NEOM v Al Taawoun — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Thursday 26 November 2026 · KSA-Pro League · 2627

KSA-Pro League results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

NEOM

20:00 UTC

Al Taawoun

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 27 Oct, 10:57 · 729h before kick-off

NEOM win

39.9%

model 39.7%

Draw

31.1%

model 31.1%

Al Taawoun win

29.0%

model 29.2%

403129

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (648 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 14.7%
0-0 11.3%
1-0 10.8%
0-1 8.7%
2-1 8.3%

Goals

Over 2.5	41.2%	Under 2.5	58.8%
BTTS yes	48.6%	BTTS no	51.4%
NEOM 1+	72.0%	NEOM 2+	36.3%
Al Taawoun 1+	65.3%	Al Taawoun 2+	28.6%

Expected goals 1.27 – 1.06. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

79/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

98%

★ Best pick

Under 2.5 goals

Over/Under · usually 44%

57.3% fair odds 1.75

strong signal · 1220 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Al Taawoun (0:2)

Handicap 0:2 · usually 78%

83.6% fair odds 1.20

moderate signal · 504 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

NEOM carry the stronger rating, 1555 Elo against 1470.
Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

NEOM have an estimated 39.9% win probability, against 31.1% for the draw and 29.0% for Al Taawoun. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.27 for NEOM and 1.06 for Al Taawoun.

Why NEOM

NEOM carry the stronger rating, 1555 Elo against 1470. Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 31.1%. A combined 2.33 expected goals is a low-scoring profile, and low totals mean more level finishes. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.27 to 1.06. Draws run at 22% in this competition.

Why Al Taawoun can win

Nothing in the data singles out Al Taawoun.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for NEOM, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Al Taawoun, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

NEOM: 40% possession, 9.4 shots a match, 9.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Al Taawoun: 58% possession, 15.4 shots a match, 11.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-27 10:01 · team_stats 2026-10-27 06:03 · availability 2026-10-27 14:57 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

NEOM are the model's most likely outcome at 39.9%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 14.7%. Confidence 79/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	403129	1.27–1.06	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	383131	1.24–1.09	1-1 15%	41%	49%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEOM to win	38.2%	36.4%	43.5%	0.84×	2.75
Draw	31.2%	30.4%	21.6%	1.41×	3.29
Al Taawoun to win	30.6%	30.4%	35.0%	0.87×	3.29

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEOM & not both score	22.4%	21.8%	21.9%	0.99×	4.59
Draw & both teams score	19.9%	18.0%	16.5%	1.09×	5.56
Al Taawoun & not both score	17.6%	18.0%	16.8%	1.07×	5.56
NEOM & both teams score	15.8%	18.0%	21.8%	0.83×	5.57
Al Taawoun & both teams score	13.0%	13.3%	18.4%	0.72×	7.54
Draw & not both score	11.3%	13.3%	5.3%	2.51×	7.54

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEOM & under 3.5	29.3%	26.1%	27.3%	0.95×	3.84
NEOM & over 1.5	27.7%	26.1%	34.4%	0.76×	3.84
Draw & under 2.5	26.0%	26.1%	15.9%	1.64×	3.84
Draw & under 3.5	26.0%	26.1%	15.9%	1.64×	3.84
Al Taawoun & under 3.5	24.0%	21.6%	21.5%	1.01×	4.63
Al Taawoun & over 1.5	21.6%	21.6%	28.4%	0.76×	4.63
NEOM & over 2.5	20.2%	21.6%	27.6%	0.78×	4.63
Draw & over 1.5	19.9%	18.0%	16.5%	1.09×	5.55
NEOM & under 2.5	18.0%	18.0%	16.0%	1.12×	5.56
Al Taawoun & over 2.5	15.9%	18.0%	23.1%	0.78×	5.56
Al Taawoun & under 2.5	14.8%	12.8%	12.1%	1.06×	7.79
Draw & under 1.5	11.3%	12.8%	5.3%	2.43×	7.79
NEOM & under 1.5	10.5%	12.8%	9.2%	1.39×	7.79
NEOM & over 3.5	8.9%	7.9%	16.3%	0.49×	12.63
Al Taawoun & under 1.5	9.0%	7.9%	6.8%	1.17×	12.63
Al Taawoun & over 3.5	6.6%	7.9%	13.7%	0.58×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	5.2%	7.9%	5.9%	1.34×	12.63
Draw & over 3.5	5.2%	7.9%	5.9%	1.34×	12.63

