Palermo v Sampdoria — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Monday 7 September 2026 · ITA-Serie B · 2627
AI prediction
ai-blend v1.0 dailyPalermo win
55.7%
model 57.5%
Draw
26.1%
model 26.1%
Sampdoria win
18.2%
model 16.4%
Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (282 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.
Top 5 scorelines
- 1-1 12.4%
- 1-0 11.5%
- 2-0 11.4%
- 2-1 9.7%
- 0-0 8.8%
Goals
| Over 2.5 | 48.4% | Under 2.5 | 51.6% |
| BTTS yes | 48.9% | BTTS no | 51.1% |
| Palermo 1+ | 82.8% | Palermo 2+ | 52.5% |
| Sampdoria 1+ | 57.3% | Sampdoria 2+ | 21.0% |
Expected goals 1.76 – 0.85. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.
Footing
AI confidence
49/100
Data quality
65/100
Model agreement
98%
★ Best pick
Palermo (-0.5)
Asian handicap · usually 43%
56.9% fair odds 1.76
strong signal · 920 settled matches behind the band
★ Most likely to land
Palermo or draw (1UP)
Double chance 1UP
84.2% fair odds 1.19
moderate signal · 419 settled matches behind the band
Positive factors
- Palermo carry the stronger rating, 1625 Elo against 1406.
- Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five.
Risk factors
- No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.
Why the model thinks this
The price
Palermo have an estimated 55.7% win probability, against 26.1% for the draw and 18.2% for Sampdoria. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.76 for Palermo and 0.85 for Sampdoria.
Why Palermo
Palermo carry the stronger rating, 1625 Elo against 1406. Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five.
Why the draw is live
The draw sits at 26.1%. Draws run at 32% in this competition.
Why Sampdoria can win
Nothing in the data singles out Sampdoria.
Key players
No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.
Availability
No lineup on record for Palermo, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Sampdoria, so availability is unknown.
The matchup, as far as the data reaches
Palermo: 50% possession, 14.4 shots a match, 14.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Sampdoria: 56% possession, 14.6 shots a match, 11.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.
Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-07 06:03 · team_stats 2026-09-07 06:05 · availability 2026-09-07 07:51 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·
Palermo are the model's most likely outcome at 55.7%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 12.4%. Confidence 49/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.
Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.
Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends
-oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches
played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight.
Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.What the model said
| Model | Home / Draw / Away | Expected goals | Likeliest score | O2.5 | BTTS | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ai-blend | 1.76–0.85 | 0% | 0% | 0% | Home ✓ | |
| ai-blend-oos | 1.79–0.76 | 0% | 0% | 0% | Home ✓ | |
| dc-xg | 1.68–0.74 | 1-0 13% | 43% | 44% | Home ✓ | |
| dc-xg-oos | 1.63–0.74 | 1-0 14% | 42% | 44% | Home ✓ |
A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest:
it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.
Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it.
Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits
from what that selection normally does in this league.
To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the
Radar.
All markets
Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.
1X2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Palermo to win | 57.5% | 59.0% | 42.7% | 1.38× | 1.70 |
| Draw | 26.1% | 27.7% | 32.0% | 0.86× | 3.62 |
| Sampdoria to win | 16.4% | 19.2% | 25.4% | 0.76× | 5.20 |
1X2 & GG/NG 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Palermo & not both score | 33.9% | 33.4% | 24.0% | 1.39× | 3.00 |
| Palermo & both teams score | 23.6% | 22.5% | 18.8% | 1.20× | 4.45 |
