Panathinaikos v Aris — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 5 December 2026 · GRE-Super League · 2627

GRE-Super League results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Panathinaikos

20:00 UTC

Aris

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 25 Oct, 11:02 · 993h before kick-off

Panathinaikos win

43.2%

model 42.0%

Draw

29.5%

model 32.1%

Aris win

27.3%

model 25.9%

432927

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (624 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 15.2%
0-0 11.8%
1-0 10.5%
2-1 8.6%
2-0 8.6%

Goals

Over 2.5	41.7%	Under 2.5	58.3%
BTTS yes	49.2%	BTTS no	50.8%
Panathinaikos 1+	73.8%	Panathinaikos 2+	38.7%
Aris 1+	63.5%	Aris 2+	26.8%

Expected goals 1.34 – 1.01. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

77/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

95%

★ Best pick

Panathinaikos or draw (1X)

Double chance · usually 66%

72.7% fair odds 1.38

moderate signal · 1941 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Panathinaikos under 2.5 goals

Home goals O/U · usually 82%

82.7% fair odds 1.21

moderate signal · 1431 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Panathinaikos carry the stronger rating, 1656 Elo against 1605.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Panathinaikos have an estimated 43.2% win probability, against 29.5% for the draw and 27.3% for Aris. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.34 for Panathinaikos and 1.01 for Aris.

Why Panathinaikos

Panathinaikos carry the stronger rating, 1656 Elo against 1605.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 29.5%. A combined 2.35 expected goals is a low-scoring profile, and low totals mean more level finishes. Draws run at 25% in this competition.

Why Aris can win

Form is good: 3.00 points a match from the last five.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Panathinaikos, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Aris, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Panathinaikos: 46% possession, 11.0 shots a match, 14.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Aris: 54% possession, 16.0 shots a match, 9.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-25 14:59 · team_stats 2026-10-25 06:07 · availability 2026-10-25 15:02 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Panathinaikos are the model's most likely outcome at 43.2%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 15.2%. Confidence 77/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	423226	1.34–1.01	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	473221	1.38–0.85	1-1 15%	38%	45%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Panathinaikos to win	46.9%	47.3%	41.4%	1.14×	2.11
Draw	32.1%	30.4%	25.0%	1.22×	3.29
Aris to win	21.0%	24.5%	33.8%	0.72×	4.09

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Panathinaikos & not both score	29.7%	25.2%	24.0%	1.05×	3.97
Draw & both teams score	19.1%	18.0%	16.8%	1.07×	5.56
Panathinaikos & both teams score	17.3%	18.0%	17.6%	1.02×	5.57
Draw & not both score	13.0%	13.3%	8.4%	1.58×	7.54
Aris & not both score	12.2%	13.3%	19.7%	0.67×	7.54
Aris & both teams score	8.7%	8.3%	14.3%	0.58×	12.01

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Panathinaikos & under 3.5	36.2%	34.9%	29.7%	1.17×	2.87
Panathinaikos & over 1.5	34.3%	30.8%	32.4%	0.95×	3.25
Draw & under 2.5	27.9%	26.1%	21.3%	1.22×	3.84
Draw & under 3.5	27.9%	26.1%	21.3%	1.22×	3.84
Panathinaikos & over 2.5	24.1%	21.6%	26.4%	0.82×	4.63
Panathinaikos & under 2.5	22.8%	21.6%	15.2%	1.42×	4.63
Draw & over 1.5	19.1%	18.0%	16.8%	1.07×	5.56
Aris & under 3.5	17.3%	18.0%	26.8%	0.67×	5.56
Aris & over 1.5	14.0%	12.8%	24.4%	0.53×	7.79
Panathinaikos & under 1.5	12.6%	12.8%	9.2%	1.39×	7.79
Draw & under 1.5	13.0%	12.8%	8.4%	1.53×	7.79
Panathinaikos & over 3.5	10.7%	12.8%	11.9%	1.08×	7.79
Aris & under 2.5	10.8%	12.8%	15.6%	0.82×	7.79
Aris & over 2.5	10.1%	12.8%	18.4%	0.70×	7.79
Aris & under 1.5	6.9%	7.9%	9.6%	0.82×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	4.2%	4.8%	3.9%	1.23×	20.81
Draw & over 3.5	4.2%	4.8%	3.9%	1.23×	20.81
Aris & over 3.5	3.6%	4.8%	7.2%	0.67×	20.81

