betaider.com
Sign in

Palmeiras v Remo — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Wednesday 4 November 2026 · BRA-Serie A · 2627

Brasileirão results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily
Palmeiras win
75.3%
model 74.7%
Draw
17.7%
model 16.6%
Remo win
7.0%
model 8.8%

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (94 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

  1. 2-0 11.5%
  2. 3-0 9.8%
  3. 2-1 9.1%
  4. 1-0 8.4%
  5. 1-1 7.8%

Goals

Over 2.564.8% Under 2.535.2%
BTTS yes51.1% BTTS no48.9%
Palmeiras 1+92.1% Palmeiras 2+72.2%
Remo 1+54.7% Remo 2+18.8%

Expected goals 2.54 – 0.79. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence
84/100
Data quality
75/100
Model agreement
99%
★ Best pick
Palmeiras (-1.5)
Asian handicap · usually 23%
52.2% fair odds 1.92
strong signal · 1133 settled matches behind the band
★ Most likely to land
Remo not to score in both halves
Score both halves
84.4% fair odds 1.19
moderate signal · 827 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

  • Palmeiras carry the stronger rating, 1732 Elo against 1450.

Risk factors

  • No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.
Why the model thinks this

The price

Palmeiras have an estimated 75.3% win probability, against 17.7% for the draw and 7.0% for Remo. Expected goals from the ensemble are 2.54 for Palmeiras and 0.79 for Remo.

Why Palmeiras

Palmeiras carry the stronger rating, 1732 Elo against 1450.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 17.7%. Draws run at 27% in this competition.

Why Remo can win

Nothing in the data singles out Remo.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Palmeiras, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Remo, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Palmeiras: 51% possession, 15.4 shots a match, 11.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Remo: 47% possession, 15.2 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-24 13:59 · team_stats 2026-10-24 06:04 · availability 2026-10-24 14:57 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Palmeiras are the model's most likely outcome at 75.3%. The likeliest scoreline is 2-0 at 11.5%. Confidence 84/100, data quality 75/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

