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Odense Boldklub v Midtjylland — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 19 September 2026 · DEN-Superliga · 2627

DEN-Superliga results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily
Odense Boldklub win
19.2%
model 18.5%
Draw
22.3%
model 23.1%
Midtjylland win
58.6%
model 58.5%

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (317 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

  1. 1-1 10.9%
  2. 1-2 9.9%
  3. 0-2 9.9%
  4. 0-1 9.5%
  5. 1-3 6.4%

Goals

Over 2.556.5% Under 2.543.5%
BTTS yes55.0% BTTS no45.0%
Odense Boldklub 1+63.5% Odense Boldklub 2+26.7%
Midtjylland 1+85.6% Midtjylland 2+57.8%

Expected goals 1.01 – 1.94. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence
76/100
Data quality
65/100
Model agreement
94%
★ Best pick
Midtjylland (-0.5)
Asian handicap · usually 30%
56.9% fair odds 1.76
strong signal · 1041 settled matches behind the band
★ Most likely to land
Midtjylland or draw (1UP)
Double chance 1UP
83.8% fair odds 1.19
moderate signal · 424 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

  • Midtjylland carry the stronger rating, 1690 Elo against 1402.
  • Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

  • No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.
Why the model thinks this

The price

Midtjylland have an estimated 58.6% win probability, against 22.3% for the draw and 19.2% for Odense Boldklub. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.01 for Odense Boldklub and 1.94 for Midtjylland.

Why Odense Boldklub

They have had 20 days' rest to Midtjylland's 12.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 22.3%. Draws run at 25% in this competition.

Why Midtjylland can win

Midtjylland carry the stronger rating, 1690 Elo against 1402. Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Odense Boldklub, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Midtjylland, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Odense Boldklub: 49% possession, 13.4 shots a match, 16.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Midtjylland: 52% possession, 15.2 shots a match, 12.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-09 15:30 · team_stats 2026-09-09 06:03 · availability 2026-09-09 15:32 · prediction 2026-09-09 09:54 ·

