Orlando City v New England Revolution — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 7 November 2026 · USA-MLS · 2627

USA-MLS results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Orlando City

21:00 UTC

New England Revolution

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 25 Oct, 11:02 · 322h before kick-off

Orlando City win

36.3%

model 35.4%

Draw

22.0%

model 24.0%

New England Revolution win

41.7%

model 40.6%

362242

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (624 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 10.5%
1-2 8.6%
2-1 8.0%
2-2 6.8%
0-1 5.8%

Goals

Over 2.5	64.2%	Under 2.5	35.8%
BTTS yes	65.8%	BTTS no	34.2%
Orlando City 1+	79.6%	Orlando City 2+	47.2%
New England Revolution 1+	82.0%	New England Revolution 2+	51.1%

Expected goals 1.59 – 1.72. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

60/100

Data quality

75/100

Model agreement

98%

★ Best pick

New England Revolution over 1.5 goals

Away goals O/U · usually 39%

51.1% fair odds 1.96

moderate signal · 624 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Under 2.5 in 1st half

Over/Under 1HT

84.3% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 383 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

New England Revolution have an estimated 41.7% win probability, against 36.3% for Orlando City and 22.0% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.59 for Orlando City and 1.72 for New England Revolution.

Why Orlando City

Nothing in the data singles out Orlando City.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 22.0%. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.59 to 1.72. Draws run at 25% in this competition.

Why New England Revolution can win

Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Orlando City, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for New England Revolution, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Orlando City: 57% possession, 12.8 shots a match, 12.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. New England Revolution: 53% possession, 16.8 shots a match, 11.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-25 14:59 · team_stats 2026-10-25 06:07 · availability 2026-10-25 15:02 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

New England Revolution are the model's most likely outcome at 41.7%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 10.5%. Confidence 60/100, data quality 75/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	352441	1.59–1.72	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	372340	1.71–1.77	1-1 10%	68%	68%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New England Revolution to win	39.7%	36.4%	30.0%	1.21×	2.75
Orlando City to win	37.0%	36.4%	45.3%	0.80×	2.75
Draw	23.3%	24.5%	24.8%	0.99×	4.09

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New England Revolution & both teams score	25.1%	25.1%	18.0%	1.39×	3.98
Orlando City & both teams score	23.6%	21.8%	24.4%	0.90×	4.58
Draw & both teams score	19.8%	18.0%	19.2%	0.94×	5.56
New England Revolution & not both score	14.5%	13.3%	12.1%	1.10×	7.53
Orlando City & not both score	13.4%	13.3%	21.1%	0.63×	7.54
Draw & not both score	3.6%	4.9%	5.8%	0.85×	20.55

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New England Revolution & over 1.5	34.7%	30.8%	23.7%	1.30×	3.25
Orlando City & over 1.5	32.2%	30.7%	37.2%	0.83×	3.25
New England Revolution & over 2.5	29.9%	26.1%	20.5%	1.27×	3.84
Orlando City & over 2.5	27.8%	26.1%	31.0%	0.84×	3.84
New England Revolution & under 3.5	20.9%	21.6%	18.8%	1.15×	4.63
Orlando City & under 3.5	19.8%	18.0%	28.4%	0.63×	5.56
Draw & over 1.5	19.8%	18.0%	19.2%	0.94×	5.56
New England Revolution & over 3.5	18.8%	18.0%	11.3%	1.60×	5.56
Orlando City & over 3.5	17.2%	18.0%	17.0%	1.06×	5.56
Draw & under 2.5	13.4%	12.8%	16.0%	0.80×	7.79
Draw & under 3.5	13.4%	12.8%	16.0%	0.80×	7.79
Orlando City & under 2.5	9.2%	7.9%	14.4%	0.55×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	9.9%	7.9%	8.9%	0.89×	12.63
Draw & over 3.5	9.9%	7.9%	8.9%	0.89×	12.63
New England Revolution & under 2.5	9.8%	7.9%	9.6%	0.83×	12.63
Orlando City & under 1.5	4.8%	4.8%	8.2%	0.58×	20.81
New England Revolution & under 1.5	5.0%	4.8%	6.4%	0.75×	20.81
Draw & under 1.5	3.6%	4.8%	5.8%	0.84×	20.82

