Palermo v Cremonese — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Tuesday 8 December 2026 · ITA-Serie B · 2627

ITA-Serie B results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Palermo

20:00 UTC

Cremonese

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 25 Oct, 11:02 · 1,065h before kick-off

Palermo win

60.4%

model 60.1%

Draw

21.7%

model 23.8%

Cremonese win

17.9%

model 16.1%

602218

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (270 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 11.3%
2-0 10.7%
2-1 9.9%
1-0 9.7%
3-0 7.0%

Goals

Over 2.5	55.1%	Under 2.5	44.9%
BTTS yes	53.2%	BTTS no	46.8%
Palermo 1+	85.9%	Palermo 2+	58.2%
Cremonese 1+	60.6%	Cremonese 2+	23.9%

Expected goals 1.96 – 0.93. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

47/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

98%

★ Best pick

Palermo (-0.5)

Asian handicap · usually 43%

63.6% fair odds 1.57

strong signal · 1134 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Cremonese not to score in both halves

Score both halves

84.3% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 828 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Palermo carry the stronger rating, 1632 Elo against 1390.
Form is good: 2.40 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Palermo have an estimated 60.4% win probability, against 21.7% for the draw and 17.9% for Cremonese. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.96 for Palermo and 0.93 for Cremonese.

Why Palermo

Palermo carry the stronger rating, 1632 Elo against 1390. Form is good: 2.40 points a match from the last five.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 21.7%. Draws run at 32% in this competition.

Why Cremonese can win

Nothing in the data singles out Cremonese.

Key players

Cremonese's leading contributors by expected goal involvements a match: Federico Bonazzoli (0.32), Jamie Vardy (0.29), Jari Vandeputte (0.21).

Availability

No lineup on record for Palermo, so availability is unknown. 1 of Cremonese's top three contributors did not start their last match. Cremonese had a player sent off last time out, worth about 0.07 expected goal involvements a match. Reported unavailable for Cremonese: Alberto Grassi (suspended).

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Palermo: 52% possession, 14.6 shots a match, 13.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Cremonese: 54% possession, 9.2 shots a match, 9.0 faced, 0.13 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-25 14:59 · team_stats 2026-10-25 06:07 · availability 2026-10-25 15:02 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Palermo are the model's most likely outcome at 60.4%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 11.3%. Confidence 47/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the chances say

Cremonese are conceding sharply more than the chances against them merit — 5.2 goals above expected, which tends to correct.

LWLLDLLWWL last 10 scored 10 from 8.8 xG conceded 17 from 11.8 xG

Finishing swings far more than chance creation, so a gap this size usually narrows. Over ten matches it is suggestive, not settled — a genuinely elite finisher beats expected goals for years.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	602416	1.96–0.93	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	582517	1.89–0.94	1-1 12%	54%	53%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palermo to win	58.2%	54.0%	42.7%	1.26×	1.85
Draw	24.6%	24.5%	31.9%	0.77×	4.09
Cremonese to win	17.2%	19.4%	25.5%	0.76×	5.16

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palermo & not both score	31.8%	29.6%	23.9%	1.24×	3.38
Palermo & both teams score	26.4%	25.2%	18.9%	1.33×	3.98
Draw & both teams score	17.5%	18.0%	22.9%	0.78×	5.57
Cremonese & both teams score	9.2%	8.3%	12.3%	0.68×	12.00
Cremonese & not both score	8.0%	8.3%	13.3%	0.63×	12.01
Draw & not both score	7.1%	8.3%	9.1%	0.92×	12.01

