O'Higgins v Universidad de Chile — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 22 November 2026 · CHI-Primera Division · 2627

CHI-Primera Division results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

O'Higgins

20:00 UTC

Universidad de Chile

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 27 Oct, 10:57 · 633h before kick-off

O'Higgins win

27.7%

model 29.3%

Draw

22.9%

model 20.9%

Universidad de Chile win

49.3%

model 49.8%

282349

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (522 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

0-1 12.3%
1-1 9.8%
1-2 9.4%
1-0 9.4%
0-2 8.2%

Goals

Over 2.5	51.5%	Under 2.5	48.5%
BTTS yes	52.3%	BTTS no	47.7%
O'Higgins 1+	68.1%	O'Higgins 2+	31.7%
Universidad de Chile 1+	79.7%	Universidad de Chile 2+	47.3%

Expected goals 1.14 – 1.59. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

77/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

95%

★ Best pick

Universidad de Chile or draw (X2)

Double chance · usually 51%

72.6% fair odds 1.38

strong signal · 1941 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

O'Higgins not to win to nil

Win to nil · usually 73%

83.3% fair odds 1.20

moderate signal · 1180 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Universidad de Chile carry the stronger rating, 1608 Elo against 1473.
Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Universidad de Chile have an estimated 49.3% win probability, against 27.7% for O'Higgins and 22.9% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.14 for O'Higgins and 1.59 for Universidad de Chile.

Why O'Higgins

Nothing in the data singles out O'Higgins.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 22.9%. Draws run at 21% in this competition.

Why Universidad de Chile can win

Universidad de Chile carry the stronger rating, 1608 Elo against 1473. Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for O'Higgins, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Universidad de Chile, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

O'Higgins: 52% possession, 14.4 shots a match, 16.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Universidad de Chile: 65% possession, 23.0 shots a match, 8.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-27 10:01 · team_stats 2026-10-27 06:03 · availability 2026-10-27 14:57 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Universidad de Chile are the model's most likely outcome at 49.3%. The likeliest scoreline is 0-1 at 12.3%. Confidence 77/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	292150	1.14–1.59	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	322345	1.06–1.32	0-1 14%	42%	46%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad de Chile to win	44.7%	43.0%	30.0%	1.43×	2.33
O'Higgins to win	32.2%	30.4%	49.0%	0.62×	3.29
Draw	23.2%	24.5%	21.2%	1.15×	4.09

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad de Chile & not both score	27.6%	25.2%	16.8%	1.50×	3.97
O'Higgins & not both score	19.7%	18.0%	26.8%	0.67×	5.56
Universidad de Chile & both teams score	17.1%	18.0%	13.4%	1.34×	5.57
Draw & both teams score	16.1%	18.0%	16.6%	1.08×	5.57
O'Higgins & both teams score	12.5%	13.3%	22.4%	0.59×	7.54
Draw & not both score	7.1%	8.3%	4.9%	1.71×	12.00

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad de Chile & under 3.5	34.5%	30.8%	23.4%	1.31×	3.25
Universidad de Chile & over 1.5	30.3%	30.7%	20.0%	1.54×	3.25
O'Higgins & under 3.5	25.9%	26.1%	34.1%	0.76×	3.84
Universidad de Chile & over 2.5	22.2%	21.6%	16.6%	1.30×	4.63
Universidad de Chile & under 2.5	22.5%	21.6%	13.7%	1.58×	4.63
O'Higgins & over 1.5	20.1%	21.6%	36.1%	0.60×	4.63
Draw & under 2.5	17.9%	18.0%	13.9%	1.29×	5.56
Draw & under 3.5	17.9%	18.0%	13.9%	1.29×	5.56
O'Higgins & under 2.5	17.2%	18.0%	20.0%	0.90×	5.56
Draw & over 1.5	16.1%	18.0%	16.6%	1.09×	5.56
O'Higgins & over 2.5	14.9%	12.8%	29.3%	0.44×	7.79
Universidad de Chile & under 1.5	14.4%	12.8%	10.2%	1.25×	7.79
O'Higgins & under 1.5	12.0%	12.8%	13.2%	0.97×	7.79
Universidad de Chile & over 3.5	10.1%	12.8%	6.8%	1.88×	7.79
O'Higgins & over 3.5	6.2%	7.9%	15.1%	0.52×	12.63
Draw & under 1.5	7.1%	7.9%	4.9%	1.62×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	5.3%	7.9%	7.6%	1.05×	12.63
Draw & over 3.5	5.3%	7.9%	7.6%	1.05×	12.63

