Palermo v Virtus Entella — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 19 December 2026 · ITA-Serie B · 2627

ITA-Serie B results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Palermo

20:00 UTC

Virtus Entella

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 26 Oct, 10:59 · 1,305h before kick-off

Palermo win

65.3%

model 61.0%

Draw

23.5%

model 24.2%

Virtus Entella win

11.3%

model 14.8%

652311

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (270 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

2-0 11.7%
1-1 11.6%
1-0 11.2%
2-1 9.8%
0-0 7.8%

Goals

Over 2.5	51.2%	Under 2.5	48.8%
BTTS yes	49.2%	BTTS no	50.8%
Palermo 1+	84.8%	Palermo 2+	56.3%
Virtus Entella 1+	56.6%	Virtus Entella 2+	20.3%

Expected goals 1.89 – 0.83. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

47/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

97%

★ Best pick

Palermo (-0.5)

Asian handicap · usually 43%

63.7% fair odds 1.57

strong signal · 1134 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Virtus Entella not to score in both halves

Score both halves

84.4% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 828 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Palermo carry the stronger rating, 1632 Elo against 1412.
Form is good: 2.40 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Palermo have an estimated 65.3% win probability, against 23.5% for the draw and 11.3% for Virtus Entella. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.89 for Palermo and 0.83 for Virtus Entella.

Why Palermo

Palermo carry the stronger rating, 1632 Elo against 1412. Form is good: 2.40 points a match from the last five.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 23.5%. Draws run at 32% in this competition.

Why Virtus Entella can win

Nothing in the data singles out Virtus Entella.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Palermo, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Virtus Entella, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Palermo: 52% possession, 14.6 shots a match, 13.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Virtus Entella: 52% possession, 15.6 shots a match, 8.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-26 10:06 · team_stats 2026-10-26 06:08 · availability 2026-10-26 14:59 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Palermo are the model's most likely outcome at 65.3%. The likeliest scoreline is 2-0 at 11.7%. Confidence 47/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	612415	1.89–0.83	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	642412	1.87–0.70	2-0 13%	47%	43%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palermo to win	64.1%	58.2%	42.7%	1.36×	1.72
Draw	23.9%	24.5%	31.9%	0.77×	4.09
Virtus Entella to win	12.0%	13.4%	25.5%	0.53×	7.45

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palermo & not both score	41.0%	40.0%	23.9%	1.67×	2.50
Palermo & both teams score	23.1%	21.8%	18.9%	1.15×	4.59
Draw & both teams score	15.0%	13.3%	22.9%	0.58×	7.54
Draw & not both score	8.9%	8.3%	9.1%	0.92×	12.00
Virtus Entella & not both score	6.6%	8.3%	13.3%	0.63×	12.01
Virtus Entella & both teams score	5.5%	8.3%	12.3%	0.68×	12.01

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palermo & over 1.5	50.9%	48.8%	31.8%	1.54×	2.05
Palermo & under 3.5	44.4%	40.3%	31.9%	1.26×	2.48
Palermo & over 2.5	37.4%	34.9%	24.4%	1.43×	2.87
Palermo & under 2.5	26.7%	26.0%	18.4%	1.41×	3.84
Draw & under 2.5	20.1%	21.6%	23.7%	0.91×	4.63
Draw & under 3.5	20.1%	21.6%	23.7%	0.91×	4.63
Palermo & over 3.5	19.7%	18.0%	11.0%	1.64×	5.55
Draw & over 1.5	15.0%	12.8%	22.9%	0.56×	7.79
Palermo & under 1.5	13.2%	12.8%	11.1%	1.16×	7.79
Virtus Entella & under 3.5	10.0%	7.9%	19.9%	0.40×	12.62
Draw & under 1.5	8.9%	7.9%	9.1%	0.87×	12.63
Virtus Entella & over 1.5	7.8%	7.9%	18.8%	0.42×	12.63
Virtus Entella & over 2.5	6.0%	7.9%	15.1%	0.53×	12.63
Virtus Entella & under 2.5	6.1%	7.9%	10.6%	0.75×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	3.8%	4.8%	8.3%	0.58×	20.82
Draw & over 3.5	3.8%	4.8%	8.3%	0.58×	20.82
Virtus Entella & under 1.5	4.2%	4.8%	6.8%	0.70×	20.82
Virtus Entella & over 3.5	2.1%	4.8%	5.7%	0.84×	20.83