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palermo & over 1.5	48.3%	45.1%	31.8%	1.42×	2.22
Palermo & over 2.5	37.8%	34.9%	24.4%	1.43×	2.87
Palermo & under 3.5	36.9%	34.9%	31.9%	1.09×	2.87
Palermo & over 3.5	21.3%	21.6%	11.0%	1.97×	4.63
Palermo & under 2.5	20.4%	21.6%	18.4%	1.17×	4.63
Draw & under 2.5	18.9%	18.0%	23.7%	0.76×	5.56
Draw & under 3.5	18.9%	18.0%	23.7%	0.76×	5.56
Draw & over 1.5	17.5%	18.0%	22.9%	0.79×	5.56
Cremonese & over 1.5	12.9%	12.8%	18.8%	0.68×	7.79
Cremonese & under 3.5	12.8%	12.8%	19.9%	0.64×	7.79
Cremonese & over 2.5	10.2%	12.8%	15.1%	0.85×	7.79
Palermo & under 1.5	9.9%	7.9%	11.1%	0.71×	12.63
Draw & under 1.5	7.1%	7.9%	9.1%	0.87×	12.63
Cremonese & under 2.5	7.0%	7.9%	10.6%	0.75×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	5.7%	7.9%	8.3%	0.95×	12.63
Draw & over 3.5	5.7%	7.9%	8.3%	0.95×	12.63
Cremonese & under 1.5	4.3%	4.8%	6.8%	0.70×	20.81
Cremonese & over 3.5	4.4%	4.8%	5.7%	0.84×	20.81

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palermo (1UP)	71.2%	75.1%	—	—	1.33
Cremonese (1UP)	35.3%	33.9%	—	—	2.95

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palermo (2UP)	58.2%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Cremonese (2UP)	17.2%	17.1%	—	—	5.85

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palermo to win 2nd half	47.2%	45.6%	—	—	2.20
2nd half drawn	34.0%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
Cremonese to win 2nd half	18.8%	18.0%	—	—	5.55

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cremonese under 1.5 in 2nd half	88.9%	86.9%	—	—	1.15
Cremonese under 0.5 in 2nd half	56.8%	54.3%	—	—	1.84
Cremonese over 0.5 in 2nd half	43.2%	45.7%	—	—	2.19
Cremonese over 1.5 in 2nd half	11.1%	13.1%	—	—	7.63

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palermo under 1.5 in 2nd half	70.8%	74.2%	—	—	1.35
Palermo over 0.5 in 2nd half	65.8%	70.7%	—	—	1.42
Palermo under 0.5 in 2nd half	34.2%	29.3%	—	—	3.41
Palermo over 1.5 in 2nd half	29.2%	25.8%	—	—	3.88

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cremonese (+2.5)	83.3%	82.6%	93.3%	0.89×	1.21
Palermo (+0.5)	82.8%	82.6%	74.5%	1.11×	1.21
Cremonese (+1.5)	65.0%	68.7%	80.3%	0.85×	1.46
Palermo (-0.5)	58.2%	57.0%	42.7%	1.34×	1.75
Cremonese (+0.5)	41.8%	43.0%	57.3%	0.75×	2.33
Palermo (-1.5)	35.0%	31.3%	19.7%	1.59×	3.19
Cremonese (-0.5)	17.2%	17.4%	25.5%	0.68×	5.73
Palermo (-2.5)	16.7%	17.4%	6.7%	2.59×	5.73

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cremonese to concede	84.8%	81.6%	77.7%	1.05×	1.23
Cremonese clean sheet	15.2%	18.4%	22.3%	0.83×	5.43

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cremonese to concede in 1st half	55.5%	56.9%	—	—	1.76
Cremonese clean sheet in 1st half	44.5%	43.1%	—	—	2.32

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cremonese to concede in 2nd half	65.8%	65.7%	—	—	1.52
Cremonese clean sheet in 2nd half	34.2%	34.3%	—	—	2.91

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cremonese under 6.5 corners	80.4%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
Cremonese over 2.5 corners	76.7%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
Cremonese under 5.5 corners	69.6%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Cremonese over 3.5 corners	60.6%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Cremonese under 4.5 corners	55.6%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Cremonese over 4.5 corners	44.4%	42.8%	—	—	2.33
Cremonese under 3.5 corners	39.4%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Cremonese over 5.5 corners	30.4%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
Cremonese under 2.5 corners	23.3%	24.0%	—	—	4.18
Cremonese over 6.5 corners	19.6%	18.6%	—	—	5.37

