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Osasuna v Villarreal — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 24 November 2024 · ESP-La Liga · 2425

La Liga xG

2–2
1.33 – 2.68 xG
Shots
4 – 17
On target
3 – 7
Shots in box
3 – 14
xG per shot
0.33 – 0.16
Set-piece xG
0.74 – 0.87
Goals − xG
+0.67 – -0.71
Reading the xG timeline
Each step up is a shot; the height of the step is how good the chance was. Dots mark goals. A side whose line climbs steadily created chances all match. A side that scored while its line stayed flat took a rare chance — that is finishing luck, and it rarely repeats.

Expected goals by minute

0.00.81.52.33.00'15'30'45'60'75'90'Ante Budimir 7' — goalAnte Budimir 20' — goalÁlex Baena 66' — goalGerard Moreno 92' — goal
Osasuna 1.33 xGVillarreal 2.71 xG
Reading the shot map
Each circle is a shot, placed where it was taken. Bigger means a better chance; filled circles are goals. Clusters near the goal mean a side worked good openings; lots of small circles far out means shooting from poor positions and hoping. Hover any circle for the player, minute and chance quality.

Shot map

Thierno Barry 2' — Missed Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Ante Budimir 7' — Goal (0.47 xG, Open Play)Ramón Terrats 9' — Blocked Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Ante Budimir 20' — Goal (0.74 xG, )Logan Costa 31' — Missed Shot (0.07 xG, Set Piece)Logan Costa 39' — Saved Shot (0.01 xG, Open Play)Thierno Barry 40' — Missed Shot (0.44 xG, Open Play)Jon Moncayola 45' — Saved Shot (0.08 xG, Open Play)Thierno Barry 47' — Saved Shot (0.04 xG, Open Play)Gerard Moreno 48' — Saved Shot (0.06 xG, Open Play)Daniel Parejo 50' — Missed Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Gerard Moreno 62' — Blocked Shot (0.07 xG, Open Play)Thierno Barry 63' — Blocked Shot (0.08 xG, Open Play)Yeremi Pino 66' — Missed Shot (0.04 xG, Open Play)Álex Baena 66' — Goal (0.65 xG, Open Play)Iker Muñoz 71' — Missed Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Gerard Moreno 72' — Saved Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Sergi Cardona 73' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Denis Suárez 75' — Saved Shot (0.27 xG, Open Play)Logan Costa 76' — Missed Shot (0.06 xG, From Corner)Gerard Moreno 92' — Goal (0.74 xG, )
Osasuna attacking right Villarreal attacking left Marker size is xG; filled markers are goals.

Every shot

MinTeamPlayerxG SituationBody partResultAssisted by
2' Villarreal Thierno Barry 0.03 Open Play Missed Shot Álex Baena
7' Osasuna Ante Budimir 0.47 Open Play Goal Rubén García
9' Villarreal Ramón Terrats 0.05 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot
20' Osasuna Ante Budimir 0.74 Left Foot Goal
31' Villarreal Logan Costa 0.07 Set Piece Missed Shot Álex Baena
39' Villarreal Logan Costa 0.01 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot
40' Villarreal Thierno Barry 0.44 Open Play Missed Shot Ramón Terrats
45' Osasuna Jon Moncayola 0.08 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Jesús Areso
47' Villarreal Thierno Barry 0.04 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Gerard Moreno
48' Villarreal Gerard Moreno 0.06 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Álex Baena
50' Villarreal Daniel Parejo 0.05 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Yeremi Pino
62' Villarreal Gerard Moreno 0.07 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Daniel Parejo
63' Villarreal Thierno Barry 0.08 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Sergi Cardona
66' Villarreal Yeremi Pino 0.04 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Gerard Moreno
66' Villarreal Álex Baena 0.65 Open Play Left Foot Goal Yeremi Pino
71' Osasuna Iker Muñoz 0.03 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot
72' Villarreal Gerard Moreno 0.03 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot
73' Villarreal Sergi Cardona 0.02 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Yeremi Pino
75' Villarreal Denis Suárez 0.27 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Álex Baena
76' Villarreal Logan Costa 0.06 From Corner Missed Shot Álex Baena
92' Villarreal Gerard Moreno 0.74 Left Foot Goal

Players

Osasuna

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Ante Budimir FW 90 2 0 2 0 1.21 0.00 0.50
Sergio Herrera GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Lucas Torró MC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.58
Juan Cruz DL 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Jesús Areso DR 90 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.08 0.55
Enzo Boyomo DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Alejandro Catena DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Aimar Oroz MC 89 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.03
Bryan Zaragoza FWL 81 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Jon Moncayola MC 69 0 0 1 0 0.08 0.00 0.55
Rubén García FWR 69 0 1 0 1 0.00 0.47 0.55
Iker Muñoz Sub 21 0 0 1 0 0.03 0.00 0.03
Rubén Peña Sub 21 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Moi Gómez Sub 9 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Abel Bretones Sub 1 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Raul García Sub 1 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00

Villarreal

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Álex Baena ML 90 1 0 1 5 0.65 0.49 1.08
Thierno Barry FW 90 0 0 4 0 0.59 0.00 0.64
Logan Costa DC 90 0 0 3 0 0.14 0.00 0.59
Daniel Parejo MC 90 0 0 1 1 0.05 0.07 0.23
Pau Navarro DR 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.13
Diego Conde GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Raúl Albiol DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.14
Yeremi Pino MR 89 0 1 1 3 0.04 0.72 0.83
Sergi Cardona DL 80 0 0 1 1 0.02 0.08 0.58
Santiago Comesaña MC 75 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.12
Ramón Terrats FW 49 0 0 1 1 0.05 0.44 0.49
Gerard Moreno Sub 41 1 0 4 2 0.90 0.09 0.65
Denis Suárez Sub 15 0 0 1 0 0.27 0.00 0.27
Juan Bernat Sub 10 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Pau Cabanes De La Torre Sub 1 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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