Panthrakikos v Panserraikos FC — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Sunday 4 October 2026 · GRE-Super League 2 · 2627
GRE-Super League 2
results-only Prediction generated
AI prediction
ai-blend v1.0 dailyRaw model output; no calibration record for this fixture's bands yet.
Top 5 scorelines
- 1-0 11.9%
- 1-1 11.8%
- 2-0 9.7%
- 2-1 9.5%
- 0-0 7.4%
Goals
| Over 2.5 | 48.3% | Under 2.5 | 51.7% |
| BTTS yes | 50.4% | BTTS no | 49.6% |
| Panthrakikos 1+ | 80.2% | Panthrakikos 2+ | 48.1% |
| Panserraikos FC 1+ | 62.8% | Panserraikos FC 2+ | 26.0% |
Expected goals 1.62 – 0.99. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.
Footing
Positive factors
- Panthrakikos carry the stronger rating, 1498 Elo against 1335.
Risk factors
- Data quality is 0/100, so this price rests on less than the model would like.
- Panthrakikos have only 1 matches on record.
Why the model thinks this
The price
Panthrakikos have an estimated 52.1% win probability, against 24.8% for the draw and 23.1% for Panserraikos FC. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.62 for Panthrakikos and 0.99 for Panserraikos FC.
Why Panthrakikos
Panthrakikos carry the stronger rating, 1498 Elo against 1335.
Why the draw is live
The draw sits at 24.8%.
Why Panserraikos FC can win
Nothing in the data singles out Panserraikos FC.
Key players
No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.
Availability
No lineup on record for Panthrakikos, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Panserraikos FC, so availability is unknown.
The matchup, as far as the data reaches
Panthrakikos: 50% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Panserraikos FC: 43% possession, 9.0 shots a match, 10.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.
Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-08 10:52 · team_stats 2026-09-08 06:03 · availability 2026-09-08 11:54 · prediction 2026-09-08 11:44 ·
Panthrakikos are the model's most likely outcome at 52.1%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-0 at 11.9%. Confidence 0/100, data quality 0/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.
Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.
Was this pick made in advance?
-oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches
played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight.
Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.What the model said
| Model | Home / Draw / Away | Expected goals | Likeliest score | O2.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ai-blend | 1.62–0.99 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest:
it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.