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cremonese under 3.5 goals	98.4%	97.5%	98.1%	0.99×	1.03
Cremonese under 2.5 goals	93.0%	92.3%	90.8%	1.02×	1.08
Cremonese under 1.5 goals	75.6%	76.2%	69.4%	1.10×	1.31
Cremonese over 0.5 goals	61.1%	63.2%	67.1%	0.94×	1.58
Cremonese under 0.5 goals	38.9%	36.8%	32.9%	1.12×	2.72
Cremonese over 1.5 goals	24.4%	23.8%	30.6%	0.78×	4.21
Cremonese over 2.5 goals	7.0%	7.7%	9.2%	0.83×	13.06
Cremonese over 3.5 goals	1.6%	2.5%	1.9%	1.34×	39.98

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cremonese under 1.5 in 1st half	94.4%	93.9%	—	—	1.07
Cremonese under 0.5 in 1st half	68.6%	70.0%	—	—	1.43
Cremonese over 0.5 in 1st half	31.5%	30.0%	—	—	3.34
Cremonese over 1.5 in 1st half	5.6%	6.1%	—	—	16.31

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cremonese scores equally in both	47.7%	48.2%	—	—	2.08
Cremonese scores more in 2nd half	32.6%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
Cremonese scores more in 1st half	19.7%	18.2%	—	—	5.48

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palermo (away no bet)	70.3%	68.3%	57.3%	1.19×	1.46
Draw (away no bet)	29.7%	31.7%	42.7%	0.74×	3.16

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cremonese even goals	57.6%	56.9%	55.4%	1.03×	1.76
Cremonese odd goals	42.4%	43.1%	44.6%	0.97×	2.32

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	83.7%	82.9%	—	—	1.21
Both halves over 1.5 goals	16.3%	17.1%	—	—	5.84

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	66.5%	68.3%	—	—	1.46
Both halves under 1.5 goals	33.5%	31.7%	—	—	3.16

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	59.8%	55.2%	—	—	1.81
Palermo to score 2+ in a row	48.8%	46.2%	—	—	2.16
Either team to score 3+ in a row	24.6%	19.7%	—	—	5.09
Palermo to score 3+ in a row	21.5%	19.6%	—	—	5.11
Cremonese to score 2+ in a row	16.6%	16.2%	—	—	6.18
Cremonese to score 3+ in a row	3.4%	2.6%	—	—	38.73

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palermo corners (+3.5)	88.6%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Palermo corners (+2.5)	82.7%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Cremonese corners (+3.5)	75.1%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Palermo corners (+1.5)	74.9%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Cremonese corners (+2.5)	66.1%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
Cremonese corners (+1.5)	55.9%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Palermo corners (-1.5)	44.1%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Palermo corners (-2.5)	33.9%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
Cremonese corners (-1.5)	25.1%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Palermo corners (-3.5)	24.9%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Cremonese corners (-2.5)	17.3%	20.2%	—	—	4.95
Cremonese corners (-3.5)	11.4%	15.5%	—	—	6.45

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	38.3%	34.0%	—	—	2.94
12+ corners	31.8%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
9-11 corners	29.9%	31.2%	—	—	3.20

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	76.1%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Over 7.5 corners	71.9%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Under 11.5 corners	68.2%	67.8%	—	—	1.47
Over 8.5 corners	61.7%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Under 10.5 corners	59.0%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Over 9.5 corners	51.2%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Under 9.5 corners	48.8%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Over 10.5 corners	41.0%	42.1%	—	—	2.38
Under 8.5 corners	38.3%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Over 11.5 corners	31.8%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Under 7.5 corners	28.1%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Over 12.5 corners	23.9%	23.4%	—	—	4.27

