Nice v Rennes — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 31 October 2026 · FRA-Ligue 1 · 2627

Ligue 1 xG Prediction generated 4 Sep 2026, 02:09

Nice

10:00

Rennes

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 7 Sep, 07:51 · 1,302h before kick-off

Nice win

30.2%

model 33.0%

Draw

22.8%

model 24.0%

Rennes win

47.0%

model 43.0%

302347

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (487 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 11.0%
1-2 9.0%
0-1 7.9%
2-1 7.7%
1-0 6.8%

Goals

Over 2.5	58.3%	Under 2.5	41.7%
BTTS yes	60.6%	BTTS no	39.4%
Nice 1+	75.4%	Nice 2+	40.9%
Rennes 1+	80.4%	Rennes 2+	48.4%

Expected goals 1.40 – 1.63. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

84/100

Data quality

75/100

Model agreement

97%

★ Best pick

Rennes to win either half

Win either half · usually 46%

59.6% fair odds 1.68

moderate signal · 1033 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Nice to concede

Home clean sheet · usually 70%

84.2% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 244 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Rennes carry the stronger rating, 1663 Elo against 1456.
Rennes have created 2.04 xG a match over their last five while Nice have allowed 1.75.
Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.
Away from home Rennes average 1.96 xG a match.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Rennes have an estimated 47.0% win probability, against 30.2% for Nice and 22.8% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.40 for Nice and 1.63 for Rennes.

Why Nice

Nice have created 1.16 xG a match over their last five while Rennes have allowed 1.99. At home Nice average 1.41 xG a match. Their last eleven was closer to full strength: Rennes were missing 1.15 expected goal involvements a match against 0.74.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 22.8%. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.40 to 1.63. Draws run at 23% in this competition.

Why Rennes can win

Rennes carry the stronger rating, 1663 Elo against 1456. Rennes have created 2.04 xG a match over their last five while Nice have allowed 1.75. Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five. Away from home Rennes average 1.96 xG a match.

Key players

Nice's leading contributors by expected goal involvements a match: Sepe Elye Wahi (0.33), Jonathan Clauss (0.31), Sofiane Diop (0.30). Rennes's leading contributors by expected goal involvements a match: Esteban Lepaul (0.61), Ronaldo (0.41), Timur Suleymanov (0.35).

Availability

1 of Nice's top three contributors did not start their last match. 36% of Nice's last eleven are new to the club this window. 2 of Rennes's top three contributors did not start their last match. Rennes changed goalkeeper for their last match.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Nice: 54% possession, 13.8 shots a match, 13.0 faced, 0.24 xG a match from set pieces. Rennes: 60% possession, 18.8 shots a match, 15.5 faced, 0.34 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-07 06:03 · team_stats 2026-09-07 06:05 · availability 2026-09-07 07:51 · prediction 2026-09-04 06:09 ·

Rennes are the model's most likely outcome at 47.0%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 11.0%. Confidence 84/100, data quality 75/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the chances say

Nice are finishing sharply below their chances — 5.6 goals fewer than expected across 10 matches, despite creating the openings. They are also conceding sharply fewer than expected — 5.5 goals saved beyond what the chances suggest.

LDDDDLDDLD last 10 scored 6 from 11.6 xG conceded 12 from 17.5 xG

Rennes are conceding fewer than expected — 3.9 goals saved beyond what the chances suggest.

WWWWLWLDWW last 10 scored 21 from 20.4 xG conceded 16 from 19.9 xG

Finishing swings far more than chance creation, so a gap this size usually narrows. Over ten matches it is suggestive, not settled — a genuinely elite finisher beats expected goals for years.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	332443	1.40–1.63	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	372341	1.64–1.75	1-1 10%	66%	67%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Nice to win	39.0%	36.4%	45.6%	0.80×	2.74
Rennes to win	38.2%	36.4%	31.8%	1.14×	2.75
Draw	22.8%	24.5%	22.8%	1.07×	4.09

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Nice & both teams score	23.6%	21.9%	22.0%	1.00×	4.57
Rennes & both teams score	23.2%	21.9%	15.9%	1.38×	4.57
Draw & both teams score	19.3%	17.9%	16.4%	1.09×	5.58
Nice & not both score	15.3%	17.9%	23.7%	0.76×	5.58
Rennes & not both score	15.0%	17.9%	16.1%	1.12×	5.58
Draw & not both score	3.5%	4.9%	6.6%	0.74×	20.58

