Ordu v Şi̇mal — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Friday 11 September 2026 · AZE-First Division · 2627

AZE-First Division results-only Prediction generated 9 Sep 2026, 09:54 UTC

Ordu

12:30 UTC

Şi̇mal

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 9 Sep, 11:32 · 49h before kick-off

Ordu win

56.4%

model 56.5%

Draw

26.3%

model 25.5%

Şi̇mal win

17.3%

model 18.0%

562617

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (3,259 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 12.2%
1-0 11.2%
2-0 10.8%
2-1 9.8%
0-0 8.1%

Goals

Over 2.5	49.8%	Under 2.5	50.2%
BTTS yes	50.4%	BTTS no	49.6%
Ordu 1+	82.8%	Ordu 2+	52.5%
Şi̇mal 1+	59.5%	Şi̇mal 2+	22.9%

Expected goals 1.76 – 0.91. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

26/100

Data quality

30/100

Model agreement

96%

★ Best pick

Ordu (DNB)

Draw no bet · usually 59%

77.3% fair odds 1.29

strong signal · 2435 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Ordu or draw at HT

Double chance 1HT · usually 74%

83.9% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 975 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Ordu have created 1.35 xG a match over their last five while Şi̇mal have allowed 1.35.
At home Ordu average 1.35 xG a match.

Risk factors

Data quality is 30/100, so this price rests on less than the model would like.
Ordu have only 0 matches on record.
Şi̇mal have only 0 matches on record.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Ordu have an estimated 56.4% win probability, against 26.3% for the draw and 17.3% for Şi̇mal. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.76 for Ordu and 0.91 for Şi̇mal.

Why Ordu

Ordu have created 1.35 xG a match over their last five while Şi̇mal have allowed 1.35. At home Ordu average 1.35 xG a match.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 26.3%.

Why Şi̇mal can win

Şi̇mal have created 1.35 xG a match over their last five while Ordu have allowed 1.35. Away from home Şi̇mal average 1.35 xG a match.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Ordu, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Şi̇mal, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Ordu: 50% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Şi̇mal: 50% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-09 15:30 · team_stats 2026-09-09 06:03 · availability 2026-09-09 15:32 · prediction 2026-09-09 09:54 ·

Ordu are the model's most likely outcome at 56.4%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 12.2%. Confidence 26/100, data quality 30/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

333 sports channels, playing now →

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	562618	1.76–0.91	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	612415	1.84–0.80	1-0 12%	49%	47%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ordu to win	56.5%	58.2%	44.4%	1.31×	1.72
Draw	25.5%	27.1%	25.0%	1.09×	3.69
Şi̇mal to win	18.0%	17.9%	30.6%	0.58×	5.59

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ordu & not both score	32.4%	30.9%	24.4%	1.27×	3.24
Ordu & both teams score	24.0%	21.7%	20.1%	1.08×	4.61
Draw & both teams score	17.5%	18.1%	17.7%	1.03×	5.52
Şi̇mal & not both score	9.2%	7.7%	16.0%	0.48×	13.07
Şi̇mal & both teams score	8.9%	7.6%	14.6%	0.52×	13.07
Draw & not both score	8.1%	7.6%	7.3%	1.05×	13.08

