Newell's Old Boys v Unión (Santa Fe) — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 1 November 2026 · ARG-Liga Profesional · 2627

ARG-Liga Profesional results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Newell's Old Boys

20:00 UTC

Unión (Santa Fe)

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 27 Oct, 10:57 · 129h before kick-off

Newell's Old Boys win

36.6%

model 35.8%

Draw

26.7%

model 27.4%

Unión (Santa Fe) win

36.7%

model 36.9%

372737

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (648 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 13.1%
0-1 9.1%
1-0 8.9%
1-2 8.3%
2-1 8.1%

Goals

Over 2.5	48.7%	Under 2.5	51.3%
BTTS yes	53.9%	BTTS no	46.1%
Newell's Old Boys 1+	72.7%	Newell's Old Boys 2+	37.3%
Unión (Santa Fe) 1+	73.3%	Unión (Santa Fe) 2+	38.1%

Expected goals 1.30 – 1.32. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

24/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

98%

★ Best pick

Over 2 (void on exactly 2)

Over/Under (whole line) · usually 47%

67.4% fair odds 1.48

strong signal · 966 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Unión (Santa Fe) (0:2)

Handicap 0:2 · usually 82%

83.7% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 504 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Unión (Santa Fe) carry the stronger rating, 1527 Elo against 1479.
Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

The model's measured edge in this competition is -0.0026 nats, which is not meaningfully better than the base rates.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Unión (Santa Fe) have an estimated 36.7% win probability, against 36.6% for Newell's Old Boys and 26.7% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.30 for Newell's Old Boys and 1.32 for Unión (Santa Fe).

Why Newell's Old Boys

Nothing in the data singles out Newell's Old Boys.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 26.7%. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.30 to 1.32. Draws run at 31% in this competition.

Why Unión (Santa Fe) can win

Unión (Santa Fe) carry the stronger rating, 1527 Elo against 1479. Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Newell's Old Boys, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Unión (Santa Fe), so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Newell's Old Boys: 50% possession, 11.4 shots a match, 14.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Unión (Santa Fe): 51% possession, 14.0 shots a match, 11.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-27 10:01 · team_stats 2026-10-27 06:03 · availability 2026-10-27 14:57 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Unión (Santa Fe) are the model's most likely outcome at 36.7%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 13.1%. Confidence 24/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	362737	1.30–1.32	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	352539	1.45–1.54	1-1 12%	57%	61%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Unión (Santa Fe) to win	39.3%	36.4%	27.6%	1.32×	2.75
Newell's Old Boys to win	35.4%	36.3%	41.8%	0.87×	2.75
Draw	25.3%	27.9%	30.7%	0.91×	3.59

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Unión (Santa Fe) & both teams score	21.4%	21.8%	10.6%	2.05×	4.59
Newell's Old Boys & both teams score	19.5%	18.0%	14.3%	1.26×	5.56
Draw & both teams score	19.8%	18.0%	16.0%	1.13×	5.56
Unión (Santa Fe) & not both score	17.9%	18.0%	17.1%	1.05×	5.56
Newell's Old Boys & not both score	15.9%	18.0%	27.7%	0.65×	5.57
Draw & not both score	5.5%	8.3%	14.8%	0.56×	12.01

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Unión (Santa Fe) & over 1.5	32.1%	30.8%	17.4%	1.76×	3.25
Newell's Old Boys & over 1.5	28.6%	26.1%	27.8%	0.94×	3.84
Unión (Santa Fe) & over 2.5	26.1%	26.1%	13.1%	1.99×	3.84
Unión (Santa Fe) & under 3.5	24.9%	21.6%	23.5%	0.92×	4.63
Newell's Old Boys & over 2.5	23.3%	21.6%	18.4%	1.18×	4.63
Newell's Old Boys & under 3.5	22.8%	21.6%	34.8%	0.62×	4.63
Draw & over 1.5	19.8%	18.0%	16.0%	1.13×	5.55
Draw & under 2.5	17.3%	18.0%	28.2%	0.64×	5.56
Draw & under 3.5	17.3%	18.0%	28.2%	0.64×	5.56
Unión (Santa Fe) & over 3.5	14.4%	12.8%	4.2%	3.04×	7.79
Newell's Old Boys & over 3.5	12.6%	12.8%	7.2%	1.79×	7.79
Unión (Santa Fe) & under 2.5	13.2%	12.8%	14.6%	0.88×	7.79
Newell's Old Boys & under 2.5	12.1%	12.8%	23.6%	0.54×	7.79
Draw & over 2.5	8.1%	7.9%	2.6%	3.02×	12.63
Draw & over 3.5	8.1%	7.9%	2.6%	3.02×	12.63
Newell's Old Boys & under 1.5	6.8%	7.9%	14.1%	0.56×	12.63
Unión (Santa Fe) & under 1.5	7.2%	7.9%	10.3%	0.77×	12.63
Draw & under 1.5	5.5%	7.9%	14.8%	0.53×	12.63

