New England Revolution v Red Bull New York — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Wednesday 28 October 2026 · USA-MLS · 2627

USA-MLS results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

New England Revolution

23:30 UTC

Red Bull New York

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 25 Oct, 11:02 · 84h before kick-off

New England Revolution win

60.4%

model 60.3%

Draw

21.7%

model 22.0%

Red Bull New York win

17.9%

model 17.7%

602218

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (270 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 10.4%
2-1 10.0%
2-0 9.9%
1-0 9.2%
3-1 6.7%

Goals

Over 2.5	58.4%	Under 2.5	41.6%
BTTS yes	55.7%	BTTS no	44.3%
New England Revolution 1+	86.8%	New England Revolution 2+	60.0%
Red Bull New York 1+	63.5%	Red Bull New York 2+	26.8%

Expected goals 2.02 – 1.01. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

58/100

Data quality

75/100

Model agreement

96%

★ Best pick

New England Revolution (-0.5)

Asian handicap · usually 45%

63.6% fair odds 1.57

strong signal · 1134 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Red Bull New York (0:3)

Handicap 0:3 · usually 89%

84.4% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 296 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

New England Revolution carry the stronger rating, 1525 Elo against 1392.
Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

New England Revolution have an estimated 60.4% win probability, against 21.7% for the draw and 17.9% for Red Bull New York. Expected goals from the ensemble are 2.02 for New England Revolution and 1.01 for Red Bull New York.

Why New England Revolution

New England Revolution carry the stronger rating, 1525 Elo against 1392. Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 21.7%. Draws run at 25% in this competition.

Why Red Bull New York can win

Nothing in the data singles out Red Bull New York.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for New England Revolution, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Red Bull New York, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

New England Revolution: 53% possession, 16.8 shots a match, 11.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Red Bull New York: 56% possession, 10.8 shots a match, 13.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-25 14:59 · team_stats 2026-10-25 06:07 · availability 2026-10-25 15:02 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

New England Revolution are the model's most likely outcome at 60.4%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 10.4%. Confidence 58/100, data quality 75/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	602218	2.02–1.01	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	642115	2.12–0.92	2-0 11%	58%	53%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New England Revolution to win	64.4%	58.3%	45.3%	1.29×	1.72
Draw	20.8%	24.4%	24.8%	0.99×	4.09
Red Bull New York to win	14.8%	13.5%	30.0%	0.45×	7.40

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New England Revolution & not both score	34.6%	29.6%	21.1%	1.41×	3.37
New England Revolution & both teams score	29.8%	25.2%	24.4%	1.03×	3.97
Draw & both teams score	15.5%	18.0%	19.2%	0.94×	5.57
Red Bull New York & both teams score	8.0%	8.3%	18.0%	0.46×	12.01
Red Bull New York & not both score	6.7%	8.3%	12.1%	0.69×	12.01
Draw & not both score	5.3%	8.3%	5.8%	1.45×	12.02

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New England Revolution & over 1.5	54.7%	48.9%	37.2%	1.32×	2.04
New England Revolution & over 2.5	44.0%	40.3%	31.0%	1.30×	2.48
New England Revolution & under 3.5	38.0%	34.9%	28.4%	1.23×	2.87
New England Revolution & over 3.5	26.5%	26.1%	17.0%	1.53×	3.84
New England Revolution & under 2.5	20.5%	21.6%	14.4%	1.50×	4.63
Draw & over 1.5	15.5%	18.0%	19.2%	0.94×	5.56
Draw & under 2.5	15.1%	18.0%	16.0%	1.12×	5.56
Draw & under 3.5	15.1%	18.0%	16.0%	1.12×	5.56
Red Bull New York & over 1.5	10.9%	12.8%	23.7%	0.54×	7.79
Red Bull New York & under 3.5	10.9%	12.8%	18.8%	0.68×	7.79
New England Revolution & under 1.5	9.7%	7.9%	8.2%	0.96×	12.63
Red Bull New York & over 2.5	8.8%	7.9%	20.5%	0.39×	12.63
Red Bull New York & under 2.5	5.9%	7.9%	9.6%	0.83×	12.63
Draw & under 1.5	5.3%	7.9%	5.8%	1.38×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	5.7%	7.9%	8.9%	0.89×	12.63
Draw & over 3.5	5.7%	7.9%	8.9%	0.89×	12.63
Red Bull New York & under 1.5	3.9%	4.8%	6.4%	0.75×	20.81
Red Bull New York & over 3.5	3.9%	4.8%	11.3%	0.43×	20.81