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New England Revolution (1UP)	59.7%	58.2%	—	—	1.72
Orlando City (1UP)	57.5%	58.1%	—	—	1.72

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New England Revolution (2UP)	39.7%	37.6%	—	—	2.66
Orlando City (2UP)	37.0%	37.4%	—	—	2.67

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New England Revolution to win 2nd half	36.9%	36.2%	—	—	2.76
Orlando City to win 2nd half	32.3%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
2nd half drawn	30.8%	34.1%	—	—	2.93

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New England Revolution under 1.5 in 2nd half	71.2%	75.4%	—	—	1.33
New England Revolution over 0.5 in 2nd half	65.5%	69.9%	—	—	1.43
New England Revolution under 0.5 in 2nd half	34.5%	30.1%	—	—	3.32
New England Revolution over 1.5 in 2nd half	28.8%	24.6%	—	—	4.07

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Orlando City under 1.5 in 2nd half	74.5%	74.5%	—	—	1.34
Orlando City over 0.5 in 2nd half	62.2%	62.8%	—	—	1.59
Orlando City under 0.5 in 2nd half	37.8%	37.2%	—	—	2.69
Orlando City over 1.5 in 2nd half	25.5%	25.5%	—	—	3.91

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New England Revolution (+2.5)	92.1%	92.1%	89.4%	1.03×	1.09
New England Revolution (+1.5)	80.9%	82.5%	76.8%	1.08×	1.21
New England Revolution (+0.5)	63.0%	62.9%	54.7%	1.15×	1.59
Orlando City (+0.5)	60.3%	62.9%	70.0%	0.90×	1.59
New England Revolution (-0.5)	39.7%	37.1%	30.0%	1.24×	2.70
Orlando City (-0.5)	37.0%	37.1%	45.3%	0.82×	2.70
Orlando City (-1.5)	19.1%	17.5%	23.2%	0.75×	5.73
Orlando City (-2.5)	7.9%	7.9%	10.6%	0.74×	12.69

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New England Revolution to concede	81.9%	81.5%	82.3%	0.99×	1.23
New England Revolution clean sheet	18.1%	18.5%	17.7%	1.04×	5.41

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New England Revolution to concede in 1st half	52.0%	50.5%	—	—	1.98
New England Revolution clean sheet in 1st half	48.0%	49.5%	—	—	2.02

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New England Revolution to concede in 2nd half	62.2%	61.3%	—	—	1.63
New England Revolution clean sheet in 2nd half	37.8%	38.7%	—	—	2.59

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New England Revolution over 2.5 corners	82.6%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
New England Revolution under 6.5 corners	71.6%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
New England Revolution over 3.5 corners	69.1%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
New England Revolution under 5.5 corners	59.7%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
New England Revolution over 4.5 corners	54.3%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
New England Revolution under 4.5 corners	45.7%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
New England Revolution over 5.5 corners	40.3%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
New England Revolution under 3.5 corners	30.9%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
New England Revolution over 6.5 corners	28.4%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
New England Revolution under 2.5 corners	17.4%	18.6%	—	—	5.38

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New England Revolution under 3.5 goals	89.6%	87.8%	94.0%	0.93×	1.14
New England Revolution over 0.5 goals	83.0%	81.5%	73.3%	1.11×	1.23
New England Revolution under 2.5 goals	73.8%	71.9%	83.3%	0.86×	1.39
New England Revolution over 1.5 goals	52.9%	53.5%	38.8%	1.38×	1.87
New England Revolution under 1.5 goals	47.1%	46.5%	61.2%	0.76×	2.15
New England Revolution over 2.5 goals	26.2%	28.1%	16.7%	1.69×	3.55
New England Revolution under 0.5 goals	17.0%	18.5%	26.7%	0.69×	5.40
New England Revolution over 3.5 goals	10.4%	12.2%	6.0%	2.04×	8.21

