New York City v CF Montréal — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 1 November 2026 · USA-MLS · 2627

USA-MLS results-only Prediction generated 8 Sep 2026, 06:01 UTC

New York City

20:00 UTC

CF Montréal

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 5 Sep, 22:23 · 1,366h before kick-off

New York City win

58.4%

model 57.8%

Draw

22.9%

model 22.3%

CF Montréal win

18.7%

model 19.9%

582319

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (2,277 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 10.4%
2-1 9.9%
2-0 9.1%
1-0 8.7%
3-1 6.6%

Goals

Over 2.5	59.4%	Under 2.5	40.6%
BTTS yes	57.7%	BTTS no	42.3%
New York City 1+	86.3%	New York City 2+	59.1%
CF Montréal 1+	66.4%	CF Montréal 2+	29.7%

Expected goals 1.99 – 1.09. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

53/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

94%

★ Best pick

Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

★ Most likely to land

Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

Positive factors

New York City carry the stronger rating, 1533 Elo against 1402.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

New York City have an estimated 58.4% win probability, against 22.9% for the draw and 18.7% for CF Montréal. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.99 for New York City and 1.09 for CF Montréal.

Why New York City

New York City carry the stronger rating, 1533 Elo against 1402.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 22.9%. Draws run at 25% in this competition.

Why CF Montréal can win

Nothing in the data singles out CF Montréal.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for New York City, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for CF Montréal, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

New York City: 50% possession, 13.2 shots a match, 13.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. CF Montréal: 50% possession, 14.8 shots a match, 12.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-05 22:20 · team_stats 2026-09-05 09:41 · availability 2026-09-05 21:03 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

New York City are the model's most likely outcome at 58.4%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 10.4%. Confidence 53/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
dc-xg	642115	2.08–0.92	2-0 11%	58%	53%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New York City to win	63.7%	58.2%	45.4%	1.28×	1.72
Draw	21.0%	24.4%	24.9%	0.98×	4.09
CF Montréal to win	15.3%	19.3%	29.9%	0.65×	5.18

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New York City & not both score	34.4%	29.7%	21.1%	1.41×	3.36
New York City & both teams score	29.3%	25.2%	24.4%	1.03×	3.97
Draw & both teams score	15.6%	17.9%	19.1%	0.94×	5.58
CF Montréal & both teams score	8.2%	8.4%	17.8%	0.47×	11.93
CF Montréal & not both score	7.1%	8.4%	12.3%	0.68×	11.93
Draw & not both score	5.4%	8.4%	5.8%	1.43×	11.94

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New York City & over 1.5	53.8%	48.8%	37.1%	1.31×	2.05
New York City & over 2.5	43.0%	40.3%	30.9%	1.30×	2.48
New York City & under 3.5	38.1%	34.9%	28.3%	1.23×	2.87
New York City & over 3.5	25.6%	26.0%	17.2%	1.52×	3.84
New York City & under 2.5	20.7%	21.6%	14.5%	1.49×	4.62
Draw & over 1.5	15.6%	18.0%	19.1%	0.94×	5.56
Draw & under 2.5	15.3%	18.0%	16.0%	1.12×	5.56
Draw & under 3.5	15.3%	18.0%	16.0%	1.12×	5.56
CF Montréal & over 1.5	11.1%	12.9%	23.5%	0.55×	7.77
CF Montréal & under 3.5	11.3%	12.9%	18.8%	0.68×	7.77
New York City & under 1.5	9.9%	7.9%	8.4%	0.94×	12.70
CF Montréal & over 2.5	9.0%	7.9%	20.3%	0.39×	12.70
CF Montréal & under 2.5	6.3%	7.9%	9.7%	0.81×	12.70
Draw & under 1.5	5.4%	7.9%	5.8%	1.35×	12.70
Draw & over 2.5	5.7%	7.9%	8.9%	0.88×	12.70
Draw & over 3.5	5.7%	7.9%	8.9%	0.88×	12.70
CF Montréal & under 1.5	4.2%	4.8%	6.5%	0.73×	20.94
CF Montréal & over 3.5	4.0%	4.8%	11.2%	0.43×	20.94

