Newell's Old Boys v Lanús — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 3 October 2026 · ARG-Liga Profesional · 2627

ARG-Liga Profesional results-only Prediction generated 9 Sep 2026, 09:54 UTC

Newell's Old Boys

20:00 UTC

Lanús

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 8 Sep, 07:54 · 612h before kick-off

Newell's Old Boys win

39.0%

model 36.9%

Draw

30.5%

model 30.2%

Lanús win

30.6%

model 32.9%

393031

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (567 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 13.9%
1-0 12.3%
0-0 11.8%
0-1 11.4%
2-1 7.6%

Goals

Over 2.5	37.2%	Under 2.5	62.8%
BTTS yes	44.5%	BTTS no	55.5%
Newell's Old Boys 1+	67.7%	Newell's Old Boys 2+	31.2%
Lanús 1+	65.1%	Lanús 2+	28.3%

Expected goals 1.13 – 1.05. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

21/100

Data quality

55/100

Model agreement

97%

★ Best pick

2-5 goals

Multi goal · usually 60%

62.3% fair odds 1.61

moderate signal · 3477 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Lanús (0:2)

Handicap 0:2 · usually 83%

83.7% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 453 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Nothing in the data singles out Newell's Old Boys.

Risk factors

Data quality is 55/100, so this price rests on less than the model would like.
The model's measured edge in this competition is -0.0033 nats, which is not meaningfully better than the base rates.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Newell's Old Boys have an estimated 39.0% win probability, against 30.6% for Lanús and 30.5% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.13 for Newell's Old Boys and 1.05 for Lanús.

Why Newell's Old Boys

Nothing in the data singles out Newell's Old Boys.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 30.5%. A combined 2.18 expected goals is a low-scoring profile, and low totals mean more level finishes. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.13 to 1.05. Draws run at 31% in this competition.

Why Lanús can win

Nothing in the data singles out Lanús.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Newell's Old Boys, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Lanús, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Newell's Old Boys: 47% possession, 10.2 shots a match, 16.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Lanús: 47% possession, 15.6 shots a match, 15.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-08 10:52 · team_stats 2026-09-08 06:03 · availability 2026-09-08 11:54 · prediction 2026-09-08 11:44 ·

Newell's Old Boys are the model's most likely outcome at 39.0%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 13.9%. Confidence 21/100, data quality 55/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	373033	1.15–1.08	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	333136	1.03–1.07	1-1 14%	35%	43%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Newell's Old Boys to win	36.9%	37.0%	41.8%	0.89×	2.70
Lanús to win	32.9%	29.1%	27.7%	1.05×	3.44
Draw	30.2%	28.9%	30.7%	0.94×	3.46

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Newell's Old Boys & not both score	23.2%	22.6%	27.7%	0.82×	4.42
Lanús & not both score	20.6%	22.6%	17.2%	1.32×	4.43
Draw & both teams score	18.4%	17.8%	15.9%	1.12×	5.63
Newell's Old Boys & both teams score	13.7%	12.2%	14.2%	0.86×	8.22
Lanús & both teams score	12.4%	12.2%	10.6%	1.14×	8.23
Draw & not both score	11.8%	12.1%	14.9%	0.82×	8.23

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Newell's Old Boys & under 3.5	29.8%	25.5%	34.8%	0.73×	3.92
Lanús & under 3.5	26.9%	25.5%	23.6%	1.08×	3.92
Draw & under 2.5	25.6%	25.5%	28.1%	0.91×	3.92
Draw & under 3.5	25.6%	25.5%	28.1%	0.91×	3.92
Newell's Old Boys & over 1.5	24.6%	21.5%	27.7%	0.78×	4.65
Lanús & over 1.5	21.5%	21.5%	17.5%	1.23×	4.65
Newell's Old Boys & under 2.5	19.5%	17.6%	23.6%	0.75×	5.69
Draw & over 1.5	18.4%	17.6%	15.9%	1.10×	5.69
Lanús & under 2.5	17.7%	17.6%	14.6%	1.20×	5.69
Newell's Old Boys & over 2.5	17.4%	17.6%	18.3%	0.96×	5.69
Lanús & over 2.5	15.3%	17.6%	13.2%	1.33×	5.70
Newell's Old Boys & under 1.5	12.3%	12.7%	14.2%	0.90×	7.86
Draw & under 1.5	11.8%	12.7%	14.9%	0.85×	7.86
Lanús & under 1.5	11.4%	12.7%	10.3%	1.23×	7.87
Newell's Old Boys & over 3.5	7.1%	7.5%	7.1%	1.05×	13.41
Lanús & over 3.5	6.0%	7.5%	4.2%	1.76×	13.42
Draw & over 2.5	4.5%	4.6%	2.6%	1.73×	21.91
Draw & over 3.5	4.5%	4.6%	2.6%	1.73×	21.91