333 sports channels, playing now →

Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
ai-blend 2.54–0.79 0% 0% 0%
dc-xg 2.58–0.75 2-0 12% 65% 49%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Palmeiras to win 76.1% 78.1% 48.9% 1.60× 1.28
Draw 15.9% 19.4% 27.3% 0.71× 5.16
Remo to win 8.0% 8.1% 24.0% 0.34× 12.27
1X2 & GG/NG 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Palmeiras & not both score 43.1% 40.1% 28.1% 1.43× 2.50
Palmeiras & both teams score 33.0% 29.6% 21.0% 1.41× 3.38
Draw & both teams score 11.7% 13.3% 20.8% 0.64× 7.54
Remo & both teams score 4.6% 4.9% 10.3% 0.47× 20.56
Draw & not both score 4.2% 4.9% 6.7% 0.73× 20.57
Remo & not both score 3.4% 4.9% 13.8% 0.35× 20.60
1X2 & Over/Under 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Palmeiras & over 1.5 67.5% 67.7% 36.7% 1.85× 1.48
Palmeiras & over 2.5 55.5% 54.9% 27.5% 2.00× 1.82
Palmeiras & under 3.5 39.8% 34.9% 36.8% 0.95× 2.86
Palmeiras & over 3.5 36.3% 34.9% 12.2% 2.85× 2.87
Palmeiras & under 2.5 20.6% 21.6% 21.6% 1.00× 4.63
Draw & under 2.5 11.8% 12.8% 20.2% 0.64× 7.79
Draw & under 3.5 11.8% 12.8% 20.2% 0.64× 7.79
Draw & over 1.5 11.7% 12.8% 20.8% 0.62× 7.79
Palmeiras & under 1.5 8.6% 7.9% 12.4% 0.64× 12.63
Remo & over 1.5 5.9% 7.9% 17.1% 0.46× 12.63
Remo & under 3.5 5.9% 7.9% 18.6% 0.43× 12.63
Remo & over 2.5 4.9% 4.8% 13.2% 0.36× 20.81
Draw & over 3.5 4.2% 4.8% 7.3% 0.66× 20.81
Draw & under 1.5 4.2% 4.8% 6.7% 0.72× 20.81
Draw & over 2.5 4.2% 4.8% 7.3% 0.66× 20.81
Remo & under 2.5 3.1% 4.8% 11.0% 0.44× 20.82
Remo & under 1.5 2.1% 4.8% 7.0% 0.69× 20.82
Remo & over 3.5 2.0% 4.8% 5.6% 0.86× 20.82
1X2 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Palmeiras (1UP) 84.4% 87.9% — — 1.14
Remo (1UP) 24.3% 22.8% — — 4.38
1X2 2UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Palmeiras (2UP) 76.1% 76.8% — — 1.30
Remo (2UP) 8.0% 8.4% — — 11.90
2nd half 1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Palmeiras to win 2nd half 62.5% 60.2% — — 1.66
2nd half drawn 26.5% 25.8% — — 3.87
Remo to win 2nd half 10.9% 11.0% — — 9.09
2nd half away goals O/U 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Remo under 1.5 in 2nd half 92.5% 91.8% — — 1.09
Remo under 0.5 in 2nd half 63.8% 60.3% — — 1.66
Remo over 0.5 in 2nd half 36.2% 39.7% — — 2.52
Remo over 1.5 in 2nd half 7.5% 8.2% — — 12.18
2nd half home goals O/U 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Palmeiras over 0.5 in 2nd half 77.0% 75.5% — — 1.33
Palmeiras under 1.5 in 2nd half 56.8% 57.9% — — 1.73
Palmeiras over 1.5 in 2nd half 43.2% 42.1% — — 2.38
Palmeiras under 0.5 in 2nd half 23.0% 24.5% — — 4.07
Asian handicap 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Palmeiras (+0.5) 92.0% 92.1% 76.0% 1.21× 1.09
Palmeiras (-0.5) 76.1% 78.5% 48.9% 1.61× 1.27
Remo (+2.5) 66.6% 68.7% 90.8% 0.76× 1.46
Palmeiras (-1.5) 55.1% 57.0% 23.2% 2.46× 1.75
Remo (+1.5) 44.9% 43.0% 76.8% 0.56× 2.33
Palmeiras (-2.5) 33.4% 31.3% 9.2% 3.40× 3.19
Remo (+0.5) 23.9% 21.5% 51.1% 0.42× 4.65
Remo (-0.5) 8.0% 7.9% 24.0% 0.33× 12.68
Away clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Remo to concede 92.4% 91.9% 79.7% 1.15× 1.09
Remo clean sheet 7.6% 8.1% 20.3% 0.40× 12.29
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Remo to concede in 1st half 67.0% 70.8% — — 1.41
Remo clean sheet in 1st half 33.0% 29.2% — — 3.42
