Norwich City v Cardiff City — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 21 November 2026 · ENG-Championship · 2627

Championship results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Norwich City

12:30 UTC

Cardiff City

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 25 Oct, 11:02 · 649h before kick-off

Norwich City win

53.5%

model 51.5%

Draw

23.3%

model 24.6%

Cardiff City win

23.3%

model 23.8%

532323

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (466 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 11.3%
2-1 9.7%
2-0 7.6%
1-0 6.7%
1-2 6.3%

Goals

Over 2.5	61.7%	Under 2.5	38.3%
BTTS yes	62.4%	BTTS no	37.6%
Norwich City 1+	85.4%	Norwich City 2+	57.2%
Cardiff City 1+	71.7%	Cardiff City 2+	36.0%

Expected goals 1.92 – 1.26. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

44/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

96%

★ Best pick

Over 3 (void on exactly 3)

Over/Under (whole line) · usually 32%

53.7% fair odds 1.86

strong signal · 700 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Under 2.5 in 1st half

Over/Under 1HT

84.4% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 383 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Norwich City carry the stronger rating, 1491 Elo against 1354.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Norwich City have an estimated 53.5% win probability, against 23.3% for the draw and 23.3% for Cardiff City. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.92 for Norwich City and 1.26 for Cardiff City.

Why Norwich City

Norwich City carry the stronger rating, 1491 Elo against 1354.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 23.3%. Draws run at 28% in this competition.

Why Cardiff City can win

Nothing in the data singles out Cardiff City.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Norwich City, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Cardiff City, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Norwich City: 52% possession, 15.6 shots a match, 12.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Cardiff City: 65% possession, 19.4 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-25 14:59 · team_stats 2026-10-25 06:07 · availability 2026-10-25 15:02 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Norwich City are the model's most likely outcome at 53.5%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 11.3%. Confidence 44/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	522524	1.92–1.26	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	552420	1.94–1.12	1-1 11%	59%	59%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Norwich City to win	55.2%	53.9%	43.4%	1.24×	1.86
Draw	24.4%	24.5%	27.6%	0.89×	4.09
Cardiff City to win	20.4%	24.4%	29.1%	0.84×	4.09

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Norwich City & both teams score	28.5%	25.2%	20.2%	1.24×	3.97
Norwich City & not both score	26.7%	25.2%	23.3%	1.08×	3.98
Draw & both teams score	18.5%	18.0%	20.4%	0.88×	5.56
Cardiff City & both teams score	11.9%	13.3%	13.9%	0.95×	7.54
Cardiff City & not both score	8.5%	8.3%	15.2%	0.55×	12.01
Draw & not both score	5.9%	8.3%	7.3%	1.14×	12.02

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Norwich City & over 1.5	47.3%	45.0%	32.5%	1.39×	2.22
Norwich City & over 2.5	38.5%	34.9%	26.4%	1.32×	2.87
Norwich City & under 3.5	32.3%	30.7%	32.4%	0.95×	3.25
Norwich City & over 3.5	22.9%	21.6%	11.1%	1.94×	4.63
Draw & over 1.5	18.5%	18.0%	20.4%	0.88×	5.56
Norwich City & under 2.5	16.7%	18.0%	17.1%	1.05×	5.56
Draw & under 2.5	17.3%	18.0%	21.8%	0.83×	5.56
Draw & under 3.5	17.3%	18.0%	21.8%	0.83×	5.56
Cardiff City & over 1.5	16.4%	18.0%	21.4%	0.84×	5.56
Cardiff City & over 2.5	13.4%	12.8%	16.2%	0.79×	7.79
Cardiff City & under 3.5	13.8%	12.8%	22.3%	0.57×	7.79
Norwich City & under 1.5	7.9%	7.9%	11.0%	0.72×	12.63
Cardiff City & under 2.5	7.0%	7.9%	12.9%	0.61×	12.63
Cardiff City & over 3.5	6.6%	7.9%	6.8%	1.16×	12.63
Draw & under 1.5	5.9%	7.9%	7.3%	1.08×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	7.1%	7.9%	5.9%	1.33×	12.63
Draw & over 3.5	7.1%	7.9%	5.9%	1.33×	12.63
Cardiff City & under 1.5	4.0%	4.8%	7.7%	0.62×	20.81

