Palestino v Unión La Calera — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 22 November 2026 · CHI-Primera Division · 2627

CHI-Primera Division results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Palestino

20:00 UTC

Unión La Calera

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 27 Oct, 10:57 · 633h before kick-off

Palestino win

69.8%

model 69.4%

Draw

19.1%

model 16.5%

Unión La Calera win

11.1%

model 14.1%

701911

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (176 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-0 13.9%
2-0 12.7%
2-1 9.6%
3-0 8.8%
1-1 7.7%

Goals

Over 2.5	53.4%	Under 2.5	46.6%
BTTS yes	44.6%	BTTS no	55.4%
Palestino 1+	87.3%	Palestino 2+	61.0%
Unión La Calera 1+	52.9%	Unión La Calera 2+	17.4%

Expected goals 2.06 – 0.75. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

80/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

99%

★ Best pick

Palestino (-0.5)

Asian handicap · usually 49%

68.8% fair odds 1.45

strong signal · 1169 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Palestino under 3.5 goals

Home goals O/U · usually 91%

82.7% fair odds 1.21

moderate signal · 1431 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Palestino carry the stronger rating, 1556 Elo against 1325.
Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Palestino have an estimated 69.8% win probability, against 19.1% for the draw and 11.1% for Unión La Calera. Expected goals from the ensemble are 2.06 for Palestino and 0.75 for Unión La Calera.

Why Palestino

Palestino carry the stronger rating, 1556 Elo against 1325. Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 19.1%. Draws run at 21% in this competition.

Why Unión La Calera can win

Nothing in the data singles out Unión La Calera.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Palestino, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Unión La Calera, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Palestino: 61% possession, 16.8 shots a match, 11.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Unión La Calera: 47% possession, 11.2 shots a match, 16.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Palestino's shot volume meets a defence that concedes shots freely.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-27 10:01 · team_stats 2026-10-27 06:03 · availability 2026-10-27 14:57 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Palestino are the model's most likely outcome at 69.8%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-0 at 13.9%. Confidence 80/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	691614	2.06–0.75	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	691714	1.92–0.66	1-0 16%	48%	40%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palestino to win	69.0%	64.8%	49.0%	1.32×	1.54
Draw	17.5%	19.4%	21.2%	0.91×	5.16
Unión La Calera to win	13.6%	13.5%	30.0%	0.45×	7.43

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palestino & not both score	45.8%	42.9%	26.8%	1.60×	2.33
Palestino & both teams score	23.2%	21.8%	22.4%	0.97×	4.59
Draw & both teams score	11.5%	13.3%	16.6%	0.80×	7.54
Unión La Calera & not both score	8.7%	8.3%	16.8%	0.50×	12.00
Draw & not both score	6.0%	8.3%	4.9%	1.71×	12.01
Unión La Calera & both teams score	4.9%	4.9%	13.4%	0.36×	20.48

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palestino & over 1.5	52.8%	48.8%	36.1%	1.35×	2.05
Palestino & under 3.5	48.3%	45.1%	34.1%	1.32×	2.22
Palestino & over 2.5	38.8%	34.9%	29.3%	1.19×	2.87
Palestino & under 2.5	30.2%	30.7%	20.0%	1.54×	3.25
Palestino & over 3.5	20.6%	21.6%	15.1%	1.43×	4.63
Palestino & under 1.5	16.2%	18.0%	13.2%	1.37×	5.56
Draw & under 2.5	14.0%	12.8%	13.9%	0.92×	7.79
Draw & under 3.5	14.0%	12.8%	13.9%	0.92×	7.79
Draw & over 1.5	11.5%	12.8%	16.6%	0.77×	7.79
Unión La Calera & under 3.5	11.8%	12.8%	23.4%	0.55×	7.79
Unión La Calera & under 2.5	8.3%	7.9%	13.7%	0.58×	12.63
Draw & under 1.5	6.0%	7.9%	4.9%	1.62×	12.63
Unión La Calera & over 1.5	6.9%	7.9%	20.0%	0.40×	12.63
Unión La Calera & under 1.5	6.6%	7.9%	10.2%	0.77×	12.63
Unión La Calera & over 2.5	5.3%	7.9%	16.6%	0.48×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	3.5%	4.8%	7.6%	0.64×	20.82
Draw & over 3.5	3.5%	4.8%	7.6%	0.64×	20.82
Unión La Calera & over 3.5	1.8%	4.8%	6.8%	0.70×	20.83

