betaider.com
Sign in

Newcastle United v Burnley — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 30 September 2023 · ENG-Premier League · 2324

Premier League xG

2–0
3.09 – 0.80 xG
Shots
20 – 8
On target
8 – 2
Shots in box
14 – 6
xG per shot
0.17 – 0.10
Set-piece xG
1.29 – 0.05
Goals − xG
-1.33 – -0.84
Reading the xG timeline
Each step up is a shot; the height of the step is how good the chance was. Dots mark goals. A side whose line climbs steadily created chances all match. A side that scored while its line stayed flat took a rare chance — that is finishing luck, and it rarely repeats.

Expected goals by minute

0.00.91.92.83.70'15'30'45'60'75'90'Miguel Almirón 13' — goalAlexander Isak 75' — goal
Newcastle United 3.33 xGBurnley 0.84 xG
Reading the shot map
Each circle is a shot, placed where it was taken. Bigger means a better chance; filled circles are goals. Clusters near the goal mean a side worked good openings; lots of small circles far out means shooting from poor positions and hoping. Hover any circle for the player, minute and chance quality.

Shot map

Sander Berge 3' — Missed Shot (0.08 xG, Open Play)Zeki Amdouni 3' — Saved Shot (0.39 xG, Open Play)Alexander Isak 10' — Saved Shot (0.04 xG, Open Play)Miguel Almirón 13' — Goal (0.03 xG, Open Play)Jamaal Lascelles 16' — Missed Shot (0.01 xG, Set Piece)Sean Longstaff 20' — Missed Shot (0.08 xG, Open Play)Dan Burn 23' — Missed Shot (0.38 xG, Set Piece)Alexander Isak 26' — Saved Shot (0.46 xG, Open Play)Alexander Isak 26' — Missed Shot (0.53 xG, Open Play)Elliot Anderson 34' — Saved Shot (0.37 xG, Open Play)Zeki Amdouni 43' — Blocked Shot (0.06 xG, Open Play)Kieran Trippier 45' — Blocked Shot (0.04 xG, Open Play)Elliot Anderson 46' — Saved Shot (0.10 xG, Open Play)Elliot Anderson 46' — Missed Shot (0.09 xG, Open Play)Anthony Gordon 50' — Blocked Shot (0.01 xG, Set Piece)Jamaal Lascelles 50' — Blocked Shot (0.04 xG, Open Play)Sean Longstaff 54' — Missed Shot (0.06 xG, Open Play)Jacob Bruun Larsen 69' — Blocked Shot (0.12 xG, Open Play)Josh Cullen 69' — Blocked Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Anthony Gordon 72' — Blocked Shot (0.02 xG, From Corner)Anthony Gordon 72' — Saved Shot (0.04 xG, From Corner)Alexander Isak 75' — Goal (0.76 xG, )Wilson Odobert 77' — Blocked Shot (0.08 xG, Open Play)Ameen Al Dakhil 78' — Saved Shot (0.05 xG, From Corner)Alexander Isak 79' — Blocked Shot (0.11 xG, Open Play)Fabian Schär 79' — Blocked Shot (0.06 xG, From Corner)Alexander Isak 89' — Saved Shot (0.09 xG, Open Play)Vitinho 93' — Blocked Shot (0.04 xG, Open Play)
Newcastle United attacking right Burnley attacking left Marker size is xG; filled markers are goals.