| Draw & both teams score | 17.3% | 18.1% | 23.0% | 0.79× | 5.53 |
| Draw & not both score | 8.8% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 0.80× | 13.68 |
| Sampdoria & not both score | 8.4% | 7.3% | 13.3% | 0.55× | 13.69 |
| Sampdoria & both teams score | 8.0% | 7.3% | 12.3% | 0.60× | 13.70 |
1X2 & Over/Under 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Palermo & over 1.5 | 46.0% | 45.6% | 31.7% | 1.44× | 2.19 |
| Palermo & under 3.5 | 39.2% | 37.4% | 32.0% | 1.17× | 2.68 |
| Palermo & over 2.5 | 34.6% | 33.8% | 24.3% | 1.39× | 2.96 |
| Palermo & under 2.5 | 22.9% | 21.7% | 18.5% | 1.17× | 4.60 |
| Draw & under 2.5 | 21.2% | 21.7% | 23.8% | 0.91× | 4.60 |
| Draw & under 3.5 | 21.2% | 21.7% | 23.8% | 0.91× | 4.60 |
| Palermo & over 3.5 | 18.2% | 17.6% | 10.8% | 1.63× | 5.68 |
| Draw & over 1.5 | 17.3% | 17.6% | 23.0% | 0.76× | 5.69 |
| Sampdoria & under 3.5 | 12.9% | 12.6% | 19.9% | 0.64× | 7.91 |
| Palermo & under 1.5 | 11.5% | 12.6% | 11.1% | 1.13× | 7.91 |
| Sampdoria & over 1.5 | 11.6% | 12.6% | 18.8% | 0.67× | 7.91 |
| Sampdoria & over 2.5 | 9.0% | 7.3% | 15.0% | 0.49× | 13.70 |
| Draw & under 1.5 | 8.8% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 0.80× | 13.70 |
| Sampdoria & under 2.5 | 7.5% | 7.3% | 10.5% | 0.69× | 13.71 |
| Draw & over 2.5 | 4.9% | 4.6% | 8.4% | 0.55× | 21.80 |
| Draw & over 3.5 | 4.9% | 4.6% | 8.4% | 0.55× | 21.80 |
| Sampdoria & under 1.5 | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 0.68× | 21.80 |
| Sampdoria & over 3.5 | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 0.81× | 21.87 |
1X2 1UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Palermo (1UP) | 69.8% | 72.4% | — | — | 1.38 |
| Sampdoria (1UP) | 33.4% | 32.8% | — | — | 3.05 |
1X2 2UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Palermo (2UP) | 57.5% | 61.1% | — | — | 1.64 |
| Sampdoria (2UP) | 16.4% | 22.3% | — | — | 4.48 |
2nd half 1X2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Palermo to win 2nd half | 46.3% | 44.8% | — | — | 2.23 |
| 2nd half drawn | 35.8% | 37.3% | — | — | 2.68 |
| Sampdoria to win 2nd half | 17.9% | 19.7% | — | — | 5.08 |
Asian handicap 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sampdoria (+2.5) | 84.7% | 82.1% | 93.2% | 0.88× | 1.22 |
| Palermo (+0.5) | 83.6% | 82.0% | 74.6% | 1.10× | 1.22 |
| Sampdoria (+1.5) | 66.5% | 69.1% | 80.5% | 0.86× | 1.45 |
| Palermo (-0.5) | 57.5% | 56.9% | 42.7% | 1.33× | 1.76 |
| Sampdoria (+0.5) | 42.5% | 43.1% | 57.3% | 0.75× | 2.32 |
| Palermo (-1.5) | 33.5% | 30.9% | 19.5% | 1.58× | 3.23 |
| Sampdoria (-0.5) | 16.4% | 18.0% | 25.4% | 0.71× | 5.57 |
| Palermo (-2.5) | 15.3% | 17.9% | 6.8% | 2.65× | 5.58 |
Away clean sheet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sampdoria to concede | 82.8% | 85.3% | 77.7% | 1.10× | 1.17 |
| Sampdoria clean sheet | 17.2% | 14.7% | 22.3% | 0.66× | 6.79 |
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sampdoria to concede in 1st half | 53.1% | 54.5% | — | — | 1.84 |
| Sampdoria clean sheet in 1st half | 46.9% | 45.5% | — | — | 2.20 |
Away corners O/U 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sampdoria over 2.5 corners | 79.5% | 75.9% | — | — | 1.32 |
| Sampdoria under 6.5 corners | 77.0% | 75.9% | — | — | 1.32 |
| Sampdoria under 5.5 corners | 65.5% | 67.5% | — | — | 1.48 |
| Sampdoria over 3.5 corners | 64.4% | 61.8% | — | — | 1.62 |
| Sampdoria under 4.5 corners | 51.3% | 53.1% | — | — | 1.88 |
| Sampdoria over 4.5 corners | 48.7% | 46.9% | — | — | 2.13 |
| Sampdoria under 3.5 corners | 35.6% | 38.2% | — | — | 2.62 |
| Sampdoria over 5.5 corners | 34.5% | 32.5% | — | — | 3.08 |
| Sampdoria over 6.5 corners | 23.0% | 24.1% | — | — | 4.16 |
| Sampdoria under 2.5 corners | 20.5% | 24.1% | — | — | 4.16 |
Away goals O/U 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sampdoria under 3.5 goals | 98.9% | 97.8% | 98.2% | 1.00× | 1.02 |
| Sampdoria under 2.5 goals | 94.5% | 93.1% | 90.9% | 1.02× | 1.07 |
| Sampdoria under 1.5 goals | 79.0% | 75.3% | 69.3% | 1.09× | 1.33 |