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New England Revolution under 1.5 in 1st half	84.1%	83.0%	—	—	1.20
New England Revolution over 0.5 in 1st half	50.8%	55.3%	—	—	1.81
New England Revolution under 0.5 in 1st half	49.2%	44.7%	—	—	2.24
New England Revolution over 1.5 in 1st half	15.9%	17.0%	—	—	5.89

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New England Revolution scores more in 2nd half	43.5%	43.5%	—	—	2.30
New England Revolution scores equally in both	32.4%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
New England Revolution scores more in 1st half	24.1%	21.8%	—	—	4.58

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Orlando City (away no bet)	61.3%	61.9%	64.6%	0.96×	1.62
Draw (away no bet)	38.7%	38.1%	35.4%	1.08×	2.63

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New England Revolution even goals	51.4%	52.6%	53.6%	0.98×	1.90
New England Revolution odd goals	48.6%	47.4%	46.4%	1.02×	2.11

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	74.4%	77.2%	—	—	1.30
Both halves over 1.5 goals	25.6%	22.8%	—	—	4.38

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	77.4%	72.0%	—	—	1.39
Both halves under 1.5 goals	22.6%	28.0%	—	—	3.58

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	68.0%	62.5%	—	—	1.60
New England Revolution to score 2+ in a row	41.0%	38.6%	—	—	2.59
Orlando City to score 2+ in a row	38.9%	36.6%	—	—	2.73
Either team to score 3+ in a row	28.1%	25.1%	—	—	3.99
New England Revolution to score 3+ in a row	15.1%	16.2%	—	—	6.19
Orlando City to score 3+ in a row	13.8%	12.1%	—	—	8.29

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Orlando City corners (+3.5)	82.1%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
New England Revolution corners (+3.5)	81.1%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Orlando City corners (+2.5)	74.7%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
New England Revolution corners (+2.5)	73.5%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Orlando City corners (+1.5)	65.9%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
New England Revolution corners (+1.5)	64.5%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Orlando City corners (-1.5)	35.5%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
New England Revolution corners (-1.5)	34.1%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
Orlando City corners (-2.5)	26.5%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
New England Revolution corners (-2.5)	25.3%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Orlando City corners (-3.5)	18.9%	20.2%	—	—	4.94
New England Revolution corners (-3.5)	17.9%	20.2%	—	—	4.94

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
12+ corners	36.1%	34.0%	—	—	2.94
0-8 corners	34.6%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
9-11 corners	29.4%	31.2%	—	—	3.20

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 7.5 corners	75.0%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Under 12.5 corners	72.1%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Over 8.5 corners	65.4%	67.8%	—	—	1.47
Under 11.5 corners	63.9%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Over 9.5 corners	55.4%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Under 10.5 corners	54.6%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Over 10.5 corners	45.4%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Under 9.5 corners	44.6%	42.1%	—	—	2.38
Over 11.5 corners	36.1%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Under 8.5 corners	34.6%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Over 12.5 corners	27.9%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Under 7.5 corners	25.0%	27.5%	—	—	3.64

