Once Caldas v Águilas Doradas — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Monday 2 November 2026 · COL-Primera A · 2627

COL-Primera A results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Once Caldas

23:25 UTC

Águilas Doradas

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 27 Oct, 10:57 · 156h before kick-off

Once Caldas win

51.1%

model 51.5%

Draw

26.7%

model 25.8%

Águilas Doradas win

22.2%

model 22.7%

512722

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (466 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 12.3%
1-0 9.8%
2-1 9.7%
2-0 9.1%
0-0 7.2%

Goals

Over 2.5	52.3%	Under 2.5	47.7%
BTTS yes	54.5%	BTTS no	45.5%
Once Caldas 1+	81.8%	Once Caldas 2+	50.9%
Águilas Doradas 1+	65.5%	Águilas Doradas 2+	28.7%

Expected goals 1.71 – 1.06. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

81/100

Data quality

75/100

Model agreement

93%

★ Best pick

3-6 goals

Multi goal · usually 43%

52.2% fair odds 1.92

strong signal · 1994 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Once Caldas not to win both halves

Win both halves

83.2% fair odds 1.20

moderate signal · 590 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Once Caldas carry the stronger rating, 1567 Elo against 1523.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Once Caldas have an estimated 51.1% win probability, against 26.7% for the draw and 22.2% for Águilas Doradas. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.71 for Once Caldas and 1.06 for Águilas Doradas.

Why Once Caldas

Once Caldas carry the stronger rating, 1567 Elo against 1523.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 26.7%. Draws run at 29% in this competition.

Why Águilas Doradas can win

Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Once Caldas, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Águilas Doradas, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Once Caldas: 55% possession, 17.6 shots a match, 12.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Águilas Doradas: 65% possession, 13.8 shots a match, 7.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-27 10:01 · team_stats 2026-10-27 06:03 · availability 2026-10-27 14:57 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Once Caldas are the model's most likely outcome at 51.1%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 12.3%. Confidence 81/100, data quality 75/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	522623	1.71–1.06	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	582418	1.88–0.95	1-1 11%	54%	53%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Once Caldas to win	58.4%	54.0%	45.8%	1.18×	1.85
Draw	23.9%	24.5%	29.5%	0.83×	4.09
Águilas Doradas to win	17.7%	19.4%	24.8%	0.78×	5.16

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Once Caldas & not both score	31.9%	29.6%	27.1%	1.09×	3.38
Once Caldas & both teams score	26.5%	25.2%	18.8%	1.34×	3.97
Draw & both teams score	17.1%	18.0%	18.8%	0.95×	5.57
Águilas Doradas & both teams score	9.3%	8.3%	11.5%	0.73×	11.99
Águilas Doradas & not both score	8.5%	8.3%	13.4%	0.62×	12.00
Draw & not both score	6.7%	8.3%	10.8%	0.77×	12.00

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Once Caldas & over 1.5	48.2%	45.1%	33.8%	1.33×	2.22
Once Caldas & over 2.5	37.7%	34.9%	25.5%	1.37×	2.87
Once Caldas & under 3.5	37.1%	34.9%	35.7%	0.98×	2.87
Once Caldas & over 3.5	21.3%	21.6%	10.2%	2.11×	4.63
Once Caldas & under 2.5	20.6%	21.6%	20.5%	1.05×	4.63
Draw & under 2.5	18.1%	18.0%	23.7%	0.76×	5.56
Draw & under 3.5	18.1%	18.0%	23.7%	0.76×	5.56
Draw & over 1.5	17.1%	18.0%	18.8%	0.96×	5.56
Águilas Doradas & over 1.5	13.0%	12.8%	16.5%	0.78×	7.79
Águilas Doradas & under 3.5	13.2%	12.8%	19.9%	0.64×	7.79
Águilas Doradas & over 2.5	10.4%	12.8%	12.9%	1.00×	7.79
Once Caldas & under 1.5	10.2%	12.8%	12.2%	1.05×	7.79
Águilas Doradas & under 2.5	7.4%	7.9%	12.1%	0.66×	12.63
Draw & under 1.5	6.7%	7.9%	10.8%	0.73×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	5.8%	7.9%	6.0%	1.33×	12.63
Draw & over 3.5	5.8%	7.9%	6.0%	1.33×	12.63
Águilas Doradas & under 1.5	4.7%	4.8%	8.4%	0.57×	20.81
Águilas Doradas & over 3.5	4.5%	4.8%	5.0%	0.96×	20.81