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Panathinaikos (1UP)	60.2%	62.6%	—	—	1.60
Aris (1UP)	36.8%	34.0%	—	—	2.94

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Panathinaikos (2UP)	46.9%	50.0%	—	—	2.00
Aris (2UP)	21.0%	23.6%	—	—	4.25

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half drawn	41.0%	41.8%	—	—	2.40
Panathinaikos to win 2nd half	37.9%	36.2%	—	—	2.76
Aris to win 2nd half	21.1%	24.1%	—	—	4.16

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Aris under 1.5 in 2nd half	90.7%	92.0%	—	—	1.09
Aris under 0.5 in 2nd half	60.0%	60.1%	—	—	1.66
Aris over 0.5 in 2nd half	40.0%	39.9%	—	—	2.51
Aris over 1.5 in 2nd half	9.3%	8.0%	—	—	12.51

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Panathinaikos under 1.5 in 2nd half	81.4%	82.6%	—	—	1.21
Panathinaikos over 0.5 in 2nd half	54.4%	55.3%	—	—	1.81
Panathinaikos under 0.5 in 2nd half	45.6%	44.7%	—	—	2.24
Panathinaikos over 1.5 in 2nd half	18.6%	17.4%	—	—	5.75

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Aris (+2.5)	91.1%	92.1%	89.3%	1.03×	1.09
Panathinaikos (+0.5)	79.0%	78.5%	66.2%	1.19×	1.27
Aris (+1.5)	76.2%	78.5%	78.9%	0.99×	1.27
Aris (+0.5)	53.1%	52.4%	58.6%	0.89×	1.91
Panathinaikos (-0.5)	46.9%	47.6%	41.4%	1.15×	2.10
Panathinaikos (-1.5)	23.8%	21.5%	21.1%	1.02×	4.65
Aris (-0.5)	21.0%	21.5%	33.8%	0.64×	4.65
Panathinaikos (-2.5)	8.9%	7.9%	10.7%	0.74×	12.68

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Aris to concede	74.7%	76.7%	72.1%	1.06×	1.30
Aris clean sheet	25.3%	23.3%	27.9%	0.83×	4.30

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Aris clean sheet in 1st half	55.3%	56.9%	—	—	1.76
Aris to concede in 1st half	44.7%	43.1%	—	—	2.32

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Aris to concede in 2nd half	54.4%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Aris clean sheet in 2nd half	45.6%	45.1%	—	—	2.22

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Aris under 6.5 corners	82.9%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
Aris over 2.5 corners	74.7%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Aris under 5.5 corners	72.6%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Aris under 4.5 corners	58.8%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Aris over 3.5 corners	57.7%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Aris under 3.5 corners	42.3%	42.8%	—	—	2.33
Aris over 4.5 corners	41.2%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
Aris over 5.5 corners	27.4%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Aris under 2.5 corners	25.3%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Aris over 6.5 corners	17.1%	18.6%	—	—	5.38

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Aris under 3.5 goals	98.9%	97.5%	96.7%	1.01×	1.03
Aris under 2.5 goals	94.5%	92.4%	89.8%	1.03×	1.08
Aris under 1.5 goals	79.0%	76.3%	67.4%	1.13×	1.31
Aris over 0.5 goals	57.3%	59.4%	67.8%	0.88×	1.68
Aris under 0.5 goals	42.7%	40.6%	32.2%	1.26×	2.47
Aris over 1.5 goals	21.0%	23.7%	32.6%	0.73×	4.21
Aris over 2.5 goals	5.5%	7.6%	10.2%	0.75×	13.08
Aris over 3.5 goals	1.1%	2.5%	3.3%	0.76×	40.01

