Örgryte IS v Hammarby — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 6 September 2026 · SWE-Allsvenskan · 2627

SWE-Allsvenskan results-only Prediction generated 8 Sep 2026, 11:44 UTC

Örgryte IS

12:00 UTC

Hammarby

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 6 Sep, 07:53 · 4h before kick-off

Örgryte IS win

6.9%

model 7.9%

Draw

10.2%

model 13.5%

Hammarby win

82.9%

model 78.5%

71083

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (50 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

0-2 9.5%
0-3 9.3%
1-2 8.4%
1-3 8.2%
0-4 6.8%

Goals

Over 2.5	73.2%	Under 2.5	26.8%
BTTS yes	55.7%	BTTS no	44.3%
Örgryte IS 1+	58.5%	Örgryte IS 2+	22.0%
Hammarby 1+	94.6%	Hammarby 2+	79.0%

Expected goals 0.88 – 2.93. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

21/100

Data quality

55/100

Model agreement

96%

★ Best pick

Hammarby (-0.5)

Asian handicap · usually 37%

78.6% fair odds 1.27

strong signal · 1173 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Hammarby leading at HT (DNB)

DNB half time

84.3% fair odds 1.19

weak signal · 66 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Hammarby carry the stronger rating, 1667 Elo against 1404.
Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

Data quality is 55/100, so this price rests on less than the model would like.
The model's measured edge in this competition is -0.0255 nats, which is not meaningfully better than the base rates.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Hammarby have an estimated 82.9% win probability, against 10.2% for the draw and 6.9% for Örgryte IS. Expected goals from the ensemble are 0.88 for Örgryte IS and 2.93 for Hammarby.

Why Örgryte IS

Nothing in the data singles out Örgryte IS.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 10.2%. Draws run at 23% in this competition.

Why Hammarby can win

Hammarby carry the stronger rating, 1667 Elo against 1404. Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Örgryte IS, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Hammarby, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Örgryte IS: 42% possession, 13.0 shots a match, 19.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Hammarby: 63% possession, 25.0 shots a match, 6.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-06 07:42 · team_stats 2026-09-06 06:08 · availability 2026-09-06 07:53 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Hammarby are the model's most likely outcome at 82.9%. The likeliest scoreline is 0-2 at 9.5%. Confidence 21/100, data quality 55/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	71380	0.86–2.99	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	61182	0.86–3.22	0-3 9%	77%	56%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hammarby to win	79.7%	83.7%	36.9%	2.27×	1.20
Draw	13.0%	10.4%	23.0%	0.45×	9.64
Örgryte IS to win	7.3%	6.9%	40.4%	0.17×	14.51

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hammarby & not both score	40.0%	37.5%	18.9%	1.98×	2.67
Hammarby & both teams score	39.7%	37.5%	18.2%	2.06×	2.67
Draw & both teams score	10.5%	12.1%	17.7%	0.69×	8.24
Örgryte IS & both teams score	4.8%	3.7%	17.2%	0.22×	26.93
Örgryte IS & not both score	2.6%	3.6%	23.5%	0.15×	27.67
Draw & not both score	2.5%	3.6%	5.6%	0.65×	27.69

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hammarby & over 1.5	73.6%	74.9%	27.8%	2.70×	1.34
Hammarby & over 2.5	64.0%	63.5%	23.0%	2.76×	1.58
Hammarby & over 3.5	46.2%	46.6%	11.6%	4.02×	2.14
Hammarby & under 3.5	33.4%	33.2%	25.5%	1.30×	3.02
Hammarby & under 2.5	15.7%	17.6%	14.1%	1.24×	5.70
Draw & over 1.5	10.5%	12.7%	17.7%	0.72×	7.87
Draw & under 2.5	8.3%	7.5%	18.2%	0.41×	13.40
Draw & under 3.5	8.3%	7.5%	18.2%	0.41×	13.40
Hammarby & under 1.5	6.1%	7.5%	9.3%	0.80×	13.42
Örgryte IS & over 1.5	5.8%	7.5%	34.3%	0.22×	13.42
Örgryte IS & over 2.5	5.0%	7.5%	25.3%	0.30×	13.42
Örgryte IS & under 3.5	4.9%	4.6%	26.0%	0.18×	21.90
Draw & over 2.5	4.7%	4.6%	5.1%	0.90×	21.91
Draw & over 3.5	4.7%	4.6%	5.1%	0.90×	21.91
Örgryte IS & over 3.5	2.5%	4.5%	14.6%	0.31×	22.00
Draw & under 1.5	2.5%	4.5%	5.6%	0.82×	22.00
Örgryte IS & under 2.5	2.3%	4.5%	15.4%	0.30×	22.01
Örgryte IS & under 1.5	1.5%	4.5%	6.3%	0.72×	22.04