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New York City (1UP)	75.5%	78.6%	—	—	1.27
CF Montréal (1UP)	33.3%	32.9%	—	—	3.04

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New York City (2UP)	63.7%	67.9%	—	—	1.47
CF Montréal (2UP)	15.3%	17.2%	—	—	5.82

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New York City to win 2nd half	51.5%	52.2%	—	—	1.92
2nd half drawn	31.4%	34.5%	—	—	2.90
CF Montréal to win 2nd half	17.1%	19.0%	—	—	5.27

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New York City (+0.5)	84.7%	82.4%	70.1%	1.18×	1.21
CF Montréal (+2.5)	79.4%	78.5%	89.5%	0.88×	1.28
New York City (-0.5)	63.7%	62.9%	45.4%	1.39×	1.59
CF Montréal (+1.5)	59.9%	57.0%	76.7%	0.74×	1.75
New York City (-1.5)	40.1%	43.0%	23.3%	1.85×	2.33
CF Montréal (+0.5)	36.3%	37.1%	54.6%	0.68×	2.70
New York City (-2.5)	20.6%	21.5%	10.5%	2.04×	4.64
CF Montréal (-0.5)	15.3%	17.6%	29.9%	0.59×	5.69

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
CF Montréal to concede	87.5%	86.5%	82.0%	1.05×	1.16
CF Montréal clean sheet	12.5%	13.5%	18.0%	0.75×	7.38

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
CF Montréal to concede in 1st half	59.1%	58.6%	—	—	1.71
CF Montréal clean sheet in 1st half	40.9%	41.4%	—	—	2.41

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
CF Montréal over 2.5 corners	79.4%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
CF Montréal under 6.5 corners	76.3%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
CF Montréal under 5.5 corners	65.0%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
CF Montréal over 3.5 corners	64.5%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
CF Montréal under 4.5 corners	51.0%	53.1%	—	—	1.89
CF Montréal over 4.5 corners	49.0%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
CF Montréal under 3.5 corners	35.5%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
CF Montréal over 5.5 corners	35.0%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
CF Montréal over 6.5 corners	23.7%	24.0%	—	—	4.16
CF Montréal under 2.5 corners	20.6%	24.0%	—	—	4.16

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
CF Montréal under 3.5 goals	98.5%	97.5%	93.9%	1.04×	1.03
CF Montréal under 2.5 goals	93.4%	92.3%	83.3%	1.11×	1.08
CF Montréal under 1.5 goals	76.5%	76.2%	61.3%	1.24×	1.31
CF Montréal over 0.5 goals	60.2%	62.9%	73.2%	0.86×	1.59
CF Montréal under 0.5 goals	39.8%	37.1%	26.8%	1.38×	2.70
CF Montréal over 1.5 goals	23.5%	23.8%	38.7%	0.61×	4.21
CF Montréal over 2.5 goals	6.6%	7.7%	16.7%	0.46×	13.05
CF Montréal over 3.5 goals	1.5%	2.5%	6.1%	0.40×	40.80

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
CF Montréal under 1.5 in 1st half	94.7%	94.3%	—	—	1.06
CF Montréal under 0.5 in 1st half	69.2%	68.7%	—	—	1.46
CF Montréal over 0.5 in 1st half	30.8%	31.3%	—	—	3.19
CF Montréal over 1.5 in 1st half	5.3%	5.7%	—	—	17.42

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New York City (away no bet)	75.2%	73.6%	64.6%	1.14×	1.36
Draw (away no bet)	24.8%	26.4%	35.4%	0.75×	3.78

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
CF Montréal even goals	57.9%	56.9%	53.6%	1.06×	1.76
CF Montréal odd goals	42.1%	43.1%	46.4%	0.93×	2.32

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	81.3%	82.9%	—	—	1.21
Both halves over 1.5 goals	18.7%	17.1%	—	—	5.85

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	69.4%	68.7%	—	—	1.46
Both halves under 1.5 goals	30.6%	31.3%	—	—	3.19

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	63.7%	60.0%	—	—	1.67
New York City to score 2+ in a row	54.2%	51.4%	—	—	1.95
Either team to score 3+ in a row	28.6%	25.1%	—	—	3.99
New York City to score 3+ in a row	25.9%	25.0%	—	—	4.00
CF Montréal to score 2+ in a row	15.4%	16.3%	—	—	6.15
CF Montréal to score 3+ in a row	3.0%	2.6%	—	—	38.77