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad de Chile (1UP)	57.9%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
O'Higgins (1UP)	46.8%	43.8%	—	—	2.28

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad de Chile (2UP)	44.7%	47.2%	—	—	2.12
O'Higgins (2UP)	32.2%	30.2%	—	—	3.31

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad de Chile to win 2nd half	37.3%	36.4%	—	—	2.75
2nd half drawn	36.6%	36.4%	—	—	2.75
O'Higgins to win 2nd half	26.1%	26.0%	—	—	3.84

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad de Chile under 1.5 in 2nd half	81.2%	84.0%	—	—	1.19
Universidad de Chile over 0.5 in 2nd half	54.7%	52.5%	—	—	1.90
Universidad de Chile under 0.5 in 2nd half	45.3%	47.5%	—	—	2.11
Universidad de Chile over 1.5 in 2nd half	18.8%	16.0%	—	—	6.27

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
O'Higgins under 1.5 in 2nd half	87.7%	88.8%	—	—	1.13
O'Higgins under 0.5 in 2nd half	54.7%	55.1%	—	—	1.82
O'Higgins over 0.5 in 2nd half	45.3%	44.9%	—	—	2.23
O'Higgins over 1.5 in 2nd half	12.3%	11.2%	—	—	8.94

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad de Chile (+2.5)	96.6%	96.3%	89.5%	1.08×	1.04
Universidad de Chile (+1.5)	88.5%	88.5%	76.8%	1.15×	1.13
Universidad de Chile (+0.5)	67.8%	68.7%	51.0%	1.35×	1.46
O'Higgins (+0.5)	55.3%	57.0%	70.0%	0.81×	1.75
Universidad de Chile (-0.5)	44.7%	43.0%	30.0%	1.43×	2.33
O'Higgins (-0.5)	32.2%	31.3%	49.0%	0.64×	3.19
O'Higgins (-1.5)	11.5%	11.5%	23.2%	0.50×	8.68
O'Higgins (-2.5)	3.4%	3.7%	10.5%	0.35×	27.12

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad de Chile to concede	65.4%	72.2%	78.5%	0.92×	1.38
Universidad de Chile clean sheet	34.6%	27.8%	21.5%	1.29×	3.60

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad de Chile clean sheet in 1st half	63.4%	64.6%	—	—	1.55
Universidad de Chile to concede in 1st half	36.6%	35.4%	—	—	2.83

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad de Chile clean sheet in 2nd half	54.7%	54.6%	—	—	1.83
Universidad de Chile to concede in 2nd half	45.3%	45.4%	—	—	2.20

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad de Chile over 2.5 corners	84.6%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
Universidad de Chile over 3.5 corners	71.8%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Universidad de Chile under 6.5 corners	68.9%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Universidad de Chile over 4.5 corners	57.4%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Universidad de Chile under 5.5 corners	56.6%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Universidad de Chile over 5.5 corners	43.4%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
Universidad de Chile under 4.5 corners	42.6%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
Universidad de Chile over 6.5 corners	31.1%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
Universidad de Chile under 3.5 corners	28.2%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Universidad de Chile under 2.5 corners	15.4%	18.6%	—	—	5.38