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Once Caldas (1UP)	71.2%	75.1%	—	—	1.33
Águilas Doradas (1UP)	35.8%	34.0%	—	—	2.94

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Once Caldas (2UP)	58.4%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Águilas Doradas (2UP)	17.7%	17.0%	—	—	5.89

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Once Caldas to win 2nd half	47.2%	45.2%	—	—	2.22
2nd half drawn	33.7%	34.0%	—	—	2.94
Águilas Doradas to win 2nd half	19.1%	18.0%	—	—	5.56

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Águilas Doradas under 1.5 in 2nd half	88.8%	87.2%	—	—	1.15
Águilas Doradas under 0.5 in 2nd half	56.5%	54.4%	—	—	1.84
Águilas Doradas over 0.5 in 2nd half	43.5%	45.6%	—	—	2.19
Águilas Doradas over 1.5 in 2nd half	11.2%	12.8%	—	—	7.81

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Once Caldas under 1.5 in 2nd half	70.9%	74.3%	—	—	1.35
Once Caldas over 0.5 in 2nd half	65.8%	70.7%	—	—	1.42
Once Caldas under 0.5 in 2nd half	34.2%	29.3%	—	—	3.41
Once Caldas over 1.5 in 2nd half	29.1%	25.7%	—	—	3.89

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Águilas Doradas (+2.5)	83.4%	82.6%	91.8%	0.90×	1.21
Once Caldas (+0.5)	82.3%	82.6%	75.2%	1.10×	1.21
Águilas Doradas (+1.5)	65.2%	68.7%	79.6%	0.86×	1.46
Once Caldas (-0.5)	58.4%	57.1%	45.8%	1.24×	1.75
Águilas Doradas (+0.5)	41.6%	42.9%	54.2%	0.79×	2.33
Once Caldas (-1.5)	34.8%	31.3%	20.4%	1.54×	3.19
Águilas Doradas (-0.5)	17.7%	17.4%	24.8%	0.70×	5.74
Once Caldas (-2.5)	16.6%	17.4%	8.2%	2.13×	5.74

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Águilas Doradas to concede	84.8%	81.5%	75.9%	1.07×	1.23
Águilas Doradas clean sheet	15.2%	18.5%	24.1%	0.77×	5.41

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Águilas Doradas to concede in 1st half	55.5%	56.4%	—	—	1.77
Águilas Doradas clean sheet in 1st half	44.5%	43.6%	—	—	2.29

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Águilas Doradas to concede in 2nd half	65.8%	65.6%	—	—	1.53
Águilas Doradas clean sheet in 2nd half	34.2%	34.4%	—	—	2.91

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Águilas Doradas under 6.5 corners	84.5%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
Águilas Doradas under 5.5 corners	75.3%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
Águilas Doradas over 2.5 corners	70.1%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Águilas Doradas under 4.5 corners	62.7%	61.7%	—	—	1.62
Águilas Doradas over 3.5 corners	53.0%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Águilas Doradas under 3.5 corners	47.0%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Águilas Doradas over 4.5 corners	37.3%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
Águilas Doradas under 2.5 corners	29.9%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Águilas Doradas over 5.5 corners	24.7%	24.0%	—	—	4.17
Águilas Doradas over 6.5 corners	15.5%	18.6%	—	—	5.38

