Noah v FC Van — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Friday 18 September 2026 · ARM-Premier League · 2627

ARM-Premier League results-only Prediction generated 8 Sep 2026, 11:44 UTC

Noah

16:00 UTC

FC Van

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 8 Sep, 07:54 · 248h before kick-off

Noah win

85.6%

Draw

10.3%

FC Van win

4.1%

86104

Raw model output; no calibration record for this fixture's bands yet.

Top 5 scorelines

3-0 12.0%
2-0 11.5%
4-0 9.4%
3-1 7.5%
2-1 7.2%

Goals

Over 2.5	72.3%	Under 2.5	27.7%
BTTS yes	44.5%	BTTS no	55.5%
Noah 1+	95.6%	Noah 2+	81.9%
FC Van 1+	46.3%	FC Van 2+	12.9%

Expected goals 3.13 – 0.62. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

22/100

Data quality

20/100

Model agreement

99%

★ Best pick

Noah (-1.5)

Asian handicap · usually 22%

68.0% fair odds 1.47

strong signal · 11901 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

FC Van to win neither half

Win either half · usually 53%

84.3% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 89 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Noah have created 1.35 xG a match over their last five while FC Van have allowed 1.35.
At home Noah average 1.35 xG a match.

Risk factors

Data quality is 20/100, so this price rests on less than the model would like.
Noah have only 0 matches on record.
FC Van have only 0 matches on record.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Noah have an estimated 85.6% win probability, against 10.3% for the draw and 4.1% for FC Van. Expected goals from the ensemble are 3.13 for Noah and 0.62 for FC Van.

Why Noah

Noah have created 1.35 xG a match over their last five while FC Van have allowed 1.35. At home Noah average 1.35 xG a match.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 10.3%.

Why FC Van can win

FC Van have created 1.35 xG a match over their last five while Noah have allowed 1.35. Away from home FC Van average 1.35 xG a match.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Noah, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for FC Van, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Noah: 50% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. FC Van: 50% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-08 10:52 · team_stats 2026-09-08 06:03 · availability 2026-09-08 11:54 · prediction 2026-09-08 11:44 ·

Noah are the model's most likely outcome at 85.6%. The likeliest scoreline is 3-0 at 12.0%. Confidence 22/100, data quality 20/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	86104	3.13–0.62	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	86104	3.03–0.53	3-0 13%	69%	39%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Noah to win	86.3%	88.0%	44.4%	1.98×	1.14
Draw	10.2%	13.6%	25.0%	0.54×	7.37
FC Van to win	3.5%	5.1%	30.6%	0.17×	19.76

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Noah & not both score	55.9%	49.9%	24.4%	2.04×	2.01
Noah & both teams score	30.4%	29.3%	20.1%	1.46×	3.42
Draw & both teams score	7.0%	8.4%	17.7%	0.47×	11.95
Draw & not both score	3.2%	4.9%	7.3%	0.67×	20.30
FC Van & both teams score	1.9%	4.9%	14.6%	0.34×	20.33
FC Van & not both score	1.7%	4.9%	16.0%	0.31×	20.34

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Noah & over 1.5	77.9%	73.7%	34.1%	2.16×	1.36
Noah & over 2.5	64.8%	55.2%	26.9%	2.05×	1.81
Noah & over 3.5	44.6%	40.0%	14.2%	2.82×	2.50
Noah & under 3.5	41.6%	40.0%	30.3%	1.32×	2.50
Noah & under 2.5	21.5%	21.6%	17.5%	1.23×	4.63
Noah & under 1.5	8.4%	8.0%	10.4%	0.77×	12.56
Draw & under 2.5	8.0%	8.0%	18.8%	0.42×	12.56
Draw & under 3.5	8.0%	8.0%	18.8%	0.42×	12.56
Draw & over 1.5	7.0%	8.0%	17.7%	0.45×	12.56
Draw & under 1.5	3.2%	4.9%	7.3%	0.67×	20.53
FC Van & over 1.5	2.3%	4.9%	23.1%	0.21×	20.54
FC Van & under 3.5	2.9%	4.9%	21.6%	0.23×	20.53
Draw & over 2.5	2.2%	4.9%	6.2%	0.78×	20.54
Draw & over 3.5	2.2%	4.9%	6.2%	0.78×	20.54
FC Van & over 2.5	1.9%	4.9%	18.4%	0.27×	20.54
FC Van & under 2.5	1.6%	4.9%	12.2%	0.40×	20.54
FC Van & under 1.5	1.2%	4.9%	7.5%	0.65×	20.54
FC Van & over 3.5	0.7%	4.9%	9.0%	0.54×	20.55