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palermo (1UP)	74.1%	75.3%	—	—	1.33
Virtus Entella (1UP)	27.3%	26.6%	—	—	3.76

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palermo (2UP)	64.1%	68.4%	—	—	1.46
Virtus Entella (2UP)	12.0%	13.8%	—	—	7.25

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palermo to win 2nd half	51.2%	51.8%	—	—	1.93
2nd half drawn	34.8%	34.0%	—	—	2.94
Virtus Entella to win 2nd half	14.0%	11.3%	—	—	8.83

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Virtus Entella under 1.5 in 2nd half	93.4%	91.9%	—	—	1.09
Virtus Entella under 0.5 in 2nd half	65.9%	69.5%	—	—	1.44
Virtus Entella over 0.5 in 2nd half	34.1%	30.5%	—	—	3.28
Virtus Entella over 1.5 in 2nd half	6.6%	8.1%	—	—	12.31

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palermo under 1.5 in 2nd half	71.3%	74.3%	—	—	1.35
Palermo over 0.5 in 2nd half	65.5%	70.6%	—	—	1.42
Palermo under 0.5 in 2nd half	34.5%	29.4%	—	—	3.40
Palermo over 1.5 in 2nd half	28.7%	25.7%	—	—	3.89

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palermo (+0.5)	88.0%	88.5%	74.5%	1.19×	1.13
Virtus Entella (+2.5)	81.0%	82.6%	93.3%	0.89×	1.21
Palermo (-0.5)	64.1%	63.0%	42.7%	1.47×	1.59
Virtus Entella (+1.5)	60.7%	62.9%	80.3%	0.78×	1.59
Palermo (-1.5)	39.3%	37.1%	19.7%	1.88×	2.70
Virtus Entella (+0.5)	35.9%	37.0%	57.3%	0.65×	2.70
Palermo (-2.5)	19.0%	17.4%	6.7%	2.59×	5.73
Virtus Entella (-0.5)	12.0%	11.5%	25.5%	0.45×	8.67

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Virtus Entella to concede	84.5%	81.5%	77.7%	1.05×	1.23
Virtus Entella clean sheet	15.5%	18.5%	22.3%	0.83×	5.41

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Virtus Entella to concede in 1st half	55.2%	56.3%	—	—	1.78
Virtus Entella clean sheet in 1st half	44.8%	43.7%	—	—	2.29

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Virtus Entella to concede in 2nd half	65.5%	65.5%	—	—	1.53
Virtus Entella clean sheet in 2nd half	34.5%	34.5%	—	—	2.90

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Virtus Entella under 6.5 corners	79.9%	76.1%	—	—	1.32
Virtus Entella over 2.5 corners	77.1%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
Virtus Entella under 5.5 corners	69.0%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Virtus Entella over 3.5 corners	61.2%	61.7%	—	—	1.62
Virtus Entella under 4.5 corners	55.0%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Virtus Entella over 4.5 corners	45.0%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Virtus Entella under 3.5 corners	38.8%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
Virtus Entella over 5.5 corners	31.0%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
Virtus Entella under 2.5 corners	22.9%	24.0%	—	—	4.17
Virtus Entella over 6.5 corners	20.1%	23.9%	—	—	4.18