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Newell's Old Boys (1UP)	51.0%	52.3%	—	—	1.91
Lanús (1UP)	47.5%	44.5%	—	—	2.25

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Newell's Old Boys (2UP)	36.9%	40.4%	—	—	2.47
Lanús (2UP)	32.9%	30.6%	—	—	3.27

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half drawn	40.8%	39.4%	—	—	2.54
Newell's Old Boys to win 2nd half	30.0%	27.6%	—	—	3.63
Lanús to win 2nd half	29.2%	27.5%	—	—	3.63

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lanús (+2.5)	95.2%	97.1%	95.0%	1.02×	1.03
Lanús (+1.5)	84.6%	82.4%	82.5%	1.00×	1.21
Newell's Old Boys (+0.5)	67.1%	68.9%	72.3%	0.95×	1.45
Lanús (+0.5)	63.1%	64.1%	58.2%	1.10×	1.56
Newell's Old Boys (-0.5)	36.9%	35.9%	41.8%	0.86×	2.78
Lanús (-0.5)	32.9%	31.1%	27.7%	1.12×	3.22
Newell's Old Boys (-1.5)	15.4%	17.6%	17.5%	1.01×	5.67
Newell's Old Boys (-2.5)	4.8%	2.9%	5.0%	0.58×	34.37

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lanús to concede	67.7%	71.2%	68.1%	1.05×	1.40
Lanús clean sheet	32.3%	28.8%	31.9%	0.90×	3.47

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lanús clean sheet in 1st half	61.5%	60.5%	—	—	1.65
Lanús to concede in 1st half	38.5%	39.5%	—	—	2.53

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lanús under 6.5 corners	78.9%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
Lanús over 2.5 corners	78.7%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
Lanús under 5.5 corners	67.6%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Lanús over 3.5 corners	62.9%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Lanús under 4.5 corners	53.3%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Lanús over 4.5 corners	46.7%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Lanús under 3.5 corners	37.1%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Lanús over 5.5 corners	32.4%	32.4%	—	—	3.08
Lanús under 2.5 corners	21.3%	24.0%	—	—	4.16
Lanús over 6.5 corners	21.1%	24.0%	—	—	4.16

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lanús under 3.5 goals	97.8%	97.3%	98.9%	0.98×	1.03
Lanús under 2.5 goals	91.0%	92.6%	93.4%	0.99×	1.08
Lanús under 1.5 goals	71.7%	71.9%	78.1%	0.92×	1.39
Lanús over 0.5 goals	65.1%	67.1%	57.6%	1.17×	1.49
Lanús under 0.5 goals	34.9%	32.9%	42.4%	0.77×	3.04
Lanús over 1.5 goals	28.3%	28.1%	21.9%	1.29×	3.56
Lanús over 2.5 goals	9.0%	7.4%	6.6%	1.11×	13.52
Lanús over 3.5 goals	2.2%	2.7%	1.1%	2.33×	37.54

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lanús under 1.5 in 1st half	93.3%	93.3%	—	—	1.07
Lanús under 0.5 in 1st half	65.7%	67.1%	—	—	1.49
Lanús over 0.5 in 1st half	34.3%	32.9%	—	—	3.04
Lanús over 1.5 in 1st half	6.7%	6.7%	—	—	14.85

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Newell's Old Boys (away no bet)	55.0%	51.7%	57.7%	0.90×	1.93
Draw (away no bet)	45.0%	48.3%	42.3%	1.14×	2.07

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lanús even goals	56.1%	57.9%	58.5%	0.99×	1.73
Lanús odd goals	43.9%	42.1%	41.5%	1.01×	2.38

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	91.6%	92.1%	—	—	1.09
Both halves over 1.5 goals	8.4%	7.9%	—	—	12.69

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	51.3%	55.5%	—	—	1.80
Both halves under 1.5 goals	48.7%	44.5%	—	—	2.25

