Olympiacos v AEK Athens — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 5 December 2026 · GRE-Super League · 2627

GRE-Super League results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Olympiacos

20:00 UTC

AEK Athens

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 22 Oct, 10:58 · 1,065h before kick-off

Olympiacos win

45.3%

model 43.5%

Draw

30.9%

model 34.4%

AEK Athens win

23.8%

model 22.2%

453124

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (624 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

0-0 15.6%
1-1 15.3%
1-0 13.8%
2-0 9.8%
0-1 8.4%

Goals

Over 2.5	32.9%	Under 2.5	67.1%
BTTS yes	41.2%	BTTS no	58.8%
Olympiacos 1+	70.4%	Olympiacos 2+	34.3%
AEK Athens 1+	55.2%	AEK Athens 2+	19.3%

Expected goals 1.22 – 0.80. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

79/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

98%

★ Best pick

Under 2 (void on exactly 2)

Over/Under (whole line) · usually 36%

53.8% fair odds 1.86

strong signal · 700 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

AEK Athens not to score in both halves

Score both halves

84.4% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 828 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Form is good: 2.20 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Olympiacos have an estimated 45.3% win probability, against 30.9% for the draw and 23.8% for AEK Athens. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.22 for Olympiacos and 0.80 for AEK Athens.

Why Olympiacos

Form is good: 2.20 points a match from the last five.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 30.9%. A combined 2.02 expected goals is a low-scoring profile, and low totals mean more level finishes. Draws run at 25% in this competition.

Why AEK Athens can win

AEK Athens carry the stronger rating, 1769 Elo against 1740. Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Olympiacos, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for AEK Athens, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Olympiacos: 55% possession, 18.8 shots a match, 8.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. AEK Athens: 55% possession, 13.8 shots a match, 12.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-22 14:54 · team_stats 2026-10-20 06:04 · availability 2026-10-22 14:58 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Olympiacos are the model's most likely outcome at 45.3%. The likeliest scoreline is 0-0 at 15.6%. Confidence 79/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	433422	1.22–0.80	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	433720	1.09–0.66	0-0 20%	25%	34%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Olympiacos to win	43.4%	42.9%	41.4%	1.04×	2.33
Draw	36.8%	36.4%	25.0%	1.45×	2.75
AEK Athens to win	19.8%	19.4%	33.8%	0.57×	5.15

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Olympiacos & not both score	32.2%	29.6%	24.0%	1.24×	3.38
Draw & not both score	19.7%	18.0%	8.4%	2.14×	5.56
Draw & both teams score	17.1%	18.0%	16.8%	1.07×	5.57
AEK Athens & not both score	14.0%	13.3%	19.7%	0.67×	7.53
Olympiacos & both teams score	11.3%	13.3%	17.6%	0.75×	7.54
AEK Athens & both teams score	5.8%	8.3%	14.3%	0.58×	12.02

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Olympiacos & under 3.5	37.7%	34.9%	29.7%	1.17×	2.87
Draw & under 2.5	34.4%	30.8%	21.3%	1.44×	3.25
Draw & under 3.5	34.4%	30.8%	21.3%	1.44×	3.25
Olympiacos & under 2.5	27.1%	26.1%	15.2%	1.72×	3.84
Olympiacos & over 1.5	26.6%	26.1%	32.4%	0.80×	3.84
Draw & under 1.5	19.7%	18.0%	8.4%	2.14×	5.56
AEK Athens & under 3.5	18.0%	18.0%	26.8%	0.67×	5.56
Olympiacos & under 1.5	16.8%	18.0%	9.2%	1.95×	5.56
Draw & over 1.5	17.1%	18.0%	16.8%	1.07×	5.56
Olympiacos & over 2.5	16.3%	18.0%	26.4%	0.68×	5.56
AEK Athens & under 2.5	13.0%	12.8%	15.6%	0.82×	7.79
AEK Athens & over 1.5	10.5%	12.8%	24.4%	0.53×	7.79
AEK Athens & under 1.5	9.3%	7.9%	9.6%	0.82×	12.63
AEK Athens & over 2.5	6.8%	7.9%	18.4%	0.43×	12.63
Olympiacos & over 3.5	5.7%	7.9%	11.9%	0.67×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	2.4%	4.8%	3.9%	1.23×	20.82
Draw & over 3.5	2.4%	4.8%	3.9%	1.23×	20.82
AEK Athens & over 3.5	1.8%	4.8%	7.2%	0.67×	20.83