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Noah (1UP)	90.8%	93.3%	59.8%	1.56×	1.07
FC Van (1UP)	15.7%	21.5%	50.4%	0.43×	4.64

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Noah (2UP)	86.3%	89.3%	45.2%	1.97×	1.12
FC Van (2UP)	3.5%	5.7%	34.2%	0.17×	17.56

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Noah to win 2nd half	72.6%	75.4%	37.7%	2.00×	1.33
2nd half drawn	21.3%	23.0%	32.7%	0.70×	4.34
FC Van to win 2nd half	6.1%	6.9%	29.7%	0.23×	14.39

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Noah (+0.5)	96.5%	96.3%	69.4%	1.39×	1.04
Noah (-0.5)	86.3%	88.3%	44.4%	1.99×	1.13
Noah (-1.5)	68.9%	68.7%	22.3%	3.09×	1.46
FC Van (+2.5)	52.8%	52.0%	90.1%	0.58×	1.92
Noah (-2.5)	47.2%	48.0%	9.9%	4.83×	2.08
FC Van (+1.5)	31.1%	31.3%	77.7%	0.40×	3.20
FC Van (+0.5)	13.8%	11.7%	55.6%	0.21×	8.57
FC Van (-0.5)	3.5%	3.7%	30.6%	0.12×	26.76

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Van to concede	95.2%	96.2%	76.7%	1.25×	1.04
FC Van clean sheet	4.8%	3.8%	23.3%	0.16×	26.34

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Van to concede in 1st half	72.8%	77.8%	48.2%	1.61×	1.29
FC Van clean sheet in 1st half	27.2%	22.2%	51.8%	0.43×	4.50

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Van under 3.5 goals	99.8%	97.4%	95.7%	1.02×	1.03
FC Van under 2.5 goals	98.3%	97.4%	87.0%	1.12×	1.03
FC Van under 1.5 goals	90.2%	92.2%	66.3%	1.39×	1.09
FC Van under 0.5 goals	59.0%	59.0%	31.7%	1.86×	1.70
FC Van over 0.5 goals	41.0%	41.0%	68.3%	0.60×	2.44
FC Van over 1.5 goals	9.9%	7.8%	33.7%	0.23×	12.77
FC Van over 2.5 goals	1.7%	2.6%	13.0%	0.20×	38.85
FC Van over 3.5 goals	0.2%	2.6%	4.3%	0.59×	38.91

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Van under 1.5 in 1st half	98.1%	96.0%	89.4%	1.07×	1.04
FC Van under 0.5 in 1st half	81.0%	82.8%	59.0%	1.40×	1.21
FC Van over 0.5 in 1st half	19.0%	17.2%	41.0%	0.42×	5.82
FC Van over 1.5 in 1st half	1.9%	4.0%	10.6%	0.38×	25.06

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Noah (away no bet)	89.4%	84.4%	64.0%	1.32×	1.19
Draw (away no bet)	10.6%	15.6%	36.0%	0.43×	6.40

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Van even goals	67.4%	64.7%	55.7%	1.16×	1.55
FC Van odd goals	32.6%	35.3%	44.3%	0.80×	2.84

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	73.0%	77.2%	82.7%	0.93×	1.30
Both halves over 1.5 goals	27.0%	22.8%	17.3%	1.32×	4.38

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	78.3%	72.7%	66.2%	1.10×	1.38
Both halves under 1.5 goals	21.7%	27.3%	33.8%	0.81×	3.67