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Águilas Doradas under 3.5 goals	98.4%	97.5%	98.1%	0.99×	1.03
Águilas Doradas under 2.5 goals	92.8%	92.4%	92.9%	0.99×	1.08
Águilas Doradas under 1.5 goals	75.4%	76.2%	74.2%	1.03×	1.31
Águilas Doradas over 0.5 goals	61.4%	63.2%	62.2%	1.02×	1.58
Águilas Doradas under 0.5 goals	38.6%	36.8%	37.8%	0.97×	2.72
Águilas Doradas over 1.5 goals	24.6%	23.8%	25.8%	0.92×	4.21
Águilas Doradas over 2.5 goals	7.2%	7.6%	7.1%	1.08×	13.07
Águilas Doradas over 3.5 goals	1.6%	2.5%	1.9%	1.29×	39.89

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Águilas Doradas under 1.5 in 1st half	94.4%	94.0%	—	—	1.06
Águilas Doradas under 0.5 in 1st half	68.4%	70.4%	—	—	1.42
Águilas Doradas over 0.5 in 1st half	31.6%	29.6%	—	—	3.37
Águilas Doradas over 1.5 in 1st half	5.6%	6.0%	—	—	16.66

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Águilas Doradas scores equally in both	47.5%	48.2%	—	—	2.08
Águilas Doradas scores more in 2nd half	32.7%	33.3%	—	—	3.00
Águilas Doradas scores more in 1st half	19.8%	18.2%	—	—	5.49

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Once Caldas (away no bet)	71.0%	68.3%	60.8%	1.12×	1.46
Draw (away no bet)	29.0%	31.7%	39.2%	0.81×	3.16

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Águilas Doradas even goals	57.5%	56.9%	57.6%	0.99×	1.76
Águilas Doradas odd goals	42.5%	43.1%	42.4%	1.02×	2.32

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	83.7%	83.2%	—	—	1.20
Both halves over 1.5 goals	16.3%	16.8%	—	—	5.96

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	66.4%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Both halves under 1.5 goals	33.6%	32.2%	—	—	3.10

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	59.9%	55.1%	—	—	1.82
Once Caldas to score 2+ in a row	48.7%	46.2%	—	—	2.16
Either team to score 3+ in a row	24.6%	19.6%	—	—	5.11
Once Caldas to score 3+ in a row	21.4%	19.5%	—	—	5.13
Águilas Doradas to score 2+ in a row	16.8%	16.1%	—	—	6.20
Águilas Doradas to score 3+ in a row	3.5%	2.6%	—	—	38.84

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Once Caldas corners (+3.5)	90.3%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Once Caldas corners (+2.5)	84.9%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Once Caldas corners (+1.5)	77.7%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Águilas Doradas corners (+3.5)	71.9%	70.8%	—	—	1.41
Águilas Doradas corners (+2.5)	62.6%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
Águilas Doradas corners (+1.5)	52.3%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
Once Caldas corners (-1.5)	47.7%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
Once Caldas corners (-2.5)	37.4%	38.1%	—	—	2.62
Once Caldas corners (-3.5)	28.1%	29.2%	—	—	3.42
Águilas Doradas corners (-1.5)	22.3%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Águilas Doradas corners (-2.5)	15.1%	20.2%	—	—	4.95
Águilas Doradas corners (-3.5)	9.7%	10.4%	—	—	9.59

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	44.0%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
9-11 corners	28.2%	31.2%	—	—	3.21
12+ corners	27.8%	31.2%	—	—	3.21

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	79.2%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Under 11.5 corners	72.2%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Over 7.5 corners	66.4%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Under 10.5 corners	63.8%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
Over 8.5 corners	56.0%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Under 9.5 corners	54.3%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Over 9.5 corners	45.7%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Under 8.5 corners	44.0%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
Over 10.5 corners	36.2%	36.7%	—	—	2.72
Under 7.5 corners	33.6%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Over 11.5 corners	27.8%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Over 12.5 corners	20.8%	23.4%	—	—	4.27

