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O'Higgins v Coquimbo Unido — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 6 December 2026 · CHI-Primera Division · 2627

CHI-Primera Division results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily
O'Higgins win
38.4%
model 38.4%
Draw
23.1%
model 22.6%
Coquimbo Unido win
38.4%
model 39.0%

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (648 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

  1. 0-1 12.4%
  2. 1-0 12.3%
  3. 1-1 10.6%
  4. 1-2 8.1%
  5. 2-1 8.0%

Goals

Over 2.546.0% Under 2.554.0%
BTTS yes49.0% BTTS no51.0%
O'Higgins 1+71.3% O'Higgins 2+35.5%
Coquimbo Unido 1+71.7% Coquimbo Unido 2+36.0%

Expected goals 1.25 – 1.26. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence
80/100
Data quality
65/100
Model agreement
99%
★ Best pick
Coquimbo Unido (+0.5)
Asian handicap · usually 51%
63.7% fair odds 1.57
moderate signal · 1134 settled matches behind the band
★ Most likely to land
Coquimbo Unido (0:2)
Handicap 0:2 · usually 77%
83.8% fair odds 1.19
moderate signal · 504 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

  • Coquimbo Unido carry the stronger rating, 1619 Elo against 1473.

Risk factors

  • No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.
Why the model thinks this

The price

Coquimbo Unido have an estimated 38.4% win probability, against 38.4% for O'Higgins and 23.1% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.25 for O'Higgins and 1.26 for Coquimbo Unido.

Why O'Higgins

Nothing in the data singles out O'Higgins.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 23.1%. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.25 to 1.26. Draws run at 21% in this competition.

Why Coquimbo Unido can win

Coquimbo Unido carry the stronger rating, 1619 Elo against 1473.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for O'Higgins, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Coquimbo Unido, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