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Unión (Santa Fe) (1UP)	57.4%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Newell's Old Boys (1UP)	54.0%	52.4%	—	—	1.91

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Unión (Santa Fe) (2UP)	39.3%	37.4%	—	—	2.67
Newell's Old Boys (2UP)	35.4%	37.2%	—	—	2.69

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Unión (Santa Fe) to win 2nd half	35.8%	36.4%	—	—	2.75
2nd half drawn	33.7%	34.0%	—	—	2.94
Newell's Old Boys to win 2nd half	30.4%	34.0%	—	—	2.95

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Unión (Santa Fe) under 1.5 in 2nd half	76.4%	79.4%	—	—	1.26
Unión (Santa Fe) over 0.5 in 2nd half	60.3%	60.2%	—	—	1.66
Unión (Santa Fe) under 0.5 in 2nd half	39.7%	39.8%	—	—	2.51
Unión (Santa Fe) over 1.5 in 2nd half	23.6%	20.6%	—	—	4.85

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Newell's Old Boys under 1.5 in 2nd half	79.9%	75.4%	—	—	1.33
Newell's Old Boys over 0.5 in 2nd half	56.3%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Newell's Old Boys under 0.5 in 2nd half	43.7%	42.1%	—	—	2.38
Newell's Old Boys over 1.5 in 2nd half	20.1%	24.6%	—	—	4.07

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Unión (Santa Fe) (+2.5)	93.7%	92.1%	95.0%	0.97×	1.09
Unión (Santa Fe) (+1.5)	83.2%	82.6%	82.3%	1.00×	1.21
Unión (Santa Fe) (+0.5)	64.6%	63.0%	58.2%	1.08×	1.59
Newell's Old Boys (+0.5)	60.7%	62.9%	72.4%	0.87×	1.59
Unión (Santa Fe) (-0.5)	39.3%	37.1%	27.6%	1.34×	2.70
Newell's Old Boys (-0.5)	35.4%	37.0%	41.8%	0.88×	2.70
Newell's Old Boys (-1.5)	16.8%	17.4%	17.7%	0.99×	5.74
Newell's Old Boys (-2.5)	6.3%	7.9%	5.0%	1.57×	12.71

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Unión (Santa Fe) to concede	76.6%	78.7%	68.2%	1.15×	1.27
Unión (Santa Fe) clean sheet	23.4%	21.3%	31.8%	0.67×	4.70

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Unión (Santa Fe) clean sheet in 1st half	53.6%	50.9%	—	—	1.97
Unión (Santa Fe) to concede in 1st half	46.4%	49.1%	—	—	2.04

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Unión (Santa Fe) to concede in 2nd half	56.3%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Unión (Santa Fe) clean sheet in 2nd half	43.7%	42.8%	—	—	2.34

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Unión (Santa Fe) over 2.5 corners	78.8%	76.1%	—	—	1.32
Unión (Santa Fe) under 6.5 corners	78.8%	76.1%	—	—	1.32
Unión (Santa Fe) under 5.5 corners	67.5%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Unión (Santa Fe) over 3.5 corners	63.1%	61.7%	—	—	1.62
Unión (Santa Fe) under 4.5 corners	53.1%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Unión (Santa Fe) over 4.5 corners	46.9%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Unión (Santa Fe) under 3.5 corners	36.9%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
Unión (Santa Fe) over 5.5 corners	32.5%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
Unión (Santa Fe) under 2.5 corners	21.2%	23.9%	—	—	4.18
Unión (Santa Fe) over 6.5 corners	21.2%	23.9%	—	—	4.18