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	11.4%	11.5%	13.0%	0.88×	8.72
1-0	10.2%	11.5%	12.2%	0.94×	8.72
2-0	10.4%	11.5%	8.4%	1.36×	8.72
2-1	9.9%	7.4%	10.9%	0.68×	13.51
0-0	6.7%	7.4%	10.8%	0.69×	13.51
3-0	6.5%	7.4%	4.6%	1.62×	13.51
1-2	5.0%	7.4%	7.1%	1.05×	13.51
3-1	6.2%	7.4%	3.5%	2.14×	13.51
3-3	0.9%	1.7%	0.8%	2.06×	58.31
3-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.3%	6.19×	58.32
4-0	3.1%	1.7%	1.7%	1.03×	58.30
4-1	2.9%	1.7%	0.7%	2.48×	58.30
4-2	1.4%	1.7%	0.7%	2.48×	58.31
4-3	0.4%	1.7%	0.6%	3.10×	58.32
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.1%	12.38×	58.32
Any other score	4.5%	1.7%	2.4%	0.73×	58.29
0-1	4.7%	1.7%	8.4%	0.20×	58.29
0-2	2.7%	1.7%	3.7%	0.46×	58.30
0-3	0.8%	1.7%	1.1%	1.55×	58.31
0-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.6%	3.10×	58.32
1-3	1.6%	1.7%	1.4%	1.24×	58.31
1-4	0.4%	1.7%	0.7%	2.48×	58.32
2-2	4.7%	1.7%	5.3%	0.33×	58.29
2-3	1.5%	1.7%	1.9%	0.88×	58.31
2-4	0.4%	1.7%	0.1%	12.38×	58.32
3-2	3.0%	1.7%	2.4%	0.73×	58.30

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Once Caldas (2nd half DNB)	71.2%	71.2%	—	—	1.40
Águilas Doradas (2nd half DNB)	28.8%	28.8%	—	—	3.47

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Once Caldas leading at HT (DNB)	72.9%	74.6%	—	—	1.34
Águilas Doradas leading at HT (DNB)	27.1%	25.4%	—	—	3.93

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Once Caldas or draw (1X)	82.3%	80.6%	75.2%	1.07×	1.24
Once Caldas or Águilas Doradas (12)	76.1%	75.5%	70.5%	1.07×	1.32
Águilas Doradas or draw (X2)	41.6%	46.0%	54.2%	0.85×	2.17

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Once Caldas or draw at HT	83.9%	84.1%	—	—	1.19
Once Caldas or Águilas Doradas at HT	59.2%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Águilas Doradas or draw at HT	56.9%	57.5%	—	—	1.74

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Once Caldas or draw (1UP)	82.3%	88.8%	—	—	1.13
Águilas Doradas or draw (1UP)	41.6%	52.7%	—	—	1.90

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Once Caldas or draw in 2nd half	80.9%	82.0%	—	—	1.22
Once Caldas or Águilas Doradas in 2nd half	66.3%	66.0%	—	—	1.52
Águilas Doradas or draw in 2nd half	52.8%	54.9%	—	—	1.82

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	59.8%	58.9%	—	—	1.70
Neither half drawn	40.2%	41.1%	—	—	2.43

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Once Caldas (DNB)	76.7%	74.7%	64.9%	1.15×	1.34
Águilas Doradas (DNB)	23.3%	25.3%	35.1%	0.72×	3.95

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Once Caldas to score first	62.0%	63.9%	—	—	1.57
Águilas Doradas to score first	31.3%	27.7%	—	—	3.62
No goal scored	6.7%	7.5%	—	—	13.25

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	52.9%	51.3%	48.9%	1.05×	1.95
Not both teams to score	47.1%	48.7%	51.1%	0.95×	2.05

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	41.5%	41.6%	36.0%	1.15×	2.41
Not both score & under 2.5	34.7%	34.6%	43.1%	0.80×	2.89
Not both score & over 2.5	12.4%	12.4%	8.2%	1.51×	8.09
Both score & under 2.5	11.4%	12.4%	13.0%	0.95×	8.09

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	86.2%	85.6%	88.6%	0.97×	1.17
Both teams to score 2+	13.8%	14.4%	11.4%	1.27×	6.95

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	71.1%	73.6%	—	—	1.36
Both teams to score in 2nd half	28.9%	26.4%	—	—	3.79

