Ñublense v Cobresal — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Sunday 29 November 2026 · CHI-Primera Division · 2627
AI prediction
ai-blend v1.0 dailyCalibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (466 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.
Top 5 scorelines
- 1-0 11.6%
- 2-1 9.7%
- 1-1 9.2%
- 2-0 8.5%
- 0-1 8.2%
Goals
| Over 2.5 | 55.3% | Under 2.5 | 44.7% |
| BTTS yes | 54.4% | BTTS no | 45.6% |
| Ñublense 1+ | 82.7% | Ñublense 2+ | 52.4% |
| Cobresal 1+ | 68.0% | Cobresal 2+ | 31.5% |
Expected goals 1.76 – 1.14. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.
Footing
Positive factors
- Ñublense carry the stronger rating, 1504 Elo against 1417.
Risk factors
- No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.
Why the model thinks this
The price
Ñublense have an estimated 53.2% win probability, against 27.7% for Cobresal and 19.1% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.76 for Ñublense and 1.14 for Cobresal.
Why Ñublense
Ñublense carry the stronger rating, 1504 Elo against 1417.
Why the draw is live
The draw sits at 19.1%. Draws run at 21% in this competition.
Why Cobresal can win
Nothing in the data singles out Cobresal.
Key players
No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.
Availability
No lineup on record for Ñublense, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Cobresal, so availability is unknown.
The matchup, as far as the data reaches
Ñublense: 51% possession, 12.2 shots a match, 12.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Cobresal: 41% possession, 14.8 shots a match, 19.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.
Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-27 10:01 · team_stats 2026-10-27 06:03 · availability 2026-10-27 14:57 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·
Ñublense are the model's most likely outcome at 53.2%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-0 at 11.6%. Confidence 80/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.
Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.
Was this pick made in advance?
-oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches
played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight.
Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.What the model said
| Model | Home / Draw / Away | Expected goals | Likeliest score | O2.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ai-blend | 1.76–1.14 | 0% | 0% | 0% | |
| dc-xg | 1.70–1.09 | 1-0 12% | 53% | 52% |
A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest:
it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.
Using this section
All markets
Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.
1X2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ñublense to win | 53.4% | 51.6% | 49.0% | 1.05× | 1.94 |
| Cobresal to win | 26.4% | 27.9% | 30.0% | 0.93× | 3.58 |
| Draw | 20.2% | 24.5% | 21.2% | 1.15× | 4.09 |
1X2 & GG/NG 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ñublense & not both score | 29.3% | 25.2% | 26.8% | 0.94× | 3.97 |
| Ñublense & both teams score | 24.1% | 21.8% | 22.4% | 0.97× | 4.59 |
| Draw & both teams score | 16.0% | 18.0% | 16.6% | 1.08× | 5.57 |
| Cobresal & not both score | 14.1% | 13.3% | 16.8% | 0.79× | 7.54 |
| Cobresal & both teams score | 12.3% | 13.3% | 13.4% | 0.99× | 7.54 |
| Draw & not both score | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 1.00× | 20.49 |
1X2 & Over/Under 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ñublense & over 1.5 | 41.0% | 40.3% | 36.1% | 1.12× | 2.48 |
| Ñublense & under 3.5 | 35.9% | 34.9% | 34.1% | 1.02× | 2.87 |
| Ñublense & over 2.5 | 32.2% | 30.8% | 29.3% | 1.05× | 3.25 |
| Ñublense & under 2.5 | 21.2% | 21.6% | 20.0% | 1.08× | 4.63 |
| Cobresal & under 3.5 | 19.9% | 18.0% | 23.4% | 0.77× | 5.55 |
| Ñublense & over 3.5 | 17.5% | 18.0% | 15.1% | 1.19× | 5.56 |
| Cobresal & over 1.5 | 17.8% | 18.0% | 20.0% | 0.90× | 5.56 |
| Draw & over 1.5 | 16.0% | 18.0% | 16.6% | 1.09× | 5.56 |
| Draw & under 2.5 | 13.7% | 12.8% | 13.9% | 0.92× | 7.79 |
| Draw & under 3.5 | 13.7% | 12.8% | 13.9% | 0.92× | 7.79 |
| Cobresal & over 2.5 | 14.1% | 12.8% | 16.6% | 0.77× | 7.79 |