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Unión (Santa Fe) under 3.5 goals	92.9%	92.4%	98.9%	0.93×	1.08
Unión (Santa Fe) under 2.5 goals	79.9%	76.3%	93.4%	0.82×	1.31
Unión (Santa Fe) over 0.5 goals	78.6%	76.3%	57.6%	1.32×	1.31
Unión (Santa Fe) under 1.5 goals	54.4%	53.6%	78.2%	0.68×	1.87
Unión (Santa Fe) over 1.5 goals	45.6%	46.4%	21.8%	2.13×	2.15
Unión (Santa Fe) under 0.5 goals	21.4%	23.7%	42.4%	0.56×	4.21
Unión (Santa Fe) over 2.5 goals	20.1%	23.7%	6.6%	3.59×	4.21
Unión (Santa Fe) over 3.5 goals	7.1%	7.6%	1.1%	6.71×	13.07

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Unión (Santa Fe) under 1.5 in 1st half	87.3%	89.2%	—	—	1.12
Unión (Santa Fe) under 0.5 in 1st half	54.0%	55.9%	—	—	1.79
Unión (Santa Fe) over 0.5 in 1st half	46.0%	44.1%	—	—	2.27
Unión (Santa Fe) over 1.5 in 1st half	12.7%	10.8%	—	—	9.29

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Unión (Santa Fe) scores more in 2nd half	41.2%	43.6%	—	—	2.29
Unión (Santa Fe) scores equally in both	35.5%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
Unión (Santa Fe) scores more in 1st half	23.4%	21.8%	—	—	4.59

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Newell's Old Boys (away no bet)	58.3%	57.4%	57.7%	0.99×	1.74
Draw (away no bet)	41.7%	42.6%	42.3%	1.01×	2.35

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Unión (Santa Fe) even goals	52.3%	52.6%	58.4%	0.90×	1.90
Unión (Santa Fe) odd goals	47.7%	47.4%	41.6%	1.14×	2.11

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	81.6%	83.1%	—	—	1.20
Both halves over 1.5 goals	18.4%	16.9%	—	—	5.92

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	69.3%	68.0%	—	—	1.47
Both halves under 1.5 goals	30.7%	32.0%	—	—	3.12

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	60.2%	59.9%	—	—	1.67
Unión (Santa Fe) to score 2+ in a row	35.8%	36.4%	—	—	2.75
Newell's Old Boys to score 2+ in a row	32.7%	28.9%	—	—	3.46
Either team to score 3+ in a row	22.2%	19.5%	—	—	5.13
Unión (Santa Fe) to score 3+ in a row	12.2%	12.1%	—	—	8.23
Newell's Old Boys to score 3+ in a row	10.4%	12.1%	—	—	8.26

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Newell's Old Boys corners (+3.5)	84.7%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Unión (Santa Fe) corners (+3.5)	83.1%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Newell's Old Boys corners (+2.5)	77.2%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Unión (Santa Fe) corners (+2.5)	75.2%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Newell's Old Boys corners (+1.5)	67.9%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
Unión (Santa Fe) corners (+1.5)	65.5%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
Newell's Old Boys corners (-1.5)	34.5%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
Unión (Santa Fe) corners (-1.5)	32.2%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
Newell's Old Boys corners (-2.5)	24.8%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Unión (Santa Fe) corners (-2.5)	22.8%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Newell's Old Boys corners (-3.5)	16.9%	20.2%	—	—	4.95
Unión (Santa Fe) corners (-3.5)	15.3%	20.2%	—	—	4.95

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	44.0%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
9-11 corners	30.1%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
12+ corners	25.9%	31.2%	—	—	3.21

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	81.4%	80.7%	—	—	1.24
Under 11.5 corners	74.1%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Over 7.5 corners	67.1%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Under 10.5 corners	65.3%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Over 8.5 corners	56.0%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Under 9.5 corners	55.1%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Over 9.5 corners	44.9%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
Under 8.5 corners	44.0%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
Over 10.5 corners	34.7%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Under 7.5 corners	32.9%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Over 11.5 corners	25.9%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Over 12.5 corners	18.6%	19.3%	—	—	5.17