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hammarby (1UP)	87.6%	90.8%	—	—	1.10
Örgryte IS (1UP)	25.0%	23.9%	—	—	4.18

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hammarby (2UP)	79.7%	84.3%	—	—	1.19
Örgryte IS (2UP)	7.3%	7.9%	—	—	12.59

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hammarby to win 2nd half	69.1%	67.5%	—	—	1.48
2nd half drawn	21.6%	22.2%	—	—	4.50
Örgryte IS to win 2nd half	9.3%	11.0%	—	—	9.05

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hammarby (+2.5)	99.5%	97.3%	88.6%	1.10×	1.03
Hammarby (+1.5)	97.8%	97.2%	76.5%	1.27×	1.03
Hammarby (+0.5)	92.7%	92.3%	59.6%	1.55×	1.08
Hammarby (-0.5)	79.7%	78.6%	36.9%	2.13×	1.27
Örgryte IS (+0.5)	20.4%	21.4%	63.1%	0.34×	4.68
Örgryte IS (-0.5)	7.3%	7.7%	40.4%	0.19×	13.00
Örgryte IS (-1.5)	2.2%	2.8%	23.5%	0.12×	35.62
Örgryte IS (-2.5)	0.5%	2.7%	11.4%	0.24×	36.49

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hammarby to concede	57.5%	52.3%	75.8%	0.69×	1.91
Hammarby clean sheet	42.5%	47.7%	24.2%	1.97×	2.10

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hammarby clean sheet in 1st half	69.2%	68.6%	—	—	1.46
Hammarby to concede in 1st half	30.8%	31.4%	—	—	3.18

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hammarby over 2.5 corners	91.6%	90.1%	—	—	1.11
Hammarby over 3.5 corners	82.6%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
Hammarby over 4.5 corners	70.8%	71.5%	—	—	1.40
Hammarby over 5.5 corners	57.6%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Hammarby under 6.5 corners	55.5%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Hammarby over 6.5 corners	44.5%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Hammarby under 5.5 corners	42.4%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Hammarby under 4.5 corners	29.2%	28.5%	—	—	3.51
Hammarby under 3.5 corners	17.4%	18.6%	—	—	5.39
Hammarby under 2.5 corners	8.4%	9.9%	—	—	10.06

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hammarby over 0.5 goals	94.9%	92.7%	71.2%	1.30×	1.08
Hammarby over 1.5 goals	79.8%	75.4%	39.1%	1.93×	1.33
Hammarby under 3.5 goals	65.2%	67.1%	94.9%	0.71×	1.49
Hammarby over 2.5 goals	57.2%	57.7%	18.4%	3.13×	1.73
Hammarby under 2.5 goals	42.8%	42.3%	81.6%	0.52×	2.36
Hammarby over 3.5 goals	34.8%	32.9%	5.1%	6.51×	3.04
Hammarby under 1.5 goals	20.2%	24.6%	60.9%	0.40×	4.06
Hammarby under 0.5 goals	5.1%	7.3%	28.8%	0.25×	13.70

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hammarby over 0.5 in 1st half	69.7%	67.3%	—	—	1.49
Hammarby under 1.5 in 1st half	66.5%	67.1%	—	—	1.49
Hammarby over 1.5 in 1st half	33.5%	32.9%	—	—	3.04
Hammarby under 0.5 in 1st half	30.3%	32.7%	—	—	3.06

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (away no bet)	64.0%	59.2%	36.3%	1.63×	1.69
Örgryte IS (away no bet)	36.0%	40.8%	63.7%	0.64×	2.45

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hammarby even goals	50.1%	52.3%	53.3%	0.98×	1.91
Hammarby odd goals	49.9%	47.7%	46.7%	1.02×	2.10

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	69.3%	73.1%	—	—	1.37
Both halves over 1.5 goals	30.7%	26.9%	—	—	3.72

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	82.1%	83.7%	—	—	1.19
Both halves under 1.5 goals	17.9%	16.3%	—	—	6.15