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Olympiacos (1UP)	54.3%	52.7%	—	—	1.90
AEK Athens (1UP)	32.4%	32.9%	—	—	3.04

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Olympiacos (2UP)	43.4%	47.2%	—	—	2.12
AEK Athens (2UP)	19.8%	17.5%	—	—	5.72

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half drawn	47.2%	45.9%	—	—	2.18
Olympiacos to win 2nd half	34.0%	34.3%	—	—	2.91
AEK Athens to win 2nd half	18.8%	18.2%	—	—	5.50

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AEK Athens under 1.5 in 2nd half	94.0%	92.2%	—	—	1.09
AEK Athens under 0.5 in 2nd half	67.4%	70.1%	—	—	1.43
AEK Athens over 0.5 in 2nd half	32.6%	29.9%	—	—	3.35
AEK Athens over 1.5 in 2nd half	6.0%	7.8%	—	—	12.80

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Olympiacos under 1.5 in 2nd half	87.1%	88.3%	—	—	1.13
Olympiacos under 0.5 in 2nd half	53.8%	55.2%	—	—	1.81
Olympiacos over 0.5 in 2nd half	46.2%	44.8%	—	—	2.23
Olympiacos over 1.5 in 2nd half	12.9%	11.7%	—	—	8.57

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AEK Athens (+2.5)	94.1%	92.1%	89.3%	1.03×	1.09
AEK Athens (+1.5)	81.0%	82.5%	78.9%	1.05×	1.21
Olympiacos (+0.5)	80.2%	82.5%	66.2%	1.25×	1.21
AEK Athens (+0.5)	56.6%	57.0%	58.6%	0.97×	1.75
Olympiacos (-0.5)	43.4%	43.0%	41.4%	1.04×	2.33
AEK Athens (-0.5)	19.8%	17.5%	33.8%	0.52×	5.72
Olympiacos (-1.5)	19.0%	17.5%	21.1%	0.83×	5.72
Olympiacos (-2.5)	5.9%	7.9%	10.7%	0.74×	12.70

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AEK Athens to concede	66.3%	72.3%	72.1%	1.00×	1.38
AEK Athens clean sheet	33.7%	27.7%	27.9%	0.99×	3.61

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AEK Athens clean sheet in 1st half	62.6%	65.2%	—	—	1.53
AEK Athens to concede in 1st half	37.4%	34.8%	—	—	2.87

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AEK Athens clean sheet in 2nd half	53.8%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
AEK Athens to concede in 2nd half	46.2%	45.1%	—	—	2.22

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AEK Athens under 6.5 corners	92.5%	89.9%	—	—	1.11
AEK Athens under 5.5 corners	85.7%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
AEK Athens under 4.5 corners	74.8%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
AEK Athens over 2.5 corners	60.5%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
AEK Athens under 3.5 corners	59.0%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
AEK Athens over 3.5 corners	41.0%	42.8%	—	—	2.33
AEK Athens under 2.5 corners	39.5%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
AEK Athens over 4.5 corners	25.2%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
AEK Athens over 5.5 corners	14.3%	14.8%	—	—	6.77
AEK Athens over 6.5 corners	7.5%	10.1%	—	—	9.90

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AEK Athens under 3.5 goals	99.5%	97.5%	96.7%	1.01×	1.03
AEK Athens under 2.5 goals	97.1%	97.5%	89.8%	1.09×	1.03
AEK Athens under 1.5 goals	85.9%	87.8%	67.4%	1.30×	1.14
AEK Athens under 0.5 goals	51.8%	53.5%	32.2%	1.66×	1.87
AEK Athens over 0.5 goals	48.2%	46.5%	67.8%	0.69×	2.15
AEK Athens over 1.5 goals	14.1%	12.2%	32.6%	0.37×	8.19
AEK Athens over 2.5 goals	2.9%	2.5%	10.2%	0.24×	39.88
AEK Athens over 3.5 goals	0.5%	2.5%	3.3%	0.76×	40.01