Away clean sheet 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Remo to concede in 2nd half 77.0% 75.7% — — 1.32
Remo clean sheet in 2nd half 23.0% 24.3% — — 4.12
Away corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Remo under 6.5 corners 81.1% 81.4% — — 1.23
Remo over 2.5 corners 72.4% 71.6% — — 1.40
Remo under 5.5 corners 71.5% 71.6% — — 1.40
Remo under 4.5 corners 58.8% 57.2% — — 1.75
Remo over 3.5 corners 56.3% 57.2% — — 1.75
Remo under 3.5 corners 43.7% 42.8% — — 2.33
Remo over 4.5 corners 41.2% 42.8% — — 2.34
Remo over 5.5 corners 28.5% 28.4% — — 3.52
Remo under 2.5 corners 27.6% 28.4% — — 3.52
Remo over 6.5 corners 18.9% 18.6% — — 5.38
Away goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Remo under 3.5 goals 99.3% 97.5% 97.9% 1.00× 1.03
Remo under 2.5 goals 96.0% 97.5% 90.8% 1.07× 1.03
Remo under 1.5 goals 82.7% 81.5% 71.9% 1.13× 1.23
Remo over 0.5 goals 52.7% 53.5% 65.4% 0.82× 1.87
Remo under 0.5 goals 47.3% 46.5% 34.6% 1.34× 2.15
Remo over 1.5 goals 17.3% 18.5% 28.1% 0.66× 5.40
Remo over 2.5 goals 4.0% 2.5% 9.2% 0.27× 39.83
Remo over 3.5 goals 0.7% 2.5% 2.1% 1.21× 40.00
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Remo under 1.5 in 1st half 96.3% 96.0% — — 1.04
Remo under 0.5 in 1st half 74.1% 68.9% — — 1.45
Remo over 0.5 in 1st half 25.9% 31.1% — — 3.21
Remo over 1.5 in 1st half 3.7% 4.0% — — 25.28
Away highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Remo scores equally in both 53.9% 51.3% — — 1.95
Remo scores more in 2nd half 28.5% 26.3% — — 3.81
Remo scores more in 1st half 17.6% 17.7% — — 5.64
Away no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Palmeiras (away no bet) 82.7% 82.7% 64.2% 1.29× 1.21
Draw (away no bet) 17.3% 17.3% 35.8% 0.48× 5.78
Away Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Remo even goals 61.2% 59.0% 54.9% 1.08× 1.69
Remo odd goals 38.8% 41.0% 45.1% 0.91× 2.44
Both halves O1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves over 1.5 76.5% 81.1% — — 1.23
Both halves over 1.5 goals 23.5% 18.9% — — 5.30
Both halves U1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves under 1.5 75.1% 72.2% — — 1.38
Both halves under 1.5 goals 24.9% 27.8% — — 3.60
Consecutive goals 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row 72.1% 72.0% — — 1.39
Palmeiras to score 2+ in a row 67.0% 62.4% — — 1.60
Either team to score 3+ in a row 40.0% 36.7% — — 2.72
Palmeiras to score 3+ in a row 38.7% 36.7% — — 2.73
Remo to score 2+ in a row 10.1% 12.0% — — 8.35
Remo to score 3+ in a row 1.5% 2.5% — — 39.79
Corner handicap 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Palmeiras corners (+3.5) 94.2% 89.6% — — 1.12
Palmeiras corners (+2.5) 91.1% 89.6% — — 1.12
Palmeiras corners (+1.5) 86.9% 84.5% — — 1.18
Palmeiras corners (-1.5) 67.3% 65.9% — — 1.52
Palmeiras corners (-2.5) 59.1% 57.1% — — 1.75
Palmeiras corners (-3.5) 50.7% 52.4% — — 1.91
Remo corners (+3.5) 49.3% 47.6% — — 2.10
Remo corners (+2.5) 40.9% 42.9% — — 2.33
Remo corners (+1.5) 32.7% 34.1% — — 2.93
Remo corners (-1.5) 13.1% 15.5% — — 6.44
Remo corners (-2.5) 8.9% 10.4% — — 9.58
Remo corners (-3.5) 5.8% 10.4% — — 9.59
Corner range 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
12+ corners 53.8% 45.3% — — 2.21
9-11 corners 23.7% 25.7% — — 3.90
0-8 corners 22.5% 25.6% — — 3.90
Corners O/U 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 7.5 corners 84.1% 80.7% — — 1.24