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ordu & over 1.5	45.3%	46.3%	34.1%	1.36×	2.16
Ordu & under 3.5	38.0%	36.6%	30.3%	1.21×	2.74
Ordu & over 2.5	34.5%	31.8%	26.9%	1.18×	3.15
Ordu & under 2.5	21.9%	21.8%	17.5%	1.25×	4.58
Draw & under 2.5	20.2%	21.8%	18.8%	1.16×	4.58
Draw & under 3.5	20.2%	21.8%	18.8%	1.16×	4.58
Ordu & over 3.5	18.4%	17.7%	14.2%	1.25×	5.64
Draw & over 1.5	17.5%	17.7%	17.7%	1.00×	5.64
Şi̇mal & under 3.5	13.9%	12.4%	21.6%	0.57×	8.05
Şi̇mal & over 1.5	12.8%	12.4%	23.1%	0.54×	8.06
Ordu & under 1.5	11.2%	12.4%	10.4%	1.20×	8.06
Şi̇mal & over 2.5	10.0%	7.6%	18.4%	0.41×	13.20
Draw & under 1.5	8.1%	7.6%	7.3%	1.04×	13.21
Şi̇mal & under 2.5	8.1%	7.6%	12.2%	0.62×	13.21
Draw & over 2.5	5.3%	7.6%	6.2%	1.22×	13.21
Draw & over 3.5	5.3%	7.6%	6.2%	1.22×	13.21
Şi̇mal & under 1.5	5.2%	7.6%	7.5%	1.01×	13.21
Şi̇mal & over 3.5	4.1%	4.4%	9.0%	0.49×	22.79

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ordu (1UP)	69.2%	70.0%	59.8%	1.17×	1.43
Şi̇mal (1UP)	35.3%	38.3%	50.4%	0.76×	2.61

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ordu (2UP)	56.5%	59.6%	45.2%	1.32×	1.68
Şi̇mal (2UP)	18.0%	19.8%	34.2%	0.58×	5.06

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ordu to win 2nd half	45.5%	44.7%	37.7%	1.19×	2.24
2nd half drawn	35.3%	36.4%	32.7%	1.11×	2.74
Şi̇mal to win 2nd half	19.1%	20.2%	29.7%	0.68×	4.94

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Şi̇mal under 1.5 in 2nd half	89.7%	86.0%	82.3%	1.04×	1.16
Şi̇mal under 0.5 in 2nd half	58.1%	54.9%	46.6%	1.18×	1.82
Şi̇mal over 0.5 in 2nd half	41.9%	45.1%	53.4%	0.84×	2.22
Şi̇mal over 1.5 in 2nd half	10.3%	14.0%	17.7%	0.79×	7.15

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ordu under 1.5 in 2nd half	73.5%	72.9%	77.4%	0.94×	1.37
Ordu over 0.5 in 2nd half	63.3%	63.4%	58.7%	1.08×	1.58
Ordu under 0.5 in 2nd half	36.7%	36.6%	41.4%	0.88×	2.73
Ordu over 1.5 in 2nd half	26.5%	27.1%	22.6%	1.20×	3.70

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Şi̇mal (+2.5)	85.2%	87.4%	90.1%	0.97×	1.14
Ordu (+0.5)	82.0%	83.2%	69.4%	1.20×	1.20
Şi̇mal (+1.5)	67.4%	67.9%	77.7%	0.87×	1.47
Ordu (-0.5)	56.5%	58.3%	44.4%	1.31×	1.71
Şi̇mal (+0.5)	43.5%	41.7%	55.6%	0.75×	2.40
Ordu (-1.5)	32.6%	32.1%	22.3%	1.44×	3.12
Şi̇mal (-0.5)	18.0%	16.8%	30.6%	0.55×	5.95
Ordu (-2.5)	14.8%	12.6%	9.9%	1.27×	7.94

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Şi̇mal to concede	82.8%	82.8%	76.7%	1.08×	1.21
Şi̇mal clean sheet	17.2%	17.2%	23.3%	0.74×	5.83

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Şi̇mal to concede in 1st half	53.1%	53.8%	48.2%	1.12×	1.86
Şi̇mal clean sheet in 1st half	46.9%	46.2%	51.8%	0.89×	2.17

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Şi̇mal to concede in 2nd half	63.3%	61.4%	58.7%	1.05×	1.63
Şi̇mal clean sheet in 2nd half	36.7%	38.6%	41.4%	0.93×	2.59