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad de Chile under 3.5 goals	95.5%	97.5%	97.1%	1.00×	1.03
Universidad de Chile under 2.5 goals	85.3%	87.8%	88.3%	0.99×	1.14
Universidad de Chile over 0.5 goals	73.2%	71.8%	68.5%	1.05×	1.39
Universidad de Chile under 1.5 goals	62.0%	63.2%	68.5%	0.92×	1.58
Universidad de Chile over 1.5 goals	38.0%	36.8%	31.5%	1.17×	2.72
Universidad de Chile under 0.5 goals	26.8%	28.2%	31.5%	0.90×	3.55
Universidad de Chile over 2.5 goals	14.7%	12.2%	11.7%	1.04×	8.19
Universidad de Chile over 3.5 goals	4.5%	2.5%	2.9%	0.86×	39.74

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad de Chile under 1.5 in 1st half	90.1%	93.8%	—	—	1.07
Universidad de Chile under 0.5 in 1st half	59.0%	62.4%	—	—	1.60
Universidad de Chile over 0.5 in 1st half	41.0%	37.6%	—	—	2.66
Universidad de Chile over 1.5 in 1st half	9.9%	6.2%	—	—	16.26

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad de Chile scores equally in both	39.1%	37.4%	—	—	2.67
Universidad de Chile scores more in 2nd half	38.5%	37.4%	—	—	2.68
Universidad de Chile scores more in 1st half	22.4%	21.8%	—	—	4.59

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
O'Higgins (away no bet)	58.1%	57.4%	69.8%	0.82×	1.74
Draw (away no bet)	41.9%	42.6%	30.2%	1.41×	2.35

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad de Chile even goals	53.6%	52.6%	53.7%	0.98×	1.90
Universidad de Chile odd goals	46.4%	47.4%	46.3%	1.02×	2.11

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	89.5%	88.0%	—	—	1.14
Both halves over 1.5 goals	10.5%	12.0%	—	—	8.35

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	54.8%	51.4%	—	—	1.95
Both halves under 1.5 goals	45.2%	48.6%	—	—	2.06

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	48.6%	46.2%	—	—	2.16
Universidad de Chile to score 2+ in a row	31.1%	28.9%	—	—	3.47
O'Higgins to score 2+ in a row	21.9%	19.5%	—	—	5.13
Either team to score 3+ in a row	15.3%	16.1%	—	—	6.21
Universidad de Chile to score 3+ in a row	9.9%	5.6%	—	—	17.99
O'Higgins to score 3+ in a row	5.5%	5.5%	—	—	18.34

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad de Chile corners (+3.5)	85.4%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Universidad de Chile corners (+2.5)	78.6%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
O'Higgins corners (+3.5)	78.3%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Universidad de Chile corners (+1.5)	70.2%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
O'Higgins corners (+2.5)	70.1%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
O'Higgins corners (+1.5)	60.5%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Universidad de Chile corners (-1.5)	39.5%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
O'Higgins corners (-1.5)	29.8%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Universidad de Chile corners (-2.5)	29.9%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Universidad de Chile corners (-3.5)	21.7%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
O'Higgins corners (-2.5)	21.4%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
O'Higgins corners (-3.5)	14.6%	15.5%	—	—	6.45

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	35.9%	34.0%	—	—	2.94
12+ corners	34.4%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
9-11 corners	29.7%	31.2%	—	—	3.20

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 7.5 corners	74.0%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Under 12.5 corners	73.7%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Under 11.5 corners	65.6%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Over 8.5 corners	64.1%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
Under 10.5 corners	56.3%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Over 9.5 corners	53.8%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Under 9.5 corners	46.2%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Over 10.5 corners	43.7%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
Under 8.5 corners	35.9%	36.7%	—	—	2.72
Over 11.5 corners	34.4%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Over 12.5 corners	26.3%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Under 7.5 corners	26.0%	27.5%	—	—	3.64