Over 8.5 corners 77.5% 76.6% — — 1.31
Over 9.5 corners 70.0% 67.8% — — 1.47
Over 10.5 corners 62.0% 63.2% — — 1.58
Under 12.5 corners 54.2% 53.2% — — 1.88
Over 11.5 corners 53.8% 53.2% — — 1.88
Under 11.5 corners 46.2% 46.8% — — 2.14
Over 12.5 corners 45.8% 46.8% — — 2.14
Under 10.5 corners 38.0% 36.8% — — 2.72
Under 9.5 corners 30.0% 32.2% — — 3.11
Under 8.5 corners 22.5% 23.4% — — 4.27
Under 7.5 corners 15.9% 19.3% — — 5.18
Corners Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odd number of corners 50.0% 50.1% — — 2.00
Even number of corners 50.0% 49.9% — — 2.01
Correct score 26
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2-0 11.9% 11.5% 9.4% 1.22× 8.72
Any other score 12.0% 11.5% 2.5% 4.52× 8.72
3-0 10.3% 11.5% 4.8% 2.41× 8.72
1-0 8.6% 7.4% 12.4% 0.60× 13.51
2-1 8.9% 7.4% 10.8% 0.69× 13.51
1-1 7.6% 7.4% 13.7% 0.54× 13.51
3-1 7.7% 7.4% 4.0% 1.87× 13.51
4-0 6.6% 7.4% 1.1% 6.66× 13.51
4-1 5.0% 1.7% 2.1% 0.83× 58.29
0-0 4.2% 1.7% 6.7% 0.26× 58.30
0-1 2.1% 1.7% 7.0% 0.25× 58.31
0-2 1.0% 1.7% 4.1% 0.42× 58.31
0-3 0.3% 1.7% 1.7% 0.98× 58.32
0-4 0.0% 1.7% 1.1% 1.54× 58.32
1-2 2.6% 1.7% 6.2% 0.28× 58.30
1-3 0.6% 1.7% 2.1% 0.83× 58.32
1-4 0.1% 1.7% 0.3% 5.40× 58.32
2-2 3.3% 1.7% 5.6% 0.31× 58.30
2-3 0.8% 1.7% 1.7% 0.98× 58.31
2-4 0.2% 1.7% 0.3% 5.40× 58.32
3-2 2.9% 1.7% 2.9% 0.60× 58.30
3-3 0.7% 1.7% 1.9% 0.90× 58.32
3-4 0.1% 1.7% 0.2% 10.80× 58.32
4-2 1.9% 1.7% 1.0% 1.80× 58.31
4-3 0.5% 1.7% 0.3% 5.40× 58.32
4-4 0.1% 1.7% 0.2% 10.80× 58.32
DNB 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Palmeiras (2nd half DNB) 85.1% 85.8% — — 1.17
Remo (2nd half DNB) 14.9% 14.2% — — 7.02
DNB half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Palmeiras leading at HT (DNB) 85.2% 86.0% — — 1.16
Remo leading at HT (DNB) 14.8% 14.0% — — 7.14
Double chance 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Palmeiras or draw (1X) 92.0% 91.9% 76.0% 1.21× 1.09
Palmeiras or Remo (12) 84.1% 80.6% 72.7% 1.11× 1.24
Remo or draw (X2) 23.9% 21.9% 51.1% 0.43× 4.56
Double chance 1HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Palmeiras or draw at HT 90.1% 91.4% — — 1.09
Palmeiras or Remo at HT 66.5% 67.1% — — 1.49
Remo or draw at HT 43.4% 42.4% — — 2.36
Double chance 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Palmeiras or draw (1UP) 92.0% 93.7% — — 1.07
Remo or draw (1UP) 24.3% 24.4% — — 4.09
Double chance 2HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Palmeiras or draw in 2nd half 89.1% 89.0% — — 1.12
Palmeiras or Remo in 2nd half 73.5% 74.2% — — 1.35
Remo or draw in 2nd half 37.5% 39.8% — — 2.51
Draw either half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A half drawn 50.4% 50.0% — — 2.00
Neither half drawn 49.6% 50.0% — — 2.00
Draw no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Palmeiras (DNB) 90.5% 93.1% 67.1% 1.39× 1.07
Remo (DNB) 9.5% 6.9% 32.9% 0.21× 14.49
First goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Palmeiras to score first 74.2% 75.8% — — 1.32
Remo to score first 21.6% 22.5% — — 4.44
No goal scored 4.2% 4.3% — — 23.27
GG/NG 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both teams to score 50.7% 51.3% 48.3% 1.06× 1.95
Both teams to score 49.3% 48.7% 51.7% 0.94× 2.05
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both score & over 2.5 41.8% 41.6% 38.3% 1.09× 2.41