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Şi̇mal under 3.5 goals	98.6%	97.3%	95.7%	1.02×	1.03
Şi̇mal under 2.5 goals	93.6%	92.2%	87.0%	1.06×	1.09
Şi̇mal under 1.5 goals	77.1%	76.4%	66.3%	1.15×	1.31
Şi̇mal over 0.5 goals	59.5%	58.9%	68.3%	0.86×	1.70
Şi̇mal under 0.5 goals	40.5%	41.1%	31.7%	1.30×	2.43
Şi̇mal over 1.5 goals	22.9%	23.6%	33.7%	0.70×	4.23
Şi̇mal over 2.5 goals	6.4%	7.8%	13.0%	0.61×	12.75
Şi̇mal over 3.5 goals	1.4%	2.7%	4.3%	0.62×	37.15

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Şi̇mal under 1.5 in 1st half	94.8%	93.9%	89.4%	1.05×	1.07
Şi̇mal under 0.5 in 1st half	69.6%	68.0%	59.0%	1.15×	1.47
Şi̇mal over 0.5 in 1st half	30.4%	32.0%	41.0%	0.78×	3.13
Şi̇mal over 1.5 in 1st half	5.2%	6.1%	10.6%	0.58×	16.35

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Şi̇mal scores equally in both	48.8%	45.6%	40.6%	1.13×	2.19
Şi̇mal scores more in 2nd half	31.9%	33.3%	36.5%	0.91×	3.00
Şi̇mal scores more in 1st half	19.3%	17.3%	22.9%	0.76×	5.77

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ordu (away no bet)	68.9%	66.9%	64.0%	1.04×	1.50
Draw (away no bet)	31.1%	33.1%	36.0%	0.92×	3.02

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Şi̇mal even goals	58.2%	56.4%	55.7%	1.01×	1.77
Şi̇mal odd goals	41.8%	43.6%	44.3%	0.99×	2.29

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	85.9%	86.8%	82.7%	1.05×	1.15
Both halves over 1.5 goals	14.1%	13.2%	17.3%	0.76×	7.57

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	63.0%	64.5%	66.2%	0.97×	1.55
Both halves under 1.5 goals	37.0%	35.5%	33.8%	1.05×	2.81

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	56.5%	58.5%	58.6%	1.00×	1.71
Ordu to score 2+ in a row	45.5%	49.7%	36.9%	1.35×	2.01
Either team to score 3+ in a row	22.1%	21.7%	22.9%	0.95×	4.60
Ordu to score 3+ in a row	19.0%	17.0%	14.2%	1.20×	5.87
Şi̇mal to score 2+ in a row	15.9%	17.0%	28.6%	0.59×	5.89
Şi̇mal to score 3+ in a row	3.2%	3.1%	9.1%	0.34×	31.92

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	12.2%	11.2%	11.5%	0.98×	8.91
1-0	11.2%	11.2%	10.4%	1.08×	8.91
2-0	10.8%	11.2%	7.2%	1.57×	8.91
2-1	9.8%	7.4%	8.8%	0.84×	13.45
0-0	8.1%	7.4%	7.3%	1.02×	13.45
0-1	5.2%	7.4%	7.5%	0.99×	13.45
3-0	6.3%	7.4%	3.9%	1.90×	13.45
3-1	5.7%	7.4%	4.2%	1.78×	13.45
1-2	5.0%	7.4%	7.0%	1.06×	13.45
0-2	2.9%	1.7%	4.7%	0.36×	58.34
0-3	0.9%	1.7%	2.3%	0.74×	58.35
0-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.9%	1.93×	58.35
1-3	1.5%	1.7%	2.8%	0.62×	58.34
1-4	0.3%	1.7%	1.0%	1.69×	58.35
2-2	4.4%	1.7%	5.1%	0.34×	58.34
2-3	1.3%	1.7%	2.1%	0.83×	58.34
2-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.6%	2.89×	58.35
3-2	2.6%	1.7%	2.6%	0.66×	58.34
3-3	0.8%	1.7%	1.0%	1.72×	58.35
3-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.4%	4.65×	58.35
4-0	2.8%	1.7%	1.8%	0.98×	58.34
4-1	2.5%	1.7%	1.7%	1.03×	58.34
4-2	1.1%	1.7%	0.9%	1.87×	58.34
4-3	0.3%	1.7%	0.4%	4.62×	58.35
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.1%	16.16×	58.35
Any other score	3.6%	1.7%	4.1%	0.42×	58.34