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEOM (1UP)	53.4%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
Al Taawoun (1UP)	46.7%	43.8%	—	—	2.28

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEOM (2UP)	38.2%	37.4%	—	—	2.68
Al Taawoun (2UP)	30.6%	30.1%	—	—	3.32

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half drawn	40.0%	41.8%	—	—	2.39
NEOM to win 2nd half	31.7%	34.0%	—	—	2.94
Al Taawoun to win 2nd half	28.3%	26.1%	—	—	3.83

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Taawoun under 1.5 in 2nd half	86.0%	87.0%	—	—	1.15
Al Taawoun under 0.5 in 2nd half	52.1%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
Al Taawoun over 0.5 in 2nd half	47.9%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
Al Taawoun over 1.5 in 2nd half	14.0%	13.0%	—	—	7.72

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEOM under 1.5 in 2nd half	84.1%	82.5%	—	—	1.21
NEOM over 0.5 in 2nd half	50.7%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
NEOM under 0.5 in 2nd half	49.3%	45.1%	—	—	2.22
NEOM over 1.5 in 2nd half	15.9%	17.5%	—	—	5.72

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Taawoun (+2.5)	94.1%	92.1%	90.5%	1.02×	1.09
Al Taawoun (+1.5)	82.6%	82.6%	77.8%	1.06×	1.21
NEOM (+0.5)	69.4%	68.7%	65.0%	1.06×	1.46
Al Taawoun (+0.5)	61.8%	62.9%	56.5%	1.11×	1.59
NEOM (-0.5)	38.2%	37.1%	43.5%	0.85×	2.70
Al Taawoun (-0.5)	30.6%	31.3%	35.0%	0.89×	3.19
NEOM (-1.5)	17.4%	17.4%	22.2%	0.78×	5.74
NEOM (-2.5)	5.9%	7.9%	9.5%	0.83×	12.72

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Taawoun to concede	71.1%	76.6%	78.1%	0.98×	1.31
Al Taawoun clean sheet	28.9%	23.4%	21.9%	1.07×	4.28

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Taawoun clean sheet in 1st half	58.6%	56.5%	—	—	1.77
Al Taawoun to concede in 1st half	41.4%	43.5%	—	—	2.30

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Taawoun to concede in 2nd half	50.7%	54.4%	—	—	1.84
Al Taawoun clean sheet in 2nd half	49.3%	45.6%	—	—	2.19

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Taawoun under 6.5 corners	87.3%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
Al Taawoun under 5.5 corners	78.4%	76.1%	—	—	1.32
Al Taawoun over 2.5 corners	69.0%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Al Taawoun under 4.5 corners	65.6%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Al Taawoun over 3.5 corners	50.8%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Al Taawoun under 3.5 corners	49.2%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Al Taawoun over 4.5 corners	34.4%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
Al Taawoun under 2.5 corners	31.0%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
Al Taawoun over 5.5 corners	21.6%	23.9%	—	—	4.18
Al Taawoun over 6.5 corners	12.7%	14.8%	—	—	6.77