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	78.8%	76.1%	58.6%	1.30×	1.31
Noah to score 2+ in a row	76.8%	75.6%	36.9%	2.05×	1.32
Either team to score 3+ in a row	51.6%	51.3%	22.9%	2.24×	1.95
Noah to score 3+ in a row	51.2%	51.2%	14.2%	3.62×	1.95
FC Van to score 2+ in a row	5.1%	5.6%	28.6%	0.20×	17.92
FC Van to score 3+ in a row	0.5%	2.5%	9.1%	0.27×	40.37

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Any other score	18.8%	13.6%	4.1%	3.33×	7.37
2-0	13.1%	11.4%	7.2%	1.58×	8.80
3-0	13.3%	11.4%	3.9%	2.90×	8.80
4-0	10.0%	11.4%	1.8%	6.47×	8.81
1-0	8.4%	7.4%	10.4%	0.71×	13.54
2-1	6.9%	7.4%	8.8%	0.84×	13.54
3-1	7.0%	7.4%	4.2%	1.77×	13.54
4-1	5.3%	7.4%	1.7%	4.44×	13.54
0-0	3.2%	1.7%	7.3%	0.24×	57.56
0-1	1.2%	1.7%	7.5%	0.23×	57.57
0-2	0.4%	1.7%	4.7%	0.37×	57.58
0-3	0.1%	1.7%	2.3%	0.75×	57.58
0-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.9%	1.96×	57.58
1-1	4.9%	1.7%	11.5%	0.15×	57.56
1-2	1.2%	1.7%	7.0%	0.25×	57.57
1-3	0.2%	1.7%	2.8%	0.63×	57.58
1-4	0.0%	1.7%	1.0%	1.71×	57.58
2-2	1.8%	1.7%	5.1%	0.34×	57.57
2-3	0.3%	1.7%	2.1%	0.85×	57.58
2-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.6%	2.93×	57.58
3-2	1.8%	1.7%	2.6%	0.67×	57.57
3-3	0.3%	1.7%	1.0%	1.74×	57.58
3-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.4%	4.71×	57.58
4-2	1.4%	1.7%	0.9%	1.90×	57.57
4-3	0.2%	1.7%	0.4%	4.68×	57.58
4-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.1%	16.38×	57.58

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Noah leading at HT (DNB)	91.8%	90.3%	56.7%	1.59×	1.11
FC Van leading at HT (DNB)	8.2%	9.8%	43.3%	0.23×	10.26

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Noah or draw (1X)	96.5%	94.9%	69.4%	1.37×	1.05
Noah or FC Van (12)	89.8%	86.4%	75.0%	1.15×	1.16
FC Van or draw (X2)	13.8%	12.0%	55.6%	0.22×	8.35

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Noah or draw at HT	94.2%	90.9%	74.1%	1.23×	1.10
Noah or FC Van at HT	71.4%	74.2%	59.7%	1.24×	1.35
FC Van or draw at HT	34.4%	29.8%	66.2%	0.45×	3.36

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Noah or draw (1UP)	96.5%	97.6%	74.2%	1.32×	1.02
FC Van or draw (1UP)	15.7%	21.9%	63.9%	0.34×	4.56

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Noah or draw in 2nd half	93.9%	93.1%	70.3%	1.32×	1.08
Noah or FC Van in 2nd half	78.7%	77.0%	67.3%	1.14×	1.30
FC Van or draw in 2nd half	27.4%	24.6%	62.3%	0.39×	4.07

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half drawn	56.6%	57.9%	41.1%	1.41×	1.73
A half drawn	43.4%	42.1%	58.9%	0.71×	2.38

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Noah (DNB)	96.1%	95.5%	59.2%	1.61×	1.05
FC Van (DNB)	3.9%	4.5%	40.8%	0.11×	22.23

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Noah to score first	82.5%	80.0%	51.2%	1.56×	1.25
FC Van to score first	14.3%	10.6%	42.9%	0.25×	9.47
No goal scored	3.2%	4.3%	5.9%	0.72×	23.43

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	60.7%	56.5%	47.6%	1.19×	1.77
Both teams to score	39.3%	43.5%	52.4%	0.83×	2.30