| Ñublense & under 1.5 | 12.4% | 12.8% | 13.2% | 0.97× | 7.79 |
| Cobresal & under 2.5 | 12.3% | 12.8% | 13.7% | 0.94× | 7.79 |
| Cobresal & under 1.5 | 8.6% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 0.77× | 12.63 |
| Draw & over 2.5 | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 1.05× | 12.63 |
| Draw & over 3.5 | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 1.05× | 12.63 |
| Cobresal & over 3.5 | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 1.16× | 12.63 |
| Draw & under 1.5 | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 0.98× | 20.82 |
1X2 1UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ñublense (1UP) | 66.8% | 70.2% | — | — | 1.42 |
| Cobresal (1UP) | 43.4% | 38.7% | — | — | 2.59 |
1X2 2UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ñublense (2UP) | 53.4% | 55.4% | — | — | 1.81 |
| Cobresal (2UP) | 26.4% | 25.1% | — | — | 3.98 |
2nd half 1X2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ñublense to win 2nd half | 42.2% | 42.0% | — | — | 2.38 |
| 2nd half drawn | 33.1% | 34.0% | — | — | 2.94 |
| Cobresal to win 2nd half | 24.7% | 24.4% | — | — | 4.10 |
2nd half away goals O/U 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cobresal under 1.5 in 2nd half | 85.9% | 87.0% | — | — | 1.15 |
| Cobresal under 0.5 in 2nd half | 51.9% | 52.4% | — | — | 1.91 |
| Cobresal over 0.5 in 2nd half | 48.1% | 47.6% | — | — | 2.10 |
| Cobresal over 1.5 in 2nd half | 14.1% | 13.0% | — | — | 7.71 |
2nd half home goals O/U 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ñublense under 1.5 in 2nd half | 74.8% | 74.5% | — | — | 1.34 |
| Ñublense over 0.5 in 2nd half | 61.9% | 63.1% | — | — | 1.59 |
| Ñublense under 0.5 in 2nd half | 38.1% | 36.9% | — | — | 2.71 |
| Ñublense over 1.5 in 2nd half | 25.2% | 25.5% | — | — | 3.92 |
Asian handicap 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cobresal (+2.5) | 87.9% | 88.5% | 89.5% | 0.99× | 1.13 |
| Ñublense (+0.5) | 73.6% | 73.7% | 70.0% | 1.05× | 1.36 |
| Cobresal (+1.5) | 72.1% | 73.7% | 76.8% | 0.96× | 1.36 |
| Ñublense (-0.5) | 53.4% | 52.4% | 49.0% | 1.07× | 1.91 |
| Cobresal (+0.5) | 46.6% | 47.6% | 51.0% | 0.93× | 2.10 |
| Ñublense (-1.5) | 27.9% | 26.3% | 23.2% | 1.14× | 3.80 |
| Cobresal (-0.5) | 26.4% | 26.3% | 30.0% | 0.88× | 3.80 |
| Ñublense (-2.5) | 12.1% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 1.10× | 8.67 |
Away clean sheet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cobresal to concede | 81.6% | 81.5% | 78.5% | 1.04× | 1.23 |
| Cobresal clean sheet | 18.4% | 18.5% | 21.5% | 0.86× | 5.39 |
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cobresal to concede in 1st half | 51.8% | 50.8% | — | — | 1.97 |
| Cobresal clean sheet in 1st half | 48.2% | 49.2% | — | — | 2.03 |
Away clean sheet 2HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cobresal to concede in 2nd half | 61.9% | 61.7% | — | — | 1.62 |
| Cobresal clean sheet in 2nd half | 38.1% | 38.3% | — | — | 2.61 |
Away corners O/U 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cobresal under 6.5 corners | 89.0% | 85.2% | — | — | 1.17 |
| Cobresal under 5.5 corners | 80.9% | 81.4% | — | — | 1.23 |
| Cobresal under 4.5 corners | 68.7% | 67.6% | — | — | 1.48 |
| Cobresal over 2.5 corners | 66.0% | 67.6% | — | — | 1.48 |
| Cobresal under 3.5 corners | 52.6% | 53.1% | — | — | 1.88 |
| Cobresal over 3.5 corners | 47.4% | 46.9% | — | — | 2.13 |
| Cobresal under 2.5 corners | 34.0% | 32.4% | — | — | 3.09 |
| Cobresal over 4.5 corners | 31.3% | 32.4% | — | — | 3.09 |
| Cobresal over 5.5 corners | 19.1% | 18.6% | — | — | 5.38 |
| Cobresal over 6.5 corners | 11.0% | 14.8% | — | — | 6.78 |
Away goals O/U 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cobresal under 3.5 goals | 97.5% | 97.5% | 97.1% | 1.00× | 1.03 |
| Cobresal under 2.5 goals | 90.2% | 92.3% | 88.3% | 1.05× | 1.08 |
| Cobresal under 1.5 goals | 70.2% | 71.8% | 68.5% | 1.05× | 1.39 |
| Cobresal over 0.5 goals | 66.5% | 68.0% | 68.5% | 0.99× | 1.47 |
| Cobresal under 0.5 goals | 33.5% | 32.0% | 31.5% | 1.02× | 3.13 |
| Cobresal over 1.5 goals | 29.8% | 28.2% | 31.5% | 0.90× | 3.55 |
| Cobresal over 2.5 goals | 9.8% | 7.7% | 11.7% | 0.65× | 13.05 |