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Nice & over 1.5	33.1%	30.9%	35.7%	0.86×	3.24
Rennes & over 1.5	32.4%	30.9%	25.6%	1.21×	3.24
Nice & over 2.5	28.2%	26.0%	28.2%	0.92×	3.84
Rennes & over 2.5	27.6%	26.0%	20.0%	1.30×	3.84
Nice & under 3.5	21.9%	21.7%	28.9%	0.75×	4.62
Rennes & under 3.5	21.6%	21.7%	20.7%	1.04×	4.62
Draw & over 1.5	19.3%	18.0%	16.4%	1.10×	5.56
Nice & over 3.5	17.1%	18.0%	16.8%	1.07×	5.56
Rennes & over 3.5	16.7%	18.0%	11.2%	1.60×	5.56
Draw & under 2.5	13.3%	12.9%	16.5%	0.78×	7.77
Draw & under 3.5	13.3%	12.9%	16.5%	0.78×	7.77
Nice & under 2.5	10.8%	12.9%	17.5%	0.74×	7.77
Rennes & under 2.5	10.7%	12.9%	12.0%	1.07×	7.77
Draw & over 2.5	9.5%	7.9%	6.4%	1.23×	12.69
Draw & over 3.5	9.5%	7.9%	6.4%	1.23×	12.69
Nice & under 1.5	5.9%	7.9%	10.0%	0.79×	12.70
Rennes & under 1.5	5.8%	7.9%	6.4%	1.23×	12.70
Draw & under 1.5	3.5%	4.8%	6.6%	0.73×	20.94

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Nice (1UP)	58.5%	58.2%	58.0%	1.00×	1.72
Rennes (1UP)	57.9%	58.1%	49.6%	1.17×	1.72

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Nice (2UP)	39.0%	37.2%	47.1%	0.79×	2.69
Rennes (2UP)	38.2%	37.2%	34.2%	1.09×	2.69

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Nice to win 2nd half	35.8%	36.0%	42.1%	0.86×	2.78
2nd half drawn	33.7%	34.5%	31.2%	1.11×	2.90
Rennes to win 2nd half	30.4%	34.5%	26.8%	1.28×	2.90

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rennes (+2.5)	91.7%	92.1%	90.0%	1.02×	1.09
Rennes (+1.5)	80.1%	82.4%	75.0%	1.10×	1.21
Nice (+0.5)	61.8%	62.9%	68.2%	0.92×	1.59
Rennes (+0.5)	61.0%	62.9%	54.4%	1.16×	1.59
Nice (-0.5)	39.0%	37.1%	45.6%	0.81×	2.70
Rennes (-0.5)	38.2%	37.1%	31.8%	1.17×	2.70
Nice (-1.5)	19.9%	17.6%	25.0%	0.71×	5.68
Nice (-2.5)	8.3%	7.9%	10.0%	0.79×	12.62

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rennes to concede	81.5%	81.3%	77.5%	1.05×	1.23
Rennes clean sheet	18.5%	18.7%	22.5%	0.83×	5.35

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rennes clean sheet in 1st half	45.9%	50.6%	52.3%	0.97×	1.98
Rennes to concede in 1st half	54.1%	49.4%	47.7%	1.03×	2.03

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rennes under 3.5 goals	91.1%	92.3%	93.4%	0.99×	1.08
Rennes over 0.5 goals	81.2%	81.4%	69.9%	1.16×	1.23
Rennes under 2.5 goals	76.5%	76.2%	84.6%	0.90×	1.31
Rennes under 1.5 goals	50.3%	53.6%	63.2%	0.85×	1.86
Rennes over 1.5 goals	49.7%	46.4%	36.8%	1.26×	2.16
Rennes over 2.5 goals	23.5%	23.8%	15.4%	1.54×	4.21
Rennes under 0.5 goals	18.8%	18.6%	30.1%	0.62×	5.38
Rennes over 3.5 goals	8.9%	7.7%	6.6%	1.17×	13.02