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.1%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	9.8%	7.4%	10.4%	0.71×	13.51
1-2	8.3%	7.4%	7.7%	0.97×	13.51
2-1	8.0%	7.4%	10.0%	0.74×	13.51
2-2	7.1%	7.4%	6.1%	1.22×	13.51
Any other score	6.4%	7.4%	4.7%	1.56×	13.51
0-1	5.0%	1.7%	6.4%	0.27×	58.29
0-2	4.8%	1.7%	3.3%	0.52×	58.29
1-0	4.8%	1.7%	8.2%	0.21×	58.29
1-3	4.9%	1.7%	3.4%	0.51×	58.29
0-0	3.6%	1.7%	5.8%	0.30×	58.30
0-3	2.9%	1.7%	1.8%	0.95×	58.30
0-4	1.3%	1.7%	0.8%	2.17×	58.31
1-4	2.2%	1.7%	1.4%	1.27×	58.31
2-0	4.5%	1.7%	6.3%	0.27×	58.29
2-3	4.2%	1.7%	2.6%	0.66×	58.30
2-4	1.9%	1.7%	1.7%	1.01×	58.31
3-0	2.6%	1.7%	4.2%	0.41×	58.30
3-1	4.5%	1.7%	4.8%	0.35×	58.29
3-2	4.0%	1.7%	3.5%	0.49×	58.30
3-3	2.4%	1.7%	2.6%	0.66×	58.31
3-4	1.1%	1.7%	0.7%	2.54×	58.31
4-0	1.1%	1.7%	1.2%	1.38×	58.31
4-1	1.9%	1.7%	2.4%	0.72×	58.31
4-2	1.7%	1.7%	1.6%	1.09×	58.31
4-3	1.0%	1.7%	0.8%	2.17×	58.31
4-4	0.5%	1.7%	0.5%	3.80×	58.32

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New England Revolution (2nd half DNB)	53.4%	53.6%	—	—	1.87
Orlando City (2nd half DNB)	46.6%	46.4%	—	—	2.16

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Orlando City leading at HT (DNB)	51.2%	56.2%	—	—	1.78
New England Revolution leading at HT (DNB)	48.8%	43.8%	—	—	2.28

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Orlando City or New England Revolution (12)	76.7%	75.5%	75.2%	1.00×	1.32
New England Revolution or draw (X2)	63.0%	63.6%	54.7%	1.16×	1.57
Orlando City or draw (1X)	60.3%	63.6%	70.0%	0.91×	1.57

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Orlando City or draw at HT	69.6%	67.2%	—	—	1.49
New England Revolution or draw at HT	68.1%	67.1%	—	—	1.49
Orlando City or New England Revolution at HT	62.2%	60.9%	—	—	1.64

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New England Revolution or draw (1UP)	63.0%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Orlando City or draw (1UP)	60.3%	71.4%	—	—	1.40

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Orlando City or New England Revolution in 2nd half	69.2%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
New England Revolution or draw in 2nd half	67.7%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
Orlando City or draw in 2nd half	63.1%	63.8%	—	—	1.57

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	56.4%	58.7%	—	—	1.70
Neither half drawn	43.6%	41.3%	—	—	2.42

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New England Revolution (DNB)	51.7%	50.9%	39.8%	1.28×	1.97
Orlando City (DNB)	48.3%	49.1%	60.2%	0.82×	2.04

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New England Revolution to score first	49.1%	46.1%	—	—	2.17
Orlando City to score first	47.3%	46.0%	—	—	2.17
No goal scored	3.6%	4.3%	—	—	23.12

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	68.5%	58.5%	61.3%	0.95×	1.71
Not both teams to score	31.5%	41.5%	38.7%	1.07×	2.41

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	58.7%	47.6%	51.1%	0.93×	2.10
Not both score & under 2.5	22.6%	27.8%	29.5%	0.94×	3.59
Both score & under 2.5	9.8%	8.3%	10.4%	0.80×	12.07
Not both score & over 2.5	8.9%	8.3%	9.2%	0.90×	12.07

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	73.0%	80.5%	79.5%	1.01×	1.24
Both teams to score 2+	27.0%	19.5%	20.5%	0.95×	5.14

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	59.1%	65.5%	—	—	1.53
Both teams to score in 2nd half	40.9%	34.5%	—	—	2.90

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	43.3%	50.5%	—	—	1.98
Both score 2nd half only	30.2%	27.4%	—	—	3.66
Both score 1st half only	15.7%	15.0%	—	—	6.68
Both score in both halves	10.8%	10.8%	—	—	9.30