| Cobresal over 3.5 goals | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 0.86× | 39.84 |
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cobresal under 1.5 in 1st half | 92.8% | 93.9% | — | — | 1.06 |
| Cobresal under 0.5 in 1st half | 64.6% | 63.3% | — | — | 1.58 |
| Cobresal over 0.5 in 1st half | 35.4% | 36.7% | — | — | 2.73 |
| Cobresal over 1.5 in 1st half | 7.2% | 6.1% | — | — | 16.51 |
Away highest scoring half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cobresal scores equally in both | 43.8% | 43.7% | — | — | 2.29 |
| Cobresal scores more in 2nd half | 35.2% | 37.3% | — | — | 2.68 |
| Cobresal scores more in 1st half | 20.9% | 21.8% | — | — | 4.60 |
Away no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ñublense (away no bet) | 72.5% | 68.4% | 69.8% | 0.98× | 1.46 |
| Draw (away no bet) | 27.5% | 31.6% | 30.2% | 1.05× | 3.16 |
Away Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cobresal even goals | 55.6% | 56.9% | 53.7% | 1.06× | 1.76 |
| Cobresal odd goals | 44.4% | 43.1% | 46.3% | 0.93× | 2.32 |
Both halves O1.5 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both halves over 1.5 | 84.3% | 83.2% | — | — | 1.20 |
| Both halves over 1.5 goals | 15.7% | 16.8% | — | — | 5.97 |
Both halves U1.5 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both halves under 1.5 | 64.1% | 57.6% | — | — | 1.74 |
| Both halves under 1.5 goals | 35.9% | 42.4% | — | — | 2.36 |
Consecutive goals 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Either team to score 2+ in a row | 57.6% | 55.0% | — | — | 1.82 |
| Ñublense to score 2+ in a row | 42.4% | 38.7% | — | — | 2.58 |
| Either team to score 3+ in a row | 21.6% | 19.5% | — | — | 5.13 |
| Cobresal to score 2+ in a row | 21.4% | 19.5% | — | — | 5.13 |
| Ñublense to score 3+ in a row | 16.7% | 16.1% | — | — | 6.20 |
| Cobresal to score 3+ in a row | 5.2% | 5.4% | — | — | 18.36 |
Corner handicap 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ñublense corners (+3.5) | 94.2% | 89.6% | — | — | 1.12 |
| Ñublense corners (+2.5) | 90.2% | 89.6% | — | — | 1.12 |
| Ñublense corners (+1.5) | 84.3% | 79.8% | — | — | 1.25 |
| Cobresal corners (+3.5) | 65.2% | 65.9% | — | — | 1.52 |
| Ñublense corners (-1.5) | 56.2% | 57.2% | — | — | 1.75 |
| Cobresal corners (+2.5) | 54.8% | 52.4% | — | — | 1.91 |
| Ñublense corners (-2.5) | 45.2% | 47.6% | — | — | 2.10 |
| Cobresal corners (+1.5) | 43.8% | 42.9% | — | — | 2.33 |
| Ñublense corners (-3.5) | 34.8% | 34.1% | — | — | 2.93 |
| Cobresal corners (-1.5) | 15.7% | 20.2% | — | — | 4.95 |
| Cobresal corners (-2.5) | 9.8% | 10.4% | — | — | 9.59 |
| Cobresal corners (-3.5) | 5.8% | 10.4% | — | — | 9.60 |
Corner range 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-8 corners | 42.8% | 38.3% | — | — | 2.61 |
| 9-11 corners | 29.4% | 31.2% | — | — | 3.20 |
| 12+ corners | 27.8% | 31.2% | — | — | 3.21 |
Corners O/U 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 12.5 corners | 79.5% | 76.6% | — | — | 1.31 |
| Under 11.5 corners | 72.2% | 72.5% | — | — | 1.38 |
| Over 7.5 corners | 67.9% | 67.8% | — | — | 1.48 |
| Under 10.5 corners | 63.4% | 63.3% | — | — | 1.58 |
| Over 8.5 corners | 57.2% | 57.9% | — | — | 1.73 |
| Under 9.5 corners | 53.5% | 53.2% | — | — | 1.88 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 46.5% | 46.8% | — | — | 2.14 |
| Under 8.5 corners | 42.8% | 42.1% | — | — | 2.37 |
| Over 10.5 corners | 36.6% | 36.7% | — | — | 2.72 |
| Under 7.5 corners | 32.1% | 32.2% | — | — | 3.11 |
| Over 11.5 corners | 27.8% | 27.5% | — | — | 3.64 |
| Over 12.5 corners | 20.5% | 23.4% | — | — | 4.27 |
Corners Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odd number of corners | 50.0% | 50.2% | — | — | 1.99 |
| Even number of corners | 50.0% | 49.8% | — | — | 2.01 |
Correct score 26
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1-0 | 12.4% | 11.5% | 13.2% | 0.87× | 8.71 |
| 0-1 | 8.6% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 0.72× | 13.51 |
| 1-1 | 9.5% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 0.80× | 13.51 |
| 2-0 | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 1.05× | 13.51 |
| 2-1 | 9.7% | 7.4% | 10.7% | 0.69× | 13.51 |
| 1-2 | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 1.01× | 13.51 |