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-1	14.4%	11.5%	10.2%	1.12×	8.71
1-0	12.0%	11.5%	13.2%	0.87×	8.71
1-1	10.8%	11.5%	9.3%	1.24×	8.72
1-2	8.5%	7.4%	7.3%	1.01×	13.51
0-0	7.1%	7.4%	4.9%	1.52×	13.51
0-2	8.1%	7.4%	3.7%	2.02×	13.51
2-1	6.9%	7.4%	10.7%	0.69×	13.51
2-0	5.2%	7.4%	7.1%	1.05×	13.51
0-3	3.5%	1.7%	2.9%	0.59×	58.30
0-4	1.2%	1.7%	0.7%	2.34×	58.31
1-3	3.8%	1.7%	2.2%	0.78×	58.30
1-4	1.2%	1.7%	0.7%	2.34×	58.31
2-2	4.5%	1.7%	6.1%	0.28×	58.29
2-3	2.0%	1.7%	2.2%	0.78×	58.31
2-4	0.7%	1.7%	1.0%	1.76×	58.32
3-0	1.8%	1.7%	3.9%	0.44×	58.31
3-1	2.4%	1.7%	4.6%	0.37×	58.31
3-2	1.6%	1.7%	2.0%	0.88×	58.31
3-3	0.7%	1.7%	1.7%	1.00×	58.32
3-4	0.2%	1.7%	1.0%	1.76×	58.32
4-0	0.5%	1.7%	2.4%	0.70×	58.32
4-1	0.6%	1.7%	1.7%	1.00×	58.32
4-2	0.4%	1.7%	1.7%	1.00×	58.32
4-3	0.2%	1.7%	1.0%	1.76×	58.32
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.2%	7.03×	58.32
Any other score	1.6%	1.7%	3.4%	0.50×	58.31

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad de Chile (2nd half DNB)	58.8%	59.7%	—	—	1.68
O'Higgins (2nd half DNB)	41.2%	40.3%	—	—	2.48

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad de Chile leading at HT (DNB)	54.5%	56.3%	—	—	1.78
O'Higgins leading at HT (DNB)	45.5%	43.7%	—	—	2.29

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
O'Higgins or Universidad de Chile (12)	76.8%	75.5%	78.8%	0.96×	1.32
Universidad de Chile or draw (X2)	67.8%	69.6%	51.0%	1.37×	1.44
O'Higgins or draw (1X)	55.3%	57.0%	70.0%	0.81×	1.75

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad de Chile or draw at HT	75.5%	79.5%	—	—	1.26
O'Higgins or draw at HT	70.7%	74.4%	—	—	1.34
O'Higgins or Universidad de Chile at HT	53.8%	48.6%	—	—	2.06

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad de Chile or draw (1UP)	67.8%	76.4%	—	—	1.31
O'Higgins or draw (1UP)	55.3%	62.8%	—	—	1.59

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad de Chile or draw in 2nd half	73.9%	74.0%	—	—	1.35
O'Higgins or Universidad de Chile in 2nd half	63.4%	63.6%	—	—	1.57
O'Higgins or draw in 2nd half	62.7%	63.6%	—	—	1.57

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	68.2%	68.3%	—	—	1.46
Neither half drawn	31.8%	31.7%	—	—	3.16

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad de Chile (DNB)	58.2%	58.1%	38.0%	1.53×	1.72
O'Higgins (DNB)	41.8%	41.9%	62.0%	0.68×	2.39

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad de Chile to score first	51.5%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
O'Higgins to score first	41.4%	41.6%	—	—	2.40
No goal scored	7.1%	7.6%	—	—	13.23

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	54.3%	51.3%	48.0%	1.07×	1.95
Both teams to score	45.7%	48.7%	52.0%	0.94×	2.05

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	46.8%	44.3%	38.0%	1.16×	2.26
Both score & over 2.5	34.9%	34.6%	42.9%	0.81×	2.89
Both score & under 2.5	10.8%	12.4%	9.3%	1.33×	8.09
Not both score & over 2.5	7.5%	8.3%	10.2%	0.81×	12.07

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	89.1%	85.6%	84.6%	1.01×	1.17
Both teams to score 2+	10.9%	14.4%	15.4%	0.94×	6.96

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	76.0%	75.0%	—	—	1.33
Both teams to score in 2nd half	24.0%	25.0%	—	—	3.99

