Nottingham Forest v Arsenal — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Tuesday 30 January 2024 · ENG-Premier League · 2324
Premier League
xG
Shots
9 – 19
On target
3 – 3
Shots in box
5 – 12
xG per shot
0.07 – 0.07
Set-piece xG
0.16 – 0.13
Goals − xG
+0.37 – +0.61
Reading the xG timeline
Each step up is a shot; the height of the step is how good the chance was. Dots mark goals.
A side whose line climbs steadily created chances all match. A side that scored while its
line stayed flat took a rare chance — that is finishing luck, and it rarely repeats.
Expected goals by minute
Nottingham Forest 0.63 xGArsenal 1.39 xG
Reading the shot map
Each circle is a shot, placed where it was taken. Bigger means a better chance;
filled circles are goals. Clusters near the goal mean a side worked good openings;
lots of small circles far out means shooting from poor positions and hoping.
Hover any circle for the player, minute and chance quality.
Shot map
Nottingham Forest attacking right
Arsenal attacking left
Marker size is xG; filled markers are goals.
Every shot
| Min | Team | Player | xG | Situation | Body part | Result | Assisted by |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12' |
 Arsenal |
Martin Odegaard | 0.09 | Open Play | Left Foot | Blocked Shot | Bukayo Saka |
| 14' |
Arsenal |
Bukayo Saka | 0.03 | From Corner | Left Foot | Blocked Shot | Declan Rice |
| 22' |
Arsenal |
Gabriel Martinelli | 0.02 | Open Play | Right Foot | Blocked Shot | Oleksandr Zinchenko |
| 22' | Nottingham Forest | Chris Wood | 0.04 | Open Play | Right Foot | Blocked Shot | Morgan Gibbs-White |
| 29' |
Arsenal |
Emile Smith-Rowe | 0.06 | Open Play | Right Foot | Missed Shot | Gabriel Jesus |
| 34' |
Arsenal |
Gabriel Jesus | 0.05 | Open Play | Right Foot | Blocked Shot | Oleksandr Zinchenko |
| 38' |
Arsenal |
Martin Odegaard | 0.09 | Open Play | Left Foot | Blocked Shot | Ben White |
| 40' | Nottingham Forest | Danilo | 0.01 | Open Play | Left Foot | Missed Shot | — |
| 43' |
Arsenal |
Bukayo Saka | 0.11 | Open Play | Right Foot | Blocked Shot | Emile Smith-Rowe |
| 45' |
Arsenal |
Gabriel Jesus | 0.02 | Open Play | — | Missed Shot | Oleksandr Zinchenko |
| 48' |
Arsenal |
Gabriel Jesus | 0.07 | Open Play | — | Saved Shot | Martin Odegaard |
| 51' | Nottingham Forest | Neco Williams | 0.04 | Set Piece | — | Saved Shot | — |
| 56' |
Arsenal |
Gabriel Jesus | 0.37 | Open Play | Right Foot | Shot On Post | Martin Odegaard |
| 57' |
Arsenal |
Gabriel Jesus | 0.10 | Set Piece | Right Foot | Missed Shot | Bukayo Saka |
| 64' |
Arsenal |
Gabriel Jesus | 0.07 | Open Play | Left Foot | Goal | Oleksandr Zinchenko |
| 68' |
Arsenal |
Bukayo Saka | 0.04 | Open Play | Left Foot | Blocked Shot | Martin Odegaard |
| 71' |
Arsenal |
Bukayo Saka | 0.10 | Open Play | Right Foot | Goal | Gabriel Jesus |
| 71' | Nottingham Forest | Morgan Gibbs-White | 0.02 | From Corner | Right Foot | Blocked Shot | — |
| 76' |
Arsenal |
Martin Odegaard | 0.01 | Open Play | Left Foot | Missed Shot | Bukayo Saka |
| 80' |
Arsenal |
Leandro Trossard | 0.05 | Open Play | Right Foot | Missed Shot | Kai Havertz |
| 81' | Nottingham Forest | Taiwo Awoniyi | 0.02 | Open Play | — | Missed Shot | Harry Toffolo |
| 82' |
Arsenal |
Eddie Nketiah | 0.06 | Open Play | Right Foot | Blocked Shot | Bukayo Saka |
| 83' |
Arsenal |
Bukayo Saka | 0.02 | Open Play | Left Foot | Blocked Shot | — |
| 84' |
Arsenal |
Bukayo Saka | 0.03 | Open Play | Left Foot | Missed Shot | Martin Odegaard |
| 88' | Nottingham Forest | Taiwo Awoniyi | 0.33 | Open Play | Left Foot | Goal | Gonzalo Montiel |
| 92' | Nottingham Forest | Morgan Gibbs-White | 0.01 | From Corner | Right Foot | Blocked Shot | — |
| 92' | Nottingham Forest | Taiwo Awoniyi | 0.09 | From Corner | Right Foot | Saved Shot | Harry Toffolo |
| 96' | Nottingham Forest | Anthony Elanga | 0.07 | Open Play | — | Missed Shot | Harry Toffolo |
Players
Arsenal
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | KP | xG | xA | xGChain |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bukayo Saka FWR | 90 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 0.33 | 0.26 | 1.00 |
| Martin Odegaard MC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 0.20 | 0.52 | 0.77 |
| Ben White DR | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 0.09 | 0.57 |
| William Saliba DC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.57 |
| Oleksandr Zinchenko DL | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0.00 | 0.16 | 0.64 |
| Gabriel DC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.46 |
| David Raya GK | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.42 |
| Declan Rice MC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 0.03 | 0.57 |
| Gabriel Jesus FW | 81 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 0.69 | 0.15 | 0.78 |
| Gabriel Martinelli FWL | 81 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.02 | 0.00 | 0.03 |
| Emile Smith-Rowe MC | 74 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.06 | 0.11 | 0.63 |
| Kai Havertz Sub | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| Eddie Nketiah Sub | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.06 | 0.00 | 0.06 |
| Leandro Trossard Sub | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.11 |
| Jorginho Sub | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Jakub Kiwior Sub | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
Nottingham Forest
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | KP | xG | xA | xGChain |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Gibbs-White AMC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0.04 | 0.04 | 0.06 |
| Danilo DMC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.38 |
| Murillo DC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.33 |
| Matt Turner GK | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Harry Toffolo DL | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.00 | 0.18 | 0.43 |
| Gonzalo Montiel DR | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 0.33 | 0.33 |
| Andrew Omobamidele DC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Neco Williams AMR | 81 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Orel Mangala DMC | 74 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Nicolás Domínguez AML | 67 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Chris Wood FW | 49 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.04 | 0.00 | 0.04 |
| Taiwo Awoniyi Sub | 41 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0.44 | 0.00 | 0.35 |
| Callum Hudson-Odoi Sub | 23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Ryan Yates Sub | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.35 |
| Anthony Elanga Sub | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.07 | 0.00 | 0.07 |