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
CF Montréal corners (+3.5)	85.4%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
New York City corners (+3.5)	81.3%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
CF Montréal corners (+2.5)	78.3%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
New York City corners (+2.5)	73.2%	70.8%	—	—	1.41
CF Montréal corners (+1.5)	69.3%	65.8%	—	—	1.52
New York City corners (+1.5)	63.4%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
CF Montréal corners (-1.5)	36.6%	38.1%	—	—	2.62
New York City corners (-1.5)	30.7%	34.2%	—	—	2.93
CF Montréal corners (-2.5)	26.8%	29.2%	—	—	3.42
New York City corners (-2.5)	21.7%	25.2%	—	—	3.98
CF Montréal corners (-3.5)	18.7%	20.2%	—	—	4.95
New York City corners (-3.5)	14.6%	15.5%	—	—	6.45

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	45.5%	41.8%	—	—	2.39
9-11 corners	29.0%	31.2%	—	—	3.20
12+ corners	25.5%	31.2%	—	—	3.20

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	81.5%	80.7%	—	—	1.24
Under 11.5 corners	74.5%	72.6%	—	—	1.38
Under 10.5 corners	66.0%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Over 7.5 corners	65.4%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Under 9.5 corners	56.2%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Over 8.5 corners	54.5%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Under 8.5 corners	45.5%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Over 9.5 corners	43.8%	42.1%	—	—	2.38
Under 7.5 corners	34.6%	32.3%	—	—	3.10
Over 10.5 corners	34.0%	32.3%	—	—	3.10
Over 11.5 corners	25.5%	27.4%	—	—	3.65
Over 12.5 corners	18.5%	19.3%	—	—	5.18

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-0	10.8%	11.5%	6.3%	1.82×	8.73
1-1	9.9%	7.4%	10.3%	0.72×	13.48
2-1	9.9%	7.4%	9.9%	0.75×	13.48
1-0	9.9%	7.4%	8.4%	0.89×	13.48
3-0	7.5%	7.4%	4.1%	1.80×	13.48
3-1	6.9%	7.4%	4.9%	1.51×	13.48
Any other score	6.2%	7.4%	4.7%	1.58×	13.48
0-0	5.4%	7.4%	5.8%	1.27×	13.48
1-2	4.4%	1.7%	7.4%	0.23×	58.46
1-3	1.3%	1.7%	3.4%	0.50×	58.48
1-4	0.3%	1.7%	1.4%	1.24×	58.49
2-2	4.6%	1.7%	6.1%	0.28×	58.46
2-3	1.4%	1.7%	2.4%	0.71×	58.48
2-4	0.3%	1.7%	1.7%	1.00×	58.49
3-2	3.2%	1.7%	3.6%	0.48×	58.47
3-3	1.0%	1.7%	2.6%	0.65×	58.48
3-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.7%	2.49×	58.49
4-0	3.9%	1.7%	1.3%	1.36×	58.47
4-1	3.6%	1.7%	2.4%	0.71×	58.47
4-2	1.6%	1.7%	1.6%	1.07×	58.48
4-3	0.5%	1.7%	0.8%	2.13×	58.49
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.5%	3.73×	58.49
0-1	4.2%	1.7%	6.5%	0.26×	58.47
0-2	2.1%	1.7%	3.3%	0.51×	58.48
0-3	0.6%	1.7%	1.8%	0.93×	58.49
0-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.8%	2.13×	58.49

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New York City leading at HT (DNB)	76.3%	77.5%	—	—	1.29
CF Montréal leading at HT (DNB)	23.7%	22.5%	—	—	4.45

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New York City or draw (1X)	84.7%	80.7%	70.1%	1.15×	1.24
New York City or CF Montréal (12)	79.0%	75.6%	75.1%	1.01×	1.32
CF Montréal or draw (X2)	36.3%	41.8%	54.6%	0.76×	2.39

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New York City or draw at HT	85.4%	87.9%	—	—	1.14
New York City or CF Montréal at HT	61.5%	62.0%	—	—	1.61
CF Montréal or draw at HT	53.1%	47.7%	—	—	2.10

