38.5%	38.4%	—	—	2.60
FC Juarez leading at HT	21.1%	20.9%	—	—	4.80

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Necaxa -1: 2	48.0%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Necaxa -1: 1	30.3%	30.0%	—	—	3.33
Necaxa -1: X	21.7%	23.5%	—	—	4.26

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Juarez (0:1)	48.0%	46.2%	53.2%	0.87×	2.17
Necaxa (0:1)	30.3%	30.1%	22.8%	1.32×	3.33
Draw (0:1)	21.7%	24.2%	24.2%	1.00×	4.13

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Juarez (0:2)	69.7%	72.3%	77.2%	0.94×	1.38
Draw (0:2)	16.0%	15.3%	14.0%	1.09×	6.55
Necaxa (0:2)	14.4%	11.0%	9.0%	1.22×	9.09

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Juarez (0:3)	85.6%	90.6%	91.0%	1.00×	1.10
Draw (0:3)	8.7%	5.8%	6.0%	0.97×	17.19
Necaxa (0:3)	5.7%	5.8%	3.2%	1.82×	17.24

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Juarez (0:4)	94.3%	94.6%	96.8%	0.98×	1.06
Draw (0:4)	3.8%	1.2%	1.8%	0.69×	81.68
Necaxa (0:4)	1.9%	1.2%	1.6%	0.77×	81.89

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Necaxa (1:0)	75.2%	78.6%	70.3%	1.12×	1.27
Draw (1:0)	14.2%	12.7%	19.3%	0.66×	7.87
FC Juarez (1:0)	10.6%	12.7%	10.6%	1.20×	7.88

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Necaxa (2:0)	89.4%	88.5%	89.4%	0.99×	1.13
Draw (2:0)	7.1%	6.4%	7.2%	0.88×	15.69
FC Juarez (2:0)	3.5%	2.3%	3.5%	0.65×	43.61

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	49.4%	48.8%	—	—	2.05
1st half highest scoring	27.2%	26.2%	—	—	3.81
Halves equal	23.3%	24.4%	—	—	4.11

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Necaxa to concede	72.4%	73.2%	71.0%	1.03×	1.37
Necaxa clean sheet	27.6%	26.8%	29.0%	0.93×	3.73

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Necaxa clean sheet in 1st half	59.7%	62.1%	—	—	1.61
Necaxa to concede in 1st half	40.3%	37.9%	—	—	2.64

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Necaxa to concede in 2nd half	53.9%	52.8%	—	—	1.90
Necaxa clean sheet in 2nd half	46.1%	47.2%	—	—	2.12

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Necaxa over 2.5 corners	88.1%	86.2%	—	—	1.16
Necaxa over 3.5 corners	77.8%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Necaxa over 4.5 corners	65.5%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Necaxa under 6.5 corners	59.5%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Necaxa over 5.5 corners	52.6%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Necaxa under 5.5 corners	47.4%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Necaxa over 6.5 corners	40.5%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Necaxa under 4.5 corners	34.5%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Necaxa under 3.5 corners	22.2%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Necaxa under 2.5 corners	11.9%	13.8%	—	—	7.27

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Necaxa under 3.5 goals	86.8%	87.3%	92.4%	0.94×	1.15
Necaxa over 0.5 goals	85.6%	87.2%	81.4%	1.07×	1.15
Necaxa under 2.5 goals	69.3%	68.0%	77.9%	0.87×	1.47
Necaxa over 1.5 goals	57.7%	58.6%	48.4%	1.21×	1.71
Necaxa under 1.5 goals	42.3%	41.4%	51.6%	0.80×	2.42
Necaxa over 2.5 goals	30.7%	32.0%	22.1%	1.45×	3.12
Necaxa under 0.5 goals	14.4%	12.8%	18.6%	0.69×	7.84
Necaxa over 3.5 goals	13.2%	12.7%	7.6%	1.68×	7.85

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Necaxa under 1.5 in 1st half	79.7%	77.6%	—	—	1.29
Necaxa over 0.5 in 1st half	56.6%	56.7%	—	—	1.76
Necaxa under 0.5 in 1st half	43.4%	43.3%	—	—	2.31
Necaxa over 1.5 in 1st half	20.3%	22.4%	—	—	4.47

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Necaxa scores more in 2nd half	41.7%	42.0%	—	—	2.38
Necaxa scores equally in both	31.0%	32.9%	—	—	3.04
Necaxa scores more in 1st half	27.3%	27.8%	—	—	3.60

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Juarez (home no bet)	51.6%	51.4%	55.6%	0.92×	1.95
Draw (home no bet)	48.4%	48.6%	44.4%	1.10×	2.06