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AEK Athens under 1.5 in 1st half	97.1%	96.2%	—	—	1.04
AEK Athens under 0.5 in 1st half	76.9%	75.6%	—	—	1.32
AEK Athens over 0.5 in 1st half	23.1%	24.4%	—	—	4.10
AEK Athens over 1.5 in 1st half	2.9%	3.8%	—	—	26.16

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AEK Athens scores equally in both	57.4%	52.8%	—	—	1.89
AEK Athens scores more in 2nd half	26.3%	26.3%	—	—	3.81
AEK Athens scores more in 1st half	16.4%	17.9%	—	—	5.60

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Olympiacos (away no bet)	54.1%	51.8%	62.3%	0.83×	1.93
Draw (away no bet)	45.9%	48.2%	37.7%	1.28×	2.07

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AEK Athens even goals	63.4%	59.1%	56.8%	1.04×	1.69
AEK Athens odd goals	36.6%	40.9%	43.2%	0.95×	2.44

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	95.5%	95.6%	—	—	1.05
Both halves over 1.5 goals	4.5%	4.4%	—	—	22.84

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both halves under 1.5 goals	59.7%	60.7%	—	—	1.65
Not both halves under 1.5	40.3%	39.3%	—	—	2.54

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	35.1%	36.5%	—	—	2.74
Olympiacos to score 2+ in a row	25.8%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
AEK Athens to score 2+ in a row	10.8%	12.0%	—	—	8.33
Either team to score 3+ in a row	9.3%	5.6%	—	—	17.81
Olympiacos to score 3+ in a row	7.5%	5.6%	—	—	17.95
AEK Athens to score 3+ in a row	1.8%	2.5%	—	—	39.59

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Olympiacos corners (+3.5)	93.1%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Olympiacos corners (+2.5)	87.9%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Olympiacos corners (+1.5)	80.3%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
AEK Athens corners (+3.5)	77.2%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
AEK Athens corners (+2.5)	67.0%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
AEK Athens corners (+1.5)	55.0%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
Olympiacos corners (-1.5)	45.0%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
Olympiacos corners (-2.5)	33.0%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
Olympiacos corners (-3.5)	22.8%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
AEK Athens corners (-1.5)	19.7%	20.2%	—	—	4.94
AEK Athens corners (-2.5)	12.1%	15.5%	—	—	6.45
AEK Athens corners (-3.5)	6.9%	10.4%	—	—	9.59

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	61.9%	48.3%	—	—	2.07
9-11 corners	25.0%	31.2%	—	—	3.21
12+ corners	13.0%	21.1%	—	—	4.73

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	91.6%	83.4%	—	—	1.20
Under 11.5 corners	87.0%	83.1%	—	—	1.20
Under 10.5 corners	80.6%	80.7%	—	—	1.24
Under 9.5 corners	72.2%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Under 8.5 corners	61.9%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Under 7.5 corners	50.1%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Over 7.5 corners	49.9%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Over 8.5 corners	38.1%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Over 9.5 corners	27.8%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Over 10.5 corners	19.4%	19.3%	—	—	5.17
Over 11.5 corners	13.0%	16.9%	—	—	5.91
Over 12.5 corners	8.4%	16.6%	—	—	6.03