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Taawoun under 3.5 goals	97.5%	97.5%	93.1%	1.05×	1.03
Al Taawoun under 2.5 goals	90.3%	92.3%	82.6%	1.12×	1.08
Al Taawoun under 1.5 goals	70.3%	71.8%	60.9%	1.18×	1.39
Al Taawoun over 0.5 goals	66.3%	68.0%	73.0%	0.93×	1.47
Al Taawoun under 0.5 goals	33.7%	32.0%	27.0%	1.18×	3.13
Al Taawoun over 1.5 goals	29.7%	28.2%	39.1%	0.72×	3.55
Al Taawoun over 2.5 goals	9.7%	7.7%	17.4%	0.44×	13.05
Al Taawoun over 3.5 goals	2.5%	2.5%	6.9%	0.36×	39.84

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Taawoun under 1.5 in 1st half	92.9%	93.9%	—	—	1.06
Al Taawoun under 0.5 in 1st half	64.7%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
Al Taawoun over 0.5 in 1st half	35.3%	36.7%	—	—	2.73
Al Taawoun over 1.5 in 1st half	7.1%	6.1%	—	—	16.52

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Taawoun scores equally in both	44.0%	43.7%	—	—	2.29
Al Taawoun scores more in 2nd half	35.1%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
Al Taawoun scores more in 1st half	20.9%	21.7%	—	—	4.60

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEOM (away no bet)	55.0%	57.3%	66.8%	0.86×	1.75
Draw (away no bet)	45.0%	42.7%	33.2%	1.29×	2.34

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Taawoun even goals	55.7%	56.9%	52.4%	1.09×	1.76
Al Taawoun odd goals	44.3%	43.1%	47.6%	0.91×	2.32

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	90.0%	91.1%	—	—	1.10
Both halves over 1.5 goals	10.0%	8.9%	—	—	11.26

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	55.6%	60.1%	—	—	1.66
Both halves under 1.5 goals	44.4%	39.9%	—	—	2.51

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	47.4%	46.2%	—	—	2.17
NEOM to score 2+ in a row	28.6%	25.0%	—	—	4.00
Al Taawoun to score 2+ in a row	23.1%	19.5%	—	—	5.12
Either team to score 3+ in a row	14.5%	12.2%	—	—	8.19
NEOM to score 3+ in a row	8.6%	5.5%	—	—	18.09
Al Taawoun to score 3+ in a row	6.0%	5.5%	—	—	18.30

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEOM corners (+3.5)	89.6%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
NEOM corners (+2.5)	83.2%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Al Taawoun corners (+3.5)	80.1%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
NEOM corners (+1.5)	74.6%	70.8%	—	—	1.41
Al Taawoun corners (+2.5)	71.0%	70.8%	—	—	1.41
Al Taawoun corners (+1.5)	60.0%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
NEOM corners (-1.5)	40.0%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
NEOM corners (-2.5)	29.0%	29.2%	—	—	3.42
Al Taawoun corners (-1.5)	25.4%	29.2%	—	—	3.42
NEOM corners (-3.5)	19.9%	20.2%	—	—	4.94
Al Taawoun corners (-2.5)	16.8%	20.2%	—	—	4.95
Al Taawoun corners (-3.5)	10.4%	15.5%	—	—	6.45

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	54.7%	45.3%	—	—	2.21
9-11 corners	27.4%	31.2%	—	—	3.21
12+ corners	17.9%	22.6%	—	—	4.43

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	87.8%	83.1%	—	—	1.20
Under 11.5 corners	82.1%	80.7%	—	—	1.24
Under 10.5 corners	74.7%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Under 9.5 corners	65.5%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Over 7.5 corners	57.0%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Under 8.5 corners	54.7%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Over 8.5 corners	45.3%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Under 7.5 corners	43.0%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
Over 9.5 corners	34.5%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Over 10.5 corners	25.3%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Over 11.5 corners	17.9%	19.3%	—	—	5.17
Over 12.5 corners	12.2%	16.9%	—	—	5.91