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palestino (1UP)	77.0%	78.4%	—	—	1.28
Unión La Calera (1UP)	27.0%	26.5%	—	—	3.77

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palestino (2UP)	69.0%	68.4%	—	—	1.46
Unión La Calera (2UP)	13.6%	14.0%	—	—	7.14

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palestino to win 2nd half	53.8%	52.2%	—	—	1.92
2nd half drawn	32.3%	34.0%	—	—	2.94
Unión La Calera to win 2nd half	13.9%	11.3%	—	—	8.84

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Unión La Calera under 1.5 in 2nd half	94.0%	91.9%	—	—	1.09
Unión La Calera under 0.5 in 2nd half	67.3%	69.6%	—	—	1.44
Unión La Calera over 0.5 in 2nd half	32.7%	30.4%	—	—	3.29
Unión La Calera over 1.5 in 2nd half	6.0%	8.1%	—	—	12.42

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palestino under 1.5 in 2nd half	70.1%	74.3%	—	—	1.35
Palestino over 0.5 in 2nd half	66.5%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Palestino under 0.5 in 2nd half	33.5%	29.3%	—	—	3.41
Palestino over 1.5 in 2nd half	29.9%	25.7%	—	—	3.88

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palestino (+0.5)	86.4%	88.5%	70.0%	1.26×	1.13
Unión La Calera (+2.5)	79.5%	78.5%	89.5%	0.88×	1.27
Palestino (-0.5)	69.0%	68.7%	49.0%	1.40×	1.46
Unión La Calera (+1.5)	58.6%	57.1%	76.8%	0.74×	1.75
Palestino (-1.5)	41.4%	42.9%	23.2%	1.85×	2.33
Unión La Calera (+0.5)	31.0%	31.3%	51.0%	0.61×	3.19
Palestino (-2.5)	20.5%	21.5%	10.5%	2.05×	4.65
Unión La Calera (-0.5)	13.6%	11.5%	30.0%	0.38×	8.66

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Unión La Calera to concede	85.3%	86.2%	78.5%	1.10×	1.16
Unión La Calera clean sheet	14.7%	13.8%	21.5%	0.64×	7.26

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Unión La Calera to concede in 1st half	56.2%	56.4%	—	—	1.77
Unión La Calera clean sheet in 1st half	43.8%	43.6%	—	—	2.30

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Unión La Calera to concede in 2nd half	66.5%	65.6%	—	—	1.52
Unión La Calera clean sheet in 2nd half	33.5%	34.4%	—	—	2.91

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Unión La Calera under 6.5 corners	86.2%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
Unión La Calera under 5.5 corners	77.0%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
Unión La Calera over 2.5 corners	70.1%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Unión La Calera under 4.5 corners	64.1%	61.7%	—	—	1.62
Unión La Calera over 3.5 corners	52.3%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Unión La Calera under 3.5 corners	47.7%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Unión La Calera over 4.5 corners	35.9%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
Unión La Calera under 2.5 corners	29.9%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Unión La Calera over 5.5 corners	23.0%	24.0%	—	—	4.18
Unión La Calera over 6.5 corners	13.8%	14.8%	—	—	6.77