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New England Revolution (1UP)	76.1%	78.5%	—	—	1.27
Red Bull New York (1UP)	32.9%	32.9%	—	—	3.04

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New England Revolution (2UP)	64.4%	68.7%	—	—	1.46
Red Bull New York (2UP)	14.8%	14.3%	—	—	7.01

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New England Revolution to win 2nd half	52.1%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
2nd half drawn	31.1%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
Red Bull New York to win 2nd half	16.8%	17.9%	—	—	5.60

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Red Bull New York under 1.5 in 2nd half	89.4%	86.9%	—	—	1.15
Red Bull New York under 0.5 in 2nd half	57.6%	54.4%	—	—	1.84
Red Bull New York over 0.5 in 2nd half	42.4%	45.6%	—	—	2.19
Red Bull New York over 1.5 in 2nd half	10.6%	13.1%	—	—	7.65

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New England Revolution over 0.5 in 2nd half	70.1%	74.2%	—	—	1.35
New England Revolution under 1.5 in 2nd half	66.0%	70.7%	—	—	1.42
New England Revolution over 1.5 in 2nd half	34.0%	29.3%	—	—	3.41
New England Revolution under 0.5 in 2nd half	29.9%	25.8%	—	—	3.88

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New England Revolution (+0.5)	85.2%	88.5%	70.0%	1.26×	1.13
Red Bull New York (+2.5)	78.6%	78.5%	89.4%	0.88×	1.27
New England Revolution (-0.5)	64.4%	63.0%	45.3%	1.39×	1.59
Red Bull New York (+1.5)	58.9%	57.0%	76.8%	0.74×	1.75
New England Revolution (-1.5)	41.1%	43.0%	23.2%	1.85×	2.33
Red Bull New York (+0.5)	35.6%	37.0%	54.7%	0.68×	2.70
New England Revolution (-2.5)	21.4%	21.5%	10.6%	2.03×	4.65
Red Bull New York (-0.5)	14.8%	11.5%	30.0%	0.39×	8.66

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Red Bull New York to concede	88.0%	86.3%	82.3%	1.05×	1.16
Red Bull New York clean sheet	12.0%	13.7%	17.7%	0.78×	7.29

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Red Bull New York to concede in 1st half	59.8%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Red Bull New York clean sheet in 1st half	40.2%	42.9%	—	—	2.33

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Red Bull New York to concede in 2nd half	70.1%	71.1%	—	—	1.41
Red Bull New York clean sheet in 2nd half	29.9%	28.9%	—	—	3.46

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Red Bull New York over 2.5 corners	79.9%	76.1%	—	—	1.32
Red Bull New York under 6.5 corners	75.7%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
Red Bull New York over 3.5 corners	65.2%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Red Bull New York under 5.5 corners	64.3%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Red Bull New York under 4.5 corners	50.2%	53.1%	—	—	1.89
Red Bull New York over 4.5 corners	49.8%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Red Bull New York over 5.5 corners	35.7%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Red Bull New York under 3.5 corners	34.8%	32.4%	—	—	3.08
Red Bull New York over 6.5 corners	24.3%	24.0%	—	—	4.17
Red Bull New York under 2.5 corners	20.1%	23.9%	—	—	4.18

