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Osasuna v Celta Vigo — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 1 September 2024 · ESP-La Liga · 2425

La Liga xG

3–2
0.78 – 1.72 xG
Shots
11 – 13
On target
3 – 4
Shots in box
7 – 5
xG per shot
0.07 – 0.13
Set-piece xG
0.24 – 0.25
Goals − xG
+2.20 – +0.28
Reading the xG timeline
Each step up is a shot; the height of the step is how good the chance was. Dots mark goals. A side whose line climbs steadily created chances all match. A side that scored while its line stayed flat took a rare chance — that is finishing luck, and it rarely repeats.

Expected goals by minute

0.00.51.01.41.90'15'30'45'60'75'90'Enzo Boyomo 20' — goalBorja Iglesias 28' — goalAbel Bretones 61' — goal
Osasuna 0.80 xGCelta Vigo 1.72 xG
Reading the shot map
Each circle is a shot, placed where it was taken. Bigger means a better chance; filled circles are goals. Clusters near the goal mean a side worked good openings; lots of small circles far out means shooting from poor positions and hoping. Hover any circle for the player, minute and chance quality.

Shot map

Borja Iglesias 10' — Saved Shot (0.60 xG, Open Play)Iago Aspas 10' — Blocked Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Fran Beltrán 13' — Blocked Shot (0.03 xG, From Corner)Aimar Oroz 15' — Blocked Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Ante Budimir 16' — Blocked Shot (0.03 xG, From Corner)Enzo Boyomo 20' — Goal (0.13 xG, From Corner)Rubén García 20' — Blocked Shot (0.06 xG, From Corner)Lucas Torró 25' — Missed Shot (0.06 xG, Open Play)Rubén García 25' — Saved Shot (0.14 xG, Open Play)Borja Iglesias 28' — Goal (0.54 xG, Open Play)Jon Moncayola 31' — Blocked Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Carlos Domínguez 44' — Own Goal (0.00 xG, Open Play)Ante Budimir 45' — Blocked Shot (0.15 xG, Open Play)Ante Budimir 46' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, From Corner)Alfon 55' — Blocked Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Alfon 57' — Saved Shot (0.06 xG, Open Play)Alfon 58' — Missed Shot (0.07 xG, Open Play)Abel Bretones 61' — Goal (0.12 xG, Open Play)Óscar Mingueza 66' — Missed Shot (0.05 xG, Direct Freekick)Iago Aspas 69' — Missed Shot (0.07 xG, Direct Freekick)Hugo Álvarez 75' — Saved Shot (0.11 xG, Direct Freekick)Iago Aspas 78' — Missed Shot (0.10 xG, Open Play)Moi Gómez 90' — Own Goal (0.00 xG, Open Play)Hugo Álvarez 92' — Blocked Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)
Osasuna attacking right Celta Vigo attacking left Marker size is xG; filled markers are goals.

Every shot

MinTeamPlayerxG SituationBody partResultAssisted by
10' Celta Vigo Borja Iglesias 0.60 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Óscar Mingueza
10' Celta Vigo Iago Aspas 0.03 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Carlos Domínguez
13' Celta Vigo Fran Beltrán 0.03 From Corner Right Foot Blocked Shot
15' Osasuna Aimar Oroz 0.03 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot
16' Osasuna Ante Budimir 0.03 From Corner Blocked Shot Rubén García
20' Osasuna Enzo Boyomo 0.13 From Corner Right Foot Goal Ante Budimir
20' Osasuna Rubén García 0.06 From Corner Left Foot Blocked Shot Jon Moncayola
25' Osasuna Lucas Torró 0.06 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot
25' Osasuna Rubén García 0.14 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Lucas Torró
28' Celta Vigo Borja Iglesias 0.54 Open Play Right Foot Goal Óscar Mingueza
31' Osasuna Jon Moncayola 0.05 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Aimar Oroz
44' Celta Vigo Carlos Domínguez 0.00 Open Play Own Goal
45' Osasuna Ante Budimir 0.15 Open Play Blocked Shot Bryan Zaragoza
46' Osasuna Ante Budimir 0.02 From Corner Missed Shot Jon Moncayola
55' Celta Vigo Alfon 0.05 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Javier Rodríguez
57' Celta Vigo Alfon 0.06 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Hugo Álvarez
58' Celta Vigo Alfon 0.07 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Damián Rodríguez
61' Osasuna Abel Bretones 0.12 Open Play Left Foot Goal Bryan Zaragoza
66' Celta Vigo Óscar Mingueza 0.05 Direct Freekick Right Foot Missed Shot
69' Celta Vigo Iago Aspas 0.07 Direct Freekick Left Foot Missed Shot
75' Celta Vigo Hugo Álvarez 0.11 Direct Freekick Right Foot Saved Shot
78' Celta Vigo Iago Aspas 0.10 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Alfon
90' Osasuna Moi Gómez 0.00 Open Play Right Foot Own Goal
92' Celta Vigo Hugo Álvarez 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Damián Rodríguez

Players

Celta Vigo

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Iago Aspas FWR 90 0 0 3 0 0.20 0.00 0.20
Hugo Álvarez DML 90 0 0 2 1 0.14 0.06 0.12
Óscar Mingueza DMR 90 0 1 1 2 0.05 1.14 1.36
Jaílson DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.06
Javier Rodríguez DC 90 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.05 1.26
Iván Villar GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.02
Ilaix Moriba MC 79 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.07
Borja Iglesias FW 67 1 0 2 0 1.14 0.00 1.30
Fran Beltrán MC 49 0 0 1 0 0.03 0.00 0.60
Williot Swedberg FWL 49 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.03
Carlos Domínguez DC 49 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.03 0.64
Carl Starfelt Sub 41 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.13
Damián Rodríguez Sub 41 0 0 0 2 0.00 0.09 0.15
Alfon Sub 40 0 0 3 1 0.18 0.10 0.28
Tasos Douvikas Sub 23 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Hugo Sotelo Sub 11 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.10

Osasuna

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Enzo Boyomo DC 90 1 0 1 0 0.13 0.00 0.00
Abel Bretones DL 90 1 0 1 0 0.12 0.00 0.12
Lucas Torró DMC 90 0 0 1 1 0.06 0.14 0.33
Jon Moncayola MC 90 0 0 1 2 0.05 0.08 0.05
Aimar Oroz MC 90 0 0 1 1 0.03 0.05 0.23
Sergio Herrera GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Jesús Areso DR 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.05
Alejandro Catena DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.27
Rubén García MR 80 0 0 2 1 0.20 0.03 0.14
Ante Budimir FW 80 0 1 3 1 0.20 0.13 0.15
Bryan Zaragoza ML 66 0 1 0 2 0.00 0.27 0.27
Rubén Peña Sub 24 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Raul García Sub 10 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Iker Benito Sub 10 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Pablo Ibáñez Sub 1 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Moi Gómez Sub 1 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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