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Norwich City (1UP)	70.0%	70.3%	—	—	1.42
Cardiff City (1UP)	40.2%	38.5%	—	—	2.60

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Norwich City (2UP)	55.2%	54.5%	—	—	1.83
Cardiff City (2UP)	20.4%	23.5%	—	—	4.25

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Norwich City to win 2nd half	45.4%	45.4%	—	—	2.20
2nd half drawn	32.8%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
Cardiff City to win 2nd half	21.8%	24.1%	—	—	4.15

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cardiff City under 1.5 in 2nd half	85.4%	86.7%	—	—	1.15
Cardiff City under 0.5 in 2nd half	51.0%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Cardiff City over 0.5 in 2nd half	49.0%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Cardiff City over 1.5 in 2nd half	14.6%	13.3%	—	—	7.52

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Norwich City under 1.5 in 2nd half	69.7%	70.9%	—	—	1.41
Norwich City over 0.5 in 2nd half	66.9%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Norwich City under 0.5 in 2nd half	33.1%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Norwich City over 1.5 in 2nd half	30.3%	29.1%	—	—	3.44

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cardiff City (+2.5)	84.1%	82.6%	91.9%	0.90×	1.21
Norwich City (+0.5)	79.6%	78.5%	70.9%	1.11×	1.27
Cardiff City (+1.5)	66.9%	68.7%	80.7%	0.85×	1.46
Norwich City (-0.5)	55.2%	57.0%	43.4%	1.31×	1.75
Cardiff City (+0.5)	44.8%	43.0%	56.6%	0.76×	2.33
Norwich City (-1.5)	33.1%	31.3%	19.3%	1.62×	3.19
Cardiff City (-0.5)	20.4%	21.5%	29.1%	0.74×	4.65
Norwich City (-2.5)	15.9%	17.4%	8.1%	2.16×	5.74

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cardiff City to concede	85.6%	86.2%	77.6%	1.11×	1.16
Cardiff City clean sheet	14.4%	13.8%	22.4%	0.61×	7.26

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cardiff City to concede in 1st half	56.6%	57.0%	—	—	1.75
Cardiff City clean sheet in 1st half	43.4%	43.0%	—	—	2.33

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cardiff City to concede in 2nd half	66.9%	65.8%	—	—	1.52
Cardiff City clean sheet in 2nd half	33.1%	34.2%	—	—	2.92

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cardiff City over 2.5 corners	82.8%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
Cardiff City over 3.5 corners	71.1%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Cardiff City under 6.5 corners	64.6%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Cardiff City over 4.5 corners	58.4%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Cardiff City under 5.5 corners	53.8%	53.1%	—	—	1.89
Cardiff City over 5.5 corners	46.2%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Cardiff City under 4.5 corners	41.6%	42.8%	—	—	2.33
Cardiff City over 6.5 corners	35.4%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Cardiff City under 3.5 corners	28.9%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Cardiff City under 2.5 corners	17.2%	18.6%	—	—	5.38

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cardiff City under 3.5 goals	97.3%	97.5%	97.8%	1.00×	1.03
Cardiff City under 2.5 goals	89.6%	87.8%	90.6%	0.97×	1.14
Cardiff City under 1.5 goals	69.1%	68.0%	70.0%	0.97×	1.47
Cardiff City over 0.5 goals	67.4%	68.0%	69.5%	0.98×	1.47
Cardiff City under 0.5 goals	32.6%	32.0%	30.5%	1.05×	3.13
Cardiff City over 1.5 goals	30.9%	32.0%	30.0%	1.07×	3.13
Cardiff City over 2.5 goals	10.4%	12.2%	9.4%	1.29×	8.21
Cardiff City over 3.5 goals	2.7%	2.5%	2.2%	1.13×	39.92