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Red Bull New York under 3.5 goals	98.6%	97.5%	94.0%	1.04×	1.03
Red Bull New York under 2.5 goals	93.4%	92.3%	83.3%	1.11×	1.08
Red Bull New York under 1.5 goals	76.6%	76.2%	61.2%	1.25×	1.31
Red Bull New York over 0.5 goals	60.1%	63.2%	73.3%	0.86×	1.58
Red Bull New York under 0.5 goals	39.9%	36.8%	26.7%	1.38×	2.72
Red Bull New York over 1.5 goals	23.4%	23.8%	38.8%	0.61×	4.21
Red Bull New York over 2.5 goals	6.6%	7.7%	16.7%	0.46×	13.07
Red Bull New York over 3.5 goals	1.4%	2.5%	6.0%	0.42×	39.99

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Red Bull New York under 1.5 in 1st half	94.7%	93.9%	—	—	1.07
Red Bull New York under 0.5 in 1st half	69.3%	70.1%	—	—	1.43
Red Bull New York over 0.5 in 1st half	30.7%	29.9%	—	—	3.34
Red Bull New York over 1.5 in 1st half	5.3%	6.1%	—	—	16.34

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Red Bull New York scores equally in both	48.4%	48.2%	—	—	2.07
Red Bull New York scores more in 2nd half	32.1%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
Red Bull New York scores more in 1st half	19.5%	18.2%	—	—	5.49

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New England Revolution (away no bet)	75.6%	73.5%	64.6%	1.14×	1.36
Draw (away no bet)	24.4%	26.5%	35.4%	0.75×	3.78

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Red Bull New York even goals	58.0%	56.9%	53.6%	1.06×	1.76
Red Bull New York odd goals	42.0%	43.1%	46.4%	0.93×	2.32

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	80.9%	82.7%	—	—	1.21
Both halves over 1.5 goals	19.1%	17.3%	—	—	5.79

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	70.1%	67.5%	—	—	1.48
Both halves under 1.5 goals	29.9%	32.5%	—	—	3.08

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	64.4%	60.0%	—	—	1.67
New England Revolution to score 2+ in a row	55.2%	55.0%	—	—	1.82
Either team to score 3+ in a row	29.4%	25.1%	—	—	3.99
New England Revolution to score 3+ in a row	26.7%	25.0%	—	—	4.00
Red Bull New York to score 2+ in a row	15.2%	16.2%	—	—	6.19
Red Bull New York to score 3+ in a row	3.0%	2.6%	—	—	39.01

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New England Revolution corners (+3.5)	85.2%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
New England Revolution corners (+2.5)	78.6%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Red Bull New York corners (+3.5)	78.1%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
New England Revolution corners (+1.5)	70.2%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Red Bull New York corners (+2.5)	69.9%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
Red Bull New York corners (+1.5)	60.3%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
New England Revolution corners (-1.5)	39.7%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
New England Revolution corners (-2.5)	30.1%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
Red Bull New York corners (-1.5)	29.8%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
New England Revolution corners (-3.5)	21.9%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Red Bull New York corners (-2.5)	21.4%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Red Bull New York corners (-3.5)	14.8%	15.5%	—	—	6.44

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	36.2%	34.0%	—	—	2.94
12+ corners	34.3%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
9-11 corners	29.4%	31.2%	—	—	3.20

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 7.5 corners	73.6%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Under 12.5 corners	73.7%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Under 11.5 corners	65.7%	67.8%	—	—	1.47
Over 8.5 corners	63.8%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Under 10.5 corners	56.4%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Over 9.5 corners	53.6%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Under 9.5 corners	46.4%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Over 10.5 corners	43.6%	42.1%	—	—	2.38
Under 8.5 corners	36.2%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Over 11.5 corners	34.3%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Under 7.5 corners	26.4%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Over 12.5 corners	26.3%	27.5%	—	—	3.64