| 2-2 | 5.3% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 1.21× | 13.51 |
| 3-1 | 5.5% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 1.60× | 13.51 |
| 3-0 | 5.0% | 1.7% | 3.9% | 0.44× | 58.29 |
| 0-0 | 4.2% | 1.7% | 4.9% | 0.35× | 58.30 |
| 0-2 | 3.7% | 1.7% | 3.7% | 0.47× | 58.30 |
| 0-3 | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 0.59× | 58.31 |
| 0-4 | 0.4% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 2.34× | 58.32 |
| 1-3 | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 0.78× | 58.31 |
| 1-4 | 0.6% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 2.34× | 58.32 |
| 2-3 | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 0.78× | 58.31 |
| 2-4 | 0.5% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.76× | 58.32 |
| 3-2 | 3.0% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 0.88× | 58.30 |
| 3-3 | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.00× | 58.31 |
| 3-4 | 0.3% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.76× | 58.32 |
| 4-0 | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 0.70× | 58.31 |
| 4-1 | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.00× | 58.31 |
| 4-2 | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.00× | 58.31 |
| 4-3 | 0.5% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.76× | 58.32 |
| 4-4 | 0.1% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 7.03× | 58.32 |
| Any other score | 3.4% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 0.50× | 58.30 |
DNB 2nd half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ñublense (2nd half DNB) | 63.1% | 63.0% | — | — | 1.59 |
| Cobresal (2nd half DNB) | 36.9% | 37.0% | — | — | 2.71 |
DNB half time 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ñublense leading at HT (DNB) | 65.8% | 73.4% | — | — | 1.36 |
| Cobresal leading at HT (DNB) | 34.2% | 26.6% | — | — | 3.76 |
Double chance 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ñublense or Cobresal (12) | 79.8% | 75.5% | 78.8% | 0.96× | 1.32 |
| Ñublense or draw (1X) | 73.6% | 72.1% | 70.0% | 1.03× | 1.39 |
| Cobresal or draw (X2) | 46.6% | 48.4% | 51.0% | 0.95× | 2.06 |
Double chance 1HT 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ñublense or draw at HT | 79.9% | 79.7% | — | — | 1.25 |
| Cobresal or draw at HT | 61.3% | 60.9% | — | — | 1.64 |
| Ñublense or Cobresal at HT | 58.8% | 57.5% | — | — | 1.74 |
Double chance 1UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ñublense or draw (1UP) | 73.6% | 79.7% | — | — | 1.26 |
| Cobresal or draw (1UP) | 46.6% | 52.9% | — | — | 1.89 |
Double chance 2HT 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ñublense or draw in 2nd half | 75.3% | 75.6% | — | — | 1.32 |
| Ñublense or Cobresal in 2nd half | 66.9% | 66.0% | — | — | 1.52 |
| Cobresal or draw in 2nd half | 57.8% | 58.0% | — | — | 1.72 |
Draw either half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A half drawn | 62.8% | 61.4% | — | — | 1.63 |
| Neither half drawn | 37.2% | 38.6% | — | — | 2.59 |
Draw no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ñublense (DNB) | 66.9% | 67.4% | 62.0% | 1.09× | 1.48 |
| Cobresal (DNB) | 33.1% | 32.6% | 38.0% | 0.86× | 3.07 |
First goal 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ñublense to score first | 58.2% | 62.5% | — | — | 1.60 |
| Cobresal to score first | 37.5% | 32.7% | — | — | 3.06 |
| No goal scored | 4.2% | 4.4% | — | — | 22.79 |
GG/NG 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score | 52.4% | 51.3% | 52.0% | 0.99× | 1.95 |
| Not both teams to score | 47.6% | 48.7% | 48.0% | 1.01× | 2.05 |
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both score & over 2.5 | 42.9% | 41.6% | 42.9% | 0.97× | 2.41 |
| Not both score & under 2.5 | 37.8% | 38.5% | 38.0% | 1.01× | 2.60 |
| Not both score & over 2.5 | 9.9% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 0.81× | 12.06 |
| Both score & under 2.5 | 9.5% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 0.89× | 12.06 |
GG/NG 2+ 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both teams to score 2+ | 84.9% | 82.7% | 84.6% | 0.98× | 1.21 |
| Both teams to score 2+ | 15.1% | 17.3% | 15.4% | 1.13× | 5.77 |