| Sampdoria over 0.5 goals | 57.3% | 57.5% | 67.0% | 0.86× | 1.74 |
| Sampdoria under 0.5 goals | 42.7% | 42.5% | 33.0% | 1.29× | 2.35 |
| Sampdoria over 1.5 goals | 21.0% | 24.7% | 30.7% | 0.81× | 4.04 |
| Sampdoria over 2.5 goals | 5.5% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 0.76× | 14.46 |
| Sampdoria over 3.5 goals | 1.1% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.24× | 46.08 |
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sampdoria under 1.5 in 1st half | 95.4% | 96.0% | — | — | 1.04 |
| Sampdoria under 0.5 in 1st half | 71.1% | 69.1% | — | — | 1.45 |
| Sampdoria over 0.5 in 1st half | 28.9% | 30.9% | — | — | 3.24 |
| Sampdoria over 1.5 in 1st half | 4.6% | 4.0% | — | — | 25.05 |
Away no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Palermo (away no bet) | 68.8% | 71.5% | 57.1% | 1.25× | 1.40 |
| Draw (away no bet) | 31.2% | 28.5% | 42.9% | 0.67× | 3.50 |
Away Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sampdoria even goals | 59.1% | 57.7% | 55.6% | 1.04× | 1.73 |
| Sampdoria odd goals | 40.9% | 42.3% | 44.4% | 0.95× | 2.36 |
Both halves O1.5 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both halves over 1.5 | 86.6% | 86.6% | — | — | 1.15 |
| Both halves over 1.5 goals | 13.4% | 13.4% | — | — | 7.49 |
Both halves U1.5 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both halves under 1.5 | 62.0% | 66.1% | — | — | 1.51 |
| Both halves under 1.5 goals | 38.0% | 33.9% | — | — | 2.95 |
Consecutive goals 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Either team to score 2+ in a row | 55.9% | 59.0% | — | — | 1.69 |
| Palermo to score 2+ in a row | 45.9% | 47.6% | — | — | 2.10 |
| Either team to score 3+ in a row | 22.0% | 21.9% | — | — | 4.56 |
| Palermo to score 3+ in a row | 19.4% | 17.9% | — | — | 5.59 |
| Sampdoria to score 2+ in a row | 14.4% | 12.3% | — | — | 8.11 |
| Sampdoria to score 3+ in a row | 2.8% | 3.3% | — | — | 30.09 |
Corner handicap 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Palermo corners (+3.5) | 85.3% | 84.5% | — | — | 1.18 |
| Sampdoria corners (+3.5) | 79.8% | 74.9% | — | — | 1.34 |
| Palermo corners (+2.5) | 78.4% | 74.9% | — | — | 1.34 |
| Sampdoria corners (+2.5) | 71.6% | 70.7% | — | — | 1.41 |
| Palermo corners (+1.5) | 69.7% | 65.8% | — | — | 1.52 |
| Sampdoria corners (+1.5) | 61.9% | 61.9% | — | — | 1.62 |
| Palermo corners (-1.5) | 38.1% | 38.1% | — | — | 2.63 |
| Sampdoria corners (-1.5) | 30.3% | 34.2% | — | — | 2.92 |
| Palermo corners (-2.5) | 28.4% | 29.3% | — | — | 3.42 |
| Sampdoria corners (-2.5) | 21.6% | 25.1% | — | — | 3.98 |
| Palermo corners (-3.5) | 20.2% | 25.1% | — | — | 3.98 |
| Sampdoria corners (-3.5) | 14.7% | 15.5% | — | — | 6.45 |
Corner range 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-8 corners | 38.7% | 33.7% | — | — | 2.96 |
| 12+ corners | 31.3% | 33.2% | — | — | 3.01 |
| 9-11 corners | 30.0% | 31.2% | — | — | 3.20 |
Corners O/U 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 12.5 corners | 76.6% | 76.5% | — | — | 1.31 |
| Over 7.5 corners | 71.6% | 72.6% | — | — | 1.38 |
| Under 11.5 corners | 68.7% | 67.7% | — | — | 1.48 |
| Over 8.5 corners | 61.3% | 63.4% | — | — | 1.58 |
| Under 10.5 corners | 59.5% | 57.8% | — | — | 1.73 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 50.7% | 53.3% | — | — | 1.88 |
| Under 9.5 corners | 49.3% | 46.7% | — | — | 2.14 |
| Over 10.5 corners | 40.5% | 42.2% | — | — | 2.37 |
| Under 8.5 corners | 38.7% | 36.6% | — | — | 2.73 |
| Over 11.5 corners | 31.3% | 32.3% | — | — | 3.10 |
| Under 7.5 corners | 28.4% | 27.4% | — | — | 3.66 |
| Over 12.5 corners | 23.4% | 23.5% | — | — | 4.26 |
Corners Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odd number of corners | 50.0% | 50.2% | — | — | 1.99 |
| Even number of corners | 50.0% | 49.8% | — | — | 2.01 |
Correct score 26
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | 12.4% | 11.6% | 14.8% | 0.79× | 8.61 |
| 1-0 | 11.5% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 1.04× | 8.61 |
| 2-0 | 11.4% | 11.6% | 7.5% | 1.55× | 8.62 |