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New York City or draw (1UP)	84.7%	88.7%	—	—	1.13
CF Montréal or draw (1UP)	36.3%	42.2%	—	—	2.37

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New York City or draw in 2nd half	82.9%	81.0%	—	—	1.23
New York City or CF Montréal in 2nd half	68.6%	65.5%	—	—	1.53
CF Montréal or draw in 2nd half	48.5%	47.8%	—	—	2.09

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	57.4%	58.0%	—	—	1.73
Neither half drawn	42.6%	42.0%	—	—	2.38

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New York City (DNB)	80.6%	80.4%	60.3%	1.33×	1.24
CF Montréal (DNB)	19.4%	19.6%	39.7%	0.49×	5.11

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New York City to score first	65.6%	69.1%	—	—	1.45
CF Montréal to score first	29.0%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
No goal scored	5.4%	7.4%	—	—	13.45

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	53.1%	51.4%	61.1%	0.84×	1.95
Not both teams to score	46.9%	48.6%	38.9%	1.25×	2.06

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	43.1%	41.6%	50.9%	0.82×	2.40
Not both score & under 2.5	32.3%	34.3%	29.9%	1.15×	2.92
Not both score & over 2.5	14.6%	12.3%	9.2%	1.35×	8.10
Both score & under 2.5	9.9%	8.4%	10.3%	0.81×	11.95

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	85.5%	85.6%	79.5%	1.08×	1.17
Both teams to score 2+	14.5%	14.4%	20.5%	0.70×	6.94

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	70.4%	73.9%	—	—	1.35
Both teams to score in 2nd half	29.6%	26.1%	—	—	3.84

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	57.5%	59.3%	—	—	1.69
Both score 2nd half only	24.3%	20.9%	—	—	4.78
Both score 1st half only	12.9%	10.7%	—	—	9.32
Both score in both halves	5.4%	6.7%	—	—	14.88

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	81.7%	82.4%	—	—	1.21
Both teams to score by HT	18.3%	17.6%	—	—	5.69

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	59.3%	57.4%	—	—	1.74
A half without a goal	40.7%	42.6%	—	—	2.35

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	45.2%	47.4%	42.5%	1.12×	2.11
4-6 goals	32.0%	30.8%	33.1%	0.93×	3.25
0-1 goals	19.5%	20.2%	20.5%	0.98×	4.95
7+ goals	3.3%	1.8%	4.1%	0.45×	54.46

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
CF Montréal to score exactly 0	39.8%	36.0%	26.8%	1.34×	2.78
CF Montréal to score exactly 1	36.7%	36.0%	34.6%	1.04×	2.78
CF Montréal to score exactly 2	16.9%	19.6%	22.1%	0.88×	5.11
CF Montréal to score 3+	6.6%	8.4%	16.7%	0.51×	11.84

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New York City to score 3+	34.5%	32.7%	25.2%	1.30×	3.06
New York City to score exactly 2	27.0%	26.5%	26.0%	1.02×	3.77
New York City to score exactly 1	26.0%	26.5%	31.0%	0.85×	3.77
New York City to score exactly 0	12.5%	14.3%	18.0%	0.80×	6.98

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New York City leading at HT	46.9%	52.3%	—	—	1.91
Draw at HT	38.5%	38.0%	—	—	2.63
CF Montréal leading at HT	14.6%	12.1%	—	—	8.29

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New York City -1: 1	40.1%	42.7%	—	—	2.34
New York City -1: 2	36.3%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
New York City -1: X	23.6%	23.6%	—	—	4.24

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New York City (0:1)	40.1%	42.6%	23.3%	1.83×	2.35
CF Montréal (0:1)	36.3%	37.2%	54.6%	0.68×	2.69
Draw (0:1)	23.6%	24.3%	22.2%	1.09×	4.12

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
CF Montréal (0:2)	59.9%	63.0%	76.7%	0.82×	1.59
New York City (0:2)	20.6%	20.3%	10.5%	1.93×	4.93
Draw (0:2)	19.5%	15.3%	12.8%	1.19×	6.54