O'Higgins: 52% possession, 14.4 shots a match, 16.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Coquimbo Unido: 47% possession, 10.8 shots a match, 13.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-27 10:01 · team_stats 2026-10-27 06:03 · availability 2026-10-27 14:57 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Coquimbo Unido are the model's most likely outcome at 38.4%. The likeliest scoreline is 0-1 at 12.4%. Confidence 80/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
ai-blend 1.25–1.26 0% 0% 0%
dc-xg 1.16–1.21 0-1 13% 42% 46%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Coquimbo Unido to win 39.5% 36.4% 30.0% 1.21× 2.75
O'Higgins to win 37.1% 36.3% 49.0% 0.74× 2.75
Draw 23.4% 24.5% 21.2% 1.15× 4.09
1X2 & GG/NG 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Coquimbo Unido & not both score 24.2% 21.8% 16.8% 1.30× 4.59
O'Higgins & not both score 22.7% 21.8% 26.8% 0.81× 4.59
Draw & both teams score 16.3% 18.0% 16.6% 1.08× 5.57
Coquimbo Unido & both teams score 15.3% 18.0% 13.4% 1.34× 5.57
O'Higgins & both teams score 14.4% 13.3% 22.4% 0.59× 7.54
Draw & not both score 7.1% 8.3% 4.9% 1.71× 12.00
1X2 & Over/Under 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Coquimbo Unido & under 3.5 31.0% 30.7% 23.4% 1.31× 3.25
O'Higgins & under 3.5 29.4% 26.1% 34.1% 0.76× 3.84
Coquimbo Unido & over 1.5 26.0% 26.1% 20.0% 1.30× 3.84
O'Higgins & over 1.5 24.1% 21.6% 36.1% 0.60× 4.63
Coquimbo Unido & under 2.5 20.3% 21.6% 13.7% 1.58× 4.63
O'Higgins & under 2.5 19.3% 18.0% 20.0% 0.90× 5.55
Coquimbo Unido & over 2.5 19.2% 18.0% 16.6% 1.09× 5.55
O'Higgins & over 2.5 17.8% 18.0% 29.3% 0.62× 5.56
Draw & under 2.5 18.0% 18.0% 13.9% 1.30× 5.56
Draw & under 3.5 18.0% 18.0% 13.9% 1.30× 5.56
Draw & over 1.5 16.3% 18.0% 16.6% 1.09× 5.56
Coquimbo Unido & under 1.5 13.5% 12.8% 10.2% 1.25× 7.79
O'Higgins & under 1.5 13.0% 12.8% 13.2% 0.97× 7.79
O'Higgins & over 3.5 7.7% 7.9% 15.1% 0.52× 12.63
Coquimbo Unido & over 3.5 8.5% 7.9% 6.8% 1.16× 12.63
Draw & under 1.5 7.1% 7.9% 4.9% 1.62× 12.63
Draw & over 2.5 5.4% 7.9% 7.6% 1.05× 12.63
Draw & over 3.5 5.4% 7.9% 7.6% 1.05× 12.63
1X2 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Coquimbo Unido (1UP) 53.4% 52.4% — — 1.91
O'Higgins (1UP) 51.3% 52.3% — — 1.91
1X2 2UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Coquimbo Unido (2UP) 39.5% 37.4% — — 2.67
O'Higgins (2UP) 37.1% 37.3% — — 2.68
2nd half 1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half drawn 36.9% 36.4% — — 2.75
Coquimbo Unido to win 2nd half 33.5% 34.0% — — 2.94
O'Higgins to win 2nd half 29.6% 26.1% — — 3.83
2nd half away goals O/U 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Coquimbo Unido under 1.5 in 2nd half 83.5% 84.2% — — 1.19
Coquimbo Unido over 0.5 in 2nd half 51.7% 52.4% — — 1.91
Coquimbo Unido under 0.5 in 2nd half 48.3% 47.6% — — 2.10
Coquimbo Unido over 1.5 in 2nd half 16.5% 15.8% — — 6.32
2nd half home goals O/U 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
O'Higgins under 1.5 in 2nd half 85.7% 88.6% — — 1.13
O'Higgins under 0.5 in 2nd half 51.5% 54.9% — — 1.82
O'Higgins over 0.5 in 2nd half 48.5% 45.1% — — 2.22
O'Higgins over 1.5 in 2nd half 14.3% 11.4% — — 8.78
Asian handicap 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Coquimbo Unido (+2.5) 95.4% 96.3% 89.5% 1.08× 1.04
Coquimbo Unido (+1.5) 85.6% 88.5% 76.8% 1.15× 1.13
Coquimbo Unido (+0.5) 62.9% 63.0% 51.0% 1.24× 1.59
O'Higgins (+0.5) 60.5% 62.9% 70.0% 0.90× 1.59
Coquimbo Unido (-0.5) 39.5% 37.1% 30.0% 1.24× 2.70
O'Higgins (-0.5) 37.1% 37.0% 49.0% 0.76× 2.70