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	14.7%	11.5%	10.7%	1.07×	8.71
0-0	11.3%	11.5%	5.3%	2.17×	8.72
1-0	10.5%	11.5%	9.2%	1.25×	8.72
0-1	9.0%	7.4%	6.8%	1.09×	13.51
1-2	7.2%	7.4%	7.4%	1.00×	13.51
2-0	7.5%	7.4%	6.9%	1.07×	13.51
2-1	8.2%	7.4%	8.5%	0.88×	13.51
0-2	5.8%	7.4%	5.4%	1.36×	13.51
0-3	2.1%	1.7%	2.3%	0.76×	58.31
0-4	0.6%	1.7%	1.1%	1.62×	58.32
1-3	2.6%	1.7%	3.9%	0.44×	58.30
1-4	0.7%	1.7%	1.1%	1.62×	58.32
2-2	4.4%	1.7%	4.8%	0.35×	58.29
2-3	1.6%	1.7%	3.3%	0.52×	58.31
2-4	0.4%	1.7%	1.2%	1.42×	58.32
3-0	3.1%	1.7%	3.2%	0.54×	58.30
3-1	3.4%	1.7%	5.1%	0.33×	58.30
3-2	1.8%	1.7%	3.6%	0.47×	58.31
3-3	0.7%	1.7%	1.1%	1.62×	58.32
3-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.6%	2.84×	58.32
4-0	1.0%	1.7%	2.1%	0.81×	58.31
4-1	1.1%	1.7%	2.4%	0.71×	58.31
4-2	0.6%	1.7%	1.1%	1.62×	58.32
4-3	0.2%	1.7%	0.6%	2.84×	58.32
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.3%	5.68×	58.32
Any other score	1.4%	1.7%	5.6%	0.31×	58.31

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEOM (2nd half DNB)	52.8%	54.5%	—	—	1.83
Al Taawoun (2nd half DNB)	47.2%	45.5%	—	—	2.20

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEOM leading at HT (DNB)	56.4%	55.4%	—	—	1.80
Al Taawoun leading at HT (DNB)	43.6%	44.6%	—	—	2.24

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEOM or draw (1X)	69.4%	69.6%	65.0%	1.07×	1.44
NEOM or Al Taawoun (12)	68.8%	69.6%	78.4%	0.89×	1.44
Al Taawoun or draw (X2)	61.8%	63.6%	56.5%	1.13×	1.57

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEOM or draw at HT	77.3%	79.6%	—	—	1.26
Al Taawoun or draw at HT	70.6%	74.4%	—	—	1.34
NEOM or Al Taawoun at HT	52.2%	48.5%	—	—	2.06

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEOM or draw (1UP)	69.4%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Al Taawoun or draw (1UP)	61.8%	71.6%	—	—	1.40

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEOM or draw in 2nd half	71.7%	73.9%	—	—	1.35
Al Taawoun or draw in 2nd half	68.3%	66.0%	—	—	1.52
NEOM or Al Taawoun in 2nd half	60.0%	58.2%	—	—	1.72

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	67.0%	68.2%	—	—	1.47
Neither half drawn	33.0%	31.8%	—	—	3.14

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEOM (DNB)	55.5%	58.0%	55.4%	1.05×	1.72
Al Taawoun (DNB)	44.5%	42.0%	44.6%	0.94×	2.38

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEOM to score first	47.3%	45.8%	—	—	2.18
Al Taawoun to score first	41.4%	41.6%	—	—	2.40
No goal scored	11.3%	9.6%	—	—	10.47

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	51.3%	51.3%	43.7%	1.17×	1.95
Both teams to score	48.7%	48.7%	56.3%	0.87×	2.05

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	44.1%	41.6%	33.1%	1.26×	2.40
Both score & over 2.5	34.0%	34.6%	45.8%	0.76×	2.89
Both score & under 2.5	14.7%	12.4%	10.7%	1.15×	8.08
Not both score & over 2.5	7.2%	8.3%	10.7%	0.77×	12.07

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	89.5%	85.6%	83.5%	1.03×	1.17
Both teams to score 2+	10.5%	14.4%	16.5%	0.87×	6.96

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	75.1%	74.9%	—	—	1.34
Both teams to score in 2nd half	24.9%	25.1%	—	—	3.98

