Osijek v Dinamo Zagreb — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Saturday 12 September 2026 · CRO-HNL · 2627
CRO-HNL
results-only Prediction generated
AI prediction
ai-blend v1.0 dailyCalibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (1,497 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.
Top 5 scorelines
- 0-2 11.8%
- 1-1 10.8%
- 1-2 9.7%
- 0-1 9.1%
- 0-3 8.5%
Goals
| Over 2.5 | 57.3% | Under 2.5 | 42.7% |
| BTTS yes | 51.4% | BTTS no | 48.6% |
| Osijek 1+ | 56.1% | Osijek 2+ | 19.9% |
| Dinamo Zagreb 1+ | 88.5% | Dinamo Zagreb 2+ | 63.5% |
Expected goals 0.82 – 2.16. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.
Footing
Positive factors
- Dinamo Zagreb carry the stronger rating, 1533 Elo against 1480.
Risk factors
- The component models disagree more than usual (agreement 0.75).
- Data quality is 30/100, so this price rests on less than the model would like.
- Osijek have only 1 matches on record.
- Dinamo Zagreb have only 9 matches on record.
Why the model thinks this
The price
Dinamo Zagreb have an estimated 65.0% win probability, against 22.6% for the draw and 12.5% for Osijek. Expected goals from the ensemble are 0.82 for Osijek and 2.16 for Dinamo Zagreb.
Why Osijek
At home Osijek average 1.35 xG a match.
Why the draw is live
The draw sits at 22.6%.
Why Dinamo Zagreb can win
Dinamo Zagreb carry the stronger rating, 1533 Elo against 1480.
Key players
No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.
Availability
No lineup on record for Osijek, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Dinamo Zagreb, so availability is unknown.
The matchup, as far as the data reaches
Osijek: 50% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Dinamo Zagreb: 36% possession, 9.2 shots a match, 14.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.
Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-10 15:23 · team_stats 2026-09-09 06:03 · availability 2026-09-10 15:32 · prediction 2026-09-09 09:54 ·
Dinamo Zagreb are the model's most likely outcome at 65.0%. The likeliest scoreline is 0-2 at 11.8%. Confidence 21/100, data quality 30/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.
Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.
Was this pick made in advance?
-oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches
played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight.
Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.What the model said
| Model | Home / Draw / Away | Expected goals | Likeliest score | O2.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ai-blend | 0.82–2.16 | 0% | 0% | 0% | |
| dc-xg | 1.18–1.31 | 0-1 13% | 45% | 48% |
A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest:
it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.
Using this section
All markets
Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.
1X2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dinamo Zagreb to win | 73.9% | 73.2% | 27.0% | 2.71× | 1.37 |
| Draw | 19.0% | 19.4% | 26.1% | 0.74× | 5.15 |
| Osijek to win | 7.0% | 8.6% | 47.4% | 0.18× | 11.61 |
1X2 & GG/NG 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dinamo Zagreb & not both score | 45.4% | 42.7% | 14.2% | 3.01× | 2.34 |
| Dinamo Zagreb & both teams score | 28.5% | 25.5% | 13.3% | 1.92× | 3.93 |
| Draw & both teams score | 12.6% | 13.2% | 18.5% | 0.72× | 7.55 |
| Draw & not both score | 6.4% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 1.04× | 11.95 |
| Osijek & both teams score | 4.0% | 4.9% | 21.8% | 0.23× | 20.28 |
| Osijek & not both score | 3.0% | 4.9% | 26.1% | 0.19× | 20.30 |
1X2 & Over/Under 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dinamo Zagreb & over 1.5 | 63.9% | 55.2% | 24.2% | 2.28× | 1.81 |