O'Higgins (-1.5) 14.4% 11.5% 23.2% 0.50× 8.66
O'Higgins (-2.5) 4.6% 3.7% 10.5% 0.35× 27.04
Away clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Coquimbo Unido to concede 68.7% 72.3% 78.5% 0.92× 1.38
Coquimbo Unido clean sheet 31.3% 27.7% 21.5% 1.29× 3.61
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Coquimbo Unido clean sheet in 1st half 60.6% 64.4% — — 1.55
Coquimbo Unido to concede in 1st half 39.4% 35.6% — — 2.81
Away clean sheet 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Coquimbo Unido clean sheet in 2nd half 51.5% 54.4% — — 1.84
Coquimbo Unido to concede in 2nd half 48.5% 45.6% — — 2.20
Away corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Coquimbo Unido over 2.5 corners 85.1% 85.2% — — 1.17
Coquimbo Unido over 3.5 corners 72.6% 71.6% — — 1.40
Coquimbo Unido under 6.5 corners 67.9% 67.6% — — 1.48
Coquimbo Unido over 4.5 corners 58.4% 57.2% — — 1.75
Coquimbo Unido under 5.5 corners 55.6% 57.2% — — 1.75
Coquimbo Unido over 5.5 corners 44.4% 42.8% — — 2.34
Coquimbo Unido under 4.5 corners 41.6% 42.8% — — 2.34
Coquimbo Unido over 6.5 corners 32.1% 32.4% — — 3.09
Coquimbo Unido under 3.5 corners 27.4% 28.4% — — 3.52
Coquimbo Unido under 2.5 corners 14.9% 14.8% — — 6.77
Away goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Coquimbo Unido under 3.5 goals 96.5% 97.5% 97.1% 1.00× 1.03
Coquimbo Unido under 2.5 goals 87.7% 87.8% 88.3% 0.99× 1.14
Coquimbo Unido over 0.5 goals 70.2% 71.8% 68.5% 1.05× 1.39
Coquimbo Unido under 1.5 goals 65.8% 68.0% 68.5% 0.99× 1.47
Coquimbo Unido over 1.5 goals 34.2% 32.0% 31.5% 1.02× 3.13
Coquimbo Unido under 0.5 goals 29.8% 28.2% 31.5% 0.90× 3.55
Coquimbo Unido over 2.5 goals 12.3% 12.2% 11.7% 1.04× 8.20
Coquimbo Unido over 3.5 goals 3.5% 2.5% 2.9% 0.86× 39.79
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Coquimbo Unido under 1.5 in 1st half 91.4% 93.9% — — 1.07
Coquimbo Unido under 0.5 in 1st half 61.6% 63.2% — — 1.58
Coquimbo Unido over 0.5 in 1st half 38.4% 36.8% — — 2.71
Coquimbo Unido over 1.5 in 1st half 8.6% 6.1% — — 16.38
Away highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Coquimbo Unido scores equally in both 41.2% 43.6% — — 2.29
Coquimbo Unido scores more in 2nd half 37.0% 37.3% — — 2.68
Coquimbo Unido scores more in 1st half 21.8% 21.8% — — 4.59
Away no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
O'Higgins (away no bet) 61.3% 61.9% 69.8% 0.89× 1.62
Draw (away no bet) 38.7% 38.1% 30.2% 1.26× 2.62
Away Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Coquimbo Unido even goals 54.4% 52.7% 53.7% 0.98× 1.90
Coquimbo Unido odd goals 45.6% 47.3% 46.3% 1.02× 2.11
Both halves O1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves over 1.5 89.5% 88.0% — — 1.14
Both halves over 1.5 goals 10.5% 12.0% — — 8.35
Both halves U1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves under 1.5 54.7% 51.3% — — 1.95
Both halves under 1.5 goals 45.3% 48.7% — — 2.06
Consecutive goals 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row 48.3% 46.2% — — 2.16
Coquimbo Unido to score 2+ in a row 27.3% 24.9% — — 4.01
O'Higgins to score 2+ in a row 25.5% 24.9% — — 4.02
Either team to score 3+ in a row 14.9% 12.2% — — 8.18
Coquimbo Unido to score 3+ in a row 7.9% 5.5% — — 18.14
O'Higgins to score 3+ in a row 7.1% 5.5% — — 18.21
Corner handicap 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Coquimbo Unido corners (+3.5) 83.3% 79.8% — — 1.25
O'Higgins corners (+3.5) 79.4% 74.8% — — 1.34
Coquimbo Unido corners (+2.5) 76.3% 74.8% — — 1.34
O'Higgins corners (+2.5) 71.6% 70.8% — — 1.41