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.1%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	11.8%	11.5%	14.7%	0.78×	8.72
2-0	10.5%	11.5%	7.5%	1.54×	8.72
1-0	9.9%	7.4%	11.1%	0.67×	13.51
2-1	9.9%	7.4%	9.7%	0.76×	13.51
0-0	7.1%	7.4%	9.1%	0.81×	13.51
3-0	6.6%	7.4%	4.0%	1.86×	13.51
3-1	6.2%	7.4%	4.6%	1.61×	13.51
1-2	5.0%	1.7%	7.3%	0.23×	58.29
0-1	4.3%	1.7%	6.8%	0.25×	58.29
0-2	2.6%	1.7%	3.9%	0.44×	58.30
0-3	0.8%	1.7%	2.2%	0.77×	58.31
0-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.7%	2.29×	58.32
1-3	1.6%	1.7%	2.6%	0.66×	58.31
1-4	0.4%	1.7%	0.4%	4.59×	58.32
2-2	4.7%	1.7%	7.3%	0.23×	58.29
2-3	1.5%	1.7%	1.5%	1.15×	58.31
2-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.1%	13.77×	58.32
3-2	2.9%	1.7%	2.5%	0.69×	58.30
3-3	0.9%	1.7%	1.1%	1.53×	58.31
3-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.4%	4.59×	58.32
4-0	3.1%	1.7%	1.1%	1.53×	58.30
4-1	2.9%	1.7%	0.7%	2.30×	58.30
4-2	1.4%	1.7%	1.0%	1.72×	58.31
4-3	0.4%	1.7%	0.2%	6.88×	58.32
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.1%	13.77×	58.32
Any other score	4.5%	1.7%	2.1%	0.81×	58.29

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palermo (2nd half DNB)	71.5%	71.0%	—	—	1.41
Cremonese (2nd half DNB)	28.5%	29.0%	—	—	3.44

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palermo leading at HT (DNB)	73.1%	74.2%	—	—	1.35
Cremonese leading at HT (DNB)	26.9%	25.8%	—	—	3.87

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palermo or draw (1X)	82.8%	80.6%	74.5%	1.08×	1.24
Palermo or Cremonese (12)	75.4%	75.5%	68.1%	1.11×	1.32
Cremonese or draw (X2)	41.8%	46.0%	57.3%	0.80×	2.17

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palermo or draw at HT	84.1%	84.0%	—	—	1.19
Palermo or Cremonese at HT	59.0%	57.7%	—	—	1.73
Cremonese or draw at HT	56.9%	57.6%	—	—	1.74

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palermo or draw (1UP)	82.8%	88.7%	—	—	1.13
Cremonese or draw (1UP)	41.8%	52.6%	—	—	1.90

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palermo or draw in 2nd half	81.2%	82.0%	—	—	1.22
Palermo or Cremonese in 2nd half	66.1%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
Cremonese or draw in 2nd half	52.8%	54.4%	—	—	1.84

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	59.6%	58.8%	—	—	1.70
Neither half drawn	40.4%	41.2%	—	—	2.43

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palermo (DNB)	77.2%	74.8%	62.6%	1.19×	1.34
Cremonese (DNB)	22.8%	25.2%	37.4%	0.67×	3.96

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palermo to score first	61.9%	64.0%	—	—	1.56
Cremonese to score first	31.0%	27.6%	—	—	3.62
No goal scored	7.1%	7.4%	—	—	13.46

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	53.1%	51.3%	53.9%	0.95×	1.95
Not both teams to score	46.9%	48.7%	46.1%	1.06×	2.05

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	41.3%	41.6%	39.4%	1.06×	2.41
Not both score & under 2.5	34.5%	34.5%	37.9%	0.91×	2.89
Not both score & over 2.5	12.4%	12.4%	8.3%	1.48×	8.09
Both score & under 2.5	11.8%	12.4%	14.7%	0.84×	8.09

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	86.3%	85.6%	86.1%	0.99×	1.17
Both teams to score 2+	13.7%	14.4%	13.9%	1.03×	6.94