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.1%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-0	10.8%	11.5%	6.3%	1.82×	8.72
1-0	9.7%	7.4%	8.2%	0.90×	13.51
1-1	9.8%	7.4%	10.4%	0.71×	13.51
2-1	9.9%	7.4%	10.0%	0.74×	13.51
3-0	7.6%	7.4%	4.2%	1.77×	13.51
3-1	7.0%	7.4%	4.8%	1.53×	13.51
Any other score	6.6%	7.4%	4.7%	1.56×	13.51
0-0	5.3%	7.4%	5.8%	1.29×	13.51
0-1	3.9%	1.7%	6.4%	0.27×	58.30
0-2	2.0%	1.7%	3.3%	0.52×	58.31
0-3	0.6%	1.7%	1.8%	0.95×	58.32
0-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.8%	2.17×	58.32
1-2	4.3%	1.7%	7.7%	0.22×	58.30
1-3	1.3%	1.7%	3.4%	0.51×	58.31
1-4	0.3%	1.7%	1.4%	1.27×	58.32
2-2	4.5%	1.7%	6.1%	0.28×	58.29
2-3	1.4%	1.7%	2.6%	0.66×	58.31
2-4	0.3%	1.7%	1.7%	1.01×	58.32
3-2	3.2%	1.7%	3.5%	0.49×	58.30
3-3	1.0%	1.7%	2.6%	0.66×	58.31
3-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.7%	2.54×	58.32
4-0	4.0%	1.7%	1.2%	1.38×	58.30
4-1	3.7%	1.7%	2.4%	0.72×	58.30
4-2	1.7%	1.7%	1.6%	1.09×	58.31
4-3	0.5%	1.7%	0.8%	2.17×	58.32
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.5%	3.80×	58.32

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New England Revolution (2nd half DNB)	75.7%	80.0%	—	—	1.25
Red Bull New York (2nd half DNB)	24.3%	20.0%	—	—	5.01

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New England Revolution leading at HT (DNB)	76.8%	74.7%	—	—	1.34
Red Bull New York leading at HT (DNB)	23.2%	25.3%	—	—	3.96

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New England Revolution or draw (1X)	85.2%	86.5%	70.0%	1.24×	1.16
New England Revolution or Red Bull New York (12)	79.2%	75.6%	75.2%	1.00×	1.32
Red Bull New York or draw (X2)	35.6%	41.7%	54.7%	0.76×	2.40

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New England Revolution or draw at HT	85.7%	88.1%	—	—	1.14
New England Revolution or Red Bull New York at HT	61.8%	60.9%	—	—	1.64
Red Bull New York or draw at HT	52.5%	47.7%	—	—	2.10

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New England Revolution or draw (1UP)	85.2%	91.7%	—	—	1.09
Red Bull New York or draw (1UP)	35.6%	41.1%	—	—	2.43

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New England Revolution or draw in 2nd half	83.2%	82.1%	—	—	1.22
New England Revolution or Red Bull New York in 2nd half	68.9%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
Red Bull New York or draw in 2nd half	47.9%	48.0%	—	—	2.08

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	56.8%	58.7%	—	—	1.70
Neither half drawn	43.2%	41.3%	—	—	2.42

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New England Revolution (DNB)	81.3%	80.3%	60.2%	1.33×	1.25
Red Bull New York (DNB)	18.7%	19.7%	39.8%	0.50×	5.07

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New England Revolution to score first	66.1%	69.5%	—	—	1.44
Red Bull New York to score first	28.6%	27.9%	—	—	3.58
No goal scored	5.3%	7.4%	—	—	13.57

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	53.3%	51.3%	61.3%	0.84×	1.95
Not both teams to score	46.7%	48.7%	38.7%	1.26×	2.05

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	43.5%	41.6%	51.1%	0.81×	2.40
Not both score & under 2.5	31.7%	34.5%	29.5%	1.17×	2.90
Not both score & over 2.5	15.0%	12.4%	9.2%	1.34×	8.08
Both score & under 2.5	9.8%	8.3%	10.4%	0.80×	12.07

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	85.4%	85.6%	79.5%	1.08×	1.17
Both teams to score 2+	14.6%	14.4%	20.5%	0.70×	6.94

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	70.2%	73.6%	—	—	1.36
Both teams to score in 2nd half	29.8%	26.4%	—	—	3.78