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cardiff City under 1.5 in 1st half	92.5%	93.8%	—	—	1.07
Cardiff City under 0.5 in 1st half	63.9%	63.4%	—	—	1.58
Cardiff City over 0.5 in 1st half	36.1%	36.6%	—	—	2.74
Cardiff City over 1.5 in 1st half	7.5%	6.2%	—	—	16.13

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cardiff City scores equally in both	43.2%	43.5%	—	—	2.30
Cardiff City scores more in 2nd half	35.7%	37.4%	—	—	2.67
Cardiff City scores more in 1st half	21.1%	21.8%	—	—	4.59

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Norwich City (away no bet)	69.3%	66.4%	61.1%	1.09×	1.51
Draw (away no bet)	30.7%	33.6%	38.9%	0.86×	2.98

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cardiff City even goals	55.3%	56.9%	52.4%	1.09×	1.76
Cardiff City odd goals	44.7%	43.1%	47.6%	0.91×	2.32

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	80.5%	82.7%	—	—	1.21
Both halves over 1.5 goals	19.5%	17.3%	—	—	5.79

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	70.9%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Both halves under 1.5 goals	29.1%	32.4%	—	—	3.08

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	63.0%	60.0%	—	—	1.67
Norwich City to score 2+ in a row	49.1%	46.2%	—	—	2.16
Either team to score 3+ in a row	26.2%	25.0%	—	—	4.00
Norwich City to score 3+ in a row	21.5%	19.6%	—	—	5.11
Cardiff City to score 2+ in a row	21.3%	19.6%	—	—	5.11
Cardiff City to score 3+ in a row	5.1%	5.5%	—	—	18.26

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cardiff City corners (+3.5)	83.2%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Cardiff City corners (+2.5)	76.9%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Norwich City corners (+3.5)	74.2%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Cardiff City corners (+1.5)	69.4%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
Norwich City corners (+2.5)	66.5%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
Norwich City corners (+1.5)	57.8%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Cardiff City corners (-1.5)	42.2%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Cardiff City corners (-2.5)	33.5%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
Norwich City corners (-1.5)	30.6%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
Cardiff City corners (-3.5)	25.8%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Norwich City corners (-2.5)	23.1%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Norwich City corners (-3.5)	16.8%	20.2%	—	—	4.95

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
12+ corners	38.9%	34.0%	—	—	2.94
0-8 corners	35.0%	34.0%	—	—	2.94
9-11 corners	26.1%	31.2%	—	—	3.21

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 7.5 corners	73.6%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Under 12.5 corners	68.6%	67.8%	—	—	1.47
Over 8.5 corners	65.0%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Under 11.5 corners	61.1%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Over 9.5 corners	56.0%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Under 10.5 corners	52.8%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Over 10.5 corners	47.2%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Under 9.5 corners	44.0%	42.1%	—	—	2.38
Over 11.5 corners	38.9%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Under 8.5 corners	35.0%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Over 12.5 corners	31.4%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Under 7.5 corners	26.4%	27.5%	—	—	3.64