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	11.7%	11.5%	13.5%	0.85×	8.71
1-2	8.6%	7.4%	7.1%	1.05×	13.51
0-1	7.2%	7.4%	10.3%	0.72×	13.51
1-0	6.8%	7.4%	14.1%	0.52×	13.51
2-1	8.1%	7.4%	8.7%	0.85×	13.51
0-0	5.5%	7.4%	14.8%	0.50×	13.51
0-2	6.0%	7.4%	4.4%	1.66×	13.51
2-0	5.3%	7.4%	9.6%	0.77×	13.51
2-2	6.3%	7.4%	2.3%	3.25×	13.51
0-3	3.1%	1.7%	2.1%	0.84×	58.30
0-4	1.2%	1.7%	0.6%	3.01×	58.31
1-3	4.4%	1.7%	1.9%	0.89×	58.29
1-4	1.7%	1.7%	0.3%	5.01×	58.31
2-3	3.2%	1.7%	1.5%	1.16×	58.30
2-4	1.2%	1.7%	0.1%	15.04×	58.31
3-0	2.6%	1.7%	2.7%	0.63×	58.30
3-1	3.9%	1.7%	3.1%	0.56×	58.30
3-2	3.0%	1.7%	1.6%	1.07×	58.30
3-3	1.6%	1.7%	0.3%	5.01×	58.31
3-4	0.6%	1.7%	0.1%	15.04×	58.32
4-0	0.9%	1.7%	1.1%	1.50×	58.31
4-1	1.4%	1.7%	0.8%	2.15×	58.31
4-2	1.1%	1.7%	0.3%	5.01×	58.31
4-3	0.6%	1.7%	0.2%	7.52×	58.32
4-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.2%	7.52×	58.32
Any other score	3.7%	1.7%	0.9%	1.88×	58.30

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Unión (Santa Fe) (2nd half DNB)	54.1%	54.7%	—	—	1.83
Newell's Old Boys (2nd half DNB)	45.9%	45.3%	—	—	2.21

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Newell's Old Boys leading at HT (DNB)	50.4%	55.9%	—	—	1.79
Unión (Santa Fe) leading at HT (DNB)	49.6%	44.1%	—	—	2.27

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Newell's Old Boys or Unión (Santa Fe) (12)	74.7%	72.1%	69.3%	1.04×	1.39
Unión (Santa Fe) or draw (X2)	64.6%	63.7%	58.2%	1.10×	1.57
Newell's Old Boys or draw (1X)	60.7%	63.6%	72.4%	0.88×	1.57

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Newell's Old Boys or draw at HT	70.9%	74.4%	—	—	1.34
Unión (Santa Fe) or draw at HT	70.4%	74.4%	—	—	1.34
Newell's Old Boys or Unión (Santa Fe) at HT	58.7%	57.5%	—	—	1.74

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Unión (Santa Fe) or draw (1UP)	64.6%	71.8%	—	—	1.39
Newell's Old Boys or draw (1UP)	60.7%	71.5%	—	—	1.40

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Unión (Santa Fe) or draw in 2nd half	69.6%	66.0%	—	—	1.51
Newell's Old Boys or Unión (Santa Fe) in 2nd half	66.3%	66.0%	—	—	1.52
Newell's Old Boys or draw in 2nd half	64.2%	63.6%	—	—	1.57

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	60.6%	61.3%	—	—	1.63
Neither half drawn	39.4%	38.7%	—	—	2.58

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Unión (Santa Fe) (DNB)	52.7%	50.9%	39.7%	1.28×	1.96
Newell's Old Boys (DNB)	47.3%	49.1%	60.3%	0.81×	2.04

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Unión (Santa Fe) to score first	48.7%	45.9%	—	—	2.18
Newell's Old Boys to score first	45.8%	45.8%	—	—	2.19
No goal scored	5.5%	7.5%	—	—	13.32

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	60.7%	56.6%	40.6%	1.39×	1.77
Not both teams to score	39.3%	43.4%	59.4%	0.73×	2.30

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	48.9%	44.3%	27.3%	1.63×	2.26
Not both score & under 2.5	30.8%	34.6%	52.8%	0.65×	2.89
Both score & under 2.5	11.7%	12.4%	13.5%	0.92×	8.09
Not both score & over 2.5	8.6%	8.3%	6.7%	1.23×	12.06

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	80.6%	82.6%	94.1%	0.88×	1.21
Both teams to score 2+	19.4%	17.4%	5.9%	2.93×	5.75