| Dinamo Zagreb & over 2.5 | 50.3% | 48.7% | 16.6% | 2.94× | 2.05 |
| Dinamo Zagreb & under 3.5 | 43.4% | 40.0% | 17.1% | 2.35× | 2.50 |
| Dinamo Zagreb & over 3.5 | 30.6% | 31.0% | 10.4% | 2.98× | 3.22 |
| Dinamo Zagreb & under 2.5 | 23.7% | 21.6% | 10.9% | 1.98× | 4.63 |
| Draw & under 2.5 | 15.5% | 18.0% | 19.4% | 0.92× | 5.57 |
| Draw & under 3.5 | 15.5% | 18.0% | 19.4% | 0.92× | 5.57 |
| Draw & over 1.5 | 12.6% | 12.9% | 18.5% | 0.70× | 7.77 |
| Dinamo Zagreb & under 1.5 | 10.0% | 12.9% | 3.3% | 3.88× | 7.78 |
| Draw & under 1.5 | 6.4% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 0.99× | 12.56 |
| Osijek & over 1.5 | 5.3% | 8.0% | 39.3% | 0.20× | 12.57 |
| Osijek & under 3.5 | 5.5% | 8.0% | 33.2% | 0.24× | 12.57 |
| Osijek & over 2.5 | 4.3% | 4.9% | 28.4% | 0.17× | 20.53 |
| Draw & over 2.5 | 3.5% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 0.69× | 20.53 |
| Draw & over 3.5 | 3.5% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 0.69× | 20.53 |
| Osijek & under 2.5 | 2.8% | 4.9% | 19.4% | 0.25× | 20.53 |
| Osijek & under 1.5 | 1.7% | 4.9% | 8.5% | 0.57× | 20.54 |
| Osijek & over 3.5 | 1.6% | 4.9% | 14.7% | 0.33× | 20.54 |
1X2 1UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dinamo Zagreb (1UP) | 82.3% | 87.1% | — | — | 1.15 |
| Osijek (1UP) | 22.4% | 22.7% | — | — | 4.40 |
1X2 2UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dinamo Zagreb (2UP) | 73.9% | 80.9% | — | — | 1.24 |
| Osijek (2UP) | 7.0% | 8.4% | — | — | 11.85 |
2nd half 1X2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dinamo Zagreb to win 2nd half | 63.1% | 59.4% | — | — | 1.68 |
| 2nd half drawn | 27.8% | 26.4% | — | — | 3.79 |
| Osijek to win 2nd half | 9.1% | 8.1% | — | — | 12.38 |
2nd half away goals O/U 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dinamo Zagreb over 0.5 in 2nd half | 75.7% | 79.4% | — | — | 1.26 |
| Dinamo Zagreb under 1.5 in 2nd half | 58.7% | 55.5% | — | — | 1.80 |
| Dinamo Zagreb over 1.5 in 2nd half | 41.3% | 44.5% | — | — | 2.25 |
| Dinamo Zagreb under 0.5 in 2nd half | 24.3% | 20.6% | — | — | 4.86 |
2nd half home goals O/U 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Osijek under 1.5 in 2nd half | 94.5% | 94.6% | — | — | 1.06 |
| Osijek under 0.5 in 2nd half | 68.8% | 71.2% | — | — | 1.41 |
| Osijek over 0.5 in 2nd half | 31.2% | 28.8% | — | — | 3.47 |
| Osijek over 1.5 in 2nd half | 5.5% | 5.4% | — | — | 18.57 |
Asian handicap 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dinamo Zagreb (+2.5) | 99.6% | 96.3% | 90.0% | 1.07× | 1.04 |
| Dinamo Zagreb (+1.5) | 97.9% | 96.3% | 72.5% | 1.33× | 1.04 |
| Dinamo Zagreb (+0.5) | 93.0% | 92.1% | 52.6% | 1.75× | 1.09 |
| Dinamo Zagreb (-0.5) | 73.9% | 73.7% | 27.0% | 2.73× | 1.36 |
| Osijek (+0.5) | 26.1% | 26.3% | 73.0% | 0.36× | 3.80 |
| Osijek (-0.5) | 7.0% | 7.9% | 47.4% | 0.17× | 12.68 |
| Osijek (-1.5) | 2.1% | 3.7% | 27.5% | 0.14× | 26.85 |
| Osijek (-2.5) | 0.4% | 3.7% | 10.0% | 0.37× | 26.95 |
Away clean sheet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dinamo Zagreb clean sheet | 51.8% | 55.9% | 21.8% | 2.56× | 1.79 |
| Dinamo Zagreb to concede | 48.2% | 44.1% | 78.2% | 0.56× | 2.27 |
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dinamo Zagreb clean sheet in 1st half | 75.4% | 76.7% | — | — | 1.30 |
| Dinamo Zagreb to concede in 1st half | 24.6% | 23.3% | — | — | 4.29 |
Away clean sheet 2HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dinamo Zagreb clean sheet in 2nd half | 68.8% | 66.7% | — | — | 1.50 |
| Dinamo Zagreb to concede in 2nd half | 31.2% | 33.3% | — | — | 3.00 |
Away goals O/U 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dinamo Zagreb over 0.5 goals | 90.6% | 92.2% | 66.4% | 1.39× | 1.09 |
| Dinamo Zagreb under 3.5 goals | 78.7% | 76.1% | 94.8% | 0.80× | 1.31 |