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	71.1%	73.6%	—	—	1.36
Both teams to score in 2nd half	28.9%	26.4%	—	—	3.79

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	58.4%	60.0%	—	—	1.67
Both score 2nd half only	23.9%	21.0%	—	—	4.76
Both score 1st half only	12.7%	10.8%	—	—	9.27
Both score in both halves	5.0%	5.0%	—	—	20.08

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	82.3%	83.1%	—	—	1.20
Both teams to score by HT	17.7%	16.9%	—	—	5.92

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	56.6%	57.0%	—	—	1.76
A half without a goal	43.4%	43.0%	—	—	2.32

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	47.2%	47.2%	48.6%	0.97×	2.12
4-6 goals	28.9%	26.6%	23.5%	1.13×	3.76
0-1 goals	21.4%	22.9%	26.8%	0.86×	4.37
7+ goals	2.5%	1.8%	1.4%	1.35×	54.28

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cremonese to score exactly 0	38.9%	35.9%	32.9%	1.09×	2.78
Cremonese to score exactly 1	36.7%	35.9%	36.6%	0.98×	2.78
Cremonese to score exactly 2	17.3%	19.6%	21.5%	0.91×	5.11
Cremonese to score 3+	7.0%	8.5%	9.2%	0.93×	11.70

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palermo to score 3+	29.2%	26.6%	16.2%	1.64×	3.77
Palermo to score exactly 1	28.6%	26.6%	35.9%	0.74×	3.77
Palermo to score exactly 2	27.0%	26.5%	25.9%	1.02×	3.77
Palermo to score exactly 0	15.2%	18.7%	22.3%	0.84×	5.34

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palermo leading at HT	43.2%	42.4%	—	—	2.36
Draw at HT	41.0%	42.3%	—	—	2.37
Cremonese leading at HT	15.9%	16.0%	—	—	6.27

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palermo -1: 2	41.8%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
Palermo -1: 1	35.0%	30.1%	—	—	3.33
Palermo -1: X	23.2%	23.5%	—	—	4.25

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cremonese (0:1)	41.8%	42.6%	57.3%	0.74×	2.35
Palermo (0:1)	35.0%	30.1%	19.7%	1.53×	3.32
Draw (0:1)	23.2%	24.2%	23.2%	1.05×	4.13

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cremonese (0:2)	65.0%	72.1%	80.3%	0.90×	1.39
Draw (0:2)	18.3%	15.3%	13.1%	1.17×	6.55
Palermo (0:2)	16.7%	15.3%	6.7%	2.27×	6.56

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cremonese (0:3)	83.3%	85.4%	93.3%	0.92×	1.17
Draw (0:3)	10.1%	9.9%	4.6%	2.15×	10.12
Palermo (0:3)	6.6%	5.8%	2.2%	2.59×	17.24

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cremonese (0:4)	93.4%	94.6%	97.8%	0.97×	1.06
Draw (0:4)	4.4%	1.2%	1.4%	0.89×	81.68
Palermo (0:4)	2.2%	1.2%	1.0%	1.23×	81.93

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palermo (1:0)	82.8%	81.4%	74.5%	1.09×	1.23
Draw (1:0)	11.0%	12.7%	15.7%	0.81×	7.88
Cremonese (1:0)	6.2%	6.9%	10.0%	0.69×	14.50

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palermo (2:0)	93.8%	94.0%	90.0%	1.04×	1.06
Draw (2:0)	4.6%	2.3%	6.5%	0.35×	43.60
Cremonese (2:0)	1.6%	2.3%	3.6%	0.63×	43.79

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	46.9%	48.7%	—	—	2.05
1st half highest scoring	26.8%	26.2%	—	—	3.82
Halves equal	26.3%	26.2%	—	—	3.82

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palermo to concede	61.1%	63.6%	67.1%	0.95×	1.57
Palermo clean sheet	38.9%	36.4%	32.9%	1.11×	2.75