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	65.9%	67.2%	—	—	1.49
Both teams to score in 2nd half	34.1%	32.8%	—	—	3.05

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	51.7%	54.7%	—	—	1.83
Both score 2nd half only	26.9%	26.8%	—	—	3.74
Both score 1st half only	14.2%	10.8%	—	—	9.29
Both score in both halves	7.2%	6.8%	—	—	14.74

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	78.6%	81.0%	—	—	1.23
Both teams to score by HT	21.4%	19.0%	—	—	5.27

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	59.0%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
A half without a goal	41.0%	42.9%	—	—	2.33

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	45.4%	47.2%	47.3%	1.00×	2.12
4-6 goals	31.8%	30.7%	13.5%	2.28×	3.25
0-1 goals	19.5%	20.3%	39.0%	0.52×	4.94
7+ goals	3.3%	1.8%	0.5%	4.04×	54.23

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Unión (Santa Fe) to score exactly 1	33.0%	33.8%	35.9%	0.94×	2.96
Unión (Santa Fe) to score exactly 2	25.4%	27.4%	15.3%	1.80×	3.65
Unión (Santa Fe) to score exactly 0	21.4%	22.3%	42.4%	0.53×	4.49
Unión (Santa Fe) to score 3+	20.1%	22.3%	6.6%	3.37×	4.49

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Newell's Old Boys to score exactly 1	34.0%	32.6%	36.5%	0.89×	3.07
Newell's Old Boys to score exactly 2	24.7%	23.3%	21.8%	1.07×	4.29
Newell's Old Boys to score exactly 0	23.4%	23.3%	31.8%	0.73×	4.29
Newell's Old Boys to score 3+	17.9%	18.8%	10.1%	1.85×	5.32

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	41.3%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Newell's Old Boys leading at HT	29.6%	25.6%	—	—	3.91
Unión (Santa Fe) leading at HT	29.1%	25.6%	—	—	3.91

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Unión (Santa Fe) -1: 1	60.7%	62.5%	—	—	1.60
Unión (Santa Fe) -1: X	19.8%	17.5%	—	—	5.71
Unión (Santa Fe) -1: 2	19.5%	17.5%	—	—	5.71

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Unión (Santa Fe) (0:1)	64.6%	61.5%	58.2%	1.06×	1.63
Draw (0:1)	18.6%	17.8%	24.3%	0.73×	5.61
Newell's Old Boys (0:1)	16.8%	17.8%	17.7%	1.01×	5.62

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Unión (Santa Fe) (0:2)	83.2%	83.0%	82.3%	1.01×	1.21
Draw (0:2)	10.5%	11.0%	12.8%	0.86×	9.11
Newell's Old Boys (0:2)	6.3%	7.7%	5.0%	1.53×	13.07

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Unión (Santa Fe) (0:3)	93.7%	92.7%	95.0%	0.98×	1.08
Draw (0:3)	4.3%	2.4%	3.4%	0.70×	41.95
Newell's Old Boys (0:3)	1.9%	2.4%	1.7%	1.39×	42.06

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Unión (Santa Fe) (0:4)	98.1%	98.1%	98.3%	1.00×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	1.4%	1.2%	1.3%	0.97×	81.81
Newell's Old Boys (0:4)	0.5%	1.2%	0.6%	2.14×	81.91

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Newell's Old Boys (1:0)	60.7%	65.2%	72.4%	0.90×	1.53
Draw (1:0)	19.8%	17.1%	18.6%	0.92×	5.84
Unión (Santa Fe) (1:0)	19.5%	17.1%	9.1%	1.88×	5.84

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Newell's Old Boys (2:0)	80.5%	84.5%	90.9%	0.93×	1.18
Draw (2:0)	11.8%	10.3%	6.3%	1.64×	9.72
Unión (Santa Fe) (2:0)	7.7%	6.4%	3.0%	2.15×	15.65

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	49.0%	48.6%	—	—	2.06
1st half highest scoring	26.8%	26.2%	—	—	3.81
Halves equal	24.2%	24.5%	—	—	4.08

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Newell's Old Boys to concede	78.6%	76.1%	57.6%	1.32×	1.31
Newell's Old Boys clean sheet	21.4%	23.9%	42.4%	0.56×	4.18

