New England Revolution v Inter Miami CF — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 1 November 2026 · USA-MLS · 2627

USA-MLS results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

New England Revolution

23:00 UTC

Inter Miami CF

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 25 Oct, 11:02 · 180h before kick-off

New England Revolution win

38.4%

model 38.4%

Draw

23.2%

model 23.5%

Inter Miami CF win

38.4%

model 38.1%

382338

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (648 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 9.9%
2-1 8.2%
1-2 8.1%
2-2 7.0%
1-0 5.0%

Goals

Over 2.5	67.0%	Under 2.5	33.0%
BTTS yes	68.0%	BTTS no	32.0%
New England Revolution 1+	82.3%	New England Revolution 2+	51.6%
Inter Miami CF 1+	82.1%	Inter Miami CF 2+	51.3%

Expected goals 1.73 – 1.72. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

59/100

Data quality

75/100

Model agreement

97%

★ Best pick

Inter Miami CF over 1.5 goals

Away goals O/U · usually 39%

51.1% fair odds 1.96

moderate signal · 624 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Under 2.5 in 1st half

Over/Under 1HT

84.2% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 383 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

New England Revolution have an estimated 38.4% win probability, against 38.4% for Inter Miami CF and 23.2% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.73 for New England Revolution and 1.72 for Inter Miami CF.

Why New England Revolution

Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 23.2%. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.73 to 1.72. Draws run at 25% in this competition.

Why Inter Miami CF can win

Inter Miami CF carry the stronger rating, 1676 Elo against 1525.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for New England Revolution, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Inter Miami CF, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

New England Revolution: 53% possession, 16.8 shots a match, 11.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Inter Miami CF: 57% possession, 14.4 shots a match, 12.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-25 14:59 · team_stats 2026-10-25 06:07 · availability 2026-10-25 15:02 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

New England Revolution are the model's most likely outcome at 38.4%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 9.9%. Confidence 59/100, data quality 75/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	382338	1.73–1.72	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	412237	1.94–1.84	1-1 9%	73%	72%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New England Revolution to win	40.9%	42.9%	45.3%	0.95×	2.33
Inter Miami CF to win	36.9%	36.3%	30.0%	1.21×	2.75
Draw	22.2%	24.5%	24.8%	0.99×	4.09

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New England Revolution & both teams score	27.7%	25.2%	24.4%	1.03×	3.97
Inter Miami CF & both teams score	25.2%	25.2%	18.0%	1.40×	3.97
Draw & both teams score	19.5%	18.0%	19.2%	0.94×	5.56
New England Revolution & not both score	13.2%	13.3%	21.1%	0.63×	7.54
Inter Miami CF & not both score	11.7%	13.3%	12.1%	1.10×	7.54
Draw & not both score	2.7%	4.9%	5.8%	0.85×	20.53

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New England Revolution & over 1.5	36.9%	34.9%	37.2%	0.94×	2.87
Inter Miami CF & over 1.5	33.1%	30.8%	23.7%	1.30×	3.25
New England Revolution & over 2.5	32.6%	30.8%	31.0%	0.99×	3.25
Inter Miami CF & over 2.5	29.2%	26.1%	20.5%	1.27×	3.84
New England Revolution & over 3.5	21.9%	21.6%	17.0%	1.27×	4.63
New England Revolution & under 3.5	19.1%	18.0%	28.4%	0.63×	5.55
Draw & over 1.5	19.5%	18.0%	19.2%	0.94×	5.55
Inter Miami CF & over 3.5	19.3%	18.0%	11.3%	1.60×	5.55
Inter Miami CF & under 3.5	17.5%	18.0%	18.8%	0.96×	5.55
Draw & under 2.5	11.3%	12.8%	16.0%	0.80×	7.79
Draw & under 3.5	11.3%	12.8%	16.0%	0.80×	7.79
Draw & over 2.5	10.9%	12.8%	8.9%	1.44×	7.79
Draw & over 3.5	10.9%	12.8%	8.9%	1.44×	7.79
New England Revolution & under 2.5	8.3%	7.9%	14.4%	0.55×	12.63
Inter Miami CF & under 2.5	7.7%	7.9%	9.6%	0.83×	12.63
New England Revolution & under 1.5	4.0%	4.8%	8.2%	0.58×	20.82
Inter Miami CF & under 1.5	3.8%	4.8%	6.4%	0.75×	20.82
Draw & under 1.5	2.7%	4.8%	5.8%	0.84×	20.82

