Paris Saint Germain v Slovan Bratislava — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Wednesday 9 September 2026 · EUR-Champions League · 2627

Champions League results-only Prediction generated 5 Sep 2026, 14:39

Paris Saint Germain

15:00

Slovan Bratislava

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 7 Sep, 07:51 · 59h before kick-off

Paris Saint Germain win

89.9%

model 92.3%

Draw

6.0%

model 5.3%

Slovan Bratislava win

4.1%

model 2.4%

9064

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (0 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

4-0 10.3%
3-0 10.2%
5-0 8.3%
2-0 7.6%
4-1 6.6%

Goals

Over 2.5	84.5%	Under 2.5	15.5%
BTTS yes	46.6%	BTTS no	53.4%
Paris Saint Germain 1+	98.2%	Paris Saint Germain 2+	91.0%
Slovan Bratislava 1+	47.6%	Slovan Bratislava 2+	13.7%

Expected goals 4.03 – 0.65. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

69/100

Data quality

55/100

Model agreement

94%

★ Best pick

Paris Saint Germain over 2.5 goals

Home goals O/U · usually 31%

76.9% fair odds 1.30

strong signal · 1097 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Not both to score by HT

GG/NG half time

83.2% fair odds 1.20

moderate signal · 1227 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Paris Saint Germain carry the stronger rating, 1808 Elo against 1391.

Risk factors

Data quality is 55/100, so this price rests on less than the model would like.
Slovan Bratislava have only 8 matches on record.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Paris Saint Germain have an estimated 89.9% win probability, against 6.0% for the draw and 4.1% for Slovan Bratislava. Expected goals from the ensemble are 4.03 for Paris Saint Germain and 0.65 for Slovan Bratislava.

Why Paris Saint Germain

Paris Saint Germain carry the stronger rating, 1808 Elo against 1391.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 6.0%. Draws run at 16% in this competition.

Why Slovan Bratislava can win

They have had 30 days' rest to Paris Saint Germain's 5.

Key players

Paris Saint Germain's leading contributors by expected goal involvements a match: Bradley Barcola (0.47), Khvicha Kvaratskhelia (0.46), Ousmane Dembélé (0.46).

Availability

2 of Paris Saint Germain's top three contributors did not start their last match. No lineup on record for Slovan Bratislava, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Paris Saint Germain: 68% possession, 16.8 shots a match, 12.4 faced, 0.44 xG a match from set pieces. Slovan Bratislava: 40% possession, 9.0 shots a match, 20.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Paris Saint Germain's shot volume meets a defence that concedes shots freely.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-07 06:03 · team_stats 2026-09-07 06:05 · availability 2026-09-07 07:51 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Paris Saint Germain are the model's most likely outcome at 89.9%. The likeliest scoreline is 4-0 at 10.3%. Confidence 69/100, data quality 55/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the chances say

Paris Saint Germain are finishing below their chances — 3.8 goals fewer than expected across 10 matches, despite creating the openings. They are also conceding fewer than expected — 2.3 goals saved beyond what the chances suggest.

LWWDWWLDDL last 10 scored 16 from 19.8 xG conceded 10 from 12.3 xG

Finishing swings far more than chance creation, so a gap this size usually narrows. Over ten matches it is suggestive, not settled — a genuinely elite finisher beats expected goals for years.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	9252	4.03–0.65	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	9910	6.30–0.54	6-0 10%	96%	42%
deep	9910	6.30–0.54	6-0 10%	96%	42%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Paris Saint Germain to win	98.7%	98.7%	50.5%	1.95×	1.01
Draw	1.0%	4.7%	16.1%	0.30×	21.08
Slovan Bratislava to win	0.3%	4.6%	33.7%	0.14×	21.77

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Paris Saint Germain & not both score	58.2%	51.1%	25.0%	2.04×	1.96
Paris Saint Germain & both teams score	40.5%	40.0%	25.8%	1.55×	2.50
Draw & both teams score	0.9%	4.9%	11.1%	0.44×	20.58
Slovan Bratislava & both teams score	0.2%	4.9%	18.4%	0.26×	20.60
Draw & not both score	0.1%	4.9%	5.3%	0.92×	20.60
Slovan Bratislava & not both score	0.1%	4.9%	15.5%	0.31×	20.60