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rennes under 1.5 in 1st half	78.8%	76.1%	87.2%	0.87×	1.31
Rennes over 0.5 in 1st half	57.6%	62.4%	42.7%	1.46×	1.60
Rennes under 0.5 in 1st half	42.4%	37.6%	57.3%	0.66×	2.66
Rennes over 1.5 in 1st half	21.2%	23.9%	12.8%	1.87×	4.19

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Nice (away no bet)	63.1%	62.1%	66.7%	0.93×	1.61
Draw (away no bet)	36.9%	37.9%	33.3%	1.14×	2.64

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rennes even goals	51.8%	52.8%	56.3%	0.94×	1.89
Rennes odd goals	48.2%	47.2%	43.7%	1.08×	2.12

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	75.0%	82.0%	83.0%	0.99×	1.22
Both halves over 1.5 goals	25.0%	18.0%	17.0%	1.06×	5.56

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	75.0%	72.4%	65.5%	1.11×	1.38
Both halves under 1.5 goals	25.0%	27.6%	34.5%	0.80×	3.63

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	66.2%	62.1%	60.2%	1.03×	1.61
Nice to score 2+ in a row	38.9%	36.6%	38.1%	0.96×	2.74
Rennes to score 2+ in a row	38.3%	36.5%	28.1%	1.30×	2.74
Either team to score 3+ in a row	26.6%	25.0%	22.6%	1.11×	4.00
Nice to score 3+ in a row	13.8%	12.2%	14.0%	0.87×	8.19
Rennes to score 3+ in a row	13.4%	12.2%	9.2%	1.33×	8.20

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	9.8%	7.4%	10.1%	0.73×	13.48
1-2	8.2%	7.4%	6.6%	1.13×	13.48
2-1	8.3%	7.4%	8.0%	0.93×	13.48
2-2	6.9%	7.4%	4.8%	1.53×	13.48
0-1	5.8%	7.4%	6.4%	1.16×	13.48
1-0	5.9%	7.4%	10.0%	0.74×	13.48
Any other score	5.6%	7.4%	5.1%	1.44×	13.48
0-2	4.9%	1.7%	5.8%	0.30×	58.46
2-0	5.0%	1.7%	7.6%	0.22×	58.46
3-1	4.7%	1.7%	6.2%	0.27×	58.46
0-0	3.5%	1.7%	6.6%	0.26×	58.47
0-3	2.7%	1.7%	2.5%	0.69×	58.47
0-4	1.1%	1.7%	1.6%	1.10×	58.48
1-3	4.6%	1.7%	3.4%	0.50×	58.46
1-4	1.9%	1.7%	1.6%	1.10×	58.48
2-3	3.9%	1.7%	1.9%	0.91×	58.47
2-4	1.6%	1.7%	0.8%	2.19×	58.48
3-0	2.8%	1.7%	3.7%	0.46×	58.47
3-2	3.9%	1.7%	2.8%	0.61×	58.47
3-3	2.2%	1.7%	1.6%	1.10×	58.48
3-4	0.9%	1.7%	0.8%	2.19×	58.48
4-0	1.2%	1.7%	1.7%	1.00×	58.48
4-1	2.0%	1.7%	2.0%	0.84×	58.48
4-2	1.6%	1.7%	1.6%	1.10×	58.48
4-3	0.9%	1.7%	0.3%	5.48×	58.48
4-4	0.4%	1.7%	0.3%	5.48×	58.49

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rennes leading at HT (DNB)	53.4%	56.0%	46.8%	1.20×	1.79
Nice leading at HT (DNB)	46.6%	44.0%	53.2%	0.83×	2.27

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Nice or Rennes (12)	77.2%	75.5%	77.2%	0.98×	1.32
Nice or draw (1X)	61.8%	63.6%	68.2%	0.93×	1.57
Rennes or draw (X2)	61.0%	63.6%	54.4%	1.17×	1.57

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rennes or draw at HT	69.6%	66.5%	67.2%	0.99×	1.50
Nice or draw at HT	65.2%	66.3%	71.1%	0.93×	1.51
Nice or Rennes at HT	65.2%	66.3%	61.5%	1.08×	1.51

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Nice or draw (1UP)	61.8%	71.6%	72.5%	0.99×	1.40
Rennes or draw (1UP)	61.0%	71.6%	62.2%	1.15×	1.40