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & over 2.5	34.5%	34.4%	10.6%	3.25×	2.91
Both score & over 2.5	34.4%	34.4%	40.9%	0.84×	2.91
Not both score & under 2.5	26.2%	33.3%	37.1%	0.90×	3.00
Both score & under 2.5	4.9%	4.8%	11.5%	0.42×	20.79

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	92.1%	88.9%	86.0%	1.03×	1.13
Both teams to score 2+	7.9%	11.1%	14.0%	0.79×	9.00

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	77.6%	75.3%	70.2%	1.07×	1.33
Both teams to score in 2nd half	22.4%	24.7%	29.8%	0.83×	4.04

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	66.8%	62.1%	57.8%	1.07×	1.61
Both score 2nd half only	19.3%	15.8%	23.8%	0.66×	6.35
Both score 1st half only	10.8%	10.7%	12.5%	0.86×	9.35
Both score in both halves	3.1%	5.0%	6.0%	0.82×	20.12

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	86.1%	86.1%	81.5%	1.06×	1.16
Both teams to score by HT	13.9%	13.9%	18.5%	0.75×	7.19

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	68.0%	66.9%	58.9%	1.14×	1.50
A half without a goal	32.0%	33.1%	41.1%	0.81×	3.02

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
4-6 goals	40.7%	41.9%	27.0%	1.55×	2.39
2-3 goals	39.8%	35.0%	45.4%	0.77×	2.86
0-1 goals	12.7%	17.2%	25.2%	0.68×	5.83
7+ goals	6.8%	7.6%	2.4%	3.15×	13.08

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Van to score exactly 0	59.0%	51.2%	31.7%	1.61×	1.95
FC Van to score exactly 1	31.1%	33.6%	34.6%	0.97×	2.97
FC Van to score exactly 2	8.2%	8.8%	20.8%	0.42×	11.40
FC Van to score 3+	1.7%	4.6%	13.0%	0.35×	21.82

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Noah to score 3+	58.3%	44.1%	19.7%	2.24×	2.27
Noah to score exactly 2	22.2%	23.3%	24.0%	0.97×	4.28
Noah to score exactly 1	14.7%	14.3%	33.1%	0.43×	6.97
Noah to score exactly 0	4.8%	6.6%	23.3%	0.28×	15.25

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Noah leading at HT	65.6%	70.2%	33.8%	2.08×	1.42
Draw at HT	28.6%	25.8%	40.3%	0.64×	3.88
FC Van leading at HT	5.8%	9.1%	25.9%	0.35×	11.04

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Noah -1: 1	68.9%	68.0%	—	—	1.47
Noah -1: X	17.4%	17.3%	—	—	5.79
Noah -1: 2	13.8%	14.0%	—	—	7.15

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Noah (0:1)	68.9%	65.3%	22.3%	2.93×	1.53
Draw (0:1)	17.4%	17.7%	22.2%	0.80×	5.64
FC Van (0:1)	13.8%	14.0%	55.6%	0.25×	7.16

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Noah (0:2)	47.2%	52.1%	9.9%	5.25×	1.92
FC Van (0:2)	31.1%	28.6%	77.7%	0.37×	3.49
Draw (0:2)	21.7%	20.0%	12.3%	1.62×	5.00

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Van (0:3)	52.8%	47.4%	90.1%	0.53×	2.11
Noah (0:3)	27.7%	24.1%	4.0%	5.95×	4.15
Draw (0:3)	19.5%	16.1%	5.9%	2.73×	6.22

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Van (0:4)	72.3%	76.7%	96.0%	0.80×	1.30
Noah (0:4)	14.0%	9.9%	1.5%	6.55×	10.11
Draw (0:4)	13.7%	9.9%	2.5%	3.89×	10.13

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Noah (1:0)	96.5%	94.3%	69.4%	1.36×	1.06
Draw (1:0)	2.8%	3.5%	17.0%	0.20×	28.86
FC Van (1:0)	0.8%	3.4%	13.6%	0.25×	29.12