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New England Revolution (1UP)	61.8%	62.8%	—	—	1.59
Inter Miami CF (1UP)	58.5%	58.0%	—	—	1.73

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New England Revolution (2UP)	40.9%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Inter Miami CF (2UP)	36.9%	37.3%	—	—	2.68

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New England Revolution to win 2nd half	35.4%	36.4%	—	—	2.75
Inter Miami CF to win 2nd half	35.2%	36.4%	—	—	2.75
2nd half drawn	29.4%	26.1%	—	—	3.83

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Inter Miami CF under 1.5 in 2nd half	69.9%	69.8%	—	—	1.43
Inter Miami CF over 0.5 in 2nd half	66.7%	69.6%	—	—	1.44
Inter Miami CF under 0.5 in 2nd half	33.3%	30.4%	—	—	3.29
Inter Miami CF over 1.5 in 2nd half	30.1%	30.2%	—	—	3.32

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New England Revolution under 1.5 in 2nd half	69.7%	70.8%	—	—	1.41
New England Revolution over 0.5 in 2nd half	66.9%	70.7%	—	—	1.42
New England Revolution under 0.5 in 2nd half	33.1%	29.3%	—	—	3.41
New England Revolution over 1.5 in 2nd half	30.3%	29.2%	—	—	3.43

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Inter Miami CF (+2.5)	89.7%	88.5%	89.4%	0.99×	1.13
Inter Miami CF (+1.5)	77.4%	78.5%	76.8%	1.02×	1.27
New England Revolution (+0.5)	63.1%	62.9%	70.0%	0.90×	1.59
Inter Miami CF (+0.5)	59.1%	57.1%	54.7%	1.04×	1.75
New England Revolution (-0.5)	40.9%	42.9%	45.3%	0.95×	2.33
Inter Miami CF (-0.5)	36.9%	37.1%	30.0%	1.24×	2.70
New England Revolution (-1.5)	22.6%	21.5%	23.2%	0.93×	4.65
New England Revolution (-2.5)	10.3%	11.5%	10.6%	1.09×	8.68

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Inter Miami CF to concede	85.6%	86.2%	82.3%	1.05×	1.16
Inter Miami CF clean sheet	14.4%	13.8%	17.7%	0.78×	7.26

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Inter Miami CF to concede in 1st half	56.5%	56.4%	—	—	1.77
Inter Miami CF clean sheet in 1st half	43.5%	43.6%	—	—	2.29

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Inter Miami CF to concede in 2nd half	66.9%	65.6%	—	—	1.53
Inter Miami CF clean sheet in 2nd half	33.1%	34.4%	—	—	2.91

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Inter Miami CF over 2.5 corners	79.6%	76.1%	—	—	1.32
Inter Miami CF under 6.5 corners	76.1%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
Inter Miami CF over 3.5 corners	64.7%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Inter Miami CF under 5.5 corners	64.7%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Inter Miami CF under 4.5 corners	50.7%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Inter Miami CF over 4.5 corners	49.3%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Inter Miami CF under 3.5 corners	35.3%	38.2%	—	—	2.61
Inter Miami CF over 5.5 corners	35.3%	38.2%	—	—	2.61
Inter Miami CF over 6.5 corners	23.9%	24.0%	—	—	4.17
Inter Miami CF under 2.5 corners	20.4%	23.9%	—	—	4.18