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	63.8%	66.0%	—	—	1.52
Both score 2nd half only	21.3%	21.2%	—	—	4.72
Both score 1st half only	11.3%	10.7%	—	—	9.34
Both score in both halves	3.6%	4.9%	—	—	20.43

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	85.1%	84.6%	—	—	1.18
Both teams to score by HT	14.9%	15.4%	—	—	6.50

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half without a goal	53.1%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
A goal in each half	46.9%	47.4%	—	—	2.11

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	48.5%	47.2%	43.5%	1.08×	2.12
0-1 goals	30.8%	30.7%	21.0%	1.46×	3.26
4-6 goals	19.7%	20.3%	32.9%	0.62×	4.94
7+ goals	1.0%	1.8%	2.9%	0.64×	54.46

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Taawoun to score exactly 1	36.7%	35.9%	34.0%	1.06×	2.78
Al Taawoun to score exactly 0	33.7%	33.8%	27.0%	1.25×	2.96
Al Taawoun to score exactly 2	19.9%	19.6%	21.9%	0.89×	5.12
Al Taawoun to score 3+	9.7%	8.6%	17.4%	0.49×	11.68

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEOM to score exactly 1	35.9%	35.5%	32.5%	1.09×	2.81
NEOM to score exactly 0	28.9%	26.6%	21.9%	1.21×	3.77
NEOM to score exactly 2	22.3%	23.3%	24.8%	0.94×	4.29
NEOM to score 3+	13.0%	14.3%	21.1%	0.68×	6.99

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	47.8%	51.5%	—	—	1.94
NEOM leading at HT	29.4%	25.6%	—	—	3.91
Al Taawoun leading at HT	22.7%	20.4%	—	—	4.90

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEOM -1: 2	61.8%	62.5%	—	—	1.60
NEOM -1: X	20.7%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
NEOM -1: 1	17.4%	17.5%	—	—	5.72

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Taawoun (0:1)	61.8%	61.4%	56.5%	1.09×	1.63
Draw (0:1)	20.7%	24.2%	21.5%	1.13×	4.13
NEOM (0:1)	17.4%	17.8%	22.2%	0.80×	5.62

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Taawoun (0:2)	82.6%	83.0%	77.8%	1.07×	1.21
Draw (0:2)	11.5%	11.0%	12.8%	0.86×	9.10
NEOM (0:2)	5.9%	7.7%	9.5%	0.80×	13.07

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Taawoun (0:3)	94.1%	92.7%	90.5%	1.02×	1.08
Draw (0:3)	4.3%	2.4%	5.6%	0.43×	41.95
NEOM (0:3)	1.6%	2.4%	4.1%	0.58×	42.07

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Taawoun (0:4)	98.4%	98.1%	95.9%	1.02×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	1.3%	1.2%	2.9%	0.43×	81.83
NEOM (0:4)	0.4%	1.2%	1.4%	0.90×	81.93

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEOM (1:0)	69.4%	70.2%	65.0%	1.08×	1.42
Draw (1:0)	18.0%	17.1%	17.7%	0.97×	5.85
Al Taawoun (1:0)	12.7%	12.7%	17.5%	0.73×	7.87

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEOM (2:0)	87.3%	88.5%	82.5%	1.07×	1.13
Draw (2:0)	8.8%	6.4%	10.6%	0.60×	15.64
Al Taawoun (2:0)	3.8%	2.3%	7.1%	0.32×	43.69

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	44.5%	45.7%	—	—	2.19
Halves equal	29.8%	26.3%	—	—	3.81
1st half highest scoring	25.7%	26.2%	—	—	3.82

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEOM to concede	66.3%	66.7%	73.0%	0.91×	1.50
NEOM clean sheet	33.7%	33.3%	27.0%	1.23×	3.00

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEOM clean sheet in 1st half	64.7%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
NEOM to concede in 1st half	35.3%	36.7%	—	—	2.72