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	57.2%	59.9%	—	—	1.67
Both score 2nd half only	24.4%	21.0%	—	—	4.76
Both score 1st half only	13.0%	10.8%	—	—	9.27
Both score in both halves	5.5%	6.8%	—	—	14.76

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	81.6%	83.1%	—	—	1.20
Both teams to score by HT	18.5%	16.9%	—	—	5.91

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	59.9%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
A half without a goal	40.1%	42.9%	—	—	2.33

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	45.0%	47.2%	43.0%	1.10×	2.12
4-6 goals	32.5%	30.7%	33.0%	0.93×	3.25
0-1 goals	18.9%	20.2%	20.2%	1.00×	4.95
7+ goals	3.5%	1.8%	4.1%	0.45×	54.18

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Red Bull New York to score exactly 0	39.9%	35.9%	26.7%	1.35×	2.78
Red Bull New York to score exactly 1	36.7%	35.9%	34.6%	1.04×	2.78
Red Bull New York to score exactly 2	16.8%	19.6%	22.2%	0.88×	5.11
Red Bull New York to score 3+	6.6%	8.5%	16.7%	0.51×	11.71

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New England Revolution to score 3+	35.5%	35.5%	25.0%	1.42×	2.81
New England Revolution to score exactly 2	27.0%	26.5%	26.4%	1.01×	3.77
New England Revolution to score exactly 1	25.5%	26.5%	31.1%	0.85×	3.77
New England Revolution to score exactly 0	12.0%	14.3%	17.7%	0.81×	6.99

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New England Revolution leading at HT	47.5%	52.3%	—	—	1.91
Draw at HT	38.2%	39.1%	—	—	2.56
Red Bull New York leading at HT	14.3%	11.9%	—	—	8.39

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New England Revolution -1: 1	41.1%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
New England Revolution -1: 2	35.6%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
New England Revolution -1: X	23.4%	23.5%	—	—	4.25

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New England Revolution (0:1)	41.1%	42.6%	23.2%	1.83×	2.35
Red Bull New York (0:1)	35.6%	37.3%	54.7%	0.68×	2.68
Draw (0:1)	23.4%	24.2%	22.2%	1.09×	4.13

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Red Bull New York (0:2)	58.9%	63.2%	76.8%	0.82×	1.58
New England Revolution (0:2)	21.4%	20.3%	10.6%	1.92×	4.93
Draw (0:2)	19.7%	15.3%	12.7%	1.20×	6.54

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Red Bull New York (0:3)	78.6%	80.6%	89.4%	0.90×	1.24
Draw (0:3)	12.1%	9.9%	6.7%	1.49×	10.08
New England Revolution (0:3)	9.3%	5.8%	4.1%	1.43×	17.20

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Red Bull New York (0:4)	90.7%	94.5%	95.9%	0.99×	1.06
Draw (0:4)	5.9%	4.6%	2.0%	2.28×	21.60
New England Revolution (0:4)	3.4%	1.2%	2.1%	0.57×	81.79

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New England Revolution (1:0)	85.2%	86.0%	70.0%	1.23×	1.16
Draw (1:0)	9.8%	6.9%	17.1%	0.40×	14.44
Red Bull New York (1:0)	4.9%	3.3%	13.0%	0.25×	30.36

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New England Revolution (2:0)	95.1%	96.8%	87.0%	1.11×	1.03
Draw (2:0)	3.7%	2.3%	8.6%	0.27×	43.66
Red Bull New York (2:0)	1.2%	2.3%	4.5%	0.51×	43.81

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	48.3%	48.7%	—	—	2.05
1st half highest scoring	27.6%	26.2%	—	—	3.81
Halves equal	24.1%	24.4%	—	—	4.10

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New England Revolution to concede	60.1%	63.6%	73.3%	0.87×	1.57
New England Revolution clean sheet	39.9%	36.4%	26.7%	1.36×	2.75

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New England Revolution clean sheet in 1st half	69.3%	70.4%	—	—	1.42
New England Revolution to concede in 1st half	30.7%	29.6%	—	—	3.38