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palermo clean sheet in 1st half	68.6%	70.4%	—	—	1.42
Palermo to concede in 1st half	31.5%	29.6%	—	—	3.37

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palermo clean sheet in 2nd half	56.8%	54.6%	—	—	1.83
Palermo to concede in 2nd half	43.2%	45.4%	—	—	2.20

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palermo over 2.5 corners	85.5%	86.2%	—	—	1.16
Palermo over 3.5 corners	73.2%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Palermo under 6.5 corners	67.5%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Palermo over 4.5 corners	59.0%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Palermo under 5.5 corners	55.1%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Palermo over 5.5 corners	44.9%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Palermo under 4.5 corners	41.0%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Palermo over 6.5 corners	32.5%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Palermo under 3.5 corners	26.8%	28.1%	—	—	3.55
Palermo under 2.5 corners	14.5%	13.8%	—	—	7.26

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palermo under 3.5 goals	87.7%	87.3%	95.9%	0.91×	1.15
Palermo over 0.5 goals	84.8%	82.2%	77.7%	1.06×	1.22
Palermo under 2.5 goals	70.8%	74.2%	83.8%	0.89×	1.35
Palermo over 1.5 goals	56.2%	58.6%	42.0%	1.40×	1.71
Palermo under 1.5 goals	43.8%	41.4%	58.0%	0.71×	2.42
Palermo over 2.5 goals	29.2%	25.8%	16.2%	1.59×	3.88
Palermo under 0.5 goals	15.2%	17.8%	22.3%	0.80×	5.63
Palermo over 3.5 goals	12.3%	12.7%	4.1%	3.10×	7.85

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palermo under 1.5 in 1st half	80.5%	83.7%	—	—	1.20
Palermo over 0.5 in 1st half	55.5%	56.8%	—	—	1.76
Palermo under 0.5 in 1st half	44.5%	43.2%	—	—	2.32
Palermo over 1.5 in 1st half	19.5%	16.3%	—	—	6.13

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palermo scores more in 2nd half	41.3%	42.0%	—	—	2.38
Palermo scores equally in both	31.6%	33.2%	—	—	3.02
Palermo scores more in 1st half	27.2%	27.8%	—	—	3.59

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	58.9%	56.4%	55.5%	1.02×	1.77
Cremonese (home no bet)	41.1%	43.6%	44.5%	0.98×	2.30

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palermo even goals	51.2%	50.7%	50.9%	1.00×	1.97
Palermo odd goals	48.8%	49.3%	49.1%	1.00×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	30.7%	33.1%	—	—	3.02
HT 1-0	24.5%	24.4%	—	—	4.11
HT 0-1	11.3%	11.0%	—	—	9.11
HT 2-0	10.0%	11.0%	—	—	9.13
HT 1-1	9.5%	6.9%	—	—	14.43
Any other HT score	5.5%	6.9%	—	—	14.49
HT 2-1	3.8%	2.4%	—	—	41.96
HT 0-2	2.2%	2.4%	—	—	42.07
HT 1-2	1.8%	2.4%	—	—	42.09
HT 2-2	0.7%	2.4%	—	—	42.16

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palermo at HT / Palermo at FT	36.8%	40.9%	—	—	2.45
Draw at HT / Palermo at FT	18.6%	16.8%	—	—	5.95
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	15.3%	16.8%	—	—	5.97
Cremonese at HT / Cremonese at FT	8.7%	6.1%	—	—	16.40
Draw at HT / Cremonese at FT	7.1%	6.1%	—	—	16.44
Palermo at HT / Draw at FT	5.0%	3.5%	—	—	28.79
Cremonese at HT / Draw at FT	4.3%	3.5%	—	—	28.81
Cremonese at HT / Palermo at FT	2.8%	3.5%	—	—	28.87
Palermo at HT / Cremonese at FT	1.4%	3.5%	—	—	28.92