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Inter Miami CF under 3.5 goals	88.6%	87.8%	94.0%	0.93×	1.14
Inter Miami CF over 0.5 goals	84.0%	81.5%	73.3%	1.11×	1.23
Inter Miami CF under 2.5 goals	72.1%	71.8%	83.3%	0.86×	1.39
Inter Miami CF over 1.5 goals	54.7%	53.6%	38.8%	1.38×	1.87
Inter Miami CF under 1.5 goals	45.3%	46.4%	61.2%	0.76×	2.15
Inter Miami CF over 2.5 goals	27.9%	28.2%	16.7%	1.69×	3.55
Inter Miami CF under 0.5 goals	16.0%	18.5%	26.7%	0.69×	5.41
Inter Miami CF over 3.5 goals	11.4%	12.2%	6.0%	2.04×	8.21

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Inter Miami CF under 1.5 in 1st half	83.2%	82.7%	—	—	1.21
Inter Miami CF over 0.5 in 1st half	52.0%	55.8%	—	—	1.79
Inter Miami CF under 0.5 in 1st half	48.0%	44.2%	—	—	2.26
Inter Miami CF over 1.5 in 1st half	16.8%	17.3%	—	—	5.77

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Inter Miami CF scores more in 2nd half	44.0%	43.7%	—	—	2.29
Inter Miami CF scores equally in both	31.7%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Inter Miami CF scores more in 1st half	24.3%	21.8%	—	—	4.58

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New England Revolution (away no bet)	64.8%	62.0%	64.6%	0.96×	1.61
Draw (away no bet)	35.2%	38.0%	35.4%	1.08×	2.63

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Inter Miami CF even goals	51.3%	52.6%	53.6%	0.98×	1.90
Inter Miami CF odd goals	48.7%	47.4%	46.4%	1.02×	2.11

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	70.0%	69.0%	—	—	1.45
Both halves over 1.5 goals	30.0%	31.0%	—	—	3.23

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	81.3%	78.5%	—	—	1.27
Both halves under 1.5 goals	18.7%	21.5%	—	—	4.64

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	72.0%	71.7%	—	—	1.40
New England Revolution to score 2+ in a row	44.8%	38.9%	—	—	2.57
Inter Miami CF to score 2+ in a row	41.5%	38.7%	—	—	2.58
Either team to score 3+ in a row	31.5%	28.9%	—	—	3.46
New England Revolution to score 3+ in a row	17.4%	16.1%	—	—	6.19
Inter Miami CF to score 3+ in a row	15.2%	16.1%	—	—	6.21

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Inter Miami CF corners (+3.5)	85.1%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
New England Revolution corners (+3.5)	81.4%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Inter Miami CF corners (+2.5)	77.9%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
New England Revolution corners (+2.5)	73.4%	70.8%	—	—	1.41
Inter Miami CF corners (+1.5)	68.9%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
New England Revolution corners (+1.5)	63.6%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
Inter Miami CF corners (-1.5)	36.4%	38.1%	—	—	2.62
New England Revolution corners (-1.5)	31.1%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
Inter Miami CF corners (-2.5)	26.6%	29.2%	—	—	3.42
New England Revolution corners (-2.5)	22.1%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Inter Miami CF corners (-3.5)	18.6%	20.2%	—	—	4.94
New England Revolution corners (-3.5)	14.9%	15.5%	—	—	6.45

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	44.8%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
9-11 corners	29.1%	31.2%	—	—	3.21
12+ corners	26.1%	31.2%	—	—	3.21

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	81.0%	80.7%	—	—	1.24
Under 11.5 corners	73.9%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Over 7.5 corners	66.1%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Under 10.5 corners	65.3%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Under 9.5 corners	55.5%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Over 8.5 corners	55.2%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Under 8.5 corners	44.8%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
Over 9.5 corners	44.5%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
Over 10.5 corners	34.7%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Under 7.5 corners	33.9%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Over 11.5 corners	26.1%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Over 12.5 corners	19.0%	19.3%	—	—	5.17