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	44.1%	45.1%	—	—	2.22
Newell's Old Boys to score 2+ in a row	25.2%	25.1%	—	—	3.99
Lanús to score 2+ in a row	22.4%	21.8%	—	—	4.59
Either team to score 3+ in a row	12.7%	12.2%	—	—	8.20
Newell's Old Boys to score 3+ in a row	7.0%	7.3%	—	—	13.65
Lanús to score 3+ in a row	5.8%	7.3%	—	—	13.71

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lanús corners (+3.5)	84.3%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Newell's Old Boys corners (+3.5)	84.1%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Lanús corners (+2.5)	76.7%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Newell's Old Boys corners (+2.5)	76.4%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Lanús corners (+1.5)	67.0%	65.8%	—	—	1.52
Newell's Old Boys corners (+1.5)	66.7%	65.8%	—	—	1.52
Lanús corners (-1.5)	33.3%	34.2%	—	—	2.93
Newell's Old Boys corners (-1.5)	33.0%	34.2%	—	—	2.93
Lanús corners (-2.5)	23.7%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Newell's Old Boys corners (-2.5)	23.3%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Newell's Old Boys corners (-3.5)	15.7%	20.2%	—	—	4.96
Lanús corners (-3.5)	15.9%	20.2%	—	—	4.95

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	45.7%	41.8%	—	—	2.39
9-11 corners	29.9%	31.2%	—	—	3.20
12+ corners	24.4%	25.6%	—	—	3.90

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	82.6%	80.7%	—	—	1.24
Under 11.5 corners	75.6%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Under 10.5 corners	67.0%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Over 7.5 corners	65.5%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Under 9.5 corners	56.8%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Over 8.5 corners	54.3%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Under 8.5 corners	45.7%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Over 9.5 corners	43.2%	42.1%	—	—	2.38
Under 7.5 corners	34.5%	32.3%	—	—	3.10
Over 10.5 corners	33.0%	32.3%	—	—	3.10
Over 11.5 corners	24.4%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Over 12.5 corners	17.4%	19.3%	—	—	5.18

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	13.9%	11.6%	13.4%	0.87×	8.62
1-0	12.3%	11.6%	14.2%	0.82×	8.63
0-0	11.8%	11.6%	14.9%	0.78×	8.63
0-1	11.4%	11.6%	10.3%	1.12×	8.64
2-1	7.6%	7.3%	8.7%	0.84×	13.74
2-0	7.2%	7.3%	9.5%	0.77×	13.75
1-2	7.1%	7.3%	7.1%	1.03×	13.75
0-2	6.2%	7.3%	4.5%	1.63×	13.75
2-2	4.0%	1.8%	2.3%	0.79×	55.41
1-3	2.5%	1.8%	1.9%	0.93×	55.45
3-0	2.7%	1.8%	2.7%	0.66×	55.44
3-1	2.9%	1.8%	3.0%	0.61×	55.44
0-3	2.2%	1.8%	2.1%	0.88×	55.45
2-3	1.4%	1.8%	1.5%	1.21×	55.47
3-2	1.5%	1.8%	1.6%	1.13×	55.47
0-4	0.6%	1.8%	0.6%	3.15×	55.49
1-4	0.7%	1.8%	0.3%	5.25×	55.49
2-4	0.4%	1.8%	0.1%	15.75×	55.50
3-3	0.5%	1.8%	0.3%	5.25×	55.50
3-4	0.1%	1.8%	0.1%	15.75×	55.51
4-0	0.8%	1.8%	1.1%	1.58×	55.49
4-1	0.8%	1.8%	0.8%	2.25×	55.49
4-2	0.4%	1.8%	0.3%	5.25×	55.50
4-3	0.1%	1.8%	0.2%	7.87×	55.50
4-4	0.0%	1.8%	0.2%	7.87×	55.51
Any other score	1.1%	1.8%	0.9%	1.97×	55.48

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Newell's Old Boys leading at HT (DNB)	54.4%	55.4%	—	—	1.81
Lanús leading at HT (DNB)	45.6%	44.6%	—	—	2.24

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Newell's Old Boys or Lanús (12)	69.8%	71.1%	69.3%	1.02×	1.41
Newell's Old Boys or draw (1X)	67.1%	70.9%	72.3%	0.98×	1.41
Lanús or draw (X2)	63.1%	63.0%	58.2%	1.08×	1.59

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Newell's Old Boys or draw at HT	76.9%	78.7%	—	—	1.27
Lanús or draw at HT	72.4%	71.5%	—	—	1.40
Newell's Old Boys or Lanús at HT	50.8%	52.0%	—	—	1.93