Midtjylland are the model's most likely outcome at 58.6%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 10.9%. Confidence 76/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
ai-blend 1.01–1.94 0% 0% 0%
dc-xg 1.02–2.22 1-2 10% 63% 57%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Midtjylland to win 58.5% 58.4% 29.9% 1.95× 1.71
Draw 23.1% 22.2% 25.5% 0.87× 4.50
Odense Boldklub to win 18.5% 19.1% 44.8% 0.43× 5.24
1X2 & GG/NG 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Midtjylland & not both score 30.6% 32.9% 13.5% 2.44× 3.04
Midtjylland & both teams score 27.8% 26.2% 16.8% 1.56× 3.82
Draw & both teams score 17.2% 17.8% 19.8% 0.90× 5.62
Odense Boldklub & both teams score 10.0% 12.1% 24.5% 0.49× 8.27
Odense Boldklub & not both score 8.5% 7.3% 20.6% 0.35× 13.68
Draw & not both score 5.9% 7.3% 6.0% 1.20× 13.73
1X2 & Over/Under 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Midtjylland & over 1.5 48.9% 46.9% 26.1% 1.80× 2.13
Midtjylland & over 2.5 39.1% 37.7% 20.9% 1.80× 2.65
Midtjylland & under 3.5 35.7% 37.6% 18.4% 2.04× 2.66
Midtjylland & over 3.5 22.7% 21.5% 11.8% 1.82× 4.66
Midtjylland & under 2.5 19.4% 17.6% 9.3% 1.89× 5.68
Draw & over 1.5 17.2% 17.6% 19.8% 0.89× 5.68
Draw & under 2.5 16.8% 17.6% 16.8% 1.05× 5.68
Draw & under 3.5 16.8% 17.6% 16.8% 1.05× 5.68
Odense Boldklub & over 1.5 13.9% 12.7% 35.4% 0.36× 7.87
Odense Boldklub & under 3.5 13.3% 12.7% 27.2% 0.47× 7.87
Odense Boldklub & over 2.5 11.2% 12.7% 29.4% 0.43× 7.88
Midtjylland & under 1.5 9.5% 7.5% 4.1% 1.82× 13.33
Odense Boldklub & under 2.5 7.3% 7.5% 15.7% 0.48× 13.34
Draw & over 2.5 6.2% 7.5% 9.1% 0.83× 13.35
Draw & over 3.5 6.2% 7.5% 9.1% 0.83× 13.35
Draw & under 1.5 5.9% 7.5% 6.0% 1.24× 13.35
Odense Boldklub & over 3.5 5.1% 7.5% 17.9% 0.42× 13.35
Odense Boldklub & under 1.5 4.6% 4.5% 9.6% 0.47× 22.30
1X2 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Midtjylland (1UP) 71.7% 76.5% 1.31
Odense Boldklub (1UP) 37.1% 38.2% 2.62
1X2 2UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Midtjylland (2UP) 58.5% 61.4% 1.63
Odense Boldklub (2UP) 18.5% 22.9% 4.36
2nd half 1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Midtjylland to win 2nd half 50.1% 48.5% 2.06
2nd half drawn 31.9% 33.7% 2.96
Odense Boldklub to win 2nd half 18.0% 20.1% 4.98
2nd half away goals O/U 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Midtjylland over 0.5 in 2nd half 68.8% 67.7% 1.48
Midtjylland under 1.5 in 2nd half 67.6% 67.6% 1.48
Midtjylland over 1.5 in 2nd half 32.4% 32.4% 3.09
Midtjylland under 0.5 in 2nd half 31.2% 32.3% 3.10
2nd half home goals O/U 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odense Boldklub under 1.5 in 2nd half 88.6% 87.9% 1.14
Odense Boldklub under 0.5 in 2nd half 56.3% 58.7% 1.70
Odense Boldklub over 0.5 in 2nd half 43.7% 41.3% 2.42
Odense Boldklub over 1.5 in 2nd half 11.4% 12.1% 8.26
Asian handicap 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Midtjylland (+2.5) 98.2% 97.2% 91.8% 1.06× 1.03
Midtjylland (+1.5) 93.3% 92.4% 78.8% 1.17× 1.08
Midtjylland (+0.5) 81.5% 82.5% 55.2% 1.49× 1.21
Midtjylland (-0.5) 58.5% 56.9% 29.9% 1.90× 1.76
Odense Boldklub (+0.5) 41.5% 43.1% 70.1% 0.61× 2.32
Odense Boldklub (-0.5) 18.5% 17.5% 44.8% 0.39× 5.71
Odense Boldklub (-1.5) 6.7% 7.6% 21.2% 0.36× 13.09
Odense Boldklub (-2.5) 1.8% 2.8% 8.2% 0.34× 35.89
Away clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Midtjylland to concede 63.5% 63.9% 80.8% 0.79× 1.57