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEOM clean sheet in 2nd half	52.1%	52.5%	—	—	1.91
NEOM to concede in 2nd half	47.9%	47.5%	—	—	2.11

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEOM under 6.5 corners	79.3%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
NEOM over 2.5 corners	77.7%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
NEOM under 5.5 corners	68.2%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
NEOM over 3.5 corners	61.9%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
NEOM under 4.5 corners	54.2%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
NEOM over 4.5 corners	45.8%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
NEOM under 3.5 corners	38.1%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
NEOM over 5.5 corners	31.8%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
NEOM under 2.5 corners	22.3%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
NEOM over 6.5 corners	20.7%	23.5%	—	—	4.26

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEOM under 3.5 goals	96.2%	96.4%	92.0%	1.05×	1.04
NEOM under 2.5 goals	87.0%	87.3%	78.9%	1.11×	1.15
NEOM over 0.5 goals	71.1%	74.2%	78.1%	0.95×	1.35
NEOM under 1.5 goals	64.8%	63.6%	54.2%	1.17×	1.57
NEOM over 1.5 goals	35.2%	36.4%	45.8%	0.79×	2.75
NEOM under 0.5 goals	28.9%	25.8%	21.9%	1.18×	3.88
NEOM over 2.5 goals	13.0%	12.7%	21.1%	0.60×	7.85
NEOM over 3.5 goals	3.8%	3.6%	8.0%	0.45×	27.52

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEOM under 1.5 in 1st half	89.9%	90.2%	—	—	1.11
NEOM under 0.5 in 1st half	58.6%	56.3%	—	—	1.78
NEOM over 0.5 in 1st half	41.4%	43.7%	—	—	2.29
NEOM over 1.5 in 1st half	10.1%	9.8%	—	—	10.20

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEOM scores equally in both	40.9%	41.7%	—	—	2.40
NEOM scores more in 2nd half	35.0%	38.1%	—	—	2.63
NEOM scores more in 1st half	24.1%	21.0%	—	—	4.75

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	50.5%	51.4%	38.1%	1.35×	1.95
Al Taawoun (home no bet)	49.5%	48.6%	61.9%	0.79×	2.06

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEOM even goals	54.2%	50.8%	52.7%	0.96×	1.97
NEOM odd goals	45.8%	49.2%	47.3%	1.04×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	38.2%	38.7%	—	—	2.58
HT 1-0	20.0%	18.6%	—	—	5.37
HT 0-1	16.2%	18.5%	—	—	5.39
HT 1-1	9.1%	6.9%	—	—	14.52
HT 2-0	5.4%	6.9%	—	—	14.57
HT 0-2	3.6%	2.4%	—	—	42.19
Any other HT score	2.7%	2.4%	—	—	42.24
HT 2-1	2.4%	2.4%	—	—	42.27
HT 1-2	1.9%	2.4%	—	—	42.30
HT 2-2	0.5%	2.4%	—	—	42.39

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEOM at HT / NEOM at FT	22.0%	21.6%	—	—	4.63
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	20.8%	21.6%	—	—	4.64
Al Taawoun at HT / Al Taawoun at FT	16.0%	16.8%	—	—	5.97
Draw at HT / NEOM at FT	14.3%	12.7%	—	—	7.88
Draw at HT / Al Taawoun at FT	12.7%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
NEOM at HT / Draw at FT	5.5%	6.0%	—	—	16.54
Al Taawoun at HT / Draw at FT	4.9%	3.5%	—	—	28.86
NEOM at HT / Al Taawoun at FT	1.9%	3.5%	—	—	28.97
Al Taawoun at HT / NEOM at FT	1.8%	3.5%	—	—	28.97

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEOM to score last	47.3%	46.3%	—	—	2.16
Al Taawoun to score last	41.4%	40.0%	—	—	2.50
No goal scored	11.3%	9.0%	—	—	11.17