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Virtus Entella under 3.5 goals	99.4%	97.5%	98.1%	0.99×	1.03
Virtus Entella under 2.5 goals	96.6%	97.5%	90.8%	1.07×	1.03
Virtus Entella under 1.5 goals	84.6%	81.5%	69.4%	1.18×	1.23
Virtus Entella over 0.5 goals	50.1%	53.5%	67.1%	0.80×	1.87
Virtus Entella under 0.5 goals	49.9%	46.5%	32.9%	1.41×	2.15
Virtus Entella over 1.5 goals	15.4%	18.5%	30.6%	0.60×	5.41
Virtus Entella over 2.5 goals	3.4%	2.5%	9.2%	0.27×	39.80
Virtus Entella over 3.5 goals	0.6%	2.5%	1.9%	1.34×	39.94

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Virtus Entella under 1.5 in 1st half	96.8%	96.2%	—	—	1.04
Virtus Entella under 0.5 in 1st half	75.7%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Virtus Entella over 0.5 in 1st half	24.3%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Virtus Entella over 1.5 in 1st half	3.2%	3.8%	—	—	26.05

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Virtus Entella scores equally in both	55.9%	52.7%	—	—	1.90
Virtus Entella scores more in 2nd half	27.2%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Virtus Entella scores more in 1st half	16.9%	18.0%	—	—	5.56

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palermo (away no bet)	72.9%	68.4%	57.3%	1.19×	1.46
Draw (away no bet)	27.1%	31.6%	42.7%	0.74×	3.17

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Virtus Entella even goals	62.5%	59.1%	55.4%	1.07×	1.69
Virtus Entella odd goals	37.5%	40.9%	44.6%	0.92×	2.45

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	87.2%	87.9%	—	—	1.14
Both halves over 1.5 goals	12.8%	12.1%	—	—	8.25

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	60.7%	57.4%	—	—	1.74
Both halves under 1.5 goals	39.3%	42.6%	—	—	2.35

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	56.8%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Palermo to score 2+ in a row	50.0%	46.3%	—	—	2.16
Either team to score 3+ in a row	24.2%	19.6%	—	—	5.11
Palermo to score 3+ in a row	22.7%	19.5%	—	—	5.12
Virtus Entella to score 2+ in a row	10.1%	12.1%	—	—	8.27
Virtus Entella to score 3+ in a row	1.6%	2.5%	—	—	39.99

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palermo corners (+3.5)	87.6%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Palermo corners (+2.5)	81.3%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Virtus Entella corners (+3.5)	77.2%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Palermo corners (+1.5)	73.1%	70.8%	—	—	1.41
Virtus Entella corners (+2.5)	68.5%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
Virtus Entella corners (+1.5)	58.3%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Palermo corners (-1.5)	41.7%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
Palermo corners (-2.5)	31.5%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
Virtus Entella corners (-1.5)	26.9%	29.2%	—	—	3.42
Palermo corners (-3.5)	22.8%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Virtus Entella corners (-2.5)	18.7%	20.2%	—	—	4.94
Virtus Entella corners (-3.5)	12.4%	15.5%	—	—	6.45

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	39.8%	34.0%	—	—	2.94
12+ corners	30.3%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
9-11 corners	29.9%	31.2%	—	—	3.21

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	77.4%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Over 7.5 corners	70.7%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Under 11.5 corners	69.7%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Under 10.5 corners	60.6%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Over 8.5 corners	60.2%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Under 9.5 corners	50.4%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Over 9.5 corners	49.6%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Under 8.5 corners	39.8%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Over 10.5 corners	39.4%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Over 11.5 corners	30.3%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Under 7.5 corners	29.3%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Over 12.5 corners	22.6%	23.4%	—	—	4.27