Midtjylland clean sheet 36.5% 36.1% 19.2% 1.88× 2.77
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Midtjylland clean sheet in 1st half 64.8% 60.8% 1.65
Midtjylland to concede in 1st half 35.2% 39.2% 2.55
Away clean sheet 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Midtjylland clean sheet in 2nd half 56.3% 59.1% 1.69
Midtjylland to concede in 2nd half 43.7% 40.9% 2.44
Away corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Midtjylland over 2.5 corners 91.0% 89.9% 1.11
Midtjylland over 3.5 corners 82.0% 81.4% 1.23
Midtjylland over 4.5 corners 70.6% 71.6% 1.40
Midtjylland over 5.5 corners 58.0% 57.1% 1.75
Midtjylland under 6.5 corners 54.4% 53.1% 1.89
Midtjylland over 6.5 corners 45.6% 46.9% 2.13
Midtjylland under 5.5 corners 42.0% 42.9% 2.33
Midtjylland under 4.5 corners 29.4% 28.4% 3.52
Midtjylland under 3.5 corners 18.0% 18.6% 5.37
Midtjylland under 2.5 corners 9.0% 10.1% 9.94
Away goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Midtjylland under 3.5 goals 86.8% 89.1% 93.7% 0.95× 1.12
Midtjylland over 0.5 goals 85.6% 89.0% 73.6% 1.21× 1.12
Midtjylland under 2.5 goals 69.3% 67.4% 84.1% 0.80× 1.48
Midtjylland over 1.5 goals 57.8% 57.8% 42.3% 1.37× 1.73
Midtjylland under 1.5 goals 42.2% 42.2% 57.7% 0.73× 2.37
Midtjylland over 2.5 goals 30.7% 32.6% 15.9% 2.05× 3.07
Midtjylland under 0.5 goals 14.4% 11.0% 26.4% 0.42× 9.13
Midtjylland over 3.5 goals 13.2% 10.9% 6.3% 1.73× 9.17
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Midtjylland under 1.5 in 1st half 81.7% 81.0% 1.24
Midtjylland over 0.5 in 1st half 54.0% 51.0% 1.96
Midtjylland under 0.5 in 1st half 46.0% 49.0% 2.04
Midtjylland over 1.5 in 1st half 18.3% 19.0% 5.26
Away highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Midtjylland scores more in 2nd half 44.9% 42.3% 2.36
Midtjylland scores equally in both 30.6% 32.3% 3.10
Midtjylland scores more in 1st half 24.5% 21.6% 4.63
Away no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw (away no bet) 55.5% 59.1% 36.3% 1.63× 1.69
Odense Boldklub (away no bet) 44.5% 41.0% 63.7% 0.64× 2.44
Away Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Midtjylland even goals 51.0% 52.2% 57.7% 0.90× 1.92
Midtjylland odd goals 49.0% 47.8% 42.3% 1.13× 2.09
Both halves O1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves over 1.5 82.3% 81.7% 1.22
Both halves over 1.5 goals 17.7% 18.3% 5.46
Both halves U1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves under 1.5 68.6% 65.3% 1.53
Both halves under 1.5 goals 31.4% 34.7% 2.88
Consecutive goals 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row 61.7% 61.1% 1.64
Midtjylland to score 2+ in a row 49.9% 47.7% 2.10
Either team to score 3+ in a row 25.9% 25.2% 3.98
Midtjylland to score 3+ in a row 22.2% 21.8% 4.59
Odense Boldklub to score 2+ in a row 18.2% 17.8% 5.61
Odense Boldklub to score 3+ in a row 3.9% 3.4% 29.38
Corner handicap 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Midtjylland corners (+3.5) 86.9% 84.5% 1.18
Midtjylland corners (+2.5) 81.1% 79.8% 1.25
Midtjylland corners (+1.5) 74.0% 70.7% 1.41
Odense Boldklub corners (+3.5) 71.0% 70.7% 1.41
Odense Boldklub corners (+2.5) 62.5% 61.8% 1.62
Odense Boldklub corners (+1.5) 53.2% 52.5% 1.91
Midtjylland corners (-1.5) 46.8% 47.5% 2.10
Midtjylland corners (-2.5) 37.5% 38.2% 2.62
Midtjylland corners (-3.5) 29.0% 29.3% 3.42
Odense Boldklub corners (-1.5) 26.0% 29.3% 3.42