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ordu (2nd half DNB)	70.4%	70.2%	55.9%	1.25×	1.43
Şi̇mal (2nd half DNB)	29.6%	29.9%	44.1%	0.68×	3.35

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ordu leading at HT (DNB)	72.1%	74.2%	56.7%	1.31×	1.35
Şi̇mal leading at HT (DNB)	27.9%	25.8%	43.3%	0.60×	3.88

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ordu or draw (1X)	82.0%	82.1%	69.4%	1.18×	1.22
Ordu or Şi̇mal (12)	74.5%	72.9%	75.0%	0.97×	1.37
Şi̇mal or draw (X2)	43.5%	41.8%	55.6%	0.75×	2.40

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ordu or draw at HT	84.0%	83.9%	74.1%	1.13×	1.19
Şi̇mal or draw at HT	58.6%	57.2%	66.2%	0.86×	1.75
Ordu or Şi̇mal at HT	57.4%	57.2%	59.7%	0.96×	1.75

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ordu or draw (1UP)	82.0%	86.2%	74.2%	1.16×	1.16
Şi̇mal or draw (1UP)	43.5%	50.6%	63.9%	0.79×	1.98

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ordu or draw in 2nd half	80.9%	79.8%	70.3%	1.13×	1.25
Ordu or Şi̇mal in 2nd half	64.7%	63.6%	67.3%	0.94×	1.57
Şi̇mal or draw in 2nd half	54.5%	55.3%	62.3%	0.89×	1.81

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	61.7%	60.5%	58.9%	1.03×	1.65
Neither half drawn	38.3%	39.5%	41.1%	0.96×	2.53

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ordu (DNB)	75.8%	77.3%	59.2%	1.31×	1.29
Şi̇mal (DNB)	24.2%	22.7%	40.8%	0.56×	4.41

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ordu to score first	60.7%	64.0%	51.2%	1.25×	1.56
Şi̇mal to score first	31.2%	31.6%	42.9%	0.74×	3.17
No goal scored	8.1%	6.4%	5.9%	1.08×	15.62

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	50.4%	51.6%	52.4%	0.99×	1.94
Not both teams to score	49.6%	48.4%	47.6%	1.02×	2.07

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	38.2%	38.0%	40.9%	0.93×	2.63
Not both score & under 2.5	38.1%	38.0%	37.1%	1.03×	2.63
Both score & under 2.5	12.2%	11.9%	11.5%	1.04×	8.41
Not both score & over 2.5	11.6%	11.9%	10.6%	1.12×	8.41

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	88.0%	85.7%	86.0%	1.00×	1.17
Both teams to score 2+	12.0%	14.3%	14.0%	1.02×	7.01

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	73.1%	70.9%	70.2%	1.01×	1.41
Both teams to score in 2nd half	26.9%	29.1%	29.8%	0.98×	3.43

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	61.1%	60.5%	57.8%	1.05×	1.65
Both score 2nd half only	22.6%	23.4%	23.8%	0.98×	4.27
Both score 1st half only	12.0%	11.9%	12.5%	0.95×	8.42
Both score in both halves	4.3%	4.9%	6.0%	0.81×	20.54

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	83.7%	82.7%	81.5%	1.01×	1.21
Both teams to score by HT	16.3%	17.3%	18.5%	0.94×	5.78

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	53.5%	52.5%	58.9%	0.89×	1.91
A half without a goal	46.5%	47.5%	41.1%	1.16×	2.11

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	47.8%	46.5%	45.4%	1.02×	2.15
4-6 goals	25.9%	27.0%	27.0%	1.00×	3.71
0-1 goals	24.4%	23.5%	25.2%	0.93×	4.25
7+ goals	1.9%	2.0%	2.4%	0.83×	49.75