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Necaxa even goals	51.0%	50.7%	50.2%	1.01×	1.97
Necaxa odd goals	49.0%	49.3%	49.8%	0.99×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	26.0%	27.9%	—	—	3.58
HT 1-0	21.5%	24.4%	—	—	4.10
HT 0-1	13.3%	11.0%	—	—	9.07
HT 1-1	11.2%	11.0%	—	—	9.09
HT 2-0	9.0%	6.9%	—	—	14.46
Any other HT score	6.7%	6.9%	—	—	14.50
HT 2-1	4.6%	2.4%	—	—	41.97
HT 0-2	3.4%	2.4%	—	—	42.05
HT 1-2	2.9%	2.4%	—	—	42.09
HT 2-2	1.2%	2.4%	—	—	42.20

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Necaxa at HT / Necaxa at FT	32.6%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Draw at HT / Necaxa at FT	16.2%	16.7%	—	—	5.99
FC Juarez at HT / FC Juarez at FT	13.1%	12.6%	—	—	7.91
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	12.9%	12.6%	—	—	7.91
Draw at HT / FC Juarez at FT	9.4%	6.0%	—	—	16.56
Necaxa at HT / Draw at FT	5.5%	6.0%	—	—	16.67
FC Juarez at HT / Draw at FT	4.8%	3.5%	—	—	28.59
FC Juarez at HT / Necaxa at FT	3.2%	3.5%	—	—	28.65
Necaxa at HT / FC Juarez at FT	2.3%	3.5%	—	—	28.68

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Necaxa to score last	57.4%	56.5%	—	—	1.77
FC Juarez to score last	38.1%	38.7%	—	—	2.59
No goal scored	4.5%	4.3%	—	—	23.21

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	95.5%	95.6%	—	—	1.05
Necaxa to lead by 1 at any time	68.2%	69.4%	—	—	1.44
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	54.8%	50.9%	—	—	1.96
FC Juarez to lead by 1 at any time	45.2%	44.5%	—	—	2.25
Necaxa to lead by 2 at any time	38.3%	34.7%	—	—	2.88
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	22.8%	19.7%	—	—	5.09
Necaxa to lead by 3 at any time	17.6%	15.0%	—	—	6.69
FC Juarez to lead by 2 at any time	16.9%	14.9%	—	—	6.69
FC Juarez to lead by 3 at any time	5.2%	6.7%	—	—	15.01

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Necaxa most corners	61.5%	60.5%	—	—	1.65
FC Juarez most corners	29.1%	31.1%	—	—	3.21
Corners level	9.4%	8.4%	—	—	11.96

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	84.6%	83.4%	86.6%	0.96×	1.20
2-6 goals	79.2%	78.7%	74.9%	1.05×	1.27
1-4 goals	73.0%	72.4%	76.0%	0.95×	1.38
2-5 goals	73.0%	72.4%	70.7%	1.02×	1.38
2-4 goals	61.4%	63.3%	60.1%	1.05×	1.58
3-6 goals	58.0%	59.1%	53.2%	1.11×	1.69
1-3 goals	55.1%	59.1%	62.0%	0.95×	1.69
3-5 goals	51.7%	53.2%	48.9%	1.09×	1.88
2-3 goals	43.4%	43.6%	46.1%	0.95×	2.29
3-4 goals	40.2%	43.6%	38.3%	1.14×	2.30
4-6 goals	35.7%	39.2%	29.0%	1.35×	2.55
1-2 goals	32.9%	35.2%	37.8%	0.93×	2.84
4-5 goals	29.5%	30.2%	24.7%	1.22×	3.31
5-6 goals	17.8%	18.8%	15.0%	1.25×	5.31
7+ goals	4.6%	2.6%	2.8%	0.91×	39.02

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Necaxa never behind	50.2%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
FC Juarez never behind	27.3%	30.0%	—	—	3.33

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	48.8%	50.9%	52.8%	0.96×	1.96
Even number of goals	51.2%	49.1%	47.2%	1.04×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	53.6%	51.7%	—	—	1.94
Odd goals in 1st half	46.4%	48.3%	—	—	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	51.6%	51.9%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 2nd half	48.4%	48.1%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	95.5%	95.4%	93.5%	1.02×	1.05
Under 5.5 goals	89.2%	87.6%	92.9%	0.94×	1.14
Over 1.5 goals	83.8%	82.3%	77.6%	1.06×	1.22
Under 4.5 goals	77.6%	77.3%	82.3%	0.94×	1.29
Over 2.5 goals	62.6%	61.7%	55.8%	1.11×	1.62
Under 3.5 goals	59.6%	58.6%	68.4%	0.86×	1.71
Over 3.5 goals	40.4%	41.4%	31.6%	1.31×	2.42
Under 2.5 goals	37.4%	38.3%	44.2%	0.87×	2.61
Over 4.5 goals	22.4%	22.7%	17.7%	1.28×	4.41
Under 1.5 goals	16.2%	17.7%	22.4%	0.79×	5.65
Over 5.5 goals	10.8%	12.4%	7.1%	1.75×	8.07
Under 0.5 goals	4.5%	4.6%	6.5%	0.70×	21.84