| 2-1 | 9.7% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 0.76× | 13.53 |
| 0-0 | 8.8% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 0.81× | 13.53 |
| 3-0 | 6.7% | 7.4% | 4.0% | 1.84× | 13.54 |
| 3-1 | 5.7% | 7.4% | 4.4% | 1.69× | 13.55 |
| 0-1 | 4.8% | 1.8% | 6.8% | 0.26× | 56.79 |
| 1-2 | 4.7% | 1.8% | 7.4% | 0.24× | 56.80 |
| 2-2 | 4.1% | 1.8% | 7.4% | 0.24× | 56.81 |
| Any other score | 3.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 0.83× | 56.83 |
| 0-2 | 2.7% | 1.8% | 3.9% | 0.45× | 56.86 |
| 3-2 | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 0.70× | 56.86 |
| 4-0 | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.56× | 56.85 |
| 4-1 | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 2.34× | 56.86 |
| 1-3 | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 0.67× | 56.90 |
| 0-3 | 0.8% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 0.78× | 56.91 |
| 0-4 | 0.2% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 2.34× | 56.93 |
| 1-4 | 0.3% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 7.02× | 56.93 |
| 2-3 | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.17× | 56.90 |
| 2-4 | 0.2% | 1.8% | 0.1% | 14.04× | 56.93 |
| 3-3 | 0.7% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.56× | 56.92 |
| 3-4 | 0.1% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 4.68× | 56.93 |
| 4-2 | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.76× | 56.90 |
| 4-3 | 0.3% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 7.02× | 56.93 |
| 4-4 | 0.1% | 1.8% | 0.1% | 14.03× | 56.93 |
DNB half time 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Palermo leading at HT (DNB) | 73.6% | 73.4% | — | — | 1.36 |
| Sampdoria leading at HT (DNB) | 26.4% | 26.6% | — | — | 3.76 |
Double chance 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Palermo or draw (1X) | 83.6% | 80.8% | 74.6% | 1.08× | 1.24 |
| Palermo or Sampdoria (12) | 73.9% | 72.3% | 68.0% | 1.06× | 1.38 |
| Sampdoria or draw (X2) | 42.5% | 41.0% | 57.3% | 0.72× | 2.44 |
Double chance 1HT 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Palermo or draw at HT | 85.0% | 82.0% | — | — | 1.22 |
| Sampdoria or draw at HT | 58.1% | 58.4% | — | — | 1.71 |
| Palermo or Sampdoria at HT | 57.0% | 58.3% | — | — | 1.71 |
Double chance 1UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Palermo or draw (1UP) | 83.6% | 84.2% | — | — | 1.19 |
| Sampdoria or draw (1UP) | 42.5% | 45.9% | — | — | 2.18 |
Double chance 2HT 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Palermo or draw in 2nd half | 82.1% | 80.3% | — | — | 1.25 |
| Palermo or Sampdoria in 2nd half | 64.2% | 62.7% | — | — | 1.60 |
| Sampdoria or draw in 2nd half | 53.7% | 55.2% | — | — | 1.81 |
Draw either half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A half drawn | 61.8% | 59.4% | — | — | 1.68 |
| Neither half drawn | 38.2% | 40.6% | — | — | 2.46 |
Draw no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Palermo (DNB) | 77.8% | 78.0% | 62.7% | 1.24× | 1.28 |
| Sampdoria (DNB) | 22.2% | 22.0% | 37.3% | 0.59× | 4.54 |
First goal 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Palermo to score first | 61.5% | 67.0% | — | — | 1.49 |
| Sampdoria to score first | 29.7% | 24.9% | — | — | 4.02 |
| No goal scored | 8.8% | 6.3% | — | — | 15.86 |
GG/NG 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both teams to score | 51.1% | 54.0% | 46.2% | 1.17× | 1.85 |
| Both teams to score | 48.9% | 46.0% | 53.8% | 0.85× | 2.17 |
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both score & under 2.5 | 39.1% | 36.9% | 37.9% | 0.97× | 2.71 |
| Both score & over 2.5 | 36.5% | 36.8% | 39.2% | 0.94× | 2.72 |
| Both score & under 2.5 | 12.4% | 11.8% | 14.8% | 0.80× | 8.46 |
| Not both score & over 2.5 | 12.0% | 11.8% | 8.4% | 1.41× | 8.46 |
GG/NG 2+ 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both teams to score 2+ | 89.0% | 85.8% | 86.0% | 1.00× | 1.17 |
| Both teams to score 2+ | 11.0% | 14.2% | 14.0% | 1.01× | 7.05 |