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	65.1%	63.0%	—	—	1.59
Both score 2nd half only	20.3%	21.2%	—	—	4.72
Both score 1st half only	10.9%	10.7%	—	—	9.34
Both score in both halves	3.7%	4.9%	—	—	20.40

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	85.4%	84.6%	—	—	1.18
Both teams to score by HT	14.6%	15.4%	—	—	6.51

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half without a goal	54.0%	52.7%	—	—	1.90
A goal in each half	46.0%	47.3%	—	—	2.11

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	44.8%	42.2%	43.4%	0.97×	2.37
0-1 goals	33.5%	30.7%	27.8%	1.11×	3.25
4-6 goals	20.6%	22.9%	26.8%	0.85×	4.36
7+ goals	1.1%	1.8%	2.4%	0.75×	54.45

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad de Chile to score exactly 1	35.3%	35.9%	37.3%	0.96×	2.79
Universidad de Chile to score exactly 0	26.8%	27.4%	31.5%	0.87×	3.64
Universidad de Chile to score exactly 2	23.2%	22.3%	20.0%	1.11×	4.49
Universidad de Chile to score 3+	14.7%	12.9%	11.7%	1.10×	7.75

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
O'Higgins to score exactly 1	36.7%	35.5%	31.7%	1.12×	2.81
O'Higgins to score exactly 0	34.6%	32.6%	21.5%	1.52×	3.07
O'Higgins to score exactly 2	19.5%	18.8%	26.3%	0.71×	5.32
O'Higgins to score 3+	9.2%	10.4%	21.0%	0.49×	9.65

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	46.2%	51.4%	—	—	1.95
Universidad de Chile leading at HT	29.3%	25.6%	—	—	3.91
O'Higgins leading at HT	24.5%	20.5%	—	—	4.88

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad de Chile -1: 1	55.3%	56.7%	—	—	1.76
Universidad de Chile -1: X	25.2%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Universidad de Chile -1: 2	19.5%	17.5%	—	—	5.71

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad de Chile (0:1)	67.8%	65.3%	51.0%	1.28×	1.53
Draw (0:1)	20.7%	24.2%	26.1%	0.93×	4.13
O'Higgins (0:1)	11.5%	13.7%	23.2%	0.59×	7.31

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad de Chile (0:2)	88.5%	87.1%	76.8%	1.13×	1.15
Draw (0:2)	8.1%	7.7%	12.9%	0.59×	13.05
O'Higgins (0:2)	3.4%	3.7%	10.5%	0.36×	26.70

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad de Chile (0:3)	96.6%	96.6%	89.5%	1.08×	1.04
Draw (0:3)	2.6%	2.4%	5.4%	0.44×	42.03
O'Higgins (0:3)	0.8%	2.4%	5.4%	0.44×	42.10

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad de Chile (0:4)	99.2%	98.1%	94.6%	1.04×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	0.6%	1.2%	4.1%	0.29×	81.90
O'Higgins (0:4)	0.2%	1.2%	1.5%	0.83×	81.95

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
O'Higgins (1:0)	55.3%	58.2%	70.0%	0.83×	1.72
Draw (1:0)	25.2%	25.0%	20.0%	1.25×	4.00
Universidad de Chile (1:0)	19.5%	17.1%	10.2%	1.67×	5.84

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
O'Higgins (2:0)	80.5%	84.5%	89.8%	0.94×	1.18
Draw (2:0)	12.5%	10.3%	6.3%	1.62×	9.71
Universidad de Chile (2:0)	7.0%	6.4%	4.1%	1.54×	15.66

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	48.2%	48.6%	—	—	2.06
1st half highest scoring	27.9%	26.2%	—	—	3.81
Halves equal	23.8%	24.5%	—	—	4.08

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
O'Higgins to concede	73.2%	73.0%	68.5%	1.07×	1.37
O'Higgins clean sheet	26.8%	27.0%	31.5%	0.86×	3.71

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
O'Higgins clean sheet in 1st half	59.0%	62.4%	—	—	1.60
O'Higgins to concede in 1st half	41.0%	37.6%	—	—	2.66