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	78.8%	79.5%	—	—	1.26
Hammarby to score 2+ in a row	73.9%	71.8%	—	—	1.39
Either team to score 3+ in a row	47.9%	47.7%	—	—	2.10
Hammarby to score 3+ in a row	46.4%	47.7%	—	—	2.10
Örgryte IS to score 2+ in a row	11.8%	12.2%	—	—	8.21
Örgryte IS to score 3+ in a row	1.9%	3.3%	—	—	29.92

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hammarby corners (+3.5)	96.7%	95.8%	—	—	1.04
Hammarby corners (+2.5)	94.0%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Hammarby corners (+1.5)	89.6%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Hammarby corners (-1.5)	64.9%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
Örgryte IS corners (+3.5)	57.1%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Hammarby corners (-2.5)	53.9%	52.5%	—	—	1.91
Örgryte IS corners (+2.5)	46.1%	47.5%	—	—	2.11
Hammarby corners (-3.5)	42.9%	42.8%	—	—	2.33
Örgryte IS corners (+1.5)	35.1%	38.1%	—	—	2.63
Örgryte IS corners (-1.5)	10.4%	15.5%	—	—	6.45
Örgryte IS corners (-2.5)	6.0%	10.4%	—	—	9.58
Örgryte IS corners (-3.5)	3.3%	4.2%	—	—	23.55

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	39.1%	33.7%	—	—	2.97
9-11 corners	30.7%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
12+ corners	30.1%	33.2%	—	—	3.01

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	77.8%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Over 7.5 corners	71.5%	72.7%	—	—	1.38
Under 11.5 corners	69.9%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Over 8.5 corners	60.9%	63.4%	—	—	1.58
Under 10.5 corners	60.5%	63.4%	—	—	1.58
Under 9.5 corners	50.1%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
Over 9.5 corners	49.9%	46.7%	—	—	2.14
Over 10.5 corners	39.5%	36.6%	—	—	2.73
Under 8.5 corners	39.1%	36.6%	—	—	2.73
Over 11.5 corners	30.1%	32.3%	—	—	3.09
Under 7.5 corners	28.5%	27.3%	—	—	3.66
Over 12.5 corners	22.2%	23.5%	—	—	4.26

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.1%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Any other score	18.2%	11.9%	4.0%	2.96×	8.37
0-2	9.6%	7.3%	5.1%	1.44×	13.74
0-3	9.5%	7.3%	3.8%	1.92×	13.74
1-2	8.2%	7.3%	8.1%	0.90×	13.74
1-3	8.2%	7.3%	4.8%	1.52×	13.74
0-4	7.1%	7.3%	1.0%	7.20×	13.75
0-1	6.1%	7.3%	9.3%	0.78×	13.75
1-1	5.8%	7.3%	12.9%	0.56×	13.75
1-4	6.1%	7.3%	1.3%	5.76×	13.75
0-0	2.5%	1.8%	5.6%	0.32×	55.45
2-2	3.5%	1.8%	4.0%	0.45×	55.42
2-3	3.5%	1.8%	2.8%	0.65×	55.42
2-4	2.6%	1.8%	1.0%	1.79×	55.44
1-0	1.5%	1.8%	6.3%	0.29×	55.47
2-1	2.4%	1.8%	5.8%	0.31×	55.45
2-0	0.8%	1.8%	9.3%	0.19×	55.49
3-0	0.2%	1.8%	5.3%	0.34×	55.50
3-1	0.7%	1.8%	2.8%	0.65×	55.49
3-2	1.0%	1.8%	3.5%	0.51×	55.48
3-3	1.0%	1.8%	1.0%	1.78×	55.48
3-4	0.7%	1.8%	0.8%	2.38×	55.49
4-0	0.0%	1.8%	2.8%	0.65×	55.51
4-1	0.1%	1.8%	1.5%	1.19×	55.51
4-2	0.2%	1.8%	0.5%	3.57×	55.50
4-3	0.2%	1.8%	2.3%	0.79×	55.50
4-4	0.2%	1.8%	0.5%	3.57×	55.50

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hammarby leading at HT (DNB)	83.5%	84.3%	—	—	1.19
Örgryte IS leading at HT (DNB)	16.5%	15.7%	—	—	6.38

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hammarby or draw (X2)	92.7%	93.1%	59.6%	1.56×	1.07
Örgryte IS or Hammarby (12)	87.0%	89.6%	77.0%	1.16×	1.12
Örgryte IS or draw (1X)	20.4%	16.3%	63.1%	0.26×	6.13