Coquimbo Unido corners (+1.5) 67.7% 65.9% — — 1.52
O'Higgins corners (+1.5) 62.4% 61.9% — — 1.62
Coquimbo Unido corners (-1.5) 37.6% 38.1% — — 2.62
O'Higgins corners (-1.5) 32.3% 34.1% — — 2.93
Coquimbo Unido corners (-2.5) 28.4% 29.2% — — 3.42
O'Higgins corners (-2.5) 23.7% 25.2% — — 3.97
Coquimbo Unido corners (-3.5) 20.6% 25.2% — — 3.97
O'Higgins corners (-3.5) 16.7% 20.2% — — 4.95
Corner range 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
12+ corners 38.1% 34.0% — — 2.94
0-8 corners 32.4% 33.2% — — 3.01
9-11 corners 29.4% 31.2% — — 3.20
Corners O/U 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 7.5 corners 76.8% 76.6% — — 1.31
Under 12.5 corners 70.3% 72.5% — — 1.38
Over 8.5 corners 67.6% 67.8% — — 1.48
Under 11.5 corners 61.9% 63.2% — — 1.58
Over 9.5 corners 57.6% 57.9% — — 1.73
Under 10.5 corners 52.4% 53.2% — — 1.88
Over 10.5 corners 47.6% 46.8% — — 2.14
Under 9.5 corners 42.4% 42.1% — — 2.37
Over 11.5 corners 38.1% 36.8% — — 2.72
Under 8.5 corners 32.4% 32.2% — — 3.11
Over 12.5 corners 29.7% 27.5% — — 3.64
Under 7.5 corners 23.2% 23.4% — — 4.27
Corners Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odd number of corners 50.0% 50.2% — — 1.99
Even number of corners 50.0% 49.8% — — 2.01
Correct score 26
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
0-1 13.5% 11.5% 10.2% 1.12× 8.71
1-0 13.0% 11.5% 13.2% 0.87× 8.71
1-1 10.9% 11.5% 9.3% 1.24× 8.72
0-0 7.1% 7.4% 4.9% 1.52× 13.51
0-2 6.8% 7.4% 3.7% 2.02× 13.51
1-2 7.9% 7.4% 7.3% 1.01× 13.51
2-1 7.6% 7.4% 10.7% 0.69× 13.51
2-0 6.3% 7.4% 7.1% 1.05× 13.51
0-3 2.8% 1.7% 2.9% 0.59× 58.30
0-4 0.8% 1.7% 0.7% 2.34× 58.31
1-3 3.2% 1.7% 2.2% 0.78× 58.30
1-4 1.0% 1.7% 0.7% 2.34× 58.31
2-2 4.6% 1.7% 6.1% 0.28× 58.29
2-3 1.9% 1.7% 2.2% 0.78× 58.31
2-4 0.6% 1.7% 1.0% 1.76× 58.32
3-0 2.4% 1.7% 3.9% 0.44× 58.31
3-1 3.0% 1.7% 4.6% 0.37× 58.30
3-2 1.8% 1.7% 2.0% 0.88× 58.31
3-3 0.7% 1.7% 1.7% 1.00× 58.32
3-4 0.2% 1.7% 1.0% 1.76× 58.32
4-0 0.7% 1.7% 2.4% 0.70× 58.32
4-1 0.9% 1.7% 1.7% 1.00× 58.31
4-2 0.5% 1.7% 1.7% 1.00× 58.32
4-3 0.2% 1.7% 1.0% 1.76× 58.32
4-4 0.1% 1.7% 0.2% 7.03× 58.32
Any other score 1.5% 1.7% 3.4% 0.50× 58.31
DNB 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Coquimbo Unido (2nd half DNB) 53.1% 54.6% — — 1.83
O'Higgins (2nd half DNB) 46.9% 45.4% — — 2.20
DNB half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
O'Higgins leading at HT (DNB) 51.0% 55.9% — — 1.79
Coquimbo Unido leading at HT (DNB) 49.0% 44.1% — — 2.27
Double chance 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
O'Higgins or Coquimbo Unido (12) 76.6% 75.5% 78.8% 0.96× 1.32
Coquimbo Unido or draw (X2) 62.9% 63.7% 51.0% 1.25× 1.57
O'Higgins or draw (1X) 60.5% 63.6% 70.0% 0.91× 1.57
Double chance 1HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
O'Higgins or draw at HT 73.6% 74.5% — — 1.34
Coquimbo Unido or draw at HT 72.6% 74.5% — — 1.34
O'Higgins or Coquimbo Unido at HT 53.8% 48.6% — — 2.06
Double chance 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Coquimbo Unido or draw (1UP) 62.9% 71.7% — — 1.40
O'Higgins or draw (1UP) 60.5% 71.5% — — 1.40
Double chance 2HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Coquimbo Unido or draw in 2nd half 70.4% 73.9% — — 1.35
O'Higgins or draw in 2nd half 66.5% 66.0% — — 1.52
O'Higgins or Coquimbo Unido in 2nd half 63.1% 63.6% — — 1.57
Draw either half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A half drawn 68.4% 68.3% — — 1.46
Neither half drawn 31.6% 31.7% — — 3.16
Draw no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Coquimbo Unido (DNB) 51.6% 50.9% 38.0% 1.34× 1.97