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
O'Higgins to concede in 2nd half	54.7%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
O'Higgins clean sheet in 2nd half	45.3%	47.4%	—	—	2.11

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
O'Higgins over 2.5 corners	80.3%	81.0%	—	—	1.24
O'Higgins under 6.5 corners	75.6%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
O'Higgins over 3.5 corners	65.6%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
O'Higgins under 5.5 corners	64.1%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
O'Higgins over 4.5 corners	50.1%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
O'Higgins under 4.5 corners	49.9%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
O'Higgins over 5.5 corners	35.9%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
O'Higgins under 3.5 corners	34.4%	33.3%	—	—	3.00
O'Higgins over 6.5 corners	24.4%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
O'Higgins under 2.5 corners	19.7%	19.0%	—	—	5.26

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
O'Higgins under 3.5 goals	97.7%	96.4%	91.0%	1.06×	1.04
O'Higgins under 2.5 goals	90.8%	92.2%	79.0%	1.17×	1.09
O'Higgins under 1.5 goals	71.4%	74.2%	52.9%	1.40×	1.35
O'Higgins over 0.5 goals	65.4%	67.9%	78.5%	0.86×	1.47
O'Higgins under 0.5 goals	34.6%	32.1%	21.5%	1.49×	3.12
O'Higgins over 1.5 goals	28.6%	25.8%	47.1%	0.55×	3.88
O'Higgins over 2.5 goals	9.2%	7.8%	21.0%	0.37×	12.82
O'Higgins over 3.5 goals	2.3%	3.6%	9.0%	0.40×	27.58

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
O'Higgins under 1.5 in 1st half	92.3%	94.7%	—	—	1.06
O'Higgins under 0.5 in 1st half	63.4%	64.4%	—	—	1.55
O'Higgins over 0.5 in 1st half	36.6%	35.6%	—	—	2.81
O'Higgins over 1.5 in 1st half	7.7%	5.3%	—	—	19.01

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
O'Higgins scores equally in both	44.9%	41.8%	—	—	2.39
O'Higgins scores more in 2nd half	32.5%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
O'Higgins scores more in 1st half	22.7%	21.0%	—	—	4.77

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad de Chile (home no bet)	65.9%	64.1%	58.6%	1.09×	1.56
Draw (home no bet)	34.1%	35.9%	41.4%	0.87×	2.79

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
O'Higgins even goals	56.0%	55.3%	54.4%	1.02×	1.81
O'Higgins odd goals	44.0%	44.7%	45.6%	0.98×	2.24

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	37.0%	38.6%	—	—	2.59
HT 0-1	20.1%	24.3%	—	—	4.11
HT 1-0	17.4%	18.6%	—	—	5.39
HT 1-1	8.6%	6.9%	—	—	14.53
HT 0-2	5.2%	6.9%	—	—	14.58
HT 2-0	3.9%	2.4%	—	—	42.17
Any other HT score	2.8%	2.4%	—	—	42.24
HT 1-2	2.4%	2.4%	—	—	42.27
HT 2-1	2.0%	2.4%	—	—	42.29
HT 2-2	0.5%	2.4%	—	—	42.39

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad de Chile at HT / Universidad de Chile at FT	23.8%	21.7%	—	—	4.62
Draw at HT / Universidad de Chile at FT	18.5%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
O'Higgins at HT / O'Higgins at FT	17.5%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	14.6%	12.7%	—	—	7.88
Draw at HT / O'Higgins at FT	13.1%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
O'Higgins at HT / Draw at FT	4.6%	3.5%	—	—	28.87
Universidad de Chile at HT / Draw at FT	4.0%	3.5%	—	—	28.89
O'Higgins at HT / Universidad de Chile at FT	2.4%	3.5%	—	—	28.95
Universidad de Chile at HT / O'Higgins at FT	1.5%	3.5%	—	—	28.98