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
CF Montréal (0:3)	79.4%	80.6%	89.5%	0.90×	1.24
Draw (0:3)	11.8%	10.0%	6.6%	1.50×	10.00
New York City (0:3)	8.8%	5.8%	4.0%	1.46×	17.14

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
CF Montréal (0:4)	91.2%	94.6%	96.0%	0.99×	1.06
Draw (0:4)	5.6%	4.6%	2.1%	2.24×	21.63
New York City (0:4)	3.2%	1.2%	2.1%	0.58×	83.37

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New York City (1:0)	84.7%	81.5%	70.1%	1.16×	1.23
Draw (1:0)	10.2%	12.8%	16.8%	0.76×	7.82
CF Montréal (1:0)	5.1%	6.9%	13.2%	0.52×	14.48

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New York City (2:0)	94.9%	94.0%	86.8%	1.08×	1.06
Draw (2:0)	3.8%	2.3%	8.7%	0.26×	44.15
CF Montréal (2:0)	1.3%	2.3%	4.6%	0.49×	44.31

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	48.2%	48.2%	—	—	2.07
1st half highest scoring	27.6%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Halves equal	24.2%	24.1%	—	—	4.15

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New York City to concede	60.2%	63.4%	73.2%	0.87×	1.58
New York City clean sheet	39.8%	36.6%	26.8%	1.37×	2.73

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New York City clean sheet in 1st half	69.2%	69.0%	—	—	1.45
New York City to concede in 1st half	30.8%	31.0%	—	—	3.22

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New York City under 6.5 corners	80.0%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
New York City over 2.5 corners	76.3%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
New York City under 5.5 corners	69.3%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
New York City over 3.5 corners	60.3%	62.2%	—	—	1.61
New York City under 4.5 corners	55.6%	57.6%	—	—	1.74
New York City over 4.5 corners	44.4%	42.4%	—	—	2.36
New York City under 3.5 corners	39.7%	37.8%	—	—	2.65
New York City over 5.5 corners	30.7%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
New York City under 2.5 corners	23.7%	23.4%	—	—	4.27
New York City over 6.5 corners	20.0%	23.4%	—	—	4.27

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New York City over 0.5 goals	87.5%	87.3%	82.0%	1.06×	1.15
New York City under 3.5 goals	84.2%	82.1%	90.6%	0.91×	1.22
New York City under 2.5 goals	65.5%	67.9%	74.8%	0.91×	1.47
New York City over 1.5 goals	61.5%	63.5%	51.1%	1.24×	1.58
New York City under 1.5 goals	38.5%	36.5%	48.9%	0.75×	2.74
New York City over 2.5 goals	34.5%	32.1%	25.2%	1.28×	3.11
New York City over 3.5 goals	15.8%	17.9%	9.4%	1.90×	5.60
New York City under 0.5 goals	12.5%	12.7%	18.0%	0.71×	7.85

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New York City under 1.5 in 1st half	77.4%	77.2%	—	—	1.30
New York City over 0.5 in 1st half	59.1%	58.2%	—	—	1.72
New York City under 0.5 in 1st half	40.9%	41.8%	—	—	2.39
New York City over 1.5 in 1st half	22.6%	22.8%	—	—	4.38

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	57.8%	56.7%	45.4%	1.25×	1.76
CF Montréal (home no bet)	42.2%	43.3%	54.6%	0.79×	2.31

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New York City even goals	50.8%	50.6%	51.0%	0.99×	1.98
New York City odd goals	49.2%	49.4%	49.0%	1.01×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	28.3%	28.9%	—	—	3.46
HT 1-0	25.2%	28.8%	—	—	3.48
HT 2-0	11.3%	10.9%	—	—	9.17
HT 0-1	10.3%	10.9%	—	—	9.18
HT 1-1	9.4%	7.1%	—	—	13.99
Any other HT score	6.8%	7.1%	—	—	14.03
HT 2-1	4.2%	2.3%	—	—	43.40
HT 0-2	1.9%	2.3%	—	—	43.56
HT 1-2	1.7%	2.3%	—	—	43.58
HT 2-2	0.8%	2.3%	—	—	43.65