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.1%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	11.4%	11.5%	14.5%	0.79×	8.72
2-0	8.8%	7.4%	6.1%	1.21×	13.51
2-1	9.9%	7.4%	11.5%	0.65×	13.51
1-0	7.9%	7.4%	11.0%	0.67×	13.51
0-0	5.9%	7.4%	7.3%	1.01×	13.51
1-2	5.7%	7.4%	8.0%	0.93×	13.51
2-2	5.5%	7.4%	5.2%	1.43×	13.51
3-0	5.7%	7.4%	4.0%	1.85×	13.51
3-1	6.4%	7.4%	4.3%	1.71×	13.51
Any other score	5.3%	7.4%	3.0%	2.49×	13.51
0-1	4.0%	1.7%	7.7%	0.22×	58.30
0-2	2.9%	1.7%	5.3%	0.33×	58.30
0-3	1.1%	1.7%	1.6%	1.06×	58.31
0-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.4%	4.04×	58.32
1-3	2.1%	1.7%	3.1%	0.56×	58.31
1-4	0.6%	1.7%	0.6%	2.88×	58.32
2-3	2.1%	1.7%	1.7%	1.01×	58.31
2-4	0.6%	1.7%	0.3%	6.73×	58.32
3-2	3.6%	1.7%	1.8%	0.96×	58.30
3-3	1.3%	1.7%	0.9%	2.02×	58.31
3-4	0.4%	1.7%	0.3%	6.73×	58.32
4-0	2.8%	1.7%	1.7%	1.01×	58.30
4-1	3.1%	1.7%	0.9%	2.02×	58.30
4-2	1.7%	1.7%	0.8%	2.24×	58.31
4-3	0.6%	1.7%	0.2%	10.09×	58.32
4-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.1%	20.18×	58.32

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Norwich City (2nd half DNB)	67.5%	66.8%	—	—	1.50
Cardiff City (2nd half DNB)	32.5%	33.2%	—	—	3.01

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Norwich City leading at HT (DNB)	69.6%	74.5%	—	—	1.34
Cardiff City leading at HT (DNB)	30.4%	25.5%	—	—	3.92

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Norwich City or draw (1X)	79.6%	75.6%	70.9%	1.07×	1.32
Norwich City or Cardiff City (12)	75.6%	75.5%	72.4%	1.04×	1.32
Cardiff City or draw (X2)	44.8%	46.1%	56.6%	0.82×	2.17

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Norwich City or draw at HT	81.6%	83.9%	—	—	1.19
Norwich City or Cardiff City at HT	60.5%	60.9%	—	—	1.64
Cardiff City or draw at HT	57.9%	57.7%	—	—	1.73

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Norwich City or draw (1UP)	79.6%	83.9%	—	—	1.19
Cardiff City or draw (1UP)	44.8%	52.9%	—	—	1.89

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Norwich City or draw in 2nd half	78.2%	75.9%	—	—	1.32
Norwich City or Cardiff City in 2nd half	67.2%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
Cardiff City or draw in 2nd half	54.6%	54.6%	—	—	1.83

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	58.0%	58.7%	—	—	1.70
Neither half drawn	42.0%	41.3%	—	—	2.42

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Norwich City (DNB)	73.0%	71.4%	59.9%	1.19×	1.40
Cardiff City (DNB)	27.0%	28.6%	40.1%	0.71×	3.50

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Norwich City to score first	59.6%	62.3%	—	—	1.60
Cardiff City to score first	34.5%	27.9%	—	—	3.59
No goal scored	5.9%	7.4%	—	—	13.53

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	58.9%	55.0%	54.4%	1.01×	1.82
Not both teams to score	41.1%	45.0%	45.6%	0.99×	2.22

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	47.5%	44.4%	39.9%	1.11×	2.25
Not both score & under 2.5	29.6%	33.3%	37.1%	0.90×	3.00
Both score & under 2.5	11.4%	12.4%	14.5%	0.85×	8.09
Not both score & over 2.5	11.5%	12.4%	8.6%	1.44×	8.09

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	82.2%	82.6%	89.0%	0.93×	1.21
Both teams to score 2+	17.8%	17.4%	11.0%	1.59×	5.74

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	66.8%	67.1%	—	—	1.49
Both teams to score in 2nd half	33.2%	32.9%	—	—	3.04

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	52.9%	54.5%	—	—	1.84
Both score 2nd half only	26.5%	27.2%	—	—	3.68
Both score 1st half only	14.0%	10.8%	—	—	9.26
Both score in both halves	6.7%	6.8%	—	—	14.70