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	8.6%	7.4%	10.4%	0.71×	13.51
Any other score	8.4%	7.4%	4.7%	1.56×	13.51
1-2	7.5%	7.4%	7.7%	0.97×	13.51
2-1	7.9%	7.4%	10.0%	0.74×	13.51
2-2	7.3%	7.4%	6.1%	1.22×	13.51
3-1	5.1%	7.4%	4.8%	1.53×	13.51
0-0	2.7%	1.7%	5.8%	0.30×	58.30
0-1	3.8%	1.7%	6.4%	0.27×	58.30
0-2	3.9%	1.7%	3.3%	0.52×	58.30
0-3	2.4%	1.7%	1.8%	0.95×	58.31
0-4	1.1%	1.7%	0.8%	2.17×	58.31
1-0	4.0%	1.7%	8.2%	0.21×	58.30
1-3	4.6%	1.7%	3.4%	0.51×	58.29
1-4	2.1%	1.7%	1.4%	1.27×	58.31
2-0	4.3%	1.7%	6.3%	0.27×	58.29
2-3	4.4%	1.7%	2.6%	0.66×	58.29
2-4	2.0%	1.7%	1.7%	1.01×	58.31
3-0	2.8%	1.7%	4.2%	0.41×	58.30
3-2	4.7%	1.7%	3.5%	0.49×	58.29
3-3	2.9%	1.7%	2.6%	0.66×	58.30
3-4	1.3%	1.7%	0.7%	2.54×	58.31
4-0	1.4%	1.7%	1.2%	1.38×	58.31
4-1	2.5%	1.7%	2.4%	0.72×	58.31
4-2	2.3%	1.7%	1.6%	1.09×	58.31
4-3	1.4%	1.7%	0.8%	2.17×	58.31
4-4	0.6%	1.7%	0.5%	3.80×	58.32

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New England Revolution (2nd half DNB)	50.1%	54.4%	—	—	1.84
Inter Miami CF (2nd half DNB)	49.9%	45.6%	—	—	2.19

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New England Revolution leading at HT (DNB)	54.5%	56.3%	—	—	1.78
Inter Miami CF leading at HT (DNB)	45.5%	43.7%	—	—	2.29

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New England Revolution or Inter Miami CF (12)	77.8%	75.5%	75.2%	1.00×	1.32
New England Revolution or draw (1X)	63.1%	63.7%	70.0%	0.91×	1.57
Inter Miami CF or draw (X2)	59.1%	57.1%	54.7%	1.04×	1.75

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New England Revolution or draw at HT	70.8%	74.4%	—	—	1.34
Inter Miami CF or draw at HT	65.1%	67.1%	—	—	1.49
New England Revolution or Inter Miami CF at HT	64.1%	61.1%	—	—	1.64

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New England Revolution or draw (1UP)	63.1%	71.7%	—	—	1.40
Inter Miami CF or draw (1UP)	59.1%	63.1%	—	—	1.58

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New England Revolution or Inter Miami CF in 2nd half	70.6%	73.9%	—	—	1.35
New England Revolution or draw in 2nd half	64.8%	63.6%	—	—	1.57
Inter Miami CF or draw in 2nd half	64.6%	63.6%	—	—	1.57

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	54.2%	50.1%	—	—	1.99
Neither half drawn	45.8%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New England Revolution (DNB)	52.6%	50.9%	60.2%	0.85×	1.96
Inter Miami CF (DNB)	47.4%	49.1%	39.8%	1.23×	2.04

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New England Revolution to score first	50.0%	46.0%	—	—	2.18
Inter Miami CF to score first	47.3%	45.8%	—	—	2.18
No goal scored	2.7%	4.3%	—	—	23.00

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	72.4%	62.5%	61.3%	1.02×	1.60
Not both teams to score	27.6%	37.5%	38.7%	0.97×	2.67

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	63.8%	50.5%	51.1%	0.99×	1.98
Not both score & under 2.5	18.7%	21.5%	29.5%	0.73×	4.65
Not both score & over 2.5	8.9%	8.3%	9.2%	0.90×	12.06
Both score & under 2.5	8.6%	8.3%	10.4%	0.80×	12.06

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	68.4%	71.6%	79.5%	0.90×	1.40
Both teams to score 2+	31.6%	28.4%	20.5%	1.38×	3.52

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	55.2%	65.1%	—	—	1.54
Both teams to score in 2nd half	44.8%	34.9%	—	—	2.86