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-0	13.2%	11.5%	11.1%	1.04×	8.71
2-0	13.4%	11.5%	7.5%	1.54×	8.71
1-1	11.2%	11.5%	14.7%	0.78×	8.72
0-0	8.9%	7.4%	9.1%	0.81×	13.51
2-1	9.3%	7.4%	9.7%	0.76×	13.51
3-0	8.4%	7.4%	4.0%	1.86×	13.51
3-1	5.8%	7.4%	4.6%	1.61×	13.51
0-1	4.2%	1.7%	6.8%	0.25×	58.30
0-2	1.9%	1.7%	3.9%	0.44×	58.31
0-3	0.4%	1.7%	2.2%	0.77×	58.32
0-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.7%	2.29×	58.32
1-2	3.5%	1.7%	7.3%	0.23×	58.30
1-3	0.8%	1.7%	2.6%	0.66×	58.31
1-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.4%	4.59×	58.32
2-2	3.2%	1.7%	7.3%	0.23×	58.30
2-3	0.8%	1.7%	1.5%	1.15×	58.31
2-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.1%	13.77×	58.32
3-2	2.0%	1.7%	2.5%	0.69×	58.31
3-3	0.5%	1.7%	1.1%	1.53×	58.32
3-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.4%	4.59×	58.32
4-0	3.9%	1.7%	1.1%	1.53×	58.30
4-1	2.7%	1.7%	0.7%	2.30×	58.30
4-2	0.9%	1.7%	1.0%	1.72×	58.31
4-3	0.2%	1.7%	0.2%	6.88×	58.32
4-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.1%	13.77×	58.32
Any other score	4.2%	1.7%	2.1%	0.81×	58.30

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palermo (2nd half DNB)	78.5%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Virtus Entella (2nd half DNB)	21.5%	20.2%	—	—	4.95

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palermo leading at HT (DNB)	79.4%	75.7%	—	—	1.32
Virtus Entella leading at HT (DNB)	20.6%	24.3%	—	—	4.11

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palermo or draw (1X)	88.0%	86.6%	74.5%	1.16×	1.16
Palermo or Virtus Entella (12)	76.1%	75.5%	68.1%	1.11×	1.32
Virtus Entella or draw (X2)	35.9%	41.8%	57.3%	0.73×	2.39

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palermo or draw at HT	88.1%	88.4%	—	—	1.13
Palermo or Virtus Entella at HT	57.6%	57.4%	—	—	1.74
Virtus Entella or draw at HT	54.3%	48.6%	—	—	2.06

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palermo or draw (1UP)	88.0%	92.1%	—	—	1.09
Virtus Entella or draw (1UP)	35.9%	41.3%	—	—	2.42

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palermo or draw in 2nd half	86.0%	88.7%	—	—	1.13
Palermo or Virtus Entella in 2nd half	65.2%	66.0%	—	—	1.52
Virtus Entella or draw in 2nd half	48.8%	48.2%	—	—	2.08

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	61.1%	61.3%	—	—	1.63
Neither half drawn	38.9%	38.7%	—	—	2.58

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palermo (DNB)	84.2%	80.5%	62.6%	1.29×	1.24
Virtus Entella (DNB)	15.8%	19.5%	37.4%	0.52×	5.12

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palermo to score first	66.4%	68.9%	—	—	1.45
Virtus Entella to score first	24.7%	23.2%	—	—	4.30
No goal scored	8.9%	7.6%	—	—	13.12

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	56.5%	55.0%	46.1%	1.19×	1.82
Both teams to score	43.5%	45.0%	53.9%	0.84×	2.22

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	41.7%	41.6%	37.9%	1.10×	2.41
Both score & over 2.5	32.3%	34.6%	39.4%	0.88×	2.89
Not both score & over 2.5	14.8%	12.4%	8.3%	1.48×	8.08
Both score & under 2.5	11.2%	12.4%	14.7%	0.84×	8.09

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	91.4%	89.0%	86.1%	1.03×	1.12
Both teams to score 2+	8.6%	11.0%	13.9%	0.79×	9.09

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	77.3%	75.2%	—	—	1.33
Both teams to score in 2nd half	22.7%	24.8%	—	—	4.03

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	66.7%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
Both score 2nd half only	19.7%	15.0%	—	—	6.65
Both score 1st half only	10.6%	10.7%	—	—	9.33
Both score in both halves	3.0%	4.9%	—	—	20.55