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	58.4%	60.2%	—	—	1.66
Both score 2nd half only	23.9%	21.3%	—	—	4.69
Both score 1st half only	12.7%	10.7%	—	—	9.31
Both score in both halves	5.0%	6.7%	—	—	14.86

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	82.3%	83.4%	—	—	1.20
Both teams to score by HT	17.7%	16.6%	—	—	6.04

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	56.6%	57.0%	—	—	1.76
A half without a goal	43.4%	43.0%	—	—	2.33

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	46.8%	47.2%	48.1%	0.98×	2.12
4-6 goals	29.0%	26.6%	19.5%	1.36×	3.76
0-1 goals	21.7%	22.9%	31.2%	0.74×	4.36
7+ goals	2.6%	1.8%	1.5%	1.21×	54.30

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Águilas Doradas to score exactly 0	38.6%	35.9%	37.8%	0.95×	2.78
Águilas Doradas to score exactly 1	36.7%	35.9%	36.6%	0.98×	2.78
Águilas Doradas to score exactly 2	17.5%	19.5%	18.8%	1.04×	5.12
Águilas Doradas to score 3+	7.2%	8.5%	7.1%	1.21×	11.71

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Once Caldas to score 3+	29.2%	26.6%	15.5%	1.71×	3.76
Once Caldas to score exactly 1	28.6%	26.6%	34.5%	0.77×	3.77
Once Caldas to score exactly 2	27.0%	26.6%	26.2%	1.01×	3.77
Once Caldas to score exactly 0	15.2%	18.8%	24.1%	0.78×	5.33

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Once Caldas leading at HT	43.1%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Draw at HT	40.8%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Águilas Doradas leading at HT	16.1%	15.9%	—	—	6.31

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Once Caldas -1: 2	41.6%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
Once Caldas -1: 1	34.8%	30.1%	—	—	3.32
Once Caldas -1: X	23.6%	23.5%	—	—	4.25

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Águilas Doradas (0:1)	41.6%	42.6%	54.2%	0.79×	2.35
Once Caldas (0:1)	34.8%	30.2%	20.4%	1.48×	3.31
Draw (0:1)	23.6%	24.2%	25.6%	0.95×	4.13

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Águilas Doradas (0:2)	65.2%	72.2%	79.6%	0.91×	1.39
Draw (0:2)	18.2%	15.3%	12.3%	1.24×	6.55
Once Caldas (0:2)	16.6%	15.3%	8.2%	1.87×	6.56

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Águilas Doradas (0:3)	83.4%	85.4%	91.8%	0.93×	1.17
Draw (0:3)	10.1%	9.8%	5.4%	1.82×	10.16
Once Caldas (0:3)	6.5%	5.8%	2.9%	1.99×	17.26

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Águilas Doradas (0:4)	93.5%	94.6%	97.1%	0.97×	1.06
Draw (0:4)	4.4%	1.2%	1.9%	0.63×	81.49
Once Caldas (0:4)	2.2%	1.2%	1.1%	1.10×	81.73

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Once Caldas (1:0)	82.3%	81.4%	75.2%	1.08×	1.23
Draw (1:0)	11.5%	12.7%	17.3%	0.73×	7.87
Águilas Doradas (1:0)	6.3%	6.9%	7.6%	0.90×	14.52

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Once Caldas (2:0)	93.7%	94.0%	92.4%	1.02×	1.06
Draw (2:0)	4.6%	2.3%	5.0%	0.46×	43.64
Águilas Doradas (2:0)	1.6%	2.3%	2.8%	0.82×	43.82

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	47.2%	48.6%	—	—	2.06
1st half highest scoring	27.1%	26.2%	—	—	3.81
Halves equal	25.7%	26.2%	—	—	3.82

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Once Caldas to concede	61.4%	63.6%	62.2%	1.02×	1.57
Once Caldas clean sheet	38.6%	36.4%	37.8%	0.96×	2.75

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Once Caldas clean sheet in 1st half	68.4%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Once Caldas to concede in 1st half	31.6%	29.3%	—	—	3.41