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hammarby or draw at HT	88.7%	88.5%	—	—	1.13
Örgryte IS or Hammarby at HT	68.6%	66.3%	—	—	1.51
Örgryte IS or draw at HT	42.7%	39.6%	—	—	2.52

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hammarby or draw (1UP)	92.7%	94.5%	—	—	1.06
Örgryte IS or draw (1UP)	25.0%	23.7%	—	—	4.21

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hammarby or draw in 2nd half	90.7%	89.0%	—	—	1.12
Örgryte IS or Hammarby in 2nd half	78.4%	77.8%	—	—	1.29
Örgryte IS or draw in 2nd half	30.9%	32.5%	—	—	3.07

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half drawn	54.2%	52.2%	—	—	1.92
A half drawn	45.8%	47.8%	—	—	2.09

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hammarby (DNB)	91.6%	94.2%	47.7%	1.98×	1.06
Örgryte IS (DNB)	8.4%	5.8%	52.3%	0.11×	17.33

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hammarby to score first	75.8%	79.6%	—	—	1.26
Örgryte IS to score first	21.7%	19.6%	—	—	5.11
No goal scored	2.5%	3.9%	—	—	25.53

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	55.0%	52.9%	52.5%	1.01×	1.89
Not both teams to score	45.0%	47.1%	47.5%	0.99×	2.13

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	49.1%	45.4%	39.9%	1.14×	2.20
Not both score & over 2.5	24.6%	25.7%	13.1%	1.96×	3.89
Not both score & under 2.5	20.4%	25.1%	34.6%	0.73×	3.98
Both score & under 2.5	5.8%	8.7%	12.9%	0.67×	11.52

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	83.1%	81.3%	84.3%	0.96×	1.23
Both teams to score 2+	16.9%	18.7%	15.7%	1.20×	5.34

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	67.7%	69.4%	—	—	1.44
Both teams to score in 2nd half	32.3%	30.6%	—	—	3.27

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	53.1%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Both score 2nd half only	25.4%	24.6%	—	—	4.06
Both score 1st half only	14.6%	11.6%	—	—	8.62
Both score in both halves	6.9%	6.5%	—	—	15.43

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	78.5%	79.9%	—	—	1.25
Both teams to score by HT	21.5%	20.1%	—	—	4.97

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	71.1%	71.4%	—	—	1.40
A half without a goal	28.9%	28.6%	—	—	3.50

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
4-6 goals	44.1%	43.2%	26.3%	1.65×	2.31
2-3 goals	36.6%	35.3%	48.7%	0.72×	2.83
0-1 goals	10.1%	16.5%	20.7%	0.80×	6.07
7+ goals	9.2%	5.8%	4.8%	1.21×	17.21

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hammarby to score 3+	57.2%	62.5%	18.4%	3.39×	1.60
Hammarby to score exactly 2	22.6%	24.0%	21.0%	1.14×	4.17
Hammarby to score exactly 1	15.1%	18.3%	32.3%	0.57×	5.47
Hammarby to score exactly 0	5.1%	7.5%	28.8%	0.26×	13.27

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Örgryte IS to score exactly 0	42.5%	45.7%	24.2%	1.88×	2.19
Örgryte IS to score exactly 1	36.4%	36.0%	32.8%	1.10×	2.78
Örgryte IS to score exactly 2	15.6%	18.5%	22.0%	0.84×	5.42
Örgryte IS to score 3+	5.6%	7.9%	21.5%	0.37×	12.71

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hammarby leading at HT	57.3%	60.4%	—	—	1.66
Draw at HT	31.4%	33.7%	—	—	2.97
Örgryte IS leading at HT	11.3%	11.5%	—	—	8.69

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hammarby -1: 2	61.0%	60.7%	—	—	1.65
Hammarby -1: 1	20.4%	23.9%	—	—	4.18
Hammarby -1: X	18.6%	19.0%	—	—	5.27

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hammarby (0:1)	92.7%	95.2%	59.6%	1.60×	1.05
Draw (0:1)	5.1%	8.3%	17.2%	0.48×	12.04
Örgryte IS (0:1)	2.2%	2.0%	23.5%	0.08×	51.24

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hammarby (0:2)	97.8%	98.0%	76.5%	1.28×	1.02
Draw (0:2)	1.7%	3.0%	12.4%	0.24×	33.76
Örgryte IS (0:2)	0.5%	2.9%	11.4%	0.26×	34.25