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Şi̇mal to score exactly 0	40.5%	39.4%	31.7%	1.24×	2.54
Şi̇mal to score exactly 1	36.6%	36.0%	34.6%	1.04×	2.78
Şi̇mal to score exactly 2	16.6%	18.2%	20.8%	0.88×	5.49
Şi̇mal to score 3+	6.4%	8.6%	13.0%	0.66×	11.64

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ordu to score exactly 1	30.3%	32.2%	33.1%	0.97×	3.10
Ordu to score exactly 2	26.6%	26.4%	24.0%	1.10×	3.78
Ordu to score 3+	25.8%	26.4%	19.7%	1.34×	3.78
Ordu to score exactly 0	17.2%	18.1%	23.3%	0.78×	5.51

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	42.6%	42.8%	40.3%	1.06×	2.33
Ordu leading at HT	41.4%	42.8%	33.8%	1.27×	2.34
Şi̇mal leading at HT	16.0%	16.1%	25.9%	0.62×	6.21

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ordu -1: 2	43.5%	41.5%	—	—	2.41
Ordu -1: 1	32.6%	30.4%	—	—	3.29
Ordu -1: X	23.9%	23.3%	—	—	4.29

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Şi̇mal (0:1)	43.5%	41.1%	55.6%	0.74×	2.44
Ordu (0:1)	32.6%	31.0%	22.3%	1.39×	3.23
Draw (0:1)	23.9%	23.6%	22.2%	1.06×	4.24

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Şi̇mal (0:2)	67.4%	69.9%	77.7%	0.90×	1.43
Draw (0:2)	17.8%	15.7%	12.3%	1.27×	6.38
Ordu (0:2)	14.8%	11.4%	9.9%	1.14×	8.80

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Şi̇mal (0:3)	85.2%	88.6%	90.1%	0.98×	1.13
Draw (0:3)	9.3%	6.5%	5.9%	1.10×	15.39
Ordu (0:3)	5.5%	6.5%	4.0%	1.60×	15.41

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Şi̇mal (0:4)	94.5%	93.3%	96.0%	0.97×	1.07
Draw (0:4)	3.8%	1.4%	2.5%	0.56×	70.64
Ordu (0:4)	1.7%	1.4%	1.5%	0.94×	70.71

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ordu (1:0)	82.0%	83.0%	69.4%	1.20×	1.21
Draw (1:0)	11.8%	12.5%	17.0%	0.74×	7.97
Şi̇mal (1:0)	6.3%	7.5%	13.6%	0.55×	13.40

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ordu (2:0)	93.7%	92.9%	86.4%	1.07×	1.08
Draw (2:0)	4.7%	2.8%	8.1%	0.34×	35.87
Şi̇mal (2:0)	1.6%	2.8%	5.4%	0.51×	35.93

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	46.3%	48.2%	48.6%	0.99×	2.07
Halves equal	26.9%	26.2%	25.2%	1.04×	3.82
1st half highest scoring	26.8%	26.2%	26.3%	1.00×	3.82

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ordu to concede	59.5%	59.9%	68.3%	0.88×	1.67
Ordu clean sheet	40.5%	40.1%	31.7%	1.27×	2.49

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ordu clean sheet in 1st half	69.6%	67.6%	59.0%	1.15×	1.48
Ordu to concede in 1st half	30.4%	32.4%	41.0%	0.79×	3.09

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ordu clean sheet in 2nd half	58.1%	54.6%	46.6%	1.17×	1.83
Ordu to concede in 2nd half	41.9%	45.4%	53.4%	0.85×	2.20

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ordu under 3.5 goals	89.8%	87.3%	92.4%	0.94×	1.15
Ordu over 0.5 goals	82.8%	82.3%	76.7%	1.07×	1.22
Ordu under 2.5 goals	74.2%	73.1%	80.3%	0.91×	1.37
Ordu over 1.5 goals	52.5%	52.8%	43.7%	1.21×	1.89
Ordu under 1.5 goals	47.5%	47.2%	56.3%	0.84×	2.12
Ordu over 2.5 goals	25.8%	26.9%	19.7%	1.37×	3.71
Ordu under 0.5 goals	17.2%	17.7%	23.3%	0.76×	5.65
Ordu over 3.5 goals	10.2%	12.7%	7.6%	1.67×	7.88