Odense Boldklub corners (-2.5) 18.9% 20.2% 4.95
Odense Boldklub corners (-3.5) 13.1% 15.5% 6.45
Corner range 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
12+ corners 49.5% 41.8% 2.40
9-11 corners 27.1% 31.2% 3.20
0-8 corners 23.4% 25.6% 3.91
Corners O/U 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 7.5 corners 84.1% 80.7% 1.24
Over 8.5 corners 76.6% 76.5% 1.31
Over 9.5 corners 68.0% 67.7% 1.48
Under 12.5 corners 59.5% 57.9% 1.73
Over 10.5 corners 58.8% 57.9% 1.73
Under 11.5 corners 50.5% 53.2% 1.88
Over 11.5 corners 49.5% 46.8% 2.14
Under 10.5 corners 41.2% 42.1% 2.38
Over 12.5 corners 40.5% 42.1% 2.38
Under 9.5 corners 32.0% 32.3% 3.10
Under 8.5 corners 23.4% 23.5% 4.26
Under 7.5 corners 15.9% 19.3% 5.18
Corners Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odd number of corners 50.0% 50.2% 1.99
Even number of corners 50.0% 49.8% 2.01
Correct score 26
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-1 10.9% 11.6% 11.0% 1.06× 8.62
0-2 9.9% 7.3% 5.5% 1.32× 13.75
1-2 10.0% 7.3% 7.7% 0.95× 13.75
0-1 9.5% 7.3% 4.1% 1.76× 13.76
0-3 6.4% 7.3% 1.9% 3.78× 13.77
1-3 6.4% 7.3% 2.7% 2.64× 13.77
0-0 5.9% 7.3% 6.0% 1.20× 13.77
2-1 5.2% 7.3% 10.2% 0.71× 13.77
2-2 5.0% 7.3% 6.9% 1.06× 13.77
Any other score 5.1% 7.3% 5.2% 1.39× 13.77
1-0 4.6% 1.8% 9.6% 0.19× 55.39
0-4 3.1% 1.8% 2.5% 0.73× 55.43
1-4 3.1% 1.8% 2.7% 0.66× 55.43
2-0 2.7% 1.8% 6.3% 0.29× 55.44
2-3 3.2% 1.8% 3.3% 0.55× 55.43
2-4 1.6% 1.8% 0.5% 3.28× 55.47
3-1 1.7% 1.8% 5.2% 0.35× 55.47
3-2 1.7% 1.8% 4.4% 0.41× 55.47
3-0 0.9% 1.8% 1.9% 0.94× 55.49
3-3 1.1% 1.8% 2.5% 0.73× 55.48
3-4 0.5% 1.8% 0.3% 6.56× 55.50
4-0 0.2% 1.8% 1.9% 0.94× 55.50
4-1 0.4% 1.8% 1.1% 1.64× 55.50
4-2 0.4% 1.8% 2.2% 0.82× 55.50
4-3 0.3% 1.8% 0.5% 3.28× 55.50
4-4 0.1% 1.8% 0.3% 6.56× 55.50
DNB 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Midtjylland (2nd half DNB) 73.6% 68.4% 1.46
Odense Boldklub (2nd half DNB) 26.4% 31.6% 3.16
DNB half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Midtjylland leading at HT (DNB) 68.3% 67.3% 1.49
Odense Boldklub leading at HT (DNB) 31.7% 32.7% 3.06
Double chance 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Midtjylland or draw (X2) 81.5% 80.9% 55.2% 1.47× 1.24
Odense Boldklub or Midtjylland (12) 76.9% 77.8% 74.5% 1.04× 1.29
Odense Boldklub or draw (1X) 41.5% 41.6% 70.1% 0.59× 2.40
Double chance 1HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Midtjylland or draw at HT 81.3% 81.7% 1.23
Odense Boldklub or draw at HT 59.7% 58.2% 1.72
Odense Boldklub or Midtjylland at HT 59.0% 58.2% 1.72
Double chance 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Midtjylland or draw (1UP) 81.5% 83.8% 1.19
Odense Boldklub or draw (1UP) 41.5% 45.6% 2.19
Double chance 2HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Midtjylland or draw in 2nd half 82.0% 79.9% 1.25
Odense Boldklub or Midtjylland in 2nd half 68.1% 66.3% 1.51
Odense Boldklub or draw in 2nd half 49.9% 51.5% 1.94
Draw either half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A half drawn 59.1% 58.0% 1.73
Neither half drawn 40.9% 42.0% 2.38
Draw no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Midtjylland (DNB) 76.0% 78.3% 40.1% 1.95× 1.28
Odense Boldklub (DNB) 24.0% 21.7% 59.9% 0.36× 4.60
First goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Midtjylland to score first 61.9% 66.7% 1.50
Odense Boldklub to score first 32.2% 32.0% 3.13
No goal scored 5.9% 6.2% 16.09