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Aris under 1.5 in 1st half	95.4%	96.0%	—	—	1.04
Aris under 0.5 in 1st half	71.1%	67.4%	—	—	1.48
Aris over 0.5 in 1st half	28.9%	32.6%	—	—	3.07
Aris over 1.5 in 1st half	4.6%	4.0%	—	—	24.89

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Aris scores equally in both	50.4%	50.7%	—	—	1.97
Aris scores more in 2nd half	30.8%	33.2%	—	—	3.02
Aris scores more in 1st half	18.8%	18.2%	—	—	5.51

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Panathinaikos (away no bet)	59.4%	57.5%	62.3%	0.92×	1.74
Draw (away no bet)	40.6%	42.5%	37.7%	1.13×	2.35

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Aris even goals	59.1%	56.9%	56.8%	1.00×	1.76
Aris odd goals	40.9%	43.1%	43.2%	1.00×	2.32

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	91.1%	91.9%	—	—	1.09
Both halves over 1.5 goals	8.9%	8.1%	—	—	12.37

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	53.3%	50.7%	—	—	1.97
Both halves under 1.5 goals	46.7%	49.3%	—	—	2.03

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	46.3%	46.1%	—	—	2.17
Panathinaikos to score 2+ in a row	34.1%	29.1%	—	—	3.43
Aris to score 2+ in a row	15.5%	16.2%	—	—	6.19
Either team to score 3+ in a row	14.8%	12.1%	—	—	8.27
Panathinaikos to score 3+ in a row	11.7%	12.0%	—	—	8.33
Aris to score 3+ in a row	3.2%	2.6%	—	—	38.87

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Panathinaikos corners (+3.5)	89.9%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Panathinaikos corners (+2.5)	84.3%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Panathinaikos corners (+1.5)	76.6%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Aris corners (+3.5)	74.6%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Aris corners (+2.5)	65.3%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
Aris corners (+1.5)	54.6%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
Panathinaikos corners (-1.5)	45.4%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
Panathinaikos corners (-2.5)	34.7%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
Panathinaikos corners (-3.5)	25.4%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Aris corners (-1.5)	23.4%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Aris corners (-2.5)	15.7%	20.2%	—	—	4.95
Aris corners (-3.5)	10.1%	15.5%	—	—	6.45

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	40.8%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
9-11 corners	30.2%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
12+ corners	29.0%	31.2%	—	—	3.20

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	78.7%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Under 11.5 corners	71.0%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Over 7.5 corners	69.8%	67.8%	—	—	1.47
Under 10.5 corners	61.9%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Over 8.5 corners	59.2%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Under 9.5 corners	51.7%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Over 9.5 corners	48.3%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Under 8.5 corners	40.8%	42.1%	—	—	2.38
Over 10.5 corners	38.1%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Under 7.5 corners	30.2%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Over 11.5 corners	29.0%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Over 12.5 corners	21.3%	23.4%	—	—	4.27