Not both score & under 2.5 27.9% 33.3% 38.9% 0.86× 3.00
Not both score & over 2.5 22.8% 27.8% 9.5% 2.92× 3.60
Both score & under 2.5 7.6% 8.3% 13.7% 0.61× 12.07
GG/NG 2+ 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both teams to score 2+ 87.4% 85.6% 87.1% 0.98× 1.17
Both teams to score 2+ 12.6% 14.4% 12.9% 1.12× 6.95
GG/NG 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half 71.9% 73.6% — — 1.36
Both teams to score in 2nd half 28.1% 26.4% — — 3.80
GG/NG by half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Neither half both score 59.3% 60.0% — — 1.67
Both score 2nd half only 23.3% 21.3% — — 4.69
Both score 1st half only 12.6% 10.7% — — 9.31
Both score in both halves 4.8% 5.0% — — 20.06
GG/NG half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score by HT 82.5% 83.3% — — 1.20
Both teams to score by HT 17.5% 16.7% — — 5.98
Goal in both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A goal in each half 64.8% 59.8% — — 1.67
A half without a goal 35.2% 40.2% — — 2.49
Goal range 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2-3 goals 42.6% 42.1% 49.7% 0.85× 2.37
4-6 goals 37.3% 35.1% 24.3% 1.45× 2.85
0-1 goals 14.9% 16.9% 25.7% 0.66× 5.90
7+ goals 5.2% 7.6% 0.6% 11.95× 13.18
Goals away 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Remo to score exactly 0 47.3% 42.8% 34.6% 1.24× 2.33
Remo to score exactly 1 35.4% 35.9% 37.5% 0.96× 2.78
Remo to score exactly 2 13.3% 12.9% 19.0% 0.68× 7.76
Remo to score 3+ 4.0% 4.6% 9.2% 0.50× 21.79
Goals home 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Palmeiras to score 3+ 47.6% 37.4% 18.6% 2.02× 2.67
Palmeiras to score exactly 2 25.3% 26.5% 27.1% 0.98× 3.77
Palmeiras to score exactly 1 19.6% 18.8% 34.3% 0.55× 5.33
Palmeiras to score exactly 0 7.6% 10.3% 20.3% 0.51× 9.71
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Palmeiras leading at HT 56.6% 57.6% — — 1.74
Draw at HT 33.5% 32.9% — — 3.04
Remo leading at HT 9.9% 8.6% — — 11.63
Handicap 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Palmeiras -1: 1 55.1% 56.7% — — 1.76
Palmeiras -1: 2 23.9% 23.5% — — 4.25
Palmeiras -1: X 21.0% 23.5% — — 4.26
Handicap 0:1 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Palmeiras (0:1) 55.1% 55.8% 23.2% 2.41× 1.79
Remo (0:1) 23.9% 24.2% 51.1% 0.47× 4.13
Draw (0:1) 21.0% 24.2% 25.9% 0.94× 4.13
Handicap 0:2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Remo (0:2) 44.9% 39.2% 76.8% 0.51× 2.55
Palmeiras (0:2) 33.4% 28.9% 9.2% 3.13× 3.47
Draw (0:2) 21.7% 20.3% 14.1% 1.44× 4.93
Handicap 0:3 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Remo (0:3) 66.6% 71.7% 90.8% 0.79× 1.40
Palmeiras (0:3) 17.1% 16.1% 2.7% 5.98× 6.20
Draw (0:3) 16.3% 16.1% 6.7% 2.42× 6.21
Handicap 0:4 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Remo (0:4) 82.9% 87.3% 97.3% 0.90× 1.15
Draw (0:4) 9.6% 4.7% 1.7% 2.67× 21.43
Palmeiras (0:4) 7.5% 4.6% 1.1% 4.16× 21.61
Handicap 1:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Palmeiras (1:0) 92.0% 92.6% 76.0% 1.22× 1.08
Draw (1:0) 5.6% 6.9% 14.6% 0.47× 14.52
Remo (1:0) 2.3% 3.3% 9.5% 0.34× 30.74
Handicap 2:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Palmeiras (2:0) 97.7% 96.8% 90.5% 1.07× 1.03
Draw (2:0) 1.8% 2.3% 6.2% 0.37× 43.72
Remo (2:0) 0.5% 2.3% 3.5% 0.65× 43.80
Highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 49.0% 48.8% — — 2.05