GG/NG 2nd half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both to score in 2nd half | 74.2% | 70.7% | — | — | 1.42 |
| Both teams to score in 2nd half | 25.8% | 29.3% | — | — | 3.41 |
GG/NG by half 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neither half both score | 62.5% | 60.1% | — | — | 1.66 |
| Both score 2nd half only | 21.9% | 24.3% | — | — | 4.12 |
| Both score 1st half only | 11.7% | 11.4% | — | — | 8.74 |
| Both score in both halves | 3.9% | 4.8% | — | — | 20.85 |
GG/NG half time 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both to score by HT | 84.4% | 83.3% | — | — | 1.20 |
| Both teams to score by HT | 15.6% | 16.7% | — | — | 6.00 |
Goal in both halves 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A goal in each half | 52.7% | 54.4% | — | — | 1.84 |
| A half without a goal | 47.3% | 45.6% | — | — | 2.19 |
Goal range 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2-3 goals | 48.3% | 46.6% | 48.8% | 0.95× | 2.15 |
| 0-1 goals | 25.1% | 27.1% | 26.8% | 1.01× | 3.69 |
| 4-6 goals | 24.9% | 22.6% | 23.3% | 0.97× | 4.42 |
| 7+ goals | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.38× | 52.49 |
Goals away 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sampdoria to score exactly 0 | 42.7% | 42.8% | 33.0% | 1.29× | 2.34 |
| Sampdoria to score exactly 1 | 36.3% | 35.1% | 36.4% | 0.96× | 2.85 |
| Sampdoria to score exactly 2 | 15.5% | 18.0% | 21.7% | 0.83× | 5.55 |
| Sampdoria to score 3+ | 5.5% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 0.74× | 14.83 |
Goals home 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Palermo to score exactly 1 | 30.3% | 30.7% | 35.9% | 0.86× | 3.26 |
| Palermo to score exactly 2 | 26.6% | 27.5% | 26.0% | 1.06× | 3.64 |
| Palermo to score 3+ | 25.9% | 27.5% | 16.0% | 1.72× | 3.64 |
| Palermo to score exactly 0 | 17.2% | 18.1% | 22.3% | 0.81× | 5.52 |
Half time 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw at HT | 43.0% | 41.7% | — | — | 2.40 |
| Palermo leading at HT | 41.9% | 41.6% | — | — | 2.40 |
| Sampdoria leading at HT | 15.0% | 18.0% | — | — | 5.55 |
Handicap 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Palermo -1: 2 | 42.5% | 42.3% | — | — | 2.36 |
| Palermo -1: 1 | 33.5% | 33.0% | — | — | 3.03 |
| Palermo -1: X | 23.9% | 23.8% | — | — | 4.21 |
Handicap 0:1 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sampdoria (0:1) | 42.5% | 41.8% | 57.3% | 0.73× | 2.39 |
| Palermo (0:1) | 33.5% | 35.2% | 19.5% | 1.80× | 2.84 |
| Draw (0:1) | 23.9% | 24.1% | 23.3% | 1.03× | 4.15 |
Handicap 0:2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sampdoria (0:2) | 66.5% | 65.7% | 80.5% | 0.82× | 1.52 |
| Draw (0:2) | 18.2% | 16.9% | 12.9% | 1.31× | 5.90 |
| Palermo (0:2) | 15.3% | 16.8% | 6.8% | 2.49× | 5.95 |
Handicap 0:3 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sampdoria (0:3) | 84.7% | 83.6% | 93.2% | 0.90× | 1.20 |
| Draw (0:3) | 9.6% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 1.49× | 14.47 |
| Palermo (0:3) | 5.7% | 6.8% | 2.3% | 3.01× | 14.72 |
Handicap 0:4 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sampdoria (0:4) | 94.3% | 94.3% | 97.7% | 0.96× | 1.06 |
| Draw (0:4) | 3.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.79× | 91.85 |
| Palermo (0:4) | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.07× | 93.49 |
Handicap 1:0 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Palermo (1:0) | 83.6% | 80.7% | 74.6% | 1.08× | 1.24 |
| Draw (1:0) | 10.8% | 11.3% | 15.6% | 0.72× | 8.86 |
| Sampdoria (1:0) | 5.6% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 0.82× | 12.29 |
Handicap 2:0 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Palermo (2:0) | 94.4% | 92.3% | 90.1% | 1.02× | 1.08 |
| Draw (2:0) | 4.3% | 2.3% | 6.5% | 0.35× | 43.62 |
| Sampdoria (2:0) | 1.3% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 0.64× | 44.77 |
Highest scoring half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd half highest scoring | 45.7% | 48.4% | — | — | 2.07 |
| Halves equal | 27.8% | 26.2% | — | — | 3.82 |
| 1st half highest scoring | 26.6% | 26.1% | — | — | 3.83 |