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.1%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	14.9%	11.5%	13.1%	0.88×	8.71
0-0	13.0%	11.5%	8.4%	1.37×	8.71
1-0	12.6%	11.5%	9.2%	1.24×	8.72
2-0	10.2%	11.5%	6.1%	1.87×	8.72
2-1	8.7%	7.4%	8.6%	0.86×	13.51
0-1	6.9%	7.4%	9.6%	0.77×	13.51
1-2	5.4%	7.4%	8.6%	0.86×	13.51
0-2	3.9%	1.7%	6.1%	0.28×	58.30
0-3	1.1%	1.7%	3.1%	0.56×	58.31
0-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.8%	2.09×	58.32
1-3	1.5%	1.7%	2.0%	0.84×	58.31
1-4	0.3%	1.7%	1.4%	1.20×	58.32
2-2	3.7%	1.7%	3.7%	0.47×	58.30
2-3	1.0%	1.7%	2.3%	0.76×	58.31
2-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.6%	2.79×	58.32
3-0	4.7%	1.7%	6.4%	0.27×	58.29
3-1	4.0%	1.7%	3.5%	0.49×	58.30
3-2	1.7%	1.7%	3.1%	0.56×	58.31
3-3	0.5%	1.7%	0.4%	4.18×	58.32
3-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.2%	8.37×	58.32
4-0	1.6%	1.7%	1.8%	0.93×	58.31
4-1	1.4%	1.7%	1.4%	1.20×	58.31
4-2	0.6%	1.7%	1.4%	1.20×	58.32
4-3	0.2%	1.7%	0.2%	8.37×	58.32
4-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.2%	8.37×	58.32
Any other score	1.5%	1.7%	2.5%	0.70×	58.31

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Panathinaikos (2nd half DNB)	64.3%	63.0%	—	—	1.59
Aris (2nd half DNB)	35.7%	37.0%	—	—	2.70

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Panathinaikos leading at HT (DNB)	66.7%	74.1%	—	—	1.35
Aris leading at HT (DNB)	33.3%	25.9%	—	—	3.86

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Panathinaikos or draw (1X)	79.0%	75.6%	66.2%	1.14×	1.32
Panathinaikos or Aris (12)	67.9%	69.6%	75.0%	0.93×	1.44
Aris or draw (X2)	53.1%	52.7%	58.6%	0.90×	1.90

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Panathinaikos or draw at HT	82.9%	84.0%	—	—	1.19
Aris or draw at HT	65.6%	67.0%	—	—	1.49
Panathinaikos or Aris at HT	51.5%	47.6%	—	—	2.10

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Panathinaikos or draw (1UP)	79.0%	83.9%	—	—	1.19
Aris or draw (1UP)	53.1%	58.8%	—	—	1.70

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Panathinaikos or draw in 2nd half	78.9%	75.9%	—	—	1.32
Aris or draw in 2nd half	62.1%	63.8%	—	—	1.57
Panathinaikos or Aris in 2nd half	59.0%	58.2%	—	—	1.72

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	67.3%	68.1%	—	—	1.47
Neither half drawn	32.7%	31.9%	—	—	3.14

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Panathinaikos (DNB)	69.1%	67.4%	55.0%	1.23×	1.48
Aris (DNB)	30.9%	32.6%	45.0%	0.72×	3.07

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Panathinaikos to score first	53.7%	53.5%	—	—	1.87
Aris to score first	33.2%	27.8%	—	—	3.60
No goal scored	13.0%	10.1%	—	—	9.93

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	54.9%	51.3%	51.6%	0.99×	1.95
Both teams to score	45.1%	48.7%	48.4%	1.01×	2.05

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	46.7%	44.3%	38.7%	1.15×	2.26
Both score & over 2.5	30.2%	34.5%	35.5%	0.97×	2.90
Both score & under 2.5	14.9%	12.4%	13.1%	0.94×	8.08
Not both score & over 2.5	8.3%	8.3%	13.1%	0.63×	12.07

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	91.6%	89.0%	88.9%	1.00×	1.12
Both teams to score 2+	8.4%	11.0%	11.1%	0.99×	9.09

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	77.5%	74.9%	—	—	1.34
Both teams to score in 2nd half	22.5%	25.1%	—	—	3.99

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	67.0%	63.4%	—	—	1.58
Both score 2nd half only	19.7%	15.2%	—	—	6.60
Both score 1st half only	10.5%	10.7%	—	—	9.31
Both score in both halves	2.8%	4.9%	—	—	20.54

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	86.7%	85.4%	—	—	1.17
Both teams to score by HT	13.3%	14.6%	—	—	6.85

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half without a goal	54.9%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
A goal in each half	45.1%	46.9%	—	—	2.13