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.1%	—	—	2.00
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-0	19.7%	13.9%	8.4%	1.65×	7.22
1-0	16.8%	13.8%	9.2%	1.50×	7.23
1-1	14.7%	11.5%	13.1%	0.87×	8.72
2-0	10.3%	11.5%	6.1%	1.86×	8.72
0-1	9.3%	7.4%	9.6%	0.77×	13.50
2-1	6.8%	7.4%	8.6%	0.86×	13.51
0-2	3.8%	1.7%	6.1%	0.28×	58.30
0-3	0.8%	1.7%	3.1%	0.56×	58.31
0-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.8%	2.09×	58.32
1-2	4.1%	1.7%	8.6%	0.20×	58.30
1-3	0.9%	1.7%	2.0%	0.84×	58.31
1-4	0.1%	1.7%	1.4%	1.20×	58.32
2-2	2.2%	1.7%	3.7%	0.47×	58.31
2-3	0.5%	1.7%	2.3%	0.76×	58.32
2-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.6%	2.79×	58.32
3-0	3.7%	1.7%	6.4%	0.27×	58.30
3-1	2.5%	1.7%	3.5%	0.49×	58.31
3-2	0.8%	1.7%	3.1%	0.56×	58.31
3-3	0.2%	1.7%	0.4%	4.18×	58.32
3-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.2%	8.37×	58.32
4-0	1.0%	1.7%	1.8%	0.93×	58.31
4-1	0.7%	1.7%	1.4%	1.20×	58.32
4-2	0.2%	1.7%	1.4%	1.20×	58.32
4-3	0.0%	1.7%	0.2%	8.37×	58.32
4-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.2%	8.37×	58.32
Any other score	0.6%	1.7%	2.5%	0.70×	58.32

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Olympiacos (2nd half DNB)	64.3%	62.8%	—	—	1.59
AEK Athens (2nd half DNB)	35.7%	37.2%	—	—	2.69

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Olympiacos leading at HT (DNB)	66.7%	73.8%	—	—	1.36
AEK Athens leading at HT (DNB)	33.3%	26.2%	—	—	3.82

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Olympiacos or draw (1X)	80.2%	80.6%	66.2%	1.22×	1.24
Olympiacos or AEK Athens (12)	63.2%	63.6%	75.0%	0.85×	1.57
AEK Athens or draw (X2)	56.6%	57.1%	58.6%	0.97×	1.75

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Olympiacos or draw at HT	85.0%	87.8%	—	—	1.14
AEK Athens or draw at HT	70.0%	66.8%	—	—	1.50
Olympiacos or AEK Athens at HT	45.0%	43.0%	—	—	2.33

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Olympiacos or draw (1UP)	80.2%	88.3%	—	—	1.13
AEK Athens or draw (1UP)	56.6%	63.0%	—	—	1.59

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Olympiacos or draw in 2nd half	81.2%	81.8%	—	—	1.22
AEK Athens or draw in 2nd half	66.0%	65.7%	—	—	1.52
Olympiacos or AEK Athens in 2nd half	52.8%	54.1%	—	—	1.85

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	74.1%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Neither half drawn	25.9%	27.5%	—	—	3.63

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Olympiacos (DNB)	68.7%	67.4%	55.0%	1.22×	1.48
AEK Athens (DNB)	31.3%	32.6%	45.0%	0.72×	3.07

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Olympiacos to score first	50.1%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
AEK Athens to score first	30.2%	27.3%	—	—	3.67
No goal scored	19.7%	18.8%	—	—	5.31

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	65.9%	58.4%	51.6%	1.13×	1.71
Both teams to score	34.1%	41.6%	48.4%	0.86×	2.41

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	59.8%	47.7%	38.7%	1.23×	2.10
Both score & over 2.5	19.5%	21.6%	35.5%	0.61×	4.63
Both score & under 2.5	14.7%	12.4%	13.1%	0.94×	8.09
Not both score & over 2.5	6.0%	8.3%	13.1%	0.63×	12.07

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	95.8%	91.6%	88.9%	1.03×	1.09
Both teams to score 2+	4.2%	8.4%	11.1%	0.76×	11.90

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	84.2%	74.5%	—	—	1.34
Both teams to score in 2nd half	15.8%	25.5%	—	—	3.93

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	76.5%	74.6%	—	—	1.34
Both score 2nd half only	14.5%	10.7%	—	—	9.33
Both score 1st half only	7.7%	6.8%	—	—	14.68
Both score in both halves	1.3%	4.8%	—	—	20.79