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Once Caldas clean sheet in 2nd half	56.5%	54.8%	—	—	1.83
Once Caldas to concede in 2nd half	43.5%	45.2%	—	—	2.21

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Once Caldas over 2.5 corners	83.6%	81.0%	—	—	1.24
Once Caldas over 3.5 corners	71.0%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Once Caldas under 6.5 corners	68.0%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Once Caldas over 4.5 corners	57.1%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Once Caldas under 5.5 corners	56.3%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Once Caldas over 5.5 corners	43.7%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Once Caldas under 4.5 corners	42.9%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Once Caldas over 6.5 corners	32.0%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Once Caldas under 3.5 corners	29.0%	28.1%	—	—	3.56
Once Caldas under 2.5 corners	16.4%	19.0%	—	—	5.26

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Once Caldas under 3.5 goals	87.8%	87.3%	95.3%	0.92×	1.15
Once Caldas over 0.5 goals	84.8%	82.2%	75.9%	1.08×	1.22
Once Caldas under 2.5 goals	70.8%	74.2%	84.5%	0.88×	1.35
Once Caldas over 1.5 goals	56.2%	58.6%	41.6%	1.41×	1.71
Once Caldas under 1.5 goals	43.8%	41.4%	58.4%	0.71×	2.42
Once Caldas over 2.5 goals	29.2%	25.8%	15.5%	1.66×	3.88
Once Caldas under 0.5 goals	15.2%	17.8%	24.1%	0.74×	5.62
Once Caldas over 3.5 goals	12.2%	12.7%	4.7%	2.70×	7.85

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Once Caldas under 1.5 in 1st half	80.5%	84.1%	—	—	1.19
Once Caldas over 0.5 in 1st half	55.5%	56.2%	—	—	1.78
Once Caldas under 0.5 in 1st half	44.5%	43.8%	—	—	2.28
Once Caldas over 1.5 in 1st half	19.5%	15.9%	—	—	6.27

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Once Caldas scores more in 2nd half	41.3%	41.7%	—	—	2.40
Once Caldas scores equally in both	31.6%	33.2%	—	—	3.02
Once Caldas scores more in 1st half	27.2%	27.9%	—	—	3.59

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	57.4%	56.4%	54.3%	1.04×	1.77
Águilas Doradas (home no bet)	42.6%	43.6%	45.7%	0.96×	2.29

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Once Caldas even goals	51.2%	50.7%	53.3%	0.95×	1.97
Once Caldas odd goals	48.8%	49.3%	46.7%	1.06×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	30.6%	33.4%	—	—	3.00
HT 1-0	24.5%	24.4%	—	—	4.10
HT 0-1	11.4%	11.0%	—	—	9.11
HT 2-0	10.0%	6.9%	—	—	14.50
HT 1-1	9.5%	6.9%	—	—	14.51
Any other HT score	5.5%	6.9%	—	—	14.57
HT 2-1	3.8%	2.4%	—	—	42.17
HT 0-2	2.2%	2.4%	—	—	42.28
HT 1-2	1.8%	2.4%	—	—	42.30
HT 2-2	0.7%	2.4%	—	—	42.37

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Once Caldas at HT / Once Caldas at FT	36.8%	41.3%	—	—	2.42
Draw at HT / Once Caldas at FT	18.8%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	14.7%	12.7%	—	—	7.88
Águilas Doradas at HT / Águilas Doradas at FT	9.0%	6.1%	—	—	16.44
Draw at HT / Águilas Doradas at FT	7.3%	6.1%	—	—	16.49
Once Caldas at HT / Draw at FT	4.9%	3.5%	—	—	28.86
Águilas Doradas at HT / Draw at FT	4.3%	3.5%	—	—	28.88
Águilas Doradas at HT / Once Caldas at FT	2.8%	3.5%	—	—	28.93
Once Caldas at HT / Águilas Doradas at FT	1.4%	3.5%	—	—	28.99

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Once Caldas to score last	62.1%	62.0%	—	—	1.61
Águilas Doradas to score last	31.2%	32.3%	—	—	3.10
No goal scored	6.7%	7.5%	—	—	13.25