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Newell's Old Boys clean sheet in 1st half	54.0%	55.9%	—	—	1.79
Newell's Old Boys to concede in 1st half	46.0%	44.1%	—	—	2.27

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Newell's Old Boys to concede in 2nd half	60.3%	59.6%	—	—	1.68
Newell's Old Boys clean sheet in 2nd half	39.7%	40.4%	—	—	2.48

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Newell's Old Boys over 2.5 corners	80.0%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Newell's Old Boys under 6.5 corners	77.3%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Newell's Old Boys under 5.5 corners	65.7%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Newell's Old Boys over 3.5 corners	64.7%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Newell's Old Boys under 4.5 corners	51.3%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Newell's Old Boys over 4.5 corners	48.7%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Newell's Old Boys under 3.5 corners	35.3%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Newell's Old Boys over 5.5 corners	34.3%	33.3%	—	—	3.00
Newell's Old Boys over 6.5 corners	22.7%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Newell's Old Boys under 2.5 corners	20.0%	23.5%	—	—	4.26

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Newell's Old Boys under 3.5 goals	94.0%	92.2%	97.1%	0.95×	1.08
Newell's Old Boys under 2.5 goals	82.1%	82.2%	89.9%	0.91×	1.22
Newell's Old Boys over 0.5 goals	76.6%	77.8%	68.2%	1.14×	1.29
Newell's Old Boys under 1.5 goals	57.4%	58.7%	68.2%	0.86×	1.71
Newell's Old Boys over 1.5 goals	42.6%	41.3%	31.8%	1.30×	2.42
Newell's Old Boys under 0.5 goals	23.4%	22.2%	31.8%	0.70×	4.50
Newell's Old Boys over 2.5 goals	17.9%	17.8%	10.1%	1.75×	5.62
Newell's Old Boys over 3.5 goals	6.0%	7.8%	2.9%	2.73×	12.85

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Newell's Old Boys under 1.5 in 1st half	87.0%	90.1%	—	—	1.11
Newell's Old Boys under 0.5 in 1st half	53.6%	50.7%	—	—	1.97
Newell's Old Boys over 0.5 in 1st half	46.4%	49.3%	—	—	2.03
Newell's Old Boys over 1.5 in 1st half	13.0%	9.9%	—	—	10.06

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Newell's Old Boys scores more in 2nd half	37.4%	38.1%	—	—	2.62
Newell's Old Boys scores equally in both	37.2%	38.1%	—	—	2.62
Newell's Old Boys scores more in 1st half	25.4%	27.8%	—	—	3.59

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Unión (Santa Fe) (home no bet)	60.8%	60.0%	47.4%	1.27×	1.67
Draw (home no bet)	39.2%	40.0%	52.6%	0.76×	2.50

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Newell's Old Boys even goals	52.7%	50.8%	55.6%	0.91×	1.97
Newell's Old Boys odd goals	47.3%	49.2%	44.4%	1.11×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	29.0%	28.5%	—	—	3.51
HT 1-0	18.0%	18.6%	—	—	5.38
HT 0-1	17.7%	18.6%	—	—	5.39
HT 1-1	11.2%	11.0%	—	—	9.11
HT 2-0	5.6%	6.9%	—	—	14.57
HT 0-2	5.5%	6.9%	—	—	14.57
Any other HT score	5.0%	2.4%	—	—	42.10
HT 1-2	3.4%	2.4%	—	—	42.20
HT 2-1	3.5%	2.4%	—	—	42.19
HT 2-2	1.1%	2.4%	—	—	42.35

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Unión (Santa Fe) at HT / Unión (Santa Fe) at FT	21.7%	21.6%	—	—	4.63
Newell's Old Boys at HT / Newell's Old Boys at FT	20.7%	21.6%	—	—	4.64
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	14.5%	12.7%	—	—	7.88
Draw at HT / Unión (Santa Fe) at FT	14.5%	12.7%	—	—	7.88
Draw at HT / Newell's Old Boys at FT	12.3%	12.7%	—	—	7.90
Newell's Old Boys at HT / Draw at FT	5.8%	6.1%	—	—	16.53
Unión (Santa Fe) at HT / Draw at FT	5.0%	6.0%	—	—	16.55
Newell's Old Boys at HT / Unión (Santa Fe) at FT	3.1%	3.5%	—	—	28.93
Unión (Santa Fe) at HT / Newell's Old Boys at FT	2.3%	3.5%	—	—	28.95