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	86.4%	84.8%	—	—	1.18
Both teams to score by HT	13.6%	15.2%	—	—	6.60

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	51.6%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
A half without a goal	48.4%	47.4%	—	—	2.11

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	48.1%	47.2%	48.6%	0.97×	2.12
0-1 goals	26.3%	26.6%	26.8%	0.99×	3.76
4-6 goals	23.9%	22.9%	23.5%	0.97×	4.36
7+ goals	1.6%	1.8%	1.4%	1.34×	54.40

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Virtus Entella to score exactly 0	49.9%	43.0%	32.9%	1.31×	2.32
Virtus Entella to score exactly 1	34.7%	33.8%	36.6%	0.92×	2.96
Virtus Entella to score exactly 2	12.1%	12.9%	21.5%	0.60×	7.76
Virtus Entella to score 3+	3.4%	4.6%	9.2%	0.50×	21.85

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palermo to score exactly 1	28.9%	26.6%	35.9%	0.74×	3.77
Palermo to score 3+	28.7%	26.6%	16.2%	1.64×	3.77
Palermo to score exactly 2	26.9%	26.6%	25.9%	1.03×	3.77
Palermo to score exactly 0	15.5%	18.8%	22.3%	0.84×	5.33

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palermo leading at HT	45.7%	51.4%	—	—	1.95
Draw at HT	42.4%	42.6%	—	—	2.35
Virtus Entella leading at HT	11.9%	11.6%	—	—	8.66

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palermo -1: 1	39.3%	37.4%	—	—	2.67
Palermo -1: 2	35.9%	37.4%	—	—	2.68
Palermo -1: X	24.8%	23.5%	—	—	4.25

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palermo (0:1)	39.3%	37.4%	19.7%	1.90×	2.67
Virtus Entella (0:1)	35.9%	37.3%	57.3%	0.65×	2.68
Draw (0:1)	24.8%	24.2%	23.2%	1.05×	4.13

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Virtus Entella (0:2)	60.7%	67.0%	80.3%	0.83×	1.49
Draw (0:2)	20.3%	20.2%	13.1%	1.55×	4.94
Palermo (0:2)	19.0%	15.3%	6.7%	2.27×	6.56

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Virtus Entella (0:3)	81.0%	85.3%	93.3%	0.91×	1.17
Draw (0:3)	11.4%	9.9%	4.6%	2.14×	10.13
Palermo (0:3)	7.5%	5.8%	2.2%	2.59×	17.24

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Virtus Entella (0:4)	92.5%	94.5%	97.8%	0.97×	1.06
Draw (0:4)	5.0%	4.6%	1.4%	3.36×	21.73
Palermo (0:4)	2.5%	1.2%	1.0%	1.23×	81.62

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palermo (1:0)	88.0%	86.1%	74.5%	1.16×	1.16
Draw (1:0)	8.5%	6.9%	15.7%	0.44×	14.48
Virtus Entella (1:0)	3.5%	3.3%	10.0%	0.33×	30.58

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palermo (2:0)	96.5%	96.8%	90.0%	1.08×	1.03
Draw (2:0)	2.8%	2.3%	6.5%	0.35×	43.75
Virtus Entella (2:0)	0.7%	2.3%	3.6%	0.63×	43.88

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	45.4%	48.6%	—	—	2.06
Halves equal	27.8%	26.2%	—	—	3.81
1st half highest scoring	26.9%	26.2%	—	—	3.81

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palermo to concede	50.1%	53.1%	67.1%	0.79×	1.88
Palermo clean sheet	49.9%	46.9%	32.9%	1.43×	2.13

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palermo clean sheet in 1st half	75.7%	77.1%	—	—	1.30
Palermo to concede in 1st half	24.3%	22.9%	—	—	4.36

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palermo clean sheet in 2nd half	65.9%	66.6%	—	—	1.50
Palermo to concede in 2nd half	34.1%	33.4%	—	—	2.99