| Dinamo Zagreb over 1.5 goals | 68.3% | 67.9% | 34.6% | 1.96× | 1.47 |
| Dinamo Zagreb under 2.5 goals | 58.0% | 59.0% | 87.7% | 0.67× | 1.70 |
| Dinamo Zagreb over 2.5 goals | 42.0% | 41.0% | 12.3% | 3.33× | 2.44 |
| Dinamo Zagreb under 1.5 goals | 31.7% | 32.1% | 65.4% | 0.49× | 3.11 |
| Dinamo Zagreb over 3.5 goals | 21.3% | 23.9% | 5.2% | 4.58× | 4.19 |
| Dinamo Zagreb under 0.5 goals | 9.4% | 7.8% | 33.6% | 0.23× | 12.77 |
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dinamo Zagreb under 1.5 in 1st half | 75.6% | 75.9% | — | — | 1.32 |
| Dinamo Zagreb over 0.5 in 1st half | 61.1% | 64.0% | — | — | 1.56 |
| Dinamo Zagreb under 0.5 in 1st half | 38.9% | 36.0% | — | — | 2.78 |
| Dinamo Zagreb over 1.5 in 1st half | 24.4% | 24.1% | — | — | 4.14 |
Away highest scoring half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dinamo Zagreb scores more in 2nd half | 47.9% | 48.5% | — | — | 2.06 |
| Dinamo Zagreb scores equally in both | 27.0% | 26.1% | — | — | 3.83 |
| Dinamo Zagreb scores more in 1st half | 25.1% | 26.0% | — | — | 3.84 |
Away no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw (away no bet) | 73.0% | 68.5% | 35.5% | 1.93× | 1.46 |
| Osijek (away no bet) | 27.0% | 31.5% | 64.5% | 0.49× | 3.17 |
Away Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dinamo Zagreb even goals | 50.4% | 52.8% | 59.2% | 0.89× | 1.89 |
| Dinamo Zagreb odd goals | 49.6% | 47.2% | 40.8% | 1.16× | 2.12 |
Both halves O1.5 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both halves over 1.5 | 81.5% | 82.9% | — | — | 1.21 |
| Both halves over 1.5 goals | 18.5% | 17.1% | — | — | 5.86 |
Both halves U1.5 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both halves under 1.5 | 70.4% | 67.2% | — | — | 1.49 |
| Both halves under 1.5 goals | 29.6% | 32.8% | — | — | 3.05 |
Consecutive goals 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Either team to score 2+ in a row | 67.6% | 62.2% | — | — | 1.61 |
| Dinamo Zagreb to score 2+ in a row | 63.0% | 60.0% | — | — | 1.67 |
| Either team to score 3+ in a row | 35.6% | 36.4% | — | — | 2.75 |
| Dinamo Zagreb to score 3+ in a row | 34.6% | 29.2% | — | — | 3.43 |
| Osijek to score 2+ in a row | 8.4% | 5.7% | — | — | 17.66 |
| Osijek to score 3+ in a row | 1.2% | 2.5% | — | — | 39.95 |
Correct score 26
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-2 | 13.6% | 11.4% | 8.1% | 1.41× | 8.80 |
| 0-3 | 10.7% | 11.4% | 1.9% | 5.99× | 8.80 |
| 0-1 | 10.0% | 11.4% | 3.3% | 3.42× | 8.81 |
| 1-1 | 9.1% | 7.4% | 11.8% | 0.62× | 13.53 |
| 1-2 | 9.0% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 1.42× | 13.53 |
| Any other score | 9.1% | 7.4% | 4.3% | 1.73× | 13.53 |
| 0-0 | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 0.92× | 13.54 |
| 1-3 | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 1.42× | 13.54 |
| 0-4 | 6.3% | 7.4% | 1.4% | 5.20× | 13.54 |
| 1-0 | 1.7% | 1.7% | 8.5% | 0.20× | 57.57 |
| 1-4 | 4.2% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 0.92× | 57.56 |
| 2-0 | 1.1% | 1.7% | 11.4% | 0.15× | 57.57 |
| 2-1 | 2.5% | 1.7% | 10.9% | 0.16× | 57.57 |
| 2-2 | 2.9% | 1.7% | 7.1% | 0.24× | 57.56 |
| 2-3 | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.83× | 57.57 |
| 2-4 | 1.4% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 3.66× | 57.57 |
| 3-0 | 0.2% | 1.7% | 3.8% | 0.46× | 57.58 |
| 3-1 | 0.5% | 1.7% | 5.2% | 0.33× | 57.58 |
| 3-2 | 0.6% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 0.92× | 57.58 |
| 3-3 | 0.5% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 3.66× | 57.58 |
| 3-4 | 0.3% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 3.66× | 57.58 |
| 4-0 | 0.0% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 0.61× | 57.58 |