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	73.5%	79.7%	—	—	1.25
Both teams to score by HT	26.5%	20.3%	—	—	4.93

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	66.7%	65.8%	—	—	1.52
A half without a goal	33.3%	34.2%	—	—	2.93

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	40.8%	42.1%	43.0%	0.98×	2.37
4-6 goals	39.6%	35.1%	33.0%	1.06×	2.85
0-1 goals	13.3%	17.0%	20.2%	0.84×	5.89
7+ goals	6.4%	7.6%	4.1%	1.87×	13.17

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New England Revolution to score exactly 1	30.1%	33.8%	34.6%	0.98×	2.96
New England Revolution to score exactly 2	26.7%	27.4%	22.2%	1.23×	3.65
New England Revolution to score 3+	26.2%	27.4%	16.7%	1.64×	3.65
New England Revolution to score exactly 0	17.0%	19.6%	26.7%	0.73×	5.11

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Orlando City to score exactly 1	30.9%	32.6%	31.1%	1.05×	3.07
Orlando City to score exactly 2	26.4%	26.5%	26.4%	1.01×	3.77
Orlando City to score 3+	24.5%	23.3%	25.0%	0.93×	4.29
Orlando City to score exactly 0	18.1%	18.8%	17.7%	1.06×	5.33

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	37.8%	39.1%	—	—	2.56
Orlando City leading at HT	31.9%	32.9%	—	—	3.04
New England Revolution leading at HT	30.4%	32.8%	—	—	3.05

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New England Revolution -1: 1	60.3%	62.5%	—	—	1.60
New England Revolution -1: 2	21.0%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
New England Revolution -1: X	18.6%	17.5%	—	—	5.71

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New England Revolution (0:1)	63.0%	61.4%	54.7%	1.12×	1.63
Orlando City (0:1)	19.1%	17.8%	23.2%	0.77×	5.61
Draw (0:1)	17.9%	17.8%	22.2%	0.80×	5.61

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New England Revolution (0:2)	80.9%	82.9%	76.8%	1.08×	1.21
Draw (0:2)	11.1%	11.0%	12.7%	0.86×	9.11
Orlando City (0:2)	7.9%	7.7%	10.6%	0.72×	13.04

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New England Revolution (0:3)	92.1%	92.7%	89.4%	1.04×	1.08
Draw (0:3)	5.2%	5.8%	6.7%	0.87×	17.26
Orlando City (0:3)	2.8%	2.4%	4.1%	0.59×	42.11

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New England Revolution (0:4)	97.2%	98.1%	95.9%	1.02×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	1.9%	1.2%	2.0%	0.60×	81.95
Orlando City (0:4)	0.8%	1.2%	2.1%	0.57×	82.08

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Orlando City (1:0)	60.3%	65.2%	70.0%	0.93×	1.53
New England Revolution (1:0)	21.0%	21.7%	13.0%	1.67×	4.61
Draw (1:0)	18.6%	17.1%	17.1%	1.00×	5.84

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Orlando City (2:0)	79.0%	80.5%	87.0%	0.93×	1.24
Draw (2:0)	12.0%	10.3%	8.6%	1.20×	9.73
New England Revolution (2:0)	9.1%	6.4%	4.5%	1.42×	15.65

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	50.9%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
1st half highest scoring	26.9%	26.2%	—	—	3.82
Halves equal	22.1%	24.3%	—	—	4.11

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Orlando City to concede	83.0%	80.9%	73.3%	1.10×	1.24
Orlando City clean sheet	17.0%	19.1%	26.7%	0.71×	5.24

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Orlando City to concede in 1st half	50.8%	55.3%	—	—	1.81
Orlando City clean sheet in 1st half	49.2%	44.7%	—	—	2.24

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Orlando City to concede in 2nd half	65.5%	67.0%	—	—	1.49
Orlando City clean sheet in 2nd half	34.5%	33.0%	—	—	3.03