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New York City at HT / New York City at FT	41.1%	43.0%	—	—	2.33
Draw at HT / New York City at FT	19.6%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	12.6%	12.7%	—	—	7.90
CF Montréal at HT / CF Montréal at FT	7.7%	6.0%	—	—	16.66
Draw at HT / CF Montréal at FT	6.4%	6.0%	—	—	16.69
New York City at HT / Draw at FT	4.5%	3.5%	—	—	28.75
CF Montréal at HT / Draw at FT	3.9%	3.5%	—	—	28.77
CF Montréal at HT / New York City at FT	3.0%	3.5%	—	—	28.80
New York City at HT / CF Montréal at FT	1.3%	3.5%	—	—	28.87

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New York City to score last	65.7%	70.0%	—	—	1.43
CF Montréal to score last	29.0%	27.2%	—	—	3.68
No goal scored	5.4%	7.4%	—	—	13.45

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	94.6%	92.7%	—	—	1.08
New York City to lead by 1 at any time	75.5%	77.9%	—	—	1.28
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	55.6%	55.0%	—	—	1.82
New York City to lead by 2 at any time	46.7%	43.9%	—	—	2.28
CF Montréal to lead by 1 at any time	33.3%	29.4%	—	—	3.40
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	25.7%	25.4%	—	—	3.93
New York City to lead by 3 at any time	23.6%	19.6%	—	—	5.10
CF Montréal to lead by 2 at any time	9.2%	6.7%	—	—	15.02
CF Montréal to lead by 3 at any time	2.1%	1.6%	—	—	62.35

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
CF Montréal most corners	47.6%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
New York City most corners	41.2%	43.5%	—	—	2.30
Corners level	11.2%	10.4%	—	—	9.60

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	86.2%	87.4%	83.2%	1.05×	1.14
2-6 goals	77.2%	78.6%	75.5%	1.04×	1.27
1-4 goals	76.1%	78.6%	73.1%	1.08×	1.27
2-5 goals	72.1%	72.4%	68.5%	1.06×	1.38
2-4 goals	62.0%	63.4%	58.4%	1.09×	1.58
1-3 goals	59.3%	59.2%	57.2%	1.04×	1.69
3-6 goals	54.4%	53.2%	55.9%	0.95×	1.88
3-5 goals	49.3%	48.7%	48.9%	0.99×	2.06
2-3 goals	45.2%	48.7%	42.5%	1.14×	2.06
3-4 goals	39.2%	39.2%	38.8%	1.01×	2.55
1-2 goals	36.9%	39.1%	34.4%	1.14×	2.56
4-6 goals	32.0%	35.4%	33.1%	1.07×	2.83
4-5 goals	26.9%	30.2%	26.1%	1.16×	3.31
5-6 goals	15.2%	18.6%	17.2%	1.08×	5.37
7+ goals	3.3%	2.6%	4.1%	0.62×	39.19

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New York City never behind	61.3%	67.3%	—	—	1.49
CF Montréal never behind	19.2%	18.9%	—	—	5.30

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	49.1%	50.8%	50.2%	1.01×	1.97
Even number of goals	50.9%	49.2%	49.8%	0.99×	2.03

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	54.1%	51.7%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 1st half	45.9%	48.3%	—	—	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	51.8%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	48.2%	48.0%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	94.6%	92.3%	94.2%	0.98×	1.08
Under 5.5 goals	91.6%	92.3%	88.9%	1.04×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	81.5%	82.4%	78.8%	1.05×	1.21
Over 1.5 goals	80.5%	82.4%	79.5%	1.04×	1.21
Under 3.5 goals	64.7%	61.8%	62.9%	0.98×	1.62
Over 2.5 goals	57.7%	58.8%	59.9%	0.98×	1.70
Under 2.5 goals	42.3%	41.2%	40.1%	1.03×	2.43
Over 3.5 goals	35.3%	38.2%	37.1%	1.03×	2.62
Under 1.5 goals	19.5%	17.6%	20.5%	0.86×	5.67
Over 4.5 goals	18.5%	17.6%	21.2%	0.83×	5.68
Over 5.5 goals	8.4%	7.7%	11.1%	0.70×	12.92
Under 0.5 goals	5.4%	7.7%	5.8%	1.32×	12.94