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Nice or draw in 2nd half	69.6%	65.5%	73.2%	0.90×	1.53
Nice or Rennes in 2nd half	66.3%	65.5%	68.8%	0.95×	1.53
Rennes or draw in 2nd half	64.2%	64.0%	57.9%	1.11×	1.56

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	56.8%	58.0%	56.8%	1.02×	1.72
Neither half drawn	43.2%	42.0%	43.2%	0.97×	2.38

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Nice (DNB)	50.5%	50.9%	58.9%	0.86×	1.97
Rennes (DNB)	49.5%	49.1%	41.1%	1.19×	2.04

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Nice to score first	48.5%	45.6%	49.3%	0.92×	2.19
Rennes to score first	48.0%	45.6%	44.3%	1.03×	2.20
No goal scored	3.5%	4.3%	6.6%	0.65×	23.36

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	66.2%	58.2%	54.0%	1.08×	1.72
Not both teams to score	33.8%	41.8%	46.0%	0.91×	2.39

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	56.4%	47.2%	44.0%	1.07×	2.12
Not both score & under 2.5	25.0%	27.8%	35.7%	0.78×	3.60
Both score & under 2.5	9.8%	8.4%	10.1%	0.83×	11.95
Not both score & over 2.5	8.9%	8.4%	10.5%	0.80×	11.95

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	75.0%	80.7%	84.7%	0.95×	1.24
Both teams to score 2+	25.0%	19.3%	15.3%	1.26×	5.18

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	66.7%	67.6%	69.9%	0.97×	1.48
Both teams to score in 2nd half	33.3%	32.4%	30.1%	1.08×	3.08

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	46.0%	53.2%	57.4%	0.93×	1.88
Both score 2nd half only	22.9%	20.8%	23.7%	0.88×	4.80
Both score 1st half only	20.8%	20.7%	12.6%	1.64×	4.82
Both score in both halves	10.4%	10.7%	6.6%	1.63×	9.34

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	68.9%	70.6%	81.0%	0.87×	1.42
Both teams to score by HT	31.1%	29.4%	19.0%	1.54×	3.40

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	66.1%	66.7%	59.4%	1.12×	1.50
A half without a goal	33.9%	33.3%	40.6%	0.82×	3.00

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	41.6%	42.1%	43.4%	0.97×	2.38
4-6 goals	37.8%	35.1%	30.7%	1.14×	2.85
0-1 goals	15.2%	20.2%	22.6%	0.89×	4.96
7+ goals	5.5%	7.6%	3.6%	2.11×	13.23

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rennes to score exactly 1	31.4%	33.8%	33.2%	1.02×	2.96
Rennes to score exactly 2	26.3%	27.4%	21.5%	1.27×	3.65
Rennes to score 3+	23.5%	22.4%	15.4%	1.45×	4.46
Rennes to score exactly 0	18.8%	19.6%	30.1%	0.65×	5.11

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Nice to score exactly 1	31.2%	32.6%	31.8%	1.03×	3.06
Nice to score exactly 2	26.3%	26.5%	23.1%	1.15×	3.77
Nice to score 3+	24.0%	23.2%	22.9%	1.01×	4.30
Nice to score exactly 0	18.5%	18.9%	22.5%	0.84×	5.29

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	34.8%	33.7%	38.5%	0.87×	2.97
Rennes leading at HT	34.8%	33.7%	28.9%	1.17×	2.97
Nice leading at HT	30.4%	33.5%	32.8%	1.02×	2.99

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Nice -1: 2	61.0%	62.4%	—	—	1.60
Nice -1: 1	19.9%	17.5%	—	—	5.71
Nice -1: X	19.1%	17.5%	—	—	5.71

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rennes (0:1)	61.0%	61.4%	54.4%	1.13×	1.63
Nice (0:1)	19.9%	17.8%	25.0%	0.71×	5.62
Draw (0:1)	19.1%	17.8%	20.7%	0.86×	5.63

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rennes (0:2)	80.1%	82.7%	75.0%	1.10×	1.21
Draw (0:2)	11.6%	11.0%	15.1%	0.72×	9.12
Nice (0:2)	8.3%	7.7%	10.0%	0.77×	12.94

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rennes (0:3)	91.7%	92.6%	90.0%	1.03×	1.08
Draw (0:3)	5.4%	5.8%	6.1%	0.96×	17.19
Nice (0:3)	2.9%	2.4%	4.1%	0.59×	42.14