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palermo over 2.5 corners	84.1%	81.0%	—	—	1.24
Palermo over 3.5 corners	71.1%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Palermo under 6.5 corners	70.0%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Palermo under 5.5 corners	57.8%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Palermo over 4.5 corners	56.4%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Palermo under 4.5 corners	43.6%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Palermo over 5.5 corners	42.2%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Palermo over 6.5 corners	30.0%	28.1%	—	—	3.56
Palermo under 3.5 corners	28.9%	28.1%	—	—	3.56
Palermo under 2.5 corners	15.9%	19.0%	—	—	5.26

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palermo under 3.5 goals	88.1%	87.3%	95.9%	0.91×	1.15
Palermo over 0.5 goals	84.5%	82.2%	77.7%	1.06×	1.22
Palermo under 2.5 goals	71.3%	74.2%	83.8%	0.89×	1.35
Palermo over 1.5 goals	55.6%	58.6%	42.0%	1.40×	1.71
Palermo under 1.5 goals	44.4%	41.4%	58.0%	0.71×	2.42
Palermo over 2.5 goals	28.7%	25.8%	16.2%	1.59×	3.88
Palermo under 0.5 goals	15.5%	17.8%	22.3%	0.80×	5.62
Palermo over 3.5 goals	11.9%	12.7%	4.1%	3.10×	7.86

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palermo under 1.5 in 1st half	80.8%	84.0%	—	—	1.19
Palermo over 0.5 in 1st half	55.2%	56.1%	—	—	1.78
Palermo under 0.5 in 1st half	44.8%	43.9%	—	—	2.28
Palermo over 1.5 in 1st half	19.2%	16.0%	—	—	6.24

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palermo scores more in 2nd half	41.1%	41.6%	—	—	2.40
Palermo scores equally in both	31.8%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
Palermo scores more in 1st half	27.1%	27.8%	—	—	3.60

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	66.5%	64.1%	55.5%	1.15×	1.56
Virtus Entella (home no bet)	33.5%	35.9%	44.5%	0.81×	2.79

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palermo even goals	51.2%	50.7%	50.9%	1.00×	1.97
Palermo odd goals	48.8%	49.3%	49.1%	1.00×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	34.2%	33.6%	—	—	2.97
HT 1-0	27.0%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
HT 2-0	10.9%	11.0%	—	—	9.11
HT 0-1	9.2%	6.9%	—	—	14.51
HT 1-1	7.8%	6.9%	—	—	14.54
Any other HT score	5.0%	6.9%	—	—	14.58
HT 2-1	3.0%	2.4%	—	—	42.20
HT 0-2	1.3%	2.4%	—	—	42.32
HT 1-2	1.1%	2.4%	—	—	42.33
HT 2-2	0.4%	2.4%	—	—	42.38

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palermo at HT / Palermo at FT	40.7%	40.7%	—	—	2.46
Draw at HT / Palermo at FT	21.0%	21.5%	—	—	4.64
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	16.1%	16.7%	—	—	5.97
Virtus Entella at HT / Virtus Entella at FT	5.9%	6.1%	—	—	16.52
Draw at HT / Virtus Entella at FT	5.3%	6.0%	—	—	16.54
Palermo at HT / Draw at FT	4.2%	3.5%	—	—	28.87
Virtus Entella at HT / Draw at FT	3.6%	3.5%	—	—	28.89
Virtus Entella at HT / Palermo at FT	2.4%	3.5%	—	—	28.93
Palermo at HT / Virtus Entella at FT	0.8%	3.4%	—	—	28.99

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palermo to score last	66.6%	70.1%	—	—	1.43
Virtus Entella to score last	24.5%	26.0%	—	—	3.84
No goal scored	8.9%	7.6%	—	—	13.12