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	79.3%	81.2%	—	—	1.23
Both teams to score by HT	20.7%	18.8%	—	—	5.33

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	60.7%	59.5%	—	—	1.68
A half without a goal	39.3%	40.5%	—	—	2.47

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	45.6%	47.2%	50.5%	0.94×	2.12
4-6 goals	33.0%	30.7%	22.4%	1.37×	3.25
0-1 goals	17.8%	20.2%	25.9%	0.78×	4.95
7+ goals	3.7%	1.8%	1.4%	1.36×	54.16

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cardiff City to score exactly 1	36.5%	35.9%	39.6%	0.91×	2.78
Cardiff City to score exactly 0	32.6%	33.8%	30.5%	1.11×	2.96
Cardiff City to score exactly 2	20.5%	22.3%	20.6%	1.08×	4.49
Cardiff City to score 3+	10.4%	12.9%	9.4%	1.36×	7.77

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Norwich City to score 3+	30.7%	32.6%	16.1%	2.02×	3.07
Norwich City to score exactly 1	27.9%	26.6%	37.0%	0.72×	3.77
Norwich City to score exactly 2	27.0%	26.5%	24.6%	1.08×	3.77
Norwich City to score exactly 0	14.4%	14.3%	22.4%	0.64×	6.98

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Norwich City leading at HT	42.1%	42.3%	—	—	2.36
Draw at HT	39.5%	39.1%	—	—	2.56
Cardiff City leading at HT	18.4%	16.1%	—	—	6.21

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Norwich City -1: 2	44.8%	42.8%	—	—	2.33
Norwich City -1: 1	33.1%	30.0%	—	—	3.33
Norwich City -1: X	22.1%	23.5%	—	—	4.26

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cardiff City (0:1)	44.8%	42.7%	56.6%	0.75×	2.34
Norwich City (0:1)	33.1%	30.1%	19.3%	1.56×	3.32
Draw (0:1)	22.1%	24.2%	24.2%	1.00×	4.13

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cardiff City (0:2)	66.9%	72.2%	80.7%	0.89×	1.39
Draw (0:2)	17.2%	15.3%	11.3%	1.35×	6.55
Norwich City (0:2)	15.9%	15.3%	8.1%	1.89×	6.56

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cardiff City (0:3)	84.1%	85.4%	91.9%	0.93×	1.17
Draw (0:3)	9.6%	5.8%	4.8%	1.22×	17.19
Norwich City (0:3)	6.4%	5.8%	3.4%	1.71×	17.24

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cardiff City (0:4)	93.6%	94.6%	96.6%	0.98×	1.06
Draw (0:4)	4.2%	1.2%	2.4%	0.51×	81.70
Norwich City (0:4)	2.1%	1.2%	1.1%	1.11×	81.93

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Norwich City (1:0)	79.6%	78.6%	70.9%	1.11×	1.27
Draw (1:0)	12.2%	12.7%	17.4%	0.73×	7.87
Cardiff City (1:0)	8.2%	6.9%	11.7%	0.59×	14.47

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Norwich City (2:0)	91.8%	94.0%	88.3%	1.06×	1.06
Draw (2:0)	5.8%	6.4%	8.6%	0.74×	15.69
Cardiff City (2:0)	2.4%	2.3%	3.2%	0.71×	43.74

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	48.1%	48.7%	—	—	2.05
1st half highest scoring	26.9%	26.2%	—	—	3.82
Halves equal	25.1%	26.2%	—	—	3.82

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Norwich City to concede	67.4%	66.7%	69.5%	0.96×	1.50
Norwich City clean sheet	32.6%	33.3%	30.5%	1.09×	3.00

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Norwich City clean sheet in 1st half	63.9%	63.4%	—	—	1.58
Norwich City to concede in 1st half	36.1%	36.6%	—	—	2.73