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Newell's Old Boys or draw (1UP)	67.1%	75.0%	—	—	1.33
Lanús or draw (1UP)	63.1%	67.7%	—	—	1.48

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Newell's Old Boys or draw in 2nd half	70.8%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Lanús or draw in 2nd half	70.0%	72.4%	—	—	1.38
Newell's Old Boys or Lanús in 2nd half	59.2%	60.6%	—	—	1.65

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	69.5%	66.3%	—	—	1.51
Neither half drawn	30.5%	33.7%	—	—	2.96

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Newell's Old Boys (DNB)	52.8%	52.6%	60.1%	0.87×	1.90
Lanús (DNB)	47.2%	47.4%	39.9%	1.19×	2.11

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Newell's Old Boys to score first	45.7%	46.1%	—	—	2.17
Lanús to score first	42.5%	41.4%	—	—	2.42
No goal scored	11.8%	8.8%	—	—	11.39

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	55.5%	56.6%	59.5%	0.95×	1.77
Both teams to score	44.5%	43.4%	40.5%	1.07×	2.31

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	48.9%	45.4%	52.9%	0.86×	2.20
Both score & over 2.5	30.6%	34.3%	27.2%	1.26×	2.91
Both score & under 2.5	13.9%	11.7%	13.4%	0.88×	8.51
Not both score & over 2.5	6.6%	8.7%	6.8%	1.29×	11.50

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	91.2%	88.8%	94.1%	0.94×	1.13
Both teams to score 2+	8.8%	11.2%	6.0%	1.88×	8.96

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	77.6%	73.9%	—	—	1.35
Both teams to score in 2nd half	22.4%	26.1%	—	—	3.83

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	67.3%	66.6%	—	—	1.50
Both score 2nd half only	19.4%	18.3%	—	—	5.47
Both score 1st half only	10.4%	11.5%	—	—	8.68
Both score in both halves	2.9%	4.8%	—	—	20.91

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	86.7%	85.5%	—	—	1.17
Both teams to score by HT	13.3%	14.5%	—	—	6.89

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half without a goal	56.8%	55.6%	—	—	1.80
A goal in each half	43.2%	44.4%	—	—	2.25

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	46.9%	45.9%	47.3%	0.97×	2.18
0-1 goals	35.5%	35.3%	39.1%	0.90×	2.84
4-6 goals	17.0%	20.7%	13.4%	1.55×	4.83
7+ goals	0.7%	1.9%	0.5%	4.20×	52.07

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lanús to score exactly 1	36.7%	34.6%	35.8%	0.97×	2.89
Lanús to score exactly 0	34.9%	33.3%	42.4%	0.78×	3.00
Lanús to score exactly 2	19.3%	18.4%	15.3%	1.20×	5.44
Lanús to score 3+	9.0%	7.7%	6.6%	1.16×	13.00

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Newell's Old Boys to score exactly 1	36.5%	36.0%	36.5%	0.99×	2.78
Newell's Old Boys to score exactly 0	32.3%	30.6%	31.9%	0.96×	3.27
Newell's Old Boys to score exactly 2	20.6%	22.9%	21.7%	1.05×	4.36
Newell's Old Boys to score 3+	10.6%	13.4%	10.1%	1.33×	7.47

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	49.2%	48.0%	—	—	2.08
Newell's Old Boys leading at HT	27.6%	28.5%	—	—	3.50
Lanús leading at HT	23.1%	21.3%	—	—	4.70

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Newell's Old Boys -1: 2	63.1%	60.8%	—	—	1.64
Newell's Old Boys -1: X	21.5%	23.9%	—	—	4.18
Newell's Old Boys -1: 1	15.4%	18.8%	—	—	5.31

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lanús (0:1)	63.1%	59.8%	58.2%	1.03×	1.67
Draw (0:1)	21.5%	24.4%	24.4%	1.00×	4.10
Newell's Old Boys (0:1)	15.4%	18.2%	17.5%	1.04×	5.49

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lanús (0:2)	84.6%	83.7%	82.5%	1.02×	1.19
Draw (0:2)	10.5%	11.7%	12.6%	0.93×	8.57
Newell's Old Boys (0:2)	4.8%	3.1%	5.0%	0.61×	32.55