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New England Revolution clean sheet in 2nd half	57.6%	54.6%	—	—	1.83
New England Revolution to concede in 2nd half	42.4%	45.4%	—	—	2.21

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New England Revolution over 2.5 corners	84.3%	81.0%	—	—	1.24
New England Revolution over 3.5 corners	71.5%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
New England Revolution under 6.5 corners	68.8%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
New England Revolution over 4.5 corners	57.2%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
New England Revolution under 5.5 corners	56.7%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
New England Revolution over 5.5 corners	43.3%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
New England Revolution under 4.5 corners	42.8%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
New England Revolution over 6.5 corners	31.2%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
New England Revolution under 3.5 corners	28.5%	28.1%	—	—	3.55
New England Revolution under 2.5 corners	15.7%	19.0%	—	—	5.26

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New England Revolution over 0.5 goals	88.0%	87.3%	82.3%	1.06×	1.15
New England Revolution under 3.5 goals	83.6%	82.2%	90.6%	0.91×	1.22
New England Revolution under 2.5 goals	64.5%	63.6%	75.0%	0.85×	1.57
New England Revolution over 1.5 goals	62.5%	63.6%	51.3%	1.24×	1.57
New England Revolution under 1.5 goals	37.5%	36.4%	48.7%	0.75×	2.75
New England Revolution over 2.5 goals	35.5%	36.4%	25.0%	1.45×	2.75
New England Revolution over 3.5 goals	16.4%	17.8%	9.4%	1.90×	5.63
New England Revolution under 0.5 goals	12.0%	12.7%	17.7%	0.72×	7.85

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New England Revolution under 1.5 in 1st half	76.9%	77.0%	—	—	1.30
New England Revolution over 0.5 in 1st half	59.8%	57.0%	—	—	1.75
New England Revolution under 0.5 in 1st half	40.2%	43.0%	—	—	2.33
New England Revolution over 1.5 in 1st half	23.1%	23.0%	—	—	4.35

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New England Revolution scores more in 2nd half	42.9%	42.1%	—	—	2.38
New England Revolution scores equally in both	29.4%	27.9%	—	—	3.59
New England Revolution scores more in 1st half	27.8%	27.9%	—	—	3.59

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	58.4%	56.4%	45.3%	1.25×	1.77
Red Bull New York (home no bet)	41.6%	43.6%	54.7%	0.80×	2.30

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New England Revolution even goals	50.7%	50.7%	51.0%	1.00×	1.97
New England Revolution odd goals	49.3%	49.3%	49.0%	1.01×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	28.0%	28.5%	—	—	3.51
HT 1-0	25.3%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
HT 2-0	11.5%	11.0%	—	—	9.11
HT 0-1	10.2%	11.0%	—	—	9.13
HT 1-1	9.4%	6.9%	—	—	14.43
Any other HT score	7.0%	6.9%	—	—	14.47
HT 2-1	4.2%	2.4%	—	—	41.93
HT 0-2	1.9%	2.4%	—	—	42.09
HT 1-2	1.7%	2.4%	—	—	42.10
HT 2-2	0.8%	2.4%	—	—	42.16

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New England Revolution at HT / New England Revolution at FT	41.8%	41.5%	—	—	2.41
Draw at HT / New England Revolution at FT	19.6%	16.8%	—	—	5.95
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	12.4%	12.6%	—	—	7.91
Red Bull New York at HT / Red Bull New York at FT	7.4%	6.1%	—	—	16.44
Draw at HT / Red Bull New York at FT	6.1%	6.1%	—	—	16.47
New England Revolution at HT / Draw at FT	4.5%	3.5%	—	—	28.81
Red Bull New York at HT / Draw at FT	3.9%	3.5%	—	—	28.83
Red Bull New York at HT / New England Revolution at FT	3.0%	3.5%	—	—	28.86
New England Revolution at HT / Red Bull New York at FT	1.3%	3.5%	—	—	28.93

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New England Revolution to score last	66.1%	70.3%	—	—	1.42
Red Bull New York to score last	28.6%	27.6%	—	—	3.62
No goal scored	5.3%	7.4%	—	—	13.57