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rennes (0:4)	97.1%	98.1%	95.9%	1.02×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	2.0%	1.2%	2.7%	0.45×	83.44
Nice (0:4)	0.8%	1.2%	1.6%	0.77×	83.59

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Nice (1:0)	61.8%	65.1%	68.2%	0.95×	1.54
Rennes (1:0)	19.3%	17.0%	16.8%	1.01×	5.87
Draw (1:0)	18.9%	17.0%	15.1%	1.13×	5.87

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Nice (2:0)	80.7%	84.5%	83.2%	1.02×	1.18
Draw (2:0)	11.4%	10.4%	9.8%	1.06×	9.64
Rennes (2:0)	8.0%	6.5%	7.2%	0.90×	15.48

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	40.5%	48.7%	47.3%	1.03×	2.05
1st half highest scoring	36.8%	36.8%	26.8%	1.37×	2.72
Halves equal	22.8%	24.1%	26.1%	0.93×	4.15

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Nice to concede	81.2%	80.7%	69.9%	1.16×	1.24
Nice clean sheet	18.8%	19.3%	30.1%	0.64×	5.20

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Nice to concede in 1st half	57.6%	62.4%	42.7%	1.46×	1.60
Nice clean sheet in 1st half	42.4%	37.6%	57.3%	0.66×	2.66

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Nice under 3.5 goals	90.9%	92.2%	91.7%	1.01×	1.08
Nice over 0.5 goals	81.5%	82.1%	77.5%	1.06×	1.22
Nice under 2.5 goals	76.0%	77.7%	77.1%	1.01×	1.29
Nice over 1.5 goals	50.3%	53.2%	45.9%	1.16×	1.88
Nice under 1.5 goals	49.7%	46.8%	54.1%	0.86×	2.14
Nice over 2.5 goals	24.0%	22.3%	22.9%	0.97×	4.49
Nice under 0.5 goals	18.5%	17.9%	22.5%	0.80×	5.59
Nice over 3.5 goals	9.1%	7.8%	8.3%	0.94×	12.89

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Nice under 1.5 in 1st half	81.7%	84.2%	87.4%	0.96×	1.19
Nice under 0.5 in 1st half	45.9%	50.8%	52.3%	0.97×	1.97
Nice over 0.5 in 1st half	54.1%	49.2%	47.7%	1.03×	2.03
Nice over 1.5 in 1st half	18.3%	15.8%	12.6%	1.25×	6.33

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rennes (home no bet)	62.6%	60.2%	58.3%	1.03×	1.66
Draw (home no bet)	37.4%	39.8%	41.7%	0.95×	2.51

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Nice even goals	51.7%	50.6%	51.3%	0.99×	1.98
Nice odd goals	48.3%	49.4%	48.7%	1.01×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	19.5%	18.8%	28.5%	0.66×	5.33
HT 0-1	16.7%	18.7%	16.8%	1.11×	5.34
HT 1-0	15.2%	18.7%	21.1%	0.89×	5.35
HT 1-1	13.0%	10.9%	9.5%	1.15×	9.15
Any other HT score	9.8%	7.1%	4.7%	1.53×	14.01
HT 0-2	7.2%	7.1%	5.5%	1.30×	14.05
HT 2-0	5.9%	7.1%	6.6%	1.08×	14.07
HT 1-2	5.6%	7.1%	4.5%	1.57×	14.07
HT 2-1	5.1%	7.1%	3.3%	2.17×	14.08
HT 2-2	2.2%	2.3%	0.8%	2.95×	43.45

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rennes at HT / Rennes at FT	25.4%	26.7%	19.3%	1.38×	3.75
Nice at HT / Nice at FT	23.2%	21.8%	27.5%	0.80×	4.58
Draw at HT / Nice at FT	12.5%	12.7%	14.8%	0.86×	7.89
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	11.7%	12.7%	12.9%	0.98×	7.90
Draw at HT / Rennes at FT	10.6%	12.7%	11.1%	1.14×	7.90
Rennes at HT / Draw at FT	6.2%	6.0%	6.2%	0.96×	16.70
Nice at HT / Draw at FT	4.9%	3.5%	3.9%	0.89×	28.77
Rennes at HT / Nice at FT	3.3%	3.5%	3.6%	0.97×	28.84
Nice at HT / Rennes at FT	2.2%	3.5%	1.7%	2.02×	28.88