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lanús (0:3)	95.2%	97.1%	95.0%	1.02×	1.03
Draw (0:3)	3.6%	2.3%	3.4%	0.68×	42.80
Newell's Old Boys (0:3)	1.2%	2.3%	1.7%	1.34×	43.33

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lanús (0:4)	98.8%	98.1%	98.3%	1.00×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	1.0%	1.2%	1.3%	0.98×	80.85
Newell's Old Boys (0:4)	0.3%	1.2%	0.6%	2.15×	81.22

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Newell's Old Boys (1:0)	67.1%	70.2%	72.3%	0.97×	1.42
Draw (1:0)	20.0%	22.8%	18.7%	1.22×	4.38
Lanús (1:0)	12.9%	11.8%	9.2%	1.29×	8.48

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Newell's Old Boys (2:0)	87.1%	89.3%	90.8%	0.98×	1.12
Draw (2:0)	9.1%	6.6%	6.3%	1.06×	15.05
Lanús (2:0)	3.8%	2.7%	3.0%	0.91×	36.87

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	44.5%	49.5%	—	—	2.02
Halves equal	29.3%	26.1%	—	—	3.83
1st half highest scoring	26.1%	26.1%	—	—	3.83

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Newell's Old Boys to concede	65.1%	66.7%	57.6%	1.16×	1.50
Newell's Old Boys clean sheet	34.9%	33.3%	42.4%	0.78×	3.01

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Newell's Old Boys clean sheet in 1st half	65.7%	67.2%	—	—	1.49
Newell's Old Boys to concede in 1st half	34.3%	32.8%	—	—	3.05

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Newell's Old Boys under 6.5 corners	79.2%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Newell's Old Boys over 2.5 corners	78.5%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Newell's Old Boys under 5.5 corners	67.9%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Newell's Old Boys over 3.5 corners	62.7%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Newell's Old Boys under 4.5 corners	53.6%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Newell's Old Boys over 4.5 corners	46.4%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Newell's Old Boys under 3.5 corners	37.3%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Newell's Old Boys over 5.5 corners	32.1%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Newell's Old Boys under 2.5 corners	21.5%	23.4%	—	—	4.27
Newell's Old Boys over 6.5 corners	20.8%	23.4%	—	—	4.27

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Newell's Old Boys under 3.5 goals	97.2%	97.7%	97.1%	1.01×	1.02
Newell's Old Boys under 2.5 goals	89.4%	87.9%	89.9%	0.98×	1.14
Newell's Old Boys under 1.5 goals	68.8%	68.8%	68.3%	1.01×	1.45
Newell's Old Boys over 0.5 goals	67.7%	68.8%	68.1%	1.01×	1.45
Newell's Old Boys under 0.5 goals	32.3%	31.2%	31.9%	0.98×	3.20
Newell's Old Boys over 1.5 goals	31.2%	31.2%	31.7%	0.98×	3.21
Newell's Old Boys over 2.5 goals	10.6%	12.1%	10.1%	1.21×	8.24
Newell's Old Boys over 3.5 goals	2.8%	2.3%	2.9%	0.79×	44.33

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Newell's Old Boys under 1.5 in 1st half	91.4%	93.1%	—	—	1.07
Newell's Old Boys under 0.5 in 1st half	61.5%	60.3%	—	—	1.66
Newell's Old Boys over 0.5 in 1st half	38.5%	39.7%	—	—	2.52
Newell's Old Boys over 1.5 in 1st half	8.6%	6.9%	—	—	14.44

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	47.8%	51.4%	52.5%	0.98×	1.95
Lanús (home no bet)	52.2%	48.6%	47.5%	1.02×	2.06

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Newell's Old Boys even goals	55.2%	57.9%	55.7%	1.04×	1.73
Newell's Old Boys odd goals	44.8%	42.1%	44.3%	0.95×	2.38

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	40.5%	40.3%	—	—	2.48
HT 1-0	19.5%	19.0%	—	—	5.28
HT 0-1	16.9%	18.9%	—	—	5.29
HT 1-1	8.3%	7.7%	—	—	12.99
HT 2-0	4.8%	2.5%	—	—	39.73
HT 0-2	3.6%	2.5%	—	—	39.80
Any other HT score	2.2%	2.5%	—	—	39.87
HT 2-1	2.0%	2.5%	—	—	39.89
HT 1-2	1.7%	2.5%	—	—	39.90
HT 2-2	0.4%	2.5%	—	—	39.98