| 4-1 | 0.1% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 0.61× | 57.58 |
| 4-2 | 0.1% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 0.73× | 57.58 |
| 4-3 | 0.1% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 3.66× | 57.58 |
| 4-4 | 0.0% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 3.66× | 57.58 |
DNB 2nd half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dinamo Zagreb (2nd half DNB) | 87.4% | 86.9% | — | — | 1.15 |
| Osijek (2nd half DNB) | 12.6% | 13.1% | — | — | 7.66 |
DNB half time 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dinamo Zagreb leading at HT (DNB) | 82.9% | 86.7% | — | — | 1.15 |
| Osijek leading at HT (DNB) | 17.1% | 13.3% | — | — | 7.54 |
Double chance 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dinamo Zagreb or draw (X2) | 93.0% | 91.4% | 52.6% | 1.74× | 1.09 |
| Osijek or Dinamo Zagreb (12) | 81.0% | 80.6% | 73.9% | 1.09× | 1.24 |
| Osijek or draw (1X) | 26.1% | 26.8% | 73.0% | 0.37× | 3.73 |
Double chance 1HT 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dinamo Zagreb or draw at HT | 89.4% | 88.4% | — | — | 1.13 |
| Osijek or Dinamo Zagreb at HT | 61.8% | 62.0% | — | — | 1.61 |
| Osijek or draw at HT | 48.8% | 52.5% | — | — | 1.91 |
Double chance 1UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dinamo Zagreb or draw (1UP) | 93.0% | 93.7% | — | — | 1.07 |
| Osijek or draw (1UP) | 26.1% | 31.3% | — | — | 3.19 |
Double chance 2HT 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dinamo Zagreb or draw in 2nd half | 90.9% | 91.9% | — | — | 1.09 |
| Osijek or Dinamo Zagreb in 2nd half | 72.2% | 73.6% | — | — | 1.36 |
| Osijek or draw in 2nd half | 36.9% | 40.6% | — | — | 2.46 |
Draw either half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neither half drawn | 46.4% | 50.0% | — | — | 2.00 |
| A half drawn | 53.6% | 50.0% | — | — | 2.00 |
Draw no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dinamo Zagreb (DNB) | 91.3% | 92.7% | 36.3% | 2.55× | 1.08 |
| Osijek (DNB) | 8.7% | 7.3% | 63.7% | 0.11× | 13.67 |
First goal 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dinamo Zagreb to score first | 73.2% | 75.2% | — | — | 1.33 |
| Osijek to score first | 20.4% | 22.3% | — | — | 4.48 |
| No goal scored | 6.4% | 7.5% | — | — | 13.39 |
GG/NG 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both teams to score | 54.9% | 51.6% | 47.4% | 1.09× | 1.94 |
| Both teams to score | 45.1% | 48.4% | 52.6% | 0.92× | 2.07 |
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both score & over 2.5 | 36.0% | 38.6% | 41.2% | 0.94× | 2.59 |
| Not both score & under 2.5 | 32.8% | 34.4% | 37.4% | 0.92× | 2.91 |
| Not both score & over 2.5 | 22.0% | 28.4% | 10.4% | 2.72× | 3.53 |
| Both score & under 2.5 | 9.1% | 8.4% | 11.8% | 0.71× | 11.93 |
GG/NG 2+ 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both teams to score 2+ | 90.4% | 88.9% | 88.2% | 1.01× | 1.13 |
| Both teams to score 2+ | 9.6% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 0.94× | 8.99 |
GG/NG 2nd half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both to score in 2nd half | 75.8% | 75.0% | — | — | 1.33 |
| Both teams to score in 2nd half | 24.2% | 25.0% | — | — | 4.00 |
GG/NG by half 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neither half both score | 64.1% | 66.6% | — | — | 1.50 |
| Both score 2nd half only | 20.6% | 20.8% | — | — | 4.81 |
| Both score 1st half only | 11.7% | 10.7% | — | — | 9.34 |
| Both score in both halves | 3.6% | 5.0% | — | — | 20.01 |
GG/NG half time 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both to score by HT | 84.7% | 82.5% | — | — | 1.21 |
| Both teams to score by HT | 15.3% | 17.5% | — | — | 5.73 |
Goal in both halves 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A goal in each half | 59.6% | 57.4% | — | — | 1.74 |