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Norwich City clean sheet in 2nd half	51.0%	52.8%	—	—	1.90
Norwich City to concede in 2nd half	49.0%	47.2%	—	—	2.12

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Norwich City over 2.5 corners	77.6%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Norwich City under 6.5 corners	72.9%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Norwich City over 3.5 corners	63.8%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Norwich City under 5.5 corners	62.5%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Norwich City under 4.5 corners	50.1%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Norwich City over 4.5 corners	49.9%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Norwich City over 5.5 corners	37.5%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Norwich City under 3.5 corners	36.2%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Norwich City over 6.5 corners	27.1%	28.1%	—	—	3.55
Norwich City under 2.5 corners	22.4%	23.5%	—	—	4.26

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Norwich City under 3.5 goals	86.8%	87.3%	94.8%	0.92×	1.15
Norwich City over 0.5 goals	85.6%	87.2%	77.6%	1.12×	1.15
Norwich City under 2.5 goals	69.3%	68.0%	83.9%	0.81×	1.47
Norwich City over 1.5 goals	57.7%	58.6%	40.6%	1.44×	1.71
Norwich City under 1.5 goals	42.3%	41.4%	59.4%	0.70×	2.42
Norwich City over 2.5 goals	30.7%	32.0%	16.1%	1.98×	3.12
Norwich City under 0.5 goals	14.4%	12.8%	22.4%	0.57×	7.84
Norwich City over 3.5 goals	13.2%	12.7%	5.2%	2.46×	7.85

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Norwich City under 1.5 in 1st half	79.6%	77.3%	—	—	1.29
Norwich City over 0.5 in 1st half	56.6%	56.9%	—	—	1.76
Norwich City under 0.5 in 1st half	43.4%	43.2%	—	—	2.32
Norwich City over 1.5 in 1st half	20.4%	22.7%	—	—	4.40

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Norwich City scores more in 2nd half	41.7%	42.1%	—	—	2.38
Norwich City scores equally in both	31.0%	33.1%	—	—	3.02
Norwich City scores more in 1st half	27.3%	27.8%	—	—	3.59

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	54.5%	51.4%	48.7%	1.06×	1.94
Cardiff City (home no bet)	45.5%	48.6%	51.3%	0.95×	2.06

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Norwich City even goals	51.0%	50.7%	50.5%	1.00×	1.97
Norwich City odd goals	49.0%	49.3%	49.5%	1.00×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	27.9%	28.5%	—	—	3.51
HT 1-0	22.9%	24.3%	—	—	4.11
HT 0-1	12.2%	11.0%	—	—	9.11
HT 1-1	10.6%	11.0%	—	—	9.12
HT 2-0	9.6%	6.9%	—	—	14.43
Any other HT score	6.3%	6.9%	—	—	14.48
HT 2-1	4.3%	2.4%	—	—	41.93
HT 0-2	2.8%	2.4%	—	—	42.03
HT 1-2	2.3%	2.4%	—	—	42.06
HT 2-2	1.0%	2.4%	—	—	42.14

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Norwich City at HT / Norwich City at FT	34.9%	32.5%	—	—	3.08
Draw at HT / Norwich City at FT	17.2%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	14.4%	12.7%	—	—	7.90
Cardiff City at HT / Cardiff City at FT	10.6%	12.6%	—	—	7.92
Draw at HT / Cardiff City at FT	8.0%	6.1%	—	—	16.42
Norwich City at HT / Draw at FT	5.4%	6.1%	—	—	16.49
Cardiff City at HT / Draw at FT	4.7%	3.5%	—	—	28.80
Cardiff City at HT / Norwich City at FT	3.1%	3.5%	—	—	28.86
Norwich City at HT / Cardiff City at FT	1.8%	3.5%	—	—	28.90

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Norwich City to score last	59.8%	56.5%	—	—	1.77
Cardiff City to score last	34.3%	32.6%	—	—	3.07
No goal scored	5.9%	7.4%	—	—	13.53