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	94.7%	92.7%	—	—	1.08
New England Revolution to lead by 1 at any time	76.1%	78.1%	—	—	1.28
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	56.3%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
New England Revolution to lead by 2 at any time	47.6%	44.4%	—	—	2.25
Red Bull New York to lead by 1 at any time	32.9%	29.8%	—	—	3.36
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	26.4%	25.3%	—	—	3.95
New England Revolution to lead by 3 at any time	24.4%	19.6%	—	—	5.10
Red Bull New York to lead by 2 at any time	9.0%	6.7%	—	—	14.89
Red Bull New York to lead by 3 at any time	2.0%	1.6%	—	—	63.00

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New England Revolution most corners	50.1%	51.7%	—	—	1.94
Red Bull New York most corners	39.5%	39.3%	—	—	2.54
Corners level	10.4%	10.4%	—	—	9.58

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	86.0%	87.4%	83.4%	1.05×	1.14
2-6 goals	77.6%	78.7%	75.9%	1.04×	1.27
1-4 goals	75.7%	78.7%	73.2%	1.08×	1.27
2-5 goals	72.4%	72.4%	69.0%	1.05×	1.38
2-4 goals	62.0%	63.3%	58.7%	1.08×	1.58
1-3 goals	58.7%	59.1%	57.4%	1.03×	1.69
3-6 goals	54.9%	53.2%	56.3%	0.95×	1.88
3-5 goals	49.7%	48.5%	49.4%	0.98×	2.06
2-3 goals	45.0%	48.5%	43.0%	1.13×	2.06
3-4 goals	39.4%	39.2%	39.1%	1.00×	2.55
1-2 goals	36.3%	39.2%	34.2%	1.15×	2.55
4-6 goals	32.5%	35.2%	33.0%	1.07×	2.84
4-5 goals	27.3%	30.2%	26.2%	1.16×	3.31
5-6 goals	15.5%	18.8%	17.2%	1.09×	5.31
7+ goals	3.5%	2.6%	4.1%	0.63×	39.10

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New England Revolution never behind	61.8%	68.2%	—	—	1.47
Red Bull New York never behind	18.6%	18.4%	—	—	5.43

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	48.9%	50.9%	50.5%	1.01×	1.96
Even number of goals	51.1%	49.1%	49.5%	0.99×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	54.1%	51.8%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 1st half	45.9%	48.2%	—	—	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	51.8%	51.9%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 2nd half	48.2%	48.1%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	94.7%	92.3%	94.3%	0.98×	1.08
Under 5.5 goals	91.3%	92.3%	89.1%	1.04×	1.08
Over 1.5 goals	81.1%	82.3%	79.8%	1.03×	1.22
Under 4.5 goals	81.0%	82.3%	78.8%	1.04×	1.22
Under 3.5 goals	64.0%	61.7%	63.0%	0.98×	1.62
Over 2.5 goals	58.4%	58.6%	60.2%	0.97×	1.71
Under 2.5 goals	41.6%	41.4%	39.8%	1.04×	2.42
Over 3.5 goals	36.0%	38.3%	37.0%	1.03×	2.61
Over 4.5 goals	19.0%	17.7%	21.2%	0.83×	5.65
Under 1.5 goals	18.9%	17.7%	20.2%	0.88×	5.65
Over 5.5 goals	8.7%	7.7%	10.9%	0.71×	12.94
Under 0.5 goals	5.3%	7.7%	5.8%	1.34×	12.96

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	96.3%	97.2%	95.6%	1.02×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	90.3%	92.4%	87.8%	1.05×	1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	77.1%	75.9%	74.8%	1.01×	1.32
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	75.6%	75.9%	74.9%	1.01×	1.32
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	53.6%	51.9%	51.8%	1.00×	1.93
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	46.4%	48.1%	48.2%	1.00×	2.08
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	24.4%	24.1%	25.1%	0.96×	4.15
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	22.9%	24.1%	25.2%	0.96×	4.15
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	9.7%	7.6%	12.2%	0.62×	13.15
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	3.7%	2.8%	4.4%	0.65×	35.56