1st half highest scoring 27.9% 26.2% — — 3.81
Halves equal 23.1% 24.5% — — 4.09
Home clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Palmeiras to concede 52.7% 53.2% 65.4% 0.81× 1.88
Palmeiras clean sheet 47.3% 46.8% 34.6% 1.35× 2.14
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Palmeiras clean sheet in 1st half 74.1% 67.7% — — 1.48
Palmeiras to concede in 1st half 25.9% 32.3% — — 3.10
Home clean sheet 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Palmeiras clean sheet in 2nd half 63.8% 60.0% — — 1.67
Palmeiras to concede in 2nd half 36.2% 40.1% — — 2.50
Home corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Palmeiras over 2.5 corners 93.8% 89.2% — — 1.12
Palmeiras over 3.5 corners 87.9% 86.2% — — 1.16
Palmeiras over 4.5 corners 80.0% 76.6% — — 1.31
Palmeiras over 5.5 corners 70.7% 71.8% — — 1.39
Palmeiras over 6.5 corners 60.9% 62.2% — — 1.61
Palmeiras under 6.5 corners 39.1% 37.8% — — 2.65
Palmeiras under 5.5 corners 29.3% 28.2% — — 3.55
Palmeiras under 4.5 corners 20.0% 23.5% — — 4.26
Palmeiras under 3.5 corners 12.1% 13.8% — — 7.27
Palmeiras under 2.5 corners 6.2% 10.8% — — 9.30
Home goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Palmeiras over 0.5 goals 92.4% 92.2% 79.7% 1.16× 1.08
Palmeiras under 3.5 goals 74.1% 74.3% 94.3% 0.79× 1.35
Palmeiras over 1.5 goals 72.8% 74.2% 45.6% 1.63× 1.35
Palmeiras under 2.5 goals 52.4% 53.2% 81.4% 0.65× 1.88
Palmeiras over 2.5 goals 47.6% 46.8% 18.6% 2.52× 2.14
Palmeiras under 1.5 goals 27.2% 25.8% 54.4% 0.47× 3.88
Palmeiras over 3.5 goals 25.9% 25.7% 5.7% 4.50× 3.89
Palmeiras under 0.5 goals 7.6% 7.8% 20.3% 0.38× 12.88
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Palmeiras under 1.5 in 1st half 69.6% 69.3% — — 1.44
Palmeiras over 0.5 in 1st half 67.0% 69.0% — — 1.45
Palmeiras under 0.5 in 1st half 33.0% 31.0% — — 3.23
Palmeiras over 1.5 in 1st half 30.4% 30.7% — — 3.26
Home highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Palmeiras scores more in 2nd half 45.4% 47.0% — — 2.13
Palmeiras scores more in 1st half 28.6% 27.7% — — 3.60
Palmeiras scores equally in both 26.0% 27.7% — — 3.61
Home no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw (home no bet) 66.7% 64.1% 53.3% 1.20× 1.56
Remo (home no bet) 33.3% 35.9% 46.7% 0.77× 2.79
Home Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Palmeiras even goals 50.3% 50.7% 51.6% 0.98× 1.97
Palmeiras odd goals 49.7% 49.3% 48.4% 1.02× 2.03
HT correct score 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
HT 1-0 27.0% 28.2% — — 3.54
HT 0-0 24.6% 24.4% — — 4.10
HT 2-0 15.0% 18.6% — — 5.38
Any other HT score 10.4% 11.0% — — 9.13
HT 1-1 8.2% 6.9% — — 14.46
HT 0-1 7.2% 6.9% — — 14.47
HT 2-1 4.5% 2.4% — — 42.00
HT 1-2 1.2% 2.4% — — 42.22
HT 0-2 1.1% 2.4% — — 42.23
HT 2-2 0.7% 2.4% — — 42.25
HT/FT 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Palmeiras at HT / Palmeiras at FT 52.6% 53.9% — — 1.86
Draw at HT / Palmeiras at FT 20.5% 21.6% — — 4.63
Draw at HT / Draw at FT 9.6% 6.0% — — 16.55
Remo at HT / Remo at FT 3.9% 3.5% — — 28.65
Palmeiras at HT / Draw at FT 3.4% 3.5% — — 28.67
Draw at HT / Remo at FT 3.3% 3.5% — — 28.67
Remo at HT / Palmeiras at FT 3.0% 3.5% — — 28.68
Remo at HT / Draw at FT 2.9% 3.5% — — 28.68
Palmeiras at HT / Remo at FT 0.7% 3.5% — — 28.76