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ordu under 1.5 in 1st half	82.4%	81.0%	85.9%	0.94×	1.24
Ordu over 0.5 in 1st half	53.1%	53.9%	48.2%	1.12×	1.86
Ordu under 0.5 in 1st half	46.9%	46.1%	51.8%	0.89×	2.17
Ordu over 1.5 in 1st half	17.6%	19.0%	14.1%	1.35×	5.25

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ordu scores more in 2nd half	40.3%	41.6%	38.0%	1.10×	2.40
Ordu scores equally in both	33.0%	32.2%	37.1%	0.87×	3.11
Ordu scores more in 1st half	26.7%	27.8%	24.9%	1.11×	3.60

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	58.6%	56.0%	44.9%	1.25×	1.79
Şi̇mal (home no bet)	41.4%	44.0%	55.1%	0.80×	2.27

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ordu even goals	51.5%	50.9%	52.8%	0.96×	1.96
Ordu odd goals	48.5%	49.1%	47.2%	1.04×	2.04

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	32.9%	32.2%	29.3%	1.10×	3.11
HT 1-0	24.5%	22.5%	20.7%	1.09×	4.44
HT 0-1	11.6%	10.9%	16.3%	0.67×	9.16
HT 2-0	9.4%	8.0%	7.1%	1.12×	12.52
HT 1-1	9.1%	8.0%	10.2%	0.78×	12.53
Any other HT score	4.7%	2.5%	4.7%	0.53×	40.37
HT 2-1	3.4%	2.5%	3.3%	0.76×	40.43
HT 0-2	2.1%	2.5%	4.9%	0.51×	40.49
HT 1-2	1.6%	2.5%	2.8%	0.89×	40.51
HT 2-2	0.6%	2.5%	0.9%	2.76×	40.56

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ordu at HT / Ordu at FT	35.1%	38.8%	25.8%	1.51×	2.58
Draw at HT / Ordu at FT	18.8%	17.3%	14.7%	1.18×	5.77
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	16.3%	17.3%	14.1%	1.22×	5.78
Şi̇mal at HT / Şi̇mal at FT	9.1%	6.5%	17.4%	0.37×	15.44
Draw at HT / Şi̇mal at FT	7.6%	6.5%	11.6%	0.56×	15.47
Ordu at HT / Draw at FT	4.9%	3.6%	5.1%	0.71×	27.50
Şi̇mal at HT / Draw at FT	4.3%	3.6%	5.6%	0.65×	27.51
Şi̇mal at HT / Ordu at FT	2.6%	3.6%	2.9%	1.25×	27.56
Ordu at HT / Şi̇mal at FT	1.4%	3.6%	3.0%	1.22×	27.60

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ordu to score last	60.9%	60.3%	51.4%	1.17×	1.66
Şi̇mal to score last	31.1%	34.1%	42.7%	0.80×	2.93
No goal scored	8.1%	6.4%	5.9%	1.08×	15.62

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	91.9%	93.6%	94.1%	0.99×	1.07
Ordu to lead by 1 at any time	69.2%	69.1%	59.8%	1.15×	1.45
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	48.6%	46.6%	48.2%	0.97×	2.15
Ordu to lead by 2 at any time	38.5%	37.4%	28.2%	1.32×	2.68
Şi̇mal to lead by 1 at any time	35.3%	37.3%	50.4%	0.74×	2.68
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	19.5%	17.6%	19.5%	0.91×	5.67
Ordu to lead by 3 at any time	17.1%	17.6%	12.1%	1.45×	5.68
Şi̇mal to lead by 2 at any time	10.2%	11.0%	20.3%	0.54×	9.09
Şi̇mal to lead by 3 at any time	2.3%	2.6%	7.4%	0.35×	38.33