O'Higgins (DNB) 48.4% 49.1% 62.0% 0.79× 2.04
First goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Coquimbo Unido to score first 47.4% 45.8% — — 2.18
O'Higgins to score first 45.5% 45.8% — — 2.19
No goal scored 7.1% 7.6% — — 13.23
GG/NG 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both teams to score 53.9% 51.3% 48.0% 1.07× 1.95
Both teams to score 46.1% 48.7% 52.0% 0.94× 2.05
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both score & under 2.5 46.7% 44.3% 38.0% 1.16× 2.26
Both score & over 2.5 35.2% 38.4% 42.9% 0.90× 2.60
Both score & under 2.5 10.9% 12.4% 9.3% 1.33× 8.09
Not both score & over 2.5 7.2% 8.3% 10.2% 0.81× 12.07
GG/NG 2+ 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both teams to score 2+ 88.9% 85.6% 84.6% 1.01× 1.17
Both teams to score 2+ 11.1% 14.4% 15.4% 0.94× 6.96
GG/NG 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half 75.7% 74.9% — — 1.34
Both teams to score in 2nd half 24.3% 25.1% — — 3.99
GG/NG by half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Neither half both score 64.8% 66.1% — — 1.51
Both score 2nd half only 20.5% 21.2% — — 4.72
Both score 1st half only 11.0% 10.7% — — 9.34
Both score in both halves 3.8% 4.9% — — 20.38
GG/NG half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score by HT 85.3% 84.6% — — 1.18
Both teams to score by HT 14.7% 15.4% — — 6.50
Goal in both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A half without a goal 54.0% 52.7% — — 1.90
A goal in each half 46.0% 47.3% — — 2.11
Goal range 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2-3 goals 44.8% 42.2% 43.4% 0.97× 2.37
0-1 goals 33.6% 30.7% 27.8% 1.11× 3.25
4-6 goals 20.5% 22.9% 26.8% 0.85× 4.36
7+ goals 1.1% 1.8% 2.4% 0.75× 54.45
Goals away 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Coquimbo Unido to score exactly 1 36.1% 35.9% 37.3% 0.96× 2.79
Coquimbo Unido to score exactly 0 29.8% 27.5% 31.5% 0.87× 3.64
Coquimbo Unido to score exactly 2 21.9% 22.3% 20.0% 1.11× 4.49
Coquimbo Unido to score 3+ 12.3% 12.9% 11.7% 1.10× 7.76
Goals home 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
O'Higgins to score exactly 1 36.3% 35.5% 31.7% 1.12× 2.81
O'Higgins to score exactly 0 31.3% 32.6% 21.5% 1.52× 3.07
O'Higgins to score exactly 2 21.1% 23.3% 26.3% 0.88× 4.30
O'Higgins to score 3+ 11.3% 14.3% 21.0% 0.68× 7.00
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw at HT 46.2% 51.4% — — 1.95
O'Higgins leading at HT 27.4% 25.5% — — 3.92
Coquimbo Unido leading at HT 26.4% 25.5% — — 3.93
Handicap 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Coquimbo Unido -1: 1 60.5% 62.5% — — 1.60
Coquimbo Unido -1: X 23.5% 23.5% — — 4.25
Coquimbo Unido -1: 2 16.0% 17.5% — — 5.72
Handicap 0:1 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Coquimbo Unido (0:1) 62.9% 61.5% 51.0% 1.21× 1.63
Draw (0:1) 22.7% 24.2% 26.1% 0.93× 4.13
O'Higgins (0:1) 14.4% 13.7% 23.2% 0.59× 7.29
Handicap 0:2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Coquimbo Unido (0:2) 85.6% 87.1% 76.8% 1.13× 1.15
Draw (0:2) 9.8% 7.7% 12.9% 0.59× 13.03
O'Higgins (0:2) 4.6% 3.8% 10.5% 0.36× 26.63
Handicap 0:3 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Coquimbo Unido (0:3) 95.4% 96.6% 89.5% 1.08× 1.04
Draw (0:3) 3.4% 2.4% 5.4% 0.44× 41.99
O'Higgins (0:3) 1.2% 2.4% 5.4% 0.44× 42.09
Handicap 0:4 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Coquimbo Unido (0:4) 98.8% 98.1% 94.6% 1.04× 1.02
Draw (0:4) 0.9% 1.2% 4.1% 0.29× 81.87
O'Higgins (0:4) 0.3% 1.2% 1.5% 0.83× 81.94