GG/NG 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams to score 55.0% 56.4% 60.4% 0.93× 1.77
Not both teams to score 45.0% 43.6% 39.6% 1.10× 2.30
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both score & over 2.5 44.1% 42.4% 49.7% 0.85× 2.36
Not both score & under 2.5 32.6% 34.2% 30.5% 1.12× 2.92
Not both score & over 2.5 12.4% 11.7% 9.3% 1.25× 8.54
Both score & under 2.5 10.9% 11.7% 11.0% 1.06× 8.55
GG/NG 2+ 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both teams to score 2+ 84.6% 81.1% 80.2% 1.01× 1.23
Both teams to score 2+ 15.4% 18.9% 19.8% 0.96× 5.29
GG/NG 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half 69.7% 69.6% 1.44
Both teams to score in 2nd half 30.3% 30.4% 3.29
GG/NG by half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Neither half both score 56.3% 57.6% 1.74
Both score 2nd half only 24.6% 24.4% 4.09
Both score 1st half only 13.4% 11.6% 8.63
Both score in both halves 5.7% 6.4% 15.69
GG/NG half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score by HT 80.9% 83.1% 1.20
Both teams to score by HT 19.1% 16.9% 5.93
Goal in both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A goal in each half 58.2% 55.7% 1.79
A half without a goal 41.8% 44.3% 2.26
Goal range 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2-3 goals 45.8% 45.9% 42.9% 1.07× 2.18
4-6 goals 31.0% 31.8% 36.5% 0.87× 3.14
0-1 goals 20.0% 22.6% 19.2% 1.18× 4.42
7+ goals 3.1% 1.9% 1.9% 1.01× 51.54
Goals away 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Midtjylland to score 3+ 30.7% 33.0% 15.9% 2.07× 3.03
Midtjylland to score exactly 1 27.9% 27.1% 31.6% 0.86× 3.69
Midtjylland to score exactly 2 27.0% 27.1% 26.6% 1.02× 3.70
Midtjylland to score exactly 0 14.4% 13.4% 26.4% 0.51× 7.45
Goals home 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odense Boldklub to score exactly 1 36.8% 36.2% 33.5% 1.08× 2.77
Odense Boldklub to score exactly 0 36.5% 36.2% 19.2% 1.88× 2.77
Odense Boldklub to score exactly 2 18.5% 18.5% 26.1% 0.71× 5.40
Odense Boldklub to score 3+ 8.2% 8.0% 21.7% 0.37× 12.49
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw at HT 41.0% 41.8% 2.39
Midtjylland leading at HT 40.3% 41.8% 2.39
Odense Boldklub leading at HT 18.7% 18.3% 5.45
Handicap 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Midtjylland -1: 1 41.5% 42.7% 2.34
Midtjylland -1: 2 35.2% 32.6% 3.07
Midtjylland -1: X 23.3% 24.0% 4.17
Handicap 0:1 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Midtjylland (0:1) 81.5% 80.2% 55.2% 1.45× 1.25
Draw (0:1) 11.8% 10.6% 23.9% 0.44× 9.48
Odense Boldklub (0:1) 6.7% 8.4% 21.2% 0.40× 11.88
Handicap 0:2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Midtjylland (0:2) 93.3% 91.5% 78.8% 1.16× 1.09
Draw (0:2) 4.9% 3.1% 13.2% 0.23× 32.65
Odense Boldklub (0:2) 1.8% 3.0% 8.2% 0.36× 33.83
Handicap 0:3 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Midtjylland (0:3) 98.2% 97.2% 91.8% 1.06× 1.03
Draw (0:3) 1.4% 2.3% 3.6% 0.64× 43.52
Odense Boldklub (0:3) 0.4% 2.3% 4.9% 0.46× 43.75
Handicap 0:4 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Midtjylland (0:4) 99.6% 98.1% 95.1% 1.03× 1.02
Draw (0:4) 0.3% 1.2% 3.3% 0.37× 81.97
Odense Boldklub (0:4) 0.1% 1.2% 1.9% 0.63× 82.11
Handicap 1:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odense Boldklub (1:0) 41.5% 43.5% 70.1% 0.62× 2.30
Midtjylland (1:0) 35.2% 38.5% 15.7% 2.46× 2.60
Draw (1:0) 23.3% 22.9% 14.6% 1.57× 4.37