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Paris Saint Germain & over 1.5	97.9%	97.9%	42.4%	2.31×	1.02
Paris Saint Germain & over 2.5	95.6%	95.6%	36.1%	2.65×	1.05
Paris Saint Germain & over 3.5	89.4%	86.7%	23.9%	3.62×	1.15
Paris Saint Germain & under 3.5	9.3%	7.9%	26.8%	0.29×	12.69
Paris Saint Germain & under 2.5	3.1%	4.8%	14.7%	0.32×	20.94
Paris Saint Germain & under 1.5	0.8%	4.8%	8.4%	0.57×	20.95
Draw & over 1.5	0.9%	4.8%	11.1%	0.43×	20.95
Draw & over 2.5	0.5%	4.8%	5.5%	0.86×	20.95
Draw & under 2.5	0.5%	4.8%	10.8%	0.44×	20.95
Draw & over 3.5	0.5%	4.8%	5.5%	0.86×	20.95
Draw & under 3.5	0.5%	4.8%	10.8%	0.44×	20.95
Draw & under 1.5	0.1%	4.8%	5.3%	0.91×	20.96
Slovan Bratislava & over 1.5	0.2%	4.8%	28.2%	0.17×	20.95
Slovan Bratislava & under 1.5	0.1%	4.8%	5.8%	0.82×	20.96
Slovan Bratislava & over 2.5	0.2%	4.8%	23.9%	0.20×	20.95
Slovan Bratislava & under 2.5	0.1%	4.8%	10.0%	0.48×	20.96
Slovan Bratislava & over 3.5	0.1%	4.8%	14.7%	0.32×	20.95
Slovan Bratislava & under 3.5	0.2%	4.8%	19.2%	0.25×	20.95

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Paris Saint Germain (1UP)	99.3%	97.0%	—	—	1.03
Slovan Bratislava (1UP)	8.9%	8.9%	—	—	11.26

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Paris Saint Germain (2UP)	98.7%	98.7%	—	—	1.01
Slovan Bratislava (2UP)	0.8%	3.8%	—	—	26.05

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Paris Saint Germain to win 2nd half	93.1%	93.1%	—	—	1.07
2nd half drawn	5.5%	6.7%	—	—	14.88
Slovan Bratislava to win 2nd half	1.4%	1.3%	—	—	76.20

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Paris Saint Germain (+0.5)	99.7%	96.3%	66.3%	1.45×	1.04
Paris Saint Germain (-0.5)	98.7%	96.3%	50.5%	1.91×	1.04
Paris Saint Germain (-1.5)	95.7%	96.3%	31.6%	3.05×	1.04
Paris Saint Germain (-2.5)	89.3%	88.5%	18.4%	4.80×	1.13
Slovan Bratislava (+2.5)	10.7%	11.5%	81.6%	0.14×	8.70
Slovan Bratislava (+1.5)	4.3%	3.7%	68.4%	0.05×	26.73
Slovan Bratislava (+0.5)	1.3%	3.7%	49.5%	0.08×	26.92
Slovan Bratislava (-0.5)	0.3%	3.7%	33.7%	0.11×	26.99

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Slovan Bratislava to concede	99.8%	96.9%	79.5%	1.22×	1.03
Slovan Bratislava clean sheet	0.2%	3.1%	20.5%	0.15×	32.72

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Slovan Bratislava to concede in 1st half	93.2%	93.2%	—	—	1.07
Slovan Bratislava clean sheet in 1st half	6.8%	6.8%	—	—	14.67

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Slovan Bratislava under 3.5 goals	99.8%	97.6%	92.1%	1.06×	1.03
Slovan Bratislava under 2.5 goals	98.2%	97.6%	78.9%	1.24×	1.03
Slovan Bratislava under 1.5 goals	89.7%	87.9%	59.7%	1.47×	1.14
Slovan Bratislava under 0.5 goals	58.3%	59.6%	30.0%	1.99×	1.68
Slovan Bratislava over 0.5 goals	41.7%	40.4%	70.0%	0.58×	2.48
Slovan Bratislava over 1.5 goals	10.3%	12.1%	40.3%	0.30×	8.27
Slovan Bratislava over 2.5 goals	1.8%	2.4%	21.1%	0.12×	41.11
Slovan Bratislava over 3.5 goals	0.2%	2.4%	7.9%	0.31×	41.19