Handicap 1:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
O'Higgins (1:0) 60.5% 65.2% 70.0% 0.93× 1.53
Draw (1:0) 23.5% 21.7% 20.0% 1.08× 4.61
Coquimbo Unido (1:0) 16.0% 17.1% 10.2% 1.67× 5.85
Handicap 2:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
O'Higgins (2:0) 84.0% 84.6% 89.8% 0.94× 1.18
Draw (2:0) 10.7% 10.3% 6.3% 1.62× 9.73
Coquimbo Unido (2:0) 5.3% 6.4% 4.1% 1.54× 15.68
Highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 48.1% 48.6% — — 2.06
1st half highest scoring 28.1% 26.2% — — 3.81
Halves equal 23.8% 24.5% — — 4.08
Home clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
O'Higgins to concede 70.2% 73.0% 68.5% 1.06× 1.37
O'Higgins clean sheet 29.8% 27.0% 31.5% 0.86× 3.70
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
O'Higgins clean sheet in 1st half 61.6% 63.1% — — 1.59
O'Higgins to concede in 1st half 38.4% 36.9% — — 2.71
Home clean sheet 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
O'Higgins to concede in 2nd half 51.7% 52.5% — — 1.91
O'Higgins clean sheet in 2nd half 48.3% 47.5% — — 2.10
Home corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
O'Higgins over 2.5 corners 82.9% 81.0% — — 1.24
O'Higgins under 6.5 corners 71.7% 71.9% — — 1.39
O'Higgins over 3.5 corners 69.4% 66.7% — — 1.50
O'Higgins under 5.5 corners 59.6% 57.5% — — 1.74
O'Higgins over 4.5 corners 54.5% 52.6% — — 1.90
O'Higgins under 4.5 corners 45.5% 47.4% — — 2.11
O'Higgins over 5.5 corners 40.4% 42.5% — — 2.35
O'Higgins under 3.5 corners 30.6% 33.3% — — 3.01
O'Higgins over 6.5 corners 28.3% 28.1% — — 3.56
O'Higgins under 2.5 corners 17.1% 19.0% — — 5.26
Home goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
O'Higgins under 3.5 goals 96.9% 96.4% 91.0% 1.06× 1.04
O'Higgins under 2.5 goals 88.7% 87.3% 79.0% 1.10× 1.15
O'Higgins over 0.5 goals 68.7% 67.9% 78.5% 0.87× 1.47
O'Higgins under 1.5 goals 67.6% 67.9% 52.9% 1.28× 1.47
O'Higgins over 1.5 goals 32.4% 32.1% 47.1% 0.68× 3.12
O'Higgins under 0.5 goals 31.3% 32.1% 21.5% 1.49× 3.12
O'Higgins over 2.5 goals 11.3% 12.7% 21.0% 0.61× 7.86
O'Higgins over 3.5 goals 3.1% 3.6% 9.0% 0.40× 27.55
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
O'Higgins under 1.5 in 1st half 91.0% 94.6% — — 1.06
O'Higgins under 0.5 in 1st half 60.6% 64.2% — — 1.56
O'Higgins over 0.5 in 1st half 39.4% 35.8% — — 2.79
O'Higgins over 1.5 in 1st half 9.0% 5.4% — — 18.65
Home highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
O'Higgins scores equally in both 42.5% 41.7% — — 2.40
O'Higgins scores more in 2nd half 34.0% 33.2% — — 3.01
O'Higgins scores more in 1st half 23.5% 21.0% — — 4.76
Home no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Coquimbo Unido (home no bet) 62.8% 60.0% 58.6% 1.02× 1.67
Draw (home no bet) 37.2% 40.0% 41.4% 0.97× 2.50
Home Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
O'Higgins even goals 54.9% 50.8% 54.4% 0.93× 1.97
O'Higgins odd goals 45.1% 49.2% 45.6% 1.08× 2.03
HT correct score 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
HT 0-0 37.0% 38.6% — — 2.59
HT 1-0 19.1% 18.6% — — 5.38
HT 0-1 18.5% 18.6% — — 5.38
HT 1-1 8.7% 6.9% — — 14.52
HT 2-0 4.7% 2.4% — — 42.12
HT 0-2 4.4% 2.4% — — 42.13
Any other HT score 2.7% 2.4% — — 42.24
HT 2-1 2.3% 2.4% — — 42.27
HT 1-2 2.2% 2.4% — — 42.28
HT 2-2 0.5% 2.4% — — 42.38
HT/FT 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
O'Higgins at HT / O'Higgins at FT 20.6% 21.6% — — 4.64
Coquimbo Unido at HT / Coquimbo Unido at FT 20.6% 21.6% — — 4.64
Draw at HT / Coquimbo Unido at FT 16.7% 16.8% — — 5.97
Draw at HT / O'Higgins at FT 14.8% 12.7% — — 7.88