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Unión (Santa Fe) to score last	48.7%	46.4%	—	—	2.16
Newell's Old Boys to score last	45.8%	46.3%	—	—	2.16
No goal scored	5.5%	7.5%	—	—	13.32

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	94.5%	92.6%	—	—	1.08
Unión (Santa Fe) to lead by 1 at any time	57.4%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Newell's Old Boys to lead by 1 at any time	54.0%	50.7%	—	—	1.97
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	49.9%	44.4%	—	—	2.25
Unión (Santa Fe) to lead by 2 at any time	26.6%	25.2%	—	—	3.96
Newell's Old Boys to lead by 2 at any time	23.6%	19.5%	—	—	5.12
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	18.4%	14.8%	—	—	6.74
Unión (Santa Fe) to lead by 3 at any time	10.0%	10.6%	—	—	9.48
Newell's Old Boys to lead by 3 at any time	8.4%	6.7%	—	—	15.00

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Newell's Old Boys most corners	45.5%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Unión (Santa Fe) most corners	43.0%	43.5%	—	—	2.30
Corners level	11.5%	10.4%	—	—	9.59

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	86.2%	87.4%	84.3%	1.04×	1.14
2-6 goals	77.2%	78.7%	60.7%	1.30×	1.27
1-4 goals	76.1%	78.7%	79.9%	0.98×	1.27
2-5 goals	72.2%	72.3%	60.1%	1.20×	1.38
2-4 goals	62.1%	63.3%	55.8%	1.14×	1.58
1-3 goals	59.4%	59.1%	71.5%	0.83×	1.69
3-6 goals	54.2%	53.2%	33.5%	1.59×	1.88
3-5 goals	49.2%	48.5%	33.0%	1.47×	2.06
2-3 goals	45.4%	48.4%	47.3%	1.02×	2.06
3-4 goals	39.2%	39.2%	28.6%	1.37×	2.55
1-2 goals	37.0%	39.2%	51.4%	0.76×	2.55
4-6 goals	31.8%	35.2%	13.5%	2.62×	2.84
4-5 goals	26.8%	30.2%	12.9%	2.34×	3.31
5-6 goals	15.0%	18.8%	5.0%	3.75×	5.32
7+ goals	3.3%	2.6%	0.5%	5.60×	39.12

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Unión (Santa Fe) never behind	40.5%	48.6%	—	—	2.06
Newell's Old Boys never behind	37.1%	44.2%	—	—	2.26

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	48.9%	50.9%	48.9%	1.04×	1.97
Even number of goals	51.1%	49.1%	51.1%	0.96×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	54.4%	51.8%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 1st half	45.6%	48.2%	—	—	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	51.9%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	48.1%	48.0%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	94.5%	92.3%	85.2%	1.08×	1.08
Under 5.5 goals	91.7%	92.3%	99.0%	0.93×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	81.7%	82.3%	94.6%	0.87×	1.22
Over 1.5 goals	80.5%	82.3%	61.0%	1.35×	1.22
Under 3.5 goals	64.9%	61.7%	86.2%	0.72×	1.62
Over 2.5 goals	57.5%	58.6%	33.9%	1.73×	1.71
Under 2.5 goals	42.5%	41.4%	66.1%	0.63×	2.42
Over 3.5 goals	35.1%	38.3%	13.8%	2.77×	2.61
Under 1.5 goals	19.5%	17.7%	39.0%	0.45×	5.65
Over 4.5 goals	18.3%	17.7%	5.4%	3.30×	5.65
Over 5.5 goals	8.3%	7.7%	1.0%	7.54×	12.93
Under 0.5 goals	5.5%	7.7%	14.8%	0.52×	12.94

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	96.5%	97.2%	99.5%	0.98×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	90.8%	92.4%	98.9%	0.93×	1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	78.0%	75.9%	94.1%	0.81×	1.32
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	74.6%	72.4%	46.5%	1.56×	1.38
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	54.8%	51.9%	82.7%	0.63×	1.93
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	45.2%	48.1%	17.3%	2.79×	2.08
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	25.4%	27.6%	53.5%	0.52×	3.62
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	22.0%	24.1%	5.9%	4.12×	4.15
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	9.2%	7.6%	1.1%	7.08×	13.17
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	3.5%	2.8%	0.5%	6.12×	35.59