Home clean sheet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Palermo to concede | 57.3% | 58.4% | 67.0% | 0.87× | 1.71 |
| Palermo clean sheet | 42.7% | 41.6% | 33.0% | 1.26× | 2.41 |
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Palermo clean sheet in 1st half | 71.1% | 68.2% | — | — | 1.47 |
| Palermo to concede in 1st half | 28.9% | 31.8% | — | — | 3.15 |
Home corners O/U 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Palermo over 2.5 corners | 83.1% | 80.9% | — | — | 1.24 |
| Palermo under 6.5 corners | 71.7% | 71.9% | — | — | 1.39 |
| Palermo over 3.5 corners | 69.6% | 66.7% | — | — | 1.50 |
| Palermo under 5.5 corners | 59.6% | 57.5% | — | — | 1.74 |
| Palermo over 4.5 corners | 54.6% | 52.8% | — | — | 1.89 |
| Palermo under 4.5 corners | 45.4% | 47.2% | — | — | 2.12 |
| Palermo over 5.5 corners | 40.4% | 42.5% | — | — | 2.35 |
| Palermo under 3.5 corners | 30.4% | 33.3% | — | — | 3.00 |
| Palermo over 6.5 corners | 28.3% | 28.1% | — | — | 3.56 |
| Palermo under 2.5 corners | 16.9% | 19.1% | — | — | 5.25 |
Home goals O/U 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Palermo under 3.5 goals | 89.8% | 88.4% | 95.9% | 0.92× | 1.13 |
| Palermo over 0.5 goals | 82.8% | 82.8% | 77.7% | 1.07× | 1.21 |
| Palermo under 2.5 goals | 74.1% | 72.1% | 84.0% | 0.86× | 1.39 |
| Palermo over 1.5 goals | 52.5% | 52.7% | 41.9% | 1.26× | 1.90 |
| Palermo under 1.5 goals | 47.5% | 47.3% | 58.1% | 0.81× | 2.11 |
| Palermo over 2.5 goals | 25.9% | 27.9% | 16.0% | 1.74× | 3.58 |
| Palermo under 0.5 goals | 17.2% | 17.2% | 22.3% | 0.77× | 5.81 |
| Palermo over 3.5 goals | 10.2% | 11.6% | 4.1% | 2.82× | 8.59 |
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Palermo under 1.5 in 1st half | 82.4% | 80.5% | — | — | 1.24 |
| Palermo over 0.5 in 1st half | 53.1% | 54.5% | — | — | 1.84 |
| Palermo under 0.5 in 1st half | 46.9% | 45.5% | — | — | 2.20 |
| Palermo over 1.5 in 1st half | 17.6% | 19.5% | — | — | 5.13 |
Home no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw (home no bet) | 61.4% | 60.9% | 55.8% | 1.09× | 1.64 |
| Sampdoria (home no bet) | 38.6% | 39.1% | 44.2% | 0.88× | 2.56 |
Home Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Palermo even goals | 51.5% | 50.1% | 51.1% | 0.98× | 1.99 |
| Palermo odd goals | 48.5% | 49.9% | 48.9% | 1.02× | 2.01 |
HT correct score 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HT 0-0 | 33.6% | 30.6% | — | — | 3.26 |
| HT 1-0 | 25.0% | 27.9% | — | — | 3.59 |
| HT 0-1 | 11.1% | 11.2% | — | — | 8.96 |
| HT 2-0 | 9.6% | 7.7% | — | — | 12.95 |
| HT 1-1 | 8.9% | 7.7% | — | — | 12.96 |
| Any other HT score | 4.6% | 2.5% | — | — | 40.16 |
| HT 2-1 | 3.3% | 2.5% | — | — | 40.25 |
| HT 0-2 | 1.9% | 2.5% | — | — | 40.32 |
| HT 1-2 | 1.5% | 2.5% | — | — | 40.35 |
| HT 2-2 | 0.6% | 2.5% | — | — | 40.40 |
HT/FT 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Palermo at HT / Palermo at FT | 35.9% | 41.5% | — | — | 2.41 |
| Draw at HT / Palermo at FT | 19.1% | 16.7% | — | — | 5.97 |
| Draw at HT / Draw at FT | 17.0% | 16.7% | — | — | 5.98 |
| Sampdoria at HT / Sampdoria at FT | 8.2% | 6.6% | — | — | 15.25 |
| Draw at HT / Sampdoria at FT | 7.0% | 6.5% | — | — | 15.28 |
| Palermo at HT / Draw at FT | 4.9% | 3.4% | — | — | 29.18 |
| Sampdoria at HT / Draw at FT | 4.3% | 3.4% | — | — | 29.21 |
| Sampdoria at HT / Palermo at FT | 2.5% | 3.4% | — | — | 29.28 |
| Palermo at HT / Sampdoria at FT | 1.2% | 3.4% | — | — | 29.33 |
Last goal 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Palermo to score last | 61.7% | 60.0% | — | — | 1.67 |
| Sampdoria to score last | 29.5% | 32.1% | — | — | 3.12 |
| No goal scored | 8.8% | 6.3% | — | — | 15.86 |
Lead at any time 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Either team to lead by 1 at any time | 91.2% | 93.7% | — | — | 1.07 |
| Palermo to lead by 1 at any time | 69.8% | 71.1% | — | — | 1.41 |
| Either team to lead by 2 at any time | 48.3% | 46.3% | — | — | 2.16 |
| Palermo to lead by 2 at any time | 39.3% | 37.3% | — | — | 2.68 |