Draw at HT / Draw at FT 14.7% 12.7% — — 7.88
O'Higgins at HT / Draw at FT 4.6% 3.5% — — 28.87
Coquimbo Unido at HT / Draw at FT 4.1% 3.5% — — 28.89
O'Higgins at HT / Coquimbo Unido at FT 2.2% 3.5% — — 28.96
Coquimbo Unido at HT / O'Higgins at FT 1.7% 3.5% — — 28.97
Last goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Coquimbo Unido to score last 47.4% 46.3% — — 2.16
O'Higgins to score last 45.5% 46.2% — — 2.16
No goal scored 7.1% 7.6% — — 13.23
Lead at any time 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time 92.9% 92.5% — — 1.08
Coquimbo Unido to lead by 1 at any time 53.4% 50.7% — — 1.97
O'Higgins to lead by 1 at any time 51.3% 50.6% — — 1.98
Either team to lead by 2 at any time 40.2% 39.1% — — 2.56
Coquimbo Unido to lead by 2 at any time 21.0% 19.5% — — 5.13
O'Higgins to lead by 2 at any time 19.3% 14.9% — — 6.73
Either team to lead by 3 at any time 12.5% 10.6% — — 9.43
Coquimbo Unido to lead by 3 at any time 6.6% 6.6% — — 15.08
O'Higgins to lead by 3 at any time 5.9% 6.6% — — 15.11
Most corners 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Coquimbo Unido most corners 47.7% 47.0% — — 2.13
O'Higgins most corners 42.0% 43.5% — — 2.30
Corners level 10.3% 10.4% — — 9.59
Multi goal 15
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-5 goals 89.5% 87.4% 87.3% 1.00× 1.14
1-4 goals 83.6% 83.4% 81.2% 1.03× 1.20
1-3 goals 71.3% 72.3% 66.3% 1.09× 1.38
2-6 goals 65.3% 68.8% 70.0% 0.98× 1.45
2-5 goals 63.0% 63.3% 64.4% 0.98× 1.58
2-4 goals 57.1% 59.1% 58.3% 1.01× 1.69
1-2 goals 50.5% 53.1% 42.4% 1.25× 1.88
2-3 goals 44.8% 43.6% 43.4% 1.00× 2.29
3-6 goals 41.3% 43.6% 50.7% 0.86× 2.29
3-5 goals 39.0% 39.2% 45.1% 0.87× 2.55
3-4 goals 33.1% 35.2% 39.0% 0.90× 2.84
4-6 goals 20.5% 24.4% 26.8% 0.91× 4.09
4-5 goals 18.2% 18.8% 21.2% 0.89× 5.31
5-6 goals 8.2% 8.9% 12.0% 0.74× 11.26
7+ goals 1.1% 2.6% 2.4% 1.05× 39.22
Never down 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Coquimbo Unido never behind 41.6% 48.7% — — 2.05
O'Higgins never behind 39.5% 44.3% — — 2.26
Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even number of goals 46.0% 50.9% 44.9% 1.13× 1.97
Odd number of goals 54.0% 49.1% 55.1% 0.89× 2.04
Odd/Even 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 1st half 56.2% 57.8% — — 1.73
Odd goals in 1st half 43.8% 42.2% — — 2.37
Odd/Even 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 2nd half 51.6% 52.0% — — 1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half 48.4% 48.0% — — 2.08
Over/Under 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 5.5 goals 96.6% 95.4% 92.0% 1.04× 1.05
Over 0.5 goals 92.9% 92.3% 95.1% 0.97× 1.08
Under 4.5 goals 90.7% 92.3% 85.9% 1.07× 1.08
Under 3.5 goals 78.4% 77.3% 71.0% 1.09× 1.29
Over 1.5 goals 66.4% 66.3% 72.2% 0.92× 1.51
Under 2.5 goals 57.6% 58.6% 47.1% 1.25× 1.71
Over 2.5 goals 42.4% 41.4% 52.9% 0.78× 2.42
Under 1.5 goals 33.6% 33.7% 27.8% 1.21× 2.97
Over 3.5 goals 21.6% 22.7% 29.0% 0.78× 4.40
Over 4.5 goals 9.3% 7.7% 14.1% 0.55× 12.93
Under 0.5 goals 7.1% 7.7% 4.9% 1.58× 12.94
Over 5.5 goals 3.4% 4.6% 8.0% 0.57× 21.82
Over/Under (whole line) 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6) 98.9% 97.2% 97.4% 1.00× 1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5) 96.4% 97.2% 91.4% 1.06× 1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4) 89.4% 86.8% 83.4% 1.04× 1.15
Under 3 (void on exactly 3) 72.7% 72.4% 61.9% 1.17× 1.38
Over 2 (void on exactly 2) 55.8% 55.8% 65.6% 0.85× 1.79
Under 2 (void on exactly 2) 44.2% 44.2% 34.4% 1.28× 2.26