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Unión La Calera under 3.5 goals	99.5%	97.5%	97.1%	1.00×	1.03
Unión La Calera under 2.5 goals	97.1%	97.5%	88.3%	1.10×	1.03
Unión La Calera under 1.5 goals	85.8%	87.8%	68.5%	1.28×	1.14
Unión La Calera under 0.5 goals	51.7%	53.5%	31.5%	1.70×	1.87
Unión La Calera over 0.5 goals	48.3%	46.5%	68.5%	0.68×	2.15
Unión La Calera over 1.5 goals	14.2%	12.2%	31.5%	0.39×	8.19
Unión La Calera over 2.5 goals	2.9%	2.5%	11.7%	0.21×	39.82
Unión La Calera over 3.5 goals	0.5%	2.5%	2.9%	0.86×	39.95

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Unión La Calera under 1.5 in 1st half	97.1%	96.2%	—	—	1.04
Unión La Calera under 0.5 in 1st half	76.8%	75.0%	—	—	1.33
Unión La Calera over 0.5 in 1st half	23.2%	25.0%	—	—	4.00
Unión La Calera over 1.5 in 1st half	2.9%	3.8%	—	—	26.33

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Unión La Calera scores equally in both	57.3%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
Unión La Calera scores more in 2nd half	26.3%	26.5%	—	—	3.78
Unión La Calera scores more in 1st half	16.4%	17.9%	—	—	5.58

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palestino (away no bet)	79.8%	73.6%	69.8%	1.05×	1.36
Draw (away no bet)	20.2%	26.4%	30.2%	0.87×	3.79

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Unión La Calera even goals	63.4%	59.1%	53.7%	1.10×	1.69
Unión La Calera odd goals	36.6%	40.9%	46.3%	0.88×	2.45

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	87.0%	87.9%	—	—	1.14
Both halves over 1.5 goals	13.0%	12.1%	—	—	8.24

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	59.7%	60.6%	—	—	1.65
Both halves under 1.5 goals	40.3%	39.4%	—	—	2.54

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	57.8%	55.0%	—	—	1.82
Palestino to score 2+ in a row	51.8%	50.9%	—	—	1.97
Either team to score 3+ in a row	25.5%	24.9%	—	—	4.02
Palestino to score 3+ in a row	24.2%	19.6%	—	—	5.11
Unión La Calera to score 2+ in a row	9.2%	5.5%	—	—	18.04
Unión La Calera to score 3+ in a row	1.4%	2.5%	—	—	40.13

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palestino corners (+3.5)	93.4%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Palestino corners (+2.5)	89.3%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Palestino corners (+1.5)	83.4%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Unión La Calera corners (+3.5)	64.5%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
Palestino corners (-1.5)	56.0%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Unión La Calera corners (+2.5)	54.5%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
Palestino corners (-2.5)	45.5%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
Unión La Calera corners (+1.5)	44.0%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Palestino corners (-3.5)	35.5%	38.1%	—	—	2.62
Unión La Calera corners (-1.5)	16.6%	20.2%	—	—	4.95
Unión La Calera corners (-2.5)	10.7%	15.5%	—	—	6.45
Unión La Calera corners (-3.5)	6.6%	10.4%	—	—	9.60

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	37.3%	34.0%	—	—	2.94
12+ corners	33.2%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
9-11 corners	29.6%	31.2%	—	—	3.20

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	74.8%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Over 7.5 corners	72.7%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Under 11.5 corners	66.8%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Over 8.5 corners	62.7%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
Under 10.5 corners	57.7%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Over 9.5 corners	52.4%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Under 9.5 corners	47.6%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Over 10.5 corners	42.3%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
Under 8.5 corners	37.3%	36.7%	—	—	2.72
Over 11.5 corners	33.2%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Under 7.5 corners	27.3%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Over 12.5 corners	25.2%	27.5%	—	—	3.64