Handicap 2:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odense Boldklub (2:0) 64.8% 70.1% 84.3% 0.83× 1.43
Draw (2:0) 18.1% 15.1% 8.2% 1.83× 6.63
Midtjylland (2:0) 17.1% 15.0% 7.7% 1.95× 6.66
Highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 49.2% 48.7% 2.05
1st half highest scoring 26.2% 26.1% 3.83
Halves equal 24.6% 23.2% 4.31
Home clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odense Boldklub to concede 85.6% 88.3% 73.6% 1.20× 1.13
Odense Boldklub clean sheet 14.4% 11.7% 26.4% 0.44× 8.58
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odense Boldklub to concede in 1st half 54.0% 51.0% 1.96
Odense Boldklub clean sheet in 1st half 46.0% 49.0% 2.04
Home clean sheet 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odense Boldklub to concede in 2nd half 68.8% 64.3% 1.56
Odense Boldklub clean sheet in 2nd half 31.2% 35.7% 2.80
Home corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odense Boldklub over 2.5 corners 84.0% 81.0% 1.24
Odense Boldklub over 3.5 corners 71.0% 71.9% 1.39
Odense Boldklub under 6.5 corners 70.0% 66.7% 1.50
Odense Boldklub under 5.5 corners 57.8% 57.6% 1.74
Odense Boldklub over 4.5 corners 56.4% 57.6% 1.74
Odense Boldklub under 4.5 corners 43.6% 42.4% 2.36
Odense Boldklub over 5.5 corners 42.2% 42.4% 2.36
Odense Boldklub over 6.5 corners 30.0% 33.3% 3.01
Odense Boldklub under 3.5 corners 29.0% 28.1% 3.55
Odense Boldklub under 2.5 corners 16.0% 19.0% 5.26
Home goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odense Boldklub under 3.5 goals 98.1% 97.8% 91.2% 1.07× 1.02
Odense Boldklub under 2.5 goals 91.8% 92.2% 78.3% 1.18× 1.09
Odense Boldklub under 1.5 goals 73.3% 72.8% 52.5% 1.39× 1.37
Odense Boldklub over 0.5 goals 63.5% 62.8% 80.8% 0.78× 1.59
Odense Boldklub under 0.5 goals 36.5% 37.2% 19.2% 1.93× 2.69
Odense Boldklub over 1.5 goals 26.7% 27.2% 47.5% 0.57× 3.68
Odense Boldklub over 2.5 goals 8.2% 7.8% 21.7% 0.36× 12.79
Odense Boldklub over 3.5 goals 1.9% 2.2% 8.8% 0.25× 45.07
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odense Boldklub under 1.5 in 1st half 92.9% 93.2% 1.07
Odense Boldklub under 0.5 in 1st half 64.8% 60.6% 1.65
Odense Boldklub over 0.5 in 1st half 35.2% 39.4% 2.54
Odense Boldklub over 1.5 in 1st half 7.1% 6.8% 14.61
Home highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odense Boldklub scores equally in both 46.2% 49.7% 2.01
Odense Boldklub scores more in 2nd half 31.6% 31.5% 3.17
Odense Boldklub scores more in 1st half 22.2% 22.4% 4.47
Home no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Midtjylland (home no bet) 71.7% 68.1% 54.0% 1.26× 1.47
Draw (home no bet) 28.3% 31.9% 46.0% 0.69× 3.13
Home Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odense Boldklub even goals 56.7% 58.0% 50.5% 1.15× 1.72
Odense Boldklub odd goals 43.3% 42.0% 49.5% 0.85× 2.38
HT correct score 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
HT 0-0 29.9% 28.2% 3.55
HT 0-1 23.0% 22.7% 4.41
HT 1-0 12.8% 11.2% 8.93
HT 1-1 10.1% 11.2% 8.96
HT 0-2 9.0% 7.7% 12.97
Any other HT score 5.3% 7.7% 13.03
HT 1-2 3.9% 2.5% 39.78
HT 2-0 2.8% 2.5% 39.84
HT 2-1 2.2% 2.5% 39.88
HT 2-2 0.8% 2.5% 39.95
HT/FT 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Midtjylland at HT / Midtjylland at FT 34.7% 34.4% 2.91
Draw at HT / Midtjylland at FT 20.1% 21.3% 4.69
Draw at HT / Draw at FT 13.8% 12.0% 8.37
Odense Boldklub at HT / Odense Boldklub at FT 10.2% 11.9% 8.40
Draw at HT / Odense Boldklub at FT 7.0% 6.6% 15.22