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	38.9%	44.2%	—	—	2.26
Both score 2nd half only	31.7%	28.6%	—	—	3.49
Both score 1st half only	16.4%	14.9%	—	—	6.73
Both score in both halves	13.1%	10.8%	—	—	9.29

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	70.5%	79.5%	—	—	1.26
Both teams to score by HT	29.5%	20.5%	—	—	4.88

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	70.6%	74.6%	—	—	1.34
A half without a goal	29.4%	25.4%	—	—	3.93

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
4-6 goals	43.3%	42.2%	33.0%	1.28×	2.37
2-3 goals	37.4%	35.0%	43.0%	0.82×	2.86
0-1 goals	10.5%	16.9%	20.2%	0.84×	5.91
7+ goals	8.8%	7.6%	4.1%	1.88×	13.08

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Inter Miami CF to score exactly 1	29.3%	27.5%	34.6%	0.79×	3.64
Inter Miami CF to score 3+	27.9%	27.4%	16.7%	1.64×	3.64
Inter Miami CF to score exactly 2	26.9%	27.4%	22.2%	1.24×	3.65
Inter Miami CF to score exactly 0	16.0%	19.5%	26.7%	0.73×	5.12

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New England Revolution to score 3+	30.6%	32.6%	25.0%	1.30×	3.07
New England Revolution to score exactly 1	27.9%	26.6%	31.1%	0.85×	3.77
New England Revolution to score exactly 2	27.0%	26.6%	26.4%	1.01×	3.77
New England Revolution to score exactly 0	14.4%	14.3%	17.7%	0.81×	6.99

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	35.9%	38.9%	—	—	2.57
New England Revolution leading at HT	34.9%	32.9%	—	—	3.04
Inter Miami CF leading at HT	29.2%	25.6%	—	—	3.91

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New England Revolution -1: 2	59.1%	56.8%	—	—	1.76
New England Revolution -1: 1	22.6%	23.5%	—	—	4.25
New England Revolution -1: X	18.3%	17.5%	—	—	5.71

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Inter Miami CF (0:1)	59.1%	55.9%	54.7%	1.02×	1.79
New England Revolution (0:1)	22.6%	24.2%	23.2%	1.04×	4.13
Draw (0:1)	18.3%	17.8%	22.2%	0.80×	5.61

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Inter Miami CF (0:2)	77.4%	79.4%	76.8%	1.03×	1.26
Draw (0:2)	12.3%	11.0%	12.7%	0.86×	9.10
New England Revolution (0:2)	10.3%	11.0%	10.6%	1.04×	9.11

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Inter Miami CF (0:3)	89.7%	90.6%	89.4%	1.01×	1.10
Draw (0:3)	6.3%	5.8%	6.7%	0.87×	17.26
New England Revolution (0:3)	3.9%	2.4%	4.1%	0.59×	41.97

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Inter Miami CF (0:4)	96.1%	98.1%	95.9%	1.02×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	2.7%	1.2%	2.0%	0.60×	81.61
New England Revolution (0:4)	1.3%	1.2%	2.1%	0.57×	81.76

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New England Revolution (1:0)	63.1%	65.3%	70.0%	0.93×	1.53
Inter Miami CF (1:0)	19.5%	17.1%	13.0%	1.32×	5.84
Draw (1:0)	17.3%	17.1%	17.1%	1.00×	5.85

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New England Revolution (2:0)	80.5%	84.5%	87.0%	0.97×	1.18
Draw (2:0)	11.1%	10.3%	8.6%	1.20×	9.73
Inter Miami CF (2:0)	8.5%	6.4%	4.5%	1.42×	15.65

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	51.9%	50.0%	—	—	2.00
1st half highest scoring	27.0%	26.2%	—	—	3.81
Halves equal	21.1%	24.4%	—	—	4.09

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New England Revolution to concede	84.0%	81.0%	73.3%	1.11×	1.23
New England Revolution clean sheet	16.0%	19.0%	26.7%	0.71×	5.27

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New England Revolution to concede in 1st half	52.0%	55.8%	—	—	1.79
New England Revolution clean sheet in 1st half	48.0%	44.2%	—	—	2.26