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Orlando City over 2.5 corners	83.2%	81.0%	—	—	1.24
Orlando City under 6.5 corners	70.6%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Orlando City over 3.5 corners	70.0%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Orlando City under 5.5 corners	58.6%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Orlando City over 4.5 corners	55.4%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Orlando City under 4.5 corners	44.6%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Orlando City over 5.5 corners	41.4%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Orlando City under 3.5 corners	30.0%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Orlando City over 6.5 corners	29.4%	28.1%	—	—	3.55
Orlando City under 2.5 corners	16.8%	19.0%	—	—	5.25

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Orlando City under 3.5 goals	90.6%	92.2%	90.6%	1.02×	1.08
Orlando City over 0.5 goals	81.9%	82.2%	82.3%	1.00×	1.22
Orlando City under 2.5 goals	75.5%	77.7%	75.0%	1.04×	1.29
Orlando City over 1.5 goals	51.0%	53.2%	51.3%	1.04×	1.88
Orlando City under 1.5 goals	49.1%	46.8%	48.7%	0.96×	2.14
Orlando City over 2.5 goals	24.5%	22.3%	25.0%	0.89×	4.49
Orlando City under 0.5 goals	18.1%	17.8%	17.7%	1.00×	5.63
Orlando City over 3.5 goals	9.4%	7.8%	9.4%	0.83×	12.85

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Orlando City under 1.5 in 1st half	83.2%	83.8%	—	—	1.19
Orlando City over 0.5 in 1st half	52.0%	50.3%	—	—	1.99
Orlando City under 0.5 in 1st half	48.0%	49.7%	—	—	2.01
Orlando City over 1.5 in 1st half	16.8%	16.2%	—	—	6.19

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Orlando City scores more in 2nd half	39.9%	37.9%	—	—	2.64
Orlando City scores equally in both	33.6%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
Orlando City scores more in 1st half	26.6%	27.8%	—	—	3.59

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New England Revolution (home no bet)	63.0%	60.0%	54.7%	1.10×	1.67
Draw (home no bet)	37.0%	40.0%	45.3%	0.88×	2.50

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Orlando City even goals	51.6%	50.7%	51.0%	1.00×	1.97
Orlando City odd goals	48.4%	49.3%	49.0%	1.00×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	23.7%	24.3%	—	—	4.11
HT 1-0	17.2%	18.5%	—	—	5.41
HT 0-1	16.7%	18.5%	—	—	5.41
HT 1-1	12.4%	11.0%	—	—	9.10
Any other HT score	7.2%	6.9%	—	—	14.46
HT 2-0	6.4%	6.9%	—	—	14.48
HT 0-2	5.9%	6.9%	—	—	14.48
HT 2-1	4.5%	2.4%	—	—	41.91
HT 1-2	4.4%	2.4%	—	—	41.92
HT 2-2	1.6%	2.4%	—	—	42.10

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New England Revolution at HT / New England Revolution at FT	22.4%	21.7%	—	—	4.61
Orlando City at HT / Orlando City at FT	22.3%	21.7%	—	—	4.61
Draw at HT / New England Revolution at FT	13.7%	12.7%	—	—	7.90
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	12.2%	12.6%	—	—	7.91
Draw at HT / Orlando City at FT	11.9%	12.6%	—	—	7.91
Orlando City at HT / Draw at FT	6.0%	6.1%	—	—	16.48
New England Revolution at HT / Draw at FT	5.2%	6.1%	—	—	16.50
Orlando City at HT / New England Revolution at FT	3.6%	3.5%	—	—	28.84
New England Revolution at HT / Orlando City at FT	2.8%	3.5%	—	—	28.87

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New England Revolution to score last	49.1%	46.6%	—	—	2.15
Orlando City to score last	47.3%	46.5%	—	—	2.15
No goal scored	3.6%	4.3%	—	—	23.12