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad de Chile to score last	51.4%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
O'Higgins to score last	41.5%	40.0%	—	—	2.50
No goal scored	7.1%	7.6%	—	—	13.23

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	92.9%	92.5%	—	—	1.08
Universidad de Chile to lead by 1 at any time	57.9%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
O'Higgins to lead by 1 at any time	46.8%	44.3%	—	—	2.26
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	40.6%	39.1%	—	—	2.56
Universidad de Chile to lead by 2 at any time	24.7%	19.6%	—	—	5.11
O'Higgins to lead by 2 at any time	16.0%	14.8%	—	—	6.76
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	12.9%	10.6%	—	—	9.43
Universidad de Chile to lead by 3 at any time	8.5%	6.7%	—	—	14.99
O'Higgins to lead by 3 at any time	4.4%	1.6%	—	—	61.01

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad de Chile most corners	50.0%	47.0%	—	—	2.13
O'Higgins most corners	39.5%	39.4%	—	—	2.54
Corners level	10.5%	10.4%	—	—	9.59

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	89.5%	87.4%	87.3%	1.00×	1.14
1-4 goals	83.6%	83.4%	81.2%	1.03×	1.20
1-3 goals	71.2%	72.3%	66.3%	1.09×	1.38
2-6 goals	65.4%	68.8%	70.0%	0.98×	1.45
2-5 goals	63.1%	63.3%	64.4%	0.98×	1.58
2-4 goals	57.2%	59.1%	58.3%	1.01×	1.69
1-2 goals	50.5%	53.1%	42.4%	1.25×	1.88
2-3 goals	44.8%	43.6%	43.4%	1.00×	2.29
3-6 goals	41.3%	43.6%	50.7%	0.86×	2.29
3-5 goals	39.0%	39.2%	45.1%	0.87×	2.55
3-4 goals	33.1%	35.2%	39.0%	0.90×	2.84
4-6 goals	20.6%	24.4%	26.8%	0.91×	4.09
4-5 goals	18.2%	18.8%	21.2%	0.89×	5.31
5-6 goals	8.2%	8.9%	12.0%	0.74×	11.26
7+ goals	1.1%	2.6%	2.4%	1.05×	39.22

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad de Chile never behind	46.2%	56.7%	—	—	1.77
O'Higgins never behind	35.0%	44.1%	—	—	2.27

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of goals	46.1%	50.9%	44.9%	1.13×	1.97
Odd number of goals	53.9%	49.1%	55.1%	0.89×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	56.3%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Odd goals in 1st half	43.7%	42.2%	—	—	2.37

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	51.6%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	48.4%	48.0%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	96.6%	95.4%	92.0%	1.04×	1.05
Over 0.5 goals	92.9%	92.3%	95.1%	0.97×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	90.7%	92.3%	85.9%	1.07×	1.08
Under 3.5 goals	78.3%	77.3%	71.0%	1.09×	1.29
Over 1.5 goals	66.5%	66.3%	72.2%	0.92×	1.51
Under 2.5 goals	57.5%	58.6%	47.1%	1.25×	1.71
Over 2.5 goals	42.5%	41.4%	52.9%	0.78×	2.42
Under 1.5 goals	33.5%	33.7%	27.8%	1.21×	2.97
Over 3.5 goals	21.7%	22.7%	29.0%	0.78×	4.40
Over 4.5 goals	9.3%	7.7%	14.1%	0.55×	12.93
Under 0.5 goals	7.1%	7.7%	4.9%	1.58×	12.94
Over 5.5 goals	3.4%	4.6%	8.0%	0.57×	21.82

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	98.9%	97.2%	97.4%	1.00×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	96.4%	97.2%	91.4%	1.06×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	89.4%	86.8%	83.4%	1.04×	1.15
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	72.6%	72.4%	61.9%	1.17×	1.38
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	55.9%	55.8%	65.6%	0.85×	1.79
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	44.1%	44.2%	34.4%	1.28×	2.26
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	27.4%	27.6%	38.1%	0.72×	3.62
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	10.6%	13.3%	16.6%	0.80×	7.55
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	3.6%	2.8%	8.6%	0.33×	35.59
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	1.1%	2.8%	2.6%	1.09×	35.66