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Nice to score last	48.5%	46.8%	53.2%	0.88×	2.14
Rennes to score last	48.0%	46.7%	40.4%	1.16×	2.14
No goal scored	3.5%	4.3%	6.6%	0.65×	23.36

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	96.5%	95.6%	93.4%	1.02×	1.05
Nice to lead by 1 at any time	58.5%	55.1%	58.0%	0.95×	1.81
Rennes to lead by 1 at any time	57.9%	55.1%	49.6%	1.11×	1.82
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	54.9%	50.8%	51.3%	0.99×	1.97
Nice to lead by 2 at any time	28.0%	25.5%	29.5%	0.86×	3.93
Rennes to lead by 2 at any time	27.4%	25.4%	22.0%	1.16×	3.93
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	21.8%	19.6%	20.1%	0.97×	5.10
Nice to lead by 3 at any time	11.1%	10.4%	11.9%	0.88×	9.57
Rennes to lead by 3 at any time	10.7%	10.4%	8.4%	1.24×	9.58

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	84.1%	83.5%	85.0%	0.98×	1.20
2-6 goals	79.4%	78.6%	73.9%	1.06×	1.27
2-5 goals	72.4%	72.4%	69.0%	1.05×	1.38
1-4 goals	71.7%	72.4%	76.4%	0.95×	1.38
2-4 goals	60.0%	63.4%	60.4%	1.05×	1.58
3-6 goals	59.7%	59.2%	50.9%	1.16×	1.69
1-3 goals	53.3%	53.2%	59.4%	0.89×	1.88
3-5 goals	52.8%	53.2%	45.9%	1.16×	1.88
2-3 goals	41.6%	43.6%	43.4%	1.00×	2.30
3-4 goals	40.4%	43.6%	37.3%	1.17×	2.30
4-6 goals	37.8%	39.2%	30.7%	1.27×	2.55
1-2 goals	31.3%	35.4%	39.3%	0.90×	2.83
4-5 goals	30.8%	35.4%	25.7%	1.37×	2.83
5-6 goals	19.3%	18.6%	13.7%	1.36×	5.37
7+ goals	5.5%	8.7%	3.6%	2.43×	11.46

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Nice never behind	38.6%	44.8%	50.4%	0.89×	2.23
Rennes never behind	38.0%	44.8%	42.0%	1.07×	2.24

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	49.9%	50.8%	47.3%	1.08×	1.97
Even number of goals	50.1%	49.2%	52.7%	0.93×	2.03

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	51.9%	51.7%	51.6%	1.00×	1.94
Odd goals in 1st half	48.1%	48.3%	48.4%	1.00×	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	51.6%	52.1%	49.5%	1.05×	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	48.4%	47.9%	50.5%	0.95×	2.09

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	96.5%	95.5%	93.4%	1.02×	1.05
Under 5.5 goals	87.6%	87.6%	91.4%	0.96×	1.14
Over 1.5 goals	84.8%	82.4%	77.4%	1.06×	1.21
Under 4.5 goals	75.2%	77.3%	82.8%	0.93×	1.29
Over 2.5 goals	65.2%	66.2%	54.3%	1.22×	1.51
Under 3.5 goals	56.8%	58.8%	65.8%	0.89×	1.70
Over 3.5 goals	43.3%	41.2%	34.2%	1.21×	2.43
Under 2.5 goals	34.8%	33.8%	45.7%	0.74×	2.96
Over 4.5 goals	24.8%	22.7%	17.2%	1.32×	4.41
Under 1.5 goals	15.2%	17.6%	22.6%	0.78×	5.68
Over 5.5 goals	12.4%	12.4%	8.6%	1.44×	8.10
Under 0.5 goals	3.5%	4.5%	6.6%	0.69×	22.21

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	94.1%	92.5%	96.2%	0.96×	1.08
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	85.8%	86.7%	90.6%	0.96×	1.15
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	81.1%	81.0%	70.6%	1.15×	1.23
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	69.6%	67.4%	79.3%	0.85×	1.48
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	55.4%	55.4%	42.8%	1.30×	1.81
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	44.6%	44.6%	57.2%	0.78×	2.24
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	30.4%	32.6%	20.7%	1.58×	3.07
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	18.9%	19.0%	29.4%	0.64×	5.28
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	14.2%	13.3%	9.4%	1.41×	7.54
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	5.9%	7.5%	3.8%	1.99×	13.28