| A half without a goal | 40.4% | 42.6% | — | — | 2.35 |
Goal range 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2-3 goals | 46.2% | 46.9% | 50.2% | 0.93× | 2.13 |
| 4-6 goals | 32.3% | 30.9% | 29.4% | 1.05× | 3.24 |
| 0-1 goals | 18.1% | 20.2% | 19.0% | 1.07× | 4.94 |
| 7+ goals | 3.4% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 0.78× | 53.80 |
Goals away 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dinamo Zagreb to score 3+ | 42.0% | 37.1% | 12.3% | 3.01× | 2.69 |
| Dinamo Zagreb to score exactly 2 | 26.3% | 27.6% | 22.7% | 1.21× | 3.63 |
| Dinamo Zagreb to score exactly 1 | 22.3% | 22.5% | 32.2% | 0.70× | 4.44 |
| Dinamo Zagreb to score exactly 0 | 9.4% | 8.8% | 33.6% | 0.26× | 11.39 |
Goals home 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Osijek to score exactly 0 | 51.8% | 43.0% | 21.8% | 1.97× | 2.33 |
| Osijek to score exactly 1 | 34.1% | 32.6% | 31.8% | 1.03× | 3.06 |
| Osijek to score exactly 2 | 11.2% | 14.3% | 29.4% | 0.49× | 6.99 |
| Osijek to score 3+ | 2.9% | 6.5% | 18.0% | 0.36× | 15.42 |
Half time 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dinamo Zagreb leading at HT | 51.2% | 47.5% | — | — | 2.10 |
| Draw at HT | 38.2% | 38.0% | — | — | 2.63 |
| Osijek leading at HT | 10.6% | 11.6% | — | — | 8.61 |
Handicap 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dinamo Zagreb -1: 2 | 52.3% | 51.8% | — | — | 1.93 |
| Dinamo Zagreb -1: 1 | 26.1% | 26.6% | — | — | 3.76 |
| Dinamo Zagreb -1: X | 21.6% | 23.6% | — | — | 4.23 |
Handicap 0:1 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dinamo Zagreb (0:1) | 93.0% | 86.8% | 52.6% | 1.65× | 1.15 |
| Draw (0:1) | 4.9% | 6.2% | 20.4% | 0.30× | 16.17 |
| Osijek (0:1) | 2.1% | 6.0% | 27.5% | 0.22× | 16.76 |
Handicap 0:2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dinamo Zagreb (0:2) | 97.9% | 93.8% | 72.5% | 1.29× | 1.07 |
| Draw (0:2) | 1.7% | 3.8% | 18.0% | 0.21× | 26.51 |
| Osijek (0:2) | 0.4% | 3.8% | 10.0% | 0.38× | 26.58 |
Handicap 0:3 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dinamo Zagreb (0:3) | 99.6% | 96.6% | 90.0% | 1.07× | 1.04 |
| Osijek (0:3) | 0.1% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 0.62× | 42.40 |
| Draw (0:3) | 0.3% | 2.4% | 6.6% | 0.36× | 42.39 |
Handicap 0:4 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dinamo Zagreb (0:4) | 99.9% | 98.1% | 96.2% | 1.02× | 1.02 |
| Osijek (0:4) | 0.0% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.86× | 81.96 |
| Draw (0:4) | 0.1% | 1.2% | 2.8% | 0.43× | 81.95 |
Handicap 1:0 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dinamo Zagreb (1:0) | 52.3% | 53.3% | 19.0% | 2.81× | 1.88 |
| Osijek (1:0) | 26.1% | 25.1% | 73.0% | 0.34× | 3.98 |
| Draw (1:0) | 21.6% | 21.7% | 8.5% | 2.55× | 4.60 |
Handicap 2:0 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Osijek (2:0) | 47.7% | 47.5% | 81.0% | 0.59× | 2.11 |
| Dinamo Zagreb (2:0) | 30.1% | 31.4% | 6.6% | 4.72× | 3.19 |
| Draw (2:0) | 22.2% | 18.9% | 12.8% | 1.48× | 5.29 |
Highest scoring half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd half highest scoring | 49.3% | 48.2% | — | — | 2.07 |
| Halves equal | 25.5% | 26.5% | — | — | 3.78 |
| 1st half highest scoring | 25.2% | 26.5% | — | — | 3.78 |
Home clean sheet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Osijek to concede | 90.6% | 93.3% | 66.4% | 1.41× | 1.07 |
| Osijek clean sheet | 9.4% | 6.7% | 33.6% | 0.20× | 14.84 |
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Osijek to concede in 1st half | 61.1% | 64.0% | — | — | 1.56 |
| Osijek clean sheet in 1st half | 38.9% | 36.0% | — | — | 2.78 |
Home clean sheet 2HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Osijek to concede in 2nd half | 75.7% | 82.2% | — | — | 1.22 |