GG/NG 2nd half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both to score in 2nd half | 70.9% | 73.6% | — | — | 1.36 |
| Both teams to score in 2nd half | 29.1% | 26.4% | — | — | 3.78 |
GG/NG by half 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neither half both score | 58.3% | 60.2% | — | — | 1.66 |
| Both score 2nd half only | 23.7% | 21.3% | — | — | 4.70 |
| Both score 1st half only | 12.5% | 10.7% | — | — | 9.32 |
| Both score in both halves | 5.5% | 6.7% | — | — | 14.84 |
GG/NG half time 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both to score by HT | 82.0% | 83.4% | — | — | 1.20 |
| Both teams to score by HT | 18.0% | 16.6% | — | — | 6.04 |
Goal in both halves 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A goal in each half | 54.3% | 52.7% | — | — | 1.90 |
| A half without a goal | 45.7% | 47.3% | — | — | 2.11 |
Goal range 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2-3 goals | 44.2% | 42.2% | 43.4% | 0.97× | 2.37 |
| 4-6 goals | 28.1% | 26.6% | 26.8% | 0.99× | 3.76 |
| 0-1 goals | 25.2% | 26.6% | 27.8% | 0.96× | 3.76 |
| 7+ goals | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 0.75× | 54.32 |
Goals away 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cobresal to score exactly 1 | 36.6% | 35.9% | 37.3% | 0.96× | 2.78 |
| Cobresal to score exactly 0 | 33.5% | 33.8% | 31.5% | 1.08× | 2.96 |
| Cobresal to score exactly 2 | 20.0% | 22.3% | 20.0% | 1.11× | 4.49 |
| Cobresal to score 3+ | 9.8% | 8.6% | 11.7% | 0.73× | 11.68 |
Goals home 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ñublense to score exactly 1 | 31.1% | 32.6% | 31.7% | 1.03× | 3.07 |
| Ñublense to score exactly 2 | 26.4% | 26.6% | 26.3% | 1.01× | 3.77 |
| Ñublense to score 3+ | 24.1% | 23.3% | 21.0% | 1.11× | 4.29 |
| Ñublense to score exactly 0 | 18.4% | 18.8% | 21.5% | 0.88× | 5.32 |
Half time 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw at HT | 41.2% | 42.5% | — | — | 2.35 |
| Ñublense leading at HT | 38.7% | 39.1% | — | — | 2.56 |
| Cobresal leading at HT | 20.1% | 20.3% | — | — | 4.93 |
Handicap 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ñublense -1: 2 | 46.6% | 46.8% | — | — | 2.14 |
| Ñublense -1: 1 | 27.9% | 26.5% | — | — | 3.77 |
| Ñublense -1: X | 25.5% | 26.5% | — | — | 3.77 |
Handicap 0:1 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cobresal (0:1) | 46.6% | 46.1% | 51.0% | 0.90× | 2.17 |
| Ñublense (0:1) | 27.9% | 27.0% | 23.2% | 1.17× | 3.70 |
| Draw (0:1) | 25.5% | 27.0% | 26.1% | 1.03× | 3.70 |
Handicap 0:2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cobresal (0:2) | 72.1% | 75.6% | 76.8% | 0.98× | 1.32 |
| Draw (0:2) | 15.7% | 15.2% | 12.9% | 1.18× | 6.56 |
| Ñublense (0:2) | 12.1% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 1.05× | 9.10 |
Handicap 0:3 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cobresal (0:3) | 87.9% | 90.6% | 89.5% | 1.01× | 1.10 |
| Draw (0:3) | 7.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 1.08× | 17.24 |
| Ñublense (0:3) | 4.3% | 2.4% | 5.4% | 0.44× | 41.95 |
Handicap 0:4 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cobresal (0:4) | 95.7% | 98.1% | 94.6% | 1.04× | 1.02 |
| Draw (0:4) | 3.0% | 1.2% | 4.1% | 0.30× | 81.63 |
| Ñublense (0:4) | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 0.84× | 81.82 |
Handicap 1:0 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ñublense (1:0) | 73.6% | 72.5% | 70.0% | 1.04× | 1.38 |
| Draw (1:0) | 17.1% | 17.1% | 20.0% | 0.85× | 5.85 |
| Cobresal (1:0) | 9.3% | 6.9% | 10.2% | 0.67× | 14.47 |
Handicap 2:0 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ñublense (2:0) | 90.7% | 94.0% | 89.8% | 1.05× | 1.06 |
| Draw (2:0) | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 1.01× | 15.67 |
| Cobresal (2:0) | 2.7% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 0.55× | 43.75 |
Highest scoring half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd half highest scoring | 49.6% | 48.6% | — | — | 2.06 |
| 1st half highest scoring | 28.7% | 26.2% | — | — | 3.81 |
| Halves equal | 21.8% | 24.5% | — | — | 4.09 |
Home clean sheet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ñublense to concede | 66.5% | 66.7% | 68.5% | 0.97× | 1.50 |