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Newell's Old Boys at HT / Newell's Old Boys at FT	20.7%	21.4%	—	—	4.68
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	20.6%	21.4%	—	—	4.68
Lanús at HT / Lanús at FT	17.0%	16.8%	—	—	5.97
Draw at HT / Newell's Old Boys at FT	14.5%	12.0%	—	—	8.34
Draw at HT / Lanús at FT	14.1%	12.0%	—	—	8.34
Newell's Old Boys at HT / Draw at FT	5.1%	6.5%	—	—	15.27
Lanús at HT / Draw at FT	4.5%	3.4%	—	—	29.32
Newell's Old Boys at HT / Lanús at FT	1.8%	3.4%	—	—	29.44
Lanús at HT / Newell's Old Boys at FT	1.6%	3.4%	—	—	29.44

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Newell's Old Boys to score last	45.7%	49.0%	—	—	2.04
Lanús to score last	42.5%	40.3%	—	—	2.48
No goal scored	11.8%	8.8%	—	—	11.39

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	88.2%	91.4%	—	—	1.09
Newell's Old Boys to lead by 1 at any time	51.0%	50.9%	—	—	1.97
Lanús to lead by 1 at any time	47.5%	46.1%	—	—	2.17
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	36.8%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
Newell's Old Boys to lead by 2 at any time	19.8%	17.7%	—	—	5.65
Lanús to lead by 2 at any time	17.1%	17.7%	—	—	5.66
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	10.8%	11.3%	—	—	8.85
Newell's Old Boys to lead by 3 at any time	6.0%	7.0%	—	—	14.25
Lanús to lead by 3 at any time	4.8%	2.7%	—	—	37.70

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lanús most corners	44.4%	43.5%	—	—	2.30
Newell's Old Boys most corners	44.0%	43.5%	—	—	2.30
Corners level	11.6%	10.4%	—	—	9.60

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	85.8%	87.9%	84.2%	1.04×	1.14
1-4 goals	81.2%	81.5%	79.9%	1.02×	1.23
1-3 goals	70.5%	73.6%	71.5%	1.03×	1.36
2-6 goals	63.8%	62.3%	60.5%	1.03×	1.61
2-5 goals	62.1%	62.3%	60.0%	1.04×	1.61
2-4 goals	57.5%	58.7%	55.6%	1.06×	1.70
1-2 goals	51.0%	52.3%	51.4%	1.02×	1.91
2-3 goals	46.9%	48.0%	47.3%	1.02×	2.08
3-6 goals	36.5%	38.8%	33.5%	1.16×	2.58
3-5 goals	34.8%	34.2%	33.0%	1.04×	2.93
3-4 goals	30.2%	34.1%	28.6%	1.19×	2.94
4-6 goals	17.0%	18.1%	13.4%	1.35×	5.53
4-5 goals	15.3%	18.0%	12.8%	1.41×	5.54
5-6 goals	6.3%	8.8%	5.0%	1.74×	11.41
7+ goals	0.7%	2.0%	0.5%	4.37×	50.01

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Newell's Old Boys never behind	40.8%	50.6%	—	—	1.98
Lanús never behind	37.2%	45.4%	—	—	2.20

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	48.4%	50.1%	49.1%	1.02×	2.00
Even number of goals	51.6%	49.9%	50.9%	0.98×	2.01

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	58.3%	55.4%	—	—	1.81
Odd goals in 1st half	41.7%	44.7%	—	—	2.24

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	54.2%	51.7%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 2nd half	45.8%	48.3%	—	—	2.07

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	97.6%	95.7%	99.0%	0.97×	1.05
Under 4.5 goals	93.0%	93.0%	94.6%	0.98×	1.08
Over 0.5 goals	88.2%	88.8%	85.1%	1.04×	1.13
Under 3.5 goals	82.3%	81.0%	86.3%	0.94×	1.24
Over 1.5 goals	64.5%	61.6%	60.9%	1.01×	1.62
Under 2.5 goals	62.8%	61.5%	66.1%	0.93×	1.63
Over 2.5 goals	37.2%	38.5%	33.9%	1.14×	2.60
Under 1.5 goals	35.5%	38.4%	39.1%	0.98×	2.61
Over 3.5 goals	17.7%	19.0%	13.7%	1.39×	5.25
Under 0.5 goals	11.8%	11.2%	14.9%	0.75×	8.91
Over 4.5 goals	7.0%	7.0%	5.4%	1.31×	14.19
Over 5.5 goals	2.4%	4.3%	1.0%	4.22×	23.04