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Noah (2:0)	99.2%	96.6%	86.4%	1.12×	1.04
Draw (2:0)	0.7%	2.4%	8.1%	0.30×	41.45
FC Van (2:0)	0.1%	2.4%	5.4%	0.44×	41.48

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	49.7%	48.3%	48.6%	0.99×	2.07
1st half highest scoring	28.5%	26.5%	26.3%	1.01×	3.77
Halves equal	21.9%	24.1%	25.2%	0.96×	4.16

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Noah clean sheet	59.0%	60.8%	31.7%	1.92×	1.65
Noah to concede	41.0%	39.2%	68.3%	0.57×	2.55

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Noah clean sheet in 1st half	81.0%	82.7%	59.0%	1.40×	1.21
Noah to concede in 1st half	19.0%	17.3%	41.0%	0.42×	5.79

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Noah over 0.5 goals	95.2%	96.3%	76.7%	1.25×	1.04
Noah over 1.5 goals	80.5%	81.9%	43.7%	1.88×	1.22
Noah under 3.5 goals	64.2%	63.3%	92.4%	0.69×	1.58
Noah over 2.5 goals	58.3%	58.6%	19.7%	2.97×	1.71
Noah under 2.5 goals	41.7%	41.4%	80.3%	0.52×	2.41
Noah over 3.5 goals	35.8%	36.7%	7.6%	4.83×	2.73
Noah under 1.5 goals	19.5%	18.1%	56.3%	0.32×	5.53
Noah under 0.5 goals	4.8%	3.7%	23.3%	0.16×	26.90

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Noah over 0.5 in 1st half	72.8%	79.9%	48.2%	1.66×	1.25
Noah under 1.5 in 1st half	62.6%	64.6%	85.9%	0.75×	1.55
Noah over 1.5 in 1st half	37.4%	35.4%	14.1%	2.50×	2.83
Noah under 0.5 in 1st half	27.2%	20.1%	51.8%	0.39×	4.98

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	74.3%	66.4%	44.9%	1.48×	1.51
FC Van (home no bet)	25.8%	33.6%	55.1%	0.61×	2.98

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Noah even goals	50.1%	50.4%	52.8%	0.96×	1.98
Noah odd goals	49.9%	49.6%	47.2%	1.05×	2.02

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 1-0	28.6%	28.9%	20.7%	1.39×	3.46
HT 0-0	22.1%	24.2%	29.3%	0.83×	4.14
HT 2-0	18.7%	18.7%	7.1%	2.62×	5.36
Any other HT score	14.4%	11.0%	4.7%	2.32×	9.13
HT 1-1	6.1%	7.1%	10.2%	0.70×	14.04
HT 0-1	4.6%	2.3%	16.3%	0.14×	43.37
HT 2-1	3.9%	2.3%	3.3%	0.70×	43.41
HT 1-2	0.6%	2.3%	2.8%	0.82×	43.66
HT 0-2	0.5%	2.3%	4.9%	0.47×	43.67
HT 2-2	0.4%	2.3%	0.9%	2.56×	43.67

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Noah at HT / Noah at FT	63.3%	65.6%	25.8%	2.55×	1.53
Draw at HT / Noah at FT	20.5%	21.7%	14.7%	1.48×	4.61
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	6.5%	6.0%	14.1%	0.42×	16.69
FC Van at HT / Noah at FT	2.4%	3.5%	2.9%	1.19×	28.83
Noah at HT / Draw at FT	2.0%	3.5%	5.1%	0.67×	28.84
FC Van at HT / Draw at FT	1.7%	3.5%	5.6%	0.62×	28.85
Draw at HT / FC Van at FT	1.6%	3.5%	11.6%	0.30×	28.86
FC Van at HT / FC Van at FT	1.7%	3.5%	17.4%	0.20×	28.86
Noah at HT / FC Van at FT	0.3%	3.5%	3.0%	1.16×	28.91

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Noah to score last	82.6%	85.1%	51.4%	1.66×	1.18
FC Van to score last	14.3%	9.9%	42.7%	0.23×	10.07
No goal scored	3.2%	4.3%	5.9%	0.72×	23.43