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hammarby (0:3)	99.5%	97.3%	88.6%	1.10×	1.03
Draw (0:3)	0.4%	2.3%	6.8%	0.34×	43.51
Örgryte IS (0:3)	0.1%	2.3%	4.8%	0.48×	43.58

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hammarby (0:4)	99.9%	98.1%	95.2%	1.03×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	0.1%	1.2%	3.8%	0.32×	81.31
Örgryte IS (0:4)	0.0%	1.2%	1.3%	0.97×	81.35

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hammarby (1:0)	61.0%	65.0%	16.7%	3.90×	1.54
Örgryte IS (1:0)	20.4%	22.9%	63.1%	0.36×	4.38
Draw (1:0)	18.6%	16.4%	20.5%	0.80×	6.10

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hammarby (2:0)	40.2%	44.6%	6.6%	6.79×	2.24
Örgryte IS (2:0)	39.0%	41.5%	83.3%	0.50×	2.41
Draw (2:0)	20.9%	20.6%	10.4%	1.99×	4.85

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	53.5%	50.9%	—	—	1.96
1st half highest scoring	26.0%	26.1%	—	—	3.83
Halves equal	20.5%	23.1%	—	—	4.34

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Örgryte IS to concede	94.9%	96.4%	71.2%	1.35×	1.04
Örgryte IS clean sheet	5.1%	3.6%	28.8%	0.12×	28.10

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Örgryte IS to concede in 1st half	69.7%	67.5%	—	—	1.48
Örgryte IS clean sheet in 1st half	30.3%	32.5%	—	—	3.08

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Örgryte IS under 6.5 corners	92.0%	89.3%	—	—	1.12
Örgryte IS under 5.5 corners	84.8%	80.9%	—	—	1.24
Örgryte IS under 4.5 corners	73.3%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Örgryte IS over 2.5 corners	62.8%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Örgryte IS under 3.5 corners	56.9%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Örgryte IS over 3.5 corners	43.1%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Örgryte IS under 2.5 corners	37.2%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Örgryte IS over 4.5 corners	26.7%	28.1%	—	—	3.56
Örgryte IS over 5.5 corners	15.2%	19.1%	—	—	5.25
Örgryte IS over 6.5 corners	8.0%	10.7%	—	—	9.36

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Örgryte IS under 3.5 goals	98.9%	97.8%	90.7%	1.08×	1.02
Örgryte IS under 2.5 goals	94.4%	92.1%	78.5%	1.17×	1.09
Örgryte IS under 1.5 goals	78.8%	76.8%	56.8%	1.35×	1.30
Örgryte IS over 0.5 goals	57.5%	55.7%	75.8%	0.74×	1.80
Örgryte IS under 0.5 goals	42.5%	44.3%	24.2%	1.83×	2.26
Örgryte IS over 1.5 goals	21.2%	23.2%	43.2%	0.54×	4.31
Örgryte IS over 2.5 goals	5.6%	7.9%	21.5%	0.37×	12.72
Örgryte IS over 3.5 goals	1.1%	2.2%	9.3%	0.24×	45.33

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Örgryte IS under 1.5 in 1st half	94.7%	93.3%	—	—	1.07
Örgryte IS under 0.5 in 1st half	69.2%	69.2%	—	—	1.45
Örgryte IS over 0.5 in 1st half	30.8%	30.8%	—	—	3.25
Örgryte IS over 1.5 in 1st half	5.3%	6.7%	—	—	14.82

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hammarby (home no bet)	85.9%	86.2%	61.6%	1.40×	1.16
Draw (home no bet)	14.1%	13.8%	38.4%	0.36×	7.25

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Örgryte IS even goals	59.0%	58.2%	54.0%	1.08×	1.72
Örgryte IS odd goals	41.0%	41.8%	46.0%	0.91×	2.39

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-1	25.0%	22.7%	—	—	4.41
HT 0-0	21.0%	22.6%	—	—	4.42
HT 0-2	15.0%	11.2%	—	—	8.90
Any other HT score	12.5%	11.2%	—	—	8.93
HT 1-1	9.3%	7.7%	—	—	12.98
HT 1-0	7.7%	7.7%	—	—	13.00
HT 1-2	5.5%	7.7%	—	—	13.03
HT 2-1	1.7%	2.5%	—	—	39.90
HT 2-0	1.4%	2.5%	—	—	39.92
HT 2-2	1.0%	2.5%	—	—	39.94