Odense Boldklub at HT / Draw at FT 4.9% 3.4% 29.30
Midtjylland at HT / Draw at FT 4.3% 3.4% 29.32
Odense Boldklub at HT / Midtjylland at FT 3.6% 3.4% 29.35
Midtjylland at HT / Odense Boldklub at FT 1.3% 3.4% 29.45
Last goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Midtjylland to score last 62.0% 60.1% 1.66
Odense Boldklub to score last 32.1% 35.7% 2.80
No goal scored 5.9% 6.2% 16.09
Lead at any time 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time 94.1% 93.8% 1.07
Midtjylland to lead by 1 at any time 71.7% 76.9% 1.30
Either team to lead by 2 at any time 53.0% 51.0% 1.96
Midtjylland to lead by 2 at any time 41.9% 42.1% 2.38
Odense Boldklub to lead by 1 at any time 37.1% 37.3% 2.68
Either team to lead by 3 at any time 22.7% 19.8% 5.04
Midtjylland to lead by 3 at any time 19.9% 17.7% 5.66
Odense Boldklub to lead by 2 at any time 11.3% 11.3% 8.82
Odense Boldklub to lead by 3 at any time 2.8% 2.6% 38.29
Most corners 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Midtjylland most corners 56.3% 55.6% 1.80
Odense Boldklub most corners 34.4% 34.4% 2.91
Corners level 9.3% 8.4% 11.90
Multi goal 15
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-5 goals 86.2% 87.9% 85.4% 1.03× 1.14
2-6 goals 76.9% 78.9% 79.1% 1.00× 1.27
1-4 goals 76.5% 78.9% 73.9% 1.07× 1.27
2-5 goals 72.1% 73.6% 72.3% 1.02× 1.36
2-4 goals 62.4% 62.2% 60.7% 1.02× 1.61
1-3 goals 60.0% 58.9% 56.0% 1.05× 1.70
3-6 goals 53.4% 52.4% 57.1% 0.92× 1.91
3-5 goals 48.6% 48.0% 50.3% 0.95× 2.08
2-3 goals 45.8% 48.0% 42.9% 1.12× 2.09
3-4 goals 38.9% 38.9% 38.7% 1.00× 2.57
1-2 goals 37.6% 38.9% 35.4% 1.10× 2.57
4-6 goals 31.0% 34.0% 36.5% 0.93× 2.94
4-5 goals 26.2% 30.5% 29.7% 1.03× 3.27
5-6 goals 14.5% 13.5% 18.7% 0.73× 7.38
7+ goals 3.1% 2.0% 1.9% 1.05× 49.56
Never down 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Midtjylland never behind 57.0% 63.0% 1.59
Odense Boldklub never behind 22.4% 24.0% 4.17
Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odd number of goals 48.5% 50.2% 47.0% 1.07× 1.99
Even number of goals 51.5% 49.8% 53.0% 0.94× 2.01
Odd/Even 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 1st half 54.7% 52.0% 1.92
Odd goals in 1st half 45.3% 48.0% 2.08
Odd/Even 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 2nd half 52.0% 51.7% 1.94
Odd goals in 2nd half 48.0% 48.3% 2.07
Over/Under 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 0.5 goals 94.1% 93.0% 94.0% 0.99× 1.08
Under 5.5 goals 92.1% 93.0% 91.2% 1.02× 1.08
Under 4.5 goals 82.4% 81.0% 79.7% 1.02× 1.24
Over 1.5 goals 80.0% 78.2% 80.8% 0.97× 1.28
Under 3.5 goals 65.9% 65.2% 61.8% 1.06× 1.53
Over 2.5 goals 56.5% 57.5% 58.8% 0.98× 1.74
Under 2.5 goals 43.5% 42.5% 41.2% 1.03× 2.35
Over 3.5 goals 34.1% 34.8% 38.2% 0.91× 2.88
Under 1.5 goals 20.0% 21.8% 19.2% 1.14× 4.58
Over 4.5 goals 17.6% 19.0% 20.3% 0.93× 5.26
Over 5.5 goals 7.9% 7.0% 8.8% 0.80× 14.24
Under 0.5 goals 5.9% 7.0% 6.0% 1.16× 14.29
Over/Under (whole line) 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6) 96.8% 97.2% 97.9% 0.99× 1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5) 91.3% 92.8% 90.1% 1.03× 1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4) 78.9% 76.5% 75.3% 1.02× 1.31
Over 2 (void on exactly 2) 73.8% 72.2% 75.4% 0.96× 1.38
Under 3 (void on exactly 3) 56.0% 55.5% 51.9% 1.07× 1.80
Over 3 (void on exactly 3) 44.0% 44.5% 48.1% 0.93× 2.25
Under 2 (void on exactly 2) 26.2% 27.8% 24.6% 1.13× 3.60