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Slovan Bratislava under 1.5 in 1st half	98.0%	95.9%	—	—	1.04
Slovan Bratislava under 0.5 in 1st half	80.6%	83.2%	—	—	1.20
Slovan Bratislava over 0.5 in 1st half	19.4%	16.8%	—	—	5.94
Slovan Bratislava over 1.5 in 1st half	2.0%	4.1%	—	—	24.61

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Paris Saint Germain (away no bet)	99.0%	99.1%	75.9%	1.31×	1.01
Draw (away no bet)	1.0%	0.9%	24.1%	0.04×	113.06

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Slovan Bratislava even goals	67.0%	64.8%	54.5%	1.19×	1.54
Slovan Bratislava odd goals	33.0%	35.2%	45.5%	0.77×	2.84

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both halves over 1.5 goals	70.1%	76.9%	—	—	1.30
Not both halves over 1.5	29.9%	23.1%	—	—	4.33

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	97.7%	97.7%	—	—	1.02
Both halves under 1.5 goals	2.3%	2.3%	—	—	43.66

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	98.0%	98.0%	—	—	1.02
Paris Saint Germain to score 2+ in a row	97.8%	97.8%	—	—	1.02
Either team to score 3+ in a row	90.8%	91.4%	—	—	1.09
Paris Saint Germain to score 3+ in a row	90.7%	91.4%	—	—	1.09
Slovan Bratislava to score 2+ in a row	3.4%	2.6%	—	—	37.99
Slovan Bratislava to score 3+ in a row	0.2%	2.5%	—	—	40.02

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Any other score	72.8%	72.8%	11.3%	6.43×	1.37
4-0	7.7%	7.4%	3.4%	2.17×	13.46
3-0	4.9%	1.7%	5.3%	0.32×	58.56
0-0	0.1%	1.7%	5.3%	0.32×	58.59
0-1	0.1%	1.7%	5.8%	0.29×	58.59
0-2	0.0%	1.7%	4.5%	0.38×	58.59
0-3	0.0%	1.7%	3.9%	0.43×	58.59
0-4	0.0%	1.7%	1.6%	1.08×	58.59
1-0	0.8%	1.7%	8.4%	0.20×	58.59
1-1	0.4%	1.7%	5.8%	0.29×	58.59
1-2	0.1%	1.7%	5.8%	0.29×	58.59
1-3	0.0%	1.7%	2.9%	0.59×	58.59
1-4	0.0%	1.7%	1.6%	1.08×	58.59
2-0	2.3%	1.7%	6.6%	0.26×	58.58
2-1	1.3%	1.7%	7.4%	0.23×	58.59
2-2	0.3%	1.7%	3.9%	0.43×	58.59
2-3	0.1%	1.7%	5.0%	0.34×	58.59
2-4	0.0%	1.7%	1.1%	1.62×	58.59
3-1	2.7%	1.7%	5.8%	0.29×	58.58
3-2	0.7%	1.7%	3.2%	0.54×	58.59
3-3	0.1%	1.7%	1.6%	1.08×	58.59
3-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.5%	3.24×	58.59
4-1	4.2%	1.7%	3.2%	0.54×	58.57
4-2	1.1%	1.7%	1.3%	1.30×	58.59
4-3	0.2%	1.7%	0.8%	2.16×	58.59
4-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.5%	3.24×	58.59

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Paris Saint Germain leading at HT (DNB)	98.1%	98.1%	—	—	1.02
Slovan Bratislava leading at HT (DNB)	1.9%	1.9%	—	—	52.26

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Paris Saint Germain or draw (1X)	99.7%	95.4%	66.3%	1.44×	1.05
Paris Saint Germain or Slovan Bratislava (12)	99.0%	95.3%	83.9%	1.13×	1.05
Slovan Bratislava or draw (X2)	1.3%	1.3%	49.5%	0.03×	77.79

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Paris Saint Germain or draw at HT	98.3%	95.9%	—	—	1.04
Paris Saint Germain or Slovan Bratislava at HT	90.8%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Slovan Bratislava or draw at HT	10.9%	10.9%	—	—	9.14

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Paris Saint Germain or draw (1UP)	99.7%	99.8%	—	—	1.00
Slovan Bratislava or draw (1UP)	8.9%	8.9%	—	—	11.26

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Paris Saint Germain or draw in 2nd half	98.6%	98.7%	—	—	1.01
Paris Saint Germain or Slovan Bratislava in 2nd half	94.5%	93.3%	—	—	1.07
Slovan Bratislava or draw in 2nd half	6.9%	6.9%	—	—	14.58

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half drawn	85.8%	85.8%	—	—	1.17
A half drawn	14.2%	14.2%	—	—	7.04

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Paris Saint Germain (DNB)	99.7%	96.5%	60.0%	1.61×	1.04
Slovan Bratislava (DNB)	0.3%	3.5%	40.0%	0.09×	28.32

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Paris Saint Germain to score first	92.0%	92.0%	—	—	1.09
Slovan Bratislava to score first	7.9%	7.4%	—	—	13.50
No goal scored	0.1%	4.2%	—	—	23.60

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	58.4%	54.8%	45.3%	1.21×	1.83
Both teams to score	41.6%	45.2%	54.7%	0.83×	2.21

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & over 2.5	55.1%	47.1%	16.1%	2.94×	2.12
Both score & over 2.5	41.2%	41.5%	49.2%	0.84×	2.41
Not both score & under 2.5	3.3%	4.6%	29.5%	0.16×	21.76
Both score & under 2.5	0.4%	4.4%	5.8%	0.76×	22.81

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	89.9%	85.7%	81.1%	1.06×	1.17
Both teams to score 2+	10.1%	14.3%	18.9%	0.75×	6.99

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	73.2%	74.6%	—	—	1.34
Both teams to score in 2nd half	26.8%	25.4%	—	—	3.93

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	59.9%	60.0%	—	—	1.67
Both score 2nd half only	22.0%	21.1%	—	—	4.74
Both score 1st half only	13.2%	10.5%	—	—	9.52
Both score in both halves	4.9%	5.0%	—	—	19.92

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	81.9%	82.8%	—	—	1.21
Both teams to score by HT	18.1%	17.2%	—	—	5.83

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	92.5%	92.5%	—	—	1.08
A half without a goal	7.5%	7.5%	—	—	13.27

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
7+ goals	47.8%	47.4%	6.8%	6.93×	2.11
4-6 goals	42.3%	42.1%	37.1%	1.14×	2.37
2-3 goals	9.1%	7.6%	37.6%	0.20×	13.09
0-1 goals	0.9%	1.8%	18.9%	0.10×	55.34

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Slovan Bratislava to score exactly 0	58.3%	52.0%	30.0%	1.73×	1.92
Slovan Bratislava to score exactly 1	31.5%	33.9%	30.0%	1.13×	2.95
Slovan Bratislava to score exactly 2	8.5%	8.5%	19.5%	0.44×	11.78
Slovan Bratislava to score 3+	1.8%	4.5%	21.1%	0.21×	22.36

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Paris Saint Germain to score 3+	94.5%	94.6%	31.1%	3.05×	1.06
Paris Saint Germain to score exactly 2	4.0%	6.2%	23.4%	0.26×	16.19
Paris Saint Germain to score exactly 1	1.3%	6.1%	25.5%	0.24×	16.49
Paris Saint Germain to score exactly 0	0.2%	6.0%	20.5%	0.29×	16.62

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Paris Saint Germain leading at HT	89.1%	89.1%	—	—	1.12
Draw at HT	9.2%	10.4%	—	—	9.64
Slovan Bratislava leading at HT	1.7%	4.1%	—	—	24.19

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Paris Saint Germain -1: 1	95.7%	95.7%	—	—	1.05
Paris Saint Germain -1: X	3.0%	2.9%	—	—	34.30
Paris Saint Germain -1: 2	1.3%	1.3%	—	—	77.79

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Paris Saint Germain (0:1)	95.7%	96.8%	31.6%	3.07×	1.03
Draw (0:1)	3.0%	5.7%	19.2%	0.30×	17.47
Slovan Bratislava (0:1)	1.3%	5.6%	49.5%	0.11×	17.91

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Paris Saint Germain (0:2)	89.3%	87.0%	18.4%	4.72×	1.15
Draw (0:2)	6.4%	7.7%	13.4%	0.57×	12.99
Slovan Bratislava (0:2)	4.3%	3.8%	68.4%	0.06×	26.44

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Paris Saint Germain (0:3)	78.4%	80.7%	9.5%	8.51×	1.24
Draw (0:3)	10.8%	10.0%	9.2%	1.09×	10.00
Slovan Bratislava (0:3)	10.7%	10.0%	81.6%	0.12×	10.00

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Paris Saint Germain (0:4)	63.7%	68.8%	3.9%	17.43×	1.45
Slovan Bratislava (0:4)	21.6%	16.9%	90.5%	0.19×	5.92
Draw (0:4)	14.8%	9.8%	5.8%	1.68×	10.26

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Paris Saint Germain (1:0)	99.7%	94.8%	66.3%	1.43×	1.06
Draw (1:0)	0.3%	3.1%	16.6%	0.19×	32.06
Slovan Bratislava (1:0)	0.1%	3.1%	17.4%	0.18×	32.10

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Paris Saint Germain (2:0)	99.9%	97.0%	82.6%	1.17×	1.03
Draw (2:0)	0.0%	2.3%	7.9%	0.29×	44.41
Slovan Bratislava (2:0)	0.0%	2.3%	9.7%	0.23×	44.42

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	55.2%	57.6%	—	—	1.74
1st half highest scoring	28.9%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Halves equal	15.9%	18.0%	—	—	5.57

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Paris Saint Germain clean sheet	58.3%	61.0%	30.0%	2.03×	1.64
Paris Saint Germain to concede	41.7%	39.0%	70.0%	0.56×	2.56

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Paris Saint Germain clean sheet in 1st half	80.6%	82.3%	—	—	1.21
Paris Saint Germain to concede in 1st half	19.4%	17.7%	—	—	5.66

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Paris Saint Germain over 0.5 goals	99.8%	96.4%	79.5%	1.21×	1.04
Paris Saint Germain over 1.5 goals	98.5%	96.4%	54.2%	1.78×	1.04
Paris Saint Germain over 2.5 goals	94.5%	92.3%	31.1%	2.97×	1.08
Paris Saint Germain over 3.5 goals	86.0%	87.2%	16.1%	5.43×	1.15
Paris Saint Germain under 3.5 goals	14.0%	12.8%	83.9%	0.15×	7.83
Paris Saint Germain under 2.5 goals	5.5%	7.7%	68.9%	0.11×	12.91
Paris Saint Germain under 1.5 goals	1.5%	3.6%	45.8%	0.08×	27.49
Paris Saint Germain under 0.5 goals	0.2%	3.6%	20.5%	0.18×	27.55

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Paris Saint Germain over 0.5 in 1st half	93.2%	95.6%	—	—	1.05
Paris Saint Germain over 1.5 in 1st half	74.7%	79.6%	—	—	1.26
Paris Saint Germain under 1.5 in 1st half	25.3%	20.4%	—	—	4.91
Paris Saint Germain under 0.5 in 1st half	6.8%	4.4%	—	—	22.55

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	75.3%	78.4%	32.3%	2.43×	1.28
Slovan Bratislava (home no bet)	24.7%	21.6%	67.7%	0.32×	4.62

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Paris Saint Germain even goals	50.0%	50.6%	53.2%	0.95×	1.98
Paris Saint Germain odd goals	50.0%	49.4%	46.8%	1.05×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Any other HT score	49.8%	48.7%	—	—	2.05
HT 2-0	20.1%	24.2%	—	—	4.14
HT 1-0	14.9%	11.1%	—	—	9.02
HT 0-0	5.5%	7.1%	—	—	14.13
HT 2-1	4.3%	2.2%	—	—	44.60
HT 1-1	3.2%	2.2%	—	—	44.69
HT 0-1	1.2%	2.2%	—	—	44.85
HT 2-2	0.5%	2.2%	—	—	44.90
HT 0-2	0.1%	2.2%	—	—	44.93
HT 1-2	0.3%	2.2%	—	—	44.91

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Paris Saint Germain at HT / Paris Saint Germain at FT	88.7%	88.7%	—	—	1.13
Draw at HT / Paris Saint Germain at FT	8.6%	6.0%	—	—	16.54
Slovan Bratislava at HT / Paris Saint Germain at FT	1.4%	3.4%	—	—	29.23
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	0.5%	3.4%	—	—	29.27
Paris Saint Germain at HT / Draw at FT	0.3%	3.4%	—	—	29.28
Slovan Bratislava at HT / Draw at FT	0.2%	3.4%	—	—	29.28
Paris Saint Germain at HT / Slovan Bratislava at FT	0.0%	3.4%	—	—	29.28
Draw at HT / Slovan Bratislava at FT	0.1%	3.4%	—	—	29.28
Slovan Bratislava at HT / Slovan Bratislava at FT	0.2%	3.4%	—	—	29.28

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Paris Saint Germain to score last	91.7%	91.7%	—	—	1.09
Slovan Bratislava to score last	8.2%	7.4%	—	—	13.48
No goal scored	0.1%	4.2%	—	—	23.60

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	99.9%	95.7%	—	—	1.05
Paris Saint Germain to lead by 1 at any time	99.3%	95.7%	—	—	1.05
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	97.1%	95.6%	—	—	1.05
Paris Saint Germain to lead by 2 at any time	96.7%	95.6%	—	—	1.05
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	90.7%	92.6%	—	—	1.08
Paris Saint Germain to lead by 3 at any time	90.7%	92.6%	—	—	1.08
Slovan Bratislava to lead by 1 at any time	8.9%	6.6%	—	—	15.25
Slovan Bratislava to lead by 2 at any time	0.8%	1.5%	—	—	65.27
Slovan Bratislava to lead by 3 at any time	0.1%	1.5%	—	—	66.06

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-6 goals	51.3%	53.1%	74.5%	0.71×	1.88
3-6 goals	48.6%	48.7%	58.4%	0.83×	2.06
7+ goals	47.8%	48.7%	6.8%	7.11×	2.06
4-6 goals	42.3%	43.6%	37.1%	1.18×	2.29
1-5 goals	35.4%	39.2%	81.3%	0.48×	2.55
2-5 goals	34.5%	35.4%	67.6%	0.52×	2.83
3-5 goals	31.8%	35.4%	51.6%	0.69×	2.83
5-6 goals	31.5%	35.4%	20.8%	1.70×	2.83
4-5 goals	25.5%	30.2%	30.3%	1.00×	3.31
1-4 goals	20.7%	24.4%	67.6%	0.36×	4.09
2-4 goals	19.8%	18.6%	53.9%	0.35×	5.37
3-4 goals	17.1%	18.6%	37.9%	0.49×	5.37
1-3 goals	9.9%	8.8%	51.3%	0.17×	11.42
2-3 goals	9.1%	8.7%	37.6%	0.23×	11.43
1-2 goals	3.6%	2.5%	30.0%	0.08×	39.41

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Paris Saint Germain never behind	91.0%	91.0%	—	—	1.10
Slovan Bratislava never behind	0.6%	2.8%	—	—	35.70

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of goals	50.0%	50.8%	45.8%	1.11×	1.97
Odd number of goals	50.0%	49.2%	54.2%	0.91×	2.03

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	50.5%	51.5%	—	—	1.94
Odd goals in 1st half	49.5%	48.5%	—	—	2.06

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	50.8%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	49.2%	48.0%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	99.9%	95.5%	94.7%	1.01×	1.05
Over 1.5 goals	99.1%	95.5%	81.1%	1.18×	1.05
Over 2.5 goals	96.3%	95.5%	65.0%	1.47×	1.05
Over 3.5 goals	90.0%	92.3%	43.7%	2.11×	1.08
Over 4.5 goals	79.2%	77.4%	27.4%	2.83×	1.29
Over 5.5 goals	64.5%	61.8%	13.7%	4.51×	1.62
Under 5.5 goals	35.5%	38.2%	86.3%	0.44×	2.62
Under 4.5 goals	20.8%	22.6%	72.6%	0.31×	4.42
Under 3.5 goals	10.0%	7.7%	56.3%	0.14×	12.94
Under 2.5 goals	3.7%	4.5%	35.0%	0.13×	22.19
Under 1.5 goals	0.9%	4.5%	18.9%	0.24×	22.24
Under 0.5 goals	0.1%	4.5%	5.3%	0.85×	22.26