| Osijek clean sheet in 2nd half | 24.3% | 17.8% | — | — | 5.62 |
Home goals O/U 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Osijek under 3.5 goals | 99.5% | 96.3% | 91.5% | 1.05× | 1.04 |
| Osijek under 2.5 goals | 97.1% | 96.3% | 82.0% | 1.17× | 1.04 |
| Osijek under 1.5 goals | 85.9% | 87.2% | 53.1% | 1.64× | 1.15 |
| Osijek under 0.5 goals | 51.8% | 52.8% | 21.8% | 2.42× | 1.90 |
| Osijek over 0.5 goals | 48.2% | 47.2% | 78.2% | 0.60× | 2.12 |
| Osijek over 1.5 goals | 14.1% | 12.8% | 46.9% | 0.27× | 7.80 |
| Osijek over 2.5 goals | 2.9% | 3.7% | 18.0% | 0.21× | 26.97 |
| Osijek over 3.5 goals | 0.5% | 3.7% | 8.5% | 0.43× | 27.07 |
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Osijek under 1.5 in 1st half | 96.7% | 97.4% | — | — | 1.03 |
| Osijek under 0.5 in 1st half | 75.4% | 77.0% | — | — | 1.30 |
| Osijek over 0.5 in 1st half | 24.6% | 23.0% | — | — | 4.34 |
| Osijek over 1.5 in 1st half | 3.3% | 2.6% | — | — | 38.71 |
Home highest scoring half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Osijek scores equally in both | 57.5% | 57.1% | — | — | 1.75 |
| Osijek scores more in 2nd half | 24.7% | 21.6% | — | — | 4.63 |
| Osijek scores more in 1st half | 17.8% | 14.4% | — | — | 6.95 |
Home no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dinamo Zagreb (home no bet) | 79.5% | 79.1% | 50.9% | 1.55× | 1.26 |
| Draw (home no bet) | 20.5% | 20.9% | 49.1% | 0.43× | 4.79 |
Home Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Osijek even goals | 63.4% | 55.8% | 57.8% | 0.97× | 1.79 |
| Osijek odd goals | 36.6% | 44.2% | 42.2% | 1.05× | 2.26 |
HT correct score 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HT 0-0 | 29.6% | 28.9% | — | — | 3.46 |
| HT 0-1 | 27.4% | 28.9% | — | — | 3.47 |
| HT 0-2 | 13.1% | 10.9% | — | — | 9.15 |
| HT 1-0 | 8.0% | 7.1% | — | — | 14.01 |
| HT 1-1 | 8.1% | 7.1% | — | — | 14.01 |
| Any other HT score | 7.3% | 7.1% | — | — | 14.02 |
| HT 1-2 | 3.7% | 2.3% | — | — | 43.43 |
| HT 2-0 | 1.2% | 2.3% | — | — | 43.62 |
| HT 2-1 | 1.1% | 2.3% | — | — | 43.62 |
| HT 2-2 | 0.5% | 2.3% | — | — | 43.67 |
HT/FT 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dinamo Zagreb at HT / Dinamo Zagreb at FT | 47.6% | 44.7% | — | — | 2.24 |
| Draw at HT / Dinamo Zagreb at FT | 23.0% | 21.8% | — | — | 4.60 |
| Draw at HT / Draw at FT | 12.4% | 12.7% | — | — | 7.90 |
| Osijek at HT / Osijek at FT | 3.8% | 3.5% | — | — | 28.78 |
| Osijek at HT / Draw at FT | 3.5% | 3.5% | — | — | 28.78 |
| Osijek at HT / Dinamo Zagreb at FT | 3.3% | 3.5% | — | — | 28.79 |
| Dinamo Zagreb at HT / Draw at FT | 3.1% | 3.5% | — | — | 28.80 |
| Draw at HT / Osijek at FT | 2.8% | 3.5% | — | — | 28.81 |
| Dinamo Zagreb at HT / Osijek at FT | 0.5% | 3.5% | — | — | 28.90 |
Last goal 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dinamo Zagreb to score last | 73.6% | 72.8% | — | — | 1.37 |
| Osijek to score last | 20.0% | 13.9% | — | — | 7.19 |
| No goal scored | 6.4% | 7.5% | — | — | 13.39 |
Lead at any time 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Either team to lead by 1 at any time | 93.6% | 92.6% | — | — | 1.08 |
| Dinamo Zagreb to lead by 1 at any time | 82.3% | 87.2% | — | — | 1.15 |
| Either team to lead by 2 at any time | 61.7% | 61.3% | — | — | 1.63 |
| Dinamo Zagreb to lead by 2 at any time | 57.4% | 55.1% | — | — | 1.82 |
| Either team to lead by 3 at any time | 33.5% | 29.4% | — | — | 3.40 |
| Dinamo Zagreb to lead by 3 at any time | 32.8% | 29.4% | — | — | 3.41 |
| Osijek to lead by 1 at any time | 22.4% | 19.6% | — | — | 5.11 |
| Osijek to lead by 2 at any time | 4.5% | 1.7% | — | — | 60.03 |
| Osijek to lead by 3 at any time | 0.7% | 1.6% | — | — | 63.73 |
Multi goal 15