Last goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Palmeiras to score last 74.4% 73.4% — — 1.36
Remo to score last 21.4% 25.3% — — 3.95
No goal scored 4.2% 4.3% — — 23.27
Lead at any time 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time 95.8% 95.6% — — 1.05
Palmeiras to lead by 1 at any time 84.4% 87.9% — — 1.14
Either team to lead by 2 at any time 65.7% 69.3% — — 1.44
Palmeiras to lead by 2 at any time 60.8% 61.3% — — 1.63
Either team to lead by 3 at any time 37.5% 34.6% — — 2.89
Palmeiras to lead by 3 at any time 36.6% 34.6% — — 2.89
Remo to lead by 1 at any time 24.3% 19.7% — — 5.08
Remo to lead by 2 at any time 5.1% 6.7% — — 15.02
Remo to lead by 3 at any time 0.9% 1.6% — — 63.81
Most corners 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Palmeiras most corners 74.9% 70.6% — — 1.42
Remo most corners 18.5% 19.2% — — 5.20
Corners level 6.6% 8.3% — — 11.98
Multi goal 15
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-5 goals 83.8% 83.4% 88.7% 0.94× 1.20
2-6 goals 79.9% 78.7% 73.8% 1.07× 1.27
2-5 goals 73.1% 72.4% 69.7% 1.04× 1.38
1-4 goals 71.6% 72.4% 81.7% 0.89× 1.38
2-4 goals 60.9% 63.3% 62.7% 1.01× 1.58
3-6 goals 59.4% 59.1% 47.1% 1.25× 1.69
1-3 goals 53.3% 53.2% 68.7% 0.77× 1.88
3-5 goals 52.6% 53.2% 43.0% 1.24× 1.88
2-3 goals 42.6% 43.6% 49.7% 0.88× 2.29
3-4 goals 40.4% 43.6% 36.0% 1.21× 2.30
4-6 goals 37.3% 39.2% 24.3% 1.61× 2.55
1-2 goals 31.2% 35.2% 45.9% 0.77× 2.84
4-5 goals 30.6% 35.2% 20.2% 1.75× 2.84
5-6 goals 19.0% 18.8% 11.3% 1.67× 5.31
7+ goals 5.2% 8.9% 0.6% 13.96× 11.28
Never down 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Palmeiras never behind 71.5% 77.2% — — 1.30
Remo never behind 11.4% 11.9% — — 8.42
Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odd number of goals 48.7% 50.9% 49.2% 1.03× 1.96
Even number of goals 51.3% 49.1% 50.8% 0.97× 2.04
Odd/Even 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 1st half 53.2% 51.6% — — 1.94
Odd goals in 1st half 46.8% 48.4% — — 2.07
Odd/Even 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 2nd half 51.5% 51.9% — — 1.93
Odd goals in 2nd half 48.5% 48.1% — — 2.08
Over/Under 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 0.5 goals 95.8% 95.4% 93.3% 1.02× 1.05
Under 5.5 goals 88.0% 87.6% 95.2% 0.92× 1.14
Over 1.5 goals 85.1% 87.6% 74.3% 1.18× 1.14
Under 4.5 goals 75.8% 77.3% 88.3% 0.88× 1.29
Over 2.5 goals 64.6% 61.8% 47.6% 1.30× 1.62
Under 3.5 goals 57.5% 58.6% 75.2% 0.78× 1.71
Over 3.5 goals 42.5% 41.4% 24.8% 1.67× 2.42
Under 2.5 goals 35.4% 38.2% 52.4% 0.73× 2.62
Over 4.5 goals 24.2% 22.7% 11.7% 1.93× 4.40
Under 1.5 goals 14.9% 12.4% 25.7% 0.48× 8.06
Over 5.5 goals 12.0% 12.4% 4.8% 2.60× 8.07
Under 0.5 goals 4.2% 4.6% 6.7% 0.69× 21.85
Over/Under (whole line) 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6) 94.4% 92.4% 99.3% 0.93× 1.08
Under 5 (void on exactly 5) 86.4% 86.7% 94.9% 0.91× 1.15
Over 2 (void on exactly 2) 81.2% 81.1% 64.9% 1.25× 1.23
Under 4 (void on exactly 4) 70.4% 72.4% 86.5% 0.84× 1.38
Over 3 (void on exactly 3) 54.6% 51.9% 32.1% 1.62× 1.93
Under 3 (void on exactly 3) 45.4% 48.1% 67.9% 0.71× 2.08
Over 4 (void on exactly 4) 29.6% 27.6% 13.5% 2.05× 3.62
Under 2 (void on exactly 2) 18.8% 18.9% 35.1% 0.54× 5.29
Over 5 (void on exactly 5) 13.6% 13.3% 5.1% 2.59× 7.53
Over 6 (void on exactly 6) 5.6% 7.6% 0.7% 11.47× 13.17
Over/Under 1HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half 83.2% 85.8% — — 1.17