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	92.3%	92.8%	—	—	1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half	74.6%	71.4%	—	—	1.40
Over 0.5 in 1st half	63.0%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Under 0.5 in 1st half	37.0%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Over 1.5 in 1st half	25.4%	28.6%	—	—	3.50
Over 2.5 in 1st half	7.7%	7.2%	—	—	13.87

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	83.5%	83.0%	—	—	1.21
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	76.0%	79.5%	—	—	1.26
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	60.1%	61.3%	—	—	1.63
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	39.9%	38.7%	—	—	2.58
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	24.0%	20.5%	—	—	4.88
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	16.5%	17.0%	—	—	5.87

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
O'Higgins not to score in both halves	83.4%	84.3%	—	—	1.19
Universidad de Chile not to score in both halves	77.6%	78.5%	—	—	1.28
Universidad de Chile to score in both halves	22.4%	21.5%	—	—	4.64
O'Higgins to score in both halves	16.6%	15.7%	—	—	6.39

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	45.7%	50.6%	52.0%	0.97×	1.98
Only Universidad de Chile scores	27.6%	26.1%	16.8%	1.55×	3.83
Only O'Higgins scores	19.7%	16.1%	26.8%	0.60×	6.23
Neither team scores	7.1%	7.1%	4.9%	1.46×	14.01

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 1 goals	26.4%	24.9%	23.2%	1.07×	4.02
Exactly 2 goals	24.0%	22.6%	19.5%	1.16×	4.43
Exactly 3 goals	20.8%	22.6%	24.1%	0.94×	4.43
Exactly 4 goals	12.4%	12.1%	15.1%	0.80×	8.26
Exactly 0 goals	7.1%	7.6%	4.9%	1.56×	13.14
Exactly 5 goals	5.9%	7.6%	6.3%	1.20×	13.14
6 or more goals	3.4%	4.5%	8.0%	0.56×	22.35

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	37.5%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
No goals in 1st half	37.0%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
2 goals in 1st half	17.7%	15.7%	—	—	6.38
3+ goals in 1st half	7.7%	7.2%	—	—	13.87

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	39.9%	40.2%	—	—	2.49
1 goal in 2nd half	36.1%	39.7%	—	—	2.52
No goals in 2nd half	24.0%	23.0%	—	—	4.36

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
O'Higgins not to win both halves	93.9%	94.2%	—	—	1.06
Universidad de Chile not to win both halves	89.4%	88.0%	—	—	1.14
Universidad de Chile to win both halves	10.6%	12.0%	—	—	8.35
O'Higgins to win both halves	6.1%	5.8%	—	—	17.22

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad de Chile to win either half	56.0%	59.0%	—	—	1.70
O'Higgins to win neither half	55.6%	59.0%	—	—	1.70
O'Higgins to win either half	44.4%	41.0%	—	—	2.44
Universidad de Chile to win neither half	44.0%	41.0%	—	—	2.44

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
O'Higgins not to win to nil	80.3%	83.1%	73.2%	1.14×	1.20
Universidad de Chile not to win to nil	72.4%	75.3%	83.2%	0.91×	1.33
Universidad de Chile to win to nil	27.6%	24.7%	16.8%	1.47×	4.05
O'Higgins to win to nil	19.7%	16.9%	26.8%	0.63×	5.91

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad de Chile by 1	25.2%	27.9%	20.0%	1.39×	3.59
Draw	23.2%	24.1%	21.2%	1.14×	4.15
O'Higgins by 1	20.7%	24.1%	26.1%	0.92×	4.15
Universidad de Chile by 2	12.5%	11.8%	6.3%	1.85×	8.51
O'Higgins by 2	8.1%	7.2%	12.9%	0.56×	13.91
Universidad de Chile by 3+	7.0%	7.2%	4.1%	1.73×	13.91
O'Higgins by 3+	3.4%	2.7%	10.5%	0.26×	36.87