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	91.0%	91.4%	—	—	1.09
Both teams to score by HT	9.0%	8.6%	—	—	11.65

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half without a goal	65.9%	66.3%	—	—	1.51
A goal in each half	34.1%	33.7%	—	—	2.97

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-1 goals	45.7%	47.2%	26.8%	1.76×	2.12
2-3 goals	44.3%	42.1%	50.8%	0.83×	2.37
4-6 goals	9.8%	7.7%	21.7%	0.35×	13.06
7+ goals	0.2%	1.8%	1.0%	1.79×	54.49

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AEK Athens to score exactly 0	51.8%	47.1%	32.2%	1.46×	2.12
AEK Athens to score exactly 1	34.1%	33.8%	35.5%	0.95×	2.96
AEK Athens to score exactly 2	11.2%	12.9%	22.5%	0.57×	7.77
AEK Athens to score 3+	2.9%	4.6%	10.2%	0.45×	21.86

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Olympiacos to score exactly 1	36.7%	35.6%	33.6%	1.06×	2.81
Olympiacos to score exactly 0	33.7%	32.6%	27.9%	1.17×	3.07
Olympiacos to score exactly 2	19.9%	18.8%	20.7%	0.91×	5.33
Olympiacos to score 3+	9.7%	10.3%	18.2%	0.57×	9.68

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	55.0%	57.0%	—	—	1.75
Olympiacos leading at HT	30.0%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
AEK Athens leading at HT	15.0%	12.2%	—	—	8.20

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Olympiacos -1: 2	56.6%	56.7%	—	—	1.76
Olympiacos -1: X	24.4%	23.5%	—	—	4.25
Olympiacos -1: 1	19.0%	17.5%	—	—	5.70

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AEK Athens (0:1)	56.6%	55.8%	58.6%	0.95×	1.79
Draw (0:1)	24.4%	24.2%	20.5%	1.18×	4.13
Olympiacos (0:1)	19.0%	17.8%	21.1%	0.85×	5.61

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AEK Athens (0:2)	81.0%	82.9%	78.9%	1.05×	1.21
Draw (0:2)	13.0%	11.0%	10.7%	1.03×	9.09
Olympiacos (0:2)	5.9%	7.7%	10.7%	0.72×	13.05

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AEK Athens (0:3)	94.1%	92.7%	89.3%	1.04×	1.08
Draw (0:3)	4.5%	2.4%	8.0%	0.30×	42.00
Olympiacos (0:3)	1.5%	2.4%	2.9%	0.83×	42.13

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AEK Athens (0:4)	98.5%	98.1%	97.1%	1.01×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	1.2%	1.2%	1.8%	0.66×	81.97
Olympiacos (0:4)	0.3%	1.2%	1.2%	0.99×	82.07

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Olympiacos (1:0)	80.2%	81.3%	66.2%	1.23×	1.23
Draw (1:0)	13.9%	12.7%	20.1%	0.63×	7.87
AEK Athens (1:0)	5.9%	6.9%	13.9%	0.49×	14.52

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Olympiacos (2:0)	94.1%	94.0%	86.1%	1.09×	1.06
Draw (2:0)	4.8%	2.3%	8.4%	0.27×	43.53
AEK Athens (2:0)	1.2%	2.3%	5.7%	0.40×	43.76

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	39.5%	39.5%	—	—	2.53
Halves equal	36.3%	36.3%	—	—	2.76
1st half highest scoring	24.2%	24.4%	—	—	4.10

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Olympiacos clean sheet	51.8%	53.2%	32.2%	1.65×	1.88
Olympiacos to concede	48.2%	46.8%	67.8%	0.69×	2.14

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Olympiacos clean sheet in 1st half	76.9%	78.0%	—	—	1.28
Olympiacos to concede in 1st half	23.1%	22.0%	—	—	4.55

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Olympiacos clean sheet in 2nd half	67.4%	67.2%	—	—	1.49
Olympiacos to concede in 2nd half	32.6%	32.8%	—	—	3.05