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	88.7%	91.5%	—	—	1.09
NEOM to lead by 1 at any time	53.4%	50.7%	—	—	1.97
Al Taawoun to lead by 1 at any time	46.7%	44.3%	—	—	2.26
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	39.5%	34.9%	—	—	2.87
NEOM to lead by 2 at any time	22.4%	19.5%	—	—	5.12
Al Taawoun to lead by 2 at any time	17.2%	14.8%	—	—	6.75
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	12.2%	10.6%	—	—	9.44
NEOM to lead by 3 at any time	7.3%	6.6%	—	—	15.05
Al Taawoun to lead by 3 at any time	4.9%	1.7%	—	—	60.57

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEOM most corners	52.0%	51.7%	—	—	1.94
Al Taawoun most corners	36.1%	39.3%	—	—	2.54
Corners level	11.9%	10.4%	—	—	9.59

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	85.5%	87.4%	87.2%	1.00×	1.14
1-4 goals	80.0%	78.7%	75.5%	1.04×	1.27
2-6 goals	68.2%	68.8%	76.3%	0.90×	1.45
1-3 goals	68.0%	68.8%	59.2%	1.16×	1.45
2-5 goals	66.0%	68.8%	71.5%	0.96×	1.45
2-4 goals	60.5%	63.3%	59.8%	1.06×	1.58
2-3 goals	48.5%	48.4%	43.5%	1.11×	2.06
1-2 goals	47.5%	48.4%	38.5%	1.26×	2.06
3-6 goals	40.2%	43.6%	53.6%	0.81×	2.29
3-5 goals	38.0%	39.2%	48.8%	0.80×	2.55
3-4 goals	32.5%	35.2%	37.2%	0.95×	2.84
4-6 goals	19.7%	18.8%	32.9%	0.57×	5.31
4-5 goals	17.5%	18.8%	28.1%	0.67×	5.31
5-6 goals	7.7%	8.9%	16.6%	0.53×	11.26
7+ goals	1.0%	2.5%	2.9%	0.89×	39.23

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEOM never behind	42.0%	48.7%	—	—	2.05
Al Taawoun never behind	35.3%	44.1%	—	—	2.27

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	46.4%	50.9%	50.3%	1.01×	1.97
Even number of goals	53.6%	49.1%	49.7%	0.99×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	57.7%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Odd goals in 1st half	42.3%	42.2%	—	—	2.37

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	54.4%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	45.6%	48.0%	—	—	2.09

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	96.8%	95.4%	92.3%	1.03×	1.05
Under 4.5 goals	91.3%	92.3%	80.7%	1.14×	1.08
Over 0.5 goals	88.7%	87.6%	94.7%	0.93×	1.14
Under 3.5 goals	79.3%	77.3%	64.4%	1.20×	1.29
Over 1.5 goals	69.2%	66.3%	79.0%	0.84×	1.51
Under 2.5 goals	58.8%	58.6%	43.7%	1.34×	1.71
Over 2.5 goals	41.2%	41.4%	56.3%	0.73×	2.42
Under 1.5 goals	30.8%	33.7%	21.0%	1.60×	2.97
Over 3.5 goals	20.7%	22.7%	35.7%	0.64×	4.41
Under 0.5 goals	11.3%	12.4%	5.3%	2.34×	8.07
Over 4.5 goals	8.7%	7.7%	19.3%	0.40×	12.93
Over 5.5 goals	3.2%	4.6%	7.7%	0.59×	21.82

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	99.0%	97.2%	97.0%	1.00×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	96.7%	97.2%	91.3%	1.06×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	90.1%	92.4%	76.9%	1.20×	1.08
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	74.0%	72.4%	55.0%	1.31×	1.38
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	57.2%	55.8%	72.9%	0.77×	1.79
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	42.8%	44.2%	27.1%	1.63×	2.26
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	26.0%	27.6%	45.0%	0.61×	3.62
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	9.9%	7.6%	23.1%	0.33×	13.17
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	3.3%	2.8%	8.7%	0.32×	35.60
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	1.0%	2.8%	3.0%	0.93×	35.66