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palermo to score last	62.1%	62.2%	—	—	1.61
Cremonese to score last	30.8%	32.3%	—	—	3.10
No goal scored	7.1%	7.4%	—	—	13.46

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	92.9%	92.7%	—	—	1.08
Palermo to lead by 1 at any time	71.2%	73.9%	—	—	1.35
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	51.5%	50.8%	—	—	1.97
Palermo to lead by 2 at any time	41.4%	39.2%	—	—	2.55
Cremonese to lead by 1 at any time	35.3%	34.6%	—	—	2.89
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	21.8%	19.5%	—	—	5.12
Palermo to lead by 3 at any time	19.3%	14.9%	—	—	6.70
Cremonese to lead by 2 at any time	10.4%	10.5%	—	—	9.55
Cremonese to lead by 3 at any time	2.4%	1.6%	—	—	62.58

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palermo most corners	54.9%	51.7%	—	—	1.93
Cremonese most corners	34.5%	34.4%	—	—	2.91
Corners level	10.5%	10.4%	—	—	9.58

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	86.1%	87.4%	87.3%	1.00×	1.14
1-4 goals	77.2%	78.7%	82.1%	0.96×	1.27
2-6 goals	76.1%	78.7%	72.0%	1.09×	1.27
2-5 goals	71.9%	72.3%	69.6%	1.04×	1.38
2-4 goals	62.9%	63.3%	64.4%	0.98×	1.58
1-3 goals	61.4%	63.3%	66.3%	0.96×	1.58
3-6 goals	51.2%	53.2%	46.3%	1.15×	1.88
2-3 goals	47.2%	48.5%	48.6%	1.00×	2.06
3-5 goals	47.0%	48.5%	44.0%	1.10×	2.06
1-2 goals	39.1%	39.2%	43.5%	0.90×	2.55
3-4 goals	38.1%	39.2%	38.7%	1.01×	2.55
4-6 goals	28.9%	30.2%	23.5%	1.28×	3.31
4-5 goals	24.7%	24.5%	21.2%	1.16×	4.09
5-6 goals	13.1%	14.8%	7.7%	1.92×	6.75
7+ goals	2.5%	2.6%	1.4%	1.87×	39.14

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palermo never behind	57.5%	62.5%	—	—	1.60
Cremonese never behind	21.7%	24.9%	—	—	4.01

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	47.3%	50.9%	46.7%	1.09×	1.96
Even number of goals	52.7%	49.1%	53.3%	0.92×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	55.1%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Odd goals in 1st half	44.9%	42.5%	—	—	2.36

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	52.7%	51.9%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 2nd half	47.3%	48.1%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	93.2%	92.3%	96.3%	0.96×	1.08
Over 0.5 goals	92.9%	92.3%	90.9%	1.02×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	84.3%	82.3%	91.0%	0.90×	1.22
Over 1.5 goals	78.6%	77.3%	73.2%	1.06×	1.29
Under 3.5 goals	68.6%	66.3%	75.2%	0.88×	1.51
Over 2.5 goals	53.7%	52.5%	47.6%	1.10×	1.90
Under 2.5 goals	46.3%	47.5%	52.4%	0.91×	2.11
Over 3.5 goals	31.4%	33.7%	24.8%	1.36×	2.97
Under 1.5 goals	21.4%	22.7%	26.8%	0.85×	4.41
Over 4.5 goals	15.7%	17.7%	9.0%	1.97×	5.66
Under 0.5 goals	7.1%	7.7%	9.1%	0.85×	12.95
Over 5.5 goals	6.8%	7.7%	3.7%	2.07×	12.95

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	97.3%	97.2%	98.6%	0.99×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	92.6%	92.4%	96.1%	0.96×	1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	81.4%	81.1%	89.3%	0.91×	1.23
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	71.5%	72.4%	64.0%	1.13×	1.38
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	59.5%	55.8%	67.9%	0.82×	1.79
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	40.5%	44.2%	32.1%	1.38×	2.26
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	28.5%	27.6%	36.0%	0.77×	3.62
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	18.6%	18.9%	10.7%	1.78×	5.28
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	7.4%	7.6%	3.9%	1.93×	13.17
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	2.7%	2.8%	1.4%	2.00×	35.59