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1-5 goals | 85.1% | 87.4% | 87.2% | 1.00× | 1.14 |
| 2-6 goals | 78.5% | 78.5% | 79.1% | 0.99× | 1.27 |
| 1-4 goals | 74.9% | 72.3% | 80.6% | 0.90× | 1.38 |
| 2-5 goals | 73.3% | 72.3% | 76.3% | 0.95× | 1.38 |
| 2-4 goals | 63.1% | 63.1% | 69.7% | 0.91× | 1.58 |
| 1-3 goals | 58.0% | 59.3% | 61.1% | 0.97× | 1.69 |
| 3-6 goals | 54.7% | 53.4% | 49.3% | 1.08× | 1.87 |
| 3-5 goals | 49.5% | 48.5% | 46.4% | 1.04× | 2.06 |
| 2-3 goals | 46.2% | 48.4% | 50.2% | 0.96× | 2.06 |
| 3-4 goals | 39.3% | 39.3% | 39.8% | 0.99× | 2.55 |
| 1-2 goals | 35.5% | 39.3% | 41.2% | 0.95× | 2.55 |
| 4-6 goals | 32.3% | 35.3% | 29.4% | 1.20× | 2.83 |
| 4-5 goals | 27.1% | 30.6% | 26.5% | 1.15× | 3.26 |
| 5-6 goals | 15.3% | 18.9% | 10.0% | 1.89× | 5.31 |
| 7+ goals | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.09× | 38.86 |
Never down 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dinamo Zagreb never behind | 71.2% | 76.7% | — | — | 1.30 |
| Osijek never behind | 11.3% | 12.6% | — | — | 7.95 |
Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odd number of goals | 46.8% | 50.9% | 39.8% | 1.28× | 1.96 |
| Even number of goals | 53.2% | 49.1% | 60.2% | 0.82× | 2.04 |
Odd/Even 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even goals in 1st half | 54.8% | 51.7% | — | — | 1.93 |
| Odd goals in 1st half | 45.2% | 48.3% | — | — | 2.07 |
Odd/Even 2HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even goals in 2nd half | 52.4% | 52.0% | — | — | 1.92 |
| Odd goals in 2nd half | 47.6% | 48.0% | — | — | 2.08 |
Over/Under 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 93.6% | 92.2% | 91.9% | 1.00× | 1.09 |
| Under 5.5 goals | 91.5% | 92.2% | 94.8% | 0.97× | 1.09 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 81.9% | 82.1% | 81.0% | 1.01× | 1.22 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 81.3% | 82.1% | 88.2% | 0.93× | 1.22 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 64.4% | 61.9% | 68.7% | 0.90× | 1.61 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58.1% | 58.5% | 51.2% | 1.14× | 1.71 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 41.9% | 41.5% | 48.8% | 0.85× | 2.41 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 35.6% | 38.1% | 31.3% | 1.22× | 2.63 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 18.7% | 17.9% | 11.8% | 1.51× | 5.60 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 18.1% | 17.9% | 19.0% | 0.94× | 5.60 |
| Over 5.5 goals | 8.5% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 1.50× | 12.81 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 0.97× | 12.82 |
Over/Under (whole line) 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6 (void on exactly 6) | 96.4% | 97.1% | 97.6% | 1.00× | 1.03 |
| Under 5 (void on exactly 5) | 90.5% | 92.4% | 94.4% | 0.98× | 1.08 |
| Under 4 (void on exactly 4) | 77.5% | 75.8% | 85.3% | 0.89× | 1.32 |
| Over 2 (void on exactly 2) | 76.2% | 75.8% | 73.0% | 1.04× | 1.32 |
| Under 3 (void on exactly 3) | 54.1% | 52.4% | 60.9% | 0.86× | 1.91 |
| Over 3 (void on exactly 3) | 45.9% | 47.6% | 39.1% | 1.22× | 2.10 |
| Under 2 (void on exactly 2) | 23.8% | 24.2% | 27.0% | 0.89× | 4.14 |
| Over 4 (void on exactly 4) | 22.5% | 24.2% | 14.7% | 1.64× | 4.14 |
| Over 5 (void on exactly 5) | 9.5% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 1.37× | 13.11 |
| Over 6 (void on exactly 6) | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.17× | 35.06 |
Over/Under 1HT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 in 1st half | 87.4% | 89.0% | — | — | 1.12 |
| Over 0.5 in 1st half | 70.4% | 71.2% | — | — | 1.41 |
| Under 1.5 in 1st half | 65.0% | 69.0% | — | — | 1.45 |
| Over 1.5 in 1st half | 35.0% | 31.0% | — | — | 3.22 |