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	96.4%	95.6%	—	—	1.05
New England Revolution to lead by 1 at any time	59.7%	55.0%	—	—	1.82
Orlando City to lead by 1 at any time	57.5%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	56.5%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
New England Revolution to lead by 2 at any time	29.6%	25.4%	—	—	3.93
Orlando City to lead by 2 at any time	27.5%	25.4%	—	—	3.94
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	23.0%	19.6%	—	—	5.11
New England Revolution to lead by 3 at any time	12.1%	10.5%	—	—	9.52
Orlando City to lead by 3 at any time	10.9%	10.5%	—	—	9.54

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Orlando City most corners	45.5%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
New England Revolution most corners	44.1%	43.5%	—	—	2.30
Corners level	10.4%	10.4%	—	—	9.58

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	82.4%	83.4%	83.4%	1.00×	1.20
2-6 goals	80.3%	83.4%	75.9%	1.10×	1.20
2-5 goals	72.7%	72.4%	69.0%	1.05×	1.38
1-4 goals	69.3%	68.8%	73.2%	0.94×	1.45
3-6 goals	61.2%	63.3%	56.3%	1.13×	1.58
2-4 goals	59.6%	59.1%	58.7%	1.01×	1.69
3-5 goals	53.6%	53.2%	49.4%	1.08×	1.88
1-3 goals	50.5%	53.2%	57.4%	0.93×	1.88
2-3 goals	40.8%	43.6%	43.0%	1.01×	2.29
3-4 goals	40.5%	43.6%	39.1%	1.11×	2.29
4-6 goals	39.6%	39.2%	33.0%	1.19×	2.55
4-5 goals	32.0%	35.2%	26.2%	1.35×	2.84
1-2 goals	28.8%	30.2%	34.2%	0.89×	3.31
5-6 goals	20.7%	24.5%	17.2%	1.42×	4.09
7+ goals	6.4%	8.9%	4.1%	2.19×	11.28

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New England Revolution never behind	38.9%	44.2%	—	—	2.26
Orlando City never behind	36.7%	44.1%	—	—	2.27

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	49.0%	50.9%	50.5%	1.01×	1.96
Even number of goals	51.0%	49.1%	49.5%	0.99×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	53.0%	51.8%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 1st half	47.0%	48.2%	—	—	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	51.2%	51.9%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 2nd half	48.8%	48.1%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	96.4%	95.4%	94.3%	1.01×	1.05
Over 1.5 goals	86.7%	87.6%	79.8%	1.10×	1.14
Under 5.5 goals	86.0%	87.6%	89.1%	0.98×	1.14
Under 4.5 goals	72.9%	72.5%	78.8%	0.92×	1.38
Over 2.5 goals	67.6%	66.3%	60.2%	1.10×	1.51
Under 3.5 goals	54.0%	52.5%	63.0%	0.83×	1.90
Over 3.5 goals	46.0%	47.5%	37.0%	1.28×	2.11
Under 2.5 goals	32.4%	33.7%	39.8%	0.85×	2.97
Over 4.5 goals	27.1%	27.5%	21.2%	1.30×	3.63
Over 5.5 goals	14.0%	12.4%	10.9%	1.14×	8.05
Under 1.5 goals	13.3%	12.4%	20.2%	0.62×	8.06
Under 0.5 goals	3.6%	4.6%	5.8%	0.80×	21.84

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	93.1%	92.4%	95.6%	0.97×	1.08
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	83.9%	81.1%	87.8%	0.92×	1.23
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	83.6%	81.1%	74.9%	1.08×	1.23
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	66.6%	67.4%	74.8%	0.90×	1.48
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	58.6%	55.8%	48.2%	1.16×	1.79
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	41.4%	44.2%	51.8%	0.85×	2.26
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	33.4%	32.6%	25.2%	1.29×	3.07
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	16.4%	18.9%	25.1%	0.75×	5.29
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	16.1%	18.9%	12.2%	1.55×	5.29
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	6.9%	7.6%	4.4%	1.74×	13.17