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New England Revolution to concede in 2nd half	66.7%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
New England Revolution clean sheet in 2nd half	33.3%	33.3%	—	—	3.00

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New England Revolution under 6.5 corners	79.4%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
New England Revolution over 2.5 corners	76.9%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
New England Revolution under 5.5 corners	68.6%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
New England Revolution over 3.5 corners	61.0%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
New England Revolution under 4.5 corners	54.8%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
New England Revolution over 4.5 corners	45.2%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
New England Revolution under 3.5 corners	39.0%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
New England Revolution over 5.5 corners	31.4%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
New England Revolution under 2.5 corners	23.1%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
New England Revolution over 6.5 corners	20.6%	23.5%	—	—	4.26

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New England Revolution under 3.5 goals	86.8%	87.3%	90.6%	0.96×	1.15
New England Revolution over 0.5 goals	85.6%	87.3%	82.3%	1.06×	1.15
New England Revolution under 2.5 goals	69.4%	68.0%	75.0%	0.91×	1.47
New England Revolution over 1.5 goals	57.7%	58.6%	51.3%	1.14×	1.71
New England Revolution under 1.5 goals	42.3%	41.4%	48.7%	0.85×	2.42
New England Revolution over 2.5 goals	30.6%	32.0%	25.0%	1.28×	3.12
New England Revolution under 0.5 goals	14.4%	12.7%	17.7%	0.72×	7.85
New England Revolution over 3.5 goals	13.2%	12.7%	9.4%	1.36×	7.85

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New England Revolution under 1.5 in 1st half	79.7%	76.7%	—	—	1.30
New England Revolution over 0.5 in 1st half	56.5%	56.2%	—	—	1.78
New England Revolution under 0.5 in 1st half	43.5%	43.8%	—	—	2.28
New England Revolution over 1.5 in 1st half	20.3%	23.3%	—	—	4.29

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New England Revolution scores more in 2nd half	41.6%	41.6%	—	—	2.40
New England Revolution scores equally in both	31.0%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
New England Revolution scores more in 1st half	27.3%	27.8%	—	—	3.60

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Inter Miami CF (home no bet)	62.4%	60.0%	54.7%	1.10×	1.67
Draw (home no bet)	37.6%	40.0%	45.3%	0.88×	2.50

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New England Revolution even goals	51.0%	50.7%	51.0%	1.00×	1.97
New England Revolution odd goals	49.0%	49.3%	49.0%	1.00×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	20.9%	24.3%	—	—	4.11
HT 1-0	17.3%	18.6%	—	—	5.39
HT 0-1	15.2%	18.5%	—	—	5.40
HT 1-1	12.8%	11.0%	—	—	9.09
Any other HT score	8.9%	6.9%	—	—	14.52
HT 2-0	7.2%	6.9%	—	—	14.54
HT 0-2	5.6%	6.9%	—	—	14.57
HT 2-1	5.3%	6.9%	—	—	14.57
HT 1-2	4.7%	2.4%	—	—	42.10
HT 2-2	2.0%	2.4%	—	—	42.28

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New England Revolution at HT / New England Revolution at FT	25.2%	27.2%	—	—	3.68
Inter Miami CF at HT / Inter Miami CF at FT	20.8%	21.5%	—	—	4.64
Draw at HT / New England Revolution at FT	12.4%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
Draw at HT / Inter Miami CF at FT	12.4%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	11.0%	12.7%	—	—	7.90
New England Revolution at HT / Draw at FT	6.0%	6.1%	—	—	16.52
Inter Miami CF at HT / Draw at FT	5.2%	6.0%	—	—	16.54
New England Revolution at HT / Inter Miami CF at FT	3.7%	3.5%	—	—	28.88
Inter Miami CF at HT / New England Revolution at FT	3.3%	3.5%	—	—	28.90

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New England Revolution to score last	50.0%	46.5%	—	—	2.15
Inter Miami CF to score last	47.3%	46.3%	—	—	2.16
No goal scored	2.7%	4.3%	—	—	23.00