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	91.1%	92.5%	—	—	1.08
Palermo to lead by 1 at any time	74.1%	74.2%	—	—	1.35
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	50.4%	50.5%	—	—	1.98
Palermo to lead by 2 at any time	44.3%	39.3%	—	—	2.55
Virtus Entella to lead by 1 at any time	27.3%	25.3%	—	—	3.96
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	22.2%	19.5%	—	—	5.12
Palermo to lead by 3 at any time	21.1%	19.5%	—	—	5.13
Virtus Entella to lead by 2 at any time	6.2%	6.6%	—	—	15.10
Virtus Entella to lead by 3 at any time	1.1%	1.6%	—	—	64.17

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palermo most corners	52.6%	51.7%	—	—	1.94
Virtus Entella most corners	36.7%	39.3%	—	—	2.54
Corners level	10.8%	10.4%	—	—	9.59

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	86.5%	87.4%	87.3%	1.00×	1.14
1-4 goals	79.4%	78.7%	82.1%	0.96×	1.27
2-6 goals	72.1%	72.3%	72.0%	1.00×	1.38
2-5 goals	69.1%	68.8%	69.6%	0.99×	1.45
1-3 goals	65.6%	68.8%	66.3%	1.04×	1.45
2-4 goals	62.0%	63.3%	64.4%	0.98×	1.58
2-3 goals	48.1%	48.4%	48.6%	1.00×	2.06
3-6 goals	45.6%	48.4%	46.3%	1.05×	2.06
1-2 goals	43.9%	43.6%	43.5%	1.00×	2.29
3-5 goals	42.5%	43.6%	44.0%	0.99×	2.29
3-4 goals	35.5%	39.2%	38.7%	1.01×	2.55
4-6 goals	23.9%	24.5%	23.5%	1.04×	4.09
4-5 goals	20.9%	24.4%	21.2%	1.15×	4.09
5-6 goals	10.1%	14.8%	7.7%	1.92×	6.76
7+ goals	1.6%	2.6%	1.4%	1.86×	39.20

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palermo never behind	63.8%	68.5%	—	—	1.46
Virtus Entella never behind	17.0%	18.3%	—	—	5.47

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	47.3%	50.9%	46.7%	1.09×	1.97
Even number of goals	52.7%	49.1%	53.3%	0.92×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	56.2%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Odd goals in 1st half	43.8%	42.2%	—	—	2.37

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	53.4%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	46.6%	48.0%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	95.4%	95.4%	96.3%	0.99×	1.05
Over 0.5 goals	91.1%	92.3%	90.9%	1.01×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	88.3%	87.6%	91.0%	0.96×	1.14
Under 3.5 goals	74.5%	72.5%	75.2%	0.96×	1.38
Over 1.5 goals	73.7%	72.5%	73.2%	0.99×	1.38
Under 2.5 goals	52.9%	52.5%	52.4%	1.00×	1.90
Over 2.5 goals	47.1%	47.5%	47.6%	1.00×	2.11
Under 1.5 goals	26.3%	27.5%	26.8%	1.03×	3.64
Over 3.5 goals	25.5%	27.5%	24.8%	1.11×	3.64
Over 4.5 goals	11.7%	12.4%	9.0%	1.38×	8.07
Under 0.5 goals	8.9%	7.7%	9.1%	0.85×	12.93
Over 5.5 goals	4.6%	4.6%	3.7%	1.23×	21.80

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	98.4%	97.2%	98.6%	0.99×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	95.0%	97.2%	96.1%	1.01×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	86.4%	86.7%	89.3%	0.97×	1.15
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	67.4%	67.5%	67.9%	0.99×	1.48
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	64.2%	61.9%	64.0%	0.97×	1.62
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	35.8%	38.1%	36.0%	1.06×	2.63
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	32.6%	32.5%	32.1%	1.01×	3.08
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	13.6%	13.3%	10.7%	1.25×	7.54
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	5.0%	2.8%	3.9%	0.71×	35.54
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	1.6%	2.8%	1.4%	2.00×	35.63