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	93.3%	92.6%	—	—	1.08
Once Caldas to lead by 1 at any time	71.2%	73.9%	—	—	1.35
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	51.5%	50.6%	—	—	1.98
Once Caldas to lead by 2 at any time	41.2%	39.2%	—	—	2.55
Águilas Doradas to lead by 1 at any time	35.8%	34.7%	—	—	2.88
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	21.7%	19.5%	—	—	5.13
Once Caldas to lead by 3 at any time	19.3%	14.9%	—	—	6.73
Águilas Doradas to lead by 2 at any time	10.5%	10.6%	—	—	9.47
Águilas Doradas to lead by 3 at any time	2.5%	1.6%	—	—	62.84

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Once Caldas most corners	58.5%	55.6%	—	—	1.80
Águilas Doradas most corners	31.2%	34.4%	—	—	2.91
Corners level	10.3%	10.4%	—	—	9.59

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	86.5%	87.4%	85.7%	1.02×	1.14
1-4 goals	77.5%	78.7%	80.1%	0.98×	1.27
2-6 goals	75.8%	78.7%	67.5%	1.17×	1.27
2-5 goals	71.5%	72.3%	65.4%	1.11×	1.38
2-4 goals	62.6%	63.3%	59.7%	1.06×	1.58
1-3 goals	61.7%	63.3%	68.4%	0.93×	1.58
3-6 goals	51.3%	53.1%	42.7%	1.25×	1.88
3-5 goals	47.1%	48.4%	40.6%	1.19×	2.06
2-3 goals	46.8%	48.4%	48.1%	1.01×	2.06
1-2 goals	39.4%	39.2%	45.3%	0.87×	2.55
3-4 goals	38.1%	39.2%	34.9%	1.12×	2.55
4-6 goals	29.0%	30.2%	19.5%	1.55×	3.31
4-5 goals	24.8%	24.5%	17.5%	1.40×	4.09
5-6 goals	13.2%	14.8%	7.9%	1.88×	6.75
7+ goals	2.6%	2.6%	1.5%	1.68×	39.15

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Once Caldas never behind	57.5%	62.4%	—	—	1.60
Águilas Doradas never behind	22.0%	25.1%	—	—	3.99

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	48.1%	50.9%	50.4%	1.01×	1.97
Even number of goals	51.9%	49.1%	49.6%	0.99×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	54.9%	51.8%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 1st half	45.1%	48.2%	—	—	2.08

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	52.5%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	47.5%	48.0%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	93.2%	92.3%	96.4%	0.96×	1.08
Over 0.5 goals	93.3%	92.3%	89.2%	1.03×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	84.2%	82.3%	90.7%	0.91×	1.22
Over 1.5 goals	78.3%	77.3%	68.8%	1.12×	1.29
Under 3.5 goals	68.4%	66.3%	79.1%	0.84×	1.51
Over 2.5 goals	53.9%	52.5%	44.0%	1.19×	1.90
Under 2.5 goals	46.1%	47.5%	56.0%	0.85×	2.11
Over 3.5 goals	31.6%	33.7%	20.9%	1.61×	2.97
Under 1.5 goals	21.7%	22.7%	31.2%	0.73×	4.40
Over 4.5 goals	15.8%	17.7%	9.3%	1.91×	5.65
Over 5.5 goals	6.8%	7.7%	3.6%	2.15×	12.94
Under 0.5 goals	6.7%	7.7%	10.8%	0.72×	12.94

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	97.3%	97.2%	98.4%	0.99×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	92.5%	92.4%	96.2%	0.96×	1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	81.3%	81.1%	89.5%	0.91×	1.23
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	71.3%	72.4%	58.6%	1.24×	1.38
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	59.4%	55.8%	72.8%	0.77×	1.79
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	40.6%	44.2%	27.2%	1.62×	2.26
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	28.7%	27.7%	41.4%	0.67×	3.62
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	18.7%	18.9%	10.5%	1.80×	5.29
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	7.5%	7.6%	3.8%	1.99×	13.19
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	2.7%	2.8%	1.6%	1.80×	35.62