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	94.1%	92.7%	—	—	1.08
Norwich City to lead by 1 at any time	70.0%	69.6%	—	—	1.44
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	53.6%	50.8%	—	—	1.97
Norwich City to lead by 2 at any time	40.4%	39.2%	—	—	2.55
Cardiff City to lead by 1 at any time	40.2%	39.2%	—	—	2.55
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	22.6%	19.6%	—	—	5.11
Norwich City to lead by 3 at any time	19.0%	14.9%	—	—	6.71
Cardiff City to lead by 2 at any time	13.5%	10.5%	—	—	9.49
Cardiff City to lead by 3 at any time	3.7%	1.6%	—	—	61.41

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cardiff City most corners	51.4%	51.7%	—	—	1.94
Norwich City most corners	39.3%	39.3%	—	—	2.54
Corners level	9.3%	8.3%	—	—	11.98

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	85.1%	87.4%	88.8%	0.98×	1.14
2-6 goals	78.5%	78.7%	72.8%	1.08×	1.27
1-4 goals	74.6%	72.4%	83.3%	0.87×	1.38
2-5 goals	73.2%	72.4%	70.2%	1.03×	1.38
2-4 goals	62.7%	63.3%	64.7%	0.98×	1.58
1-3 goals	57.5%	59.1%	69.1%	0.86×	1.69
3-6 goals	55.4%	59.1%	47.2%	1.25×	1.69
3-5 goals	50.0%	53.2%	44.5%	1.19×	1.88
2-3 goals	45.6%	48.5%	50.5%	0.96×	2.06
3-4 goals	39.5%	39.2%	39.1%	1.00×	2.55
1-2 goals	35.1%	39.2%	44.4%	0.88×	2.55
4-6 goals	33.0%	35.2%	22.4%	1.57×	2.84
4-5 goals	27.6%	30.2%	19.8%	1.53×	3.31
5-6 goals	15.8%	18.8%	8.2%	2.31×	5.31
7+ goals	3.7%	2.6%	1.4%	1.88×	39.09

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Norwich City never behind	53.9%	62.4%	—	—	1.60
Cardiff City never behind	24.1%	25.1%	—	—	3.98

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	47.4%	50.9%	49.4%	1.03×	1.96
Even number of goals	52.6%	49.1%	50.6%	0.97×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	54.3%	51.8%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 1st half	45.7%	48.2%	—	—	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	52.3%	51.9%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 2nd half	47.7%	48.1%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	94.1%	92.3%	92.7%	1.00×	1.08
Under 5.5 goals	91.0%	92.3%	96.0%	0.96×	1.08
Over 1.5 goals	82.2%	82.3%	74.1%	1.11×	1.22
Under 4.5 goals	80.5%	82.3%	90.6%	0.91×	1.22
Under 3.5 goals	63.4%	61.7%	76.3%	0.81×	1.62
Over 2.5 goals	59.0%	58.6%	48.4%	1.21×	1.71
Under 2.5 goals	41.0%	41.4%	51.6%	0.80×	2.42
Over 3.5 goals	36.6%	38.3%	23.7%	1.61×	2.61
Over 4.5 goals	19.5%	17.7%	9.4%	1.88×	5.65
Under 1.5 goals	17.8%	17.7%	25.9%	0.68×	5.66
Over 5.5 goals	9.0%	7.7%	4.0%	1.94×	12.94
Under 0.5 goals	5.9%	7.7%	7.3%	1.06×	12.95

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	96.1%	97.2%	98.6%	0.99×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	89.9%	86.8%	95.8%	0.91×	1.15
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	76.8%	75.9%	65.1%	1.17×	1.32
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	76.5%	75.9%	89.0%	0.85×	1.32
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	52.8%	51.9%	68.5%	0.76×	1.93
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	47.2%	48.1%	31.5%	1.53×	2.08
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	23.5%	24.1%	11.0%	2.19×	4.15
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	23.2%	24.1%	34.9%	0.69×	4.15
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	10.1%	13.2%	4.2%	3.14×	7.55
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	3.9%	2.8%	1.4%	2.01×	35.56