Every shot

MinTeamPlayerxG SituationBody partResultAssisted by
3' Burnley Sander Berge 0.08 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot
3' Burnley Zeki Amdouni 0.39 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Luca Koleosho
10' Newcastle United Alexander Isak 0.04 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Bruno Guimarães
13' Newcastle United Miguel Almirón 0.03 Open Play Left Foot Goal Kieran Trippier
16' Newcastle United Jamaal Lascelles 0.01 Set Piece Missed Shot Kieran Trippier
20' Newcastle United Sean Longstaff 0.08 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Alexander Isak
23' Newcastle United Dan Burn 0.38 Set Piece Right Foot Missed Shot Kieran Trippier
26' Newcastle United Alexander Isak 0.46 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Bruno Guimarães
26' Newcastle United Alexander Isak 0.53 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot
34' Newcastle United Elliot Anderson 0.37 Open Play Saved Shot Sean Longstaff
43' Burnley Zeki Amdouni 0.06 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Sander Berge
45' Newcastle United Kieran Trippier 0.05 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot
46' Newcastle United Elliot Anderson 0.10 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Bruno Guimarães
46' Newcastle United Elliot Anderson 0.09 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot
50' Newcastle United Anthony Gordon 0.01 Set Piece Right Foot Blocked Shot Jamaal Lascelles
50' Newcastle United Jamaal Lascelles 0.04 Open Play Blocked Shot Bruno Guimarães
54' Newcastle United Sean Longstaff 0.06 Open Play Missed Shot Kieran Trippier
69' Burnley Jacob Bruun Larsen 0.12 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Wilson Odobert
69' Burnley Josh Cullen 0.03 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot
72' Newcastle United Anthony Gordon 0.02 From Corner Right Foot Blocked Shot
72' Newcastle United Anthony Gordon 0.04 From Corner Right Foot Saved Shot Alexander Isak
75' Newcastle United Alexander Isak 0.76 Right Foot Goal
77' Burnley Wilson Odobert 0.08 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Sander Berge
78' Burnley Ameen Al Dakhil 0.05 From Corner Saved Shot Josh Brownhill
79' Newcastle United Alexander Isak 0.11 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Sandro Tonali
79' Newcastle United Fabian Schär 0.06 From Corner Blocked Shot Kieran Trippier
89' Newcastle United Alexander Isak 0.09 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Bruno Guimarães
93' Burnley Vitinho 0.04 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Anass Zaroury

Players

Burnley

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Sander Berge DMC 90 0 0 1 2 0.08 0.14 0.34
Ameen Al Dakhil DC 90 0 0 1 0 0.05 0.00 0.08
Josh Cullen DMC 90 0 0 1 0 0.03 0.00 0.14
Charlie Taylor DL 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.12
Connor Roberts DR 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.08
James Trafford GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Louis Beyer DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.20
Josh Brownhill AMC 90 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.05 0.06
Aaron Ramsey AML 69 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.06
Zeki Amdouni FW 60 0 0 2 0 0.45 0.00 0.45
Luca Koleosho AMR 60 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.39 0.39
Jacob Bruun Larsen Sub 30 0 0 1 0 0.12 0.00 0.20
Jay Rodriguez Sub 30 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.04
Wilson Odobert Sub 21 0 0 1 1 0.08 0.12 0.24
Vitinho Sub 1 0 0 1 0 0.04 0.00 0.04
Anass Zaroury Sub 1 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.04 0.04

Newcastle United

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Alexander Isak FW 90 1 0 6 2 1.99 0.12 1.69
Dan Burn DL 90 0 0 1 0 0.38 0.00 0.83
Sean Longstaff MC 90 0 0 2 1 0.13 0.37 0.51
Anthony Gordon FWL 90 0 0 3 0 0.07 0.00 0.50
Fabian Schär DC 90 0 0 1 0 0.06 0.00 0.46
Jamaal Lascelles DC 90 0 0 2 1 0.06 0.01 0.88
Kieran Trippier DR 90 0 1 1 5 0.05 0.54 0.97
Miguel Almirón FWR 90 1 0 1 0 0.03 0.00 1.03
Nick Pope GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Bruno Guimarães MC 90 0 0 0 5 0.00 0.73 1.27
Elliot Anderson MC 66 0 0 3 0 0.55 0.00 1.19
Sandro Tonali Sub 20 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.11 0.11
Joelinton Sub 4 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Jacob Murphy Sub 1 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Valentino Livramento Sub 1 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
betaider.com

Sport

Football sections

Preferences

Appearance
Aider Reading the Football model · online
Open the Radar
Bet slip
Open full page
to move to open esc to close See all results

On this page

Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

Press esc to close Read the full guide