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	82.3%	85.8%	—	—	1.17
Over 0.5 in 1st half	76.3%	78.5%	—	—	1.27
Under 1.5 in 1st half	57.6%	63.8%	—	—	1.57
Over 1.5 in 1st half	42.4%	36.2%	—	—	2.76
Under 0.5 in 1st half	23.7%	21.5%	—	—	4.64
Over 2.5 in 1st half	17.7%	14.2%	—	—	7.02

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	86.8%	85.4%	—	—	1.17
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	66.6%	68.6%	—	—	1.46
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	60.6%	61.2%	—	—	1.63
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	39.4%	38.8%	—	—	2.58
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	33.4%	31.4%	—	—	3.19
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	13.2%	14.6%	—	—	6.87

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Orlando City not to score in both halves	67.6%	70.1%	—	—	1.43
New England Revolution not to score in both halves	66.7%	70.0%	—	—	1.43
New England Revolution to score in both halves	33.3%	30.0%	—	—	3.34
Orlando City to score in both halves	32.4%	29.9%	—	—	3.34

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	68.5%	60.0%	61.3%	0.98×	1.67
Only New England Revolution scores	14.5%	11.0%	12.1%	0.92×	9.06
Only Orlando City scores	13.4%	11.0%	21.1%	0.52×	9.06
Neither team scores	3.6%	4.6%	5.8%	0.80×	21.64

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 3 goals	21.6%	22.6%	23.3%	0.97×	4.43
Exactly 2 goals	19.1%	17.5%	19.7%	0.89×	5.73
Exactly 4 goals	18.8%	17.5%	15.9%	1.10×	5.73
6 or more goals	14.0%	12.1%	10.9%	1.11×	8.25
Exactly 5 goals	13.1%	12.1%	10.4%	1.17×	8.25
Exactly 1 goals	9.7%	7.6%	14.5%	0.52×	13.14
Exactly 0 goals	3.6%	4.5%	5.8%	0.78×	22.37

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	33.9%	35.7%	—	—	2.80
2 goals in 1st half	24.7%	21.5%	—	—	4.65
No goals in 1st half	23.7%	21.5%	—	—	4.65
3+ goals in 1st half	17.7%	15.6%	—	—	6.41

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	60.6%	58.6%	—	—	1.71
1 goal in 2nd half	26.2%	29.4%	—	—	3.41
No goals in 2nd half	13.2%	14.4%	—	—	6.93

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Orlando City not to win both halves	89.6%	88.0%	—	—	1.14
New England Revolution not to win both halves	88.7%	88.0%	—	—	1.14
New England Revolution to win both halves	11.3%	12.0%	—	—	8.34
Orlando City to win both halves	10.4%	12.0%	—	—	8.37

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New England Revolution to win either half	56.0%	59.1%	—	—	1.69
Orlando City to win either half	53.8%	54.3%	—	—	1.84
Orlando City to win neither half	46.2%	45.7%	—	—	2.19
New England Revolution to win neither half	44.0%	40.9%	—	—	2.44

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Orlando City not to win to nil	86.6%	88.1%	78.9%	1.12×	1.14
New England Revolution not to win to nil	85.5%	88.1%	87.9%	1.00×	1.14
New England Revolution to win to nil	14.5%	11.9%	12.1%	0.99×	8.40
Orlando City to win to nil	13.4%	11.9%	21.1%	0.56×	8.41

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	23.3%	24.1%	24.8%	0.97×	4.15
New England Revolution by 1	18.6%	17.1%	17.1%	1.00×	5.87
Orlando City by 1	17.9%	17.0%	22.2%	0.77×	5.87
New England Revolution by 2	12.0%	11.8%	8.6%	1.37×	8.51
Orlando City by 2	11.1%	11.7%	12.7%	0.92×	8.51
New England Revolution by 3+	9.1%	7.2%	4.5%	1.60×	13.90
Orlando City by 3+	7.9%	7.2%	10.6%	0.68×	13.90