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	96.8%	95.7%	94.1%	1.02×	1.05
Noah to lead by 1 at any time	90.8%	92.5%	59.8%	1.55×	1.08
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	74.7%	74.4%	48.2%	1.54×	1.34
Noah to lead by 2 at any time	72.7%	74.3%	28.2%	2.63×	1.35
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	50.1%	50.7%	19.5%	2.61×	1.97
Noah to lead by 3 at any time	49.9%	44.0%	12.1%	3.64×	2.27
FC Van to lead by 1 at any time	15.7%	14.8%	50.4%	0.29×	6.74
FC Van to lead by 2 at any time	2.2%	1.6%	20.3%	0.08×	62.20
FC Van to lead by 3 at any time	0.3%	1.6%	7.4%	0.21×	64.20

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	82.0%	83.3%	86.4%	0.96×	1.20
2-6 goals	80.5%	83.3%	72.4%	1.15×	1.20
2-5 goals	72.5%	72.3%	68.5%	1.06×	1.38
1-4 goals	68.5%	68.9%	78.0%	0.88×	1.45
3-6 goals	62.1%	63.1%	49.0%	1.29×	1.58
2-4 goals	58.9%	59.3%	60.1%	0.99×	1.69
3-5 goals	54.1%	53.4%	45.1%	1.18×	1.87
1-3 goals	49.4%	48.5%	63.3%	0.77×	2.06
4-6 goals	40.7%	43.6%	27.0%	1.62×	2.29
3-4 goals	40.5%	43.6%	36.8%	1.19×	2.29
2-3 goals	39.8%	39.3%	45.4%	0.86×	2.55
4-5 goals	32.6%	35.3%	23.0%	1.53×	2.83
1-2 goals	27.9%	30.6%	41.2%	0.74×	3.26
5-6 goals	21.6%	24.8%	12.3%	2.02×	4.03
7+ goals	6.8%	9.0%	2.4%	3.70×	11.14

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Noah never behind	81.1%	79.7%	49.6%	1.61×	1.26
FC Van never behind	6.0%	3.7%	40.2%	0.09×	27.06

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	49.3%	50.9%	50.2%	1.02×	1.96
Even number of goals	50.7%	49.1%	49.8%	0.98×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	52.5%	51.7%	53.7%	0.96×	1.94
Odd goals in 1st half	47.5%	48.3%	46.3%	1.04×	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	51.1%	52.0%	51.1%	1.02×	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	48.9%	48.0%	48.9%	0.98×	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	96.8%	95.4%	92.7%	1.03×	1.05
Over 1.5 goals	87.3%	87.4%	74.8%	1.17×	1.14
Under 5.5 goals	85.2%	87.4%	93.7%	0.93×	1.14
Under 4.5 goals	71.6%	72.4%	85.3%	0.85×	1.38
Over 2.5 goals	68.9%	66.0%	51.5%	1.28×	1.52
Under 3.5 goals	52.5%	53.0%	70.6%	0.75×	1.89
Over 3.5 goals	47.5%	47.0%	29.4%	1.60×	2.13
Under 2.5 goals	31.1%	34.0%	48.5%	0.70×	2.94
Over 4.5 goals	28.4%	27.6%	14.7%	1.88×	3.62
Over 5.5 goals	14.8%	12.6%	6.3%	1.98×	7.96
Under 1.5 goals	12.7%	12.6%	25.2%	0.50×	7.96
Under 0.5 goals	3.2%	4.6%	7.3%	0.63×	21.72

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	92.7%	92.4%	97.5%	0.95×	1.08
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	84.4%	80.5%	67.1%	1.20×	1.24
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	82.9%	80.5%	93.1%	0.86×	1.24
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	64.9%	61.7%	82.8%	0.75×	1.62
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	60.4%	61.6%	37.7%	1.63×	1.62
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	39.6%	38.4%	62.3%	0.62×	2.61
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	35.1%	38.3%	17.2%	2.22×	2.61
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	17.1%	19.5%	6.9%	2.82×	5.12
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	15.6%	19.5%	32.9%	0.59×	5.13
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	7.3%	7.6%	2.5%	3.02×	13.13