Over 4 (void on exactly 4) 21.1% 23.5% 24.7% 0.95× 4.26
Over 5 (void on exactly 5) 8.7% 7.2% 9.9% 0.73× 13.88
Over 6 (void on exactly 6) 3.2% 2.8% 2.1% 1.34× 36.26
Over/Under 1HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half 87.7% 88.1% 1.14
Over 0.5 in 1st half 70.1% 72.4% 1.38
Under 1.5 in 1st half 65.8% 68.5% 1.46
Over 1.5 in 1st half 34.2% 31.5% 3.18
Under 0.5 in 1st half 29.9% 27.6% 3.62
Over 2.5 in 1st half 12.3% 11.9% 8.40
Over/Under 2HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half 82.2% 82.0% 1.22
Under 2.5 in 2nd half 74.7% 76.3% 1.31
Under 1.5 in 2nd half 47.9% 51.8% 1.93
Over 1.5 in 2nd half 52.1% 48.2% 2.07
Over 2.5 in 2nd half 25.3% 23.7% 4.22
Under 0.5 in 2nd half 17.8% 18.0% 5.56
Score both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odense Boldklub not to score in both halves 84.6% 81.7% 1.22
Midtjylland not to score in both halves 62.9% 62.5% 1.60
Midtjylland to score in both halves 37.1% 37.5% 2.67
Odense Boldklub to score in both halves 15.4% 18.3% 5.47
Teams to score 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams score 55.0% 57.6% 60.4% 0.95× 1.74
Only Midtjylland scores 30.6% 36.0% 13.5% 2.68× 2.78
Only Odense Boldklub scores 8.5% 6.6% 20.6% 0.32× 15.07
Neither team scores 5.9% 6.6% 6.0% 1.09× 15.16
Total goals 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Exactly 2 goals 23.4% 21.6% 22.3% 0.97× 4.63
Exactly 3 goals 22.4% 21.6% 20.9% 1.03× 4.63
Exactly 4 goals 16.5% 18.6% 18.1% 1.02× 5.39
Exactly 1 goals 14.1% 12.4% 13.5% 0.92× 8.09
Exactly 5 goals 9.7% 7.6% 11.8% 0.65× 13.10
6 or more goals 7.9% 7.6% 8.8% 0.87× 13.12
Exactly 0 goals 5.9% 7.6% 6.0% 1.26× 13.15
Total goals 1st half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1 goal in 1st half 35.9% 37.3% 2.68
No goals in 1st half 29.9% 27.6% 3.62
2 goals in 1st half 21.9% 21.6% 4.63
3+ goals in 1st half 12.3% 11.9% 8.41
Total goals 2nd half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half 52.1% 47.5% 2.10
1 goal in 2nd half 30.1% 33.1% 3.02
No goals in 2nd half 17.8% 18.4% 5.45
Win both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odense Boldklub not to win both halves 96.6% 96.6% 1.04
Midtjylland not to win both halves 79.7% 80.3% 1.25
Midtjylland to win both halves 20.3% 19.7% 5.08
Odense Boldklub to win both halves 3.4% 3.4% 29.35
Win either half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Midtjylland to win either half 70.1% 72.2% 1.39
Odense Boldklub to win neither half 66.7% 67.1% 1.49
Odense Boldklub to win either half 33.3% 32.9% 3.04
Midtjylland to win neither half 29.9% 27.8% 3.59
Win to nil 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odense Boldklub not to win to nil 91.5% 92.5% 79.4% 1.17× 1.08
Midtjylland not to win to nil 69.4% 64.7% 86.5% 0.75× 1.55
Midtjylland to win to nil 30.6% 35.3% 13.5% 2.62× 2.83
Odense Boldklub to win to nil 8.5% 7.5% 20.6% 0.36× 13.34
Winning margin 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Midtjylland by 1 23.3% 23.9% 14.6% 1.64× 4.19
Draw 23.1% 23.9% 25.5% 0.93× 4.19
Midtjylland by 2 18.1% 17.1% 8.2% 2.07× 5.86
Midtjylland by 3+ 17.1% 17.1% 7.7% 2.22× 5.86
Odense Boldklub by 1 11.8% 11.7% 23.9% 0.49× 8.54
Odense Boldklub by 2 4.9% 2.9% 13.2% 0.22× 35.02
Odense Boldklub by 3+ 1.8% 2.8% 8.2% 0.34× 35.46
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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