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	95.1%	97.2%	97.0%	1.00×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	87.7%	86.7%	92.1%	0.94×	1.15
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	79.4%	75.9%	71.3%	1.06×	1.32
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	72.7%	72.4%	79.5%	0.91×	1.38
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	51.9%	51.9%	41.7%	1.24×	1.93
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	48.1%	48.1%	58.3%	0.83×	2.08
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	27.3%	27.6%	20.5%	1.34×	3.62
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	20.6%	24.1%	28.7%	0.84×	4.15
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	12.3%	13.3%	7.9%	1.68×	7.53
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	4.9%	2.8%	3.0%	0.95×	35.51

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	84.6%	85.9%	—	—	1.16
Over 0.5 in 1st half	74.0%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Under 1.5 in 1st half	60.8%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Over 1.5 in 1st half	39.2%	36.8%	—	—	2.71
Under 0.5 in 1st half	26.0%	28.1%	—	—	3.56
Over 2.5 in 1st half	15.4%	14.1%	—	—	7.09

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	84.5%	83.2%	—	—	1.20
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	71.0%	77.3%	—	—	1.29
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	56.2%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	43.8%	45.1%	—	—	2.22
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	29.0%	22.7%	—	—	4.41
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	15.5%	16.8%	—	—	5.97

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Juarez not to score in both halves	78.3%	78.5%	—	—	1.28
Necaxa not to score in both halves	62.2%	63.6%	—	—	1.57
Necaxa to score in both halves	37.8%	36.4%	—	—	2.75
FC Juarez to score in both halves	21.7%	21.5%	—	—	4.64

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	62.6%	60.3%	59.0%	1.02×	1.66
Only Necaxa scores	23.0%	22.3%	22.6%	0.98×	4.49
Only FC Juarez scores	9.9%	7.1%	12.2%	0.59×	14.02
Neither team scores	4.5%	4.6%	6.5%	0.71×	21.65

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 3 goals	22.2%	22.6%	24.4%	0.93×	4.43
Exactly 2 goals	21.2%	22.6%	21.9%	1.03×	4.43
Exactly 4 goals	17.9%	17.5%	14.1%	1.24×	5.73
Exactly 1 goals	11.7%	12.1%	16.1%	0.75×	8.25
Exactly 5 goals	11.6%	12.1%	10.8%	1.13×	8.25
6 or more goals	10.8%	12.1%	7.1%	1.72×	8.25
Exactly 0 goals	4.5%	4.5%	6.5%	0.68×	22.37

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	34.8%	35.9%	—	—	2.79
No goals in 1st half	26.0%	28.2%	—	—	3.55
2 goals in 1st half	23.7%	21.5%	—	—	4.64
3+ goals in 1st half	15.4%	15.6%	—	—	6.42

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	56.2%	54.0%	—	—	1.85
1 goal in 2nd half	28.3%	29.3%	—	—	3.41
No goals in 2nd half	15.5%	16.4%	—	—	6.11

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Juarez not to win both halves	94.6%	94.2%	—	—	1.06
Necaxa not to win both halves	82.5%	83.9%	—	—	1.19
Necaxa to win both halves	17.5%	16.1%	—	—	6.20
FC Juarez to win both halves	5.4%	5.8%	—	—	17.13

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Necaxa to win either half	65.9%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
FC Juarez to win neither half	59.1%	59.1%	—	—	1.69
FC Juarez to win either half	40.9%	40.9%	—	—	2.45
Necaxa to win neither half	34.1%	32.3%	—	—	3.10

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Juarez not to win to nil	90.1%	92.1%	87.8%	1.05×	1.09
Necaxa not to win to nil	77.0%	78.1%	77.4%	1.01×	1.28
Necaxa to win to nil	23.0%	21.9%	22.6%	0.97×	4.57
FC Juarez to win to nil	9.9%	7.9%	12.2%	0.65×	12.61

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	23.2%	24.1%	23.7%	1.02×	4.15
Necaxa by 1	21.7%	24.1%	24.2%	1.00×	4.15
Necaxa by 2	16.0%	17.0%	14.0%	1.22×	5.87
Necaxa by 3+	14.4%	11.8%	9.0%	1.31×	8.50
FC Juarez by 1	14.2%	11.8%	19.3%	0.61×	8.50
FC Juarez by 2	7.1%	7.2%	7.2%	0.99×	13.91
FC Juarez by 3+	3.5%	2.7%	3.5%	0.77×	36.79