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	80.6%	86.2%	88.4%	0.97×	1.16
Over 0.5 in 1st half	77.9%	78.9%	70.7%	1.11×	1.27
Under 1.5 in 1st half	55.3%	62.5%	66.3%	0.94×	1.60
Over 1.5 in 1st half	44.7%	37.5%	33.7%	1.11×	2.67
Under 0.5 in 1st half	22.1%	21.1%	29.3%	0.72×	4.73
Over 2.5 in 1st half	19.4%	13.8%	11.6%	1.19×	7.22

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	86.9%	85.4%	82.3%	1.04×	1.17
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	66.6%	67.5%	77.5%	0.87×	1.48
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	60.6%	61.5%	49.8%	1.24×	1.63
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	39.4%	38.5%	50.2%	0.77×	2.60
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	33.4%	32.5%	22.5%	1.44×	3.07
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	13.1%	14.6%	17.7%	0.83×	6.83

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Van not to score in both halves	94.8%	90.9%	77.6%	1.17×	1.10
Noah to score in both halves	59.9%	57.8%	29.5%	1.96×	1.73
Noah not to score in both halves	40.1%	42.2%	70.5%	0.60×	2.37
FC Van to score in both halves	5.2%	9.1%	22.4%	0.41×	10.96

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Only Noah scores	55.9%	58.6%	24.4%	2.40×	1.71
Both teams score	39.3%	39.7%	52.4%	0.76×	2.52
Neither team scores	3.2%	4.6%	7.3%	0.64×	21.54
Only FC Van scores	1.7%	4.6%	16.0%	0.29×	21.60

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 3 goals	21.4%	22.4%	22.1%	1.02×	4.46
Exactly 4 goals	19.1%	17.6%	14.7%	1.20×	5.70
Exactly 2 goals	18.4%	17.6%	23.3%	0.75×	5.70
6 or more goals	14.8%	12.1%	6.3%	1.90×	8.30
Exactly 5 goals	13.6%	12.0%	8.4%	1.44×	8.30
Exactly 1 goals	9.6%	7.8%	17.9%	0.44×	12.83
Exactly 0 goals	3.2%	4.5%	7.3%	0.62×	22.21

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	60.6%	58.2%	49.8%	1.17×	1.72
1 goal in 2nd half	26.3%	29.7%	32.5%	0.91×	3.36
No goals in 2nd half	13.1%	14.5%	17.7%	0.82×	6.91

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Van not to win both halves	99.6%	97.3%	91.8%	1.06×	1.03
Noah to win both halves	47.7%	52.4%	13.2%	3.96×	1.91
Noah not to win both halves	52.3%	47.6%	86.8%	0.55×	2.10
FC Van to win both halves	0.4%	2.7%	8.2%	0.33×	37.17

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Van to win neither half	88.4%	92.4%	52.6%	1.76×	1.08
Noah to win either half	90.5%	92.1%	58.3%	1.58×	1.09
Noah to win neither half	9.5%	7.9%	41.7%	0.19×	12.67
FC Van to win either half	11.6%	7.6%	47.4%	0.16×	13.22

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Van not to win to nil	98.3%	96.2%	84.0%	1.14×	1.04
Noah to win to nil	55.9%	59.9%	24.4%	2.45×	1.67
Noah not to win to nil	44.1%	40.1%	75.6%	0.53×	2.49
FC Van to win to nil	1.7%	3.8%	16.0%	0.24×	26.40

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Noah by 3+	47.2%	47.9%	9.9%	4.83×	2.09
Noah by 2	21.7%	24.2%	12.3%	1.96×	4.14
Noah by 1	17.4%	16.9%	22.2%	0.76×	5.92
Draw	10.2%	11.7%	25.0%	0.47×	8.53
FC Van by 1	2.8%	2.8%	17.0%	0.17×	35.54
FC Van by 2	0.7%	2.8%	8.1%	0.35×	35.60
FC Van by 3+	0.1%	2.8%	5.4%	0.52×	35.61