| Under 0.5 in 1st half | 29.6% | 28.8% | — | — | 3.47 |
| Over 2.5 in 1st half | 12.6% | 11.0% | — | — | 9.09 |
Over/Under 2HT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 in 2nd half | 82.8% | 82.8% | — | — | 1.21 |
| Under 2.5 in 2nd half | 73.3% | 77.7% | — | — | 1.29 |
| Over 1.5 in 2nd half | 53.9% | 53.4% | — | — | 1.87 |
| Under 1.5 in 2nd half | 46.1% | 46.6% | — | — | 2.15 |
| Over 2.5 in 2nd half | 26.7% | 22.3% | — | — | 4.49 |
| Under 0.5 in 2nd half | 17.2% | 17.2% | — | — | 5.80 |
Score both halves 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Osijek not to score in both halves | 92.3% | 90.3% | — | — | 1.11 |
| Dinamo Zagreb not to score in both halves | 53.7% | 55.9% | — | — | 1.79 |
| Dinamo Zagreb to score in both halves | 46.3% | 44.1% | — | — | 2.27 |
| Osijek to score in both halves | 7.7% | 9.7% | — | — | 10.26 |
Teams to score 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Only Dinamo Zagreb scores | 45.4% | 50.4% | 14.2% | 3.54× | 1.99 |
| Both teams score | 45.1% | 50.4% | 52.6% | 0.96× | 1.99 |
| Neither team scores | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 0.88× | 14.03 |
| Only Osijek scores | 3.0% | 4.6% | 26.1% | 0.18× | 21.55 |
Total goals 7
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exactly 2 goals | 23.8% | 22.4% | 30.3% | 0.74× | 4.46 |
| Exactly 3 goals | 22.4% | 22.4% | 20.4% | 1.10× | 4.46 |
| Exactly 4 goals | 16.9% | 17.6% | 19.9% | 0.88× | 5.70 |
| Exactly 1 goals | 11.7% | 12.0% | 11.4% | 1.06× | 8.30 |
| Exactly 5 goals | 10.2% | 12.0% | 7.1% | 1.69× | 8.31 |
| 6 or more goals | 8.5% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 1.50× | 12.83 |
| Exactly 0 goals | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 0.97× | 12.84 |
Total goals 1st half 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 goal in 1st half | 35.5% | 37.1% | — | — | 2.70 |
| No goals in 1st half | 29.6% | 28.6% | — | — | 3.50 |
| 2 goals in 1st half | 22.3% | 21.7% | — | — | 4.61 |
| 3+ goals in 1st half | 12.6% | 10.9% | — | — | 9.18 |
Total goals 2nd half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2+ goals in 2nd half | 53.9% | 51.5% | — | — | 1.94 |
| 1 goal in 2nd half | 28.9% | 29.8% | — | — | 3.35 |
| No goals in 2nd half | 17.2% | 17.2% | — | — | 5.81 |
Win both halves 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Osijek not to win both halves | 99.0% | 97.3% | — | — | 1.03 |
| Dinamo Zagreb not to win both halves | 67.3% | 70.1% | — | — | 1.43 |
| Dinamo Zagreb to win both halves | 32.7% | 29.9% | — | — | 3.35 |
| Osijek to win both halves | 1.0% | 2.7% | — | — | 36.86 |
Win either half 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dinamo Zagreb to win either half | 81.5% | 82.8% | — | — | 1.21 |
| Osijek to win neither half | 81.3% | 82.8% | — | — | 1.21 |
| Osijek to win either half | 18.7% | 17.2% | — | — | 5.81 |
| Dinamo Zagreb to win neither half | 18.5% | 17.2% | — | — | 5.82 |
Win to nil 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Osijek not to win to nil | 97.0% | 96.2% | 73.9% | 1.30× | 1.04 |
| Dinamo Zagreb not to win to nil | 54.6% | 54.6% | 85.8% | 0.64× | 1.83 |
| Dinamo Zagreb to win to nil | 45.4% | 45.4% | 14.2% | 3.19× | 2.20 |
| Osijek to win to nil | 3.0% | 3.8% | 26.1% | 0.15× | 26.04 |
Winning margin 7
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dinamo Zagreb by 3+ | 30.1% | 27.5% | 6.6% | 4.15× | 3.63 |
| Dinamo Zagreb by 2 | 22.2% | 24.2% | 12.8% | 1.89× | 4.14 |
| Dinamo Zagreb by 1 | 21.6% | 24.2% | 8.5% | 2.83× | 4.14 |
| Draw | 19.0% | 16.9% | 26.1% | 0.65× | 5.92 |
| Osijek by 1 | 4.9% | 2.8% | 20.4% | 0.14× | 35.48 |
| Osijek by 2 | 1.7% | 2.8% | 18.0% | 0.16× | 35.57 |
| Osijek by 3+ | 0.4% | 2.8% | 10.0% | 0.28× | 35.60 |