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	87.1%	89.0%	—	—	1.12
Over 0.5 in 1st half	71.0%	71.3%	—	—	1.40
Under 1.5 in 1st half	64.7%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
Over 1.5 in 1st half	35.3%	36.7%	—	—	2.72
Under 0.5 in 1st half	29.0%	28.7%	—	—	3.48
Over 2.5 in 1st half	12.9%	11.0%	—	—	9.12

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	82.5%	82.9%	—	—	1.21
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	74.4%	77.8%	—	—	1.29
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	52.4%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	47.6%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	25.6%	22.2%	—	—	4.50
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	17.5%	17.1%	—	—	5.86

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Newell's Old Boys not to score in both halves	73.9%	73.9%	—	—	1.35
Unión (Santa Fe) not to score in both halves	72.2%	73.8%	—	—	1.35
Unión (Santa Fe) to score in both halves	27.8%	26.2%	—	—	3.82
Newell's Old Boys to score in both halves	26.1%	26.1%	—	—	3.83

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	60.7%	60.2%	40.6%	1.48×	1.66
Only Unión (Santa Fe) scores	17.9%	16.0%	17.1%	0.94×	6.23
Only Newell's Old Boys scores	15.9%	16.0%	27.7%	0.58×	6.24
Neither team scores	5.5%	7.1%	14.8%	0.48×	14.02

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	23.0%	22.6%	27.3%	0.83×	4.43
Exactly 3 goals	22.4%	22.6%	20.2%	1.12×	4.43
Exactly 4 goals	16.8%	17.5%	8.6%	2.04×	5.73
Exactly 1 goals	14.0%	12.1%	24.3%	0.50×	8.25
Exactly 5 goals	10.0%	12.1%	4.4%	2.72×	8.26
6 or more goals	8.3%	7.6%	1.0%	7.42×	13.14
Exactly 0 goals	5.5%	7.6%	14.8%	0.51×	13.15

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	35.7%	37.2%	—	—	2.69
No goals in 1st half	29.0%	28.7%	—	—	3.49
2 goals in 1st half	22.3%	21.5%	—	—	4.66
3+ goals in 1st half	12.9%	10.9%	—	—	9.20

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	52.4%	51.2%	—	—	1.96
1 goal in 2nd half	30.0%	33.8%	—	—	2.96
No goals in 2nd half	17.5%	16.8%	—	—	5.96

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Newell's Old Boys not to win both halves	90.9%	94.1%	—	—	1.06
Unión (Santa Fe) not to win both halves	89.5%	88.0%	—	—	1.14
Unión (Santa Fe) to win both halves	10.5%	12.0%	—	—	8.35
Newell's Old Boys to win both halves	9.1%	5.9%	—	—	17.00

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Unión (Santa Fe) to win either half	54.4%	54.4%	—	—	1.84
Newell's Old Boys to win either half	50.9%	54.3%	—	—	1.84
Newell's Old Boys to win neither half	49.1%	45.7%	—	—	2.19
Unión (Santa Fe) to win neither half	45.6%	45.6%	—	—	2.19

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Newell's Old Boys not to win to nil	84.1%	83.1%	72.3%	1.15×	1.20
Unión (Santa Fe) not to win to nil	82.1%	83.1%	82.9%	1.00×	1.20
Unión (Santa Fe) to win to nil	17.9%	16.9%	17.1%	0.99×	5.91
Newell's Old Boys to win to nil	15.9%	16.9%	27.7%	0.61×	5.92

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	25.3%	27.9%	30.7%	0.91×	3.59
Unión (Santa Fe) by 1	19.8%	17.1%	18.6%	0.92×	5.86
Newell's Old Boys by 1	18.6%	17.1%	24.3%	0.70×	5.86
Unión (Santa Fe) by 2	11.8%	11.8%	6.3%	1.87×	8.51
Newell's Old Boys by 2	10.5%	11.8%	12.8%	0.92×	8.51
Unión (Santa Fe) by 3+	7.7%	7.2%	3.0%	2.43×	13.91
Newell's Old Boys by 3+	6.3%	7.2%	5.0%	1.43×	13.91