Over 3 (void on exactly 3) 27.3% 27.6% 38.1% 0.72× 3.62
Over 4 (void on exactly 4) 10.6% 13.3% 16.6% 0.80× 7.55
Over 5 (void on exactly 5) 3.6% 2.8% 8.6% 0.33× 35.59
Over 6 (void on exactly 6) 1.1% 2.8% 2.6% 1.09× 35.66
Over/Under 1HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half 92.2% 92.8% — — 1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half 74.5% 71.4% — — 1.40
Over 0.5 in 1st half 63.0% 63.2% — — 1.58
Under 0.5 in 1st half 37.0% 36.8% — — 2.72
Over 1.5 in 1st half 25.5% 28.6% — — 3.49
Over 2.5 in 1st half 7.8% 7.2% — — 13.87
Over/Under 2HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half 83.6% 83.0% — — 1.21
Over 0.5 in 2nd half 75.8% 79.5% — — 1.26
Under 1.5 in 2nd half 60.3% 61.3% — — 1.63
Over 1.5 in 2nd half 39.7% 38.7% — — 2.59
Under 0.5 in 2nd half 24.2% 20.5% — — 4.88
Over 2.5 in 2nd half 16.4% 17.0% — — 5.87
Score both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
O'Higgins not to score in both halves 80.9% 84.2% — — 1.19
Coquimbo Unido not to score in both halves 80.1% 84.2% — — 1.19
Coquimbo Unido to score in both halves 19.9% 15.8% — — 6.33
O'Higgins to score in both halves 19.1% 15.8% — — 6.35
Teams to score 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams score 46.1% 50.6% 52.0% 0.97× 1.97
Only Coquimbo Unido scores 24.2% 22.3% 16.8% 1.32× 4.49
Only O'Higgins scores 22.7% 22.3% 26.8% 0.83× 4.49
Neither team scores 7.1% 7.1% 4.9% 1.46× 14.01
Total goals 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Exactly 1 goals 26.5% 24.9% 23.2% 1.07× 4.02
Exactly 2 goals 24.0% 22.6% 19.5% 1.16× 4.43
Exactly 3 goals 20.8% 22.6% 24.1% 0.94× 4.43
Exactly 4 goals 12.3% 12.1% 15.1% 0.80× 8.26
Exactly 0 goals 7.1% 7.6% 4.9% 1.56× 13.14
Exactly 5 goals 5.9% 7.6% 6.3% 1.20× 13.14
6 or more goals 3.4% 4.5% 8.0% 0.56× 22.35
Total goals 1st half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1 goal in 1st half 37.5% 37.3% — — 2.68
No goals in 1st half 37.0% 37.3% — — 2.68
2 goals in 1st half 17.7% 15.7% — — 6.38
3+ goals in 1st half 7.8% 7.2% — — 13.87
Total goals 2nd half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half 39.7% 40.2% — — 2.49
1 goal in 2nd half 36.1% 39.7% — — 2.52
No goals in 2nd half 24.2% 23.0% — — 4.36
Win both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
O'Higgins not to win both halves 92.2% 94.2% — — 1.06
Coquimbo Unido not to win both halves 91.5% 94.1% — — 1.06
Coquimbo Unido to win both halves 8.5% 5.9% — — 17.04
O'Higgins to win both halves 7.8% 5.9% — — 17.09
Win either half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Coquimbo Unido to win either half 51.3% 54.3% — — 1.84
O'Higgins to win neither half 50.8% 54.3% — — 1.84
O'Higgins to win either half 49.2% 45.7% — — 2.19
Coquimbo Unido to win neither half 48.7% 45.7% — — 2.19
Win to nil 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
O'Higgins not to win to nil 77.3% 78.1% 73.2% 1.07× 1.28
Coquimbo Unido not to win to nil 75.8% 78.1% 83.2% 0.94× 1.28
Coquimbo Unido to win to nil 24.2% 21.9% 16.8% 1.30× 4.57
O'Higgins to win to nil 22.7% 21.9% 26.8% 0.82× 4.57
Winning margin 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Coquimbo Unido by 1 23.5% 24.1% 20.0% 1.21× 4.15
Draw 23.4% 24.1% 21.2% 1.14× 4.15
O'Higgins by 1 22.7% 24.1% 26.1% 0.92× 4.15
Coquimbo Unido by 2 10.7% 11.8% 6.3% 1.85× 8.51
O'Higgins by 2 9.8% 7.2% 12.9% 0.56× 13.90
Coquimbo Unido by 3+ 5.3% 7.2% 4.1% 1.73× 13.92
O'Higgins by 3+ 4.6% 2.7% 10.5% 0.26× 36.83
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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