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-0	16.2%	13.8%	13.2%	1.05×	7.24
2-0	14.0%	11.5%	7.1%	1.62×	8.71
2-1	9.2%	7.4%	10.7%	0.69×	13.51
3-0	8.9%	7.4%	3.9%	1.90×	13.51
0-1	6.6%	7.4%	10.2%	0.72×	13.51
1-1	8.0%	7.4%	9.3%	0.80×	13.51
0-0	6.0%	7.4%	4.9%	1.52×	13.51
3-1	5.9%	7.4%	4.6%	1.60×	13.51
0-2	1.6%	1.7%	3.7%	0.47×	58.31
0-3	0.4%	1.7%	2.9%	0.59×	58.32
0-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.7%	2.34×	58.32
1-2	3.2%	1.7%	7.3%	0.23×	58.30
1-3	0.7%	1.7%	2.2%	0.78×	58.32
1-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.7%	2.34×	58.32
2-2	3.0%	1.7%	6.1%	0.28×	58.30
2-3	0.7%	1.7%	2.2%	0.78×	58.32
2-4	0.1%	1.7%	1.0%	1.76×	58.32
3-2	1.9%	1.7%	2.0%	0.88×	58.31
3-3	0.4%	1.7%	1.7%	1.00×	58.32
3-4	0.1%	1.7%	1.0%	1.76×	58.32
4-0	4.3%	1.7%	2.4%	0.70×	58.30
4-1	2.8%	1.7%	1.7%	1.00×	58.30
4-2	0.9%	1.7%	1.7%	1.00×	58.31
4-3	0.2%	1.7%	1.0%	1.76×	58.32
4-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.2%	7.03×	58.32
Any other score	4.6%	1.7%	3.4%	0.50×	58.29

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palestino (2nd half DNB)	79.5%	80.1%	—	—	1.25
Unión La Calera (2nd half DNB)	20.5%	19.9%	—	—	5.03

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palestino leading at HT (DNB)	80.5%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Unión La Calera leading at HT (DNB)	19.5%	15.5%	—	—	6.45

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palestino or draw (1X)	86.4%	86.5%	70.0%	1.24×	1.16
Palestino or Unión La Calera (12)	82.5%	80.6%	78.8%	1.02×	1.24
Unión La Calera or draw (X2)	31.0%	35.2%	51.0%	0.69×	2.85

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palestino or draw at HT	88.5%	88.4%	—	—	1.13
Palestino or Unión La Calera at HT	59.2%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Unión La Calera or draw at HT	52.4%	48.5%	—	—	2.06

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palestino or draw (1UP)	86.4%	91.9%	—	—	1.09
Unión La Calera or draw (1UP)	31.0%	38.9%	—	—	2.57

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palestino or draw in 2nd half	86.1%	88.7%	—	—	1.13
Palestino or Unión La Calera in 2nd half	67.7%	66.0%	—	—	1.52
Unión La Calera or draw in 2nd half	46.2%	47.8%	—	—	2.09

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	61.8%	61.3%	—	—	1.63
Neither half drawn	38.2%	38.7%	—	—	2.59

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palestino (DNB)	83.6%	80.4%	62.0%	1.30×	1.24
Unión La Calera (DNB)	16.4%	19.6%	38.0%	0.52×	5.11

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palestino to score first	70.0%	69.5%	—	—	1.44
Unión La Calera to score first	24.0%	23.1%	—	—	4.33
No goal scored	6.0%	7.5%	—	—	13.29

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	60.4%	56.6%	48.0%	1.18×	1.77
Both teams to score	39.6%	43.4%	52.0%	0.84×	2.30

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	44.4%	41.6%	38.0%	1.09×	2.40
Both score & over 2.5	31.6%	34.6%	42.9%	0.81×	2.89
Not both score & over 2.5	16.0%	21.5%	10.2%	2.10×	4.66
Both score & under 2.5	8.0%	8.3%	9.3%	0.89×	12.07

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	91.9%	89.0%	84.6%	1.05×	1.12
Both teams to score 2+	8.1%	11.0%	15.4%	0.72×	9.09

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	78.8%	75.3%	—	—	1.33
Both teams to score in 2nd half	21.2%	24.7%	—	—	4.05