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	99.3%	97.2%	99.5%	0.98×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	97.5%	97.2%	98.9%	0.98×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	92.1%	92.7%	94.1%	0.98×	1.08
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	78.0%	76.5%	82.8%	0.92×	1.31
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	51.2%	53.0%	46.4%	1.14×	1.89
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	48.8%	47.0%	53.6%	0.88×	2.13
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	22.0%	23.5%	17.2%	1.37×	4.26
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	7.9%	7.3%	5.9%	1.24×	13.73
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	2.5%	2.8%	1.1%	2.58×	36.06
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	0.7%	2.8%	0.5%	5.98×	36.35

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	93.6%	92.3%	—	—	1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half	76.9%	78.0%	—	—	1.28
Over 0.5 in 1st half	59.5%	60.3%	—	—	1.66
Under 0.5 in 1st half	40.5%	39.7%	—	—	2.52
Over 1.5 in 1st half	23.1%	22.0%	—	—	4.55
Over 2.5 in 1st half	6.4%	7.7%	—	—	12.95

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	86.3%	85.8%	—	—	1.17
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	71.9%	76.3%	—	—	1.31
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	63.4%	61.0%	—	—	1.64
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	36.6%	39.0%	—	—	2.56
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	28.1%	23.7%	—	—	4.21
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	13.7%	14.2%	—	—	7.03

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lanús not to score in both halves	83.9%	81.6%	—	—	1.23
Newell's Old Boys not to score in both halves	81.7%	81.5%	—	—	1.23
Newell's Old Boys to score in both halves	18.3%	18.5%	—	—	5.40
Lanús to score in both halves	16.1%	18.4%	—	—	5.43

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	44.5%	45.8%	40.5%	1.13×	2.19
Only Newell's Old Boys scores	23.2%	22.9%	27.7%	0.83×	4.37
Only Lanús scores	20.6%	22.8%	17.2%	1.33×	4.40
Neither team scores	11.8%	10.8%	14.9%	0.73×	9.27

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	27.3%	24.7%	27.1%	0.91×	4.04
Exactly 1 goals	23.7%	21.6%	24.4%	0.88×	4.64
Exactly 3 goals	19.5%	18.6%	20.3%	0.92×	5.38
Exactly 0 goals	11.8%	12.4%	14.9%	0.83×	8.09
Exactly 4 goals	10.6%	12.3%	8.5%	1.46×	8.10
Exactly 5 goals	4.6%	4.4%	4.5%	0.98×	22.82
6 or more goals	2.4%	4.3%	1.0%	4.21×	23.06

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	36.6%	38.4%	—	—	2.61
1 goal in 2nd half	35.3%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
No goals in 2nd half	28.1%	28.4%	—	—	3.52

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lanús not to win both halves	93.2%	93.4%	—	—	1.07
Newell's Old Boys not to win both halves	91.6%	93.3%	—	—	1.07
Newell's Old Boys to win both halves	8.4%	6.7%	—	—	15.03
Lanús to win both halves	6.8%	6.6%	—	—	15.13

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lanús to win neither half	54.5%	54.0%	—	—	1.85
Newell's Old Boys to win neither half	50.7%	53.9%	—	—	1.86
Newell's Old Boys to win either half	49.3%	46.1%	—	—	2.17
Lanús to win either half	45.5%	46.0%	—	—	2.18

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lanús not to win to nil	79.4%	77.2%	82.8%	0.93×	1.30
Newell's Old Boys not to win to nil	76.8%	77.1%	72.3%	1.07×	1.30
Newell's Old Boys to win to nil	23.2%	22.9%	27.7%	0.83×	4.37
Lanús to win to nil	20.6%	22.8%	17.2%	1.33×	4.40

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	30.2%	27.2%	30.7%	0.89×	3.67
Newell's Old Boys by 1	21.5%	23.7%	24.4%	0.97×	4.21
Lanús by 1	20.0%	23.7%	18.7%	1.27×	4.22
Newell's Old Boys by 2	10.5%	11.8%	12.6%	0.94×	8.45
Lanús by 2	9.1%	7.1%	6.3%	1.13×	14.07
Newell's Old Boys by 3+	4.8%	2.9%	5.0%	0.57×	35.08
Lanús by 3+	3.8%	2.8%	3.0%	0.95×	35.23