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Olympiacos under 6.5 corners	80.2%	80.9%	—	—	1.24
Olympiacos over 2.5 corners	77.3%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Olympiacos under 5.5 corners	69.3%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Olympiacos over 3.5 corners	61.2%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Olympiacos under 4.5 corners	55.1%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Olympiacos over 4.5 corners	44.9%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Olympiacos under 3.5 corners	38.8%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Olympiacos over 5.5 corners	30.7%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Olympiacos under 2.5 corners	22.7%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Olympiacos over 6.5 corners	19.8%	19.1%	—	—	5.25

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Olympiacos under 3.5 goals	97.5%	96.4%	94.3%	1.02×	1.04
Olympiacos under 2.5 goals	90.3%	92.2%	81.8%	1.13×	1.08
Olympiacos under 1.5 goals	70.3%	74.2%	61.3%	1.21×	1.35
Olympiacos over 0.5 goals	66.3%	68.0%	72.1%	0.94×	1.47
Olympiacos under 0.5 goals	33.7%	32.0%	27.9%	1.15×	3.12
Olympiacos over 1.5 goals	29.7%	25.8%	38.7%	0.67×	3.88
Olympiacos over 2.5 goals	9.7%	7.8%	18.2%	0.43×	12.86
Olympiacos over 3.5 goals	2.5%	3.6%	5.7%	0.63×	27.55

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Olympiacos under 1.5 in 1st half	91.9%	94.7%	—	—	1.06
Olympiacos under 0.5 in 1st half	62.6%	64.9%	—	—	1.54
Olympiacos over 0.5 in 1st half	37.4%	35.1%	—	—	2.85
Olympiacos over 1.5 in 1st half	8.1%	5.3%	—	—	18.95

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Olympiacos scores equally in both	44.2%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
Olympiacos scores more in 2nd half	32.9%	33.0%	—	—	3.03
Olympiacos scores more in 1st half	22.9%	21.2%	—	—	4.71

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	65.0%	64.1%	42.5%	1.51×	1.56
AEK Athens (home no bet)	35.0%	35.9%	57.5%	0.62×	2.79

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Olympiacos even goals	55.7%	55.2%	52.9%	1.05×	1.81
Olympiacos odd goals	44.3%	44.8%	47.1%	0.95×	2.24

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	48.5%	48.7%	—	—	2.06
HT 1-0	22.2%	24.4%	—	—	4.10
HT 0-1	12.3%	11.0%	—	—	9.08
HT 1-1	6.3%	6.9%	—	—	14.50
HT 2-0	5.3%	6.9%	—	—	14.52
HT 0-2	1.7%	2.4%	—	—	42.17
Any other HT score	1.5%	2.4%	—	—	42.18
HT 2-1	1.4%	2.4%	—	—	42.19
HT 1-2	0.8%	2.4%	—	—	42.23
HT 2-2	0.2%	2.4%	—	—	42.27

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	28.1%	27.3%	—	—	3.67
Olympiacos at HT / Olympiacos at FT	24.6%	21.9%	—	—	4.57
Draw at HT / Olympiacos at FT	17.6%	16.7%	—	—	5.98
AEK Athens at HT / AEK Athens at FT	9.6%	6.0%	—	—	16.56
Draw at HT / AEK Athens at FT	9.3%	6.0%	—	—	16.56
Olympiacos at HT / Draw at FT	4.6%	3.5%	—	—	28.60
AEK Athens at HT / Draw at FT	4.0%	3.5%	—	—	28.62
AEK Athens at HT / Olympiacos at FT	1.3%	3.5%	—	—	28.72
Olympiacos at HT / AEK Athens at FT	0.9%	3.5%	—	—	28.73

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Olympiacos to score last	50.4%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
AEK Athens to score last	30.0%	27.9%	—	—	3.59
No goal scored	19.7%	14.8%	—	—	6.74