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	68.9%	63.8%	—	—	1.57
Both score 2nd half only	18.3%	15.0%	—	—	6.66
Both score 1st half only	9.9%	6.8%	—	—	14.61
Both score in both halves	2.8%	4.9%	—	—	20.59

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	87.3%	84.9%	—	—	1.18
Both teams to score by HT	12.7%	15.1%	—	—	6.63

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	50.6%	52.5%	—	—	1.91
A half without a goal	49.4%	47.5%	—	—	2.10

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	45.3%	47.2%	43.4%	1.09×	2.12
0-1 goals	28.8%	26.6%	27.8%	0.96×	3.76
4-6 goals	24.3%	22.9%	26.8%	0.86×	4.36
7+ goals	1.6%	1.8%	2.4%	0.75×	54.40

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Unión La Calera to score exactly 0	51.7%	47.1%	31.5%	1.50×	2.12
Unión La Calera to score exactly 1	34.1%	33.8%	37.3%	0.91×	2.96
Unión La Calera to score exactly 2	11.2%	12.9%	20.0%	0.64×	7.77
Unión La Calera to score 3+	2.9%	4.6%	11.7%	0.39×	21.88

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palestino to score 3+	30.1%	32.6%	21.0%	1.55×	3.07
Palestino to score exactly 1	28.2%	26.6%	31.7%	0.84×	3.77
Palestino to score exactly 2	27.0%	26.6%	26.3%	1.01×	3.77
Palestino to score exactly 0	14.7%	14.3%	21.5%	0.67×	6.99

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palestino leading at HT	47.6%	51.5%	—	—	1.94
Draw at HT	40.8%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Unión La Calera leading at HT	11.5%	11.6%	—	—	8.61

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palestino -1: 1	41.4%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
Palestino -1: 2	31.0%	30.0%	—	—	3.33
Palestino -1: X	27.6%	26.5%	—	—	3.77

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palestino (0:1)	41.4%	42.6%	23.2%	1.84×	2.35
Unión La Calera (0:1)	31.0%	30.1%	51.0%	0.59×	3.32
Draw (0:1)	27.6%	27.0%	26.1%	1.04×	3.70

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Unión La Calera (0:2)	58.6%	63.3%	76.8%	0.82×	1.58
Draw (0:2)	20.9%	20.2%	12.9%	1.57×	4.94
Palestino (0:2)	20.5%	20.2%	10.5%	1.93×	4.94

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Unión La Calera (0:3)	79.5%	80.8%	89.5%	0.90×	1.24
Draw (0:3)	12.2%	9.9%	5.4%	1.84×	10.12
Palestino (0:3)	8.4%	5.8%	5.4%	1.08×	17.23

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Unión La Calera (0:4)	91.6%	94.5%	94.6%	1.00×	1.06
Draw (0:4)	5.5%	4.6%	4.1%	1.11×	21.70
Palestino (0:4)	2.9%	1.2%	1.5%	0.84×	81.65

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palestino (1:0)	86.4%	86.1%	70.0%	1.23×	1.16
Draw (1:0)	10.5%	12.7%	20.0%	0.63×	7.88
Unión La Calera (1:0)	3.0%	3.3%	10.2%	0.32×	30.65

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palestino (2:0)	97.0%	96.8%	89.8%	1.08×	1.03
Draw (2:0)	2.5%	2.3%	6.3%	0.36×	43.77
Unión La Calera (2:0)	0.6%	2.3%	4.1%	0.55×	43.89

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	47.7%	48.6%	—	—	2.06
1st half highest scoring	28.8%	26.3%	—	—	3.81
Halves equal	23.5%	24.5%	—	—	4.08

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palestino clean sheet	51.7%	53.1%	31.5%	1.69×	1.88
Palestino to concede	48.3%	46.9%	68.5%	0.68×	2.13

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palestino clean sheet in 1st half	76.8%	77.6%	—	—	1.29
Palestino to concede in 1st half	23.2%	22.4%	—	—	4.46