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	86.6%	87.1%	86.4%	1.01×	1.15
1-4 goals	78.8%	77.9%	78.0%	1.00×	1.28
2-6 goals	73.6%	72.2%	72.4%	1.00×	1.39
2-5 goals	70.2%	72.2%	68.5%	1.05×	1.39
1-3 goals	64.1%	62.7%	63.3%	0.99×	1.60
2-4 goals	62.4%	62.7%	60.1%	1.04×	1.60
2-3 goals	47.8%	47.4%	45.4%	1.04×	2.11
3-6 goals	47.8%	47.4%	49.0%	0.97×	2.11
3-5 goals	44.4%	43.6%	45.1%	0.97×	2.30
1-2 goals	42.2%	43.6%	41.2%	1.06×	2.30
3-4 goals	36.6%	39.0%	36.8%	1.06×	2.56
4-6 goals	25.9%	28.5%	27.0%	1.06×	3.51
4-5 goals	22.4%	23.7%	23.0%	1.03×	4.22
5-6 goals	11.3%	13.5%	12.3%	1.10×	7.42
7+ goals	1.9%	2.3%	2.4%	0.93×	44.26

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ordu never behind	56.6%	61.3%	49.6%	1.24×	1.63
Şi̇mal never behind	22.7%	25.8%	40.2%	0.64×	3.88

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of goals	52.4%	50.1%	49.8%	1.00×	2.00
Odd number of goals	47.6%	49.9%	50.2%	1.00×	2.00

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	55.7%	55.0%	53.7%	1.02×	1.82
Odd goals in 1st half	44.3%	45.0%	46.3%	0.97×	2.23

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	53.0%	51.6%	51.1%	1.01×	1.94
Odd goals in 2nd half	47.0%	48.4%	48.9%	0.99×	2.07

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	94.6%	92.3%	93.7%	0.99×	1.08
Over 0.5 goals	91.9%	92.3%	92.7%	1.00×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	86.8%	87.8%	85.3%	1.03×	1.14
Over 1.5 goals	75.6%	77.0%	74.8%	1.03×	1.30
Under 3.5 goals	72.2%	72.4%	70.6%	1.03×	1.38
Under 2.5 goals	50.2%	51.8%	48.5%	1.07×	1.93
Over 2.5 goals	49.8%	48.2%	51.5%	0.94×	2.08
Over 3.5 goals	27.8%	27.6%	29.4%	0.94×	3.62
Under 1.5 goals	24.4%	23.0%	25.2%	0.91×	4.34
Over 4.5 goals	13.2%	12.2%	14.7%	0.83×	8.21
Under 0.5 goals	8.1%	7.7%	7.3%	1.06×	12.91
Over 5.5 goals	5.4%	7.7%	6.3%	1.22×	12.91

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	98.0%	97.3%	97.5%	1.00×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	94.2%	92.0%	93.1%	0.99×	1.09
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	84.6%	81.5%	82.8%	0.98×	1.23
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	67.1%	67.1%	67.1%	1.00×	1.49
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	64.4%	62.3%	62.3%	1.00×	1.60
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	35.6%	37.7%	37.7%	1.00×	2.65
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	32.9%	32.9%	32.9%	1.00×	3.04
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	15.4%	18.5%	17.2%	1.07×	5.40
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	5.8%	8.0%	6.9%	1.15×	12.52
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	2.0%	2.7%	2.5%	1.08×	36.71

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	89.7%	88.4%	88.4%	1.00×	1.13
Under 1.5 in 1st half	69.0%	67.1%	66.3%	1.01×	1.49
Over 0.5 in 1st half	67.1%	67.0%	70.7%	0.95×	1.49
Under 0.5 in 1st half	32.9%	33.0%	29.3%	1.13×	3.03
Over 1.5 in 1st half	31.0%	32.9%	33.7%	0.98×	3.04
Over 2.5 in 1st half	10.3%	11.6%	11.6%	1.00×	8.66