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 1st half	80.5%	86.1%	71.5%	1.21×	1.16
Under 2.5 in 1st half	77.4%	78.8%	87.2%	0.90×	1.27
Under 1.5 in 1st half	51.4%	56.4%	66.1%	0.85×	1.77
Over 1.5 in 1st half	48.6%	43.6%	33.9%	1.29×	2.29
Over 2.5 in 1st half	22.6%	21.2%	12.8%	1.66×	4.71
Under 0.5 in 1st half	19.5%	13.9%	28.5%	0.49×	7.21

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	82.2%	82.8%	81.4%	1.02×	1.21
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	75.1%	79.7%	75.4%	1.06×	1.26
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	51.4%	53.1%	48.7%	1.09×	1.88
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	48.6%	46.9%	51.3%	0.91×	2.13
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	24.9%	20.3%	24.6%	0.83×	4.92
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	17.8%	17.2%	18.6%	0.93×	5.82

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rennes not to score in both halves	68.0%	70.5%	77.4%	0.91×	1.42
Nice not to score in both halves	67.7%	70.5%	68.0%	1.04×	1.42
Nice to score in both halves	32.3%	29.5%	32.0%	0.92×	3.39
Rennes to score in both halves	32.0%	29.5%	22.6%	1.30×	3.39

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	66.2%	59.5%	54.0%	1.10×	1.68
Only Nice scores	15.3%	16.1%	23.7%	0.68×	6.22
Only Rennes scores	15.0%	16.1%	16.1%	1.00×	6.23
Neither team scores	3.5%	4.6%	6.6%	0.70×	21.84

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 3 goals	22.0%	22.6%	20.3%	1.11×	4.42
Exactly 2 goals	19.6%	17.4%	23.2%	0.75×	5.74
Exactly 4 goals	18.4%	17.4%	17.2%	1.02×	5.74
Exactly 5 goals	12.4%	12.1%	8.7%	1.38×	8.27
6 or more goals	12.4%	12.1%	8.6%	1.41×	8.27
Exactly 1 goals	11.7%	12.1%	16.2%	0.74×	8.28
Exactly 0 goals	3.5%	4.4%	6.6%	0.67×	22.67

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	51.4%	51.3%	48.7%	1.05×	1.95
1 goal in 2nd half	30.8%	33.4%	32.9%	1.01×	3.00
No goals in 2nd half	17.8%	17.2%	18.6%	0.92×	5.83

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rennes not to win both halves	89.4%	88.0%	90.6%	0.97×	1.14
Nice not to win both halves	89.1%	88.0%	83.3%	1.06×	1.14
Nice to win both halves	10.9%	12.0%	16.7%	0.72×	8.31
Rennes to win both halves	10.6%	12.0%	9.4%	1.29×	8.31

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Nice to win either half	55.3%	59.4%	58.2%	1.02×	1.68
Rennes to win either half	54.7%	55.0%	46.3%	1.19×	1.82
Rennes to win neither half	45.3%	45.0%	53.7%	0.84×	2.22
Nice to win neither half	44.7%	40.6%	41.8%	0.97×	2.46

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rennes not to win to nil	85.0%	83.0%	83.9%	0.99×	1.20
Nice not to win to nil	84.7%	83.0%	76.3%	1.09×	1.20
Nice to win to nil	15.3%	17.0%	23.7%	0.72×	5.90
Rennes to win to nil	15.0%	17.0%	16.1%	1.06×	5.90

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	22.8%	24.1%	22.8%	1.06×	4.14
Nice by 1	19.1%	16.9%	20.7%	0.82×	5.91
Rennes by 1	18.9%	16.9%	15.1%	1.12×	5.91
Nice by 2	11.6%	11.8%	15.1%	0.78×	8.48
Rennes by 2	11.4%	11.8%	9.8%	1.20×	8.48
Nice by 3+	8.3%	7.3%	10.0%	0.73×	13.78
Rennes by 3+	8.0%	7.3%	7.2%	1.01×	13.78