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palestino clean sheet in 2nd half	67.3%	66.8%	—	—	1.50
Palestino to concede in 2nd half	32.7%	33.2%	—	—	3.01

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palestino over 2.5 corners	89.2%	86.2%	—	—	1.16
Palestino over 3.5 corners	79.1%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Palestino over 4.5 corners	66.6%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Palestino under 6.5 corners	59.1%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Palestino over 5.5 corners	53.4%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Palestino under 5.5 corners	46.6%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Palestino over 6.5 corners	40.9%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Palestino under 4.5 corners	33.4%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Palestino under 3.5 corners	20.9%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Palestino under 2.5 corners	10.8%	13.8%	—	—	7.26

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palestino under 3.5 goals	87.2%	87.3%	91.0%	0.96×	1.15
Palestino over 0.5 goals	85.3%	87.3%	78.5%	1.11×	1.15
Palestino under 2.5 goals	69.9%	68.0%	79.0%	0.86×	1.47
Palestino over 1.5 goals	57.2%	58.7%	47.1%	1.25×	1.71
Palestino under 1.5 goals	42.8%	41.3%	52.9%	0.78×	2.42
Palestino over 2.5 goals	30.1%	32.0%	21.0%	1.53×	3.12
Palestino under 0.5 goals	14.7%	12.7%	21.5%	0.59×	7.85
Palestino over 3.5 goals	12.8%	12.7%	9.0%	1.41×	7.85

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palestino under 1.5 in 1st half	80.0%	76.7%	—	—	1.30
Palestino over 0.5 in 1st half	56.2%	56.2%	—	—	1.78
Palestino under 0.5 in 1st half	43.8%	43.8%	—	—	2.28
Palestino over 1.5 in 1st half	20.0%	23.3%	—	—	4.30

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palestino scores more in 2nd half	41.5%	41.7%	—	—	2.40
Palestino scores equally in both	31.2%	33.2%	—	—	3.02
Palestino scores more in 1st half	27.3%	27.9%	—	—	3.59

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	56.3%	56.4%	41.4%	1.36×	1.77
Unión La Calera (home no bet)	43.7%	43.6%	58.6%	0.75×	2.29

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palestino even goals	51.1%	50.7%	54.4%	0.93×	1.97
Palestino odd goals	48.9%	49.3%	45.6%	1.08×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	33.4%	33.5%	—	—	2.98
HT 1-0	28.1%	28.5%	—	—	3.51
HT 2-0	11.5%	11.0%	—	—	9.11
HT 0-1	9.2%	6.9%	—	—	14.52
HT 1-1	7.0%	6.9%	—	—	14.55
Any other HT score	5.3%	6.9%	—	—	14.58
HT 2-1	3.0%	2.4%	—	—	42.22
HT 0-2	1.2%	2.4%	—	—	42.34
HT 1-2	1.0%	2.4%	—	—	42.36
HT 2-2	0.4%	2.4%	—	—	42.39

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palestino at HT / Palestino at FT	43.6%	41.0%	—	—	2.44
Draw at HT / Palestino at FT	23.0%	21.6%	—	—	4.62
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	11.4%	12.7%	—	—	7.90
Draw at HT / Unión La Calera at FT	6.5%	6.1%	—	—	16.51
Unión La Calera at HT / Unión La Calera at FT	6.3%	6.1%	—	—	16.51
Palestino at HT / Draw at FT	3.2%	3.5%	—	—	28.92
Unión La Calera at HT / Draw at FT	2.8%	3.5%	—	—	28.93
Unión La Calera at HT / Palestino at FT	2.4%	3.5%	—	—	28.95
Palestino at HT / Unión La Calera at FT	0.8%	3.4%	—	—	29.01

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palestino to score last	69.6%	70.6%	—	—	1.42
Unión La Calera to score last	24.4%	26.0%	—	—	3.85
No goal scored	6.0%	7.5%	—	—	13.29