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	48.8%	47.2%	50.8%	0.93×	2.12
0-1 goals	32.6%	30.7%	26.8%	1.14×	3.25
4-6 goals	17.8%	20.2%	21.7%	0.93×	4.95
7+ goals	0.8%	1.8%	1.0%	1.79×	54.46

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Aris to score exactly 0	42.7%	37.3%	32.2%	1.16×	2.68
Aris to score exactly 1	36.3%	35.9%	35.5%	1.01×	2.78
Aris to score exactly 2	15.5%	19.5%	22.5%	0.87×	5.12
Aris to score 3+	5.5%	8.5%	10.2%	0.83×	11.72

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Panathinaikos to score exactly 1	34.8%	32.6%	33.6%	0.97×	3.07
Panathinaikos to score exactly 0	25.3%	26.5%	27.9%	0.95×	3.77
Panathinaikos to score exactly 2	23.9%	23.3%	20.7%	1.13×	4.29
Panathinaikos to score 3+	16.1%	18.7%	18.2%	1.03×	5.33

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	48.5%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
Panathinaikos leading at HT	34.4%	33.0%	—	—	3.03
Aris leading at HT	17.1%	16.0%	—	—	6.24

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Panathinaikos -1: 2	53.1%	52.2%	—	—	1.92
Panathinaikos -1: 1	23.8%	23.5%	—	—	4.25
Panathinaikos -1: X	23.2%	23.5%	—	—	4.25

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Aris (0:1)	53.1%	51.3%	58.6%	0.88×	1.95
Panathinaikos (0:1)	23.8%	24.2%	21.1%	1.15×	4.13
Draw (0:1)	23.2%	24.2%	20.5%	1.18×	4.13

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Aris (0:2)	76.2%	79.4%	78.9%	1.01×	1.26
Draw (0:2)	14.8%	11.0%	10.7%	1.03×	9.09
Panathinaikos (0:2)	8.9%	7.7%	10.7%	0.72×	13.03

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Aris (0:3)	91.1%	92.7%	89.3%	1.04×	1.08
Draw (0:3)	6.2%	5.8%	8.0%	0.73×	17.25
Panathinaikos (0:3)	2.7%	2.4%	2.9%	0.83×	42.11

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Aris (0:4)	97.3%	98.1%	97.1%	1.01×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	2.0%	1.2%	1.8%	0.66×	81.94
Panathinaikos (0:4)	0.7%	1.2%	1.2%	0.99×	82.09

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Panathinaikos (1:0)	79.0%	78.6%	66.2%	1.19×	1.27
Draw (1:0)	13.5%	12.7%	20.1%	0.63×	7.87
Aris (1:0)	7.5%	6.9%	13.9%	0.50×	14.48

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Panathinaikos (2:0)	92.5%	94.0%	86.1%	1.09×	1.06
Draw (2:0)	5.7%	6.4%	8.4%	0.76×	15.69
Aris (2:0)	1.8%	2.3%	5.7%	0.40×	43.77

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	43.0%	45.9%	—	—	2.18
Halves equal	31.6%	28.2%	—	—	3.54
1st half highest scoring	25.3%	26.2%	—	—	3.82

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Panathinaikos to concede	57.3%	60.7%	67.8%	0.89×	1.65
Panathinaikos clean sheet	42.7%	39.3%	32.2%	1.22×	2.54

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Panathinaikos clean sheet in 1st half	71.1%	66.6%	—	—	1.50
Panathinaikos to concede in 1st half	28.9%	33.4%	—	—	2.99

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Panathinaikos clean sheet in 2nd half	60.0%	59.7%	—	—	1.68
Panathinaikos to concede in 2nd half	40.0%	40.3%	—	—	2.48