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	97.3%	95.6%	—	—	1.05
New England Revolution to lead by 1 at any time	61.8%	61.2%	—	—	1.64
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	60.1%	61.1%	—	—	1.64
Inter Miami CF to lead by 1 at any time	58.5%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
New England Revolution to lead by 2 at any time	32.1%	29.7%	—	—	3.36
Inter Miami CF to lead by 2 at any time	28.8%	25.3%	—	—	3.95
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	25.7%	25.2%	—	—	3.96
New England Revolution to lead by 3 at any time	13.9%	10.6%	—	—	9.40
Inter Miami CF to lead by 3 at any time	11.8%	10.6%	—	—	9.44

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Inter Miami CF most corners	47.2%	47.0%	—	—	2.13
New England Revolution most corners	41.6%	43.5%	—	—	2.30
Corners level	11.2%	10.4%	—	—	9.59

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-6 goals	80.7%	83.4%	75.9%	1.10×	1.20
1-5 goals	79.3%	78.7%	83.4%	0.94×	1.27
2-5 goals	71.4%	72.3%	69.0%	1.05×	1.38
1-4 goals	64.6%	63.3%	73.2%	0.87×	1.58
3-6 goals	63.9%	63.3%	56.3%	1.13×	1.58
2-4 goals	56.8%	59.1%	58.7%	1.01×	1.69
3-5 goals	54.6%	53.2%	49.4%	1.08×	1.88
1-3 goals	45.2%	48.4%	57.4%	0.84×	2.07
4-6 goals	43.3%	43.6%	33.0%	1.32×	2.29
3-4 goals	40.0%	39.2%	39.1%	1.00×	2.55
2-3 goals	37.4%	39.2%	43.0%	0.91×	2.55
4-5 goals	34.1%	35.2%	26.2%	1.35×	2.84
1-2 goals	24.6%	24.5%	34.2%	0.72×	4.09
5-6 goals	23.9%	24.5%	17.2%	1.42×	4.09
7+ goals	8.8%	8.9%	4.1%	2.19×	11.25

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New England Revolution never behind	38.8%	44.3%	—	—	2.26
Inter Miami CF never behind	35.5%	44.1%	—	—	2.27

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	49.1%	50.9%	50.5%	1.01×	1.97
Even number of goals	50.9%	49.1%	49.5%	0.99×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	52.3%	51.7%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 1st half	47.7%	48.3%	—	—	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	50.9%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	49.1%	48.0%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	97.3%	95.4%	94.3%	1.01×	1.05
Over 1.5 goals	89.5%	87.6%	79.8%	1.10×	1.14
Under 5.5 goals	82.0%	82.3%	89.1%	0.92×	1.22
Over 2.5 goals	72.7%	72.5%	60.2%	1.20×	1.38
Under 4.5 goals	67.3%	66.3%	78.8%	0.84×	1.51
Over 3.5 goals	52.1%	52.5%	37.0%	1.42×	1.90
Under 3.5 goals	47.9%	47.5%	63.0%	0.75×	2.11
Over 4.5 goals	32.7%	33.7%	21.2%	1.59×	2.97
Under 2.5 goals	27.3%	27.5%	39.8%	0.69×	3.64
Over 5.5 goals	18.0%	17.7%	10.9%	1.62×	5.65
Under 1.5 goals	10.5%	12.4%	20.2%	0.61×	8.07
Under 0.5 goals	2.7%	4.6%	5.8%	0.80×	21.83

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	90.3%	92.4%	95.6%	0.97×	1.08
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	87.3%	86.7%	74.9%	1.16×	1.15
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	78.9%	75.9%	87.8%	0.86×	1.32
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	65.6%	67.5%	48.2%	1.40×	1.48
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	59.5%	55.8%	74.8%	0.75×	1.79
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	40.5%	44.2%	25.2%	1.76×	2.26
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	34.4%	32.5%	51.8%	0.63×	3.08
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	21.1%	24.1%	12.2%	1.98×	4.15
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	12.7%	13.3%	25.1%	0.53×	7.54
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	9.7%	7.6%	4.4%	1.74×	13.17