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	80.3%	87.2%	—	—	1.15
Olympiacos to lead by 1 at any time	54.3%	50.9%	—	—	1.96
AEK Athens to lead by 1 at any time	32.4%	29.8%	—	—	3.35
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	30.2%	29.8%	—	—	3.36
Olympiacos to lead by 2 at any time	22.2%	19.6%	—	—	5.09
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	8.2%	6.7%	—	—	14.87
AEK Athens to lead by 2 at any time	8.1%	6.7%	—	—	14.88
Olympiacos to lead by 3 at any time	6.8%	6.7%	—	—	14.94
AEK Athens to lead by 3 at any time	1.5%	1.6%	—	—	63.23

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Olympiacos most corners	57.9%	55.7%	—	—	1.80
AEK Athens most corners	30.0%	31.2%	—	—	3.21
Corners level	12.2%	10.4%	—	—	9.58

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	79.4%	78.7%	88.5%	0.89×	1.27
1-4 goals	77.1%	78.7%	80.1%	0.98×	1.27
1-3 goals	70.3%	72.4%	69.3%	1.04×	1.38
1-2 goals	54.9%	53.2%	43.4%	1.22×	1.88
2-6 goals	54.1%	53.2%	72.3%	0.74×	1.88
2-5 goals	53.4%	53.2%	70.1%	0.76×	1.88
2-4 goals	51.0%	53.2%	61.7%	0.86×	1.88
2-3 goals	44.3%	43.6%	50.8%	0.86×	2.29
3-6 goals	25.3%	30.2%	47.5%	0.64×	3.31
3-5 goals	24.6%	24.5%	45.3%	0.54×	4.08
3-4 goals	22.2%	24.5%	36.9%	0.66×	4.08
4-6 goals	9.8%	8.9%	21.7%	0.41×	11.25
4-5 goals	9.1%	8.9%	19.5%	0.46×	11.25
5-6 goals	3.0%	2.6%	10.9%	0.24×	39.09
7+ goals	0.2%	2.6%	1.0%	2.49×	39.22

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Olympiacos never behind	48.0%	56.6%	—	—	1.77
AEK Athens never behind	26.0%	30.0%	—	—	3.34

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of goals	56.0%	50.6%	46.3%	1.09×	1.98
Odd number of goals	44.0%	49.4%	53.7%	0.92×	2.02

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	62.4%	59.9%	—	—	1.67
Odd goals in 1st half	37.6%	40.1%	—	—	2.49

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	58.1%	60.9%	—	—	1.64
Odd goals in 2nd half	41.9%	39.1%	—	—	2.56

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	99.1%	95.4%	96.7%	0.99×	1.05
Under 4.5 goals	96.7%	95.4%	88.3%	1.08×	1.05
Under 3.5 goals	90.0%	87.6%	77.5%	1.13×	1.14
Over 0.5 goals	80.3%	82.3%	91.6%	0.90×	1.22
Under 2.5 goals	74.5%	72.5%	51.6%	1.40×	1.38
Over 1.5 goals	54.3%	52.5%	73.2%	0.72×	1.90
Under 1.5 goals	45.7%	47.5%	26.8%	1.77×	2.11
Over 2.5 goals	25.5%	27.5%	48.4%	0.57×	3.63
Under 0.5 goals	19.7%	17.7%	8.4%	2.11×	5.65
Over 3.5 goals	10.0%	12.4%	22.5%	0.55×	8.07
Over 4.5 goals	3.3%	4.6%	11.7%	0.39×	21.87
Over 5.5 goals	0.9%	4.6%	3.3%	1.39×	21.90

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	99.8%	97.2%	99.0%	0.98×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	99.1%	97.2%	96.4%	1.01×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	96.5%	97.2%	86.9%	1.12×	1.03
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	88.2%	86.7%	69.6%	1.25×	1.15
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	64.2%	61.9%	35.7%	1.74×	1.62
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	35.8%	38.1%	64.3%	0.59×	2.63
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	11.8%	13.3%	30.4%	0.44×	7.54
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	3.5%	2.8%	13.1%	0.21×	35.56
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	0.9%	2.8%	3.6%	0.78×	35.63
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	0.2%	2.8%	1.0%	2.68×	35.65