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	92.5%	92.8%	—	—	1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half	74.4%	71.4%	—	—	1.40
Over 0.5 in 1st half	61.8%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Under 0.5 in 1st half	38.2%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Over 1.5 in 1st half	25.6%	28.6%	—	—	3.49
Over 2.5 in 1st half	7.5%	7.2%	—	—	13.91

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	84.3%	83.0%	—	—	1.21
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	73.8%	77.8%	—	—	1.29
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	60.0%	61.3%	—	—	1.63
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	40.0%	38.7%	—	—	2.58
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	26.2%	22.2%	—	—	4.50
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	15.7%	17.0%	—	—	5.88

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Taawoun not to score in both halves	83.1%	84.3%	—	—	1.19
NEOM not to score in both halves	79.0%	78.5%	—	—	1.27
NEOM to score in both halves	21.0%	21.5%	—	—	4.65
Al Taawoun to score in both halves	16.9%	15.7%	—	—	6.38

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	48.7%	50.7%	56.3%	0.90×	1.97
Only NEOM scores	22.4%	22.2%	21.9%	1.02×	4.50
Only Al Taawoun scores	17.6%	16.0%	16.8%	0.96×	6.23
Neither team scores	11.3%	11.0%	5.3%	2.09×	9.07

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	28.0%	24.9%	22.8%	1.09×	4.02
Exactly 3 goals	20.5%	22.6%	20.8%	1.08×	4.43
Exactly 1 goals	19.5%	17.5%	15.9%	1.10×	5.73
Exactly 4 goals	11.9%	12.1%	16.5%	0.74×	8.26
Exactly 0 goals	11.3%	12.1%	5.3%	2.29×	8.26
Exactly 5 goals	5.6%	7.6%	11.8%	0.65×	13.14
6 or more goals	3.2%	4.5%	7.7%	0.58×	22.35

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
No goals in 1st half	38.2%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
1 goal in 1st half	36.2%	37.2%	—	—	2.69
2 goals in 1st half	18.1%	15.7%	—	—	6.37
3+ goals in 1st half	7.5%	7.2%	—	—	13.91

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	40.0%	40.2%	—	—	2.49
1 goal in 2nd half	33.8%	33.9%	—	—	2.95
No goals in 2nd half	26.2%	29.1%	—	—	3.44

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Taawoun not to win both halves	93.4%	94.2%	—	—	1.06
NEOM not to win both halves	90.4%	94.1%	—	—	1.06
NEOM to win both halves	9.6%	5.9%	—	—	16.97
Al Taawoun to win both halves	6.6%	5.8%	—	—	17.18

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Taawoun to win neither half	55.6%	59.0%	—	—	1.70
NEOM to win either half	51.5%	54.3%	—	—	1.84
NEOM to win neither half	48.5%	45.7%	—	—	2.19
Al Taawoun to win either half	44.4%	41.0%	—	—	2.44

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Taawoun not to win to nil	82.4%	83.1%	83.2%	1.00×	1.20
NEOM not to win to nil	77.6%	78.1%	78.1%	1.00×	1.28
NEOM to win to nil	22.4%	21.9%	21.9%	1.00×	4.57
Al Taawoun to win to nil	17.6%	16.9%	16.8%	1.01×	5.91

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	31.2%	27.7%	21.6%	1.28×	3.61
NEOM by 1	20.7%	24.1%	21.5%	1.12×	4.15
Al Taawoun by 1	18.0%	17.1%	17.7%	0.96×	5.87
NEOM by 2	11.5%	11.8%	12.8%	0.92×	8.51
Al Taawoun by 2	8.8%	7.2%	10.6%	0.68×	13.90
NEOM by 3+	5.9%	7.2%	9.5%	0.76×	13.92
Al Taawoun by 3+	3.8%	2.7%	7.1%	0.38×	36.85