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	79.7%	80.0%	77.5%	1.03×	1.25
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	78.3%	80.0%	82.3%	0.97×	1.25
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	46.1%	50.5%	49.8%	1.01×	1.98
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	53.9%	49.5%	50.2%	0.99×	2.02
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	21.7%	20.0%	17.7%	1.13×	5.00
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	20.3%	20.0%	22.5%	0.89×	5.01

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Şi̇mal not to score in both halves	87.3%	85.6%	77.6%	1.10×	1.17
Ordu not to score in both halves	66.4%	68.2%	70.5%	0.97×	1.47
Ordu to score in both halves	33.6%	31.8%	29.5%	1.08×	3.15
Şi̇mal to score in both halves	12.7%	14.4%	22.4%	0.64×	6.94

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	50.4%	54.2%	52.4%	1.04×	1.84
Only Ordu scores	32.4%	31.4%	24.4%	1.29×	3.18
Only Şi̇mal scores	9.2%	7.1%	16.0%	0.45×	14.08
Neither team scores	8.1%	7.1%	7.3%	0.97×	14.09

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	25.8%	25.0%	23.3%	1.07×	4.00
Exactly 3 goals	22.0%	22.3%	22.1%	1.01×	4.49
Exactly 1 goals	16.4%	17.6%	17.9%	0.98×	5.68
Exactly 4 goals	14.6%	12.3%	14.7%	0.84×	8.14
Exactly 0 goals	8.1%	7.8%	7.3%	1.06×	12.88
Exactly 5 goals	7.8%	7.8%	8.4%	0.93×	12.88
6 or more goals	5.4%	7.8%	6.3%	1.22×	12.89

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	36.2%	36.9%	37.0%	1.00×	2.71
No goals in 1st half	32.9%	34.4%	29.3%	1.17×	2.91
2 goals in 1st half	20.6%	21.6%	22.2%	0.97×	4.64
3+ goals in 1st half	10.3%	11.3%	11.6%	0.98×	8.82

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	46.1%	50.3%	49.8%	1.01×	1.99
1 goal in 2nd half	32.2%	34.3%	32.5%	1.05×	2.91
No goals in 2nd half	21.7%	20.5%	17.7%	1.16×	4.87

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Şi̇mal not to win both halves	96.8%	97.3%	91.8%	1.06×	1.03
Ordu not to win both halves	80.9%	81.8%	86.8%	0.94×	1.22
Ordu to win both halves	19.1%	18.2%	13.2%	1.37×	5.50
Şi̇mal to win both halves	3.2%	2.7%	8.2%	0.33×	36.99

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Şi̇mal to win neither half	68.0%	68.7%	52.6%	1.31×	1.46
Ordu to win either half	67.8%	68.7%	58.3%	1.18×	1.46
Ordu to win neither half	32.2%	31.3%	41.7%	0.75×	3.20
Şi̇mal to win either half	32.0%	31.3%	47.4%	0.66×	3.20

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Şi̇mal not to win to nil	90.8%	92.3%	84.0%	1.10×	1.08
Ordu not to win to nil	67.6%	69.5%	75.6%	0.92×	1.44
Ordu to win to nil	32.4%	30.5%	24.4%	1.25×	3.28
Şi̇mal to win to nil	9.2%	7.7%	16.0%	0.48×	13.06

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	25.5%	27.3%	25.0%	1.09×	3.66
Ordu by 1	23.9%	23.4%	22.2%	1.06×	4.27
Ordu by 2	17.8%	17.2%	12.3%	1.40×	5.80
Ordu by 3+	14.8%	11.8%	9.9%	1.19×	8.44
Şi̇mal by 1	11.8%	11.8%	17.0%	0.70×	8.45
Şi̇mal by 2	4.7%	3.0%	8.1%	0.37×	33.44
Şi̇mal by 3+	1.6%	3.0%	5.4%	0.55×	33.47