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	94.0%	92.6%	—	—	1.08
Palestino to lead by 1 at any time	77.0%	78.0%	—	—	1.28
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	51.7%	50.6%	—	—	1.98
Palestino to lead by 2 at any time	46.3%	44.3%	—	—	2.26
Unión La Calera to lead by 1 at any time	27.0%	25.3%	—	—	3.96
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	23.6%	19.5%	—	—	5.12
Palestino to lead by 3 at any time	22.7%	19.5%	—	—	5.12
Unión La Calera to lead by 2 at any time	5.5%	6.6%	—	—	15.13
Unión La Calera to lead by 3 at any time	0.9%	1.6%	—	—	64.39

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palestino most corners	66.4%	64.4%	—	—	1.55
Unión La Calera most corners	24.3%	25.9%	—	—	3.86
Corners level	9.3%	8.3%	—	—	11.98

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	89.3%	87.4%	87.3%	1.00×	1.14
1-4 goals	82.1%	83.4%	81.2%	1.03×	1.20
2-6 goals	69.6%	68.8%	70.0%	0.98×	1.45
1-3 goals	68.1%	68.8%	66.3%	1.04×	1.45
2-5 goals	66.5%	68.8%	64.4%	1.07×	1.45
2-4 goals	59.3%	59.1%	58.3%	1.01×	1.69
1-2 goals	46.4%	48.4%	42.4%	1.14×	2.06
3-6 goals	46.0%	48.4%	50.7%	0.95×	2.06
2-3 goals	45.3%	48.4%	43.4%	1.12×	2.06
3-5 goals	42.9%	43.6%	45.1%	0.97×	2.29
3-4 goals	35.7%	39.2%	39.0%	1.00×	2.55
4-6 goals	24.3%	24.5%	26.8%	0.91×	4.09
4-5 goals	21.2%	24.4%	21.2%	1.15×	4.09
5-6 goals	10.3%	14.8%	12.0%	1.24×	6.76
7+ goals	1.6%	2.6%	2.4%	1.05×	39.20

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palestino never behind	67.0%	69.2%	—	—	1.45
Unión La Calera never behind	17.0%	18.2%	—	—	5.49

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of goals	47.1%	50.9%	44.9%	1.13×	1.97
Odd number of goals	52.9%	49.1%	55.1%	0.89×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	55.1%	57.7%	—	—	1.73
Odd goals in 1st half	44.9%	42.3%	—	—	2.36

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	51.4%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	48.6%	48.0%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	95.3%	95.4%	92.0%	1.04×	1.05
Over 0.5 goals	94.0%	92.3%	95.1%	0.97×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	88.1%	87.6%	85.9%	1.02×	1.14
Under 3.5 goals	74.1%	72.5%	71.0%	1.02×	1.38
Over 1.5 goals	71.2%	72.5%	72.2%	1.00×	1.38
Under 2.5 goals	52.4%	52.5%	47.1%	1.12×	1.90
Over 2.5 goals	47.6%	47.5%	52.9%	0.90×	2.11
Under 1.5 goals	28.8%	27.5%	27.8%	0.99×	3.63
Over 3.5 goals	25.9%	27.5%	29.0%	0.95×	3.63
Over 4.5 goals	11.9%	12.4%	14.1%	0.88×	8.07
Under 0.5 goals	6.0%	7.7%	4.9%	1.58×	12.94
Over 5.5 goals	4.7%	4.6%	8.0%	0.57×	21.80

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	98.3%	97.2%	97.4%	1.00×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	94.9%	92.4%	91.4%	1.01×	1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	86.1%	86.7%	83.4%	1.04×	1.15
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	66.9%	67.5%	61.9%	1.09×	1.48
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	62.3%	61.9%	65.6%	0.94×	1.62
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	37.7%	38.1%	34.4%	1.11×	2.63
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	33.1%	32.5%	38.1%	0.85×	3.08
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	13.9%	13.3%	16.6%	0.80×	7.53
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	5.1%	7.6%	8.6%	0.88×	13.21
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	1.7%	2.8%	2.6%	1.09×	35.65

