Nice v Strasbourg — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Sunday 11 October 2026 · FRA-Ligue 1 · 2627
Ligue 1
xG
Shots
11 – 12
On target
5 – 3
Shots in box
9 – 4
xG per shot
0.17 – 0.04
Set-piece xG
0.03 – 0.17
Goals − xG
+0.18 – +0.56
Reading the xG timeline
Each step up is a shot; the height of the step is how good the chance was. Dots mark goals.
A side whose line climbs steadily created chances all match. A side that scored while its
line stayed flat took a rare chance — that is finishing luck, and it rarely repeats.
Expected goals by minute
Nice 1.83 xGStrasbourg 0.44 xG
Reading the shot map
Each circle is a shot, placed where it was taken. Bigger means a better chance;
filled circles are goals. Clusters near the goal mean a side worked good openings;
lots of small circles far out means shooting from poor positions and hoping.
Hover any circle for the player, minute and chance quality.
Shot map
Nice attacking right
Strasbourg attacking left
Marker size is xG; filled markers are goals.
Every shot
| Min | Team | Player | xG | Situation | Body part | Result | Assisted by |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10' |
 Strasbourg |
Conrad Harder | 0.05 | Open Play | Left Foot | Saved Shot | Diogo Sousa |
| 17' |
Strasbourg |
Pape Diop | 0.01 | Open Play | Right Foot | Blocked Shot | — |
| 18' |
Strasbourg |
Conrad Harder | 0.02 | Open Play | Left Foot | Blocked Shot | — |
| 21' |
 Nice |
Mohammed Amoura | 0.03 | From Corner | Left Foot | Missed Shot | Jonathan Clauss |
| 27' |
Strasbourg |
Samuel Amo-Ameyaw | 0.04 | Open Play | Right Foot | Saved Shot | Pape Diop |
| 33' |
Strasbourg |
Diogo Sousa | 0.03 | Open Play | Left Foot | Blocked Shot | Oso |
| 34' |
Strasbourg |
Diogo Sousa | 0.02 | Open Play | Left Foot | Missed Shot | Jeyland Mitchell |
| 40' |
Strasbourg |
Dário Essugo | 0.03 | Open Play | Right Foot | Goal | Conrad Harder |
| 44' |
Nice |
Jonathan Clauss | 0.10 | Open Play | Left Foot | Saved Shot | Hichem Boudaoui |
| 46' |
Strasbourg |
Pape Diop | 0.00 | Open Play | — | Own Goal | — |
| 50' |
Nice |
Axel Witsel | 0.08 | Open Play | — | Saved Shot | Gauthier Hein |
| 52' |
Nice |
Hichem Boudaoui | 0.03 | Open Play | Right Foot | Missed Shot | Mohammed Amoura |
| 52' |
Nice |
Jonathan Clauss | 0.08 | Open Play | Right Foot | Blocked Shot | — |
| 52' |
Nice |
Mohammed Amoura | 0.43 | Open Play | Right Foot | Saved Shot | Gauthier Hein |
| 52' |
Nice |
Mohammed Amoura | 0.51 | Open Play | Right Foot | Saved Shot | — |
| 58' |
Nice |
Sepe Elye Wahi | 0.37 | Open Play | — | Missed Shot | Jonathan Clauss |
| 65' |
Strasbourg |
Samuel Amo-Ameyaw | 0.07 | Open Play | Right Foot | Missed Shot | Giovanni Reyna |
| 68' |
Strasbourg |
Oso | 0.04 | Direct Freekick | Left Foot | Missed Shot | — |
| 70' |
Strasbourg |
Dário Essugo | 0.10 | From Corner | — | Missed Shot | Gessime Yassine |
| 77' |
Nice |
Jonathan Clauss | 0.03 | Open Play | Right Foot | Missed Shot | — |
| 80' |
Nice |
Jonathan Clauss | 0.06 | Open Play | Right Foot | Goal | Sofiane Diop |
| 86' |
Strasbourg |
Pape Diop | 0.04 | Set Piece | — | Missed Shot | Giovanni Reyna |
| 88' |
Nice |
Isak Jansson | 0.10 | Open Play | Right Foot | Missed Shot | Mohamed Abdelmonem |
Players
Nice
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | KP | xG | xA | xGChain |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mohammed Amoura AMC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0.97 | 0.03 | 1.15 |
| Jonathan Clauss DMR | 90 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 0.27 | 0.40 | 0.73 |
| Niels Nkounkou DML | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.91 |
| Mohamed Abdelmonem DC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 0.10 | 0.47 |
| Xavier Mandza DC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.47 |
| Yehvann Diouf GK | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Youssouf Ndayishimiye DC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.47 |
| Axel Witsel MC | 89 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.08 | 0.00 | 0.08 |
| Gauthier Hein AMC | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.00 | 0.51 | 0.88 |
| Sepe Elye Wahi FW | 76 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.37 | 0.00 | 0.37 |
| Hichem Boudaoui Sub | 54 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.03 | 0.10 | 0.56 |
| Djibril Coulibaly MC | 36 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Sofiane Diop Sub | 14 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 0.06 | 0.00 |
| Isak Jansson Sub | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.10 | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| Everton Pereira Sub | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
Strasbourg
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | KP | xG | xA | xGChain |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pape Diop MC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0.05 | 0.04 | 0.08 |
| Oso DL | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.04 | 0.03 | 0.07 |
| Gessime Yassine FWL | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| Karim Coulibaly DC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.07 |
| Filip Jorgensen GK | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.07 |
| Genesis Antwi DR | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.07 |
| Jeyland Mitchell DC | 79 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 0.09 |
| Dário Essugo MC | 76 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.13 | 0.00 | 0.07 |
| Samuel Amo-Ameyaw FWR | 76 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.11 | 0.00 | 0.13 |
| Conrad Harder FW | 66 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0.07 | 0.03 | 0.10 |
| Diogo Sousa MC | 66 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0.05 | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| Jacobo Ortega Sub | 24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Giovanni Reyna Sub | 24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.00 | 0.11 | 0.07 |
| Fabio Baldé Sub | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Samir El Mourabet Sub | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Lucas Høgsberg Sub | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |