PAOK v Panathinaikos — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 12 December 2026 · GRE-Super League · 2627

GRE-Super League results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

PAOK

20:00 UTC

Panathinaikos

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 25 Oct, 11:02 · 1,161h before kick-off

PAOK win

49.2%

model 48.1%

Draw

27.7%

model 29.2%

Panathinaikos win

23.0%

model 22.6%

492823

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (522 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 14.0%
2-1 9.5%
1-0 9.3%
0-0 9.3%
2-0 9.1%

Goals

Over 2.5	49.0%	Under 2.5	51.0%
BTTS yes	53.6%	BTTS no	46.4%
PAOK 1+	79.7%	PAOK 2+	47.3%
Panathinaikos 1+	64.7%	Panathinaikos 2+	27.9%

Expected goals 1.60 – 1.04. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

79/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

98%

★ Best pick

PAOK or draw (1X)

Double chance · usually 66%

77.3% fair odds 1.29

moderate signal · 1708 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

PAOK or draw at HT

Double chance 1HT

82.7% fair odds 1.21

moderate signal · 756 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

PAOK carry the stronger rating, 1725 Elo against 1656.
Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

PAOK have an estimated 49.2% win probability, against 27.7% for the draw and 23.0% for Panathinaikos. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.59 for PAOK and 1.04 for Panathinaikos.

Why PAOK

PAOK carry the stronger rating, 1725 Elo against 1656. Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 27.7%. Draws run at 25% in this competition.

Why Panathinaikos can win

Nothing in the data singles out Panathinaikos.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for PAOK, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Panathinaikos, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

PAOK: 49% possession, 12.2 shots a match, 17.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Panathinaikos: 46% possession, 11.0 shots a match, 14.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-25 14:59 · team_stats 2026-10-25 06:07 · availability 2026-10-25 15:02 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

PAOK are the model's most likely outcome at 49.2%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 14.0%. Confidence 79/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	482923	1.60–1.04	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	473023	1.53–1.03	1-1 14%	47%	52%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PAOK to win	46.6%	47.3%	41.4%	1.14×	2.11
Draw	30.0%	30.4%	25.0%	1.21×	3.29
Panathinaikos to win	23.4%	24.5%	33.8%	0.72×	4.09

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PAOK & not both score	25.8%	25.2%	24.0%	1.05×	3.98
PAOK & both teams score	20.8%	21.8%	17.6%	1.24×	4.59
Draw & both teams score	20.1%	21.8%	16.8%	1.30×	4.59
Panathinaikos & both teams score	11.6%	13.3%	14.3%	0.92×	7.54
Panathinaikos & not both score	11.8%	13.3%	19.7%	0.67×	7.54
Draw & not both score	9.9%	8.3%	8.4%	0.99×	12.00

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PAOK & over 1.5	36.9%	34.9%	32.4%	1.08×	2.87
PAOK & under 3.5	32.7%	30.8%	29.7%	1.03×	3.25
PAOK & over 2.5	27.9%	26.1%	26.4%	0.99×	3.84
Draw & under 2.5	24.3%	21.6%	21.3%	1.01×	4.63
Draw & under 3.5	24.3%	21.6%	21.3%	1.01×	4.63
Draw & over 1.5	20.1%	21.6%	16.8%	1.29×	4.63
PAOK & under 2.5	18.8%	18.0%	15.2%	1.19×	5.56
Panathinaikos & over 1.5	17.5%	18.0%	24.4%	0.74×	5.56
Panathinaikos & under 3.5	17.6%	18.0%	26.8%	0.67×	5.56
PAOK & over 3.5	14.0%	12.8%	11.9%	1.08×	7.79
Panathinaikos & over 2.5	13.4%	12.8%	18.4%	0.70×	7.79
PAOK & under 1.5	9.7%	7.9%	9.2%	0.86×	12.63
Draw & under 1.5	9.9%	7.9%	8.4%	0.94×	12.63
Panathinaikos & under 2.5	9.9%	7.9%	15.6%	0.51×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	5.7%	7.9%	3.9%	2.03×	12.63
Draw & over 3.5	5.7%	7.9%	3.9%	2.03×	12.63
Panathinaikos & under 1.5	5.8%	7.9%	9.6%	0.82×	12.63
Panathinaikos & over 3.5	5.7%	7.9%	7.2%	1.10×	12.63

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PAOK (1UP)	61.6%	62.7%	—	—	1.59
Panathinaikos (1UP)	41.2%	38.6%	—	—	2.59

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PAOK (2UP)	46.6%	49.9%	—	—	2.00
Panathinaikos (2UP)	23.4%	23.7%	—	—	4.21

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PAOK to win 2nd half	38.4%	36.2%	—	—	2.76
2nd half drawn	38.0%	36.2%	—	—	2.76
Panathinaikos to win 2nd half	23.6%	24.2%	—	—	4.13

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Panathinaikos under 1.5 in 2nd half	87.3%	86.8%	—	—	1.15
Panathinaikos under 0.5 in 2nd half	54.0%	52.7%	—	—	1.90
Panathinaikos over 0.5 in 2nd half	46.0%	47.3%	—	—	2.12
Panathinaikos over 1.5 in 2nd half	12.7%	13.2%	—	—	7.58

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PAOK under 1.5 in 2nd half	78.4%	75.2%	—	—	1.33
PAOK over 0.5 in 2nd half	58.1%	58.3%	—	—	1.72
PAOK under 0.5 in 2nd half	41.9%	41.7%	—	—	2.40
PAOK over 1.5 in 2nd half	21.6%	24.8%	—	—	4.03

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Panathinaikos (+2.5)	90.0%	88.5%	89.3%	0.99×	1.13
PAOK (+0.5)	76.6%	78.5%	66.2%	1.19×	1.27
Panathinaikos (+1.5)	75.2%	78.5%	78.9%	0.99×	1.27
Panathinaikos (+0.5)	53.4%	52.4%	58.6%	0.89×	1.91
PAOK (-0.5)	46.6%	47.6%	41.4%	1.15×	2.10
PAOK (-1.5)	24.8%	21.5%	21.1%	1.02×	4.64
Panathinaikos (-0.5)	23.4%	21.5%	33.8%	0.64×	4.65
PAOK (-2.5)	10.0%	11.5%	10.7%	1.08×	8.69

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Panathinaikos to concede	78.3%	78.8%	72.1%	1.09×	1.27
Panathinaikos clean sheet	21.7%	21.2%	27.9%	0.76×	4.72

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Panathinaikos clean sheet in 1st half	51.9%	50.5%	—	—	1.98
Panathinaikos to concede in 1st half	48.1%	49.5%	—	—	2.02

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Panathinaikos to concede in 2nd half	58.1%	57.7%	—	—	1.74
Panathinaikos clean sheet in 2nd half	41.9%	42.3%	—	—	2.36

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Panathinaikos under 6.5 corners	81.2%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
Panathinaikos over 2.5 corners	76.4%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
Panathinaikos under 5.5 corners	70.5%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Panathinaikos over 3.5 corners	60.0%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Panathinaikos under 4.5 corners	56.4%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Panathinaikos over 4.5 corners	43.6%	42.8%	—	—	2.33
Panathinaikos under 3.5 corners	40.0%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
Panathinaikos over 5.5 corners	29.5%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Panathinaikos under 2.5 corners	23.6%	24.0%	—	—	4.18
Panathinaikos over 6.5 corners	18.8%	18.6%	—	—	5.37

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Panathinaikos under 3.5 goals	97.9%	97.5%	96.7%	1.01×	1.03
Panathinaikos under 2.5 goals	91.4%	92.3%	89.8%	1.03×	1.08
Panathinaikos under 1.5 goals	72.5%	71.8%	67.4%	1.07×	1.39
Panathinaikos over 0.5 goals	64.2%	63.2%	67.8%	0.93×	1.58
Panathinaikos under 0.5 goals	35.8%	36.8%	32.2%	1.14×	2.72
Panathinaikos over 1.5 goals	27.5%	28.2%	32.6%	0.86×	3.55
Panathinaikos over 2.5 goals	8.6%	7.7%	10.2%	0.75×	13.05
Panathinaikos over 3.5 goals	2.1%	2.5%	3.3%	0.76×	39.96

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Panathinaikos under 1.5 in 1st half	93.5%	93.8%	—	—	1.07
Panathinaikos under 0.5 in 1st half	66.3%	69.8%	—	—	1.43
Panathinaikos over 0.5 in 1st half	33.7%	30.2%	—	—	3.32
Panathinaikos over 1.5 in 1st half	6.5%	6.2%	—	—	16.23

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Panathinaikos scores equally in both	45.4%	48.0%	—	—	2.08
Panathinaikos scores more in 2nd half	34.1%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Panathinaikos scores more in 1st half	20.4%	21.8%	—	—	4.60

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PAOK (away no bet)	60.8%	61.9%	62.3%	0.99×	1.62
Draw (away no bet)	39.2%	38.1%	37.7%	1.01×	2.63

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Panathinaikos even goals	56.4%	56.9%	56.8%	1.00×	1.76
Panathinaikos odd goals	43.6%	43.1%	43.2%	1.00×	2.32

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	87.4%	87.9%	—	—	1.14
Both halves over 1.5 goals	12.6%	12.1%	—	—	8.24

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	61.1%	57.4%	—	—	1.74
Both halves under 1.5 goals	38.9%	42.6%	—	—	2.35

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	52.9%	50.9%	—	—	1.96
PAOK to score 2+ in a row	37.7%	36.6%	—	—	2.73
Panathinaikos to score 2+ in a row	20.1%	19.6%	—	—	5.11
Either team to score 3+ in a row	18.3%	16.2%	—	—	6.16
PAOK to score 3+ in a row	13.7%	12.1%	—	—	8.29
Panathinaikos to score 3+ in a row	4.8%	2.6%	—	—	37.95

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PAOK corners (+3.5)	90.8%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
PAOK corners (+2.5)	85.7%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
PAOK corners (+1.5)	78.8%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Panathinaikos corners (+3.5)	70.2%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Panathinaikos corners (+2.5)	60.7%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Panathinaikos corners (+1.5)	50.3%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
PAOK corners (-1.5)	49.7%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
PAOK corners (-2.5)	39.3%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
PAOK corners (-3.5)	29.8%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Panathinaikos corners (-1.5)	21.2%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Panathinaikos corners (-2.5)	14.3%	15.5%	—	—	6.45
Panathinaikos corners (-3.5)	9.2%	10.4%	—	—	9.59

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
12+ corners	35.8%	34.0%	—	—	2.94
0-8 corners	34.1%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
9-11 corners	30.1%	33.2%	—	—	3.01

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 7.5 corners	75.6%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Under 12.5 corners	72.6%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Over 8.5 corners	65.9%	67.8%	—	—	1.47
Under 11.5 corners	64.2%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Over 9.5 corners	55.6%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Under 10.5 corners	54.6%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Over 10.5 corners	45.4%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Under 9.5 corners	44.4%	42.1%	—	—	2.38
Over 11.5 corners	35.8%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Under 8.5 corners	34.1%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Over 12.5 corners	27.4%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Under 7.5 corners	24.4%	23.4%	—	—	4.27

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.1%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	14.4%	11.5%	13.1%	0.88×	8.71
0-0	9.9%	7.4%	8.4%	0.88×	13.51
1-0	9.7%	7.4%	9.2%	0.80×	13.51
2-0	9.1%	7.4%	6.1%	1.20×	13.51
2-1	9.3%	7.4%	8.6%	0.86×	13.51
0-1	5.8%	7.4%	9.6%	0.77×	13.51
1-2	6.3%	7.4%	8.6%	0.86×	13.51
2-2	4.8%	1.7%	3.7%	0.47×	58.29
3-1	4.7%	1.7%	3.5%	0.49×	58.29
0-2	4.1%	1.7%	6.1%	0.28×	58.30
0-3	1.4%	1.7%	3.1%	0.56×	58.31
0-4	0.4%	1.7%	0.8%	2.09×	58.32
1-3	2.1%	1.7%	2.0%	0.84×	58.31
1-4	0.6%	1.7%	1.4%	1.20×	58.32
2-3	1.6%	1.7%	2.3%	0.76×	58.31
2-4	0.4%	1.7%	0.6%	2.79×	58.32
3-0	4.6%	1.7%	6.4%	0.27×	58.29
3-2	2.4%	1.7%	3.1%	0.56×	58.31
3-3	0.8%	1.7%	0.4%	4.18×	58.31
3-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.2%	8.37×	58.32
4-0	1.8%	1.7%	1.8%	0.93×	58.31
4-1	1.8%	1.7%	1.4%	1.20×	58.31
4-2	0.9%	1.7%	1.4%	1.20×	58.31
4-3	0.3%	1.7%	0.2%	8.37×	58.32
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.2%	8.37×	58.32
Any other score	2.4%	1.7%	2.5%	0.70×	58.31

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PAOK (2nd half DNB)	62.0%	62.7%	—	—	1.60
Panathinaikos (2nd half DNB)	38.0%	37.3%	—	—	2.68

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PAOK leading at HT (DNB)	64.7%	65.7%	—	—	1.52
Panathinaikos leading at HT (DNB)	35.3%	34.3%	—	—	2.92

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PAOK or draw (1X)	76.6%	75.5%	66.2%	1.14×	1.32
PAOK or Panathinaikos (12)	70.0%	69.6%	75.0%	0.93×	1.44
Panathinaikos or draw (X2)	53.4%	52.7%	58.6%	0.90×	1.90

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PAOK or draw at HT	80.6%	83.8%	—	—	1.19
Panathinaikos or draw at HT	64.5%	61.0%	—	—	1.64
PAOK or Panathinaikos at HT	54.9%	47.9%	—	—	2.09

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PAOK or draw (1UP)	76.6%	83.7%	—	—	1.20
Panathinaikos or draw (1UP)	53.4%	58.8%	—	—	1.70

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PAOK or draw in 2nd half	76.4%	75.8%	—	—	1.32
PAOK or Panathinaikos in 2nd half	62.0%	63.8%	—	—	1.57
Panathinaikos or draw in 2nd half	61.6%	63.8%	—	—	1.57

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	63.6%	61.4%	—	—	1.63
Neither half drawn	36.4%	38.6%	—	—	2.59

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PAOK (DNB)	66.6%	67.4%	55.0%	1.22×	1.49
Panathinaikos (DNB)	33.4%	32.7%	45.0%	0.73×	3.06

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PAOK to score first	53.8%	53.5%	—	—	1.87
Panathinaikos to score first	36.3%	32.7%	—	—	3.06
No goal scored	9.9%	7.5%	—	—	13.30

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	52.4%	51.3%	48.4%	1.06×	1.95
Not both teams to score	47.6%	48.7%	51.6%	0.94×	2.05

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	38.6%	38.5%	38.7%	0.99×	2.60
Both score & over 2.5	38.1%	38.4%	35.5%	1.08×	2.60
Both score & under 2.5	14.4%	12.4%	13.1%	0.94×	8.08
Not both score & over 2.5	8.9%	8.3%	13.1%	0.63×	12.07

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	87.6%	85.6%	88.9%	0.96×	1.17
Both teams to score 2+	12.4%	14.4%	11.1%	1.30×	6.95

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	72.5%	73.7%	—	—	1.36
Both teams to score in 2nd half	27.5%	26.3%	—	—	3.80

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	60.3%	65.6%	—	—	1.52
Both score 2nd half only	23.1%	21.0%	—	—	4.77
Both score 1st half only	12.3%	10.8%	—	—	9.28
Both score in both halves	4.3%	4.9%	—	—	20.21

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	83.4%	83.2%	—	—	1.20
Both teams to score by HT	16.6%	16.8%	—	—	5.94

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	51.8%	52.9%	—	—	1.89
A half without a goal	48.2%	47.1%	—	—	2.12

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	49.1%	47.2%	50.8%	0.93×	2.12
0-1 goals	25.5%	26.6%	26.8%	0.99×	3.76
4-6 goals	23.8%	22.9%	21.7%	1.06×	4.36
7+ goals	1.6%	1.8%	1.0%	1.79×	54.38

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Panathinaikos to score exactly 1	36.8%	35.9%	35.5%	1.01×	2.78
Panathinaikos to score exactly 0	35.8%	35.9%	32.2%	1.12×	2.78
Panathinaikos to score exactly 2	18.9%	19.6%	22.5%	0.87×	5.11
Panathinaikos to score 3+	8.6%	8.6%	10.2%	0.84×	11.69

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PAOK to score exactly 1	33.2%	32.6%	33.6%	0.97×	3.07
PAOK to score exactly 2	25.3%	26.5%	20.7%	1.28×	3.77
PAOK to score exactly 0	21.7%	23.3%	27.9%	0.84×	4.29
PAOK to score 3+	19.8%	18.8%	18.2%	1.03×	5.33

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	45.1%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
PAOK leading at HT	35.5%	39.0%	—	—	2.56
Panathinaikos leading at HT	19.4%	16.2%	—	—	6.19

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PAOK -1: 2	53.4%	52.2%	—	—	1.92
PAOK -1: 1	24.8%	23.5%	—	—	4.25
PAOK -1: X	21.8%	23.5%	—	—	4.26

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Panathinaikos (0:1)	53.4%	51.3%	58.6%	0.88×	1.95
PAOK (0:1)	24.8%	24.2%	21.1%	1.15×	4.13
Draw (0:1)	21.8%	24.2%	20.5%	1.18×	4.13

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Panathinaikos (0:2)	75.2%	79.3%	78.9%	1.01×	1.26
Draw (0:2)	14.8%	11.0%	10.7%	1.03×	9.09
PAOK (0:2)	10.0%	11.0%	10.7%	1.03×	9.11

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Panathinaikos (0:3)	90.0%	90.7%	89.3%	1.02×	1.10
Draw (0:3)	6.7%	5.8%	8.0%	0.73×	17.24
PAOK (0:3)	3.3%	2.4%	2.9%	0.83×	42.08

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Panathinaikos (0:4)	96.7%	98.1%	97.1%	1.01×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	2.4%	1.2%	1.8%	0.66×	81.90
PAOK (0:4)	0.9%	1.2%	1.2%	0.99×	82.07

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PAOK (1:0)	76.6%	78.6%	66.2%	1.19×	1.27
Draw (1:0)	14.0%	12.7%	20.1%	0.63×	7.87
Panathinaikos (1:0)	9.4%	6.9%	13.9%	0.50×	14.45

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PAOK (2:0)	90.6%	94.0%	86.1%	1.09×	1.06
Draw (2:0)	6.7%	6.4%	8.4%	0.76×	15.68
Panathinaikos (2:0)	2.7%	2.3%	5.7%	0.40×	43.72

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	45.0%	48.6%	—	—	2.06
Halves equal	29.2%	26.2%	—	—	3.81
1st half highest scoring	25.8%	26.2%	—	—	3.82

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PAOK to concede	64.2%	63.7%	67.8%	0.94×	1.57
PAOK clean sheet	35.8%	36.3%	32.2%	1.13×	2.75

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PAOK clean sheet in 1st half	66.3%	70.2%	—	—	1.43
PAOK to concede in 1st half	33.7%	29.8%	—	—	3.35

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PAOK clean sheet in 2nd half	54.0%	52.9%	—	—	1.89
PAOK to concede in 2nd half	46.0%	47.1%	—	—	2.12

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PAOK over 2.5 corners	88.8%	86.3%	—	—	1.16
PAOK over 3.5 corners	78.2%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
PAOK over 4.5 corners	65.2%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
PAOK under 6.5 corners	61.3%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
PAOK over 5.5 corners	51.5%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
PAOK under 5.5 corners	48.5%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
PAOK over 6.5 corners	38.7%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
PAOK under 4.5 corners	34.8%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
PAOK under 3.5 corners	21.8%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
PAOK under 2.5 corners	11.2%	13.7%	—	—	7.27

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PAOK under 3.5 goals	93.1%	92.2%	94.3%	0.98×	1.08
PAOK under 2.5 goals	80.2%	82.2%	81.8%	1.01×	1.22
PAOK over 0.5 goals	78.3%	77.8%	72.1%	1.08×	1.29
PAOK under 1.5 goals	54.9%	53.2%	61.3%	0.87×	1.88
PAOK over 1.5 goals	45.1%	46.8%	38.7%	1.21×	2.14
PAOK under 0.5 goals	21.7%	22.2%	27.9%	0.80×	4.50
PAOK over 2.5 goals	19.8%	17.8%	18.2%	0.98×	5.62
PAOK over 3.5 goals	6.9%	7.8%	5.7%	1.35×	12.87

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PAOK under 1.5 in 1st half	85.9%	90.1%	—	—	1.11
PAOK under 0.5 in 1st half	51.9%	50.3%	—	—	1.99
PAOK over 0.5 in 1st half	48.1%	49.7%	—	—	2.01
PAOK over 1.5 in 1st half	14.1%	9.9%	—	—	10.08

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PAOK scores more in 2nd half	38.2%	37.8%	—	—	2.64
PAOK scores equally in both	36.0%	37.8%	—	—	2.65
PAOK scores more in 1st half	25.8%	27.8%	—	—	3.60

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	56.2%	56.4%	42.5%	1.33×	1.77
Panathinaikos (home no bet)	43.8%	43.6%	57.5%	0.76×	2.29

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PAOK even goals	52.4%	50.7%	52.9%	0.96×	1.97
PAOK odd goals	47.6%	49.3%	47.1%	1.05×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	34.8%	33.3%	—	—	3.00
HT 1-0	22.2%	24.3%	—	—	4.11
HT 0-1	13.8%	11.0%	—	—	9.09
HT 1-1	9.7%	6.9%	—	—	14.43
HT 2-0	7.4%	6.9%	—	—	14.46
Any other HT score	3.7%	2.4%	—	—	41.96
HT 0-2	2.9%	2.4%	—	—	42.02
HT 2-1	3.0%	2.4%	—	—	42.01
HT 1-2	1.9%	2.4%	—	—	42.08
HT 2-2	0.6%	2.4%	—	—	42.17

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PAOK at HT / PAOK at FT	28.2%	27.3%	—	—	3.66
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	19.4%	16.8%	—	—	5.95
Draw at HT / PAOK at FT	16.1%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Panathinaikos at HT / Panathinaikos at FT	12.1%	12.6%	—	—	7.91
Draw at HT / Panathinaikos at FT	9.5%	6.1%	—	—	16.38
PAOK at HT / Draw at FT	5.6%	6.1%	—	—	16.48
Panathinaikos at HT / Draw at FT	4.9%	3.5%	—	—	28.79
Panathinaikos at HT / PAOK at FT	2.3%	3.5%	—	—	28.89
PAOK at HT / Panathinaikos at FT	1.7%	3.5%	—	—	28.91

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PAOK to score last	54.0%	52.2%	—	—	1.92
Panathinaikos to score last	36.0%	38.7%	—	—	2.59
No goal scored	9.9%	7.5%	—	—	13.30

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	90.1%	92.6%	—	—	1.08
PAOK to lead by 1 at any time	61.6%	61.2%	—	—	1.63
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	44.5%	39.3%	—	—	2.54
Panathinaikos to lead by 1 at any time	41.2%	39.2%	—	—	2.55
PAOK to lead by 2 at any time	30.7%	29.7%	—	—	3.36
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	15.7%	14.9%	—	—	6.73
Panathinaikos to lead by 2 at any time	13.9%	10.5%	—	—	9.49
PAOK to lead by 3 at any time	12.0%	10.5%	—	—	9.52
Panathinaikos to lead by 3 at any time	3.7%	1.6%	—	—	61.41

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PAOK most corners	60.2%	60.6%	—	—	1.65
Panathinaikos most corners	29.8%	31.1%	—	—	3.22
Corners level	9.9%	8.4%	—	—	11.98

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	85.5%	87.4%	88.5%	0.99×	1.14
1-4 goals	78.4%	78.7%	80.1%	0.98×	1.27
2-6 goals	73.0%	72.4%	72.3%	1.00×	1.38
2-5 goals	70.0%	68.8%	70.1%	0.98×	1.45
1-3 goals	64.7%	63.3%	69.3%	0.91×	1.58
2-4 goals	62.9%	63.3%	61.7%	1.03×	1.58
2-3 goals	49.1%	48.5%	50.8%	0.95×	2.06
3-6 goals	45.4%	48.5%	47.5%	1.02×	2.06
1-2 goals	43.1%	43.6%	43.4%	1.00×	2.29
3-5 goals	42.4%	43.6%	45.3%	0.96×	2.29
3-4 goals	35.4%	39.2%	36.9%	1.06×	2.55
4-6 goals	23.8%	24.5%	21.7%	1.13×	4.09
4-5 goals	20.8%	24.5%	19.5%	1.26×	4.09
5-6 goals	10.0%	14.8%	10.9%	1.36×	6.76
7+ goals	1.6%	2.6%	1.0%	2.49×	39.18

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PAOK never behind	48.9%	56.7%	—	—	1.76
Panathinaikos never behind	28.4%	30.1%	—	—	3.33

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	45.4%	50.9%	53.7%	0.95×	1.97
Even number of goals	54.6%	49.1%	46.3%	1.06×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	56.7%	57.6%	—	—	1.74
Odd goals in 1st half	43.3%	42.4%	—	—	2.36

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	54.0%	52.0%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 2nd half	46.0%	48.0%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	95.4%	95.4%	96.7%	0.99×	1.05
Over 0.5 goals	90.1%	92.3%	91.6%	1.01×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	88.4%	87.6%	88.3%	0.99×	1.14
Under 3.5 goals	74.6%	72.5%	77.5%	0.94×	1.38
Over 1.5 goals	74.5%	72.5%	73.2%	0.99×	1.38
Under 2.5 goals	53.0%	52.5%	51.6%	1.02×	1.90
Over 2.5 goals	47.0%	47.5%	48.4%	0.98×	2.11
Under 1.5 goals	25.5%	27.5%	26.8%	1.03×	3.63
Over 3.5 goals	25.4%	27.5%	22.5%	1.22×	3.64
Over 4.5 goals	11.6%	12.4%	11.7%	1.06×	8.06
Under 0.5 goals	9.9%	7.7%	8.4%	0.92×	12.94
Over 5.5 goals	4.6%	4.6%	3.3%	1.40×	21.83

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	98.4%	97.2%	99.0%	0.98×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	95.1%	97.2%	96.4%	1.01×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	86.5%	86.7%	86.9%	1.00×	1.15
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	67.6%	67.5%	69.6%	0.97×	1.48
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	64.8%	62.0%	64.3%	0.96×	1.61
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	35.2%	38.0%	35.7%	1.07×	2.63
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	32.4%	32.5%	30.4%	1.07×	3.07
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	13.5%	13.3%	13.1%	1.01×	7.54
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	4.9%	2.8%	3.6%	0.79×	35.53
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	1.6%	2.8%	1.0%	2.68×	35.62

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	90.7%	92.5%	—	—	1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half	70.7%	71.4%	—	—	1.40
Over 0.5 in 1st half	65.2%	68.5%	—	—	1.46
Under 0.5 in 1st half	34.8%	31.5%	—	—	3.17
Over 1.5 in 1st half	29.3%	28.6%	—	—	3.49
Over 2.5 in 1st half	9.3%	7.5%	—	—	13.39

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	81.2%	82.9%	—	—	1.21
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	76.6%	79.7%	—	—	1.26
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	55.5%	55.1%	—	—	1.82
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	44.5%	44.9%	—	—	2.23
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	23.4%	20.3%	—	—	4.92
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	18.8%	17.1%	—	—	5.85

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Panathinaikos not to score in both halves	84.5%	84.3%	—	—	1.19
PAOK not to score in both halves	72.0%	73.9%	—	—	1.35
PAOK to score in both halves	28.0%	26.1%	—	—	3.83
Panathinaikos to score in both halves	15.5%	15.7%	—	—	6.36

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	52.4%	53.8%	48.4%	1.11×	1.86
Only PAOK scores	25.8%	26.0%	24.0%	1.08×	3.85
Only Panathinaikos scores	11.8%	11.0%	19.7%	0.56×	9.07
Neither team scores	9.9%	7.1%	8.4%	0.85×	14.01

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	27.5%	24.9%	25.0%	1.00×	4.02
Exactly 3 goals	21.6%	22.6%	26.0%	0.87×	4.43
Exactly 1 goals	15.5%	17.5%	18.6%	0.94×	5.73
Exactly 4 goals	13.8%	12.1%	11.1%	1.10×	8.25
Exactly 0 goals	9.9%	7.6%	8.4%	0.91×	13.13
Exactly 5 goals	7.0%	7.6%	8.6%	0.88×	13.14
6 or more goals	4.6%	4.5%	3.3%	1.36×	22.35

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	36.0%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
No goals in 1st half	34.8%	35.7%	—	—	2.80
2 goals in 1st half	20.0%	15.7%	—	—	6.38
3+ goals in 1st half	9.3%	7.5%	—	—	13.39

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	44.5%	44.9%	—	—	2.23
1 goal in 2nd half	32.1%	33.7%	—	—	2.97
No goals in 2nd half	23.4%	22.7%	—	—	4.41

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Panathinaikos not to win both halves	95.2%	97.1%	—	—	1.03
PAOK not to win both halves	85.9%	87.9%	—	—	1.14
PAOK to win both halves	14.1%	12.1%	—	—	8.27
Panathinaikos to win both halves	4.8%	2.9%	—	—	35.05

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Panathinaikos to win neither half	61.8%	64.9%	—	—	1.54
PAOK to win either half	59.9%	59.2%	—	—	1.69
PAOK to win neither half	40.1%	40.8%	—	—	2.45
Panathinaikos to win either half	38.2%	35.1%	—	—	2.85

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Panathinaikos not to win to nil	88.2%	88.1%	80.3%	1.10×	1.14
PAOK not to win to nil	74.2%	75.4%	76.0%	0.99×	1.33
PAOK to win to nil	25.8%	24.6%	24.0%	1.03×	4.06
Panathinaikos to win to nil	11.8%	11.9%	19.7%	0.60×	8.42

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	30.0%	27.7%	25.0%	1.11×	3.61
PAOK by 1	21.8%	24.1%	20.5%	1.18×	4.15
PAOK by 2	14.8%	11.8%	10.7%	1.10×	8.51
Panathinaikos by 1	14.0%	11.8%	20.1%	0.59×	8.51
PAOK by 3+	10.0%	11.7%	10.7%	1.10×	8.52
Panathinaikos by 2	6.7%	7.2%	8.4%	0.86×	13.91
Panathinaikos by 3+	2.7%	2.7%	5.7%	0.47×	36.85