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	86.1%	89.0%	—	—	1.12
Over 0.5 in 1st half	72.1%	71.4%	—	—	1.40
Under 1.5 in 1st half	63.1%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Over 1.5 in 1st half	36.9%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Under 0.5 in 1st half	27.9%	28.6%	—	—	3.50
Over 2.5 in 1st half	13.9%	11.0%	—	—	9.07

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	82.7%	82.9%	—	—	1.21
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	73.7%	77.6%	—	—	1.29
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	53.5%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	46.5%	46.7%	—	—	2.14
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	26.3%	22.4%	—	—	4.47
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	17.3%	17.1%	—	—	5.86

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cardiff City not to score in both halves	82.3%	84.2%	—	—	1.19
Norwich City not to score in both halves	62.2%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Norwich City to score in both halves	37.9%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Cardiff City to score in both halves	17.7%	15.8%	—	—	6.32

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	58.9%	58.7%	54.4%	1.08×	1.70
Only Norwich City scores	26.7%	26.0%	23.3%	1.12×	3.84
Only Cardiff City scores	8.5%	7.1%	15.2%	0.47×	14.02
Neither team scores	5.9%	7.1%	7.3%	0.97×	14.04

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	23.2%	22.6%	25.7%	0.88×	4.43
Exactly 3 goals	22.4%	22.6%	24.8%	0.91×	4.43
Exactly 4 goals	17.1%	17.5%	14.4%	1.22×	5.73
Exactly 1 goals	11.9%	12.1%	18.7%	0.65×	8.25
Exactly 5 goals	10.5%	12.1%	5.5%	2.19×	8.25
6 or more goals	9.0%	7.6%	4.0%	1.91×	13.14
Exactly 0 goals	5.9%	7.6%	7.3%	1.04×	13.15

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	35.1%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
No goals in 1st half	27.9%	28.5%	—	—	3.50
2 goals in 1st half	23.0%	21.5%	—	—	4.66
3+ goals in 1st half	13.9%	10.9%	—	—	9.15

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	53.5%	51.5%	—	—	1.94
1 goal in 2nd half	29.2%	29.5%	—	—	3.40
No goals in 2nd half	17.3%	16.7%	—	—	6.00

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cardiff City not to win both halves	95.9%	97.2%	—	—	1.03
Norwich City not to win both halves	80.6%	83.7%	—	—	1.20
Norwich City to win both halves	19.4%	16.3%	—	—	6.13
Cardiff City to win both halves	4.1%	2.8%	—	—	35.32

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Norwich City to win either half	68.1%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Cardiff City to win neither half	64.0%	65.0%	—	—	1.54
Cardiff City to win either half	36.0%	35.0%	—	—	2.86
Norwich City to win neither half	31.9%	32.2%	—	—	3.10

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cardiff City not to win to nil	91.5%	92.1%	84.8%	1.09×	1.09
Norwich City not to win to nil	73.3%	75.4%	76.7%	0.98×	1.33
Norwich City to win to nil	26.7%	24.6%	23.3%	1.06×	4.06
Cardiff City to win to nil	8.5%	7.9%	15.2%	0.52×	12.61

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	24.4%	24.1%	27.6%	0.87×	4.15
Norwich City by 1	22.1%	24.1%	24.2%	1.00×	4.15
Norwich City by 2	17.2%	17.0%	11.3%	1.51×	5.87
Norwich City by 3+	15.9%	17.0%	8.1%	2.11×	5.87
Cardiff City by 1	12.2%	11.8%	17.4%	0.67×	8.51
Cardiff City by 2	5.8%	7.2%	8.6%	0.84×	13.91
Cardiff City by 3+	2.4%	2.7%	3.2%	0.84×	36.86