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Panathinaikos over 2.5 corners	85.4%	86.2%	—	—	1.16
Panathinaikos over 3.5 corners	72.8%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Panathinaikos under 6.5 corners	68.6%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Panathinaikos over 4.5 corners	58.3%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Panathinaikos under 5.5 corners	56.0%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Panathinaikos over 5.5 corners	44.0%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Panathinaikos under 4.5 corners	41.7%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Panathinaikos over 6.5 corners	31.4%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Panathinaikos under 3.5 corners	27.2%	28.1%	—	—	3.55
Panathinaikos under 2.5 corners	14.7%	13.8%	—	—	7.26

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Panathinaikos under 3.5 goals	94.9%	92.2%	94.3%	0.98×	1.08
Panathinaikos under 2.5 goals	83.9%	82.2%	81.8%	1.01×	1.22
Panathinaikos over 0.5 goals	74.7%	74.3%	72.1%	1.03×	1.35
Panathinaikos under 1.5 goals	60.0%	63.6%	61.3%	1.04×	1.57
Panathinaikos over 1.5 goals	40.0%	36.4%	38.7%	0.94×	2.75
Panathinaikos under 0.5 goals	25.3%	25.7%	27.9%	0.92×	3.89
Panathinaikos over 2.5 goals	16.1%	17.8%	18.2%	0.97×	5.63
Panathinaikos over 3.5 goals	5.1%	7.8%	5.7%	1.35×	12.89

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Panathinaikos under 1.5 in 1st half	88.1%	90.2%	—	—	1.11
Panathinaikos under 0.5 in 1st half	55.3%	56.8%	—	—	1.76
Panathinaikos over 0.5 in 1st half	44.7%	43.2%	—	—	2.31
Panathinaikos over 1.5 in 1st half	11.9%	9.8%	—	—	10.18

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Panathinaikos scores equally in both	38.4%	37.8%	—	—	2.64
Panathinaikos scores more in 2nd half	36.6%	37.8%	—	—	2.65
Panathinaikos scores more in 1st half	25.0%	21.2%	—	—	4.72

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	60.5%	59.9%	42.5%	1.41×	1.67
Aris (home no bet)	39.5%	40.1%	57.5%	0.70×	2.50

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Panathinaikos even goals	53.2%	50.7%	52.9%	0.96×	1.97
Panathinaikos odd goals	46.8%	49.3%	47.1%	1.05×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	39.8%	39.5%	—	—	2.53
HT 1-0	22.9%	24.3%	—	—	4.11
HT 0-1	13.0%	11.0%	—	—	9.10
HT 1-1	8.3%	6.9%	—	—	14.45
HT 2-0	6.9%	6.9%	—	—	14.47
Any other HT score	2.7%	2.4%	—	—	42.03
HT 0-2	2.3%	2.4%	—	—	42.06
HT 2-1	2.3%	2.4%	—	—	42.05
HT 1-2	1.4%	2.4%	—	—	42.12
HT 2-2	0.4%	2.4%	—	—	42.18

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Panathinaikos at HT / Panathinaikos at FT	27.8%	27.3%	—	—	3.67
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	22.2%	21.7%	—	—	4.61
Draw at HT / Panathinaikos at FT	17.2%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Aris at HT / Aris at FT	10.6%	12.6%	—	—	7.92
Draw at HT / Aris at FT	9.1%	6.1%	—	—	16.39
Panathinaikos at HT / Draw at FT	5.3%	6.1%	—	—	16.50
Aris at HT / Draw at FT	4.6%	3.5%	—	—	28.80
Aris at HT / Panathinaikos at FT	1.9%	3.5%	—	—	28.90
Panathinaikos at HT / Aris at FT	1.3%	3.5%	—	—	28.92

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Panathinaikos to score last	54.0%	52.2%	—	—	1.92
Aris to score last	33.0%	32.5%	—	—	3.08
No goal scored	13.0%	9.5%	—	—	10.56