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	90.4%	92.7%	—	—	1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half	70.4%	71.3%	—	—	1.40
Over 0.5 in 1st half	65.8%	68.5%	—	—	1.46
Under 0.5 in 1st half	34.2%	31.5%	—	—	3.18
Over 1.5 in 1st half	29.6%	28.7%	—	—	3.49
Over 2.5 in 1st half	9.6%	7.3%	—	—	13.63

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	81.4%	82.9%	—	—	1.21
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	76.8%	79.5%	—	—	1.26
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	56.1%	55.1%	—	—	1.82
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	43.9%	44.9%	—	—	2.23
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	23.2%	20.5%	—	—	4.88
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	18.6%	17.1%	—	—	5.86

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Virtus Entella not to score in both halves	91.7%	90.4%	—	—	1.11
Palermo not to score in both halves	63.9%	63.5%	—	—	1.58
Palermo to score in both halves	36.1%	36.5%	—	—	2.74
Virtus Entella to score in both halves	8.3%	9.6%	—	—	10.42

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	43.5%	46.6%	53.9%	0.86×	2.15
Only Palermo scores	41.0%	46.6%	23.9%	1.95×	2.15
Neither team scores	8.9%	7.1%	9.1%	0.79×	13.99
Only Virtus Entella scores	6.6%	7.1%	13.3%	0.54×	14.01

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	26.5%	24.9%	25.8%	0.96×	4.02
Exactly 3 goals	21.6%	22.6%	22.9%	0.99×	4.43
Exactly 1 goals	17.4%	17.5%	17.8%	0.98×	5.73
Exactly 4 goals	13.8%	12.1%	15.9%	0.76×	8.25
Exactly 0 goals	8.9%	7.6%	9.1%	0.84×	13.13
Exactly 5 goals	7.1%	7.6%	5.4%	1.42×	13.14
6 or more goals	4.6%	4.5%	3.7%	1.20×	22.33

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	36.3%	37.2%	—	—	2.69
No goals in 1st half	34.2%	35.8%	—	—	2.79
2 goals in 1st half	20.0%	21.4%	—	—	4.68
3+ goals in 1st half	9.6%	7.3%	—	—	13.63

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	43.9%	44.8%	—	—	2.23
1 goal in 2nd half	32.9%	33.9%	—	—	2.95
No goals in 2nd half	23.2%	22.9%	—	—	4.36

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Virtus Entella not to win both halves	98.3%	97.3%	—	—	1.03
Palermo not to win both halves	76.3%	75.5%	—	—	1.33
Palermo to win both halves	23.7%	24.5%	—	—	4.08
Virtus Entella to win both halves	1.7%	2.7%	—	—	36.49

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Virtus Entella to win neither half	75.9%	79.5%	—	—	1.26
Palermo to win either half	73.2%	73.1%	—	—	1.37
Palermo to win neither half	26.8%	26.9%	—	—	3.72
Virtus Entella to win either half	24.1%	20.5%	—	—	4.87

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Virtus Entella not to win to nil	93.4%	92.1%	86.7%	1.06×	1.09
Palermo not to win to nil	59.0%	59.2%	76.1%	0.78×	1.69
Palermo to win to nil	41.0%	40.8%	23.9%	1.71×	2.45
Virtus Entella to win to nil	6.6%	7.9%	13.3%	0.59×	12.67

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palermo by 1	24.8%	24.1%	23.2%	1.04×	4.15
Draw	23.9%	24.1%	31.9%	0.76×	4.15
Palermo by 2	20.3%	24.1%	13.1%	1.84×	4.15
Palermo by 3+	19.0%	17.0%	6.7%	2.54×	5.87
Virtus Entella by 1	8.5%	7.2%	15.7%	0.46×	13.90
Virtus Entella by 2	2.8%	2.7%	6.5%	0.42×	36.88
Virtus Entella by 3+	0.7%	2.7%	3.6%	0.75×	36.95