Over 0.5 in 1st half 75.4% 78.3% — — 1.28
Under 1.5 in 1st half 58.8% 63.8% — — 1.57
Over 1.5 in 1st half 41.2% 36.2% — — 2.77
Under 0.5 in 1st half 24.6% 21.7% — — 4.60
Over 2.5 in 1st half 16.8% 14.2% — — 7.05
Over/Under 2HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half 85.1% 85.4% — — 1.17
Under 2.5 in 2nd half 69.9% 68.9% — — 1.45
Over 1.5 in 2nd half 57.4% 54.8% — — 1.82
Under 1.5 in 2nd half 42.6% 45.2% — — 2.21
Over 2.5 in 2nd half 30.1% 31.1% — — 3.22
Under 0.5 in 2nd half 14.9% 14.6% — — 6.83
Score both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Remo not to score in both halves 90.6% 90.0% — — 1.11
Palmeiras to score in both halves 51.6% 55.2% — — 1.81
Palmeiras not to score in both halves 48.4% 44.8% — — 2.24
Remo to score in both halves 9.4% 10.0% — — 9.97
Teams to score 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams score 49.3% 50.7% 51.7% 0.98× 1.97
Only Palmeiras scores 43.1% 46.6% 28.1% 1.66× 2.15
Neither team scores 4.2% 4.6% 6.7% 0.69× 21.68
Only Remo scores 3.4% 4.6% 13.8% 0.33× 21.71
Total goals 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Exactly 3 goals 22.1% 22.6% 23.0% 0.98× 4.43
Exactly 2 goals 20.5% 22.6% 26.8% 0.84× 4.43
Exactly 4 goals 18.3% 17.5% 13.2% 1.33× 5.73
Exactly 5 goals 12.2% 12.1% 7.1% 1.70× 8.25
6 or more goals 12.0% 12.1% 4.8% 2.55× 8.25
Exactly 1 goals 10.7% 12.1% 19.2% 0.63× 8.25
Exactly 0 goals 4.2% 4.5% 6.7% 0.67× 22.38
Total goals 1st half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1 goal in 1st half 34.2% 35.8% — — 2.79
No goals in 1st half 24.6% 21.5% — — 4.65
2 goals in 1st half 24.4% 21.5% — — 4.65
3+ goals in 1st half 16.8% 15.6% — — 6.40
Total goals 2nd half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half 57.4% 54.1% — — 1.85
1 goal in 2nd half 27.7% 29.2% — — 3.42
No goals in 2nd half 14.9% 14.4% — — 6.93
Win both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Remo not to win both halves 98.9% 97.2% — — 1.03
Palmeiras not to win both halves 64.4% 69.6% — — 1.44
Palmeiras to win both halves 35.6% 30.4% — — 3.29
Remo to win both halves 1.1% 2.8% — — 36.35
Win either half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Palmeiras to win either half 83.6% 83.7% — — 1.20
Remo to win neither half 80.3% 83.2% — — 1.20
Remo to win either half 19.7% 16.8% — — 5.95
Palmeiras to win neither half 16.4% 16.3% — — 6.14
Win to nil 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Remo not to win to nil 96.6% 96.1% 86.2% 1.12× 1.04
Palmeiras not to win to nil 56.9% 59.2% 71.9% 0.82× 1.69
Palmeiras to win to nil 43.1% 40.8% 28.1% 1.45× 2.45
Remo to win to nil 3.4% 3.9% 13.8% 0.28× 25.89
Winning margin 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Palmeiras by 3+ 33.4% 27.7% 9.2% 3.01× 3.61
Palmeiras by 2 21.7% 24.1% 14.1% 1.71× 4.15
Palmeiras by 1 21.0% 24.1% 25.9% 0.93× 4.15
Draw 15.9% 17.0% 27.3% 0.62× 5.87
Remo by 1 5.6% 7.2% 14.6% 0.49× 13.92
Remo by 2 1.8% 2.7% 6.2% 0.44× 36.85
Remo by 3+ 0.5% 2.7% 3.5% 0.78× 36.89
betaider.com

Sport

Football sections

Preferences

Appearance
Aider Reading the Football model · online
Open the Radar
Bet slip
Open full page
↑↓ to move ↵ to open esc to close See all results

On this page

Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

Press esc to close Read the full guide