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	88.2%	89.0%	—	—	1.12
Over 0.5 in 1st half	69.3%	68.6%	—	—	1.46
Under 1.5 in 1st half	66.5%	68.5%	—	—	1.46
Over 1.5 in 1st half	33.5%	31.5%	—	—	3.18
Under 0.5 in 1st half	30.7%	31.4%	—	—	3.18
Over 2.5 in 1st half	11.8%	11.0%	—	—	9.13

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	80.2%	82.9%	—	—	1.21
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	77.3%	79.7%	—	—	1.26
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	50.8%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	49.2%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	22.7%	20.3%	—	—	4.92
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	19.8%	17.1%	—	—	5.84

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cremonese not to score in both halves	86.4%	85.5%	—	—	1.17
Palermo not to score in both halves	63.4%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
Palermo to score in both halves	36.6%	36.7%	—	—	2.72
Cremonese to score in both halves	13.6%	14.5%	—	—	6.88

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	53.1%	53.8%	53.9%	1.00×	1.86
Only Palermo scores	31.8%	33.3%	23.9%	1.39×	3.00
Only Cremonese scores	8.0%	7.1%	13.3%	0.54×	14.03
Neither team scores	7.1%	7.1%	9.1%	0.78×	14.03

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	24.9%	22.6%	25.8%	0.88×	4.43
Exactly 3 goals	22.3%	22.6%	22.9%	0.99×	4.43
Exactly 4 goals	15.8%	17.5%	15.9%	1.10×	5.73
Exactly 1 goals	14.2%	12.1%	17.8%	0.68×	8.25
Exactly 5 goals	8.9%	7.6%	5.4%	1.42×	13.14
Exactly 0 goals	7.1%	7.6%	9.1%	0.84×	13.14
6 or more goals	6.8%	7.6%	3.7%	2.04×	13.15

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	35.8%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
No goals in 1st half	30.7%	35.6%	—	—	2.81
2 goals in 1st half	21.7%	21.5%	—	—	4.66
3+ goals in 1st half	11.8%	10.9%	—	—	9.21

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	49.2%	44.9%	—	—	2.23
1 goal in 2nd half	31.0%	33.7%	—	—	2.97
No goals in 2nd half	19.8%	16.8%	—	—	5.97

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cremonese not to win both halves	96.9%	97.2%	—	—	1.03
Palermo not to win both halves	79.3%	75.5%	—	—	1.32
Palermo to win both halves	20.7%	24.5%	—	—	4.09
Cremonese to win both halves	3.1%	2.8%	—	—	35.73

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palermo to win either half	69.7%	67.8%	—	—	1.47
Cremonese to win neither half	68.4%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Cremonese to win either half	31.6%	32.2%	—	—	3.10
Palermo to win neither half	30.3%	32.2%	—	—	3.11

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cremonese not to win to nil	92.0%	92.1%	86.7%	1.06×	1.09
Palermo not to win to nil	68.2%	69.7%	76.1%	0.92×	1.44
Palermo to win to nil	31.8%	30.3%	23.9%	1.27×	3.30
Cremonese to win to nil	8.0%	7.9%	13.3%	0.59×	12.62

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	24.6%	24.1%	31.9%	0.76×	4.15
Palermo by 1	23.2%	24.1%	23.2%	1.04×	4.15
Palermo by 2	18.3%	17.0%	13.1%	1.30×	5.87
Palermo by 3+	16.7%	17.0%	6.7%	2.53×	5.87
Cremonese by 1	11.0%	11.7%	15.7%	0.75×	8.51
Cremonese by 2	4.6%	2.7%	6.5%	0.42×	36.79
Cremonese by 3+	1.6%	2.7%	3.6%	0.75×	36.88