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	90.3%	92.7%	—	—	1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half	70.6%	71.3%	—	—	1.40
Over 0.5 in 1st half	66.6%	68.6%	—	—	1.46
Under 0.5 in 1st half	33.4%	31.4%	—	—	3.19
Over 1.5 in 1st half	29.4%	28.7%	—	—	3.48
Over 2.5 in 1st half	9.7%	7.4%	—	—	13.61

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	81.2%	82.9%	—	—	1.21
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	78.0%	79.6%	—	—	1.26
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	56.7%	55.2%	—	—	1.81
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	43.3%	44.8%	—	—	2.24
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	22.0%	20.4%	—	—	4.90
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	18.8%	17.1%	—	—	5.85

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Unión La Calera not to score in both halves	92.4%	90.6%	—	—	1.10
Palestino not to score in both halves	62.6%	63.4%	—	—	1.58
Palestino to score in both halves	37.4%	36.6%	—	—	2.73
Unión La Calera to score in both halves	7.6%	9.4%	—	—	10.61

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Only Palestino scores	45.8%	50.6%	26.8%	1.89×	1.98
Both teams score	39.6%	39.9%	52.0%	0.77×	2.50
Only Unión La Calera scores	8.7%	7.1%	16.8%	0.42×	13.99
Neither team scores	6.0%	7.1%	4.9%	1.46×	14.02

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	23.6%	22.6%	19.5%	1.16×	4.43
Exactly 1 goals	22.8%	22.6%	23.2%	0.97×	4.43
Exactly 3 goals	21.7%	22.6%	24.1%	0.94×	4.43
Exactly 4 goals	14.0%	12.1%	15.1%	0.80×	8.25
Exactly 5 goals	7.2%	7.6%	6.3%	1.20×	13.14
Exactly 0 goals	6.0%	7.6%	4.9%	1.56×	13.14
6 or more goals	4.7%	4.5%	8.0%	0.56×	22.33

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	37.2%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
No goals in 1st half	33.4%	35.7%	—	—	2.80
2 goals in 1st half	19.7%	15.7%	—	—	6.36
3+ goals in 1st half	9.7%	7.4%	—	—	13.61

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	43.3%	44.7%	—	—	2.24
1 goal in 2nd half	34.7%	33.9%	—	—	2.95
No goals in 2nd half	22.0%	22.9%	—	—	4.37

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Unión La Calera not to win both halves	98.5%	97.3%	—	—	1.03
Palestino not to win both halves	74.8%	74.1%	—	—	1.35
Palestino to win both halves	25.2%	25.9%	—	—	3.86
Unión La Calera to win both halves	1.5%	2.7%	—	—	36.62

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palestino to win either half	76.2%	79.5%	—	—	1.26
Unión La Calera to win neither half	76.1%	79.5%	—	—	1.26
Unión La Calera to win either half	23.9%	20.5%	—	—	4.89
Palestino to win neither half	23.8%	20.5%	—	—	4.89

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Unión La Calera not to win to nil	91.3%	92.1%	83.2%	1.11×	1.09
Palestino not to win to nil	54.2%	53.9%	73.2%	0.74×	1.85
Palestino to win to nil	45.8%	46.1%	26.8%	1.72×	2.17
Unión La Calera to win to nil	8.7%	7.9%	16.8%	0.47×	12.63

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palestino by 1	27.6%	27.9%	26.1%	1.07×	3.59
Palestino by 2	20.9%	24.1%	12.9%	1.86×	4.15
Palestino by 3+	20.5%	24.1%	10.5%	2.30×	4.15
Draw	17.5%	17.0%	21.2%	0.80×	5.87
Unión La Calera by 1	10.5%	11.8%	20.0%	0.59×	8.51
Unión La Calera by 2	2.5%	2.7%	6.3%	0.43×	36.90
Unión La Calera by 3+	0.6%	2.7%	4.1%	0.65×	36.95