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	87.0%	91.1%	—	—	1.10
Panathinaikos to lead by 1 at any time	60.2%	61.2%	—	—	1.64
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	39.4%	34.8%	—	—	2.88
Aris to lead by 1 at any time	36.8%	34.7%	—	—	2.89
Panathinaikos to lead by 2 at any time	28.5%	25.4%	—	—	3.94
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	12.9%	10.5%	—	—	9.51
Aris to lead by 2 at any time	10.9%	10.5%	—	—	9.54
Panathinaikos to lead by 3 at any time	10.4%	10.5%	—	—	9.55
Aris to lead by 3 at any time	2.5%	1.6%	—	—	62.54

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Panathinaikos most corners	56.5%	55.6%	—	—	1.80
Aris most corners	32.8%	34.4%	—	—	2.91
Corners level	10.7%	10.4%	—	—	9.58

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	84.4%	83.4%	88.5%	0.94×	1.20
1-4 goals	79.4%	78.7%	80.1%	0.98×	1.27
1-3 goals	68.4%	68.8%	69.3%	0.99×	1.45
2-6 goals	66.6%	68.8%	72.3%	0.95×	1.45
2-5 goals	64.8%	63.3%	70.1%	0.90×	1.58
2-4 goals	59.9%	59.1%	61.7%	0.96×	1.69
2-3 goals	48.8%	48.5%	50.8%	0.95×	2.06
1-2 goals	48.5%	48.5%	43.4%	1.12×	2.06
3-6 goals	37.7%	39.2%	47.5%	0.82×	2.55
3-5 goals	35.8%	39.2%	45.3%	0.87×	2.55
3-4 goals	30.9%	35.2%	36.9%	0.95×	2.84
4-6 goals	17.8%	18.8%	21.7%	0.87×	5.31
4-5 goals	16.0%	18.8%	19.5%	0.97×	5.31
5-6 goals	6.8%	8.9%	10.9%	0.82×	11.27
7+ goals	0.8%	2.6%	1.0%	2.49×	39.22

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Panathinaikos never behind	50.2%	62.2%	—	—	1.61
Aris never behind	26.8%	30.0%	—	—	3.34

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of goals	55.1%	50.5%	46.3%	1.09×	1.98
Odd number of goals	44.9%	49.5%	53.7%	0.92×	2.02

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	58.5%	57.7%	—	—	1.73
Odd goals in 1st half	41.5%	42.3%	—	—	2.36

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	55.3%	58.6%	—	—	1.71
Odd goals in 2nd half	44.7%	41.4%	—	—	2.41

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	97.4%	95.4%	96.7%	0.99×	1.05
Under 4.5 goals	92.5%	92.3%	88.3%	1.04×	1.08
Over 0.5 goals	87.0%	87.6%	91.6%	0.96×	1.14
Under 3.5 goals	81.4%	82.3%	77.5%	1.06×	1.22
Over 1.5 goals	67.4%	66.3%	73.2%	0.91×	1.51
Under 2.5 goals	61.6%	61.7%	51.6%	1.20×	1.62
Over 2.5 goals	38.5%	38.3%	48.4%	0.79×	2.61
Under 1.5 goals	32.6%	33.7%	26.8%	1.26×	2.97
Over 3.5 goals	18.6%	17.7%	22.5%	0.78×	5.65
Under 0.5 goals	13.0%	12.4%	8.4%	1.48×	8.06
Over 4.5 goals	7.5%	7.7%	11.7%	0.66×	12.95
Over 5.5 goals	2.6%	4.6%	3.3%	1.40×	21.86

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	99.2%	97.2%	99.0%	0.98×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	97.2%	97.2%	96.4%	1.01×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	91.5%	92.4%	86.9%	1.06×	1.08
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	76.8%	75.9%	69.6%	1.09×	1.32
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	54.1%	51.9%	64.3%	0.81×	1.93
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	45.9%	48.1%	35.7%	1.35×	2.08
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	23.2%	24.1%	30.4%	0.79×	4.15
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	8.5%	7.6%	13.1%	0.58×	13.16
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	2.8%	2.8%	3.6%	0.79×	35.59
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	0.8%	2.8%	1.0%	2.68×	35.65