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	86.2%	89.0%	—	—	1.12
Over 0.5 in 1st half	72.0%	71.4%	—	—	1.40
Under 1.5 in 1st half	63.4%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Over 1.5 in 1st half	36.6%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Under 0.5 in 1st half	28.0%	28.6%	—	—	3.50
Over 2.5 in 1st half	13.8%	11.0%	—	—	9.07

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	82.6%	82.9%	—	—	1.21
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	74.2%	77.6%	—	—	1.29
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	52.6%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	47.4%	46.7%	—	—	2.14
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	25.8%	22.4%	—	—	4.47
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	17.4%	17.1%	—	—	5.86

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Red Bull New York not to score in both halves	87.0%	85.5%	—	—	1.17
New England Revolution not to score in both halves	58.1%	58.2%	—	—	1.72
New England Revolution to score in both halves	41.9%	41.8%	—	—	2.39
Red Bull New York to score in both halves	13.0%	14.5%	—	—	6.90

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	53.3%	53.8%	61.3%	0.88×	1.86
Only New England Revolution scores	34.6%	33.3%	21.1%	1.58×	3.00
Only Red Bull New York scores	6.7%	7.1%	12.1%	0.59×	14.04
Neither team scores	5.3%	7.1%	5.8%	1.24×	14.05

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	22.6%	22.6%	19.7%	1.14×	4.43
Exactly 3 goals	22.4%	22.6%	23.3%	0.97×	4.43
Exactly 4 goals	17.0%	17.5%	15.9%	1.10×	5.73
Exactly 1 goals	13.6%	12.1%	14.5%	0.83×	8.25
Exactly 5 goals	10.3%	12.1%	10.4%	1.17×	8.25
6 or more goals	8.7%	7.6%	10.9%	0.70×	13.14
Exactly 0 goals	5.3%	7.6%	5.8%	1.32×	13.15

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	35.4%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
No goals in 1st half	28.0%	28.5%	—	—	3.50
2 goals in 1st half	22.8%	21.5%	—	—	4.66
3+ goals in 1st half	13.8%	10.9%	—	—	9.15

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	52.6%	51.5%	—	—	1.94
1 goal in 2nd half	30.0%	29.5%	—	—	3.39
No goals in 2nd half	17.4%	16.7%	—	—	6.00

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Red Bull New York not to win both halves	97.6%	97.2%	—	—	1.03
New England Revolution not to win both halves	75.1%	75.1%	—	—	1.33
New England Revolution to win both halves	24.9%	24.9%	—	—	4.01
Red Bull New York to win both halves	2.4%	2.8%	—	—	36.00

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New England Revolution to win either half	74.7%	73.1%	—	—	1.37
Red Bull New York to win neither half	71.4%	72.8%	—	—	1.37
Red Bull New York to win either half	28.7%	27.2%	—	—	3.68
New England Revolution to win neither half	25.3%	26.9%	—	—	3.71

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Red Bull New York not to win to nil	93.3%	92.1%	87.9%	1.05×	1.09
New England Revolution not to win to nil	65.4%	69.6%	78.9%	0.88×	1.44
New England Revolution to win to nil	34.6%	30.4%	21.1%	1.44×	3.29
Red Bull New York to win to nil	6.7%	7.9%	12.1%	0.66×	12.64

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New England Revolution by 1	23.4%	24.1%	22.2%	1.09×	4.15
New England Revolution by 3+	21.4%	24.1%	10.6%	2.27×	4.15
Draw	20.8%	24.1%	24.8%	0.97×	4.15
New England Revolution by 2	19.7%	17.1%	12.7%	1.34×	5.86
Red Bull New York by 1	9.8%	7.2%	17.1%	0.42×	13.89
Red Bull New York by 2	3.7%	2.7%	8.6%	0.32×	36.82
Red Bull New York by 3+	1.2%	2.7%	4.5%	0.60×	36.89