| Ñublense clean sheet | 33.5% | 33.3% | 31.5% | 1.06× | 3.00 |
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ñublense clean sheet in 1st half | 64.6% | 63.3% | — | — | 1.58 |
| Ñublense to concede in 1st half | 35.4% | 36.7% | — | — | 2.72 |
Home clean sheet 2HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ñublense clean sheet in 2nd half | 51.9% | 52.5% | — | — | 1.91 |
| Ñublense to concede in 2nd half | 48.1% | 47.5% | — | — | 2.10 |
Home corners O/U 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ñublense over 2.5 corners | 87.6% | 86.2% | — | — | 1.16 |
| Ñublense over 3.5 corners | 76.6% | 76.5% | — | — | 1.31 |
| Ñublense over 4.5 corners | 63.4% | 62.3% | — | — | 1.61 |
| Ñublense under 6.5 corners | 62.7% | 62.3% | — | — | 1.61 |
| Ñublense under 5.5 corners | 50.2% | 52.6% | — | — | 1.90 |
| Ñublense over 5.5 corners | 49.8% | 47.4% | — | — | 2.11 |
| Ñublense over 6.5 corners | 37.3% | 37.7% | — | — | 2.65 |
| Ñublense under 4.5 corners | 36.6% | 37.7% | — | — | 2.65 |
| Ñublense under 3.5 corners | 23.4% | 23.5% | — | — | 4.26 |
| Ñublense under 2.5 corners | 12.4% | 13.8% | — | — | 7.26 |
Home goals O/U 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ñublense under 3.5 goals | 90.8% | 92.2% | 91.0% | 1.01× | 1.09 |
| Ñublense over 0.5 goals | 81.6% | 82.2% | 78.5% | 1.05× | 1.22 |
| Ñublense under 2.5 goals | 75.9% | 77.8% | 79.0% | 0.98× | 1.29 |
| Ñublense over 1.5 goals | 50.5% | 53.2% | 47.1% | 1.13× | 1.88 |
| Ñublense under 1.5 goals | 49.5% | 46.8% | 52.9% | 0.88× | 2.14 |
| Ñublense over 2.5 goals | 24.1% | 22.2% | 21.0% | 1.06× | 4.50 |
| Ñublense under 0.5 goals | 18.4% | 17.8% | 21.5% | 0.83× | 5.62 |
| Ñublense over 3.5 goals | 9.2% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 0.86× | 12.82 |
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ñublense under 1.5 in 1st half | 83.4% | 84.2% | — | — | 1.19 |
| Ñublense over 0.5 in 1st half | 51.8% | 50.6% | — | — | 1.98 |
| Ñublense under 0.5 in 1st half | 48.2% | 49.4% | — | — | 2.03 |
| Ñublense over 1.5 in 1st half | 16.6% | 15.8% | — | — | 6.34 |
Home highest scoring half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ñublense scores more in 2nd half | 39.7% | 38.2% | — | — | 2.62 |
| Ñublense scores equally in both | 33.8% | 33.2% | — | — | 3.01 |
| Ñublense scores more in 1st half | 26.5% | 27.8% | — | — | 3.59 |
Home no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cobresal (home no bet) | 56.6% | 56.4% | 58.6% | 0.96× | 1.77 |
| Draw (home no bet) | 43.4% | 43.6% | 41.4% | 1.05× | 2.29 |
Home Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ñublense even goals | 51.7% | 50.8% | 54.4% | 0.93× | 1.97 |
| Ñublense odd goals | 48.3% | 49.2% | 45.6% | 1.08× | 2.03 |
HT correct score 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HT 0-0 | 30.8% | 33.4% | — | — | 3.00 |
| HT 1-0 | 23.0% | 24.4% | — | — | 4.10 |
| HT 0-1 | 14.0% | 11.0% | — | — | 9.09 |
| HT 1-1 | 9.6% | 6.9% | — | — | 14.51 |
| HT 2-0 | 8.3% | 6.9% | — | — | 14.53 |
| Any other HT score | 4.7% | 2.4% | — | — | 42.11 |
| HT 2-1 | 3.6% | 2.4% | — | — | 42.18 |
| HT 0-2 | 3.0% | 2.4% | — | — | 42.23 |
| HT 1-2 | 2.2% | 2.4% | — | — | 42.28 |
| HT 2-2 | 0.8% | 2.4% | — | — | 42.37 |
HT/FT 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ñublense at HT / Ñublense at FT | 32.2% | 32.8% | — | — | 3.05 |
| Draw at HT / Ñublense at FT | 18.5% | 16.8% | — | — | 5.96 |
| Cobresal at HT / Cobresal at FT | 13.4% | 12.7% | — | — | 7.89 |
| Draw at HT / Draw at FT | 11.5% | 12.7% | — | — | 7.90 |
| Draw at HT / Cobresal at FT | 11.2% | 12.7% | — | — | 7.90 |
| Ñublense at HT / Draw at FT | 4.7% | 3.5% | — | — | 28.87 |
| Cobresal at HT / Draw at FT | 4.1% | 3.5% | — | — | 28.89 |
| Cobresal at HT / Ñublense at FT | 2.7% | 3.5% | — | — | 28.94 |
| Ñublense at HT / Cobresal at FT | 1.8% | 3.5% | — | — | 28.97 |
Last goal 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ñublense to score last | 58.0% | 56.7% | — | — | 1.76 |
| Cobresal to score last | 37.8% | 38.7% | — | — | 2.59 |
| No goal scored | 4.2% | 4.4% | — | — | 22.79 |
Lead at any time 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Either team to lead by 1 at any time | 95.8% | 95.5% | — | — | 1.05 |