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	96.5%	97.2%	95.6%	1.02×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	90.7%	92.5%	87.6%	1.05×	1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	77.8%	75.9%	74.8%	1.02×	1.32
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	74.8%	72.6%	74.5%	0.97×	1.38
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	54.5%	51.8%	51.9%	1.00×	1.93
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	45.5%	48.2%	48.1%	1.00×	2.08
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	25.2%	27.4%	25.5%	1.07×	3.65
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	22.2%	24.1%	25.2%	0.96×	4.15
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	9.3%	7.5%	12.4%	0.61×	13.25
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	3.5%	2.8%	4.4%	0.62×	36.13

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	86.6%	89.0%	—	—	1.12
Over 0.5 in 1st half	71.7%	71.2%	—	—	1.40
Under 1.5 in 1st half	63.9%	63.6%	—	—	1.57
Over 1.5 in 1st half	36.1%	36.4%	—	—	2.75
Under 0.5 in 1st half	28.3%	28.8%	—	—	3.47
Over 2.5 in 1st half	13.4%	11.0%	—	—	9.06

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	82.3%	82.8%	—	—	1.21
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	74.7%	77.8%	—	—	1.29
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	52.0%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	48.0%	46.7%	—	—	2.14
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	25.3%	22.2%	—	—	4.50
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	17.7%	17.2%	—	—	5.80

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
CF Montréal not to score in both halves	86.9%	85.8%	—	—	1.17
New York City not to score in both halves	58.9%	57.7%	—	—	1.73
New York City to score in both halves	41.1%	42.3%	—	—	2.37
CF Montréal to score in both halves	13.1%	14.2%	—	—	7.03

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	53.1%	53.9%	61.1%	0.88×	1.85
Only New York City scores	34.4%	33.4%	21.1%	1.58×	3.00
Only CF Montréal scores	7.1%	7.2%	12.3%	0.59×	13.92
Neither team scores	5.4%	7.2%	5.8%	1.23×	13.93

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	22.8%	22.6%	19.7%	1.15×	4.42
Exactly 3 goals	22.4%	22.6%	22.9%	0.99×	4.42
Exactly 4 goals	16.8%	17.4%	16.0%	1.09×	5.74
Exactly 1 goals	14.1%	12.1%	14.8%	0.82×	8.27
Exactly 5 goals	10.1%	12.1%	10.2%	1.19×	8.28
6 or more goals	8.4%	7.6%	11.1%	0.69×	13.09
Exactly 0 goals	5.4%	7.6%	5.8%	1.31×	13.10

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	52.0%	51.4%	—	—	1.95
1 goal in 2nd half	30.3%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
No goals in 2nd half	17.7%	17.2%	—	—	5.80

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
CF Montréal not to win both halves	97.5%	97.2%	—	—	1.03
New York City not to win both halves	75.8%	75.1%	—	—	1.33
New York City to win both halves	24.2%	24.9%	—	—	4.01
CF Montréal to win both halves	2.5%	2.8%	—	—	36.20

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New York City to win either half	74.1%	73.0%	—	—	1.37
CF Montréal to win neither half	70.8%	72.8%	—	—	1.37
CF Montréal to win either half	29.2%	27.2%	—	—	3.67
New York City to win neither half	25.9%	27.0%	—	—	3.71

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
CF Montréal not to win to nil	92.9%	92.0%	87.7%	1.05×	1.09
New York City not to win to nil	65.6%	69.6%	78.9%	0.88×	1.44
New York City to win to nil	34.4%	30.4%	21.1%	1.44×	3.29
CF Montréal to win to nil	7.1%	8.0%	12.3%	0.65×	12.58

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New York City by 1	23.6%	24.2%	22.2%	1.09×	4.14
New York City by 3+	20.6%	24.1%	10.5%	2.29×	4.14
Draw	21.0%	24.1%	24.9%	0.97×	4.14
New York City by 2	19.5%	16.9%	12.8%	1.32×	5.91
CF Montréal by 1	10.2%	11.8%	16.8%	0.70×	8.48
CF Montréal by 2	3.8%	2.7%	8.7%	0.31×	36.97
CF Montréal by 3+	1.3%	2.7%	4.6%	0.59×	37.06