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	96.2%	96.9%	—	—	1.03
Under 1.5 in 1st half	83.0%	85.8%	—	—	1.17
Over 0.5 in 1st half	51.5%	55.0%	—	—	1.82
Under 0.5 in 1st half	48.5%	45.0%	—	—	2.22
Over 1.5 in 1st half	17.0%	14.2%	—	—	7.05
Over 2.5 in 1st half	3.8%	3.1%	—	—	32.26

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	91.7%	89.8%	—	—	1.11
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	72.3%	77.4%	—	—	1.29
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	63.0%	61.6%	—	—	1.62
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	37.0%	38.4%	—	—	2.61
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	27.7%	22.6%	—	—	4.42
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	8.3%	10.2%	—	—	9.84

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AEK Athens not to score in both halves	92.5%	90.4%	—	—	1.11
Olympiacos not to score in both halves	82.7%	84.4%	—	—	1.19
Olympiacos to score in both halves	17.3%	15.6%	—	—	6.39
AEK Athens to score in both halves	7.5%	9.6%	—	—	10.43

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	34.1%	33.3%	48.4%	0.69×	3.00
Only Olympiacos scores	32.2%	33.3%	24.0%	1.39×	3.00
Neither team scores	19.7%	16.0%	8.4%	1.91×	6.24
Only AEK Athens scores	14.0%	11.0%	19.7%	0.56×	9.05

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	28.8%	24.9%	25.0%	1.00×	4.02
Exactly 1 goals	26.1%	24.9%	18.6%	1.33×	4.02
Exactly 0 goals	19.7%	17.5%	8.4%	2.08×	5.73
Exactly 3 goals	15.5%	17.5%	26.0%	0.67×	5.73
Exactly 4 goals	6.7%	7.6%	11.1%	0.69×	13.14
Exactly 5 goals	2.4%	4.5%	8.6%	0.52×	22.40
6 or more goals	0.9%	4.5%	3.3%	1.36×	22.43

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
No goals in 1st half	48.5%	48.7%	—	—	2.06
1 goal in 1st half	34.4%	35.9%	—	—	2.79
2 goals in 1st half	13.2%	10.8%	—	—	9.30
3+ goals in 1st half	3.8%	3.1%	—	—	32.26

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
No goals in 2nd half	37.0%	39.4%	—	—	2.54
1 goal in 2nd half	35.3%	39.2%	—	—	2.55
2+ goals in 2nd half	27.7%	29.3%	—	—	3.41

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AEK Athens not to win both halves	97.0%	97.2%	—	—	1.03
Olympiacos not to win both halves	89.5%	87.9%	—	—	1.14
Olympiacos to win both halves	10.5%	12.1%	—	—	8.30
AEK Athens to win both halves	3.0%	2.8%	—	—	35.53

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AEK Athens to win neither half	69.2%	67.9%	—	—	1.47
Olympiacos to win either half	53.4%	54.3%	—	—	1.84
Olympiacos to win neither half	46.6%	45.7%	—	—	2.19
AEK Athens to win either half	30.8%	32.1%	—	—	3.11

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AEK Athens not to win to nil	86.0%	88.1%	80.3%	1.10×	1.14
Olympiacos not to win to nil	67.8%	69.7%	76.0%	0.92×	1.44
Olympiacos to win to nil	32.2%	30.3%	24.0%	1.27×	3.30
AEK Athens to win to nil	14.0%	11.9%	19.7%	0.61×	8.40

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	36.8%	34.7%	25.0%	1.39×	2.88
Olympiacos by 1	24.4%	24.1%	20.5%	1.18×	4.15
AEK Athens by 1	13.9%	11.8%	20.1%	0.59×	8.51
Olympiacos by 2	13.0%	11.8%	10.7%	1.10×	8.51
Olympiacos by 3+	5.9%	7.2%	10.7%	0.67×	13.91
AEK Athens by 2	4.8%	2.7%	8.4%	0.32×	36.76
AEK Athens by 3+	1.2%	2.7%	5.7%	0.47×	36.87