Panserraikos FC v Asteras Tripolis II — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Sunday 13 September 2026 · GRE-Super League 2 · 2627
GRE-Super League 2
results-only Prediction generated
AI prediction
ai-blend v1.0 dailyCalibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (6,392 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.
Top 5 scorelines
- 1-1 12.4%
- 0-1 10.6%
- 1-2 8.9%
- 1-0 8.7%
- 0-2 7.6%
Goals
| Over 2.5 | 48.3% | Under 2.5 | 51.7% |
| BTTS yes | 52.6% | BTTS no | 47.4% |
| Panserraikos FC 1+ | 69.1% | Panserraikos FC 2+ | 32.8% |
| Asteras Tripolis II 1+ | 76.1% | Asteras Tripolis II 2+ | 41.9% |
Expected goals 1.18 – 1.43. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.
Footing
Positive factors
- Asteras Tripolis II carry the stronger rating, 1483 Elo against 1335.
Risk factors
- Data quality is 0/100, so this price rests on less than the model would like.
- Asteras Tripolis II have only 1 matches on record.
Why the model thinks this
The price
Asteras Tripolis II have an estimated 41.5% win probability, against 31.4% for Panserraikos FC and 27.1% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.18 for Panserraikos FC and 1.43 for Asteras Tripolis II.
Why Panserraikos FC
They have had 30 days' rest to Asteras Tripolis II's 7.
Why the draw is live
The draw sits at 27.1%.
Why Asteras Tripolis II can win
Asteras Tripolis II carry the stronger rating, 1483 Elo against 1335.
Key players
No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.
Availability
No lineup on record for Panserraikos FC, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Asteras Tripolis II, so availability is unknown.
The matchup, as far as the data reaches
Panserraikos FC: 43% possession, 9.0 shots a match, 10.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Asteras Tripolis II: 50% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.
Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-10 15:23 · team_stats 2026-09-09 06:03 · availability 2026-09-10 15:32 · prediction 2026-09-09 09:54 ·
Asteras Tripolis II are the model's most likely outcome at 41.5%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 12.4%. Confidence 0/100, data quality 0/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.
Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.
Was this pick made in advance?
-oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches
played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight.
Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.What the model said
| Model | Home / Draw / Away | Expected goals | Likeliest score | O2.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ai-blend | 1.18–1.43 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest:
it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.