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	93.2%	92.7%	—	—	1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half	75.7%	78.4%	—	—	1.28
Over 0.5 in 1st half	60.2%	63.1%	—	—	1.59
Under 0.5 in 1st half	39.8%	36.9%	—	—	2.71
Over 1.5 in 1st half	24.3%	21.6%	—	—	4.64
Over 2.5 in 1st half	6.8%	7.3%	—	—	13.71

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	85.8%	85.4%	—	—	1.17
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	71.8%	77.5%	—	—	1.29
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	62.1%	61.3%	—	—	1.63
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	37.9%	38.7%	—	—	2.59
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	28.2%	22.5%	—	—	4.45
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	14.2%	14.6%	—	—	6.84

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Aris not to score in both halves	88.5%	85.6%	—	—	1.17
Panathinaikos not to score in both halves	75.7%	78.5%	—	—	1.27
Panathinaikos to score in both halves	24.3%	21.5%	—	—	4.64
Aris to score in both halves	11.5%	14.4%	—	—	6.95

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	45.1%	50.7%	48.4%	1.05×	1.97
Only Panathinaikos scores	29.7%	26.1%	24.0%	1.09×	3.84
Neither team scores	13.0%	11.0%	8.4%	1.31×	9.06
Only Aris scores	12.2%	11.0%	19.7%	0.56×	9.07

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	29.0%	24.9%	25.0%	1.00×	4.02
Exactly 3 goals	19.9%	17.5%	26.0%	0.67×	5.73
Exactly 1 goals	19.5%	17.5%	18.6%	0.94×	5.73
Exactly 0 goals	13.0%	12.1%	8.4%	1.44×	8.25
Exactly 4 goals	11.1%	12.1%	11.1%	1.10×	8.25
Exactly 5 goals	4.9%	4.5%	8.6%	0.52×	22.35
6 or more goals	2.6%	4.5%	3.3%	1.36×	22.38

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
No goals in 1st half	39.8%	37.4%	—	—	2.67
1 goal in 1st half	35.9%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
2 goals in 1st half	17.5%	15.6%	—	—	6.41
3+ goals in 1st half	6.8%	7.3%	—	—	13.71

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	37.9%	40.4%	—	—	2.48
1 goal in 2nd half	33.9%	33.8%	—	—	2.96
No goals in 2nd half	28.2%	29.4%	—	—	3.40

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Aris not to win both halves	96.2%	97.2%	—	—	1.03
Panathinaikos not to win both halves	86.6%	87.9%	—	—	1.14
Panathinaikos to win both halves	13.4%	12.1%	—	—	8.29
Aris to win both halves	3.8%	2.8%	—	—	35.44

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Aris to win neither half	65.6%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Panathinaikos to win either half	58.8%	59.2%	—	—	1.69
Panathinaikos to win neither half	41.2%	40.8%	—	—	2.45
Aris to win either half	34.4%	32.4%	—	—	3.09

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Aris not to win to nil	87.8%	88.1%	80.3%	1.10×	1.14
Panathinaikos not to win to nil	70.3%	75.3%	76.0%	0.99×	1.33
Panathinaikos to win to nil	29.7%	24.7%	24.0%	1.03×	4.05
Aris to win to nil	12.2%	11.9%	19.7%	0.60×	8.42

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	32.1%	27.7%	25.0%	1.11×	3.61
Panathinaikos by 1	23.2%	24.1%	20.5%	1.18×	4.15
Panathinaikos by 2	14.8%	11.8%	10.7%	1.10×	8.51
Aris by 1	13.5%	11.8%	20.1%	0.59×	8.51
Panathinaikos by 3+	8.9%	7.2%	10.7%	0.68×	13.90
Aris by 2	5.7%	7.2%	8.4%	0.86×	13.91
Aris by 3+	1.8%	2.7%	5.7%	0.47×	36.87