| Sampdoria to lead by 1 at any time | 33.4% | 32.1% | — | — | 3.12 |
| Either team to lead by 3 at any time | 19.6% | 17.8% | — | — | 5.60 |
| Palermo to lead by 3 at any time | 17.6% | 17.8% | — | — | 5.61 |
| Sampdoria to lead by 2 at any time | 9.2% | 7.1% | — | — | 14.13 |
| Sampdoria to lead by 3 at any time | 2.0% | 2.6% | — | — | 39.01 |
Most corners 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Palermo most corners | 48.8% | 47.0% | — | — | 2.13 |
| Sampdoria most corners | 40.4% | 43.5% | — | — | 2.30 |
| Corners level | 10.8% | 10.4% | — | — | 9.61 |
Multi goal 15
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1-5 goals | 86.2% | 88.1% | 87.2% | 1.01× | 1.14 |
| 1-4 goals | 78.8% | 78.9% | 82.1% | 0.96× | 1.27 |
| 2-6 goals | 73.2% | 73.6% | 72.0% | 1.02× | 1.36 |
| 2-5 goals | 69.9% | 69.2% | 69.6% | 0.99× | 1.45 |
| 1-3 goals | 64.6% | 62.7% | 66.5% | 0.94× | 1.59 |
| 2-4 goals | 62.5% | 62.7% | 64.5% | 0.97× | 1.60 |
| 2-3 goals | 48.3% | 48.2% | 48.8% | 0.99× | 2.07 |
| 3-6 goals | 46.7% | 48.2% | 46.2% | 1.04× | 2.07 |
| 3-5 goals | 43.5% | 43.5% | 43.8% | 0.99× | 2.30 |
| 1-2 goals | 42.8% | 43.5% | 43.6% | 1.00× | 2.30 |
| 3-4 goals | 36.0% | 39.1% | 38.7% | 1.01× | 2.55 |
| 4-6 goals | 24.9% | 24.5% | 23.3% | 1.05× | 4.08 |
| 4-5 goals | 21.7% | 24.4% | 20.9% | 1.17× | 4.10 |
| 5-6 goals | 10.7% | 12.4% | 7.6% | 1.62× | 8.09 |
| 7+ goals | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.36× | 53.43 |
Never down 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Palermo never behind | 57.8% | 63.5% | — | — | 1.58 |
| Sampdoria never behind | 21.4% | 24.0% | — | — | 4.16 |
Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odd number of goals | 46.9% | 50.3% | 46.7% | 1.08× | 1.99 |
| Even number of goals | 53.1% | 49.7% | 53.3% | 0.93× | 2.01 |
Odd/Even 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even goals in 1st half | 56.1% | 55.3% | — | — | 1.81 |
| Odd goals in 1st half | 43.9% | 44.7% | — | — | 2.24 |
Odd/Even 2HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even goals in 2nd half | 53.4% | 51.7% | — | — | 1.93 |
| Odd goals in 2nd half | 46.6% | 48.3% | — | — | 2.07 |
Over/Under 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 5.5 goals | 95.0% | 96.3% | 96.2% | 1.00× | 1.04 |
| Over 0.5 goals | 91.2% | 93.2% | 90.9% | 1.03× | 1.07 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 87.6% | 89.3% | 91.1% | 0.98× | 1.12 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74.9% | 73.5% | 73.2% | 1.00× | 1.36 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 73.4% | 73.5% | 75.5% | 0.97× | 1.36 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 51.6% | 53.7% | 52.6% | 1.02× | 1.86 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 48.4% | 46.3% | 47.4% | 0.98× | 2.16 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 26.6% | 26.5% | 24.5% | 1.08× | 3.77 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 25.1% | 26.5% | 26.8% | 0.99× | 3.78 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 12.4% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 1.21× | 9.33 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 8.8% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 0.74× | 14.80 |
| Over 5.5 goals | 5.0% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 1.00× | 26.67 |
Over/Under (whole line) 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6 (void on exactly 6) | 98.2% | 97.6% | 98.6% | 0.99× | 1.02 |
| Under 5 (void on exactly 5) | 94.6% | 93.1% | 96.0% | 0.97× | 1.07 |
| Under 4 (void on exactly 4) | 85.5% | 88.6% | 89.5% | 0.99× | 1.13 |
| Under 3 (void on exactly 3) | 65.9% | 68.2% | 68.2% | 1.00× | 1.47 |
| Over 2 (void on exactly 2) | 65.9% | 68.2% | 63.9% | 1.07× | 1.47 |
| Under 2 (void on exactly 2) | 34.1% | 31.8% | 36.1% | 0.88× | 3.15 |
| Over 3 (void on exactly 3) | 34.1% | 31.8% | 31.8% | 1.00× | 3.15 |
| Over 4 (void on exactly 4) | 14.5% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 1.08× | 8.80 |