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hammarby at HT / Hammarby at FT	53.9%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Draw at HT / Hammarby at FT	21.4%	21.4%	—	—	4.67
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	7.2%	6.6%	—	—	15.22
Örgryte IS at HT / Hammarby at FT	4.3%	3.4%	—	—	29.33
Örgryte IS at HT / Örgryte IS at FT	3.9%	3.4%	—	—	29.35
Örgryte IS at HT / Draw at FT	3.1%	3.4%	—	—	29.38
Draw at HT / Örgryte IS at FT	2.8%	3.4%	—	—	29.40
Hammarby at HT / Draw at FT	2.7%	3.4%	—	—	29.40
Hammarby at HT / Örgryte IS at FT	0.6%	3.4%	—	—	29.49

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hammarby to score last	75.8%	76.4%	—	—	1.31
Örgryte IS to score last	21.7%	20.0%	—	—	4.99
No goal scored	2.5%	3.9%	—	—	25.53

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	97.5%	96.1%	—	—	1.04
Hammarby to lead by 1 at any time	87.6%	91.4%	—	—	1.09
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	72.2%	76.9%	—	—	1.30
Hammarby to lead by 2 at any time	67.2%	70.9%	—	—	1.41
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	45.1%	46.1%	—	—	2.17
Hammarby to lead by 3 at any time	44.1%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
Örgryte IS to lead by 1 at any time	25.0%	25.9%	—	—	3.86
Örgryte IS to lead by 2 at any time	5.5%	7.0%	—	—	14.27
Örgryte IS to lead by 3 at any time	1.0%	2.6%	—	—	38.89

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hammarby most corners	74.9%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Örgryte IS most corners	16.7%	19.2%	—	—	5.22
Corners level	8.4%	8.5%	—	—	11.80

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-6 goals	80.7%	81.5%	74.7%	1.09×	1.23
1-5 goals	78.7%	78.9%	86.6%	0.91×	1.27
2-5 goals	71.1%	73.6%	71.5%	1.03×	1.36
3-6 goals	64.5%	62.3%	48.2%	1.29×	1.61
1-4 goals	63.7%	62.3%	78.0%	0.80×	1.61
2-4 goals	56.1%	58.7%	62.9%	0.93×	1.70
3-5 goals	54.9%	52.4%	44.9%	1.17×	1.91
1-3 goals	44.1%	43.6%	63.9%	0.68×	2.29
4-6 goals	44.1%	43.6%	26.3%	1.66×	2.29
3-4 goals	39.9%	38.9%	36.4%	1.07×	2.57
2-3 goals	36.6%	38.8%	48.7%	0.80×	2.58
4-5 goals	34.5%	34.2%	23.0%	1.49×	2.93
5-6 goals	24.6%	24.8%	12.1%	2.04×	4.04
1-2 goals	23.8%	24.7%	41.9%	0.59×	4.04
7+ goals	9.2%	8.9%	4.8%	1.85×	11.28

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hammarby never behind	72.5%	74.2%	—	—	1.35
Örgryte IS never behind	9.9%	8.5%	—	—	11.72

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	49.3%	50.1%	49.5%	1.01×	2.00
Even number of goals	50.7%	49.9%	50.5%	0.99×	2.01

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	52.3%	51.9%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 1st half	47.7%	48.1%	—	—	2.08

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	50.8%	51.7%	—	—	1.94
Odd goals in 2nd half	49.2%	48.3%	—	—	2.07

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	97.5%	95.7%	94.4%	1.01×	1.05
Over 1.5 goals	89.9%	88.8%	79.3%	1.12×	1.13
Under 5.5 goals	81.2%	80.9%	91.9%	0.88×	1.24
Over 2.5 goals	73.7%	72.4%	52.8%	1.37×	1.38
Under 4.5 goals	66.1%	65.5%	83.3%	0.79×	1.53
Over 3.5 goals	53.4%	53.5%	30.8%	1.74×	1.87
Under 3.5 goals	46.6%	46.5%	69.2%	0.67×	2.15
Over 4.5 goals	33.9%	34.5%	16.7%	2.07×	2.89
Under 2.5 goals	26.3%	27.6%	47.2%	0.58×	3.63
Over 5.5 goals	18.8%	19.1%	8.1%	2.36×	5.25
Under 1.5 goals	10.1%	11.2%	20.7%	0.54×	8.93
Under 0.5 goals	2.5%	4.3%	5.6%	0.78×	23.03