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	79.2%	78.3%	—	—	1.28
Over 0.5 in 1st half	79.1%	78.3%	—	—	1.28
Under 1.5 in 1st half	53.5%	53.7%	—	—	1.86
Over 1.5 in 1st half	46.5%	46.3%	—	—	2.16
Under 0.5 in 1st half	20.9%	21.7%	—	—	4.60
Over 2.5 in 1st half	20.8%	21.7%	—	—	4.60

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	88.8%	85.4%	—	—	1.17
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	64.8%	61.6%	—	—	1.63
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	62.1%	61.4%	—	—	1.63
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	37.9%	38.6%	—	—	2.59
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	35.2%	38.4%	—	—	2.60
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	11.2%	14.6%	—	—	6.85

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Inter Miami CF not to score in both halves	65.3%	69.9%	—	—	1.43
New England Revolution not to score in both halves	62.2%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
New England Revolution to score in both halves	37.8%	36.7%	—	—	2.73
Inter Miami CF to score in both halves	34.7%	30.1%	—	—	3.32

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	72.4%	66.1%	61.3%	1.08×	1.51
Only New England Revolution scores	13.2%	11.0%	21.1%	0.52×	9.06
Only Inter Miami CF scores	11.7%	11.0%	12.1%	0.91×	9.07
Neither team scores	2.7%	4.6%	5.8%	0.80×	21.61

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 3 goals	20.6%	22.6%	23.3%	0.97×	4.43
Exactly 4 goals	19.4%	17.5%	15.9%	1.10×	5.73
6 or more goals	18.0%	17.5%	10.9%	1.60×	5.73
Exactly 2 goals	16.8%	17.5%	19.7%	0.88×	5.73
Exactly 5 goals	14.6%	12.1%	10.4%	1.17×	8.25
Exactly 1 goals	7.8%	7.6%	14.5%	0.52×	13.14
Exactly 0 goals	2.7%	4.5%	5.8%	0.78×	22.36

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	32.5%	35.8%	—	—	2.80
2 goals in 1st half	25.7%	28.6%	—	—	3.50
No goals in 1st half	20.9%	21.4%	—	—	4.68
3+ goals in 1st half	20.8%	21.4%	—	—	4.68

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	64.8%	59.0%	—	—	1.69
1 goal in 2nd half	24.0%	23.0%	—	—	4.35
No goals in 2nd half	11.2%	14.4%	—	—	6.93

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Inter Miami CF not to win both halves	89.6%	88.0%	—	—	1.14
New England Revolution not to win both halves	87.6%	88.0%	—	—	1.14
New England Revolution to win both halves	12.4%	12.0%	—	—	8.30
Inter Miami CF to win both halves	10.4%	12.0%	—	—	8.36

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New England Revolution to win either half	57.9%	59.1%	—	—	1.69
Inter Miami CF to win either half	54.1%	54.4%	—	—	1.84
Inter Miami CF to win neither half	45.9%	45.6%	—	—	2.19
New England Revolution to win neither half	42.1%	41.0%	—	—	2.44

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Inter Miami CF not to win to nil	88.3%	88.1%	87.9%	1.00×	1.14
New England Revolution not to win to nil	86.8%	88.1%	78.9%	1.12×	1.14
New England Revolution to win to nil	13.2%	11.9%	21.1%	0.56×	8.41
Inter Miami CF to win to nil	11.7%	11.9%	12.1%	0.98×	8.42

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	22.2%	24.1%	24.8%	0.97×	4.15
New England Revolution by 1	18.3%	17.0%	22.2%	0.77×	5.87
Inter Miami CF by 1	17.3%	17.0%	17.1%	0.99×	5.87
New England Revolution by 2	12.3%	11.8%	12.7%	0.92×	8.51
Inter Miami CF by 2	11.1%	11.8%	8.6%	1.37×	8.51
New England Revolution by 3+	10.3%	11.8%	10.6%	1.11×	8.51
Inter Miami CF by 3+	8.5%	7.2%	4.5%	1.59×	13.90