| Ñublense to lead by 1 at any time | 66.8% | 69.3% | — | — | 1.44 |
| Either team to lead by 2 at any time | 48.6% | 44.4% | — | — | 2.25 |
| Cobresal to lead by 1 at any time | 43.4% | 39.2% | — | — | 2.55 |
| Ñublense to lead by 2 at any time | 34.5% | 29.8% | — | — | 3.36 |
| Either team to lead by 3 at any time | 18.5% | 14.8% | — | — | 6.74 |
| Ñublense to lead by 3 at any time | 14.6% | 10.6% | — | — | 9.40 |
| Cobresal to lead by 2 at any time | 14.3% | 10.6% | — | — | 9.40 |
| Cobresal to lead by 3 at any time | 3.9% | 1.6% | — | — | 61.49 |
Most corners 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ñublense most corners | 66.9% | 64.5% | — | — | 1.55 |
| Cobresal most corners | 23.5% | 25.9% | — | — | 3.86 |
| Corners level | 9.6% | 8.3% | — | — | 11.98 |
Multi goal 15
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1-5 goals | 89.4% | 87.4% | 87.3% | 1.00× | 1.14 |
| 1-4 goals | 80.7% | 83.4% | 81.2% | 1.03× | 1.20 |
| 2-6 goals | 72.4% | 72.3% | 70.0% | 1.03× | 1.38 |
| 2-5 goals | 68.4% | 68.8% | 64.4% | 1.07× | 1.45 |
| 1-3 goals | 65.2% | 68.8% | 66.3% | 1.04× | 1.45 |
| 2-4 goals | 59.7% | 59.1% | 58.3% | 1.01× | 1.69 |
| 3-6 goals | 50.4% | 53.1% | 50.7% | 1.05× | 1.88 |
| 3-5 goals | 46.4% | 48.4% | 45.1% | 1.07× | 2.06 |
| 2-3 goals | 44.2% | 43.6% | 43.4% | 1.00× | 2.29 |
| 1-2 goals | 43.0% | 43.6% | 42.4% | 1.03× | 2.29 |
| 3-4 goals | 37.7% | 39.2% | 39.0% | 1.00× | 2.55 |
| 4-6 goals | 28.1% | 30.2% | 26.8% | 1.13× | 3.31 |
| 4-5 goals | 24.1% | 24.5% | 21.2% | 1.15× | 4.09 |
| 5-6 goals | 12.7% | 14.8% | 12.0% | 1.24× | 6.76 |
| 7+ goals | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.05× | 39.16 |
Never down 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ñublense never behind | 52.3% | 62.3% | — | — | 1.60 |
| Cobresal never behind | 29.0% | 29.9% | — | — | 3.34 |
Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even number of goals | 46.4% | 50.9% | 44.9% | 1.13× | 1.97 |
| Odd number of goals | 53.6% | 49.1% | 55.1% | 0.89× | 2.04 |
Odd/Even 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even goals in 1st half | 54.2% | 51.8% | — | — | 1.93 |
| Odd goals in 1st half | 45.8% | 48.2% | — | — | 2.07 |
Odd/Even 2HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even goals in 2nd half | 50.6% | 52.0% | — | — | 1.92 |
| Odd goals in 2nd half | 49.4% | 48.0% | — | — | 2.08 |
Over/Under 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 95.8% | 95.4% | 95.1% | 1.00× | 1.05 |
| Under 5.5 goals | 93.6% | 92.3% | 92.0% | 1.00× | 1.08 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 85.0% | 82.3% | 85.9% | 0.96× | 1.22 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74.8% | 72.5% | 72.2% | 1.00× | 1.38 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 69.5% | 66.3% | 71.0% | 0.93× | 1.51 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52.8% | 52.5% | 52.9% | 0.99× | 1.90 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 47.2% | 47.5% | 47.1% | 1.01× | 2.11 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 30.5% | 33.7% | 29.0% | 1.16× | 2.97 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 25.2% | 27.5% | 27.8% | 0.99× | 3.64 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 15.0% | 17.7% | 14.1% | 1.25× | 5.66 |
| Over 5.5 goals | 6.4% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 0.96× | 12.94 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 0.94× | 21.81 |
Over/Under (whole line) 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6 (void on exactly 6) | 97.5% | 97.2% | 97.4% | 1.00× | 1.03 |
| Under 5 (void on exactly 5) | 93.0% | 92.4% | 91.4% | 1.01× | 1.08 |
| Under 4 (void on exactly 4) | 82.2% | 81.1% | 83.4% | 0.97× | 1.23 |
| Over 2 (void on exactly 2) | 67.6% | 67.5% | 65.6% | 1.03× | 1.48 |
| Under 3 (void on exactly 3) | 60.7% | 61.9% | 61.9% | 1.00× | 1.62 |
| Over 3 (void on exactly 3) | 39.3% | 38.1% | 38.1% | 1.00× | 2.62 |
| Under 2 (void on exactly 2) | 32.4% | 32.5% | 34.4% | 0.94× | 3.08 |
| Over 4 (void on exactly 4) | 17.8% | 18.9% | 16.6% | 1.14× | 5.29 |
| Over 5 (void on exactly 5) | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 0.88× | 13.19 |