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	89.8%	88.2%	95.0%	0.93×	1.13
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	88.0%	88.1%	71.8%	1.23×	1.14
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	77.8%	76.5%	91.2%	0.84×	1.31
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	67.0%	68.0%	39.5%	1.72×	1.47
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	57.9%	55.4%	80.6%	0.69×	1.81
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	42.1%	44.6%	19.4%	2.30×	2.24
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	33.0%	32.0%	60.5%	0.53×	3.13
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	22.2%	23.5%	8.8%	2.66×	4.26
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	12.0%	11.9%	28.2%	0.42×	8.42
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	10.2%	11.8%	5.0%	2.38×	8.46

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	79.3%	78.2%	—	—	1.28
Over 0.5 in 1st half	79.0%	78.2%	—	—	1.28
Under 1.5 in 1st half	53.7%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Over 1.5 in 1st half	46.3%	42.2%	—	—	2.37
Under 0.5 in 1st half	21.0%	21.8%	—	—	4.58
Over 2.5 in 1st half	20.7%	21.8%	—	—	4.58

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	89.6%	86.0%	—	—	1.16
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	66.5%	68.2%	—	—	1.47
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	60.3%	60.8%	—	—	1.65
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	39.7%	39.2%	—	—	2.55
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	33.5%	31.8%	—	—	3.15
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	10.4%	14.0%	—	—	7.16

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Örgryte IS not to score in both halves	88.1%	84.6%	—	—	1.18
Hammarby to score in both halves	58.1%	60.1%	—	—	1.66
Hammarby not to score in both halves	41.9%	39.9%	—	—	2.51
Örgryte IS to score in both halves	11.9%	15.4%	—	—	6.48

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	55.0%	54.8%	52.5%	1.04×	1.82
Only Hammarby scores	40.0%	40.2%	18.9%	2.12×	2.49
Only Örgryte IS scores	2.6%	3.8%	23.5%	0.16×	26.11
Neither team scores	2.5%	3.8%	5.6%	0.69×	26.13

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 3 goals	20.3%	21.5%	22.2%	0.97×	4.65
Exactly 4 goals	19.5%	18.6%	14.4%	1.29×	5.38
6 or more goals	18.8%	18.6%	8.1%	2.30×	5.38
Exactly 2 goals	16.2%	18.5%	26.8%	0.69×	5.39
Exactly 5 goals	15.0%	18.5%	8.8%	2.10×	5.40
Exactly 1 goals	7.6%	7.6%	15.4%	0.49×	13.13
Exactly 0 goals	2.5%	4.3%	5.6%	0.78×	23.05

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	66.5%	65.0%	—	—	1.54
1 goal in 2nd half	23.1%	18.5%	—	—	5.39
No goals in 2nd half	10.4%	12.5%	—	—	7.99

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Örgryte IS not to win both halves	98.9%	96.7%	—	—	1.03
Hammarby not to win both halves	60.3%	63.9%	—	—	1.57
Hammarby to win both halves	39.7%	36.1%	—	—	2.77
Örgryte IS to win both halves	1.1%	3.3%	—	—	30.63

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hammarby to win either half	86.7%	85.7%	—	—	1.17
Örgryte IS to win neither half	80.4%	84.8%	—	—	1.18
Örgryte IS to win either half	19.6%	15.2%	—	—	6.56
Hammarby to win neither half	13.3%	14.3%	—	—	6.98

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Örgryte IS not to win to nil	97.4%	96.5%	76.5%	1.26×	1.04
Hammarby not to win to nil	60.0%	61.0%	81.1%	0.75×	1.64
Hammarby to win to nil	40.0%	39.0%	18.9%	2.06×	2.56
Örgryte IS to win to nil	2.6%	3.5%	23.5%	0.15×	28.60

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hammarby by 3+	40.2%	44.0%	6.6%	6.70×	2.27
Hammarby by 2	20.9%	23.7%	10.4%	2.29×	4.22
Hammarby by 1	18.6%	17.0%	20.5%	0.83×	5.89
Draw	13.0%	11.9%	23.0%	0.52×	8.43
Örgryte IS by 1	5.1%	7.1%	17.2%	0.41×	14.15
Örgryte IS by 2	1.7%	2.8%	12.4%	0.23×	35.54
Örgryte IS by 3+	0.5%	2.8%	11.4%	0.25×	35.72