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	99.0%	97.3%	77.4%	1.26×	1.03
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	96.1%	97.2%	55.5%	1.75×	1.03
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	88.8%	86.7%	32.7%	2.65×	1.15
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	75.7%	75.9%	15.9%	4.79×	1.32
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	57.4%	55.5%	7.3%	7.56×	1.80
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	42.6%	44.5%	92.7%	0.48×	2.25
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	24.3%	24.1%	84.1%	0.29×	4.15
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	11.2%	13.3%	67.3%	0.20×	7.54
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	3.9%	2.8%	44.5%	0.06×	36.33
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	1.0%	2.7%	22.6%	0.12×	36.42

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 1st half	94.5%	93.0%	—	—	1.08
Over 1.5 in 1st half	78.4%	78.7%	—	—	1.27
Over 2.5 in 1st half	55.0%	56.8%	—	—	1.76
Under 2.5 in 1st half	45.0%	43.2%	—	—	2.31
Under 1.5 in 1st half	21.6%	21.3%	—	—	4.70
Under 0.5 in 1st half	5.5%	7.0%	—	—	14.30

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	97.8%	97.8%	—	—	1.02
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	89.4%	85.5%	—	—	1.17
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	72.9%	77.9%	—	—	1.28
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	27.1%	22.1%	—	—	4.53
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	10.6%	14.5%	—	—	6.90
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	2.2%	2.2%	—	—	46.50

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Slovan Bratislava not to score in both halves	94.6%	90.8%	—	—	1.10
Paris Saint Germain to score in both halves	90.4%	89.8%	—	—	1.11
Paris Saint Germain not to score in both halves	9.6%	10.2%	—	—	9.80
Slovan Bratislava to score in both halves	5.4%	9.2%	—	—	10.89

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Only Paris Saint Germain scores	58.2%	58.2%	25.0%	2.33×	1.72
Both teams score	41.6%	46.6%	54.7%	0.85×	2.15
Neither team scores	0.1%	4.6%	5.3%	0.87×	21.89
Only Slovan Bratislava scores	0.1%	4.6%	15.5%	0.29×	21.89

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
6 or more goals	64.5%	64.5%	13.7%	4.71×	1.55
Exactly 5 goals	14.7%	12.1%	13.9%	0.87×	8.29
Exactly 4 goals	10.8%	12.1%	16.6%	0.73×	8.29
Exactly 3 goals	6.3%	7.6%	21.6%	0.35×	13.14
Exactly 2 goals	2.8%	4.4%	16.3%	0.27×	22.63
Exactly 1 goals	0.8%	4.4%	13.9%	0.32×	22.66
Exactly 0 goals	0.1%	4.4%	5.3%	0.84×	22.67

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	89.4%	89.4%	—	—	1.12
1 goal in 2nd half	8.4%	10.1%	—	—	9.86
No goals in 2nd half	2.2%	2.2%	—	—	46.50

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Slovan Bratislava not to win both halves	100.0%	97.3%	—	—	1.03
Paris Saint Germain to win both halves	82.9%	84.2%	—	—	1.19
Paris Saint Germain not to win both halves	17.1%	15.8%	—	—	6.34
Slovan Bratislava to win both halves	0.0%	2.7%	—	—	36.80

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Paris Saint Germain to win either half	99.3%	99.3%	—	—	1.01
Slovan Bratislava to win neither half	96.9%	97.0%	—	—	1.03
Slovan Bratislava to win either half	3.1%	3.0%	—	—	33.15
Paris Saint Germain to win neither half	0.7%	0.7%	—	—	138.00

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Slovan Bratislava not to win to nil	99.9%	96.3%	84.5%	1.14×	1.04
Paris Saint Germain to win to nil	58.2%	58.9%	25.0%	2.36×	1.70
Paris Saint Germain not to win to nil	41.8%	41.1%	75.0%	0.55×	2.43
Slovan Bratislava to win to nil	0.1%	3.7%	15.5%	0.24×	26.94

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Paris Saint Germain by 3+	89.3%	89.3%	18.4%	4.85×	1.12
Paris Saint Germain by 2	6.4%	7.2%	13.4%	0.54×	13.81
Paris Saint Germain by 1	3.0%	2.7%	19.2%	0.14×	36.97
Draw	1.0%	2.7%	16.1%	0.17×	37.04
Slovan Bratislava by 1	0.3%	2.7%	16.6%	0.16×	37.06
Slovan Bratislava by 2	0.0%	2.7%	7.9%	0.34×	37.07
Slovan Bratislava by 3+	0.0%	2.7%	9.7%	0.28×	37.07