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	88.2%	89.1%	—	—	1.12
Over 0.5 in 1st half	69.4%	68.7%	—	—	1.46
Under 1.5 in 1st half	66.5%	68.6%	—	—	1.46
Over 1.5 in 1st half	33.5%	31.4%	—	—	3.18
Under 0.5 in 1st half	30.6%	31.3%	—	—	3.19
Over 2.5 in 1st half	11.8%	10.9%	—	—	9.15

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	80.4%	82.9%	—	—	1.21
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	77.2%	79.6%	—	—	1.26
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	50.8%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	49.2%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	22.8%	20.4%	—	—	4.89
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	19.6%	17.1%	—	—	5.84

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Águilas Doradas not to score in both halves	86.2%	85.5%	—	—	1.17
Once Caldas not to score in both halves	63.5%	63.4%	—	—	1.58
Once Caldas to score in both halves	36.5%	36.6%	—	—	2.73
Águilas Doradas to score in both halves	13.8%	14.5%	—	—	6.91

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	52.9%	53.8%	48.9%	1.10×	1.86
Only Once Caldas scores	31.9%	33.3%	27.1%	1.23×	3.01
Only Águilas Doradas scores	8.5%	7.1%	13.4%	0.53×	13.99
Neither team scores	6.7%	7.1%	10.8%	0.66×	14.01

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	24.5%	22.6%	24.9%	0.91×	4.43
Exactly 3 goals	22.3%	22.6%	23.3%	0.97×	4.43
Exactly 4 goals	15.8%	17.5%	11.8%	1.48×	5.73
Exactly 1 goals	14.9%	12.1%	20.5%	0.59×	8.25
Exactly 5 goals	9.0%	7.6%	5.8%	1.31×	13.13
Exactly 0 goals	6.7%	7.6%	10.8%	0.70×	13.14
6 or more goals	6.8%	7.6%	3.6%	2.11×	13.14

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	35.9%	37.2%	—	—	2.69
No goals in 1st half	30.6%	35.6%	—	—	2.81
2 goals in 1st half	21.7%	21.5%	—	—	4.66
3+ goals in 1st half	11.8%	10.8%	—	—	9.23

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	49.2%	44.8%	—	—	2.23
1 goal in 2nd half	31.2%	33.8%	—	—	2.96
No goals in 2nd half	19.6%	16.9%	—	—	5.93

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Águilas Doradas not to win both halves	96.9%	97.2%	—	—	1.03
Once Caldas not to win both halves	79.4%	75.8%	—	—	1.32
Once Caldas to win both halves	20.6%	24.2%	—	—	4.13
Águilas Doradas to win both halves	3.1%	2.8%	—	—	35.94

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Once Caldas to win either half	69.8%	68.0%	—	—	1.47
Águilas Doradas to win neither half	68.0%	67.9%	—	—	1.47
Águilas Doradas to win either half	32.0%	32.1%	—	—	3.12
Once Caldas to win neither half	30.2%	32.0%	—	—	3.13

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Águilas Doradas not to win to nil	91.5%	92.1%	86.6%	1.06×	1.09
Once Caldas not to win to nil	68.1%	69.7%	72.9%	0.96×	1.44
Once Caldas to win to nil	31.9%	30.3%	27.1%	1.12×	3.30
Águilas Doradas to win to nil	8.5%	7.9%	13.4%	0.59×	12.63

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Once Caldas by 1	23.6%	24.1%	25.6%	0.94×	4.15
Draw	23.9%	24.1%	29.5%	0.82×	4.15
Once Caldas by 2	18.2%	17.1%	12.3%	1.38×	5.87
Once Caldas by 3+	16.6%	17.0%	8.2%	2.09×	5.87
Águilas Doradas by 1	11.5%	11.8%	17.3%	0.68×	8.51
Águilas Doradas by 2	4.6%	2.7%	5.0%	0.54×	36.83
Águilas Doradas by 3+	1.6%	2.7%	2.8%	0.98×	36.92