| Over 5 (void on exactly 5) | 5.4% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 1.73× | 14.59 |
| Over 6 (void on exactly 6) | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.70× | 41.83 |
Over/Under 1HT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 in 1st half | 90.1% | 92.2% | — | — | 1.09 |
| Under 1.5 in 1st half | 69.8% | 68.7% | — | — | 1.46 |
| Over 0.5 in 1st half | 66.4% | 68.7% | — | — | 1.46 |
| Under 0.5 in 1st half | 33.6% | 31.3% | — | — | 3.19 |
| Over 1.5 in 1st half | 30.2% | 31.3% | — | — | 3.20 |
| Over 2.5 in 1st half | 9.9% | 7.8% | — | — | 12.83 |
Over/Under 2HT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 in 2nd half | 80.5% | 82.0% | — | — | 1.22 |
| Over 0.5 in 2nd half | 77.5% | 80.4% | — | — | 1.24 |
| Over 1.5 in 2nd half | 45.2% | 51.8% | — | — | 1.93 |
| Under 1.5 in 2nd half | 54.8% | 48.2% | — | — | 2.08 |
| Under 0.5 in 2nd half | 22.5% | 19.6% | — | — | 5.10 |
| Over 2.5 in 2nd half | 19.5% | 18.0% | — | — | 5.57 |
Score both halves 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sampdoria not to score in both halves | 88.5% | 84.5% | — | — | 1.18 |
| Palermo not to score in both halves | 66.4% | 67.0% | — | — | 1.49 |
| Palermo to score in both halves | 33.6% | 33.0% | — | — | 3.03 |
| Sampdoria to score in both halves | 11.5% | 15.5% | — | — | 6.44 |
Teams to score 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams score | 48.9% | 48.2% | 53.8% | 0.90× | 2.07 |
| Only Palermo scores | 33.9% | 36.3% | 24.0% | 1.51× | 2.75 |
| Neither team scores | 8.8% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 0.73× | 14.94 |
| Only Sampdoria scores | 8.4% | 6.7% | 13.3% | 0.50× | 14.96 |
Total goals 7
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exactly 2 goals | 26.5% | 25.4% | 25.9% | 0.98× | 3.94 |
| Exactly 3 goals | 21.8% | 21.6% | 23.0% | 0.94× | 4.63 |
| Exactly 1 goals | 16.3% | 18.6% | 17.8% | 1.05× | 5.38 |
| Exactly 4 goals | 14.2% | 12.5% | 15.8% | 0.80× | 7.97 |
| Exactly 0 goals | 8.8% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 0.81× | 13.47 |
| Exactly 5 goals | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 1.41× | 13.49 |
| 6 or more goals | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 1.02× | 26.20 |
Total goals 2nd half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2+ goals in 2nd half | 45.2% | 50.9% | — | — | 1.96 |
| 1 goal in 2nd half | 32.3% | 33.3% | — | — | 3.00 |
| No goals in 2nd half | 22.5% | 18.6% | — | — | 5.38 |
Win both halves 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sampdoria not to win both halves | 97.2% | 96.7% | — | — | 1.03 |
| Palermo not to win both halves | 80.3% | 82.7% | — | — | 1.21 |
| Palermo to win both halves | 19.7% | 17.3% | — | — | 5.78 |
| Sampdoria to win both halves | 2.8% | 3.3% | — | — | 30.57 |
Win either half 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sampdoria to win neither half | 69.9% | 67.2% | — | — | 1.49 |
| Palermo to win either half | 68.5% | 67.2% | — | — | 1.49 |
| Palermo to win neither half | 31.5% | 32.8% | — | — | 3.05 |
| Sampdoria to win either half | 30.1% | 32.8% | — | — | 3.05 |
Win to nil 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sampdoria not to win to nil | 91.6% | 92.2% | 86.7% | 1.06× | 1.08 |
| Palermo not to win to nil | 66.1% | 64.1% | 76.0% | 0.84× | 1.56 |
| Palermo to win to nil | 33.9% | 35.9% | 24.0% | 1.49× | 2.79 |
| Sampdoria to win to nil | 8.4% | 7.8% | 13.3% | 0.59× | 12.86 |
Winning margin 7
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw | 26.1% | 28.1% | 32.0% | 0.88× | 3.56 |
| Palermo by 1 | 23.9% | 23.9% | 23.3% | 1.03× | 4.18 |
| Palermo by 2 | 18.2% | 17.3% | 12.9% | 1.34× | 5.78 |
| Palermo by 3+ | 15.3% | 17.3% | 6.8% | 2.56× | 5.79 |
| Sampdoria by 1 | 10.8% | 12.0% | 15.6% | 0.76× | 8.37 |
| Sampdoria by 2 | 4.3% | 2.4% | 6.5% | 0.37× | 41.13 |
| Sampdoria by 3+ | 1.3% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 0.68× | 41.79 |
Shot-level data has not been ingested for this match yet. Run
python -m pipeline.ingest_understat to fill it in.