| Over 6 (void on exactly 6) | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.09× | 35.62 |
Over/Under 1HT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 in 1st half | 88.7% | 89.1% | — | — | 1.12 |
| Over 0.5 in 1st half | 69.2% | 68.7% | — | — | 1.46 |
| Under 1.5 in 1st half | 67.8% | 68.6% | — | — | 1.46 |
| Over 1.5 in 1st half | 32.2% | 31.4% | — | — | 3.19 |
| Under 0.5 in 1st half | 30.8% | 31.3% | — | — | 3.19 |
| Over 2.5 in 1st half | 11.3% | 10.9% | — | — | 9.16 |
Over/Under 2HT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 in 2nd half | 80.9% | 82.9% | — | — | 1.21 |
| Under 2.5 in 2nd half | 77.8% | 79.6% | — | — | 1.26 |
| Under 1.5 in 2nd half | 52.4% | 53.2% | — | — | 1.88 |
| Over 1.5 in 2nd half | 47.6% | 46.8% | — | — | 2.14 |
| Over 2.5 in 2nd half | 22.2% | 20.4% | — | — | 4.90 |
| Under 0.5 in 2nd half | 19.1% | 17.1% | — | — | 5.84 |
Score both halves 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cobresal not to score in both halves | 83.0% | 84.3% | — | — | 1.19 |
| Ñublense not to score in both halves | 67.9% | 70.1% | — | — | 1.43 |
| Ñublense to score in both halves | 32.1% | 29.9% | — | — | 3.34 |
| Cobresal to score in both halves | 17.0% | 15.7% | — | — | 6.38 |
Teams to score 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams score | 52.4% | 53.8% | 52.0% | 1.04× | 1.86 |
| Only Ñublense scores | 29.3% | 26.1% | 26.8% | 0.97× | 3.83 |
| Only Cobresal scores | 14.1% | 11.0% | 16.8% | 0.66× | 9.06 |
| Neither team scores | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 0.95× | 21.55 |
Total goals 7
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exactly 2 goals | 22.0% | 22.6% | 19.5% | 1.16× | 4.43 |
| Exactly 3 goals | 22.2% | 22.6% | 24.1% | 0.94× | 4.43 |
| Exactly 1 goals | 21.0% | 22.6% | 23.2% | 0.97× | 4.43 |
| Exactly 4 goals | 15.5% | 17.5% | 15.1% | 1.15× | 5.73 |
| Exactly 5 goals | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 1.20× | 13.13 |
| 6 or more goals | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 0.95× | 13.14 |
| Exactly 0 goals | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 0.92× | 22.34 |
Total goals 1st half 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 goal in 1st half | 37.0% | 37.3% | — | — | 2.68 |
| No goals in 1st half | 30.8% | 35.6% | — | — | 2.81 |
| 2 goals in 1st half | 20.9% | 21.5% | — | — | 4.66 |
| 3+ goals in 1st half | 11.3% | 10.8% | — | — | 9.24 |
Total goals 2nd half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2+ goals in 2nd half | 47.6% | 44.7% | — | — | 2.24 |
| 1 goal in 2nd half | 33.4% | 33.9% | — | — | 2.95 |
| No goals in 2nd half | 19.1% | 16.8% | — | — | 5.94 |
Win both halves 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cobresal not to win both halves | 95.3% | 97.2% | — | — | 1.03 |
| Ñublense not to win both halves | 84.1% | 83.5% | — | — | 1.20 |
| Ñublense to win both halves | 15.9% | 16.5% | — | — | 6.08 |
| Cobresal to win both halves | 4.7% | 2.8% | — | — | 35.30 |
Win either half 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ñublense to win either half | 65.0% | 65.1% | — | — | 1.54 |
| Cobresal to win neither half | 60.0% | 59.1% | — | — | 1.69 |
| Cobresal to win either half | 40.0% | 40.9% | — | — | 2.45 |
| Ñublense to win neither half | 35.0% | 34.9% | — | — | 2.86 |
Win to nil 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cobresal not to win to nil | 85.9% | 88.1% | 83.2% | 1.06× | 1.14 |
| Ñublense not to win to nil | 70.7% | 75.3% | 73.2% | 1.03× | 1.33 |
| Ñublense to win to nil | 29.3% | 24.7% | 26.8% | 0.92× | 4.04 |
| Cobresal to win to nil | 14.1% | 11.9% | 16.8% | 0.71× | 8.41 |
Winning margin 7
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ñublense by 1 | 25.5% | 27.9% | 26.1% | 1.07× | 3.59 |
| Draw | 20.2% | 24.1% | 21.2% | 1.14× | 4.15 |
| Cobresal by 1 | 17.1% | 17.0% | 20.0% | 0.85× | 5.87 |
| Ñublense by 2 | 15.7% | 17.0% | 12.9% | 1.32× | 5.87 |
| Ñublense by 3+ | 12.1% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 1.12× | 8.51 |
| Cobresal by 2 | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 1.13× | 13.91 |
| Cobresal by 3+ | 2.7% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 0.65× | 36.89 |